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The Tradeoff Between Health and Wealth in Retirement Decisions 退休决定中健康与财富的权衡
Pub Date : 2014-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2440805
Kristine M. Brown
In the United States, because access to health insurance is tied to employment, the availability of retiree health insurance interacts with post-retirement income to shape the retirement decision. This paper uses administrative data from the California Department of Education to estimate the rate at which individuals’ trade off post-retirement health insurance benefits for a longer retirement and for retirement income benefits. The sensitivity of retirement to the return to working in terms of post-retirement health insurance is estimated. This estimate is then compared to the sensitivity of retirement to pension generosity in order to determine the implied rate at which individuals substitute between health insurance and pension benefits. The two estimation methods used leverage plausibly exogenous benefit variation driven by the sharp features of the retiree benefit programs. The results imply that individuals will delay retirement to become eligible for retiree health benefits, but that the effect is small relative to the effect of pension benefits on retirement timing.
在美国,由于获得健康保险与就业挂钩,因此退休人员健康保险的可用性与退休后收入相互作用,从而影响退休决定。本文使用来自加州教育部的行政数据来估计个人在退休后健康保险福利与更长的退休时间和退休收入福利之间权衡的比率。从退休后健康保险的角度估计,退休对重返工作岗位的敏感性。然后将这一估计值与退休对养恤金慷慨程度的敏感性进行比较,以确定个人在健康保险和养恤金福利之间进行替代的隐含比率。这两种估算方法利用了由退休人员福利计划的尖锐特征驱动的合理的外生福利变化。结果表明,个人将推迟退休以获得退休人员健康福利,但相对于养老金福利对退休时间的影响而言,这种影响较小。
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引用次数: 5
Анализ Факторов, Влияющих На Принятие Решения Относительно Возраста Выхода На Пенсию (Analysis of Factors that Influences on Decision About Retirement Age)
Pub Date : 2014-03-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2431196
A. Aganbegyan, Y. Gorlin, Y. Dormidontova, T. Maleva, V. Nazarov
Russian Abstract: Было проанализировано потенциальное влияние пенсионной реформы на возраст выхода на пенсию пожилых: нормативное повышение официального возраста выхода на пенсию и финансовое стимулирование более позднего выхода на пенсию.English Abstract: This work explores problems connected with retirement age decision. Russian and foreign works were studied; also analysis of statistic data about working activity of elderly is done. The study revealed the next factors that influence employment: individual attitude, financial situation, family situation, last workplace. Analysis of potential influence of pension reforms on retirement age shows data about role of the formal rise of official retirement age and financial stimulation of increasing of it.
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引用次数: 0
The True Impact of Immediate Annuities on Retirement Sustainability: A Total Wealth Perspective 即时年金对退休可持续性的真正影响:一个总财富的视角
Pub Date : 2013-07-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2296867
Michael E. Kitces, W. Pfau
Past research on systematic withdrawals and annuitization tends to find that partial annuitization reduces the probability of financial asset depletion and may even provide an opportunity to build a larger portfolio legacy value for sufficiently long retirement periods. We agree with these findings, but determine that partial annuitization itself is only the reason for these outcomes in a subset of cases. When retiree wealth is investigated from a total balance sheet perspective, by including the present value of remaining single-premium immediate annuity (SPIA) payments as a way to show the implied stock/bond asset allocation glidepath, a significant portion of the benefits provided by a stocks/SPIA strategy can be explained by the implied rising equity glidepath underlying the approach. Accordingly, we examine the relative success of static portfolios, stock/SPIA portfolios, and dynamic stock/bond portfolios that match the glidepath of a stock/SPIA strategy, in order to separate the impact of the glidepath and the impact of mortality credits into their component parts. The conclusion shows that prior studies which indicated a benefit of partially annuitizing a retiree’s portfolio were often actually showing the benefits of a rising equity glidepath using a bucketed liquidation strategy that spends down fixed assets first and allows the household equity allocation to rise. Although this research finds that SPIAs can enhance retirement success, retirees must live well past life expectancy before the unique mortality credit contribution from SPIAs provides material benefits, as the remainder of the SPIA “benefit” can be replicated simply by using bonds and stocks with a rising equity glidepath. In fact, for those who do not live to life expectancy, the impact of SPIAs is positive only because the value of the rising equity glidepath (which can be replicated without the SPIA) outweighs the negative contribution from mortality credits. Because the primary value of SPIAs accrues for those who live beyond life expectancy, the results also show that inflation-adjusted SPIAs are more effective than fixed SPIAs, due to the larger payments in later years. Given this current research, the primary scenarios where SPIAs should be used are specifically those where the intent is to hedge significant longevity risk beyond life expectancy; in the remaining scenarios for most retirees, though, the more effective way to improve retirement outcomes is simply to implement the rising equity glidepath that bucketed SPIA strategies indirectly create.
过去对系统性提款和年金化的研究往往发现,部分年金化降低了金融资产枯竭的可能性,甚至可能为足够长的退休期提供一个建立更大的投资组合遗产价值的机会。我们同意这些发现,但确定部分年化本身只是部分案例中这些结果的原因。当从总资产负债表的角度调查退休人员财富时,通过包括剩余单保费即时年金(SPIA)支付的现值作为显示隐含的股票/债券资产配置滑梯的方式,股票/SPIA策略提供的大部分收益可以通过隐含的股票上升滑梯来解释。因此,我们研究了静态投资组合、股票/SPIA投资组合和动态股票/债券投资组合的相对成功,这些投资组合与股票/SPIA策略的滑行道相匹配,以便将滑行道的影响和死亡信用的影响分离到它们的组成部分。结论表明,先前的研究表明,部分年金化退休人员的投资组合的好处,实际上往往显示了一个上升的股票滑梯的好处,使用桶状清算策略,首先花费固定资产,并允许家庭股票配置上升。尽管本研究发现,SPIA可以提高退休后的成功程度,但退休人员必须活得远远超过预期寿命,SPIA的独特死亡抵免贡献才能提供物质利益,因为SPIA“利益”的其余部分可以简单地通过使用债券和股票来复制。事实上,对于那些没有达到预期寿命的人来说,SPIA的影响是积极的,只是因为不断上升的股票滑梯的价值(可以在没有SPIA的情况下复制)超过了死亡信贷的负面贡献。由于SPIAs的主要价值是为那些寿命超过预期寿命的人积累的,因此结果还表明,通货膨胀调整后的SPIAs比固定的SPIAs更有效,因为在以后的几年里支付的金额更大。鉴于目前的研究,应该使用SPIAs的主要情况是那些旨在对冲预期寿命以外的重大长寿风险的情况;然而,对于大多数退休人员来说,在其他情况下,改善退休生活的更有效方法是简单地实施股票上涨的滑梯,这是SPIA策略间接造成的。
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引用次数: 0
The Emergence of a Comprehensive Regulatory Framework for Pension Death Benefits in Botswana 博茨瓦纳出现养恤金死亡津贴综合管理框架
Pub Date : 2013-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/SLR/HMS042
Mtendeweka Mhango
This article examines and comments on the death benefit provisions in the Bill and the regulations. It starts by discussing the existing death benefits provisions in the Pension and Provident Funds Act and Regulations. Through case law, the article highlights some of the inadequacies in existing regulation. The article identifies that one of the problems in the existing regulation is that the Board of Trustees (herein after as the Board) enjoys wide and unlimited discretion in relation to the payment of death benefits. It argues that the Bill and its regulations should be welcomed because they provide clear guiding principles and boundaries to assist the Board in the exercise of its discretion over the payment of death benefits.
本文对《条例》和《条例》中有关死亡抚恤金的规定进行了审查和评论。本文首先讨论了《养老金和公积金法和条例》中现有的死亡抚恤金条款。本文通过判例法分析,指出了现行规制的不足之处。文章指出,现有条例的一个问题是,理事会(以下简称理事会)在支付死亡抚恤金方面享有广泛和无限的自由裁量权。它认为,该法案及其条例应受到欢迎,因为它们提供了明确的指导原则和界限,以协助联委会在支付死亡抚恤金方面行使其自由裁量权。
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引用次数: 0
Changing Sources of Income Among the Aged Population 老龄人口收入来源的变化
Pub Date : 2012-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2181632
B. Bosworth, Kathleen Burke
This paper focuses on an explanation for the large shift over the past two decades in the composition of the income of the aged (65+), increasing the role of earned income and reducing the importance of income from their own assets. We find that the pattern of change is consistently reported in all of the major household surveys. The increase in the importance of labor income can be attributed to delayed exit from the labor force by workers at older ages. We attribute the increase in work time to a rise in the proportion of more educated workers who choose to continue working, changes within the pension system that previously encouraged early retirement, and a decline in the availability of retiree health insurance. The increase in work time is concentrated among the highest income groups and those with the most education, suggesting that it is largely voluntary. The fall in asset income can be traced to lower interest rates and a reduced propensity for the aged to convert their wealth to annuities. It does not reflect reduced wealth at older ages. A measure of the annuity equivalent of their wealth holdings suggests that there has been no decline for aged units. We also find only a weak relationship between changes in asset income and the decision to remain in the workforce.
本文的重点是解释过去二十年来老年人(65岁以上)收入构成的巨大变化,增加了劳动收入的作用,降低了自己资产收入的重要性。我们发现,在所有主要的家庭调查中,变化的模式都是一致的。劳动收入重要性的增加可以归因于年龄较大的工人推迟退出劳动力市场。我们将工作时间的增加归因于选择继续工作的受教育程度更高的工人比例的上升,以前鼓励提前退休的养老金制度的变化,以及退休人员健康保险的可用性的下降。工作时间的增加主要集中在收入最高的人群和受教育程度最高的人群中,这表明工作时间的增加在很大程度上是自愿的。资产收入的下降可以追溯到较低的利率和老年人将财富转换为年金的倾向的减少。这并不能反映老年人财富的减少。对他们财富持有的年金等价物的一项衡量表明,养老单位没有减少。我们还发现,资产收入的变化与留在劳动力市场的决定之间只有微弱的关系。
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引用次数: 18
Pension Funds and the Required Minimum Funding Ratio: A Research on Earnings Management in Dutch Pension Funds 养老基金与最低资金比率:荷兰养老基金盈余管理研究
Pub Date : 2012-10-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2163732
P. Westerduin, Jerry Wouterson, H. Langendijk
This paper suggests that the financial crisis, which made itself felt at end of 2008, gave company pension funds in the Netherlands cause to manage the funding ratio, in order to prevent it from dropping below the level of the required minimum funding ratio. On the other hand, industry-wide pension funds have not managed their funding ratio. Possible explanations are: the (stronger) involvement of social partners, and the greater social and political visibility of industry-wide pension funds. In addition, the sponsor of a company pension fund usually sits on the Managing Board of the pension fund and, in this way, is able to exercise influence on the policy of the pension fund.
本文认为,2008年底爆发的金融危机给了荷兰公司养老基金管理资金比率的理由,以防止其低于所需的最低资金比率水平。另一方面,全行业的养老基金没有管理好自己的资金比例。可能的解释是:社会合作伙伴(更强)的参与,以及全行业养老基金更大的社会和政治可见度。此外,公司养老基金的保荐人通常是养老基金管理委员会的成员,通过这种方式,能够对养老基金的政策施加影响。
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引用次数: 0
An Efficient Frontier for Retirement Income 退休收入的有效边界
Pub Date : 2012-09-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2151259
W. Pfau
This article outlines a different way to think about building a retirement income strategy, which moves dramatically away from the concepts of safe withdrawal rates and failure rates. The focus is how to best meet two competing financial objectives for retirement: satisfying spending goals and preserving financial assets. The process described here focuses on allocating assets between a portfolio of stocks and bonds, inflation-adjusted and fixed single-premium immediate annuities (SPIAs), and immediate variable annuities with guaranteed living benefit riders (VA/GLWBs). This process incorporates unique client circumstances, bases asset return assumptions on current market conditions, uses a consistent fee structure for a fair comparison between income tools, operationalizes the concept of diminishing returns from spending by incorporating a minimum needs threshold and a lifestyle spending goal, uses survival probabilities to calculate outcomes, and incorporates client preferences to balance the competing financial objectives for the final choice among the collection of allocations that define the efficient frontier for retirement income. Results are presented for a 65-year old couple whose lifestyle needs require a 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawal rate from retirement date assets. Their efficient frontier generally consists of combinations of stocks and fixed SPIAs. Perhaps surprisingly, bonds, inflation-adjusted SPIAs, and VA/GLWBs do not serve a useful role in the couple’s optimal retirement income portfolio.
这篇文章概述了一种不同的方式来思考建立退休收入策略,它大大远离了安全提款率和失败率的概念。重点是如何最好地满足两个相互竞争的退休财务目标:满足支出目标和保护金融资产。这里描述的过程侧重于在股票和债券投资组合,通货膨胀调整和固定的单保费即时年金(SPIAs)和即时可变年金(VA/GLWBs)之间配置资产。这个过程结合了独特的客户情况,基于当前市场条件的资产回报假设,使用一致的费用结构来公平比较收入工具,通过结合最低需求阈值和生活方式支出目标来操作支出收益递减的概念,使用生存概率来计算结果。并纳入客户偏好,以平衡相互竞争的财务目标,从而在一系列配置中做出最终选择,这些配置定义了退休收入的有效边界。结果显示了一对65岁的夫妇,他们的生活方式需要从退休日期的资产中提取4%的通货膨胀调整后的提款率。它们的有效边界通常由股票和固定指数的组合组成。也许令人惊讶的是,债券、经通胀调整的spia和VA/GLWBs在这对夫妇的最佳退休收入投资组合中并没有起到有用的作用。
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引用次数: 24
Measuring Social Security Proposals by More than Solvency: Impacts on Poverty, Progressivity, Horizontal Equity, and Work Incentives 衡量社会保障提案不仅仅是偿付能力:对贫困、累进性、横向公平和工作激励的影响
Pub Date : 2012-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2060544
Melissa M. Favreault, C. E. Steuerle
As interest in proposals to restore Social Security solvency rises, it’s timely to examine whether current policy analyses provide adequate information on important distributional questions. This project explores measures of changes in Social Security benefits’ adequacy, horizontal equity, and efficiency under different proposals. We apply the measures to simulation output from the Urban Institute’s Dynamic Simulation of Income Model under the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform Social Security proposal. A series of exhibits illustrates how they work and could inform policymakers about the relative merits of varied options to restore the program’s long-run solvency and meet other objectives.
随着人们对恢复社会保障偿付能力的提议越来越感兴趣,现在是时候检查一下当前的政策分析是否为重要的分配问题提供了足够的信息。本项目探讨了不同方案下社会保障福利充分性、横向公平性和效率变化的衡量指标。我们将这些措施应用于国家财政责任和改革委员会社会保障提案下城市研究所动态模拟收入模型的模拟输出。一系列的展品说明了它们是如何工作的,并可以让政策制定者了解各种选择的相对优点,以恢复该计划的长期偿付能力和实现其他目标。
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引用次数: 10
How Important is Asset Allocation to Financial Security in Retirement? 资产配置对退休后的财务安全有多重要?
Pub Date : 2012-04-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2039385
A. Munnell, N. Orlova, A. Webb
Financial advice tends to focus on financial assets, but other levers may be more important for most households. This paper proceeds in three stages. The first section reports a simple Excel spreadsheet exercise that provides a stylized example of the tradeoff between returns and time spent in the labor force. The second section uses data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) on pre-retirees aged 51-64 to see how the gap between retirement needs and retirement resources is affected by working longer, taking out a reverse mortgage, controlling spending, and shifting all assets to equities with no risk. The third section uses a simple dynamic programming model to calculate a risk-adjusted measure of the value for the average household of moving from a typical conservative portfolio to an optimal portfolio. The answer from all three exercises is the same: the focus on asset allocation is misplaced.
理财建议往往侧重于金融资产,但对大多数家庭来说,其他杠杆可能更为重要。本文分三个阶段进行。第一部分报告了一个简单的Excel电子表格练习,它提供了一个在劳动回报和时间之间进行权衡的程式化示例。第二部分使用来自健康与退休研究(HRS)的数据,研究年龄在51-64岁之间的预退休人员,以了解退休需求和退休资源之间的差距如何受到工作时间延长、反向抵押贷款、控制支出以及将所有资产无风险地转移到股票的影响。第三部分使用一个简单的动态规划模型来计算普通家庭从典型的保守投资组合到最优投资组合的价值的风险调整度量。这三种做法的答案都是一样的:把重点放在资产配置上是错误的。
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引用次数: 34
What Explains State Variation in SSDI Application Rates? 如何解释各州在SSDI申请率上的差异?
Pub Date : 2011-12-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1970314
Norma B. Coe, K. Haverstick, A. Munnell, A. Webb
Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) applications and receipts vary greatly by state. This paper investigates the extent to which this geographic variation in SSDI applications reflects differences in health, demographics, and employment characteristics, state policies, and politics. We find that demographic, health, and employment characteristics of the state have the greatest effect on state-level variations in SSDI application rates, explaining over 70 percent of the variation. State policy concerning mandated employer-sponsored disability insurance (also known as temporary disability insurance or TDI) has a small negative effect on overall SSDI applications. This finding supports the principle underlying many recent SSDI reform plans: temporary disability insurance coverage could save the SSDI program considerable funds in the long run. Further, when we look to explain variation within a state, we find that state changes in health insurance regulation are negatively correlated with the SSDI application rate. This could be an indication that the Affordable Care Act (ACA) may have spillovers to the SSDI program.
社会保障残疾保险(SSDI)的申请和收据因州而异。本文调查了SSDI应用中的这种地理差异在多大程度上反映了健康、人口、就业特征、国家政策和政治方面的差异。我们发现,州的人口、健康和就业特征对SSDI申请率在州一级的变化影响最大,解释了70%以上的变化。有关强制性雇主赞助的残疾保险(也称为临时残疾保险或TDI)的国家政策对总体SSDI申请有很小的负面影响。这一发现支持了最近许多社会保障计划改革计划的基本原则:从长远来看,临时残疾保险覆盖可以为社会保障计划节省大量资金。此外,当我们试图解释一个州内的变化时,我们发现健康保险监管的州变化与SSDI申请率呈负相关。这可能表明平价医疗法案(ACA)可能会对SSDI计划产生溢出效应。
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引用次数: 28
期刊
SIRN: Retirement Income (Topic)
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