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Response: Neuropsychological outcome in open resection and laser interstitial thermal therapy for mesial temporal lobe epilepsy: Meta-analysis and selective review. 反应:开放切除和激光间质热治疗内侧颞叶癫痫的神经心理结果:荟萃分析和选择性回顾。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-09 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70181
Konstantina Stavrogianni, Panagiota-Eleni Tsalouchidou
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引用次数: 0
Validation of the International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) Risk of Bias Tool against the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale in epilepsy research. 国际抗癫痫联盟(ILAE)癫痫研究中纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表偏倚风险工具的验证。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70183
Churl-Su Kwon, Ali Rafati, Nathalie Jette, Charles R Newton

Objective: Systematic reviews and meta-analyses (SRMAs) are critical for synthesizing evidence and guiding clinical and public health decision-making. This study aims to evaluate the reliability, validity and reproducibility of the International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) Commission on Epidemiology Risk of Bias Tool by comparing it against the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) to inform whether the ILAE tool may serve as a valid alternative in epilepsy-focused evidence syntheses.

Methods: This study was planned a priori on three consecutive SRMAs. We assessed 54 observational studies included in these SRMAs focused on psychiatric comorbidities in persons with epilepsy. Eligible studies had ≥30 participants per group and validated criteria for diagnosing epilepsy and psychiatric conditions. Two independent raters scored all studies using both tools. The ILAE tool comprises six specific domains: (1) Source of Study Population; (2) Completeness (Sensitivity) of Epilepsy Case-Finding; (3) Sensitivity of Comorbidity Determination; (4) Accuracy of Epilepsy Diagnosis; (5) Accuracy of Comorbidity Diagnosis; and (6) Representativeness of Study Sample. Test-retest reproducibility used intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Correlation used Spearman's rho. Agreement used weighted kappa. Bland-Altman analysis reported mean difference.

Results: There was a strong positive correlation between NOS scores and ILAE ratings (Spearman's rho = 0.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68-89, p < 0.001). Cohen's weighted kappa was 0.68 (95% CI 0.37-0.92, p < 0.001). Bland-Altman mean difference was 0.09 with limits from -0.48 to 0.67, showing good agreement between tools. The ILAE tool showed excellent test-retest reproducibility (ICC 0.90, 95% CI 0.83-0.94).

Significance: The ILAE tool demonstrated strong reliability and substantial agreement with the NOS while offering epilepsy specific rigor in diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, case finding and representativeness. The ILAE tool offers a reliable, conceptually relevant, field-specific alternative for quality assessment in epilepsy SRMAs.

目的:系统评价和荟萃分析(SRMAs)对综合证据和指导临床和公共卫生决策至关重要。本研究旨在评估国际抗癫痫联盟(ILAE)委员会流行病学偏倚风险工具的可靠性、有效性和可重复性,通过将其与纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表(NOS)进行比较,以了解ILAE工具是否可以作为癫痫集中证据合成的有效替代方法。方法:本研究在三个连续的srma中进行先验计划。我们评估了54项观察性研究,这些研究集中于癫痫患者的精神合并症。符合条件的研究每组有≥30名参与者,并验证了诊断癫痫和精神疾病的标准。两名独立评分员使用这两种工具对所有研究进行评分。ILAE工具包括六个特定领域:(1)研究人群来源;(2)癫痫病例发现的完整性(敏感性);(3)共病判定的敏感性;(4)癫痫诊断的准确性;(5)合并症诊断的准确性;研究样本的代表性。用类内相关系数(ICC)进行复测。相关性使用了斯皮尔曼函数。协议采用加权kappa。Bland-Altman分析报告了平均差异。结果:NOS评分与ILAE评分之间存在很强的正相关(Spearman's rho = 0.80, 95%可信区间[CI] 0.68-89, p)。意义:ILAE工具在诊断准确性、敏感性、病例发现性和代表性方面具有很强的可靠性,与NOS有很大的一致性。ILAE工具为癫痫srma的质量评估提供了可靠的、概念相关的、特定领域的替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Genetic testing for familial epilepsies: Diagnostic yield and genetic findings. 家族性癫痫的基因检测:诊断率和基因发现。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70160
Colin A Ellis, Juliette Copeland, Isabella Velez, Karen L Oliver, Hannah Shalaby, Aaron Baldwin, Caren Armstrong, Amanda Back, Brianna Berlin, Stacey Cohen, Vishnu Anand Cuddapah, Danielle deCampo, Holly Dubbs, Natalie Ginn, Alicia G Harrison, Naomi Lewin, Laina Lusk, Eric D Marsh, Shavonne L Massey, Pamela Pojomovsky McDonnell, Jillian L McKee, Xilma Ortiz-Gonzalez, Anna J Prentice, Katie Rose Sullivan, Sarah M Ruggiero, Mark P Fitzgerald, Ethan M Goldberg, Ingo Helbig

Objective: Genetic testing has become a routine part of clinical epilepsy care. Family history is an indication for genetic testing, but the diagnostic yield, predictors of a genetic diagnosis, and association with familial patterns are not well understood.

Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of genetic testing performed at pediatric and adult epilepsy genetics clinics. Eligible patients (probands) had epilepsy and one or more first-degree relatives or two or more other relatives with epilepsy. Genetic testing strategies were patient specific, reflecting real-world clinical practice. Familial patterns were classified based on affected relatives of the proband. Diagnostic variants were tested in the proband's parents when possible.

Results: We studied 484 probands and their families. A genetic diagnosis was identified in 99 of 484 (20%). Predictors of a genetic diagnosis were presence of neurodevelopmental disorder (X2(1) = 9.6, p = .002) and earlier age at seizure onset (Mann-Whitney U test, p < .001). The likelihood of a genetic diagnosis was not associated with epilepsy type, drug resistance, brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings, number of affected first-degree relatives, total number of affected relatives, or having an affected parent with epilepsy. Among those with genetic diagnoses, variant segregation matched the familial pattern of affected individuals in 79%. The other 21% of families had unexpected segregation, including de novo variants in patients with affected ancestors and inherited variants in patients with no known affected ancestors.

Significance: Familial epilepsy has a substantial rate of genetic diagnosis and is an appropriate indication for genetic testing. Pedigree-related factors did not influence the likelihood of genetic diagnosis, suggesting that all families can be considered for genetic testing, independent of inheritance patterns and number of affected relatives. Familial patterns can help interpret genetic test results, while also revealing the complexities of incomplete penetrance and independent epilepsy etiologies in families.

目的:基因检测已成为临床癫痫护理的常规内容。家族史是基因检测的一种指标,但其诊断率、基因诊断的预测因素以及与家族模式的关系尚不清楚。方法:这是一项在儿童和成人癫痫遗传学诊所进行的基因检测的回顾性队列研究。符合条件的患者(先证)有癫痫且有一个或多个一级亲属或两个或两个以上其他亲属患有癫痫。基因检测策略是针对患者的,反映了现实世界的临床实践。根据先证者的患病亲属对家族模式进行分类。在可能的情况下,在先证者的父母身上检测诊断变异。结果:对484名先证者及其家庭进行了调查。484例中有99例(20%)确诊为遗传诊断。遗传诊断的预测因子为存在神经发育障碍(X2(1) = 9.6, p =。意义:家族性癫痫的遗传诊断率很高,是进行基因检测的适当适应症。谱系相关因素不影响基因诊断的可能性,这表明所有家庭都可以考虑进行基因检测,而不依赖于遗传模式和受影响亲属的数量。家族模式可以帮助解释基因检测结果,同时也揭示了家族中不完全外显和独立癫痫病因的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Executive dysfunction and employment in epilepsy. 癫痫的执行功能障碍和就业。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-07 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70165
Lisa E Hauger, Christoph Helmstaedter, Morten I Lossius, Kristin Å Alfstad, Ellen Molteberg, Halvor Torgersen, Annette H Skogan

Objective: Executive dysfunction, affective symptoms, and unemployment are prevalent in patients with epilepsy, yet the relation between these variables remains poorly understood. The present study examined: (1) The relationship between epilepsy-related variables, affective symptoms, and executive functions (EFs); and (2) how these variables may be associated with participation in employment or education.

Methods: Retrospective study including 559 patients admitted to the Norwegian National Centre for Epilepsy. EFs was assessed using EpiTrack, and affective symptoms were evaluated with the 7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7) and Neurological Disorders Depression Inventory for Epilepsy (NDDI-E).

Results: Impaired EFs were observed in half of the patients, and were associated with a higher antiseizure medication (ASM) load, even after adjusting for variables related to disease severity. Approximately 36% of the patients reported symptoms indicating major depression and 19% reported symptoms indicating generalized anxiety. Half of the sample was unemployed, and these patients showed poorer EFs than those engaged in employment or education (F(3, 530) = 12.29, p < .001, ηp2 = .07), with no group differences in seizure frequency, anxiety, or depressive symptoms.

Significance: In patients at a tertiary epilepsy center, executive dysfunction is prevalent along with heightened symptoms of depression and anxiety. Executive dysfunction is associated with a higher ASM load as well as increased likelihood of unemployment. Our findings suggest that job retention may depend on more than the burden of epilepsy alone, with executive functioning playing a critical role. These findings emphasize the importance of monitoring EF during treatment adjustments and support minimizing total ASM load whenever possible to promote better functional outcomes.

目的:执行功能障碍、情感性症状和失业在癫痫患者中普遍存在,但这些变量之间的关系尚不清楚。本研究探讨:(1)癫痫相关变量、情感症状和执行功能之间的关系;(2)这些变量如何与就业或教育参与相关。方法:回顾性研究纳入挪威国家癫痫中心收治的559例患者。使用EpiTrack评估EFs,并使用7项广泛性焦虑障碍(GAD-7)和癫痫神经障碍抑郁量表(NDDI-E)评估情感症状。结果:在一半的患者中观察到受损的EFs,并且与更高的抗癫痫药物(ASM)负荷相关,即使在调整了与疾病严重程度相关的变量后也是如此。大约36%的患者报告有重度抑郁的症状,19%报告有广泛性焦虑的症状。一半的样本是失业的,这些患者比那些从事就业或教育(F(3,530) = 12.29, p 2 =)表现出更差的EFs。07),在癫痫发作频率、焦虑或抑郁症状方面没有组间差异。意义:在三级癫痫中心的患者中,执行功能障碍普遍存在,同时伴有抑郁和焦虑症状的加重。执行功能障碍与较高的ASM负荷以及失业的可能性增加有关。我们的研究结果表明,工作保留可能不仅仅取决于癫痫的负担,执行功能起着关键作用。这些发现强调了在治疗调整期间监测EF的重要性,并支持尽可能减少总ASM负荷以促进更好的功能预后。
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引用次数: 0
Open diffusion magnetic resonance imaging and connectivity data for epilepsy and surgery: The IDEAS II release. 开放扩散磁共振成像和连接数据癫痫和手术:IDEAS II发布。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-07 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70186
Peter N Taylor, Gerard Hall, Jonathan Horsley, Yujiang Wang, Sjoerd B Vos, Gavin P Winston, Andrew W McEvoy, Anna Miserocchi, Jane de Tisi, John S Duncan

Objective: Epileptic seizures are generated in cerebral networks that propagate ictal and interictal activity. The structure of cerebral networks underpinning epileptic activity can be inferred from diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DWI). However, publicly available DWI data in individuals with epilepsy are scarce, and processing is technically challenging due to scan-specific artifacts, limiting research progress.

Methods: Here, we release raw DWI data from 216 individuals with epilepsy and 98 healthy controls. Subject identifiers align with our previous data release (IDEAS), which includes T1-weighted and FLAIR magnetic resonance imaging, surgical details, and long-term seizure outcomes after surgery. Preprocessing reduced distortions and artifacts, and fully processed data include diffusion metric maps in native and template space. We also provide parcellated structural connectomes using multiple atlases and connectivity measures.

Results: To illustrate the utility of these IDEAS II data, we replicated ENIGMA consortium findings, observing widespread reductions of fractional anisotropy, particularly ipsilateral to the area of seizure onset. We further demonstrate localized abnormality, and network connectivity using streamline tractography in a patient who subsequently underwent temporal lobe resection.

Significance: This open dataset offers a comprehensive resource to advance research on structural connectivity and surgical outcomes in epilepsy.

目的:癫痫发作是在传播发作期和发作间期活动的大脑网络中产生的。脑网络的结构基础癫痫活动可以推断从扩散加权磁共振成像(DWI)。然而,公开获得的癫痫患者DWI数据很少,由于扫描特异性伪影,处理在技术上具有挑战性,限制了研究进展。方法:在这里,我们发布了216例癫痫患者和98例健康对照者的原始DWI数据。受试者标识符与我们之前的数据发布(IDEAS)一致,包括t1加权和FLAIR磁共振成像、手术细节和手术后长期癫痫发作结果。预处理减少了失真和伪影,完全处理的数据包括本地和模板空间中的扩散度量图。我们还使用多个地图集和连通性测量提供了分散的结构连接体。结果:为了说明这些IDEAS II数据的实用性,我们复制了ENIGMA联盟的研究结果,观察到分数各向异性的广泛减少,特别是在癫痫发作区域的同侧。我们进一步证明了局部异常和网络连接使用流线束造影患者随后进行了颞叶切除术。意义:该开放数据集为推进癫痫结构连通性和手术结果的研究提供了全面的资源。
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引用次数: 0
Response: Temporal encephalocele and epileptogenesis-Reflections of MRI metrics of brain parenchymal tethering. 响应:颞叶脑膨出和癫痫发生——脑实质栓系的MRI指标的反映。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70179
Efstathios Kondylis, Neha Sara John, Baltazar Zavala, Marina Feldman, Richard Rammo, Imad Najm, William Bingaman, Demitre Serletis, Juan Bulacio
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引用次数: 0
Temporal encephalocele and epileptogenesis-Reflections of MRI metrics of brain parenchymal tethering. 颞叶脑膨出与癫痫发生——脑实质栓系的MRI指标反映。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70178
Raghavendra Maruti Rao, Ramesh Sharanappa Doddamani, Manjari Tripathi, Poodipedi Sarat Chandra
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy and safety of continuous midazolam infusion in the treatment of acute repetitive seizures in non-intensive settings: A multicenter retrospective real-world data study. 咪达唑仑持续输注治疗急性反复发作的有效性和安全性:一项多中心回顾性真实世界数据研究。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70180
Alessandro Orsini, Lorenza Marini, Luca Bergonzini, Francesco D'Angelo, Silvia Lelli, Thomas Foiadelli, Eugenia Spreafico, Viola Santi, Elisabetta Mencaroni, Alberto Verrotti, Alessandro Ferretti, Pasquale Parisi, Riccardo Morganti, Brita De Lorenzo, Beate Küppers, Alice Bonuccelli, Roberta Battini, Diego Peroni, Duccio Maria Cordelli

Seizures, when prolonged or repeated, leading to status epilepticus (SE), represent a medical emergency, requiring prompt treatment. In these conditions, the use of continuous midazolam (MDZ) infusion is often reserved for established or refractory SE and considered an anesthesiologic treatment, while evidence on its early use in non-intensive settings is still limited. To verify this approach in daily practice, we retrospectively collected data on about 42 episodes of pediatric SE or acute repetitive seizures (ARSs), treated with continuous MDZ infusion in non-intensive setting. Collected data include demographical information, previous history of epilepsy, instrumental examinations (electroencephalography [EEG] and brain magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]), comorbidities, anti-seizure medications (ASMs), information about the event, other treatments (first- and second-line), information about MDZ infusion, and need for other third-line treatment and/or intensive care unit (ICU) transfer. Infusion durations and rates varied widely, but in most cases (38/42) low dose (<.23 mg/kg/h) were employed. The treatment was effective in 84.2% of cases, achieving both clinical and EEG response. No adverse events (AEs) were reported. The need for a second-line treatment (particularly levetiracetam [LEV] and phenobarbital [PB]) was associated with a worse outcome. Another third-line treatment was needed in 9.5% of cases. Patients (21.4%) were transferred to ICU; a higher risk of ICU admission was reported in patients with precipitating factors (infection, surgery, hypertension and suboptimal anti-seizure medication [ASM] serum levels), and those receiving MDZ infusion at higher rates and/or co-treated with PB. Overall, our study suggests that low-dose continuous MDZ infusion is an effective and safe strategy for treatment of pediatric SE and ARSs in non-intensive settings.

癫痫发作,当延长或反复,导致癫痫持续状态(SE),代表医疗紧急情况,需要及时治疗。在这些情况下,持续咪达唑仑(MDZ)输注通常用于已建立或难治性SE,并被认为是一种麻醉治疗,而在非强化环境中早期使用咪达唑仑的证据仍然有限。为了在日常实践中验证这一方法,我们回顾性收集了约42例儿童SE或急性反复发作(ars)的数据,这些患儿在非强化环境中接受持续MDZ输注治疗。收集的数据包括人口统计信息、既往癫痫史、仪器检查(脑电图(EEG)和脑磁共振成像(MRI))、合并症、抗癫痫药物(ASMs)、事件信息、其他治疗(一线和二线)、MDZ输注信息、其他三线治疗和/或重症监护病房(ICU)转院需求。输注时间和速率变化很大,但在大多数情况下(38/42),低剂量(
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引用次数: 0
Soticlestat as an adjunctive therapy in children and young adults with Dravet syndrome. 索替列他作为儿童和青年德拉韦综合征的辅助治疗。
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-05 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70164
Joseph Sullivan, Kette Valente, Vicente Villanueva, Adam Strzelczyk, Rima Nabbout, Eiji Nakagawa, Yuehua Zhang, Marta Zolnowska, Yasir Khan, Cheng Dong, Samuel Hsiao, Sarah I Sheikh, Philipp von Rosenstiel, Mahnaz Asgharnejad, Venkatesha Murthy

Objective: This study evaluated the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of soticlestat as adjunctive therapy in children and young adults with Dravet syndrome (DS).

Methods: SKYLINE (NCT04940624) was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial that enrolled patients with DS aged 2-21 years with uncontrolled convulsive seizures (≥4/month despite adequate treatment). Participants received oral soticlestat 300 mg (weight adjusted) or matching placebo twice daily. The total study duration was 16 weeks, comprising 4-week dose titration and 12-week maintenance treatment periods. The primary endpoint was a comparison of monthly convulsive seizure frequency between baseline and the titration/maintenance periods. Key secondary endpoints included several modified Caregiver and Clinical Global Impression of Improvement (GI-I) scales for DS.

Results: One hundred forty-four participants were randomized (71 placebo, 73 soticlestat) with a mean (SD) age of 10.3 (5.0) years; 72 (50%) were male, and 117 (81.3%) were receiving ≥3 antiseizure medications. Median change from baseline in convulsive seizure frequency over the full treatment period was -8.64% with placebo (n = 71) and -22.16% with soticlestat (n = 73), a difference of -15.64% (p = .061); in the maintenance treatment period, these changes were -11.99% with placebo and -23.29% with soticlestat, a difference of -14.29% (p = .089). The proportion of participants with ≥50% reduction in convulsive seizures was 9.9% with placebo and 27.4% with soticlestat (nominal p = .008). Soticlestat showed clinically meaningful results in the Caregiver and Clinical GI-I, and Clinical GI-I Seizure Intensity and Duration scales over the 16-week treatment period (all nominal p-values ≤ .004). The most commonly reported treatment-emergent adverse events related to study drug were somnolence, change in seizure presentation, decreased appetite, and insomnia.

Significance: Although statistical significance was narrowly missed, soticlestat showed a numerical benefit over placebo for convulsive seizure decrease. Clinically meaningful benefits across multiple secondary endpoints were observed. No new safety concerns emerged.

目的:本研究评估索替列他作为儿童和青少年Dravet综合征(DS)辅助治疗的有效性、安全性和耐受性。方法:SKYLINE (NCT04940624)是一项多中心、随机、双盲、安慰剂对照的3期临床试验,纳入了2-21岁伴有不受控制的惊厥发作的DS患者(尽管接受了适当的治疗,但癫痫发作≥4次/月)。参与者接受口服索替列他300毫克(体重调整)或匹配安慰剂,每日两次。总研究时间为16周,包括4周剂量滴定期和12周维持治疗期。主要终点是比较基线和滴定/维持期之间每月惊厥发作频率。关键的次要终点包括几个改进的照顾者和临床总体改善印象(GI-I)量表。结果:144名参与者被随机分配(安慰剂71名,索替列他73名),平均(SD)年龄为10.3(5.0)岁;男性72例(50%),117例(81.3%)接受≥3种抗癫痫药物治疗。在整个治疗期间,安慰剂组惊厥发作频率较基线的中位数变化为-8.64% (n = 71),索替列他组为-22.16% (n = 73),差异为-15.64% (p = 0.061);在维持治疗期间,安慰剂组和索替列他组的这些变化分别为-11.99%和-23.29%,差异为-14.29% (p = 0.089)。惊厥发作减少≥50%的受试者比例,安慰剂组为9.9%,索替列他组为27.4%(名义p = 0.008)。在16周的治疗期间,Soticlestat在护理者和临床GI-I以及临床GI-I癫痫发作强度和持续时间量表中显示出具有临床意义的结果(所有标称p值≤0.004)。最常见的与研究药物相关的治疗不良事件是嗜睡、癫痫发作改变、食欲下降和失眠。意义:虽然统计学上的差异很小,但索替列他在减少惊厥发作方面的数值上优于安慰剂。在多个次要终点观察到有临床意义的益处。没有出现新的安全问题。
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引用次数: 0
Are seizure forecasts and cycles better than chance? What chance? 癫痫发作的预测和周期比随机更好吗?什么机会?
IF 6.6 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-05 DOI: 10.1002/epi.70158
Ralph G Andrzejak, Martin Brešar, Mark P Richardson, Pedro F Viana, Richard Rosch

Objective: There is a growing synergy between the lines of research on cycles in epilepsy and seizure forecasting. It has been conjectured, for instance, that incorporating information about significant seizure cycles into forecasting algorithms can lead to a better-than-chance forecasting performance. However, significance and better-than-chance are each typically evaluated against only a single null hypothesis, for example, that forecasts are generated by a Poisson process. We here argue that this should be considered only a first step. Our objective is to demonstrate the importance of testing complementary null hypotheses that represent alternative chance models.

Methods: To ensure controlled conditions, we use synthetic data generated from simple mathematical models. Samples drawn from gamma distributions are used to generate sequences of random seizure times and random forecasts. We then determine the strength of cycles as a function of the cycle duration and calculate the sensitivity and fraction of time under alarm obtained for the random forecasting algorithm. In both analyses, we apply numerical, surrogate-based null-hypothesis testing methods. In the latter case, this includes a straightforward approach to correcting for multiple testing on nonindependent data.

Results: Counterintuitively, the random seizure-time sequences contain multiple prominent cycles, which are judged highly significant by the Rayleigh test. Moreover, randomly forecasting random seizure times results in a sensitivity of 79% at a fraction of time under alarm of only 42%, clearly outperforming a Poisson-like predictor. In both cases, however, the flexibility and versatility of surrogate-based null-hypothesis tests allow us to successfully reveal that all results can be explained by chance models.

Significance: Before reaching conclusions on real cycles in epilepsy, the forecastability of seizures, and genuine capacity of forecasting algorithms, it is essential to test and reject several complementary null hypotheses. Many conclusions might not withstand such rigorous tests, allowing the community to focus on those that do.

目的:有一个越来越多的协同研究线在癫痫周期和发作预测。例如,据推测,将有关重大癫痫发作周期的信息纳入预测算法可以带来比偶然更好的预测性能。然而,显著性和概率大于概率通常只针对单个零假设进行评估,例如,预测是由泊松过程生成的。我们在此认为,这应被视为只是第一步。我们的目标是证明检验代表替代机会模型的互补零假设的重要性。方法:为了保证控制条件,我们使用由简单数学模型生成的综合数据。从伽马分布中提取的样本用于生成随机发作时间序列和随机预测。然后,我们确定周期的强度作为周期持续时间的函数,并计算随机预测算法的灵敏度和报警时间的比例。在这两种分析中,我们都采用了数值的、基于代理的零假设检验方法。在后一种情况下,这包括一种直接的方法来纠正对非独立数据的多次测试。结果:与直觉相反,随机捕获时间序列包含多个突出周期,通过瑞利检验判断这些周期具有高度显著性。此外,随机预测随机发作时间的结果是,在警报只有42%的一小部分时间内,灵敏度达到79%,明显优于类泊松预测器。然而,在这两种情况下,基于代理的零假设检验的灵活性和通用性使我们能够成功地揭示所有结果都可以用偶然模型来解释。意义:在得出关于癫痫的真实周期、癫痫发作的可预测性和预测算法的真正能力的结论之前,有必要检验和拒绝几个互补的零假设。许多结论可能经受不住如此严格的检验,从而使社区能够专注于那些经得起检验的结论。
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引用次数: 0
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Epilepsia
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