Franziska Fazekas, Amit Haboosheh, Bernhard Hennebichler, Thomas Roetzer-Pejrimovsky, Julia Binder, Theresa Reischer, Mateja Pfeifer, Anke Scharrer, Christof Worda, Tina Linder, Alex Farr, Romana Höftberger, Ellen Gelpi, Christian Mitter, Gregor Kasprian, Christine Haberler, Nicole Amberg
Brain development and subsequent brain function are highly sensitive to genetic mutations, which can result in severe neurodevelopmental malformations. Alterations in PTEN signaling cause a spectrum of developmental malformations and neurological diseases including epilepsy. To date, a detailed understanding of the neuropathological underpinnings of PTEN-associated brain malformations, particularly in fetuses, is missing. We have thus investigated a fetal case of hemimegalencephaly (HME), which is a rare disorder characterized by hemispheric overgrowth, developmental delay, and epileptic seizures. Our assessment of the male fetus includes genetic, radiologic, and histologic features and provides a comprehensive characterization of the cellular alterations in HME together with a genotypic correlation. Genetic analyses uncovered that hemispheric overgrowth was caused by a somatic second hit resulting in biallelic PTEN alteration in the affected brain tissue, although the unaffected hemisphere carried the same PTEN variant as the heterozygous germline variant. Based on the latter, we interpret that the PTEN mutation is not a dominant-negative variant. Within the outer subventricular zone of the enlarged cortex, we found small nodular heterotopias, which can be origins of focal epileptic seizures. Cell type-specific marker stainings revealed that the heterotopias consisted exclusively of SATB2+ glutamatergic projection neurons. Altogether, our analyses and findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the pathomechanisms of a novel PTEN variant driving a severe brain malformation.
{"title":"A novel PTEN variant causing hemimegalencephaly and focal nodular heterotopias in the developing human brain.","authors":"Franziska Fazekas, Amit Haboosheh, Bernhard Hennebichler, Thomas Roetzer-Pejrimovsky, Julia Binder, Theresa Reischer, Mateja Pfeifer, Anke Scharrer, Christof Worda, Tina Linder, Alex Farr, Romana Höftberger, Ellen Gelpi, Christian Mitter, Gregor Kasprian, Christine Haberler, Nicole Amberg","doi":"10.1002/epi.70088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70088","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Brain development and subsequent brain function are highly sensitive to genetic mutations, which can result in severe neurodevelopmental malformations. Alterations in PTEN signaling cause a spectrum of developmental malformations and neurological diseases including epilepsy. To date, a detailed understanding of the neuropathological underpinnings of PTEN-associated brain malformations, particularly in fetuses, is missing. We have thus investigated a fetal case of hemimegalencephaly (HME), which is a rare disorder characterized by hemispheric overgrowth, developmental delay, and epileptic seizures. Our assessment of the male fetus includes genetic, radiologic, and histologic features and provides a comprehensive characterization of the cellular alterations in HME together with a genotypic correlation. Genetic analyses uncovered that hemispheric overgrowth was caused by a somatic second hit resulting in biallelic PTEN alteration in the affected brain tissue, although the unaffected hemisphere carried the same PTEN variant as the heterozygous germline variant. Based on the latter, we interpret that the PTEN mutation is not a dominant-negative variant. Within the outer subventricular zone of the enlarged cortex, we found small nodular heterotopias, which can be origins of focal epileptic seizures. Cell type-specific marker stainings revealed that the heterotopias consisted exclusively of SATB2<sup>+</sup> glutamatergic projection neurons. Altogether, our analyses and findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the pathomechanisms of a novel PTEN variant driving a severe brain malformation.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145899284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maxime O Baud, Christophe Bernard, Birgit Frauscher, Philippa J Karoly, Vikram R Rao
Recurrent seizures, the hallmark of epilepsy, are influenced by rhythms operating over multiple timescales. Chronobiology is the study of biological timing that aims to explain temporal patterns of events like seizures. Fueled by recent advances in genetics, computational modeling, and device engineering, the chronobiology of epilepsy is now a burgeoning field poised to shed new light on mechanisms governing seizure recurrence. Although seizures were long believed to occur at random, epilepsy is now understood as a cyclical disorder, and time-varying therapeutic interventions are increasingly possible. Yet, potential barriers to progress in this field exist, such as reconciling variable experimental methodology, deconvolving coexisting rhythms, and harnessing the power of new technologies and data sharing. In this report from the International League Against Epilepsy Task Force on Chronobiology, we review these knowledge gaps and offer recommendations to help close them. By unraveling mechanisms of seizure timing, chronobiology promises to usher in a new era of personalized epilepsy management in which seizures are viewed as predictable, potentially avoidable events.
{"title":"Timing is everything: Expert opinion on researching epilepsy rhythms by the ILAE Task Force on Chronobiology.","authors":"Maxime O Baud, Christophe Bernard, Birgit Frauscher, Philippa J Karoly, Vikram R Rao","doi":"10.1002/epi.70077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70077","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Recurrent seizures, the hallmark of epilepsy, are influenced by rhythms operating over multiple timescales. Chronobiology is the study of biological timing that aims to explain temporal patterns of events like seizures. Fueled by recent advances in genetics, computational modeling, and device engineering, the chronobiology of epilepsy is now a burgeoning field poised to shed new light on mechanisms governing seizure recurrence. Although seizures were long believed to occur at random, epilepsy is now understood as a cyclical disorder, and time-varying therapeutic interventions are increasingly possible. Yet, potential barriers to progress in this field exist, such as reconciling variable experimental methodology, deconvolving coexisting rhythms, and harnessing the power of new technologies and data sharing. In this report from the International League Against Epilepsy Task Force on Chronobiology, we review these knowledge gaps and offer recommendations to help close them. By unraveling mechanisms of seizure timing, chronobiology promises to usher in a new era of personalized epilepsy management in which seizures are viewed as predictable, potentially avoidable events.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145892453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Donald J Phillips, Autumn S Ivy, Samuel Guzman, Saman Hazany, Xiangmin Xu
{"title":"Spatial transcriptomics in epilepsy research: Early successes, opportunities, and challenges.","authors":"Donald J Phillips, Autumn S Ivy, Samuel Guzman, Saman Hazany, Xiangmin Xu","doi":"10.1002/epi.70079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70079","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2026-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145892455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anat Mavashov, Shaked Turk, Yael Sarusi, Marina Brusel, Rotem Ben Tov Perry, Shir Quinn, Yael Almog, Karni Vilian, Mor Yam, Igor Ulitsky, Moran Rubinstein
Objective: Heterozygous loss-of-function mutations in the CHD2 gene, encoding chromodomain helicase DNA-binding protein 2, are associated with severe childhood onset epilepsy, global developmental delay, and autistic features. Animal models that accurately recapitulate human phenotypes are crucial for understanding rare neurodevelopmental disorders and developing novel treatments. However, such a model for CHD2-related disorders has been missing.
Methods: We performed behavioral, electrographic, epileptic, and transcriptomic analyses to characterize a mouse model harboring a frameshift truncating mutation in the Chd2 gene (Chd2WT/m and Chd2m/m mice) on the 129X1/SvJ background.
Results: The genetic background altered the severity of disease-related phenotypes, such that crossing the mice from the C57BL/6J onto the 129X1/SvJ background uncovered neurodevelopmental phenotypes. On the 129X1/SvJ background, Chd2m/m mice exhibited growth retardation, and both Chd2WT/m and Chd2m/m mice showed motor deficits, including clasping behavior and impaired balance on a rotating rod. Autistic like features included reduced nest-building abilities in Chd2m/m mice, whereas increased repetitive like behavior in the marble-burying test and altered social behavior were observed in Chd2WT/m mice. Electrocorticographic analysis revealed a global reduction in the power of background oscillations in both Chd2WT/m and Chd2m/m mice, along with increased susceptibility to 4-aminopyridine-induced seizures. Transcriptomic analysis identified upregulation of Kcnj11 mRNA in Chd2WT/m and Chd2m/m mice on the 129X1/SvJ background.
Significance: This mouse model recapitulates key phenotypes observed in CHD2 patients, providing a valuable platform to study the molecular basis and potential treatment strategies for this intractable disorder.
{"title":"Behavioral and epileptic phenotypes in a CHD2-related developmental delay model.","authors":"Anat Mavashov, Shaked Turk, Yael Sarusi, Marina Brusel, Rotem Ben Tov Perry, Shir Quinn, Yael Almog, Karni Vilian, Mor Yam, Igor Ulitsky, Moran Rubinstein","doi":"10.1002/epi.70073","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70073","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Heterozygous loss-of-function mutations in the CHD2 gene, encoding chromodomain helicase DNA-binding protein 2, are associated with severe childhood onset epilepsy, global developmental delay, and autistic features. Animal models that accurately recapitulate human phenotypes are crucial for understanding rare neurodevelopmental disorders and developing novel treatments. However, such a model for CHD2-related disorders has been missing.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed behavioral, electrographic, epileptic, and transcriptomic analyses to characterize a mouse model harboring a frameshift truncating mutation in the Chd2 gene (Chd2<sup>WT/m</sup> and Chd2<sup>m/m</sup> mice) on the 129X1/SvJ background.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The genetic background altered the severity of disease-related phenotypes, such that crossing the mice from the C57BL/6J onto the 129X1/SvJ background uncovered neurodevelopmental phenotypes. On the 129X1/SvJ background, Chd2<sup>m/m</sup> mice exhibited growth retardation, and both Chd2<sup>WT/m</sup> and Chd2<sup>m/m</sup> mice showed motor deficits, including clasping behavior and impaired balance on a rotating rod. Autistic like features included reduced nest-building abilities in Chd2<sup>m/m</sup> mice, whereas increased repetitive like behavior in the marble-burying test and altered social behavior were observed in Chd2<sup>WT/m</sup> mice. Electrocorticographic analysis revealed a global reduction in the power of background oscillations in both Chd2<sup>WT/m</sup> and Chd2<sup>m/m</sup> mice, along with increased susceptibility to 4-aminopyridine-induced seizures. Transcriptomic analysis identified upregulation of Kcnj11 mRNA in Chd2<sup>WT/m</sup> and Chd2<sup>m/m</sup> mice on the 129X1/SvJ background.</p><p><strong>Significance: </strong>This mouse model recapitulates key phenotypes observed in CHD2 patients, providing a valuable platform to study the molecular basis and potential treatment strategies for this intractable disorder.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145862572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wesley T Kerr, Neo Kok, Katherine N McFarlane, Advith S Reddy, Lavanya Biju, Jacqueline A French, Daniel M Goldenholz
Objective: Antiseizure medications are approved based on clinical trials that demonstrate their efficacy as measured by reductions in seizure frequency (SF). When designing these trials, trialists must select inclusion criteria where SF can be reliably measured to maintain statistical power. Statistical power is based on the magnitude and uncertainty of the difference between active treatment and placebo. To inform choices about how minimum, maximum, and individual participant SF impacts the statistical power of trials, we evaluated how the uncertainty in SF was associated with average SF within multiple clinical trials.
Methods: Using data from 11 double-blind placebo-controlled trials of antiseizure medications for either focal or generalized onset epilepsy, we used log-log multivariable regression to associate the SD of SF in maintenance with the average SF in baseline and maintenance. We also evaluated whether capturing more seizures in people with high average SF offset the increased uncertainty in SF and asked whether these associations persisted when time to event designs were used.
Results: The uncertainty (SD) of maintenance SF was proportional to baseline average SF (daily diaries: slope of log-log association = .575, 95% confidence interval [CI] = .556-.593; fortnightly diaries: .657, 95% CI = .0642-.0671). Increased uncertainty for high SF was offset by counting more seizures. These relationships were maintained with a time to event design.
Significance: This study validates the foundational L-relationship between average and SD of SF in which the uncertainty of seizure counts increased proportional to the number of seizures counted. When used for efficacy outcomes of trials, the statistical benefit of counting more seizures in participants with high SF was much greater than the increased challenge from higher uncertainty seizure counts. These results provide quantitative insights for SF-based inclusion criteria and statistical power calculations.
目的:抗癫痫药物被批准是基于临床试验证明其有效性,通过减少癫痫发作频率(SF)来衡量。在设计这些试验时,试验人员必须选择能够可靠测量SF的纳入标准,以保持统计效力。统计功效是基于积极治疗和安慰剂之间差异的大小和不确定性。为了了解最小、最大和个体参与者SF如何影响试验的统计能力,我们评估了SF的不确定性如何与多个临床试验中的平均SF相关。方法:使用来自11项局灶性或全局性癫痫抗癫痫药物双盲安慰剂对照试验的数据,我们使用对数-对数多变量回归将维持期SF的SD与基线和维持期的平均SF关联起来。我们还评估了高平均SF患者癫痫发作的增加是否抵消了SF不确定性的增加,并询问当使用时间事件设计时,这些关联是否持续存在。结果:维持SF的不确定性(SD)与基线平均SF成正比(每日日记:对数-对数关联斜率= 0.575,95%置信区间[CI] = 0.556 - 0.593;两周日记:。657, 95% ci = .0642-.0671)。高SF的不确定性增加被更多的癫痫发作所抵消。这些关系通过时间到事件的设计得以维持。意义:本研究验证了SF的平均值和SD之间的基本l关系,其中癫痫发作计数的不确定性与癫痫发作计数成正比。当用于试验的疗效结果时,计算高SF参与者更多癫痫发作的统计效益远远大于高不确定性癫痫发作计数增加的挑战。这些结果为基于sf的纳入标准和统计功率计算提供了定量的见解。
{"title":"L-Relationship between uncertainty and average seizure frequency in clinical trials of antiseizure medications.","authors":"Wesley T Kerr, Neo Kok, Katherine N McFarlane, Advith S Reddy, Lavanya Biju, Jacqueline A French, Daniel M Goldenholz","doi":"10.1002/epi.70080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70080","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Antiseizure medications are approved based on clinical trials that demonstrate their efficacy as measured by reductions in seizure frequency (SF). When designing these trials, trialists must select inclusion criteria where SF can be reliably measured to maintain statistical power. Statistical power is based on the magnitude and uncertainty of the difference between active treatment and placebo. To inform choices about how minimum, maximum, and individual participant SF impacts the statistical power of trials, we evaluated how the uncertainty in SF was associated with average SF within multiple clinical trials.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using data from 11 double-blind placebo-controlled trials of antiseizure medications for either focal or generalized onset epilepsy, we used log-log multivariable regression to associate the SD of SF in maintenance with the average SF in baseline and maintenance. We also evaluated whether capturing more seizures in people with high average SF offset the increased uncertainty in SF and asked whether these associations persisted when time to event designs were used.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The uncertainty (SD) of maintenance SF was proportional to baseline average SF (daily diaries: slope of log-log association = .575, 95% confidence interval [CI] = .556-.593; fortnightly diaries: .657, 95% CI = .0642-.0671). Increased uncertainty for high SF was offset by counting more seizures. These relationships were maintained with a time to event design.</p><p><strong>Significance: </strong>This study validates the foundational L-relationship between average and SD of SF in which the uncertainty of seizure counts increased proportional to the number of seizures counted. When used for efficacy outcomes of trials, the statistical benefit of counting more seizures in participants with high SF was much greater than the increased challenge from higher uncertainty seizure counts. These results provide quantitative insights for SF-based inclusion criteria and statistical power calculations.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145862543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anna N Thomsen, Gloria Ortiz-Guerrero, Divyanshu Dubey, Jeffrey W Britton, Kelsey M Smith
High-titer glutamic acid decarboxylase 65 (GAD65) antibodies (>20 nmol/L) are linked to chronic focal epilepsy, usually of temporal regional onset. Identification of these antibodies has treatment and prognostic implications. We compared patients with drug-resistant epilepsy and high-titer GAD65 antibodies to an age- and sex-matched control group with drug-resistant GAD65 antibody-negative temporal lobe epilepsy. From 1432 patients presented at a single-center surgical epilepsy conference (2007-2024), we identified 15 patients (1% from surgical epilepsy conference: 13 female, 86.7%) with high-titer serum GAD65 antibodies (median serum titer = 960 nmol/L; range 34-4678). The median age at epilepsy onset was 25 years (range 4-44). All had temporal regional-onset epilepsy; 53% had bitemporal seizures. Three patients had limbic encephalitis, and three developed mesial temporal sclerosis. Those with GAD65 antibody-associated epilepsy were more likely to have depression and/or anxiety and less likely to undergo resection after evaluation than those in the control group. Although seizure types, electroencephalography (EEG), imaging, and autoimmune history were not statistically significantly different from the control group, we found that musicogenic seizures, limbic encephalitis, and type 1 diabetes occurred only in GAD65-positive patients. These features, when present, may suggest an autoimmune etiology and warrant antibody testing. Identifying patients with GAD65 antibody-associated epilepsy is important due to its drug resistance, lower rate of satisfactory surgical outcomes, and potential responsiveness to immunotherapy. Further research is needed to define the optimal treatment and distinguish this subgroup from other causes of drug-resistant epilepsy.
{"title":"Drug-resistant glutamic acid decarboxylase 65-associated epilepsy: Pre-surgical evaluation and comparison to temporal lobe epilepsy of other etiology.","authors":"Anna N Thomsen, Gloria Ortiz-Guerrero, Divyanshu Dubey, Jeffrey W Britton, Kelsey M Smith","doi":"10.1002/epi.70068","DOIUrl":"10.1002/epi.70068","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>High-titer glutamic acid decarboxylase 65 (GAD65) antibodies (>20 nmol/L) are linked to chronic focal epilepsy, usually of temporal regional onset. Identification of these antibodies has treatment and prognostic implications. We compared patients with drug-resistant epilepsy and high-titer GAD65 antibodies to an age- and sex-matched control group with drug-resistant GAD65 antibody-negative temporal lobe epilepsy. From 1432 patients presented at a single-center surgical epilepsy conference (2007-2024), we identified 15 patients (1% from surgical epilepsy conference: 13 female, 86.7%) with high-titer serum GAD65 antibodies (median serum titer = 960 nmol/L; range 34-4678). The median age at epilepsy onset was 25 years (range 4-44). All had temporal regional-onset epilepsy; 53% had bitemporal seizures. Three patients had limbic encephalitis, and three developed mesial temporal sclerosis. Those with GAD65 antibody-associated epilepsy were more likely to have depression and/or anxiety and less likely to undergo resection after evaluation than those in the control group. Although seizure types, electroencephalography (EEG), imaging, and autoimmune history were not statistically significantly different from the control group, we found that musicogenic seizures, limbic encephalitis, and type 1 diabetes occurred only in GAD65-positive patients. These features, when present, may suggest an autoimmune etiology and warrant antibody testing. Identifying patients with GAD65 antibody-associated epilepsy is important due to its drug resistance, lower rate of satisfactory surgical outcomes, and potential responsiveness to immunotherapy. Further research is needed to define the optimal treatment and distinguish this subgroup from other causes of drug-resistant epilepsy.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12912629/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145862560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rachel E Stirling, Benjamin H Brinkmann, Dean R Freestone, Philippa J Karoly
There is debate on the predictive value of multiday seizure cycles versus simple statistical baselines. Multidien seizure cyclicity is a prevalent, patient-specific phenomenon with promise for epilepsy management. We challenge the assertion that cycle tracking is no better than a moving average, which is an inherently retrospective model that lags changes in seizure likelihood. This commentary compared a causal cyclic forecast to a prospectively applied moving average across a large seizure diary cohort (n = 768) and two gold-standard chronic EEG cohorts (n = 24). For the EEG and diary cohorts, cycle tracking demonstrated significantly superior accuracy to the moving average for both hourly and daily forecasts (p < 0.0001), using multiple performance metrics. These results confirm that event-based cyclical models offer more accurate, simulated real-world forecasts. Robust forecasting tools must prioritize the detection and modeling of seizure cycles to move beyond simple baseline performance and provide actionable clinical utility.
{"title":"Tracking seizure cycles beats a prospective moving average: Commentary on \"Rigorous evaluation of five e-diary alone seizure forecasting tools\".","authors":"Rachel E Stirling, Benjamin H Brinkmann, Dean R Freestone, Philippa J Karoly","doi":"10.1002/epi.70084","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70084","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>There is debate on the predictive value of multiday seizure cycles versus simple statistical baselines. Multidien seizure cyclicity is a prevalent, patient-specific phenomenon with promise for epilepsy management. We challenge the assertion that cycle tracking is no better than a moving average, which is an inherently retrospective model that lags changes in seizure likelihood. This commentary compared a causal cyclic forecast to a prospectively applied moving average across a large seizure diary cohort (n = 768) and two gold-standard chronic EEG cohorts (n = 24). For the EEG and diary cohorts, cycle tracking demonstrated significantly superior accuracy to the moving average for both hourly and daily forecasts (p < 0.0001), using multiple performance metrics. These results confirm that event-based cyclical models offer more accurate, simulated real-world forecasts. Robust forecasting tools must prioritize the detection and modeling of seizure cycles to move beyond simple baseline performance and provide actionable clinical utility.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145862515","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chi-Yuan Chang, Robert Moss, M Brandon Westover, Daniel M Goldenholz
{"title":"Deployable seizure forecasting requires clinically meaningful performance: Response to Stirling et al.","authors":"Chi-Yuan Chang, Robert Moss, M Brandon Westover, Daniel M Goldenholz","doi":"10.1002/epi.70083","DOIUrl":"10.1002/epi.70083","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12854151/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145862518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Objective: To estimate the incidence and determine the consequences of status epilepticus (SE) associated with idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE) in adults.
Methods: Based on International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes we extracted patients with IGE in the period from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2018, and divided them into two groups: patients with and without a hospitalization with SE before the end of the study. Each patient was matched with 10 normal population controls from the Danish National Patient Register based on age, sex, and geography. Survival, drug resistance, medical history, and surrogate markers for social status were compared.
Results: We identified 6295 IGE patients and 62 950 normal population controls with slight female preponderance (3338 female; 55.5%). At least one admission with SE was documented for 4.5% (n = 283 patients), of which 57.2% (n = 162) had two or more admissions with SE. The comparison of patients with and without SE before first-time admission for SE showed higher age, surrogate markers for lower social status (affiliation with the labour market, household income, marital status), indicators of more severe IGE (number of antiseizure medications tried, prescription patterns suggestive for drug resistance), and higher psychiatric comorbidity in patients with SE than without. It is important to note that an episode of SE only transiently and slightly affected markers for social status. All-cause mortality was increased in IGE patients with SE (17.7%) as compared to 6.2% in age-matched population controls.
Significance: SE in IGE has a high rate of occurrence and is associated with drug-resistant IGE, poor social status, and psychiatric comorbidity already before the first episode of SE. Although the social impact of SE in the short term remains limited, all-cause mortality after SE is increased.
{"title":"Status epilepticus in patients with idiopathic generalized epilepsy.","authors":"Joanna Gesche, Guido Rubboli, Christoph P Beier","doi":"10.1002/epi.70066","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70066","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To estimate the incidence and determine the consequences of status epilepticus (SE) associated with idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE) in adults.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Based on International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes we extracted patients with IGE in the period from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2018, and divided them into two groups: patients with and without a hospitalization with SE before the end of the study. Each patient was matched with 10 normal population controls from the Danish National Patient Register based on age, sex, and geography. Survival, drug resistance, medical history, and surrogate markers for social status were compared.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 6295 IGE patients and 62 950 normal population controls with slight female preponderance (3338 female; 55.5%). At least one admission with SE was documented for 4.5% (n = 283 patients), of which 57.2% (n = 162) had two or more admissions with SE. The comparison of patients with and without SE before first-time admission for SE showed higher age, surrogate markers for lower social status (affiliation with the labour market, household income, marital status), indicators of more severe IGE (number of antiseizure medications tried, prescription patterns suggestive for drug resistance), and higher psychiatric comorbidity in patients with SE than without. It is important to note that an episode of SE only transiently and slightly affected markers for social status. All-cause mortality was increased in IGE patients with SE (17.7%) as compared to 6.2% in age-matched population controls.</p><p><strong>Significance: </strong>SE in IGE has a high rate of occurrence and is associated with drug-resistant IGE, poor social status, and psychiatric comorbidity already before the first episode of SE. Although the social impact of SE in the short term remains limited, all-cause mortality after SE is increased.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145855037","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Objective: This study aimed to identify risk factors and develop a predictive scoring system for autoimmune-associated epilepsy in subjects with autoimmune encephalitis presenting with new onset refractory status epilepticus (NORSE).
Methods: This retrospective, multicenter, cohort study included subjects who presented with NORSE at the onset of autoimmune encephalitis and had at least 24 months of follow-up after immunotherapy. The outcome was the development of autoimmune-associated epilepsy, defined as persistent seizures despite adequate immunotherapy and absence of active inflammation. Factors independently associated with the outcome were identified through a backward stepwise selection. Adjusted regression coefficients of each independent predictor were transformed to produce a points-based risk-scoring system.
Results: Seventy participants were included (median age = 24.2 years, 38.6% male). During a median follow-up of 53 months, 54.3% of subjects developed autoimmune-associated epilepsy. Status epilepticus duration ≥ 10 days (odds ratio [OR] = 31.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.12-456.87, p = .012), positivity for antibodies against surface antigens (OR = .12, 95% CI = .02-.85, p = .034), bitemporal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) abnormalities suggestive of autoimmune encephalitis during acute stage (OR = 49.80, 95% CI = 2.95-841.77, p = .007), and interictal epileptiform discharges during electroencephalographic (EEG) follow-up (OR = 71.32, 95% CI = 6.48-785.32, p < .001) were independently associated with the study outcome. The duration-antibodies-MRI-EEG (DAME) score was developed as an integer-based scoring system predictive of autoimmune-associated epilepsy. With an optimal cutoff of ≥3 points, it yielded a sensitivity of 86.8%, a specificity of 87.5%, and an overall accuracy of 87.1%.
Significance: The DAME score could serve as a user-friendly score to predict the risk of autoimmune-associated epilepsy in patients with NORSE due to autoimmune encephalitis.
目的:本研究旨在确定以新发难治性癫痫持续状态(NORSE)为表现的自身免疫性脑炎患者自身免疫相关癫痫的危险因素,并开发一种预测评分系统。方法:这项回顾性、多中心、队列研究纳入了在自身免疫性脑炎发病时出现NORSE并在免疫治疗后随访至少24个月的受试者。结果是自身免疫相关性癫痫的发展,定义为持续发作,尽管有充分的免疫治疗和没有活动性炎症。通过反向逐步选择确定与结果独立相关的因素。对各独立预测因子调整后的回归系数进行转换,生成基于点数的风险评分系统。结果:纳入70名参与者(中位年龄24.2岁,38.6%为男性)。在中位随访53个月期间,54.3%的受试者发展为自身免疫性癫痫。癫痫持续状态≥10天(优势比[OR] = 31.14, 95%可信区间[CI] = 2.12-456.87, p =。012),表面抗原抗体阳性(OR = .12, 95% CI = .02-.85, p =。034),急性期双颞叶磁共振成像(MRI)异常提示自身免疫性脑炎(OR = 49.80, 95% CI = 2.95-841.77, p =。(007),脑电图随访期间癫痫样放电(OR = 71.32, 95% CI = 6.48-785.32, p)意义:DAME评分可作为一种用户友好评分,预测自身免疫性脑炎所致NORSE患者自身免疫相关癫痫的风险。
{"title":"Predicting epilepsy after new onset refractory status epilepticus due to autoimmune encephalitis: The DAME score.","authors":"Simona Lattanzi, Sara Matricardi, Alberto Vogrig, Giada Pauletto, Margherita Nosadini, Stefano Sartori, Federico Massa, Luana Benedetti, Stefano Meletti, Francesca Bisulli, Elena Freri, Francesca Felicia Operto, Silvia Bozzetti, Sara Mariotto, Simone Beretta, Eleonora Rosati, Elisabetta Cesaroni, Carla Marini, Tiziana Granata, Flavio Villani","doi":"10.1002/epi.70081","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/epi.70081","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>This study aimed to identify risk factors and develop a predictive scoring system for autoimmune-associated epilepsy in subjects with autoimmune encephalitis presenting with new onset refractory status epilepticus (NORSE).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective, multicenter, cohort study included subjects who presented with NORSE at the onset of autoimmune encephalitis and had at least 24 months of follow-up after immunotherapy. The outcome was the development of autoimmune-associated epilepsy, defined as persistent seizures despite adequate immunotherapy and absence of active inflammation. Factors independently associated with the outcome were identified through a backward stepwise selection. Adjusted regression coefficients of each independent predictor were transformed to produce a points-based risk-scoring system.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Seventy participants were included (median age = 24.2 years, 38.6% male). During a median follow-up of 53 months, 54.3% of subjects developed autoimmune-associated epilepsy. Status epilepticus duration ≥ 10 days (odds ratio [OR] = 31.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.12-456.87, p = .012), positivity for antibodies against surface antigens (OR = .12, 95% CI = .02-.85, p = .034), bitemporal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) abnormalities suggestive of autoimmune encephalitis during acute stage (OR = 49.80, 95% CI = 2.95-841.77, p = .007), and interictal epileptiform discharges during electroencephalographic (EEG) follow-up (OR = 71.32, 95% CI = 6.48-785.32, p < .001) were independently associated with the study outcome. The duration-antibodies-MRI-EEG (DAME) score was developed as an integer-based scoring system predictive of autoimmune-associated epilepsy. With an optimal cutoff of ≥3 points, it yielded a sensitivity of 86.8%, a specificity of 87.5%, and an overall accuracy of 87.1%.</p><p><strong>Significance: </strong>The DAME score could serve as a user-friendly score to predict the risk of autoimmune-associated epilepsy in patients with NORSE due to autoimmune encephalitis.</p>","PeriodicalId":11768,"journal":{"name":"Epilepsia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145854986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}