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Sex-related differences in survival and safety outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a meta-analysis of reconstructed time-to-event data. 经导管主动脉瓣置换术后生存和安全结果的性别相关差异:重建时间-事件数据的荟萃分析
IF 4.6 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcaf022
Kiarash Tavakoli, Negin Sadat Hosseini Mohammadi, Parisa Fallahtafti, Sima Shamshiri Khamene, Maryam Taheri, Pouya Ebrahimi, Pegah Bahiraie, Elaheh Karimi, Mohammad Mobin Alishahi, Mohammadreza Pazoki, Nazanin Anaraki, Sina Kazemian, Ramtin Khanipour, Omar K Khalique, Heidi Thomas May, Rosy Thachil, Mina H Iskander, Abdul Waheed, Kaveh Hosseini

Aims: The impact of sex-related differences on outcomes following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) remains inconclusive. This study investigates sex-related differences in survival and safety outcomes in patients with aortic stenosis undergoing TAVR.

Methods and results: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane Library until November 2024. Individual patient data (IPD) were reconstructed from published Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using Cox-proportional hazards model for overall survival and cardiovascular mortality. Pooled risk ratios (RR) for safety outcomes at 30-days and 1 year were estimated using a random-effects model. A total of 48 studies (69 355 women and 65 580 men) were included. Meta-analysis of reconstructed IPD showed that men were at higher risk of all-cause mortality at 5 years [hazard ratio (HR): 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.20-1.28, P < 0.001] and cardiovascular mortality at 4 years (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.21-1.49, P < 0.001) compared with women. In random-effects meta-analysis, men faced a higher risk of permanent pacemaker implantation (RR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.16-1.44, P < 0.001) during the first year. Men experienced a lower risk of stroke (RR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.64-0.87, P < 0.001) and major vascular complications (RR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.49-0.69, P < 0.001) at 30 days, and a lower risk of major bleeding (RR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.70-0.84, P < 0.001) as well as major vascular complications (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.43-0.68, P < 0.001) within the first year.

Conclusion: Men demonstrated poorer 5-year overall survival and 4-year cardiovascular survival following TAVR compared with women. Future research with extended follow-up is needed to understand the mechanism underlying sex-specific TAVR outcomes.

目的:性别差异对经导管主动脉瓣置换术(TAVR)后预后的影响尚不明确。本研究探讨了主动脉瓣狭窄患者行TAVR的生存率和安全性的性别差异。方法和结果:我们系统地检索了PubMed、Embase、Scopus和Cochrane Library,检索时间截止到2024年11月。根据已发表的Kaplan-Meier曲线重建个体患者数据(IPD),并使用cox比例风险模型对总生存率和心血管死亡率进行比较。使用随机效应模型估计30天和1年的安全结局的综合风险比(RR)。共纳入48项研究(69,355名女性和65,580名男性)。重建IPD的荟萃分析显示,男性在5年时全因死亡率更高(风险比[HR]: 1.24, 95%可信区间[CI]: 1.20-1.28, p)。结论:与女性相比,TAVR后男性的5年总生存率和4年心血管生存率较低。未来的研究需要延长随访时间,以了解性别特异性TAVR结果的机制。
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引用次数: 0
Psoriasis and risk of new-onset degenerative valvular heart disease: a prospective cohort study. 牛皮癣与新发退行性瓣膜性心脏病的风险:一项前瞻性队列研究。
IF 4.6 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae096
Zuoxiang Wang, Junxing Lv, Sheng Zhao, Zheng Yin, Wence Shi, Dejing Feng, Can Wang, Ziang Li, Xiaojin Gao, Yongjian Wu

Background: Recent evidence indicates that degenerative valvular heart disease (VHD) and psoriasis share overlapping risk factors and simultaneous presence of inflammation, yet this relationship has not been thoroughly explored.

Methods and results: Drawing on the prospective cohort data from the UK Biobank, baseline information on psoriasis and the incidence of eight specific types of degenerative VHD-aortic stenosis (AS), aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid stenosis, tricuspid regurgitation, pulmonary stenosis, and pulmonary regurgitation-during the follow-up period were recorded. Cox proportional hazards models were conducted to estimate the association between psoriasis and the risk of degenerative VHD, adjusted for demographic indicators, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, and medication. A total of 494 510 participants were included in the study. Among the participants without psoriasis, 13 672 events of degenerative VHD were observed during a median follow-up of 13.78 years, yielding an incidence rate of 2.14 per 1000 person-years. In contrast, in the psoriasis group (n = 10 917), 422 events of degenerative VHD were reported during a median follow-up of 13.70 years, corresponding to an incidence rate of 2.93 per 1000 person-years. After fully adjusting, participants with psoriasis had a significantly increased risk of AS (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.43), yet no significant associations were observed between psoriasis and the risk of other degenerative valve diseases. In sex subgroup analyses, there was an interaction between sex and psoriasis in the occurrence of AS (P for interaction = 0.039), suggesting a high risk in women.

Conclusions: Psoriasis was significantly associated with the risk of new-onset AS and may be more distinct in females, while no significant associations were observed between psoriasis and the risk of developing other degenerative valve diseases.

背景:最近有证据表明,退行性瓣膜性心脏病(VHD)和银屑病具有相同的风险因素,并且同时存在炎症:最近的证据表明,退行性瓣膜性心脏病(VHD)和银屑病有重叠的风险因素,并同时存在炎症,但这种关系尚未得到深入探讨:利用英国生物库的前瞻性队列数据,记录了银屑病的基线信息和随访期间八种特定类型退行性瓣膜性心脏病的发病率--主动脉瓣狭窄(AS)、主动脉瓣反流、二尖瓣狭窄、二尖瓣反流、三尖瓣狭窄、三尖瓣反流、肺动脉狭窄和肺动脉反流。在对人口统计学指标、生活方式因素、合并症和药物进行调整后,采用 Cox 比例危险模型估算银屑病与退行性血管疾病风险之间的关系:研究共纳入了 494 510 名参与者。在没有银屑病的参与者中,在中位 13.78 年的随访期间观察到 13 672 例退行性血管疾病,发病率为每千人年 2.14 例。相比之下,银屑病组(n = 10 917)在中位数 13.70 年的随访期间报告了 422 例退行性视网膜血管病变,发病率为每千人年 2.93 例。经全面调整后,患有银屑病的参与者罹患强直性脊柱炎的风险显著增加(HR,1.24;95% CI,1.07-1.43),但未观察到银屑病与其他退行性瓣膜疾病风险之间存在显著关联。在性别亚组分析中,性别与银屑病对强直性脊柱炎的发生存在交互作用(p-交互作用=0.039),这表明女性患强直性脊柱炎的风险较高:结论:银屑病与新发强直性脊柱炎的风险显著相关,女性的风险可能更高,而银屑病与罹患其他退行性瓣膜疾病的风险之间没有显著关联。
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引用次数: 0
Antithrombotic therapy following transcatheter aortic valve implantation: a Danish nationwide study. 经导管主动脉瓣植入术后的抗血栓治疗:丹麦的一项全国性研究。
IF 4.6 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcaf003
Helene Ø Vistisen, Peter L Graversen, Eva Havers-Borgersen, Jarl E Strange, Lauge Østergaard, Jawad H Butt, Jordi S Dahl, Jonas A Povlsen, Christian Juhl Terkelsen, Phillip Freeman, Henrik Nissen, Lars Køber, Ole de Backer, Emil L Fosbøl

Background: Antithrombotic therapy post-transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has been widely debated in the past two decades. Data describing practice patterns of antithrombotic therapy are warranted. This study examined the trends in use of antithrombotic therapy post-TAVI in Denmark.

Methods: Danish patients with aortic stenosis who underwent first-time TAVI from 2008 to 2021 were identified from Danish registries. Patients were categorized according to atrial fibrillation (AF) status and antithrombotic therapy post-TAVI based on prescription fillings: no antithrombotic therapy, single antiplatelet therapy (SAPT), dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT), oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC), and oral anticoagulant therapy with antiplatelet therapy (OAC+). Use of antithrombotic therapy among survivors at 15 months was examined to assess persistence and possible changes in treatment.

Results: This study included 6447 patients undergoing TAVI. Among patients without AF (n = 3975), most patients received SAPT or DAPT. In AF patients (n = 2472), most patients received OAC or OAC+ . During the first 14 years of TAVI, there was a shift in the antithrombotic treatment pattern. For patients without AF, SAPT increased from 15.6% to 69.5%, with a concomitant decrease in DAPT from 56.3% to 9.1%. For AF patients, OAC increased from 13.0% to 77.9% and OAC+ decreased to 9.1%. Most patients without AF either remained with or shifted to SAPT. AF patients either remained in or shifted to the OAC group.

Conclusion: Antithrombotic therapy patterns post-TAVI have changed over the first 14 years of TAVI in Denmark. Use of DAPT and OAC+ decreased with a concomitant increase in SAPT and OAC.

背景:在过去的二十年中,经导管主动脉瓣植入术后的抗血栓治疗一直存在广泛的争论。描述抗血栓治疗实践模式的数据是必要的。本研究调查了丹麦tavi后抗血栓治疗的使用趋势。方法:2008年至2021年期间首次接受TAVI的丹麦主动脉瓣狭窄患者从丹麦登记中确定。患者根据房颤(AF)状态和tavi后基于处方填充物的抗血栓治疗进行分类。抗血栓治疗组:无抗血栓治疗、单抗血小板治疗(SAPT)、双抗血小板治疗(DAPT)、口服抗凝治疗(OAC)、口服抗凝治疗联合抗血小板治疗(OAC+)。在15个月的幸存者中使用抗血栓治疗来评估治疗的持久性和可能的改变。结果:本研究纳入6447例TAVI患者。在无房颤的患者中(n = 3975),大多数患者接受SAPT或DAPT治疗。在af患者(n = 2472)中,大多数患者接受OAC或OAC +。在TAVI的前14年中,抗血栓治疗模式发生了变化:对于没有房颤的患者,SAPT从15.6%增加到69.5%,同时DAPT从56.3%下降到9.1%。af患者OAC从13.0%上升到77.9%,OAC +下降到9.1%。大多数没有房颤的患者要么继续使用SAPT,要么转向SAPT。af患者要么留在OAC组,要么转移到OAC组。结论:在丹麦,TAVI后的抗血栓治疗模式在TAVI的前14年发生了变化。DAPT和OAC +的使用随着SAPT和OAC的增加而减少。
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引用次数: 0
Global burden of ischaemic heart disease from 2022 to 2050: projections of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years. 2022 年至 2050 年缺血性心脏病的全球负担:对发病率、流行率、死亡人数和残疾调整寿命年数的预测。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae049
Hujuan Shi, Yihang Xia, Yiran Cheng, Pengcheng Liang, Mingmei Cheng, Baoliang Zhang, Zhen Liang, Yanzhong Wang, Wanqing Xie

Aims: Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) has been a significant public health issue worldwide. This study aims to predict the global burden of IHD in a timely and comprehensive manner.

Methods and results: Incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for IHD from 1990 to 2021 were derived from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, and three models (linear, exponential, and Poisson regression) were used to estimate their trends over time at the global, regional, and national levels by age, sex, and country groups, with the gross domestic product per capita was applied to adjust the model. The model results revealed that the global burden of IHD is expected to increase continuously by 2050. By 2050, global IHD incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs are projected to reach 67.3 million, 510 million, 16 million, and 302 million, respectively, which represents an increase of 116%, 106%, 80%, and 62%, respectively, from 2021. Moreover, the results showed that regions with lower sociodemographic index (SDI) bore a greater burden of IHD than those with higher SDI, with men having a higher burden of IHD than women. People over 70 years old account for a major part of the burden of IHD, and premature death of IHD is also becoming more serious.

Conclusion: The global burden of IHD will increase further by 2050, potentially due to population ageing and economic disparities. Hence, it is necessary to strengthen the prevention of IHD and formulate targeted strategies according to different SDI regions and special populations.

目的:缺血性心脏病(IHD)一直是全球重要的公共卫生问题。本研究旨在及时、全面地预测缺血性心脏病的全球负担:从《2021 年全球疾病负担》数据库中提取了 1990 年至 2021 年缺血性心脏病的发病率、流行率、死亡人数和残疾调整生命年(DALYs),并使用三种模型(线性回归、指数回归和泊松回归)按年龄、性别和国家组别估算了其在全球、地区和国家层面的长期趋势,同时应用人均国内生产总值对模型进行了调整。模型结果显示,预计到 2050 年,全球 IHD 负担将持续增加。预计到 2050 年,全球 IHD 发病率、患病率、死亡人数和残疾调整寿命年数将分别达到 6730 万、5.1 亿、1600 万和 3.02 亿,比 2021 年分别增加 116%、106%、80% 和 62%。此外,研究结果表明,社会人口指数(SDI)较低的地区比社会人口指数较高的地区承受着更大的心血管疾病负担,男性的心血管疾病负担高于女性。70岁以上的老年人是造成心肌缺血和心脏病负担的主要人群,心肌缺血和心脏病导致的过早死亡也越来越严重:结论:到 2050 年,由于人口老龄化和经济差异,全球心血管疾病的负担将进一步加重。因此,有必要加强对 IHD 的预防,并根据不同 SDI 地区和特殊人群制定有针对性的策略。
{"title":"Global burden of ischaemic heart disease from 2022 to 2050: projections of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years.","authors":"Hujuan Shi, Yihang Xia, Yiran Cheng, Pengcheng Liang, Mingmei Cheng, Baoliang Zhang, Zhen Liang, Yanzhong Wang, Wanqing Xie","doi":"10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae049","DOIUrl":"10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae049","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) has been a significant public health issue worldwide. This study aims to predict the global burden of IHD in a timely and comprehensive manner.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>Incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for IHD from 1990 to 2021 were derived from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, and three models (linear, exponential, and Poisson regression) were used to estimate their trends over time at the global, regional, and national levels by age, sex, and country groups, with the gross domestic product per capita was applied to adjust the model. The model results revealed that the global burden of IHD is expected to increase continuously by 2050. By 2050, global IHD incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs are projected to reach 67.3 million, 510 million, 16 million, and 302 million, respectively, which represents an increase of 116%, 106%, 80%, and 62%, respectively, from 2021. Moreover, the results showed that regions with lower sociodemographic index (SDI) bore a greater burden of IHD than those with higher SDI, with men having a higher burden of IHD than women. People over 70 years old account for a major part of the burden of IHD, and premature death of IHD is also becoming more serious.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The global burden of IHD will increase further by 2050, potentially due to population ageing and economic disparities. Hence, it is necessary to strengthen the prevention of IHD and formulate targeted strategies according to different SDI regions and special populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":11869,"journal":{"name":"European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes","volume":" ","pages":"355-366"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141450182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Diverticular disease and risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events: a nationwide matched cohort study. 憩室疾病与重大不良心血管事件的发生风险:一项全国范围的匹配队列研究。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae074
Anders Forss, Wenjie Ma, Marcus Thuresson, Jiangwei Sun, Fahim Ebrahimi, David Bergman, Ola Olén, Johan Sundström, Jonas F Ludvigsson

Background: An increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been reported in patients with diverticular disease (DD). However, there are knowledge gaps about specific risks of each major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) component.

Methods and results: This nationwide cohort study included Swedish adults with DD (1987-2017, N = 52 468) without previous CVD. DD was defined through ICD codes in the National Patient Register and colorectal histopathology reports from the ESPRESSO study. DD cases were matched by age, sex, calendar year, and county of residence to ≤5 population reference individuals (N = 194 525). Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for MACE up until December 2021 were calculated using stratified Cox proportional hazard models. Median age at DD diagnosis was 62 years, and 61% were females. During a median follow-up of 8.6 years, 16 147 incident MACE occurred in individuals with DD and 48 134 in reference individuals [incidence rates (IRs)= 61.4 vs. 43.8/1000 person-years], corresponding to an aHR of 1.24 (95%CI = 1.22-1.27), equivalent to one extra case of MACE for every 6 DD patients followed for 10 years. The risk was increased for ischaemic heart disease (IR = 27.9 vs. 18.6; aHR = 1.36, 95%CI = 1.32-1.40), congestive heart failure (IR = 23.2 vs. 15.8; aHR = 1.26, 95%CI = 1.22-1.31), and stroke (IR = 18.0 vs. 13.7; aHR = 1.15, 95%CI = 1.11-1.19). DD was not associated with cardiovascular mortality (IR = 18.9 vs. 15.3; aHR = 1.01, 95%CI = 0.98-1.05). Results remained robust in sibling-controlled analyses.

Conclusions: Patients with DD had a 24% increased risk of MACE compared with reference individuals, but no increased cardiovascular mortality. Future research should confirm these data and examine underlying mechanisms and shared risk factors between DD and CVD.

背景:有报道称,憩室疾病(DD)患者罹患心血管疾病(CVD)的风险增加。然而,关于每种主要不良心血管事件(MACE)成分的具体风险还存在知识空白:这项全国性队列研究纳入了患有憩室病的瑞典成年人(1987-2017 年,N=52468),他们既往未患心血管疾病。DD是通过全国患者登记册中的ICD代码和ESPRESSO研究中的结直肠组织病理学报告定义的。DD病例按年龄、性别、日历年和居住地县与≤5个人群参照个体(N=194,525)进行匹配。使用分层考克斯比例危险模型计算了截至2021年12月的MACE多变量调整危险比(aHRs):DD诊断时的中位年龄为62岁,61%为女性。在中位随访 8.6 年期间,16147 例 DD 患者发生了 MACE,48134 例参照患者发生了 MACE(发病率 (IRs)=61.4 vs. 43.8/1,000 人-年),相应的 aHR 为 1.24 (95%CI=1.22-1.27),相当于每随访 6 例 DD 患者 10 年,就多发生 1 例 MACE。缺血性心脏病(IR=27.9 vs. 18.6;aHR=1.36,95%CI=1.32-1.40)、充血性心力衰竭(IR=23.2 vs. 15.8;aHR=1.26,95%CI=1.22-1.31)和中风(IR=18.0 vs. 13.7;aHR=1.15,95%CI=1.11-1.19)的风险增加。DD与心血管死亡率无关(IR=18.9 vs. 15.3;aHR=1.01,95%CI=0.98-1.05)。在同胞对照分析中,结果依然可靠:结论:与参照个体相比,DD患者的MACE风险增加了24%,但心血管死亡率并没有增加。未来的研究应该证实这些数据,并研究DD和心血管疾病之间的潜在机制和共同风险因素。
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引用次数: 0
Burden of cardiovascular disease attributable to metabolic risks in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021. 1990 至 2021 年 204 个国家和地区因代谢风险导致的心血管疾病负担。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae090
Huimin Chen, Lu Liu, Yi Wang, Liqiong Hong, Wen Zhong, Thorsten Lehr, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Biao Tang, Haijiang Dai

Aims: To evaluate the global cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden attributable to metabolic risks in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021.

Methods and results: Following the methodologies used in the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, this study analysed CVD deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to metabolic risks by location, age, sex, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). In 2021, metabolic risks accounted for 13.59 million CVD deaths (95% UI 12.01-15.13) and 287.17 million CVD DALYs (95% UI 254.92-316.32) globally, marking increases of 63.3% and 55.5% since 1990, respectively. Despite these increases, age-standardized mortality and DALY rates have significantly declined. The highest age-standardized rates of metabolic risks-attributable CVD mortality and DALYs were observed in Central Asia and Eastern Europe, while the lowest rates were found in High-income Asia Pacific, Australasia, and Western Europe, all of which are high SDI regions. Among the metabolic risks, high systolic blood pressure emerged as the predominant factor, contributing to the highest numbers of CVD deaths [10.38 million (95% UI 8.78-12.03)] and DALYs [14.52 million (95% UI 180.42-247.57)] in 2021, followed by high LDL cholesterol.

Conclusion: Our study highlights the persistent and significant impact of metabolic risks on the global CVD burden from 1990 to 2021, emphasizing the need of designing public health strategies that align with regional healthcare capacities and demographic differences to effectively reduce these effects through enhanced international collaboration and specific policies.

目的:评估1990年至2021年204个国家和地区因代谢风险而造成的全球心血管疾病(CVD)负担:按照《2021 年全球疾病负担研究》(Global Burden of Disease Study 2021)所使用的方法,本研究按地点、年龄、性别和社会人口指数(SDI)分析了代谢风险导致的心血管疾病死亡和残疾调整生命年(DALYs)。2021 年,代谢风险导致全球 1359 万例心血管疾病死亡(95% UI 为 12.01 至 15.13)和 2.8717 亿心血管疾病残疾调整寿命年(95% UI 为 254.92 至 316.32),自 1990 年以来分别增长了 63.3% 和 55.5%。尽管出现了这些增长,但年龄标准化死亡率和残疾调整寿命年数率已显著下降。中亚和东欧可归因于代谢风险的心血管疾病死亡率和残疾调整寿命年数的年龄标准化比率最高,而亚太地区高收入国家、澳大拉西亚和西欧的比率最低,这些地区都是 SDI 较高的地区。在代谢风险中,高收缩压是最主要的因素,导致 2021 年心血管疾病死亡人数最多[1038 万人(95% UI 878 至 12.03)],残疾调整寿命年数最多[1452 万人(95% UI 180.42 至 247.57)],其次是高低密度脂蛋白胆固醇:我们的研究凸显了代谢风险对 1990 年至 2021 年全球心血管疾病负担的持续和显著影响,强调有必要制定与地区医疗保健能力和人口差异相适应的公共卫生战略,通过加强国际合作和制定具体政策来有效减少这些影响。
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引用次数: 0
The cardiovascular disease burden attributable to kidney dysfunction from 1990 to 2021: an age-period-cohort analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study. 1990 年至 2021 年肾功能障碍导致的心血管疾病负担:全球疾病负担研究的年龄段队列分析。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae088
Jiayang Dong, Zhiqiang Zhang, Jiayi Sun, Xinyue Yang, Wenjuan Zhang

Background: Kidney dysfunction (KD) poses a severe threat to human health. The aim of this study is to gain a comprehensive understanding of the trends in cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden attributable to KD, thereby providing a theoretical basis for relevant public health policies.

Methods and results: This study analysed trends in the burden of CVD attributable to KD using the 2021 Global Burden of Disease data. It also examined the differences in mortality rates across various age groups, genders, and subtypes of CVD. Additionally, the age-period-cohort model combined with joinpoint regression analysis was employed to gain further insights into the changing trends and inflection points of CVD-related mortality. In 2021, the global number of deaths from CVD attributable to KD significantly increased compared to 1990. However, the global age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased in 2021. The burden of CVD due to KD was particularly heavy among the elderly. Analysis using the age-period-cohort model revealed a decline in CVD-related mortality rates, with similar trends observed for both men and women.

Conclusion: This study reveals that although the ASMR for CVD due to KD is on a declining trend globally, the absolute number of deaths has significantly increased. This trend is especially pronounced among individuals aged 80 and older, males, and regions with a middle socio-demographic index. In the context of global aging, the burden of CVD related to KD is becoming increasingly substantial.

背景:肾功能障碍(KD)对人类健康构成严重威胁。本研究旨在全面了解肾功能障碍导致心血管疾病(CVD)负担的趋势,从而为相关公共卫生政策提供理论依据:本研究利用 2021 年全球疾病负担数据分析了 KD 导致的心血管疾病负担趋势。研究还考察了不同年龄组、性别和心血管疾病亚型的死亡率差异。此外,还采用了年龄-时期-队列模型结合连接点回归分析的方法,以进一步了解心血管疾病相关死亡率的变化趋势和拐点:结果:与 1990 年相比,2021 年全球死于心血管疾病的人数明显增加。然而,2021年全球年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)却有所下降。KD导致的心血管疾病对老年人造成的负担尤为沉重。使用年龄-时期-队列模型进行的分析表明,与心血管疾病相关的死亡率有所下降,男性和女性的趋势相似:这项研究表明,虽然全球因 KD 导致的心血管疾病的 ASMR 呈下降趋势,但死亡的绝对人数却显著增加。这一趋势在 80 岁及以上人群、男性和社会人口指数(SDI)处于中等水平的地区尤为明显。在全球老龄化的背景下,与 KD 相关的心血管疾病负担正变得越来越沉重。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and risk factors analysis of aortic aneurysm mortality in China over thirty years: based on the global burden of disease 2019 data. 基于2019年全球疾病负担数据的中国主动脉瘤死亡率三十年趋势及风险因素分析。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae084
Hongliang Huang, Liming Tang, Chunjiang Liu, Gan Jin

Objectives: This study aims to analyse the variation in mortality burden of aortic aneurysms (AAs) and explore the associated risk factors based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 data, investigating the mortality burden of AA in China.

Methods and results: Using GBD 2019 data, the mortality burden of AA in China from 1990 to 2019 was analysed. The age-period-cohort model was utilized to analyse time trends, period, and cohort effects of four attributable risk factors of AA by age. In 2019, the total number of AA deaths in China increased by 136.1% compared to 1990, while the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased by 6.8%. Male deaths and ASMR were higher than those of females, and ASMR increased with age. Whether viewed overall [average annual percent change (AAPC): -0.261, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.383 to -0.138] or by sex (female AAPC: -0.812, 95% CI: -0.977 to -0.646; male AAPC: -0.011, 95% CI: -0.183-0.162), the ASMR for AA in China has shown a declining trend since 1990. Attributable risk factors such as high blood pressure, a diet high in sodium, smoking, and lead exposure increase AA mortality with age. Smoking mortality peaks between ages 80 and 85. The cyclical effect of high blood pressure on AA mortality significantly increases, while the cyclical effects of the other three risk factors decrease. For the population born after 1940, the cohort effect of high systolic blood pressure (SBP), a diet high in sodium, and smoking increased, while the cohort effect of lead exposure decreased. The local drift values of high SBP, a diet high in sodium, and smoking decreased, while the local drift value of lead exposure increased. High SBP was identified as the most significant attributable risk factor for AA mortality burden among both males and females, and smoking was another major attributable risk factor, particularly in males.

Conclusion: From 1990 to 2019, fatality due to AA in China increased notably, but the ASMR showed a decreasing trend. The mortality rate of AA was influenced by age, sex, and attributable risk factors, with elderly male smokers carrying a heavy burden of death. Moreover, tobacco control and treatment of hypertension should be strengthened to reduce the burden and its impact on AA.

研究目的本研究旨在基于全球疾病负担(GBD)2019年数据,分析主动脉瘤(AA)死亡率负担的变化并探讨相关风险因素,调查中国AA的死亡率负担:方法:利用全球疾病负担(GBD)2019年数据,分析1990年至2019年中国AA的死亡负担。利用年龄-时期-队列模型分析了AA的4个可归因危险因素在不同年龄段的时间趋势、时期和队列效应:与1990年相比,2019年中国AA死亡总人数增加了136.1%,而年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)下降了6.8%。男性死亡人数和年龄标准化死亡率均高于女性,且年龄标准化死亡率随年龄增长而增加。无论是从整体(平均年百分比变化(AAPC):-0.261,95% 置信区间(CI):-0.383 至 -0.138)还是从性别(女性 AAPC:-0.812,95% CI:-0.977 至 -0.646;男性 AAPC:-0.011,95% CI:-0.183 至 0.162)来看,中国 AA 的 ASMR 自 1990 年以来呈下降趋势。随着年龄的增长,高血压、高钠饮食、吸烟和铅暴露等可归因的风险因素会增加 AA 的死亡率。吸烟死亡率在 80-85 岁之间达到高峰。高血压对 AA 死亡率的周期性影响显著增加,而其他三个风险因素的周期性影响则有所下降。对于 1940 年后出生的人群,高收缩压(SBP)、高钠饮食和吸烟的队列效应增加,而铅暴露的队列效应减少。高收缩压、高钠饮食和吸烟的局部漂移值减小,而铅暴露的局部漂移值增大。高SBP被认为是造成男性和女性AA死亡率负担的最重要的可归因风险因素,而吸烟是另一个主要的可归因风险因素,尤其是在男性中:从 1990 年到 2019 年,中国 AA 死亡率显著上升,但 ASMR 呈下降趋势。AA的死亡率受年龄、性别和可归因风险因素的影响,老年男性吸烟者的死亡负担较重。此外,应加强烟草控制和高血压治疗,以减轻 AA 的负担和影响。
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引用次数: 0
The controversy between atrial fibrillation subtypes and worsening heart failure. 心房颤动亚型与心力衰竭恶化之间的争议。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae018
Amir Razaghizad, Thao Huynh, Abhinav Sharma
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引用次数: 0
Implications of five different risk models in primary prevention guidelines. 五种不同风险模型对初级预防指南的影响。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcae034
Maneesh Sud, Atul Sivaswamy, Peter C Austin, Husam Abdel-Qadir, Todd J Anderson, David M J Naimark, Douglas S Lee, Idan Roifman, George Thanassoulis, Karen Tu, Harindra C Wijeysundera, Dennis T Ko

Background: A lack of consensus exists across guidelines as to which risk model should be used for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Our objective was to determine potential improvements in the number needed to treat (NNT) and number of events prevented (NEP) using different risk models in patients eligible for risk stratification.

Methods and results: A retrospective observational cohort was assembled from primary care patients in Ontario, Canada, between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2014 and followed for up to 5 years. Risk estimation was undertaken in patients 40-75 years of age, without CVD, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs), a recalibrated FRS (R-FRS), the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2), and the low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 (LR-SCORE2). The cohort consisted of 47 399 patients (59% women, mean age 54 years). The NNT with statins was lowest for the SCORE2 at 40, followed by the LR-SCORE2 at 41, the R-FRS at 43, the PCEs at 55, and the FRS at 65. Models that selected for individuals with a lower NNT recommended statins to fewer, but higher-risk patients. For instance, the SCORE2 recommended statins to 7.9% of patients (5-year CVD incidence 5.92%). The FRS, however, recommended statins to 34.6% of patients (5-year CVD incidence 4.01%). Accordingly, the NEP was highest for the FRS at 406 and lowest for the SCORE2 at 156.

Conclusions: Newer models such as the SCORE2 may improve statin allocation to higher-risk groups with a lower NNT but prevent fewer events at the population level.

背景:关于心血管疾病(CVD)一级预防应采用哪种风险模型,各指南之间缺乏共识。我们的目的是确定在符合风险分层条件的患者中使用不同的风险模型对治疗所需人数(NNT)和预防事件数(NEP)的潜在改进:从 2010 年 1 月 1 日至 2014 年 12 月 31 日期间,从加拿大安大略省的初级保健患者中收集了一个回顾性观察队列,并进行了长达 5 年的随访。使用弗雷明汉风险评分(Framingham Risk Score,FRS)、集合队列方程(Pooled Cohort Equations,PCEs)、重新校准的FRS(R-FRS)、系统冠状动脉风险评估2(Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2,SCORE2)和低风险地区重新校准的SCORE2(LR-SCORE2)对40-75岁、无心血管疾病、糖尿病或慢性肾病的患者进行风险评估:队列中有 47399 名患者(59% 为女性,平均年龄 54 岁)。使用他汀类药物的 NNT 最低的是 SCORE2,为 40;其次是 LR-SCORE2,为 41;R-FRS,为 43;PCEs,为 55;FRS,为 65。选择 NNT 较低个体的模型向较少但风险较高的患者推荐他汀类药物。例如,SCORE2 向 7.9% 的患者推荐他汀类药物(5 年心血管疾病发病率为 5.92%)。而 FRS 则向 34.6% 的患者推荐他汀类药物(5 年心血管疾病发病率为 4.01%)。因此,FRS 的 NEP 最高,为 406,SCORE2 最低,为 156.结论:结论:SCORE2 等新模型可改善高风险人群的他汀类药物分配,其 NNT 值较低,但在人群水平上可预防的事件较少。
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引用次数: 0
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European Heart Journal - Quality of Care and Clinical Outcomes
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