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The Logic of Market and the Value of Stability 市场的逻辑与稳定的价值
Yirui Wang
Supply curve should be created from buyers’ view, and demand curve should be created from sellers’ view. Producers are joints of supply and demand, not products. Producers make their decisions based on average profits, not marginal profits. Producers will tolerate lower profit rate in a stable market than in a fluctuate market, which leads to lower unemployment. This is the value of stability.
供给曲线应该从买方的角度出发,需求曲线应该从卖方的角度出发。生产者是供给和需求的结合点,而不是产品。生产者是根据平均利润而不是边际利润来做决定的。在稳定的市场中,生产者比在波动的市场中容忍更低的利润率,从而导致更低的失业率。这就是稳定性的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Capitalization as a Two-Part Tariff: The Role of Zoning 资本化作为两部分关税:分区的作用
H. Banzhaf, Kyle Mangum
This paper shows that the capitalization of local amenities is effectively priced into land via a two-part pricing formula: a ticket" price paid regardless of the amount of housing service consumed and a slope" price paid per unit of services. We first show theoretically how tickets arise as an extensi ve margin price when there are binding constraints on the number of households admitted to a neighborhood. We use a large national dataset of housing transactions, property characte ristics, and neighbor- hood attributes to measure the extent to which local amenities are capitalized in ticket prices vis-a-vis slopes. We find that in most U.S. cities, the majori ty of neighborhood variation in pricing occurs via tickets, although the importance of tickets rises sharply in the stringency of land development regulations, as predicted by theor y. We discuss implications of two-part pricing for efficiency and equity in neighborhood sorting equilibria and for empirical estimates of willingness to pay for non-marketed amenit ies, which generally assume proportional pricing only.
本文表明,当地便利设施的资本化通过两部分定价公式有效地定价为土地:门票“与住房服务消费数量无关的价格”和每单位服务支付的“斜率”价格。我们首先从理论上说明,当允许进入一个社区的家庭数量受到约束时,门票是如何作为广泛的边际价格出现的。我们使用了一个大型的全国住房交易数据集、房产特征和社区属性来衡量当地便利设施在门票价格中相对于斜坡的体现程度。我们发现,在大多数美国城市中,大部分社区的定价变化都是通过门票发生的,尽管正如理论所预测的那样,门票的重要性在土地开发法规的严格程度中急剧上升。我们讨论了两部分定价对邻里分类均衡中的效率和公平的影响,以及对非市场设施支付意愿的实证估计,这通常只假设比例定价。
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引用次数: 9
“一带一路”基础设施发展对贸易成本冲击影响分析 (Economic Impact of Infrastructure Development on the 'Belt and Road' Countries) “一带一路”基础设施发展对贸易成本冲击影响分析 (Economic Impact of Infrastructure Development on the 'Belt and Road' Countries)
Y. Wen, Y. Lyu
Chinese Abstract: 在中国“一带一路”政策推进过程中,促进沿线国家基础设施建设是中国对外经济贸易政策重点。与此同时,因基础设施建设项目导致的贸易便利化程度改善也增进了中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的贸易往来和经济联系。本文将采用全球可计算一般均衡模型,模拟量化“一带一路”基础设施项目发展对沿线国家带来的经济影响。模型根据贸易便利化所带来的贸易时间成本减少转化为等值关税,并以此作为政策冲击量化依据设置不同的模拟情景。模拟结果表明,在贸易便利化程度优化前提下,包括中国在内的“一带一路”沿线国家经济都呈现正增长,但美国、日本、韩国则由于“一带一路”区域贸易战略的实施导致贸易转移,GDP出现不同程度下降。中国建造业、金属产品、钢铁、运输工具以及机械设备等与基础设施建设密切相关的行业部门产出也出现增长。

English Abstract: Infrastructure development is one of the strategic initiatives of China’s “Belt and Road” strategy. At the same time, the improvement of trade facilitation resulted from infrastructure development has also strengthened China’s trade and economic connections with “Belt and Road” countries. This article uses global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to quantify the economic impact of infrastructure development on “Belt and Road” countries. The model transfers the “shock” of trade facilitation into the reduction of tariffs and sets two simulation scenarios. The result shows that the improvement of trade facilitation will lead to positive economic growth of the “Belt and Road” countries. Otherwise, GDP in the US, Japan and Korea will decrease because of the effect of trade transfer to “Belt and Countries” countries. In China, the output of infrastructure-related sectors, including construction, metal products, ferrous, vehicle and mechanical equipment, will increase.
Chinese Abstract: 在中国“一带一路”政策推进过程中,促进沿线国家基础设施建设是中国对外经济贸易政策重点。与此同时,因基础设施建设项目导致的贸易便利化程度改善也增进了中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的贸易往来和经济联系。本文将采用全球可计算一般均衡模型,模拟量化“一带一路”基础设施项目发展对沿线国家带来的经济影响。模型根据贸易便利化所带来的贸易时间成本减少转化为等值关税,并以此作为政策冲击量化依据设置不同的模拟情景。模拟结果表明,在贸易便利化程度优化前提下,包括中国在内的“一带一路”沿线国家经济都呈现正增长,但美国、日本、韩国则由于“一带一路”区域贸易战略的实施导致贸易转移,GDP出现不同程度下降。中国建造业、金属产品、钢铁、运输工具以及机械设备等与基础设施建设密切相关的行业部门产出也出现增长。English Abstract: Infrastructure development is one of the strategic initiatives of China’s “Belt and Road” strategy. At the same time, the improvement of trade facilitation resulted from infrastructure development has also strengthened China’s trade and economic connections with “Belt and Road” countries. This article uses global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to quantify the economic impact of infrastructure development on “Belt and Road” countries. The model transfers the “shock” of trade facilitation into the reduction of tariffs and sets two simulation scenarios. The result shows that the improvement of trade facilitation will lead to positive economic growth of the “Belt and Road” countries. Otherwise, GDP in the US, Japan and Korea will decrease because of the effect of trade transfer to “Belt and Countries” countries. In China, the output of infrastructure-related sectors, including construction, metal products, ferrous, vehicle and mechanical equipment, will increase.
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship Between Arbitrage in Futures and Spot Markets and Bitcoin Price Movements: Evidence From the Bitcoin Markets 期货和现货市场套利与比特币价格变动的关系:来自比特币市场的证据
Takahiro Hattori, Ryo Ishida
We examine how investors arbitrage the Bitcoin spot and futures markets. Using intraday data of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), we reconstruct the actual arbitrage condition that investors confront. We find that there are few arbitrage profit opportunities in “normal” markets, but large arbitrage profit opportunities arise during Bitcoin market “crashes".
我们研究投资者如何在比特币现货和期货市场套利。利用芝加哥期权交易所(CBOE)的盘中数据,我们重构了投资者面临的实际套利情况。我们发现,在“正常”市场中套利获利机会很少,但在比特币市场“崩盘”时套利获利机会较大。
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引用次数: 19
The Debt Tax Shield in General Equilibrium 一般均衡中的债务税盾
Marcel Fischer, B. A. Jensen
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引用次数: 5
A Two-Stage Model of Assignment and Market 分配与市场的两阶段模型
A. Matsui, Megumi Murakami
Centralized matching mechanisms and decentralized markets have been widely studied to allocate indivisible objects. However, they have been analyzed separately. The present paper proposes a new framework, by explicitly formulating a two-stage model where objects are allocated through a matching mechanism in the first stage and traded in the second stage market. In addition, one divisible good called money may or may not be available in the market. Every player demands at most one unit of object besides money. The players may face different priorities at each object type in the first stage. Each object type has a limited amount of capacity, called quota. Each player has a quasi-linear utility function. The present analysis sets forth the equivalence conditions under which stability and efficiency are attained in equilibrium.
集中匹配机制和分散市场被广泛研究用于分配不可分割的目标。然而,它们是分别分析的。本文提出了一个新的框架,明确地提出了一个两阶段模型,其中目标在第一阶段通过匹配机制进行分配,在第二阶段市场进行交易。此外,一种可分割的商品——货币——在市场上可能有也可能没有。除了钱,每个玩家最多需要一个单位的物品。在第一阶段,玩家可能面对不同对象类型的优先级。每种对象类型都有有限的容量,称为配额。每个参与者都有一个准线性效用函数。本分析提出了在平衡状态下达到稳定性和效率的等效条件。
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引用次数: 0
Undominated Coalition-Proof Nash Equilibria in Quasi-Supermodular Games with Monotonic Externalities 具有单调外部性的拟超模对策中的无支配防联盟纳什均衡
Ryusuke Shinohara
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引用次数: 2
Statisticians' Equilibrium: Trading with High-Dimensional Data 统计学家的均衡:高维数据交易
A. Balasubramanian, Y. Yang
This paper uses a one period model to establish a connection between the complexity of informational environment, market efficiency, and volume. Introducing a high-dimensional estimation problem into a typical trading game, we show why agents may not condition on price in their demand curve submissions, and come to possess heterogeneous models. We define a new equilibrium concept, the “rational statisticians’ equilibrium,” wherein each agent uses only a ridge regression estimator on her own data to forecast the fundamental’s distribution. We derive quantitative properties of price informativeness and volume in these equilibria, introducing the notion of a “regularization externality” in price formation and accounting for volume spikes around earnings.
本文采用单周期模型建立了信息环境复杂性、市场效率和交易量之间的关系。将一个高维估计问题引入到一个典型的交易博弈中,我们展示了为什么代理人在提交需求曲线时可能不以价格为条件,并拥有异构模型。我们定义了一个新的均衡概念,即“理性统计学家的均衡”,其中每个主体只使用自己数据上的脊回归估计器来预测基本面的分布。我们在这些均衡中推导出价格信息性和交易量的定量特性,在价格形成中引入了“正则化外部性”的概念,并考虑了收益周围的交易量峰值。
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引用次数: 2
The Composition of Aggregate Demand, Division of Labor and the Business Cycle 总需求构成、劳动分工与经济周期
Ercan Karadaş
This paper introduces an internal propagation mechanism into a baseline multi-sector RBC model. The proposed mechanism, which is very similar to Keynes' spending multiplier in spirit, amplifies the impact of exogenous shocks significantly - a long-standing quest in the RBC literature. The main motivation for the mechanism is the following: the composition of consumption expenditures shows sizable cross-sectional differences across the population as a function of income and these differences determine the direction towards which people update their consumption bundle as their income change. In the paper, these observations are modeled through two types of agents (L and H-skill) who differ in terms of the occupations that they are specialized in and the composition of their consumption baskets. In addition, both types of agents have income dependent (non-homothetic) preferences which induce a strong desire to consume the good that the other type produces. To see how the resulting mechanism operates in response to a positive exogenous shock consider an innovator (H-skill) producing iPhones and a waiter (L-skill) producing dining services. A positive technology shock makes the innovator more productive and raises her income and with the additional income, she purchases relatively more dining services. This, in turn, raises the waiter's income as the demand for her labor services increases and with the additional income, she purchases a new iPhone, which creates further incentive for the innovator to work more. Importantly this second round work incentive for the innovator is not directly related to the original technology shock but to the demand from the waiter and that is exactly why the model generates significantly more amplification compare to other comparable RBC models.
本文在基线多部门RBC模型中引入了一种内部传播机制。拟议的机制在精神上与凯恩斯的支出乘数非常相似,它显著放大了外生冲击的影响——这是RBC文献中长期以来的一个探索。这一机制的主要动机如下:消费支出的构成在人口中显示出相当大的横断面差异,作为收入的函数,这些差异决定了人们在收入变化时更新消费束的方向。在本文中,这些观察结果是通过两种类型的代理(L和H-skill)建模的,他们的专业职业和消费篮子的组成不同。此外,两种类型的代理人都有收入依赖(非同质)偏好,这引起了强烈的消费另一种类型生产的商品的欲望。为了了解由此产生的机制是如何应对积极的外生冲击的,请考虑一个创新者(h技能)生产iphone,一个服务员(l技能)提供餐饮服务。积极的技术冲击使创新者的生产力提高,收入增加,有了额外的收入,她购买了相对更多的餐饮服务。这反过来又提高了服务员的收入,因为对她的劳动服务的需求增加了,有了额外的收入,她买了一部新的iPhone,这进一步激励了创新者更多地工作。重要的是,创新者的第二轮工作激励与最初的技术冲击没有直接关系,而是与服务员的需求有关,这正是为什么该模型与其他可比较的RBC模型相比产生了更大的放大。
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引用次数: 1
Spatial Equilibrium in Deviations: An Application to Skill‐Premium and Skill‐Mix Heterogeneity 偏差的空间平衡:技能-溢价和技能-混合异质性的应用
Antonio Accetturo, A. Dalmazzo, G. Blasio
In this paper, we propose a novel—and general‐purpose—modeling approach. We give a linear representation of the spatial general equilibrium, expressed in terms of local percentage deviations from the benchmark case of symmetry, where all the areas in the economy are taken to be initially identical. To illustrate the flexibility of our approach, we revisit the literature on the spatial heterogeneity of local skill premia and local skill mix. We show that our approach is able to encompass a variety of alternative explanations in a simple “unifying framework.” Finally, we exploit a graphical version of the model to show how to implement empirical tests.
在本文中,我们提出了一种新颖且通用的建模方法。我们给出了空间一般均衡的线性表示,用与对称基准情况的局部百分比偏差来表示,在对称基准情况下,经济中的所有领域最初都是相同的。为了说明我们方法的灵活性,我们回顾了关于地方技能溢价和地方技能组合的空间异质性的文献。我们表明,我们的方法能够在一个简单的“统一框架”中包含各种不同的解释。最后,我们利用模型的图形版本来展示如何实施实证测试。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
ERN: Other Microeconomics: General Equilibrium & Disequilibrium Models of Financial Markets (Topic)
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