Carlo Fumagalli, Giulia Vetere, Greta Pini, Roberto Presta, Alessia Argirò, Samuele Baldasseroni, Mario Bo, Gianluca Campo, Nazario Carrabba, Chiara Curreri, Stefano Fumagalli, Giuseppe Limongelli, Simone Longhi, Beatrice Musumeci, Iacopo Olivotto, Celestino Sardu, Giuseppe Sergi, Giuseppe Tarantini, Lorenzo Tofani, Luigina Guasti, Francesco Cappelli, Raffaele Marfella, Andrea Ungar, Niccolò Marchionni
{"title":"Phenotypes of Vulnerability and Prognosis in Older Adults with Cardiovascular Disease.","authors":"Carlo Fumagalli, Giulia Vetere, Greta Pini, Roberto Presta, Alessia Argirò, Samuele Baldasseroni, Mario Bo, Gianluca Campo, Nazario Carrabba, Chiara Curreri, Stefano Fumagalli, Giuseppe Limongelli, Simone Longhi, Beatrice Musumeci, Iacopo Olivotto, Celestino Sardu, Giuseppe Sergi, Giuseppe Tarantini, Lorenzo Tofani, Luigina Guasti, Francesco Cappelli, Raffaele Marfella, Andrea Ungar, Niccolò Marchionni","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag100","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag100","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146164593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Matteo Lemoli, Claudia Agabiti Rosei, Maria Lorenza Muiesan
{"title":"Cutting out the unnecessary: deprescribing antihypertensive treatments in patients at low cardiovascular risk.","authors":"Matteo Lemoli, Claudia Agabiti Rosei, Maria Lorenza Muiesan","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag097","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag097","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146156045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Gianluigi Guida, Andrea Attanasio, Massimo Piepoli
{"title":"Natural Environments as a Determinant of Heart Failure Risk and Cardiac Remodeling.","authors":"Gianluigi Guida, Andrea Attanasio, Massimo Piepoli","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag095","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag095","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146156094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Why Type D personality matters for cardiovascular health after acute coronary syndrome.","authors":"Nina Kupper","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag094","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag094","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146149589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Joanne McAllister, Alex Harrison, Patrick Doherty, Sally J Singh, Claire A Lawson
Background: Participation in cardiac rehabilitation (CR) by ethnic minorities is poor, despite evidence supporting its effectiveness. This study evaluated CR participation and completion by South Asian compared to White European service users, and assessed factors associated with non-completion in both groups.
Method: The National Audit of Cardiac Rehabilitation (NACR) data (January 2014 to February 2023) was used to identify South Asian and White European service users referred for CR following myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention and coronary artery bypass graft. Logistic regression and backwards selection were used to examine differences in participation and completion between groups and identify associated factors.
Findings: From 421,281 service users eligible for CR (383,833 White European, 37,448 South Asian, 115,812 women, median age 67 years), 222,928 participated (53%), of which 171,297 (77%) completed. After adjustment for age, sex, index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and co-morbidities, South Asian service users were 12% more likely to participate in CR than White Europeans (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.15), but 22% less likely to complete (aOR 0.78, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.82). In both groups, strongest associations with non-completion were higher deprivation, diabetes and being single. In White European and South Asian men, stroke and depression were also key factors. Non-completion was also associated with respiratory conditions in White Europeans and with rheumatism and family cardiovascular history in South Asian men.
Interpretation: South Asians are more likely to participate but less likely to complete CR than White Europeans. Programmes tailored to individual needs are required to reduce disparities in care.
背景:尽管有证据支持心脏康复(CR)的有效性,但少数民族参与心脏康复(CR)的比例较低。本研究评估了南亚人与欧洲白人服务使用者的CR参与和完成情况,并评估了两组中未完成的相关因素。方法:使用国家心脏康复审计(NACR)数据(2014年1月至2023年2月)来识别在心肌梗死、经皮冠状动脉介入治疗和冠状动脉旁路移植术后转介CR的南亚和白种欧洲服务用户。采用Logistic回归和逆向选择分析两组在参与和完成方面的差异,并找出相关因素。研究结果:在421,281名符合CR条件的服务使用者中(383,833名欧洲白人,37,448名南亚人,115,812名女性,中位年龄67岁),222,928人参与(53%),其中171,297人(77%)完成。在调整了年龄、性别、多重剥夺指数(IMD)和合病后,南亚服务使用者参与CR的可能性比欧洲白人高12% (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 1.09至1.15),但完成CR的可能性低22% (aOR 0.78, 95% CI 0.75至0.82)。在这两组中,与未完成学业最相关的是更高的剥夺、糖尿病和单身。在欧洲白人和南亚男性中,中风和抑郁也是关键因素。未完成治疗还与欧洲白人的呼吸系统疾病有关,与南亚男性的风湿病和家族心血管病史有关。解释:南亚人比欧洲白人更有可能参与,但完成CR的可能性更小。需要针对个人需求制定方案,以减少护理方面的差距。
{"title":"Health Inequalities in Cardiac Rehabilitation: A National Cohort Study in England.","authors":"Joanne McAllister, Alex Harrison, Patrick Doherty, Sally J Singh, Claire A Lawson","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag092","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag092","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Participation in cardiac rehabilitation (CR) by ethnic minorities is poor, despite evidence supporting its effectiveness. This study evaluated CR participation and completion by South Asian compared to White European service users, and assessed factors associated with non-completion in both groups.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>The National Audit of Cardiac Rehabilitation (NACR) data (January 2014 to February 2023) was used to identify South Asian and White European service users referred for CR following myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention and coronary artery bypass graft. Logistic regression and backwards selection were used to examine differences in participation and completion between groups and identify associated factors.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>From 421,281 service users eligible for CR (383,833 White European, 37,448 South Asian, 115,812 women, median age 67 years), 222,928 participated (53%), of which 171,297 (77%) completed. After adjustment for age, sex, index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and co-morbidities, South Asian service users were 12% more likely to participate in CR than White Europeans (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.15), but 22% less likely to complete (aOR 0.78, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.82). In both groups, strongest associations with non-completion were higher deprivation, diabetes and being single. In White European and South Asian men, stroke and depression were also key factors. Non-completion was also associated with respiratory conditions in White Europeans and with rheumatism and family cardiovascular history in South Asian men.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>South Asians are more likely to participate but less likely to complete CR than White Europeans. Programmes tailored to individual needs are required to reduce disparities in care.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146149572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Working against the clock: does night shift work drive multisystem disease?","authors":"Rebecca C Richmond, David W Ray","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag064","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag064","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146141563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Arturo Cesaro, Vincenzo Acerbo, Miriam Longo, Alessandra Antonucci, Maria Ida Maiorino, Maria Grazia Monaco, Eugenio Martelli, Giorgio Giudice, Katherine Esposito, Francesco Giorgino, Massimo Federici, Paolo Calabrò
Background: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a prevalent and debilitating complication of diabetes and obesity, yet it remains underrecognized and undertreated. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs), such as semaglutide, have shown cardiovascular benefits, but their impact on peripheral vascular outcomes remains unclear.
Objective: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of semaglutide on limb events (LEs) in individuals with type 2 diabetes and/or overweight or obesity.
Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, 19 randomized controlled trials encompassing 51,557 participants were included. Major limb events, prespecified and reported as safety outcomes in the original trials, were defined a priori as the primary outcome of this meta-analysis, comprising revascularizations, amputations, and PAD progression. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model.
Results: Semaglutide significantly reduced the risk of LEs compared to control interventions (OR 0.70; 95% CI 0.60-0.82; p < 0.0001), with no heterogeneity across studies (I² = 0%). Benefits were consistent across patient subgroups, in patients with diabetes (OR 0.70; 95% CI: 0.57-0.87; p = 0.001) or obesity (OR 0.71; 95% CI: 0.56-0.89; p = 0.003); oral formulation (0.71; 95% CI: 0.53-0.94; p = 0.02) or subcutaneous (0.68; 95% CI: 0.49-0.95; p = 0.02 and 0.71; 95% CI: 0.57-0.89; p = 0.003, for 1.0 mg and 2.4 mg, respectively); and regardless of background SGLT2 inhibitor use. Meta-regression showed no significant effect modification by age, BMI, HbA1c, follow-up duration, or SGLT2i use.
Conclusions: This meta-analysis suggest that semaglutide is associated with a significant reduction in major limb events across diverse populations and treatment settings, supporting a potential protective effect on limb-related vascular safety.
背景:外周动脉疾病(PAD)是糖尿病和肥胖的一种普遍且衰弱的并发症,但它仍然未被充分认识和治疗。胰高血糖素样肽-1受体激动剂(GLP-1 RAs),如semaglutide,已显示出心血管益处,但其对周围血管结局的影响尚不清楚。目的:我们进行了一项系统回顾和荟萃分析,以评估西马鲁肽对2型糖尿病和/或超重或肥胖患者肢体事件(LEs)的影响。方法:遵循PRISMA指南,纳入19项随机对照试验,共51,557名受试者。在原始试验中预先指定并报告为安全结局的主要肢体事件被先验地定义为本荟萃分析的主要结局,包括血管重建、截肢和PAD进展。采用随机效应模型计算合并优势比(ORs)和95%置信区间(ci)。结果:与对照干预相比,Semaglutide显著降低了LEs的风险(OR 0.70; 95% CI 0.60-0.82; p < 0.0001),研究间无异质性(I²= 0%)。获益在患者亚组中是一致的,糖尿病患者(OR 0.70; 95% CI: 0.57-0.87; p = 0.001)或肥胖患者(OR 0.71; 95% CI: 0.56-0.89; p = 0.003);口服制剂(0.71;95% CI: 0.53-0.94; p = 0.02)或皮下制剂(0.68;95% CI: 0.49-0.95; p = 0.02和0.71;95% CI: 0.57-0.89; p = 0.003,分别为1.0 mg和2.4 mg);与SGLT2抑制剂使用背景无关。meta回归显示年龄、BMI、HbA1c、随访时间或SGLT2i使用没有显著影响。结论:这项荟萃分析表明,在不同的人群和治疗环境中,西马鲁肽与重大肢体事件的显著减少有关,支持对肢体相关血管安全的潜在保护作用。
{"title":"Impact of Semaglutide on Limb Events: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.","authors":"Arturo Cesaro, Vincenzo Acerbo, Miriam Longo, Alessandra Antonucci, Maria Ida Maiorino, Maria Grazia Monaco, Eugenio Martelli, Giorgio Giudice, Katherine Esposito, Francesco Giorgino, Massimo Federici, Paolo Calabrò","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag077","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag077","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a prevalent and debilitating complication of diabetes and obesity, yet it remains underrecognized and undertreated. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs), such as semaglutide, have shown cardiovascular benefits, but their impact on peripheral vascular outcomes remains unclear.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of semaglutide on limb events (LEs) in individuals with type 2 diabetes and/or overweight or obesity.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Following PRISMA guidelines, 19 randomized controlled trials encompassing 51,557 participants were included. Major limb events, prespecified and reported as safety outcomes in the original trials, were defined a priori as the primary outcome of this meta-analysis, comprising revascularizations, amputations, and PAD progression. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Semaglutide significantly reduced the risk of LEs compared to control interventions (OR 0.70; 95% CI 0.60-0.82; p < 0.0001), with no heterogeneity across studies (I² = 0%). Benefits were consistent across patient subgroups, in patients with diabetes (OR 0.70; 95% CI: 0.57-0.87; p = 0.001) or obesity (OR 0.71; 95% CI: 0.56-0.89; p = 0.003); oral formulation (0.71; 95% CI: 0.53-0.94; p = 0.02) or subcutaneous (0.68; 95% CI: 0.49-0.95; p = 0.02 and 0.71; 95% CI: 0.57-0.89; p = 0.003, for 1.0 mg and 2.4 mg, respectively); and regardless of background SGLT2 inhibitor use. Meta-regression showed no significant effect modification by age, BMI, HbA1c, follow-up duration, or SGLT2i use.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This meta-analysis suggest that semaglutide is associated with a significant reduction in major limb events across diverse populations and treatment settings, supporting a potential protective effect on limb-related vascular safety.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146149495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"\"U'r-in(e)!- Urine-albumin-creatinine ratio-the old kid on a new block!","authors":"Yakubu Bene-Alhasan, Vijay Nambi, Christie Ballantyne","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag083","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag083","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146141498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Annie Chang, Niekbachsh Mohammadnia, Michael C Honigberg
{"title":"Interleukin-6 and the Inflammatory Origins of Chronic Kidney Disease.","authors":"Annie Chang, Niekbachsh Mohammadnia, Michael C Honigberg","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag088","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag088","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146141574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Joris Holtrop, Mari N Gynnild, Matthew Richards, Carl-Emil Lim, Mitja Lääperi, Salil V Deo, Håvard Dalen, Peter Ueda, Sanjay Rajagopalan, Małgorzata Chlabicz, Karol Kaminski, Ignacio Mahíllo Fernández, Ingvild Saltvedt, Jean-Eudes Dazard, Hanne Ellekjær, Ph Gabriel Steg, José Tuñón, Torbjørn Omland, Juha Sinisalo, John Munkhaugen, Tomas Jernberg, Deepak L Bhatt, Angela Wood, Frank L J Visseren, Steven H J Hageman, Jannick A N Dorresteijn
Background: Guidelines recommend using the SMART2 model, estimating the risk of recurrent cardiovascular (CV) events, to support treatment decisions in patients with established atherosclerotic CV disease (ASCVD). They further outline that adding biomarkers, comorbidities, anthropometric, and social factors may improve these predictions.
Aims: To investigate the added predictive value of guideline-outlined factors including biomarkers, comorbidities, anthropometric, and social factors on top of the SMART2 model using an approach enabling their use as add-on predictors.
Methods: Patients aged 40-80 with ASCVD were included from 11 cohorts (n=179,382 with 25,789 recurrent CV events). Additional factors included biomarkers (troponin I, NT-proBNP, albuminuria), comorbidities (heart failure, atrial fibrillation, coronary multivessel disease), anthropometric measurements (body-mass index, waist and hip circumference), social (employment, education), and other factors (former smoking, parental CV history). Cross-cohort availability of these factors ranged from 2 cohorts for albuminuria to all cohorts for BMI. These factors were assessed as add-on predictors to the SMART2 model using Fine-Gray models with SMART2 coefficients as offset with recurrent CV events as primary outcome (non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke, or CV death). Added predictive value was assessed through cohort cross validation by change (Δ) in C--statistic, calibration, and net benefit through decision curve analysis.
Results: Sub distribution hazard ratios for additional factors ranged from 0.77 [95% confidence interval 0.75-0.80] for employment status to 1.69 [1.63-1.76] for heart failure history. ΔC-statistic was largest for NT-proBNP (0.0127 [0.0060-0.0193]) and troponin I (0.0100 [0.0020-0.0181]), with statistically significant but smaller ΔC-statistics for employment, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Calibration was adequate before and after integration of additional factors. Decision curve analysis demonstrated added net benefit beyond SMART2 for NT-proBNP, heart failure history, atrial fibrillation, albuminuria, current employment, coronary multivessel disease, and education level across clinically relevant thresholds up to 40% predicted risk.
Conclusions: The flexible add-on of guideline-outlined factors on top of SMART2 enables more personalised and improved estimation of recurrent CV event risk in patients with established ASCVD.
{"title":"Improving 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction in patients with established cardiovascular disease: flexible addition of risk predictors on top of the SMART2 risk score.","authors":"Joris Holtrop, Mari N Gynnild, Matthew Richards, Carl-Emil Lim, Mitja Lääperi, Salil V Deo, Håvard Dalen, Peter Ueda, Sanjay Rajagopalan, Małgorzata Chlabicz, Karol Kaminski, Ignacio Mahíllo Fernández, Ingvild Saltvedt, Jean-Eudes Dazard, Hanne Ellekjær, Ph Gabriel Steg, José Tuñón, Torbjørn Omland, Juha Sinisalo, John Munkhaugen, Tomas Jernberg, Deepak L Bhatt, Angela Wood, Frank L J Visseren, Steven H J Hageman, Jannick A N Dorresteijn","doi":"10.1093/eurjpc/zwag086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/eurjpc/zwag086","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Guidelines recommend using the SMART2 model, estimating the risk of recurrent cardiovascular (CV) events, to support treatment decisions in patients with established atherosclerotic CV disease (ASCVD). They further outline that adding biomarkers, comorbidities, anthropometric, and social factors may improve these predictions.</p><p><strong>Aims: </strong>To investigate the added predictive value of guideline-outlined factors including biomarkers, comorbidities, anthropometric, and social factors on top of the SMART2 model using an approach enabling their use as add-on predictors.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients aged 40-80 with ASCVD were included from 11 cohorts (n=179,382 with 25,789 recurrent CV events). Additional factors included biomarkers (troponin I, NT-proBNP, albuminuria), comorbidities (heart failure, atrial fibrillation, coronary multivessel disease), anthropometric measurements (body-mass index, waist and hip circumference), social (employment, education), and other factors (former smoking, parental CV history). Cross-cohort availability of these factors ranged from 2 cohorts for albuminuria to all cohorts for BMI. These factors were assessed as add-on predictors to the SMART2 model using Fine-Gray models with SMART2 coefficients as offset with recurrent CV events as primary outcome (non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke, or CV death). Added predictive value was assessed through cohort cross validation by change (Δ) in C--statistic, calibration, and net benefit through decision curve analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Sub distribution hazard ratios for additional factors ranged from 0.77 [95% confidence interval 0.75-0.80] for employment status to 1.69 [1.63-1.76] for heart failure history. ΔC-statistic was largest for NT-proBNP (0.0127 [0.0060-0.0193]) and troponin I (0.0100 [0.0020-0.0181]), with statistically significant but smaller ΔC-statistics for employment, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Calibration was adequate before and after integration of additional factors. Decision curve analysis demonstrated added net benefit beyond SMART2 for NT-proBNP, heart failure history, atrial fibrillation, albuminuria, current employment, coronary multivessel disease, and education level across clinically relevant thresholds up to 40% predicted risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The flexible add-on of guideline-outlined factors on top of SMART2 enables more personalised and improved estimation of recurrent CV event risk in patients with established ASCVD.</p>","PeriodicalId":12051,"journal":{"name":"European journal of preventive cardiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146141528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}