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A pedestrian ABM in complex evacuation environments based on Bayesian Nash Equilibrium 基于贝叶斯纳什均衡的复杂疏散环境下行人ABM
Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-4-50-2023
Yiyu Wang, Jiaqi Ge, A. Comber
Abstract. This research proposed an improved pedestrian evacuation ABM incorporating Bayesian Nash equilibrium (BNE) to provide more realistic simulations of evacuating behaviours in complex environments. BNE theory was introduced to improve the rationality of model simulations by quantifying individual decision-making process. Latest research put forward that BNE pedestrians (agents) were capable of evacuating faster and displayed more intelligent and representative evacuating behaviours. To further evaluate the role of BNE played in agents’ navigations in complex scenarios, this paper extends the above work by introducing impassable barriers with changeable sizes to realise the simulations in a more complex evacuation space with several narrow corridors. In order to match the demands of efficiently avoiding congestions and impassable areas, the decision-making rule of BNE agents when one patch was occupied by over 10 agents was improved from 100% best strategy to a multi-strategy combination: with 50% optimal strategy, 40% suboptimal strategy and 10% choosing one of the remaining options. It was found that compared with the agents following the other two traditional models, BNE agents could change their original exiting route after considering possible movements of the neighbouring agents and may evacuate through the corridors relatively further from the exit. A detailed introduction of the improved ABM is provided in this paper. Potential research directions are also identified.
摘要本研究提出了一种基于贝叶斯纳什均衡(BNE)的改进行人疏散模型,以提供更真实的复杂环境下的疏散行为模拟。引入BNE理论,通过量化个体决策过程,提高模型仿真的合理性。最新研究表明,BNE行人(agent)的疏散速度更快,疏散行为更具智能和代表性。为了进一步评估BNE在复杂场景下智能体导航中的作用,本文扩展了上述工作,引入了大小可变的不可逾越障碍,实现了在具有多个狭窄走廊的更复杂疏散空间中的模拟。为了满足高效避开拥堵和不可通过区域的需求,将BNE智能体在一个补丁被10个以上智能体占据时的决策规则从100%最佳策略改进为多策略组合:50%最优策略,40%次优策略,10%选择剩余选项中的一个。研究发现,与遵循其他两种传统模型的agent相比,BNE agent在考虑到相邻agent可能的运动后,可以改变原有的退出路线,并可能通过距离出口相对较远的走廊进行疏散。本文对改进后的反导系统进行了详细的介绍。并指出了潜在的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Is it safe to be attractive? Disentangling the influence of streetscape features on the perceived safety and attractiveness of city streets 长得有吸引力安全吗?拆解街景特征对城市街道感知安全性和吸引力的影响
Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-4-8-2023
Vasileios Milias, Shahin Sharifi Noorian, A. Bozzon, A. Psyllidis
Abstract. City streets that feel safe and attractive motivate active travel behaviour and promote people’s well-being. However, determining what makes a street safe and attractive is a challenging task because subjective qualities of the streetscape are difficult to quantify. Existing evidence typically focuses on how different street features influence perceived safety or attractiveness, but little is known about what influences both. To fill this knowledge gap, we developed a crowdsourcing tool and conducted a study with 403 participants, who were asked to virtually navigate city streets in Frankfurt, Germany, through a sequence of street-level images, rate locations based on perceived safety and attractiveness, and explain their ratings. Our results contribute new insights regarding the key similarities and differences between the factors influencing perceived safety and attractiveness. We show that the presence of human activity is strongly related to perceived safety, whereas attractiveness is influenced primarily by aesthetic qualities, as well as the number and type of amenities along a street. Moreover, we demonstrate that the presence of construction sites and underpasses has a disproportionately negative impact on perceived safety and attractiveness, outweighing the influence of any other features. We use the results to make evidence-informed recommendations for designing safer and more attractive streets that encourage active travel modes and promote well-being.
摘要让人感到安全和有吸引力的城市街道会激发人们积极的出行行为,促进人们的福祉。然而,确定是什么使街道安全和吸引人是一项具有挑战性的任务,因为街道景观的主观品质很难量化。现有的证据通常集中在不同的街道特征如何影响感知的安全性或吸引力,但对影响两者的因素知之甚少。为了填补这一知识空白,我们开发了一个众包工具,并对403名参与者进行了一项研究,他们被要求在德国法兰克福的城市街道上虚拟导航,通过一系列街道级别的图像,根据感知的安全性和吸引力对位置进行评级,并解释他们的评级。我们的研究结果对影响感知安全性和吸引力的因素之间的关键异同提供了新的见解。我们表明,人类活动的存在与感知安全性密切相关,而吸引力主要受美学品质以及沿街设施的数量和类型的影响。此外,我们证明了建筑工地和地下通道的存在对感知安全性和吸引力产生了不成比例的负面影响,超过了任何其他特征的影响。我们利用研究结果为设计更安全、更有吸引力的街道提供有依据的建议,鼓励积极的出行方式,促进福祉。
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引用次数: 0
Enriching geospatial data with computer vision to identify urban environment determinants of social interactions 利用计算机视觉丰富地理空间数据,识别社会互动的城市环境决定因素
Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-72-2022
Francisco Garrido-Valenzuela, Sander van Cranenburgh, O. Cats
Abstract. Characteristics of urban space (co-)determine human behaviour, including their social interaction patterns. However, despite numerous studies that have examined how the urban space impacts social interactions, their relationships are still poorly understood. Recent developments in computer vision and machine learning fields offer promising new ways to analyse and collect data on social interactions. This study proposes a new computer vision-based approach to study how the urban space impacts social interactions. The proposed method uses pre-trained object detection models to detect social interactions (including their geo-locations) from street-view imagery. After that, it regresses urban space characteristics – which are also detected using object detection models – on social interactions. For this study, 294,852 street-level images from three Dutch cities are analysed. Results from linear regression analysis show that for these three Dutch cities people tend to meet in places with a strong presence of recreational attractions and bicycles. Also, the results of data collection and image processing can be used to identify the areas most likely to produce social interactions in urban space to conduct urban studies.
摘要城市空间的特征(共同)决定了人类的行为,包括他们的社会互动模式。然而,尽管有许多研究调查了城市空间如何影响社会互动,但它们之间的关系仍然知之甚少。计算机视觉和机器学习领域的最新发展为分析和收集社会互动数据提供了有前途的新方法。本研究提出了一种新的基于计算机视觉的方法来研究城市空间如何影响社会互动。该方法使用预先训练的目标检测模型从街景图像中检测社会互动(包括其地理位置)。之后,它将城市空间特征(也可以通过物体检测模型检测到)回归到社会互动上。在这项研究中,研究人员分析了来自荷兰三个城市的294852张街道图像。线性回归分析的结果表明,在这三个荷兰城市中,人们倾向于在娱乐景点和自行车较多的地方见面。此外,数据收集和图像处理的结果可用于确定城市空间中最有可能产生社会互动的区域,以进行城市研究。
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引用次数: 1
Mapping small watercourses with deep learning – impact of training watercourse types separately 用深度学习绘制小河道——分别训练河道类型的影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-11 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-43-2022
Christian Koski, P. Kettunen, Justus Poutanen, J. Oksanen
Abstract. Deep learning methods for semantic segmentation have shown great potential in automating mapping of geospatial features, including small watercourses such as streams and ditches. There are a variety of small watercourse types. In many use cases users are only interested in specific types of watercourses. However, the impact on results from neural networks trained with only some types of small watercourses, compared to all types of watercourses is not well known. We trained four deep learning models to semantically segment watercourses from an elevation model. One model was trained with all small watercourses in the labels as a single class, while three models were trained each with a single type of watercourse in the label data. The results show that training the network with a single type of watercourse results in worse recall for all three watercourse types, compared to when training all of them together. This indicates that if the goal is to get as complete set of features as possible, it is better to include all watercourse types in the training data. Future studies could use multi-class output from neural network to determine how well networks could automatically classify features when training with all small watercourses in an area.
摘要语义分割的深度学习方法在地理空间特征的自动化映射方面显示出巨大的潜力,包括小溪和沟渠等小水道。有各种各样的小水道类型。在许多用例中,用户只对特定类型的水道感兴趣。然而,与所有类型的水道相比,仅用某些类型的小水道训练神经网络对结果的影响尚不清楚。我们训练了四个深度学习模型,从一个高程模型中对河道进行语义分割。其中一个模型将标签中的所有小水道作为一个类进行训练,而三个模型分别使用标签数据中的单个水道类型进行训练。结果表明,与一起训练所有水道类型相比,使用单一水道类型训练网络对所有三种水道类型的召回率更低。这表明,如果目标是获得尽可能完整的特征集,那么最好在训练数据中包含所有水道类型。未来的研究可以使用神经网络的多类输出来确定网络在对一个区域内所有小水道进行训练时自动分类特征的能力。
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引用次数: 1
A regionalization method filtering out small-scale spatial fluctuations 一种过滤小尺度空间波动的区域化方法
Pub Date : 2022-06-11 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-61-2022
Lucas Spierenburg, Sander van Cranenburgh, O. Cats
Abstract. Regionalization is the process of aggregating contiguous spatial units to form areas that are homogeneous with respect to one or a set of variables. It is useful when studying spatial phenomena or when designing region-based policies, as it allows to unravel the latent spatial structure of a dataset. However, this task is challenging when small-scale fluctuations in the data interfere with the phenomenon of interest. In such circumstances, regionalization techniques are prone to overfitting small-scale fluctuations, and producing erratic regions. This paper presents a regionalization method robust to small-scale variations that is particularly relevant when handling demographic data. Fluctuations are filtered out using a weighted spatial average before applying agglomerative clustering. The method is tested against a conventional agglomerative clustering approach on a fine-resolution demographic dataset, for a set of indicators quantifying: the ability to identify large-scale spatial patterns, the homogeneity of the regions produced, and the spatial regularity of these regions. These indicators have been computed for the two methods for a number of clusters ranging from 2 to 101, and results show that the proposed approach performs better than conventional agglomerative clustering more than 90% of the time at identifying large-scale patterns, and produces more regular regions 96% of the time.
摘要区域化是将连续的空间单元聚集在一起,形成相对于一个或一组变量同质的区域的过程。它在研究空间现象或设计基于区域的政策时非常有用,因为它允许揭示数据集的潜在空间结构。然而,当数据中的小规模波动干扰感兴趣的现象时,这项任务就具有挑战性。在这种情况下,区域化技术容易过度拟合小尺度波动,产生不稳定区域。本文提出了一种对小规模变化具有鲁棒性的区域化方法,这种方法在处理人口统计数据时特别相关。在应用聚集聚类之前,使用加权空间平均值过滤掉波动。该方法在一个精细分辨率的人口数据集上与传统的聚集聚类方法进行了测试,以量化一组指标:识别大规模空间模式的能力、生产区域的同质性以及这些区域的空间规律性。对2 ~ 101个聚类进行了指标计算,结果表明,该方法在识别大尺度模式方面优于传统的聚集聚类方法,准确率达90%以上,产生规则区域的准确率达96%。
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引用次数: 1
Spatial Disaggregation of Population Subgroups Leveraging Self-Trained Multi-Output Gradient Boosting Regression Trees 利用自训练多输出梯度增强回归树的人口子群空间分解
Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-5-2022
Marina Georgati, J. Monteiro, Bruno Martins, C. Kessler
Abstract. Accurate and consistent estimations on the present and future population distribution, at fine spatial resolution, are fundamental to support a variety of activities. However, the sampling regime, sample size, and methods used to collect census data are heterogeneous across temporal periods and/or geographic regions. Moreover, the data is usually only made available in aggregated form, to ensure privacy. In an attempt to address these issues, several previous initiatives have addressed the use of spatial disaggregation methods to produce high-resolution gridded datasets describing the human population distribution, although these projects have usually not addressed specific population subgroups. This paper describes a spatial disaggregation method based on self-training regression models, innovating over previous studies in the simultaneous prediction of disaggregated counts for multiple inter-related variables, by leveraging multi-output models based on gradient tree boosting. We report on experiments for two case studies, using high-resolution data (i.e., counts for different subgroups available at a resolution of 100 meters) for the municipality of Amsterdam and the region of Greater Copenhagen. Results show that the proposed approach can capture spatial heterogeneity and the dependency on local factors, outperforming alternatives (e.g., seminal disaggregation algorithms, or approaches leveraging individual regression models for each variable) in terms of averaged error metrics, and also upon visual inspection of spatial variation in the resulting maps.
摘要以精细的空间分辨率对当前和未来人口分布进行准确和一致的估计是支持各种活动的基础。然而,抽样制度、样本量和用于收集人口普查数据的方法在不同的时间和/或地理区域是不同的。此外,数据通常只以汇总形式提供,以确保隐私。为了解决这些问题,以前的一些倡议已经解决了使用空间分解方法来产生描述人口分布的高分辨率网格数据集的问题,尽管这些项目通常没有处理具体的人口亚组。本文描述了一种基于自训练回归模型的空间分解方法,该方法利用基于梯度树提升的多输出模型,在多个相互关联变量的分解计数同时预测方面进行了创新。我们报告了两个案例研究的实验,使用阿姆斯特丹市和大哥本哈根地区的高分辨率数据(即100米分辨率下可用的不同子组计数)。结果表明,所提出的方法可以捕获空间异质性和对局部因素的依赖,在平均误差度量方面优于替代方法(例如,种子分解算法,或利用每个变量的单独回归模型的方法),并且在最终地图的空间变化方面也优于视觉检查。
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引用次数: 1
Spatially Varying Coefficient Regression with GAM Gaussian Process splines: GAM(e)-on 高斯过程样条的空间变系数回归:GAM(e)-on
Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-31-2022
A. Comber, P. Harris, C. Brunsdon
Abstract. This paper describes initial work exploring GAM Gaussian Process (GP) splines parameterised by observation location, as a geographical varying coefficient model. Similar to GWR, this approach accommodates process spatial heterogeneity and generates spatially distributed, local coefficient estimates. These can be mapped to indicate the nature of the heterogeneity. The paper investigates the effect of the smoothing parameters used in the splines and how they alter the nature of the modelled heterogeneity. It optimises these in the GAM GP and the tuned model has subtle but important differences with the initial model. This has impacts on the nature of the process understanding (inference) that can be extracted from the model. This in turn suggest the need examine the underlying semantics of the resultant models in relation to the scale of process suggested by the smoothing parameters. A number of areas of further work are identified.
摘要本文描述了用观测位置参数化GAM高斯过程(GP)样条作为地理变系数模型的初步研究工作。与GWR类似,该方法可以适应过程的空间异质性,并产生空间分布的局部系数估计。这些可以被映射,以表明异质性的性质。本文研究了在样条中使用的平滑参数的影响,以及它们如何改变模拟的非均质性的性质。它在GAM GP中对这些进行了优化,并且调整后的模型与初始模型具有微妙但重要的差异。这对可以从模型中提取的过程理解(推理)的性质有影响。这反过来又表明需要检查与平滑参数所建议的过程规模相关的所得模型的潜在语义。确定了若干需要进一步开展工作的领域。
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引用次数: 0
A Geospatial Dashboard Prototype for Evaluating Spatial Datasets by using Semantic Data Concepts and Open Source Libraries 利用语义数据概念和开源库评估空间数据集的地理空间仪表板原型
Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-34-2022
Heiko Figgemeier, Arne Rümmler, Christin Henzen
Abstract. In today’s research data management, experts discuss datasets to be FAIR, as they should become findable, accessible, interoperable and reusable (Lacagnia et al. 2021). In recent years, quality information and provenance information as well as dataset’s general metadata have become important aspects to evaluate a dataset's fitness for use. In order to capture and process this meta-information in a systematic way, users need frameworks and meaningful user interfaces that allow them to interact with the information and to visualize them. Therefore, we provide a user-friendly and interactive geodashboard implementation as first prototype that supports the evaluation of spatial datasets with linked widgets by applying semantic concepts and using open source libraries.
摘要在今天的研究数据管理中,专家们讨论的数据集应该是公平的,因为它们应该变得可查找、可访问、可互操作和可重用(Lacagnia et al. 2021)。近年来,质量信息和来源信息以及数据集的一般元数据已成为评估数据集适用性的重要方面。为了以系统的方式捕获和处理这些元信息,用户需要框架和有意义的用户界面,允许他们与信息交互并将其可视化。因此,我们提供了一个用户友好的交互式地理指示板实现,作为第一个原型,通过应用语义概念和使用开源库,支持使用链接小部件对空间数据集进行评估。
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引用次数: 2
Understanding the Imperfection of 3D point Cloud and Semantic Segmentation algorithms for 3D Models of Indoor Environment 三维点云和室内环境三维模型语义分割算法的缺陷认识
Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-2-2022
Guoray Cai, Yimu Pan
Abstract. Point clouds data provides new potentials for automated construction of more geometrically accurate and semantically rich 3D models for indoor environments. Recent advances in deep learning methods on point cloud semantic segmentation demonstrated impressive accuracy in labeling points of 3D surfaces with object classes. However, it remains challenging to reconstruct the shape of semantic objects from semantically-labeled 3D points, due to imperfection of such data and the under-determination of object construction algorithms. We have little empirical knowledge about how data imperfections affect the reconstruction of 3D indoor room objects. This paper contributes to understanding the nature of such imperfection of 3D point cloud data and semantic segmentation algorithms by analyzing the reconstructability of indoor room objects from semantically-labeled point cloud. 181 rooms from Stanford Large-Scale 3D Indoor Spaces Dataset (S3DIS) were used in our experiment. After generating semantic labels on point-clouds using PointNet++ segmentic segmentation algorithm, we use human coders to judge the reconstructability of indoor objects, following a qualitative coding scheme. Human exploration of object shape imperfection was assisted by a visual analytic tool in making their judgement. We found that high point-level accuracy achieved through semantic segmentation of point cloud data does not guarantee high object-level accuracy. The extent of this problem varies widely among different spatial settings and configurations. We discuss the significance of these findings on the choice of 3D reconstruction methods.
摘要点云数据为室内环境的几何精度和语义丰富的3D模型的自动构建提供了新的潜力。深度学习方法在点云语义分割方面的最新进展表明,用对象类标记三维表面上的点具有令人印象深刻的准确性。然而,由于这些数据的不完善和对象构建算法的不确定,从语义标记的3D点重建语义对象的形状仍然具有挑战性。关于数据缺陷如何影响三维室内物体的重建,我们几乎没有经验知识。本文通过分析基于语义标记的点云对室内物体的可重构性,有助于理解三维点云数据和语义分割算法的缺陷本质。我们的实验使用了斯坦福大尺度三维室内空间数据集(S3DIS)中的181个房间。利用PointNet++分段分割算法在点云上生成语义标签后,采用定性编码方案,利用人工编码器对室内物体的可重构性进行判断。人类对物体形状缺陷的探索在视觉分析工具的帮助下进行判断。我们发现,通过点云数据的语义分割获得的高点级精度并不能保证高对象级精度。这个问题的程度在不同的空间设置和配置中差别很大。我们讨论了这些发现对选择三维重建方法的意义。
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引用次数: 1
A machine learning based approach for predicting usage efficiency of shared e-scooters using vehicle availability data 使用车辆可用性数据预测共享电动滑板车使用效率的基于机器学习的方法
Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.5194/agile-giss-3-20-2022
Pengxiang Zhao, Aoyong Li, P. Pilesjö, A. Mansourian
Abstract. Shared electric scooters (e-scooters) have been rapidly growing in popularity across Europe over the past three years, which can bring various environmental and socioeconomic benefits. However, how to further improve the usage efficiency of shared e-scooters is still a major concern for micro-mobility operators and city planners. This paper proposes a machine learning based approach to predict the usage efficiency of shared e-scooters using GPS-based vehicle availability data. First, the usage efficiency of shared e-scooters is measured with the indicator Time to Booking at the trip level. Second, ten exploratory variables in time and space are calculated as features for the prediction based on the e-scooter trips and other related data. Last, three typical machine learning methods, including logistical regression, artificial neural network and random forest are applied to predict the usage efficiency by inputting the features. Besides, the variable importance is evaluated by taking the random forest model as an example. The results show that the random forest model yields the best prediction performance (accuracy = 71.2%, F1 = 78.0%), and the variables like the hour of day and POI density present high variable importance. The findings of this study will be beneficial for micro-mobility operators and city planners to design policies and strategies for further improving the usage efficiency of e-scooter sharing services.
摘要共享电动滑板车(e-scooters)在过去三年中在欧洲迅速普及,它可以带来各种环境和社会经济效益。然而,如何进一步提高共享电动滑板车的使用效率仍然是微出行运营商和城市规划者关注的主要问题。本文提出了一种基于机器学习的方法,利用基于gps的车辆可用性数据预测共享电动滑板车的使用效率。首先,以出行层面的Time to Booking指标衡量共享电动滑板车的使用效率。其次,基于电动滑板车出行等相关数据,计算10个时间和空间上的探索性变量作为特征进行预测。最后,应用逻辑回归、人工神经网络和随机森林三种典型的机器学习方法,通过输入特征来预测使用效率。并以随机森林模型为例,对变量重要性进行了评价。结果表明,随机森林模型的预测效果最好(准确率为71.2%,F1 = 78.0%),且小时数、POI密度等变量具有较高的变量重要性。本研究结果将有助于微出行运营商和城市规划者制定政策和策略,进一步提高电动滑板车共享服务的使用效率。
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引用次数: 4
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AGILE: GIScience Series
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