首页 > 最新文献

European journal of preventive cardiology最新文献

英文 中文
Albiglutide and atrial fibrillation in patients with Type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease: insights from the Harmony Outcomes trial. 阿必鲁肽与 2 型糖尿病和已确诊心血管疾病患者的心房颤动--和谐结果试验的启示。
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwae379
Konstantin A Krychtiuk, Guillaume Marquis-Gravel, Shannon Murphy, Karen Chiswell, Jennifer B Green, Lawrence A Leiter, Renato D Lopes, Stefano Del Prato, John J V McMurray, Adrian F Hernandez, Christopher B Granger

Aims: Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) are common in patients with Type 2 diabetes and are associated with worse outcomes.

Methods and results: Harmony Outcomes was a multi-centre, event-driven, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial comparing the effects of albiglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist, with placebo on a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs; non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and cardiovascular death) in 9463 patients aged >40 years with Type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease. Herein, the cardiovascular effects of albiglutide in patients with and without AF, as well as the effects on AF events during follow-up, were analysed. Patients with a history of AF (8.9%) exhibited a higher event rate for the primary composite MACE endpoint during 1.6 years of follow-up {12.7 vs. 6.3 events/100 person-years, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.41 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.74], P = 0.001}. Treatment with albiglutide reduced the occurrence of the primary endpoint irrespective of history of AF at baseline (history of AF: aHR 0.83 [0.58-1.19], no history of AF: aHR 0.77 [0.66-0.90]; Pinteraction = 0.71). During follow-up, 239 patients (2.5%) experienced an AF event. Overall, albiglutide was associated with numerically fewer AF events [108 vs. 131; hazard ratio 0.82 (0.63-1.06), P = 0.12], irrespective of baseline history of AF (Pinteraction = 0.92).

Conclusion: In patients with Type 2 diabetes, treatment with albiglutide, compared with placebo, reduced the risk of cardiovascular events irrespective of history of AF. Further, albiglutide treatment did not increase AF adverse events but was associated with a trend to a lower rate of AF events during follow-up without reaching statistical significance.

导言:心房颤动和扑动(房颤)在 2 型糖尿病患者中很常见,并与较差的预后有关。方法:"和谐结果 "是一项多中心、事件驱动、双盲、安慰剂对照试验,比较了胰高血糖素样肽-1(GLP1)受体激动剂阿必鲁肽与安慰剂对9463名年龄大于40岁、患有2型糖尿病并已确诊心血管疾病的患者的主要心脏不良事件(MACE;非致死性心肌梗死;非致死性中风和心血管死亡)的综合影响。本文分析了阿必鲁肽对有房颤和无房颤患者的心血管影响,以及对随访期间房颤事件的影响:结果:有房颤病史的患者(8.9%)在1.6年的随访期间主要复合MACE终点事件发生率较高(12.7 vs. 6.3事件/100人年,调整后危险比(aHR)1.41(95%置信区间(CI)1.14-1.74,p=0.001))。无论基线时是否有房颤病史,使用阿必鲁肽治疗都能降低主要终点的发生率(有房颤病史:aHR0.83(0.58-1.19),无房颤病史:aHR0.77(0.66-0.90);p相互作用=0.71)。随访期间,239 名患者(2.5%)发生了房颤事件。总体而言,无论基线房颤史如何(pinteraction=0.92),阿必鲁肽与房颤事件数量减少相关(108 vs 131;HR 0.82 (0.63-1.06,p=0.12)):结论:在2型糖尿病患者中,与安慰剂相比,使用阿必鲁肽治疗可降低心血管事件的风险,与房颤史无关。此外,阿必鲁肽治疗不会增加房颤不良事件,但与随访期间房颤事件发生率降低的趋势相关,但未达到统计学意义。
{"title":"Albiglutide and atrial fibrillation in patients with Type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease: insights from the Harmony Outcomes trial.","authors":"Konstantin A Krychtiuk, Guillaume Marquis-Gravel, Shannon Murphy, Karen Chiswell, Jennifer B Green, Lawrence A Leiter, Renato D Lopes, Stefano Del Prato, John J V McMurray, Adrian F Hernandez, Christopher B Granger","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwae379","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwae379","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) are common in patients with Type 2 diabetes and are associated with worse outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>Harmony Outcomes was a multi-centre, event-driven, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial comparing the effects of albiglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist, with placebo on a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs; non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and cardiovascular death) in 9463 patients aged >40 years with Type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease. Herein, the cardiovascular effects of albiglutide in patients with and without AF, as well as the effects on AF events during follow-up, were analysed. Patients with a history of AF (8.9%) exhibited a higher event rate for the primary composite MACE endpoint during 1.6 years of follow-up {12.7 vs. 6.3 events/100 person-years, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.41 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.74], P = 0.001}. Treatment with albiglutide reduced the occurrence of the primary endpoint irrespective of history of AF at baseline (history of AF: aHR 0.83 [0.58-1.19], no history of AF: aHR 0.77 [0.66-0.90]; Pinteraction = 0.71). During follow-up, 239 patients (2.5%) experienced an AF event. Overall, albiglutide was associated with numerically fewer AF events [108 vs. 131; hazard ratio 0.82 (0.63-1.06), P = 0.12], irrespective of baseline history of AF (Pinteraction = 0.92).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In patients with Type 2 diabetes, treatment with albiglutide, compared with placebo, reduced the risk of cardiovascular events irrespective of history of AF. Further, albiglutide treatment did not increase AF adverse events but was associated with a trend to a lower rate of AF events during follow-up without reaching statistical significance.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"30-41"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142738902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk of Suicide in Individuals with Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A Nationwide Population-Based Study. 动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病患者的自杀风险:一项基于全国人群的研究
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwag013
Nan Young Bae, Chan Soon Park, Jaehyun Lim, Soongu Kwak, Tae-Min Rhee, Heesun Lee, Hyung-Kwan Kim, Yong-Jin Kim, Jin-Hyung Jung, Bongseong Kim, Kyungdo Han, Jun-Bean Park

Aims: Myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke significantly affect health, quality of life, and socioeconomic stability. We investigated the association of MI and stroke with the risk of suicide.

Methods: This nationwide population-based cohort study used Korean National Health Insurance Service data on all patients diagnosed with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), defined as a composite of MI or stroke, between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2008. For each patient, five age- and sex-matched controls were selected. All participants were followed up from diagnosis (or the corresponding entry date for controls) until suicide, other causes of death, or December 31, 2021, whichever occurred first.

Results: This study included 37,912 individuals with ASCVD and 189,560 matched controls. During a median follow-up of 11.3 years, 1,250 suicides occurred. The incidence rate of suicide per 1,000 person-years were 0.737 and 0.497 among individuals with and without ASCVD, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed a significantly higher risk of suicide for individuals with ASCVD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.24-1.65), with HRs of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.14-1.78) for MI and 1.47 (95% CI, 1.23-1.76) for stroke. The risk of suicide increased further in individuals with both MI and stroke (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.07-3.21). The association between ASCVD and increased suicide risk was consistent across age, sex, and a history of depressive disorder.

Conclusions: Individuals with ASCVD have increased risks of suicide. Our findings suggest the importance of screening and preventing suicidal ideation in individuals with ASCVD to improve prognosis.

目的:心肌梗死(MI)和脑卒中显著影响健康、生活质量和社会经济稳定。我们调查了心肌梗死和中风与自杀风险的关系。方法:这项以全国人口为基础的队列研究使用了韩国国民健康保险服务的数据,收集了2004年1月1日至2008年12月31日期间诊断为动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病(ASCVD)的所有患者的数据,ASCVD定义为心肌梗死或中风的复合症状。对于每个患者,选择5个年龄和性别匹配的对照组。所有参与者从诊断(或对照的相应入职日期)开始随访,直到自杀、其他死亡原因或2021年12月31日,以先发生者为准。结果:这项研究包括37,912名ASCVD患者和189,560名匹配的对照组。在平均11.3年的随访期间,发生了1250起自杀事件。ASCVD患者和非ASCVD患者的自杀率分别为0.737和0.497 / 1000人/年。多变量分析显示,ASCVD患者的自杀风险明显更高(风险比[HR], 1.43; 95%可信区间[CI], 1.24-1.65),心肌梗死的风险比为1.42 (95% CI, 1.14-1.78),卒中的风险比为1.47 (95% CI, 1.23-1.76)。同时患有心肌梗死和中风的患者自杀风险进一步增加(HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.07-3.21)。ASCVD与自杀风险增加之间的关联在年龄、性别和抑郁症史上是一致的。结论:ASCVD患者自杀风险增加。我们的研究结果提示筛查和预防ASCVD患者的自杀意念对改善预后的重要性。
{"title":"Risk of Suicide in Individuals with Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease: A Nationwide Population-Based Study.","authors":"Nan Young Bae, Chan Soon Park, Jaehyun Lim, Soongu Kwak, Tae-Min Rhee, Heesun Lee, Hyung-Kwan Kim, Yong-Jin Kim, Jin-Hyung Jung, Bongseong Kim, Kyungdo Han, Jun-Bean Park","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag013","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke significantly affect health, quality of life, and socioeconomic stability. We investigated the association of MI and stroke with the risk of suicide.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This nationwide population-based cohort study used Korean National Health Insurance Service data on all patients diagnosed with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), defined as a composite of MI or stroke, between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2008. For each patient, five age- and sex-matched controls were selected. All participants were followed up from diagnosis (or the corresponding entry date for controls) until suicide, other causes of death, or December 31, 2021, whichever occurred first.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>This study included 37,912 individuals with ASCVD and 189,560 matched controls. During a median follow-up of 11.3 years, 1,250 suicides occurred. The incidence rate of suicide per 1,000 person-years were 0.737 and 0.497 among individuals with and without ASCVD, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed a significantly higher risk of suicide for individuals with ASCVD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.24-1.65), with HRs of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.14-1.78) for MI and 1.47 (95% CI, 1.23-1.76) for stroke. The risk of suicide increased further in individuals with both MI and stroke (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.07-3.21). The association between ASCVD and increased suicide risk was consistent across age, sex, and a history of depressive disorder.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Individuals with ASCVD have increased risks of suicide. Our findings suggest the importance of screening and preventing suicidal ideation in individuals with ASCVD to improve prognosis.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145911139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mortality and Cumulative Cardiovascular Risk Factor Control in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study. 2型糖尿病患者死亡率和累积心血管危险因素控制:一项基于全国人群的队列研究
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwag012
Zenglei Zhang, Chunqi Wang, Xingyu Zhou, Jiapeng Lu, Bowang Chen, Chaoqun Wu, Xiaoyan Zhang, Yang Yang, Jianlan Cui, Wei Xu, Lijuan Song, Hao Yang, Yan Zhang, Wenyan He, Xianliang Zhou, Xi Li

Aim: Effective control of cardiovascular risk factors reduces mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), but most evidence is based on baseline measurements. This study investigated the associations between changes and cumulative control of cardiovascular risk factors over the follow-up period and mortality.

Methods: We analyzed 138,193 participants with T2D aged 35-75 years from the ChinaHEART project. Risk factor control included no current smoking, healthy diet, physical activity, and normal levels of blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose, and BMI. Cumulative control was assessed using time-weighted average (TWA), and Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs). Changes in control were evaluated by comparing the number of risk factors controlled at baseline and the second follow-up.

Results: Over a median follow-up period of 5.6 years, 9,698 deaths occurred (4,475 from CVD). Compared with participants with 0-2 risk factors controlled, those with 3 and 6-7 factors controlled had lower risks of all-cause mortality [HRs: 0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.81) and 0.43 (0.38-0.48), respectively]. Improved control was associated with reduced mortality [HR: 0.86 (0.77-0.96)] compared to stable low control, whereas degraded control increased mortality risk by 23% compared to stable high control. Participants in the highest quartile of TWA risk factor control had 47% lower mortality [HR: 0.53 (0.47-0.60)] than those in the lowest quartile. Similar associations were observed for CVD mortality.

Conclusions: Sustained and cumulative cardiovascular risk factor control substantially lowers mortality among patients with T2D, underscoring the critical importance of continuous risk factor management.

目的:有效控制心血管危险因素可降低2型糖尿病(T2D)患者的死亡率,但大多数证据是基于基线测量。本研究调查了随访期间心血管危险因素的变化和累积控制与死亡率之间的关系。方法:我们分析了来自中国心脏项目的138,193名年龄在35-75岁之间的T2D患者。风险因素控制包括目前不吸烟、健康饮食、体育活动、正常血压、胆固醇、葡萄糖和BMI水平。累积对照采用时间加权平均值(TWA)评估,Cox模型估计风险比(hr)。通过比较基线和第二次随访时控制的危险因素的数量来评估控制的变化。结果:在5.6年的中位随访期间,发生了9698例死亡(4475例心血管疾病)。与控制0-2个危险因素的参与者相比,控制3个和6-7个危险因素的参与者的全因死亡风险较低[hr: 0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.81)和0.43(0.38-0.48)]。与稳定的低控制相比,改善的控制与死亡率降低相关[HR: 0.86(0.77-0.96)],而与稳定的高控制相比,退化的控制使死亡率风险增加23%。TWA风险因素控制最高四分位数的参与者死亡率比最低四分位数的参与者低47% [HR: 0.53(0.47-0.60)]。心血管疾病死亡率也有类似的关联。结论:持续和累积的心血管危险因素控制大大降低了T2D患者的死亡率,强调了持续危险因素管理的重要性。
{"title":"Mortality and Cumulative Cardiovascular Risk Factor Control in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.","authors":"Zenglei Zhang, Chunqi Wang, Xingyu Zhou, Jiapeng Lu, Bowang Chen, Chaoqun Wu, Xiaoyan Zhang, Yang Yang, Jianlan Cui, Wei Xu, Lijuan Song, Hao Yang, Yan Zhang, Wenyan He, Xianliang Zhou, Xi Li","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag012","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>Effective control of cardiovascular risk factors reduces mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), but most evidence is based on baseline measurements. This study investigated the associations between changes and cumulative control of cardiovascular risk factors over the follow-up period and mortality.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We analyzed 138,193 participants with T2D aged 35-75 years from the ChinaHEART project. Risk factor control included no current smoking, healthy diet, physical activity, and normal levels of blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose, and BMI. Cumulative control was assessed using time-weighted average (TWA), and Cox models estimated hazard ratios (HRs). Changes in control were evaluated by comparing the number of risk factors controlled at baseline and the second follow-up.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Over a median follow-up period of 5.6 years, 9,698 deaths occurred (4,475 from CVD). Compared with participants with 0-2 risk factors controlled, those with 3 and 6-7 factors controlled had lower risks of all-cause mortality [HRs: 0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.81) and 0.43 (0.38-0.48), respectively]. Improved control was associated with reduced mortality [HR: 0.86 (0.77-0.96)] compared to stable low control, whereas degraded control increased mortality risk by 23% compared to stable high control. Participants in the highest quartile of TWA risk factor control had 47% lower mortality [HR: 0.53 (0.47-0.60)] than those in the lowest quartile. Similar associations were observed for CVD mortality.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Sustained and cumulative cardiovascular risk factor control substantially lowers mortality among patients with T2D, underscoring the critical importance of continuous risk factor management.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145911179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The association of haptoglobin levels and phenotype with cardiovascular disease in Type 2 diabetes: a Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes sub-study. 接触珠蛋白水平和表型与2型糖尿病心血管疾病的关系:非诺贝特干预和糖尿病事件降低亚研究
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf562
Kwok Leung Ong, Andrzej S Januszewski, Habib Francis, Rachel L O'Connell, Abubakar Mangani, Liping Li, Peter G Colman, David R Sullivan, James D Best, Russell S Scott, Alicia J Jenkins, Anthony C Keech

Aims: Haptoglobin (HP) 2-2 phenotype has been suggested as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and to modulate fenofibrate benefit on CVD risk in Type 2 diabetes. However, little is known as to whether HP levels modulate CVD risk and fenofibrate response.

Methods and results: Haptoglobin phenotype and levels were determined in 8047 Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes trial participants at baseline and randomization (after a 16 week run-in period, including a 6 week fenofibrate therapy) and their association with new on-trial total CVD events over 5 years was assessed. Higher baseline HP levels were associated with total CVD events in the placebo group {n = 4030, hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.30 [1.02-1.66] for HP level Tertile 3 vs. Tertile 1, P = 0.035}. This was driven by participants with HP 1-1 phenotype (P for interaction = 0.011). Participants with the lowest baseline HP level tertile and HP 1-1 phenotype tended to have the lowest CVD risk, whereas CVD risk was similar in other participants, regardless of HP phenotype and levels. Fenofibrate benefit on total CVD events did not differ significantly by HP phenotypes, baseline HP level tertiles, or tertiles of change in HP levels by fenofibrate during active run-in.

Conclusion: Higher baseline HP levels were associated with a higher CVD risk, especially in participants with HP 1-1 phenotype. A lower CVD risk is found only in Type 2 diabetes participants with both the HP 1-1 phenotype and low baseline HP levels. Fenofibrate benefits on CVD risk reduction did not differ by HP levels or phenotype.

Lay summary: We evaluated the relationship of different forms or phenotypes of the blood protein, haptoglobin, and its circulating levels with the risk of developing CVD and fenofibrate benefit in patients with Type 2 diabetes, and showed that both HP phenotype and levels are important to assess CVD risk in patients with Type 2 diabetes, although fenofibrate did not modulate CVD risk via HP phenotype or level.Higher baseline HP levels were associated with higher CVD risk, especially in participants with HP 1-1 phenotype.Fenofibrate benefit on CVD did not differ by HP phenotype and baseline or change in HP levels.

目的:Haptoglobin (HP) 2-2表型已被认为是心血管疾病(CVD)的危险因素,并调节非诺贝特对2型糖尿病患者CVD风险的益处。然而,关于HP水平是否调节心血管疾病风险和非诺贝特反应,我们所知甚少。方法和结果:在基线和随机分组(经过16周的磨合期,包括6周的非诺贝特治疗)的8047名糖尿病干预和事件降低试验参与者中,确定了Haptoglobin表型和水平,并评估了它们与5年新试验总CVD事件的关系。在安慰剂组中,较高的基线HP水平与总CVD事件相关[n = 4030, HP水平Tertile 3 vs. Tertile 1的风险比[95%可信区间(CI)] = 1.30 [1.02-1.66], P = 0.035]。这是由HP 1-1表型的参与者驱动的(相互作用P = 0.011)。基线HP水平和HP -1表型最低的参与者往往具有最低的CVD风险,而无论HP表型和水平如何,其他参与者的CVD风险相似。非诺贝特对总CVD事件的益处并没有因HP表型、基线HP水平的三分位数或非诺贝特在活动跑步期间HP水平变化的三分位数而显著差异。结论:较高的基线HP水平与较高的CVD风险相关,特别是在HP 1-1表型的参与者中。只有在HP -1表型和低基线HP水平的2型糖尿病参与者中才发现较低的CVD风险。非诺贝特对降低心血管疾病风险的益处不因HP水平或表型而异。
{"title":"The association of haptoglobin levels and phenotype with cardiovascular disease in Type 2 diabetes: a Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes sub-study.","authors":"Kwok Leung Ong, Andrzej S Januszewski, Habib Francis, Rachel L O'Connell, Abubakar Mangani, Liping Li, Peter G Colman, David R Sullivan, James D Best, Russell S Scott, Alicia J Jenkins, Anthony C Keech","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf562","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf562","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Haptoglobin (HP) 2-2 phenotype has been suggested as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and to modulate fenofibrate benefit on CVD risk in Type 2 diabetes. However, little is known as to whether HP levels modulate CVD risk and fenofibrate response.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>Haptoglobin phenotype and levels were determined in 8047 Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes trial participants at baseline and randomization (after a 16 week run-in period, including a 6 week fenofibrate therapy) and their association with new on-trial total CVD events over 5 years was assessed. Higher baseline HP levels were associated with total CVD events in the placebo group {n = 4030, hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.30 [1.02-1.66] for HP level Tertile 3 vs. Tertile 1, P = 0.035}. This was driven by participants with HP 1-1 phenotype (P for interaction = 0.011). Participants with the lowest baseline HP level tertile and HP 1-1 phenotype tended to have the lowest CVD risk, whereas CVD risk was similar in other participants, regardless of HP phenotype and levels. Fenofibrate benefit on total CVD events did not differ significantly by HP phenotypes, baseline HP level tertiles, or tertiles of change in HP levels by fenofibrate during active run-in.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Higher baseline HP levels were associated with a higher CVD risk, especially in participants with HP 1-1 phenotype. A lower CVD risk is found only in Type 2 diabetes participants with both the HP 1-1 phenotype and low baseline HP levels. Fenofibrate benefits on CVD risk reduction did not differ by HP levels or phenotype.</p><p><strong>Lay summary: </strong>We evaluated the relationship of different forms or phenotypes of the blood protein, haptoglobin, and its circulating levels with the risk of developing CVD and fenofibrate benefit in patients with Type 2 diabetes, and showed that both HP phenotype and levels are important to assess CVD risk in patients with Type 2 diabetes, although fenofibrate did not modulate CVD risk via HP phenotype or level.Higher baseline HP levels were associated with higher CVD risk, especially in participants with HP 1-1 phenotype.Fenofibrate benefit on CVD did not differ by HP phenotype and baseline or change in HP levels.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"132-142"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145091420","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of PM2.5 Exposure on Cardiovascular Diseases [IPEC Study]: An Updated Umbrella Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses. PM2.5暴露对心血管疾病的影响[IPEC研究]:系统综述和荟萃分析的最新综述。
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwag005
Yashendra Sethi, Sameer Mehta, Inderbir Padda, Pranay Marlecha, Arsalan Moinuddin

Background: Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a well-recognized environmental pollutant increasingly implicated in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whilst numerous studies have established its deleterious effects, incongruencies in the magnitude, dose-response gradients, and modifying factors across systematic reviews (SRs) and MAs (MAs) have limited translational clarity.

Methods: Per the PRISMA guidelines, we conducted an umbrella review of SRs and MAs examining the association between PM2.5 exposure and cardiovascular morbidity, mortality, or intermediate biomarkers in human populations. Searches were performed across PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar up to June 2025. The methodological quality of included reviews was appraised using AMSTAR 2 and ROBIS.

Results: Thirty-eight SRs and MAs met eligibility criteria, encompassing data from diverse geographic regions and demographic settings. Cumulative evidence demonstrates a robust association between both short- and long-term PM2.5 exposure and elevated cardiovascular risk, including myocardial infarction (RR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03), stroke (RR: 1.011, 95% CI: 1.010-1.012), heart failure (RR: 1.018, 95% CI: 1.011-1.025), arrhythmia (RR: 1.015, 95% CI: 1.006-1.024), and other cardiovascular mortality. Several reviews identified dose-dependent relationships, with increased risk observable even at PM2.5 concentrations below current WHO standards (5 µg/m³ annual mean; 15 µg/m³ 24-hour mean), U.S. national air quality standards (12 µg/m³ annual mean; 35 µg/m³ 24-hour mean), and Indian national air quality standards (40 µg/m³ annual mean; 60 µg/m³ 24-hour mean) have also been associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Subgroup analyses highlighted increased susceptibility among older adults, individuals with pre-existing CVD, and populations in low- and middle-income countries. Whilst most reviews were rated as moderate-to-high quality, methodological heterogeneity in exposure assessment and under-representation of data from South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa remain key limitations.

Conclusions: This umbrella review consolidates high-level evidence linking PM2.5 exposure to a broad spectrum of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. The findings underscore the urgent need to tighten global air quality regulations, prioritize vulnerable populations, and advance mechanistic and regional research to inform tailored policy interventions.

背景:细颗粒物(PM2.5)是一种公认的环境污染物,与心血管疾病(CVD)的发病机制关系日益密切。虽然许多研究已经确定了其有害影响,但在系统评价(SRs)和MAs之间的幅度、剂量反应梯度和修饰因子的不一致限制了翻译的清晰度。方法:根据PRISMA指南,我们对PM2.5暴露与人群心血管发病率、死亡率或中间生物标志物之间的关系进行了总体综述。检索在PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library和谷歌Scholar上进行,截止到2025年6月。采用AMSTAR 2和ROBIS对纳入的综述的方法学质量进行评价。结果:38个sr和ma符合资格标准,包括来自不同地理区域和人口背景的数据。累积证据表明,短期和长期PM2.5暴露与心血管风险升高之间存在显著关联,包括心肌梗死(RR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03)、中风(RR: 1.011, 95% CI: 1.010-1.012)、心力衰竭(RR: 1.018, 95% CI: 1.011-1.025)、心律失常(RR: 1.015, 95% CI: 1.006-1.024)和其他心血管疾病死亡率。几篇综述确定了剂量依赖关系,即使PM2.5浓度低于当前世卫组织标准(5微克/立方米年平均值;15微克/立方米24小时平均值),美国国家空气质量标准(12微克/立方米年平均值;35微克/立方米24小时平均值)和印度国家空气质量标准(40微克/立方米年平均值;60微克/立方米24小时平均值)也与心血管风险增加有关。亚组分析强调,老年人、既往患有心血管疾病的个体以及低收入和中等收入国家的人群易感性增加。虽然大多数综述被评为中等至高质量,但暴露评估方法的异质性以及南亚和撒哈拉以南非洲数据的代表性不足仍然是主要的局限性。结论:这一总括性综述巩固了PM2.5暴露与广泛的心血管不良结局之间的高水平证据。研究结果强调,迫切需要收紧全球空气质量法规,优先考虑弱势群体,并推进机制和区域研究,为有针对性的政策干预提供信息。
{"title":"Impact of PM2.5 Exposure on Cardiovascular Diseases [IPEC Study]: An Updated Umbrella Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.","authors":"Yashendra Sethi, Sameer Mehta, Inderbir Padda, Pranay Marlecha, Arsalan Moinuddin","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag005","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a well-recognized environmental pollutant increasingly implicated in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whilst numerous studies have established its deleterious effects, incongruencies in the magnitude, dose-response gradients, and modifying factors across systematic reviews (SRs) and MAs (MAs) have limited translational clarity.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Per the PRISMA guidelines, we conducted an umbrella review of SRs and MAs examining the association between PM2.5 exposure and cardiovascular morbidity, mortality, or intermediate biomarkers in human populations. Searches were performed across PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar up to June 2025. The methodological quality of included reviews was appraised using AMSTAR 2 and ROBIS.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Thirty-eight SRs and MAs met eligibility criteria, encompassing data from diverse geographic regions and demographic settings. Cumulative evidence demonstrates a robust association between both short- and long-term PM2.5 exposure and elevated cardiovascular risk, including myocardial infarction (RR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03), stroke (RR: 1.011, 95% CI: 1.010-1.012), heart failure (RR: 1.018, 95% CI: 1.011-1.025), arrhythmia (RR: 1.015, 95% CI: 1.006-1.024), and other cardiovascular mortality. Several reviews identified dose-dependent relationships, with increased risk observable even at PM2.5 concentrations below current WHO standards (5 µg/m³ annual mean; 15 µg/m³ 24-hour mean), U.S. national air quality standards (12 µg/m³ annual mean; 35 µg/m³ 24-hour mean), and Indian national air quality standards (40 µg/m³ annual mean; 60 µg/m³ 24-hour mean) have also been associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Subgroup analyses highlighted increased susceptibility among older adults, individuals with pre-existing CVD, and populations in low- and middle-income countries. Whilst most reviews were rated as moderate-to-high quality, methodological heterogeneity in exposure assessment and under-representation of data from South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa remain key limitations.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This umbrella review consolidates high-level evidence linking PM2.5 exposure to a broad spectrum of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. The findings underscore the urgent need to tighten global air quality regulations, prioritize vulnerable populations, and advance mechanistic and regional research to inform tailored policy interventions.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145911125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Glucagon-like peptide-1 analogues and prevention of atrial fibrillation: clinical and mechanistic insights. GLP-1类似物和房颤的预防:临床和机制的见解。
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf242
Qing-Wen Ren, Kai-Hang Yiu
{"title":"Glucagon-like peptide-1 analogues and prevention of atrial fibrillation: clinical and mechanistic insights.","authors":"Qing-Wen Ren, Kai-Hang Yiu","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf242","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf242","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"42-43"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143974546","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Haptoglobin levels: an emerging biomarker or a bystander? 触珠蛋白水平是新兴的生物标志物还是标准?
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf653
Alessandro Rizzi, Bruna Gigante
{"title":"Haptoglobin levels: an emerging biomarker or a bystander?","authors":"Alessandro Rizzi, Bruna Gigante","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf653","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf653","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"143-144"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145279276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
New diagnosis of diabetes in patients with myocardial infarction or stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 心肌梗死或脑卒中患者糖尿病的新诊断:系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf286
Marwa Douelrachad, Alexander Thistle, Hibo Rijal, Ari Ochuba, Calvin Ke, Charlotte Lee, Manav V Vyas

Aims: What proportion of patients with an acute myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke get a new diagnosis of diabetes (NDD) at the time of hospitalization is unclear.

Methods and results: We systematically searched MEDLINE and Embase from database inception to 30 January 2025, to select English-language observational studies that included adult patients with MI or stroke and reported the number of patients with NDD. The denominator was patients without known diabetes. Study quality was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Random-effects meta-analyses were used to calculate the pooled proportion of NDD in patients with MI or stroke. Heterogeneity was explored in subgroup analyses, and any change over time was evaluated using meta-regression. 82 studies that included 9440 patients with NDD were identified. Included studies were of good methodological quality: 17 (22%) tested all eligible patients for diabetes, and 19 (23%) used registry-based samples. 16.0% [95% confidence interval (CI), 14.3-17.7, n = 52] patients with MI had NDD, and 15.3% (95% CI 12.5-18.0, n = 30) patients with stroke had NDD, albeit with high heterogeneity. The pooled proportion was higher when oral glucose tolerance test was used to diagnose diabetes. The proportion of NDD did not change over the last 30 years (0.1% per year decline; 95% CI -0.3% to 0.1%).

Conclusion: Among patients admitted with MI or stroke, one in six gets a new diagnosis of diabetes. Improving diabetes screening could help identify people before having a diabetes-related cardiovascular event.

背景:急性心肌梗死(MI)或脑卒中患者在住院时新诊断为糖尿病(NDD)的比例尚不清楚。方法:我们系统地检索MEDLINE和Embase数据库,从数据库建立到2025年1月30日,选择包括成年心肌梗死或脑卒中患者和报告NDD患者数量的英语观察性研究。分母是没有糖尿病的患者。采用乔安娜布里格斯研究所(JBI)检查表评估研究质量。随机效应荟萃分析用于计算心肌梗死或脑卒中患者中NDD的合并比例。在亚组分析中探讨异质性,并使用元回归评估随时间的任何变化。结果:82项研究纳入9440例NDD患者。纳入的研究具有良好的方法学质量:17项(22%)测试了所有符合条件的糖尿病患者,19项(23%)使用基于登记的样本。16.0%(95%置信区间,14.3 ~ 17.7,n = 52)的心肌梗死患者有NDD, 15.3%(95%置信区间,12.5 ~ 18.0,n = 30)的脑卒中患者有NDD,尽管异质性很高。当OGTT用于诊断糖尿病时,合并比例更高。NDD的比例在过去30年没有变化(每年下降0.1%;95% CI -0.3%至0.1%)。结论:在因心肌梗死或脑卒中入院的患者中,六分之一的患者新诊断为糖尿病。改善糖尿病筛查可以帮助人们在发生与糖尿病相关的心血管事件之前识别出来。
{"title":"New diagnosis of diabetes in patients with myocardial infarction or stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Marwa Douelrachad, Alexander Thistle, Hibo Rijal, Ari Ochuba, Calvin Ke, Charlotte Lee, Manav V Vyas","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf286","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf286","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>What proportion of patients with an acute myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke get a new diagnosis of diabetes (NDD) at the time of hospitalization is unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>We systematically searched MEDLINE and Embase from database inception to 30 January 2025, to select English-language observational studies that included adult patients with MI or stroke and reported the number of patients with NDD. The denominator was patients without known diabetes. Study quality was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Random-effects meta-analyses were used to calculate the pooled proportion of NDD in patients with MI or stroke. Heterogeneity was explored in subgroup analyses, and any change over time was evaluated using meta-regression. 82 studies that included 9440 patients with NDD were identified. Included studies were of good methodological quality: 17 (22%) tested all eligible patients for diabetes, and 19 (23%) used registry-based samples. 16.0% [95% confidence interval (CI), 14.3-17.7, n = 52] patients with MI had NDD, and 15.3% (95% CI 12.5-18.0, n = 30) patients with stroke had NDD, albeit with high heterogeneity. The pooled proportion was higher when oral glucose tolerance test was used to diagnose diabetes. The proportion of NDD did not change over the last 30 years (0.1% per year decline; 95% CI -0.3% to 0.1%).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Among patients admitted with MI or stroke, one in six gets a new diagnosis of diabetes. Improving diabetes screening could help identify people before having a diabetes-related cardiovascular event.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"19-29"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143991562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
External validation of cardiovascular risk scores in patients with Type 2 diabetes using the Spanish population-based CARDIANA cohort. 使用基于西班牙人群的CARDIANA队列对2型糖尿病患者心血管风险评分进行外部验证
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf304
Mónica Enguita-Germán, Asier Ballesteros-Domínguez, Ibai Tamayo, Julián Librero, Ignacio Oscoz-Villanueva, Lluis Forga, Maria José Goñi-Iriarte, Javier Lafita, Oscar Lecea, Naiara Parraza, Berta Ibáñez-Beroiz

Aims: There is an overabundance of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk-prediction models applicable to patients with Type 2 diabetes (T2D), but most of them still require external validation. Our aim was to assess the performance of 18 CVD risk scores in a Spanish cohort of patients with T2D.

Methods and results: The CARdiovascular Risk in patients with DIAbetes in Navarra (CARDIANA) cohort, which includes 20 793 individuals with T2D and no history of CVD, was used to externally validate 13 models developed in patients with T2D [Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease (ADVANCE), Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, Basque Country Prospective Complications and Mortality Study risk engine, Cardiovascular Healthy Study, Diabetes Cohort Study, DIAL2, DIAL2-extended, Fremantle, Kaasenbrood, Swedish National Diabetes Register (NDR), PREDICT1-diabetes, SCORE2-diabetes, and Wan] and 5 models developed in the general population (ASCVD, PREVENT-basic, PREVENT-full, QRISK2, and SCORE2). Harrell's C-statistic and calibration plots were used as measures of discrimination and calibration, respectively. There were 991 incident CVD events within 5 years of follow-up, resulting in a cumulative incidence of 5.0% (95% confidence interval 4.7-5.3). Discrimination ability was moderate for all the models, with SCORE2-diabetes, NDR, PREDICT1-diabetes, PREVENT-full, Wan, ADVANCE, and both DIAL2 models showing the highest C-index values. All models showed good calibration, although most of them required recalibration, with the exception of ADVANCE-, DIAL2-, and SCORE2-related models.

Conclusion: In our context, models derived for or adapted to diabetes patients, as well as models derived in the general population but incorporating diabetes-related metabolic measures (such as Hb1Ac) as predictors, demonstrated better performance than the others. DIAL2, DIAL2-extended, SCORE2-diabetes, and ADVANCE showed optimal calibration even without recalibration, which implies greater applicability, especially for SCORE2-diabetes and ADVANCE because of their simplicity.

目的:目前适用于2型糖尿病(T2D)患者的心血管疾病(CVD)风险预测模型过多,但大多数模型仍需要外部验证。我们的目的是评估西班牙T2D患者队列中18项CVD风险评分的表现。方法与结果:纳瓦拉(CARDIANA)队列中糖尿病患者的心血管风险,包括20793例T2D患者,无CVD病史,用于外部验证在T2D患者中开发的13个模型[糖尿病和血管疾病的作用(ADVANCE),社区动脉粥样硬化风险,巴斯克地区前瞻性并发症和死亡率研究风险引擎,心血管健康研究,糖尿病队列研究,DIAL2, DIAL2扩展,Fremantle, Kaasenbrood,瑞典国家糖尿病登记(NDR)、PREDICT1-diabetes、SCORE2- Diabetes和Wan]和在普通人群中开发的5种模型(ASCVD、prevention -basic、prevention -full、QRISK2和SCORE2)。采用Harrell’sc -统计量和校正图分别作为判别和校正措施。随访5年共发生991例CVD事件,累计发病率为5.0%(95%可信区间4.7-5.3)。所有模型的判别能力均为中等,其中SCORE2-diabetes、NDR、PREDICT1-diabetes、prevention -full、Wan、ADVANCE和两个DIAL2模型的c指数值最高。除了ADVANCE-、DIAL2-和score2相关的模型外,所有模型都显示出良好的校准,尽管大多数模型需要重新校准。结论:在我们的研究背景下,为糖尿病患者衍生或适应的模型,以及在普通人群中衍生但纳入糖尿病相关代谢指标(如Hb1Ac)作为预测指标的模型,表现出比其他模型更好的性能。DIAL2、DIAL2-extended、SCORE2-diabetes和ADVANCE在无需重新校准的情况下也显示出最佳的校准效果,这意味着更大的适用性,特别是SCORE2-diabetes和ADVANCE,因为它们简单。
{"title":"External validation of cardiovascular risk scores in patients with Type 2 diabetes using the Spanish population-based CARDIANA cohort.","authors":"Mónica Enguita-Germán, Asier Ballesteros-Domínguez, Ibai Tamayo, Julián Librero, Ignacio Oscoz-Villanueva, Lluis Forga, Maria José Goñi-Iriarte, Javier Lafita, Oscar Lecea, Naiara Parraza, Berta Ibáñez-Beroiz","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf304","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf304","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>There is an overabundance of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk-prediction models applicable to patients with Type 2 diabetes (T2D), but most of them still require external validation. Our aim was to assess the performance of 18 CVD risk scores in a Spanish cohort of patients with T2D.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>The CARdiovascular Risk in patients with DIAbetes in Navarra (CARDIANA) cohort, which includes 20 793 individuals with T2D and no history of CVD, was used to externally validate 13 models developed in patients with T2D [Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease (ADVANCE), Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, Basque Country Prospective Complications and Mortality Study risk engine, Cardiovascular Healthy Study, Diabetes Cohort Study, DIAL2, DIAL2-extended, Fremantle, Kaasenbrood, Swedish National Diabetes Register (NDR), PREDICT1-diabetes, SCORE2-diabetes, and Wan] and 5 models developed in the general population (ASCVD, PREVENT-basic, PREVENT-full, QRISK2, and SCORE2). Harrell's C-statistic and calibration plots were used as measures of discrimination and calibration, respectively. There were 991 incident CVD events within 5 years of follow-up, resulting in a cumulative incidence of 5.0% (95% confidence interval 4.7-5.3). Discrimination ability was moderate for all the models, with SCORE2-diabetes, NDR, PREDICT1-diabetes, PREVENT-full, Wan, ADVANCE, and both DIAL2 models showing the highest C-index values. All models showed good calibration, although most of them required recalibration, with the exception of ADVANCE-, DIAL2-, and SCORE2-related models.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In our context, models derived for or adapted to diabetes patients, as well as models derived in the general population but incorporating diabetes-related metabolic measures (such as Hb1Ac) as predictors, demonstrated better performance than the others. DIAL2, DIAL2-extended, SCORE2-diabetes, and ADVANCE showed optimal calibration even without recalibration, which implies greater applicability, especially for SCORE2-diabetes and ADVANCE because of their simplicity.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"111-120"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144173276","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Advanced prediction of heart failure risk in elderly diabetic and hypertensive patients using nine machine learning models and novel composite indices: insights from NHANES 2003-2016. 使用9种机器学习模型和新型复合指数预测老年糖尿病和高血压患者心力衰竭风险:来自NHANES 2003-2016的见解
IF 7.5 2区 医学 Q1 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf081
Qiyuan Bai, Hao Chen, Zhen Gao, Bing Li, Shidong Liu, Wentao Dong, Xuhua Li, Bing Song, Cuntao Yu
<p><strong>Aims: </strong>As the global population ages, cardiovascular diseases, particularly heart failure (HF), have become leading causes of mortality and disability among elderly patients. Diabetes and hypertension are major risk factors for cardiovascular diseases, making this group especially vulnerable to HF. Current clinical tools for predicting HF risk are often complex, requiring extensive clinical parameters and laboratory tests, which limit their practical application. Therefore, a need exists for a predictive model that is both simple and effective in assessing HF risk in elderly patients with diabetes and hypertension.</p><p><strong>Methods and results: </strong>This study utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, spanning seven cycles from 2003 to 2016, including 71 058 subjects. The study focused on elderly patients (aged 65 and above) diagnosed with both diabetes and hypertension, ultimately including 1445 participants. We examined seven novel composite indices: a body shape index (ABSI), atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), BARD score, body fat percentage (BFP), body roundness index (BRI), fatty liver index (FLI), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). These indices were selected for their simplicity and ease of calculation from routine clinical assessments. The primary outcome was HF status, and data pre-processing included imputation for missing values using random forest algorithms. Various machine learning models were applied, including random forest, logistic regression, XGBoost, and others, with model performance assessed through metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC AUC). The best-performing model was further analysed using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values to determine feature importance. The study found that the XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance across all evaluation metrics, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.96. Significant predictors of HF included BRI and PNI, which had the highest SHAP values, indicating their substantial influence on model predictions. The study also highlighted the robust predictive capabilities of AIP, particularly in assessing cardiovascular events in elderly patients.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The study demonstrates that novel composite indices like ABSI, AIP, BARD score, BFP, BRI, FLI, and PNI have significant potential in predicting HF risk among elderly diabetic and hypertensive patients. These indices offer clinicians new tools for cardiovascular risk assessment that are simpler and potentially more effective in clinical practice. Future research should focus on validating these findings in different populations and exploring their longitudinal predictive power.</p><p><strong>Lay summary: </strong>This study explores simple and effective ways to predict heart failure risk in elderly patients with diabetes and hypertension by using novel, e
目的:随着全球人口老龄化,心血管疾病,特别是心力衰竭(HF),已成为老年患者死亡和残疾的主要原因。糖尿病和高血压是心血管疾病的主要危险因素,使这一群体特别容易患心力衰竭。目前用于预测心衰风险的临床工具往往很复杂,需要大量的临床参数和实验室测试,这限制了它们的实际应用。因此,需要一种既简单又有效的预测模型来评估老年糖尿病和高血压患者心力衰竭的风险。方法与结果:本研究利用了国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)的数据,涵盖2003年至2016年的七个周期,包括71,058名受试者。这项研究的重点是患有糖尿病和高血压的老年患者(65岁及以上),最终包括1445名参与者。我们研究了7个新的综合指标:体型指数(ABSI)、血浆动脉粥样硬化指数(AIP)、BARD评分、体脂率(BFP)、体圆度指数(BRI)、脂肪肝指数(FLI)和预后营养指数(PNI)。选择这些指标是因为它们简单,便于从常规临床评估中计算。主要结局为心力衰竭状态,数据预处理包括使用随机森林算法对缺失值进行imputation。应用了各种机器学习模型,包括随机森林,逻辑回归,XGBoost等,通过准确性,精度,召回率,F1分数和ROC AUC等指标评估模型性能。使用SHapley加性解释(SHapley Additive explanation)值进一步分析表现最佳的模型,以确定特征重要性。研究发现,XGBoost模型在所有评估指标上都表现出优异的性能,AUC值为0.96。心力衰竭的重要预测因子包括BRI和PNI,它们具有最高的SHAP值,表明它们对模型预测有重大影响。该研究还强调了AIP的强大预测能力,特别是在评估老年患者心血管事件方面。结论:本研究提示ABSI、AIP、BARD评分、体脂率、BRI、FLI、PNI等新型复合指标在预测老年糖尿病高血压患者心力衰竭风险方面具有显著潜力。这些指标为临床医生提供了心血管风险评估的新工具,在临床实践中更简单、更有效。未来的研究应侧重于在不同人群中验证这些发现,并探索其纵向预测能力。
{"title":"Advanced prediction of heart failure risk in elderly diabetic and hypertensive patients using nine machine learning models and novel composite indices: insights from NHANES 2003-2016.","authors":"Qiyuan Bai, Hao Chen, Zhen Gao, Bing Li, Shidong Liu, Wentao Dong, Xuhua Li, Bing Song, Cuntao Yu","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf081","DOIUrl":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf081","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Aims: &lt;/strong&gt;As the global population ages, cardiovascular diseases, particularly heart failure (HF), have become leading causes of mortality and disability among elderly patients. Diabetes and hypertension are major risk factors for cardiovascular diseases, making this group especially vulnerable to HF. Current clinical tools for predicting HF risk are often complex, requiring extensive clinical parameters and laboratory tests, which limit their practical application. Therefore, a need exists for a predictive model that is both simple and effective in assessing HF risk in elderly patients with diabetes and hypertension.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods and results: &lt;/strong&gt;This study utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, spanning seven cycles from 2003 to 2016, including 71 058 subjects. The study focused on elderly patients (aged 65 and above) diagnosed with both diabetes and hypertension, ultimately including 1445 participants. We examined seven novel composite indices: a body shape index (ABSI), atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), BARD score, body fat percentage (BFP), body roundness index (BRI), fatty liver index (FLI), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). These indices were selected for their simplicity and ease of calculation from routine clinical assessments. The primary outcome was HF status, and data pre-processing included imputation for missing values using random forest algorithms. Various machine learning models were applied, including random forest, logistic regression, XGBoost, and others, with model performance assessed through metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC AUC). The best-performing model was further analysed using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values to determine feature importance. The study found that the XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance across all evaluation metrics, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.96. Significant predictors of HF included BRI and PNI, which had the highest SHAP values, indicating their substantial influence on model predictions. The study also highlighted the robust predictive capabilities of AIP, particularly in assessing cardiovascular events in elderly patients.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusion: &lt;/strong&gt;The study demonstrates that novel composite indices like ABSI, AIP, BARD score, BFP, BRI, FLI, and PNI have significant potential in predicting HF risk among elderly diabetic and hypertensive patients. These indices offer clinicians new tools for cardiovascular risk assessment that are simpler and potentially more effective in clinical practice. Future research should focus on validating these findings in different populations and exploring their longitudinal predictive power.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Lay summary: &lt;/strong&gt;This study explores simple and effective ways to predict heart failure risk in elderly patients with diabetes and hypertension by using novel, e","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":"53-63"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143556173","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
European journal of preventive cardiology
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1