首页 > 最新文献

Geoscientific Model Development最新文献

英文 中文
Simulation model of Reactive Nitrogen Species in an Urban Atmosphere using a Deep Neural Network: RNDv1.0 基于深度神经网络的城市大气活性氮模拟模型:RNDv1.0
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5251-2023
Junsu Gil, Meehye Lee, Jeonghwan Kim, Gangwoong Lee, Joonyoung Ahn, Cheol-Hee Kim
Abstract. Nitrous acid (HONO) plays an important role in the formation of ozone and fine aerosols in the urban atmosphere. In this study, a new simulation approach is presented to calculate the HONO mixing ratios using a deep neural technique based on measured variables. The Reactive Nitrogen Species using a Deep Neural Network (RND) simulation is implemented in Python. The first version of RND (RNDv1.0) is trained, validated, and tested with HONO measurement data obtained in Seoul, South Korea, from 2016 to 2021. RNDv1.0 is constructed using k-fold cross validation and evaluated with index of agreement, correlation coefficient, root mean squared error, and mean absolute error. The results show that RNDv1.0 adequately represents the main characteristics of the measured HONO, and it is thus proposed as a supplementary model for calculating the HONO mixing ratio in a polluted urban environment.
摘要亚硝酸(HONO)在城市大气中臭氧和细颗粒物的形成中起着重要作用。在本研究中,提出了一种新的模拟方法,利用基于测量变量的深度神经技术计算HONO混合比。使用深度神经网络(RND)模拟的活性氮物种是在Python中实现的。第一版RND (RNDv1.0)在2016年至2021年期间在韩国首尔使用HONO测量数据进行了训练、验证和测试。RNDv1.0采用k-fold交叉验证构建,并采用一致性指数、相关系数、均方根误差和平均绝对误差进行评价。结果表明,RNDv1.0能较好地反映实测HONO的主要特征,可作为计算城市污染环境下HONO混合比的补充模型。
{"title":"Simulation model of Reactive Nitrogen Species in an Urban Atmosphere using a Deep Neural Network: RNDv1.0","authors":"Junsu Gil, Meehye Lee, Jeonghwan Kim, Gangwoong Lee, Joonyoung Ahn, Cheol-Hee Kim","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5251-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5251-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Nitrous acid (HONO) plays an important role in the formation of ozone and fine aerosols in the urban atmosphere. In this study, a new simulation approach is presented to calculate the HONO mixing ratios using a deep neural technique based on measured variables. The Reactive Nitrogen Species using a Deep Neural Network (RND) simulation is implemented in Python. The first version of RND (RNDv1.0) is trained, validated, and tested with HONO measurement data obtained in Seoul, South Korea, from 2016 to 2021. RNDv1.0 is constructed using k-fold cross validation and evaluated with index of agreement, correlation coefficient, root mean squared error, and mean absolute error. The results show that RNDv1.0 adequately represents the main characteristics of the measured HONO, and it is thus proposed as a supplementary model for calculating the HONO mixing ratio in a polluted urban environment.","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135781086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modernizing the open-source community Noah with multi-parameterization options (Noah-MP) land surface model (version 5.0) with enhanced modularity, interoperability, and applicability 通过多参数化选项(Noah MP)实现开源社区Noah的现代化陆地表面模型(版本5.0),增强了模块性、互操作性和适用性
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5131-2023
Cenlin He, Prasanth Valayamkunnath, M. Barlage, Fei Chen, David Gochis, Ryan Cabell, Tim Schneider, Roy Rasmussen, Guo-Yue Niu, Zong-Liang Yang, D. Niyogi, Michael Ek
Abstract. The widely used open-source community Noah with multi-parameterization options (Noah-MP) land surface model (LSM) isdesigned for applications ranging from uncoupled land surfacehydrometeorological and ecohydrological process studies to coupled numericalweather prediction and decadal global or regional climate simulations. It hasbeen used in many coupled community weather, climate, and hydrology models. Inthis study, we modernize and refactor the Noah-MP LSM by adopting modern Fortrancode standards and data structures, which substantially enhance the modelmodularity, interoperability, and applicability. The modernized Noah-MP isreleased as the version 5.0 (v5.0), which has five key features: (1) enhanced modularization as a result of re-organizing model physics into individualprocess-level Fortran module files, (2) an enhanced data structure with newhierarchical data types and optimized variable declaration andinitialization structures, (3) an enhanced code structure and calling workflowas a result of leveraging the new data structure and modularization, (4) enhanced(descriptive and self-explanatory) model variable naming standards, and (5) enhanced driver and interface structures to be coupled with the hostweather, climate, and hydrology models. In addition, we create a comprehensivetechnical documentation of the Noah-MP v5.0 and a set of model benchmark andreference datasets. The Noah-MP v5.0 will be coupled to variousweather, climate, and hydrology models in the future. Overall, the modernizedNoah-MP allows a more efficient and convenient process for future modeldevelopments and applications.
摘要广泛使用的开源社区Noah多参数化选项(Noah- mp)陆地表面模型(LSM)设计用于从非耦合陆地表面水文气象和生态水文过程研究到耦合数值天气预报和年代际全球或区域气候模拟等应用。它已被用于许多耦合的社区天气、气候和水文模型。在本研究中,我们通过采用现代Fortrancode标准和数据结构对Noah-MP LSM进行了现代化和重构,从而大大增强了模型的模块化、互操作性和适用性。现代化的诺亚mp作为5.0版本(v5.0)发布,它有五个关键特性:(1)由于将模型物理重新组织到单个进程级Fortran模块文件中,增强了模块化;(2)增强了数据结构,具有新的分层数据类型和优化的变量声明和初始化结构;(3)利用新的数据结构和模块化,增强了代码结构和调用工作流;(4)增强了(描述性和自解释性)模型变量命名标准;(5)与主机天气、气候和水文模式耦合的驱动和界面结构增强。此外,我们还创建了一个全面的Noah-MP v5.0技术文档和一组模型基准和参考数据集。在未来,诺亚mp 5.0将与各种天气、气候和水文模型相结合。总的来说,现代化的诺亚- mp为未来的模型开发和应用提供了更有效和方便的过程。
{"title":"Modernizing the open-source community Noah with multi-parameterization options (Noah-MP) land surface model (version 5.0) with enhanced modularity, interoperability, and applicability","authors":"Cenlin He, Prasanth Valayamkunnath, M. Barlage, Fei Chen, David Gochis, Ryan Cabell, Tim Schneider, Roy Rasmussen, Guo-Yue Niu, Zong-Liang Yang, D. Niyogi, Michael Ek","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5131-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5131-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The widely used open-source community Noah with multi-parameterization options (Noah-MP) land surface model (LSM) is\u0000designed for applications ranging from uncoupled land surface\u0000hydrometeorological and ecohydrological process studies to coupled numerical\u0000weather prediction and decadal global or regional climate simulations. It has\u0000been used in many coupled community weather, climate, and hydrology models. In\u0000this study, we modernize and refactor the Noah-MP LSM by adopting modern Fortran\u0000code standards and data structures, which substantially enhance the model\u0000modularity, interoperability, and applicability. The modernized Noah-MP is\u0000released as the version 5.0 (v5.0), which has five key features: (1) enhanced modularization as a result of re-organizing model physics into individual\u0000process-level Fortran module files, (2) an enhanced data structure with new\u0000hierarchical data types and optimized variable declaration and\u0000initialization structures, (3) an enhanced code structure and calling workflow\u0000as a result of leveraging the new data structure and modularization, (4) enhanced\u0000(descriptive and self-explanatory) model variable naming standards, and (5) enhanced driver and interface structures to be coupled with the host\u0000weather, climate, and hydrology models. In addition, we create a comprehensive\u0000technical documentation of the Noah-MP v5.0 and a set of model benchmark and\u0000reference datasets. The Noah-MP v5.0 will be coupled to various\u0000weather, climate, and hydrology models in the future. Overall, the modernized\u0000Noah-MP allows a more efficient and convenient process for future model\u0000developments and applications.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41540530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Simulated stable water isotopes during the mid-Holocene and pre-industrial periods using AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso 使用AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso模拟全新世中期和工业化前时期的稳定水同位素
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5153-2023
Xiaoxu Shi, A. Cauquoin, Gerrit Lohmann, L. Jonkers, Qian Wang, Hu Yang, Yuchen Sun, Martin Werner
Abstract. Numerical simulations employing prognostic stable water isotopes can not only facilitate our understanding of hydrological processes and climate change but also allow for a direct comparison between isotope signals obtained from models and various archives. In the current work, we describe the performance and explore the potential of a new version of the Earth system model AWI-ESM (Alfred Wegener Institute Earth System Model), labeled AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso, in which we incorporated three isotope tracers into all relevant components of the water cycle. We present here the results of pre-industrial (PI) and mid-Holocene (MH) simulations. The model reproduces the observed PI isotope compositions in both precipitation and seawater well and captures their major differences from the MH conditions. The simulated relationship between the isotope composition in precipitation (δ18Op) and surface air temperature is very similar between the PI and MH conditions, and it is largely consistent with modern observations despite some regional model biases. The ratio of the MH–PI difference in δ18Op to the MH–PI difference in surface air temperature is comparable to proxy records over Greenland and Antarctica only when summertime air temperature is considered. An amount effect is evident over the North African monsoon domain, where a negative correlation between δ18Op and the amount of precipitation is simulated. As an example of model applications, we studied the onset and withdrawal date of the MH West African summer monsoon (WASM) using daily variables. We find that defining the WASM onset based on precipitation alone may yield erroneous results due to the substantial daily variations in precipitation, which may obscure the distinction between pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Combining precipitation and isotope indicators, we suggest in this work a novel method for identifying the commencement of the WASM. Moreover, we do not find an obvious difference between the MH and PI periods in terms of the mean onset of the WASM. However, an advancement in the WASM withdrawal is found in the MH compared to the PI period due to an earlier decline in insolation over the northern location of Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ).
摘要采用预测稳定水同位素的数值模拟不仅有助于我们理解水文过程和气候变化,还可以直接比较从模型和各种档案中获得的同位素信号。在目前的工作中,我们描述了新版地球系统模型AWI-ESM(阿尔弗雷德·韦格纳研究所地球系统模型)的性能并探索了其潜力,该模型被标记为AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso,其中我们将三种同位素示踪剂纳入了水循环的所有相关组成部分。我们在这里展示了工业化前(PI)和全新世中期(MH)模拟的结果。该模型再现了在降水和海水井中观察到的PI同位素组成,并捕捉到了它们与MH条件的主要差异。在PI和MH条件下,降水中同位素组成(δ18Op)和地表气温之间的模拟关系非常相似,尽管存在一些区域模型偏差,但它与现代观测结果基本一致。只有在考虑夏季气温的情况下,δ18Op中的MH–PI差异与地表气温中的MH-PI差异之比才能与格陵兰岛和南极洲的代理记录相比较。数量效应在北非季风区很明显,在那里模拟了δ18Op与降水量之间的负相关性。作为模型应用的一个例子,我们使用日变量研究了MH西非夏季风(WASM)的开始和结束日期。我们发现,由于降水量的巨大日变化,仅根据降水量来定义WASM发作可能会产生错误的结果,这可能会混淆季风前季节和季风季节之间的区别。结合降水和同位素指标,我们在这项工作中提出了一种新的方法来识别WASM的开始。此外,就WASM的平均发作而言,我们没有发现MH和PI周期之间的明显差异。然而,与PI期相比,由于热带辐合带(ITCZ)北部位置的日照减少较早,MH期的WASM消退有所增加。
{"title":"Simulated stable water isotopes during the mid-Holocene and pre-industrial periods using AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso","authors":"Xiaoxu Shi, A. Cauquoin, Gerrit Lohmann, L. Jonkers, Qian Wang, Hu Yang, Yuchen Sun, Martin Werner","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5153-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5153-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Numerical simulations employing prognostic stable water isotopes can not only facilitate our understanding of hydrological processes and climate change but also allow for a direct comparison between isotope signals obtained from models and various archives. In the current work, we describe the performance and explore the potential of a new version of the Earth system model AWI-ESM (Alfred Wegener Institute Earth System Model), labeled AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso, in which we incorporated three isotope tracers into all relevant components of the water cycle. We present here the results of pre-industrial (PI) and mid-Holocene (MH) simulations. The model reproduces the observed PI isotope compositions in both precipitation and seawater well and captures their major differences from the MH conditions. The simulated relationship between the isotope composition in precipitation (δ18Op) and surface air temperature is very similar between the PI and MH conditions, and it is largely consistent with modern observations despite some regional model biases. The ratio of the MH–PI difference in δ18Op to the MH–PI difference in surface air temperature is comparable to proxy records over Greenland and Antarctica only when summertime air temperature is considered. An amount effect is evident over the North African monsoon domain, where a negative correlation between δ18Op and the amount of precipitation is simulated. As an example of model applications, we studied the onset and withdrawal date of the MH West African summer monsoon (WASM) using daily variables. We find that defining the WASM onset based on precipitation alone may yield erroneous results due to the substantial daily variations in precipitation, which may obscure the distinction between pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Combining precipitation and isotope indicators, we suggest in this work a novel method for identifying the commencement of the WASM. Moreover, we do not find an obvious difference between the MH and PI periods in terms of the mean onset of the WASM. However, an advancement in the WASM withdrawal is found in the MH compared to the PI period due to an earlier decline in insolation over the northern location of Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ).\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47163460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Open-ocean tides simulated by ICON-O, version icon-2.6.6 ICON-O模拟的公海潮汐,版本ICON-2.6.6
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5179-2023
Jin-Song von Storch, Eileen Hertwig, Veit Lüschow, Nils Brüggemann, Helmuth Haak, Peter Korn, V. Singh
Abstract. This paper evaluates barotropic tides simulated by a newly developed multi-layer ocean general circulation, ICON-O, and assesses processes and model configurations that can impact the quality of the simulated tides. Such an investigation is crucial for applications addressing internal tides that are much more difficult to evaluate than the barotropic tides.Although not specially tuned for tides and not constrained by any observations, ICON-O is capable of producing the main features of the open-ocean barotropic tides as described by the geographical distributions of amplitude, phase, and amphidromic points. An error analysis shows, however, that the open-ocean tides simulated by ICON-O are less accurate than those simulated by two other ocean general circulation models (OGCMs), especially when not properly adjusting the time step and the parameters used in the time-stepping scheme. Based on a suite of tidal experiments, we show that anincrease in horizontal resolution only improves tides in shallow waters. Relevant for using ICON-O with its telescoping grid capacity, we show that spatial inhomogeneity does not deteriorate the quality of the simulated tides. We further show that implementing a parameterization of topographic wave drag improves the quality of the simulated tides in deep ocean independent of the model configuration used, whereas the implementation of a self-attraction and loading (SAL) parameterization in a low-resolution (40 km) version of ICON-O degrades the quality of tides in shallow ocean.Finally, we show that the quality of tides simulated by ICON-O with low resolution (40 km) can be significantly improved by adjusting the time step or the parameters in the time-stepping scheme used for obtaining the model solution.
摘要本文评估了新开发的多层海洋环流ICON-O模拟的正压潮汐,并评估了可能影响模拟潮汐质量的过程和模型配置。这种研究对于处理比正压潮汐更难评估的内部潮汐的应用至关重要。尽管ICON-O没有专门针对潮汐进行调整,也不受任何观测的限制,但它能够产生公海正压潮汐的主要特征,如振幅、相位和两流点的地理分布所描述的那样。然而,误差分析表明,ICON-O模拟的公海潮汐不如其他两个海洋环流模型(OGCM)模拟的准确,尤其是在没有适当调整时间步长和时间步长方案中使用的参数的情况下。基于一系列潮汐实验,我们发现水平分辨率的提高只会改善浅水区的潮汐。与使用具有伸缩网格容量的ICON-O相关,我们表明空间不均匀性不会恶化模拟潮汐的质量。我们进一步表明,实施地形波阻力参数化可以提高深海模拟潮汐的质量,而与所使用的模型配置无关,而在低分辨率(40 km)版本的ICON-O降低了浅海中潮汐的质量。最后,我们证明了ICON-O以低分辨率模拟的潮汐质量(40 km)可以通过调整用于获得模型解的时间步长方案中的时间步长或参数来显著改善。
{"title":"Open-ocean tides simulated by ICON-O, version icon-2.6.6","authors":"Jin-Song von Storch, Eileen Hertwig, Veit Lüschow, Nils Brüggemann, Helmuth Haak, Peter Korn, V. Singh","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5179-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5179-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. This paper evaluates barotropic tides simulated by a newly developed multi-layer ocean general circulation, ICON-O, and assesses processes and model configurations that can impact the quality of the simulated tides. Such an investigation is crucial for applications addressing internal tides that are much more difficult to evaluate than the barotropic tides.\u0000Although not specially tuned for tides and not constrained by any observations, ICON-O is capable of producing the main features of the open-ocean barotropic tides as described by the geographical distributions of amplitude, phase, and amphidromic points. An error analysis shows, however, that the open-ocean tides simulated by ICON-O are less accurate than those simulated by two other ocean general circulation models (OGCMs), especially when not properly adjusting the time step and the parameters used in the time-stepping scheme. Based on a suite of tidal experiments, we show that an\u0000increase in horizontal resolution only improves tides in shallow waters. Relevant for using ICON-O with its telescoping grid capacity, we show that spatial inhomogeneity does not deteriorate the quality of the simulated tides. We further show that implementing a parameterization of topographic wave drag improves the quality of the simulated tides in deep ocean independent of the model configuration used, whereas the implementation of a self-attraction and loading (SAL) parameterization in a low-resolution (40 km) version of ICON-O degrades the quality of tides in shallow ocean.\u0000Finally, we show that the quality of tides simulated by ICON-O with low resolution (40 km) can be significantly improved by adjusting the time step or the parameters in the time-stepping scheme used for obtaining the model solution.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49307180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Improved representation of volcanic sulfur dioxide depletion in Lagrangian transport simulations: a case study with MPTRAC v2.4 拉格朗日输运模拟中火山二氧化硫耗竭的改进表示:MPTRAC v2.4的案例研究
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5197-2023
Mingzhao Liu, L. Hoffmann, S. Griessbach, Z. Cai, Yi Heng, Xue Wu
Abstract. The lifetime of sulfur dioxide (SO2) in the Earth's atmosphere varies from orders of hours to weeks, mainly depending on whether cloud water is present or not. The volcanic eruption on Ambae Island, Vanuatu, in July 2018 injected a large amount of SO2 into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UT/LS) region with abundant cloud cover. In-cloud removal is therefore expected to play an important role during long-range transport and dispersion of SO2. In order to better represent the rapid decay processes of SO2 observed by the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) in Lagrangian transport simulations, we simulate the SO2 decay in a more realistic manner compared to our earlier work, considering gas-phase hydroxyl (OH) chemistry, aqueous-phase hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) chemistry, wet deposition, and convection. The either newly developed or improved chemical and physical modules are implemented in the Lagrangian transport model Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations (MPTRAC) and tested in a case study for the July 2018 Ambae eruption. To access the dependencies of the SO2 lifetime on the complex atmospheric conditions, sensitivity tests are conducted by tuning the control parameters, e.g., by changing the release height, the predefined OH climatology data, the cloud pH value, the cloud cover, and other variables. Wet deposition and aqueous-phase H2O2 oxidation remarkably increased the decay rate of the SO2 total mass, which leads to a rapid and more realistic depletion of the Ambae plume. The improved representation of chemical and physical SO2 loss processes described here is expected to lead to more realistic Lagrangian transport simulations of volcanic eruption events with MPTRAC in future work.
摘要二氧化硫(SO2)在地球大气中的寿命从几小时到几周不等,主要取决于云水是否存在。2018年7月瓦努阿图Ambae岛火山喷发,将大量SO2注入对流层上层和平流层下层(UT/LS)云量丰富的区域。因此,云内去除预计将在SO2的远距离传输和分散中发挥重要作用。为了更好地反映大气红外探测器(AIRS)和对流层监测仪器(TROPOMI)在拉格朗日输运模拟中观测到的SO2的快速衰变过程,我们考虑了气相羟基(OH)化学、水相过氧化氢(H2O2)化学、湿沉积和对流等因素,以比以往更真实的方式模拟了SO2的衰变。新开发或改进的化学和物理模块在拉格朗日输运模型大规模平行轨迹计算(MPTRAC)中实施,并在2018年7月Ambae火山喷发的案例研究中进行了测试。为了获得二氧化硫寿命对复杂大气条件的依赖关系,通过调整控制参数进行敏感性测试,例如,通过改变释放高度、预定义的OH气候学数据、云pH值、云量和其他变量。湿沉积和水相H2O2氧化显著增加了SO2总质量的衰减速率,导致Ambae羽流的快速和更真实的枯竭。本文描述的化学和物理SO2损失过程的改进表示有望在未来的工作中使用MPTRAC进行更真实的火山喷发事件拉格朗日输运模拟。
{"title":"Improved representation of volcanic sulfur dioxide depletion in Lagrangian transport simulations: a case study with MPTRAC v2.4","authors":"Mingzhao Liu, L. Hoffmann, S. Griessbach, Z. Cai, Yi Heng, Xue Wu","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5197-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5197-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The lifetime of sulfur dioxide (SO2) in the Earth's atmosphere varies from orders of hours to weeks, mainly depending on whether cloud water is present or not. The volcanic eruption on Ambae Island, Vanuatu, in July 2018 injected a large amount of SO2 into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UT/LS) region with abundant cloud cover. In-cloud removal is therefore expected to play an important role during long-range transport and dispersion of SO2. In order to better represent the rapid decay processes of SO2 observed by the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) in Lagrangian transport simulations, we simulate the SO2 decay in a more realistic manner compared to our earlier work, considering gas-phase hydroxyl (OH) chemistry, aqueous-phase hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) chemistry, wet deposition, and convection. The either newly developed or improved chemical and physical modules are implemented in the Lagrangian transport model Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations (MPTRAC) and tested in a case study for the July 2018 Ambae eruption. To access the dependencies of the SO2 lifetime on the complex atmospheric conditions, sensitivity tests are conducted by tuning the control parameters, e.g., by changing the release height, the predefined OH climatology data, the cloud pH value, the cloud cover, and other variables. Wet deposition and aqueous-phase H2O2 oxidation remarkably increased the decay rate of the SO2 total mass, which leads to a rapid and more realistic depletion of the Ambae plume. The improved representation of chemical and physical SO2 loss processes described here is expected to lead to more realistic Lagrangian transport simulations of volcanic eruption events with MPTRAC in future work.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46469224","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Metrics for evaluating the quality in linear atmospheric inverse problems: a case study of a trace gas inversion 评价线性大气反演问题质量的度量:微量气体反演的一个案例研究
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5219-2023
Vineet Yadav, Subhomoy Ghosh, Charles E. Miller
Abstract. Several metrics have been proposed and utilized to diagnose the performance of linear Bayesian and geostatistical atmospheric inverse problems. These metrics primarily assess the reductions in the prior uncertainties, compare modeled observations to true observations, and check distributional assumptions. Although important, these metrics should be augmented with a sensitivity analysis to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the atmospheric inversion performance and improve the quality and confidence in the inverse estimates. In this study, we derive closed-form expressions of local sensitivities for various input parameters, including measurements, covariance parameters, covariates, and a forward operator. To further enhance our understanding, we complement the local sensitivity analysis with a framework for a global sensitivity analysis that can apportion the uncertainty in input parameters to the uncertainty associated with inverse estimates. Additionally, we propose a mathematical framework to construct nonstationary correlation matrices from a precomputed forward operator, which is closely tied to the overall quality of inverse estimates. We demonstrate the application of our methodology in the context of an atmospheric inverse problem for estimating methane fluxes in Los Angeles, California.
摘要已经提出了几种度量标准,并将其用于诊断线性贝叶斯和地质统计大气逆问题的性能。这些指标主要评估先前不确定性的减少,将建模观测值与真实观测值进行比较,并检查分布假设。尽管这些指标很重要,但应通过灵敏度分析来增强这些指标,以全面了解大气反演性能,并提高反演估计的质量和置信度。在这项研究中,我们推导了各种输入参数的局部灵敏度的闭合形式表达式,包括测量、协方差参数、协变量和前向算子。为了进一步增强我们的理解,我们用全局灵敏度分析的框架来补充局部灵敏度分析,该框架可以将输入参数的不确定性分配给与逆估计相关的不确定性。此外,我们提出了一个数学框架来从预先计算的前向算子构造非平稳相关矩阵,这与逆估计的总体质量密切相关。我们展示了我们的方法在加利福尼亚州洛杉矶估算甲烷通量的大气逆问题中的应用。
{"title":"Metrics for evaluating the quality in linear atmospheric inverse problems: a case study of a trace gas inversion","authors":"Vineet Yadav, Subhomoy Ghosh, Charles E. Miller","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5219-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5219-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Several metrics have been proposed and utilized to diagnose the performance of linear Bayesian and geostatistical atmospheric inverse problems. These metrics primarily assess the reductions in the prior uncertainties, compare modeled observations to true observations, and check distributional assumptions. Although important, these metrics should be augmented with a sensitivity analysis to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the atmospheric inversion performance and improve the quality and confidence in the inverse estimates. In this study, we derive closed-form expressions of local sensitivities for various input parameters, including measurements, covariance parameters, covariates, and a forward operator. To further enhance our understanding, we complement the local sensitivity analysis with a framework for a global sensitivity analysis that can apportion the uncertainty in input parameters to the uncertainty associated with inverse estimates. Additionally, we propose a mathematical framework to construct nonstationary correlation matrices from a precomputed forward operator, which is closely tied to the overall quality of inverse estimates. We demonstrate the application of our methodology in the context of an atmospheric inverse problem for estimating methane fluxes in Los Angeles, California.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45323578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hazard assessment modeling and software development of earthquake-triggered landslides in the Sichuan–Yunnan area, China 川滇地区地震诱发滑坡危险性评价模型及软件开发
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5113-2023
Xiaoyi Shao, Si-yuan Ma, Chong Xu
Abstract. To enhance the timeliness and accuracy of spatial prediction ofcoseismic landslides, we propose an improved three-stage spatial predictionstrategy and develop corresponding hazard assessment software namedMat.LShazard V1.0. Based on this software, we evaluate the applicability ofthis improved spatial prediction strategy in six earthquake events that haveoccurred near the Sichuan–Yunnan region, including the Wenchuan, Ludian,Lushan, Jiuzhaigou, Minxian, and Yushu earthquakes. The results indicate thatin the first stage (immediately after the quake event), except for the 2013Minxian earthquake, the area under the curve (AUC) values of the modeling performance are above 0.8. Among them, the AUC value of the Wenchuanearthquake is the highest, reaching 0.947. The prediction results in thefirst stage can meet the requirements of emergency rescue by immediatelyobtaining the overall predicted information of the possible coseismiclandslide locations in the quake-affected area. In the second and thirdstages, with the improvement of landslide data quality, the predictionability of the model based on the entire landslide database is graduallyimproved. Based on the entire landslide database, the AUC value of the sixevents exceeds 0.9, indicating a very high prediction accuracy. For thesecond and third stages, the predicted landslide area (Ap) is relativelyconsistent with the observed landslide area (Ao). However, based on theincomplete landslide data in the meizoseismal area, Ap is much smaller thanAo. When the prediction model based on complete landslide data is built, Apis nearly identical to Ao. This study provides a new application tool forcoseismic landslide disaster prevention and mitigation in different stagesof emergency rescue, temporary resettlement, and late reconstruction after amajor earthquake.
摘要为了提高地震滑坡空间预测的及时性和准确性,我们提出了一种改进的三阶段空间预测策略,并开发了相应的灾害评估软件dMat。LShazard V1.0。基于该软件,我们评估了这种改进的空间预测策略在四川-云南地区附近发生的6次地震事件中的适用性,包括汶川、鲁甸、庐山、九寨沟、岷县和玉树地震。结果表明,在第一阶段(地震事件发生后不久),除2013年岷县地震外,建模性能的曲线下面积(AUC)值均在0.8以上。其中,文川地震的AUC值最高,达到0.947。第一阶段的预测结果可以立即获得地震灾区可能的同震滑坡位置的总体预测信息,从而满足应急救援的要求。在第二和第三阶段,随着滑坡数据质量的提高,基于整个滑坡数据库的模型的可预测性逐渐提高。基于整个滑坡数据库,六个事件的AUC值超过0.9,表明预测精度非常高。对于第二和第三阶段,预测的滑坡面积(Ap)与观测到的滑坡区域(Ao)相对一致。然而,根据强震区完整的滑坡资料,Ap远小于Ao。当建立基于完整滑坡数据的预测模型时,Apis与Ao几乎相同。本研究为大地震后不同阶段的应急救援、临时安置和后期重建提供了一种新的应用工具。
{"title":"Hazard assessment modeling and software development of earthquake-triggered landslides in the Sichuan–Yunnan area, China","authors":"Xiaoyi Shao, Si-yuan Ma, Chong Xu","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5113-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5113-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. To enhance the timeliness and accuracy of spatial prediction of\u0000coseismic landslides, we propose an improved three-stage spatial prediction\u0000strategy and develop corresponding hazard assessment software named\u0000Mat.LShazard V1.0. Based on this software, we evaluate the applicability of\u0000this improved spatial prediction strategy in six earthquake events that have\u0000occurred near the Sichuan–Yunnan region, including the Wenchuan, Ludian,\u0000Lushan, Jiuzhaigou, Minxian, and Yushu earthquakes. The results indicate that\u0000in the first stage (immediately after the quake event), except for the 2013\u0000Minxian earthquake, the area under the curve (AUC) values of the modeling performance are above 0.8. Among them, the AUC value of the Wenchuan\u0000earthquake is the highest, reaching 0.947. The prediction results in the\u0000first stage can meet the requirements of emergency rescue by immediately\u0000obtaining the overall predicted information of the possible coseismic\u0000landslide locations in the quake-affected area. In the second and third\u0000stages, with the improvement of landslide data quality, the prediction\u0000ability of the model based on the entire landslide database is gradually\u0000improved. Based on the entire landslide database, the AUC value of the six\u0000events exceeds 0.9, indicating a very high prediction accuracy. For the\u0000second and third stages, the predicted landslide area (Ap) is relatively\u0000consistent with the observed landslide area (Ao). However, based on the\u0000incomplete landslide data in the meizoseismal area, Ap is much smaller than\u0000Ao. When the prediction model based on complete landslide data is built, Ap\u0000is nearly identical to Ao. This study provides a new application tool for\u0000coseismic landslide disaster prevention and mitigation in different stages\u0000of emergency rescue, temporary resettlement, and late reconstruction after a\u0000major earthquake.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43488740","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Use of threshold parameter variation for tropical cyclone tracking 阈值参数变化在热带气旋跟踪中的应用
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5093-2023
Bernhard M. Enz, Jan P. Engelmann, U. Lohmann
Abstract. Assessing the capacity of numerical models to produce viable tropical cyclones, as well as assessing the climatological behavior of simulated tropical cyclones, requires an objective tracking method. These make use of parameter thresholds to determine whether a detected feature, such as a vorticity maximum or a warm core, is strong enough to indicate a tropical cyclone. The choice of parameter thresholds is generally subjective.This study proposes and assesses the parallel use of many threshold parameter combinations, combining a number of weaker and stronger values. The tracking algorithm succeeds in tracking tropical cyclones within the model data, beginning at their aggregation stage or shortly thereafter and ending when they interact strongly with extratropical flow and transition into extratropical cyclones or when their warm core decays.The sensitivity of accumulated cyclone energy to tracking errors is assessed. Tracking errors include the faulty initial detection and termination of valid tropical cyclones and systems falsely identified as tropical cyclones. They are found to not significantly impact the accumulated cyclone energy. Thus, the tracking algorithm produces an adequate estimate of the accumulated cyclone energy within the underlying data.
摘要评估数值模型产生可行热带气旋的能力,以及评估模拟热带气旋的气候行为,都需要一种客观的跟踪方法。这些利用参数阈值来确定探测到的特征,如涡度最大值或暖心,是否足够强,足以表明热带气旋。参数阈值的选择通常是主观的。本研究提出并评估了许多阈值参数组合的并行使用,这些组合结合了一些较弱和较强的值。跟踪算法成功地在模型数据中跟踪了热带气旋,从其聚集阶段或之后不久开始,到它们与温带气流强烈相互作用并转变为温带气旋或其暖心衰变时结束。评估了累积气旋能量对跟踪误差的敏感性。跟踪错误包括错误的初始检测和终止有效的热带气旋以及被错误识别为热带气旋的系统。发现它们对累积的气旋能量没有显著影响。因此,跟踪算法对基础数据内的累积气旋能量产生了充分的估计。
{"title":"Use of threshold parameter variation for tropical cyclone tracking","authors":"Bernhard M. Enz, Jan P. Engelmann, U. Lohmann","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5093-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5093-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Assessing the capacity of numerical models to produce viable tropical cyclones, as well as assessing the climatological behavior of simulated tropical cyclones, requires an objective tracking method. These make use of parameter thresholds to determine whether a detected feature, such as a vorticity maximum or a warm core, is strong enough to indicate a tropical cyclone. The choice of parameter thresholds is generally subjective.\u0000This study proposes and assesses the parallel use of many threshold parameter combinations, combining a number of weaker and stronger values. The tracking algorithm succeeds in tracking tropical cyclones within the model data, beginning at their aggregation stage or shortly thereafter and ending when they interact strongly with extratropical flow and transition into extratropical cyclones or when their warm core decays.\u0000The sensitivity of accumulated cyclone energy to tracking errors is assessed. Tracking errors include the faulty initial detection and termination of valid tropical cyclones and systems falsely identified as tropical cyclones. They are found to not significantly impact the accumulated cyclone energy. Thus, the tracking algorithm produces an adequate estimate of the accumulated cyclone energy within the underlying data.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46335701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Passive-tracer modelling at super-resolution with Weather Research and Forecasting – Advanced Research WRF (WRF-ARW) to assess mass-balance schemes 利用天气研究与预报高级研究WRF (WRF- arw)进行超分辨率被动示踪模拟,以评估质量平衡方案
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-5069-2023
S. Fathi, Mark Gordon, Yongsheng Chen
Abstract. Super-resolution atmospheric modelling can be used to interpret and optimize environmental observations during top-down emission rate retrieval campaigns (e.g. aircraft-based) by providing complementary data that closely correspond to real-world atmospheric pollution transport and dispersion conditions. For this work, super-resolution model simulations with large-eddy-simulation sub-grid-scale parameterization were developed and implemented using WRF-ARW (Weather Research and Forecasting - Advanced Research WRF). We demonstrate a series of best practices for improved (realistic) modelling of atmospheric pollutant dispersion at super-resolutions. These include careful considerations for grid quality over complex terrain, sub-grid turbulence parameterization at the scale of large eddies, and ensuring local and global tracer mass conservation. The study objective was to resolve small dynamical processes inclusive of spatio-temporal scales of high-speed (e.g. 100 m s−1) airborne measurements. This was achieved by downscaling of reanalysis data from 31.25 km to 50 m through multi-domain model nesting in the horizontal and grid-refining in the vertical. Further, WRF dynamical-solver source code was modified to simulate the release of passive tracers within the finest-resolution domain. Different meteorological case studies and several tracer source emission scenarios were considered. Model-generated fields were evaluated against observational data (surface monitoring network and aircraft campaign data) and also in terms of tracer mass conservation. Results indicated agreement between modelled and observed values within 5 ∘C for temperature, 1 %–25 % for relative humidity, and 1–2 standard deviations for wind fields. Model performance in terms of (global and local) tracer mass conservation was within 2 % to 5 % of model input emissions. We found that, to ensure mass conservation within the modelling domain, tracers should be released on a regular-resolution grid (vertical and horizontal). Further, using our super-resolution modelling products, we investigated emission rate estimations based on flux calculation and mass-balancing. Our results indicate that retrievals under weak advection conditions (horizontal wind speeds < 5 m s−1) are not reliable due to weak correlation between the source emission rate and the downwind tracer mass flux.In this work we demonstrate the development of accurate super-resolution model simulations useful for planning, interpreting, and optimizing top-down retrievals, and we discuss favourable conditions (e.g. meteorological) for reliable mass-balance emission rate estimations.
摘要超分辨率大气建模可用于在自上而下的排放率检索活动(如基于飞机的)中解释和优化环境观测,提供与现实世界大气污染传输和扩散条件密切对应的补充数据。在这项工作中,使用WRF-ARW(天气研究和预测-高级研究WRF)开发并实现了具有大涡模拟子网格尺度参数化的超分辨率模型模拟。我们展示了一系列在超分辨率下改进(现实)大气污染物扩散建模的最佳实践。其中包括对复杂地形上的网格质量的仔细考虑,大涡流规模下的子网格湍流参数化,以及确保局部和全局示踪剂质量守恒。研究目标是解决小型动力学过程,包括高速(例如100 m s−1)空中测量。这是通过从31.25开始缩小再分析数据的规模来实现的 km至50 m在水平方向上通过多域模型嵌套,在垂直方向上通过网格细化。此外,修改了WRF动态求解器源代码,以模拟在最佳分辨率域内释放被动示踪剂。考虑了不同的气象案例研究和几种示踪剂源排放情景。根据观测数据(地面监测网络和飞机活动数据)以及示踪剂质量守恒对模型生成的场进行了评估。结果表明,建模值和观测值在5 ∘C表示温度,1 %–25 % 相对湿度,以及风场的1-2个标准偏差。在(全局和局部)示踪剂质量守恒方面,模型性能在2以内 % 至5 % 模型输入排放量。我们发现,为了确保建模领域内的质量守恒,示踪剂应该在常规分辨率网格(垂直和水平)上释放。此外,使用我们的超分辨率建模产品,我们研究了基于通量计算和质量平衡的排放率估计。我们的结果表明,在弱平流条件下(水平风速< 5. m s−1)是不可靠的,因为源发射速率和顺风示踪剂质量通量之间的相关性较弱。在这项工作中,我们展示了精确的超分辨率模型模拟的发展,这些模拟有助于规划、解释和优化自上而下的检索,我们还讨论了可靠的质量平衡排放率估计的有利条件(如气象条件)。
{"title":"Passive-tracer modelling at super-resolution with Weather Research and Forecasting – Advanced Research WRF (WRF-ARW) to assess mass-balance schemes","authors":"S. Fathi, Mark Gordon, Yongsheng Chen","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-5069-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5069-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Super-resolution atmospheric modelling can be used to interpret and optimize environmental observations during top-down emission rate retrieval campaigns (e.g. aircraft-based) by providing complementary data that closely correspond to real-world atmospheric pollution transport and dispersion conditions. For this work, super-resolution model simulations with large-eddy-simulation sub-grid-scale parameterization were developed and implemented using WRF-ARW (Weather Research and Forecasting - Advanced Research WRF). We demonstrate a series of best practices for improved (realistic) modelling of atmospheric pollutant dispersion at super-resolutions. These include careful considerations for grid quality over complex terrain, sub-grid turbulence parameterization at the scale of large eddies, and ensuring local and global tracer mass conservation. The study objective was to resolve small dynamical processes inclusive of spatio-temporal scales of high-speed (e.g. 100 m s−1) airborne measurements. This was achieved by downscaling of reanalysis data from 31.25 km to 50 m through multi-domain model nesting in the horizontal and grid-refining in the vertical. Further, WRF dynamical-solver source code was modified to simulate the release of passive tracers within the finest-resolution domain. Different meteorological case studies and several tracer source emission scenarios were considered. Model-generated fields were evaluated against observational data (surface monitoring network and aircraft campaign data) and also in terms of tracer mass conservation. Results indicated agreement between modelled and observed values within 5 ∘C for temperature, 1 %–25 % for relative humidity, and 1–2 standard deviations for wind fields. Model performance in terms of (global and local) tracer mass conservation was within 2 % to 5 % of model input emissions. We found that, to ensure mass conservation within the modelling domain, tracers should be released on a regular-resolution grid (vertical and horizontal). Further, using our super-resolution modelling products, we investigated emission rate estimations based on flux calculation and mass-balancing. Our results indicate that retrievals under weak advection conditions (horizontal wind speeds < 5 m s−1) are not reliable due to weak correlation between the source emission rate and the downwind tracer mass flux.\u0000In this work we demonstrate the development of accurate super-resolution model simulations useful for planning, interpreting, and optimizing top-down retrievals, and we discuss favourable conditions (e.g. meteorological) for reliable mass-balance emission rate estimations.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46520039","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rainbows and climate change: a tutorial on climate model diagnostics and parameterization 彩虹与气候变化:气候模型诊断和参数化教程
IF 5.1 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4937-2023
A. Gettelman
Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) must represent processes below the grid scale of a model using representations (parameterizations) of physical andchemical processes. As a tutorial exercise to understand diagnostics and parameterization, this work presents a representation of rainbows for anESM: the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2). Using the “state” of the model, basic physical laws, and some assumptions, we generate arepresentation of this unique optical phenomenon as a diagnostic output. Rainbow occurrence and its possible changes are related to cloud occurrenceand rain formation, which are critical uncertainties for climate change prediction. The work highlights issues which are typical of many diagnosticparameterizations such as assumptions, uncertain parameters, and the difficulty of evaluation against uncertain observations. Results agreequalitatively with limited available global “observations” of rainbows. Rainbows are seen in expected locations in the subtropics over the oceanwhere broken clouds and frequent precipitation occur. The diurnal peak is in the morning over ocean and in the evening over land. Therepresentation of rainbows is found to be quantitatively sensitive to the assumed amount of cloudiness and the amount of stratiform rain. Rainbowsare projected to have decreased, mostly in the Northern Hemisphere, due to aerosol pollution effects increasing cloud coverage since 1850. In thefuture, continued climate change is projected to decrease cloud cover, associated with a positive cloud feedback. As a result the rainbow diagnosticprojects that rainbows will increase in the future, with the largest changes at midlatitudes. The diagnostic may be useful for assessing cloudparameterizations and is an exercise in how to build and test parameterizations of atmospheric phenomena.
摘要地球系统模型(ESM)必须使用物理和化学过程的表示(参数化)来表示模型网格尺度以下的过程。作为理解诊断和参数化的教程练习,本工作介绍了ESM的彩虹表示:社区地球系统模型版本2(CESM2)。利用模型的“状态”、基本物理定律和一些假设,我们生成了这种独特光学现象的表示,作为诊断输出。彩虹的出现及其可能的变化与云的出现和降雨的形成有关,这是气候变化预测的关键不确定性。这项工作强调了许多诊断参数化的典型问题,如假设、不确定参数和针对不确定观测进行评估的困难。结果与有限的全球彩虹“观测”结果一致。在海洋上空的亚热带地区,预计会出现彩虹,那里云层破碎,降水频繁。白天的高峰出现在海洋上空的早晨和陆地上空的傍晚。彩虹的呈现在数量上对假设的云量和层雨的数量是敏感的。自1850年以来,由于气溶胶污染的影响,云层覆盖率不断增加,预计降雨量将减少,主要发生在北半球。未来,持续的气候变化预计将减少云层覆盖,这与积极的云层反馈有关。因此,彩虹诊断预测未来彩虹将增加,其中中纬度的变化最大。该诊断可能有助于评估云参数化,也是如何构建和测试大气现象参数化的练习。
{"title":"Rainbows and climate change: a tutorial on climate model diagnostics and parameterization","authors":"A. Gettelman","doi":"10.5194/gmd-16-4937-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4937-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) must represent processes below the grid scale of a model using representations (parameterizations) of physical and\u0000chemical processes. As a tutorial exercise to understand diagnostics and parameterization, this work presents a representation of rainbows for an\u0000ESM: the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2). Using the “state” of the model, basic physical laws, and some assumptions, we generate a\u0000representation of this unique optical phenomenon as a diagnostic output. Rainbow occurrence and its possible changes are related to cloud occurrence\u0000and rain formation, which are critical uncertainties for climate change prediction. The work highlights issues which are typical of many diagnostic\u0000parameterizations such as assumptions, uncertain parameters, and the difficulty of evaluation against uncertain observations. Results agree\u0000qualitatively with limited available global “observations” of rainbows. Rainbows are seen in expected locations in the subtropics over the ocean\u0000where broken clouds and frequent precipitation occur. The diurnal peak is in the morning over ocean and in the evening over land. The\u0000representation of rainbows is found to be quantitatively sensitive to the assumed amount of cloudiness and the amount of stratiform rain. Rainbows\u0000are projected to have decreased, mostly in the Northern Hemisphere, due to aerosol pollution effects increasing cloud coverage since 1850. In the\u0000future, continued climate change is projected to decrease cloud cover, associated with a positive cloud feedback. As a result the rainbow diagnostic\u0000projects that rainbows will increase in the future, with the largest changes at midlatitudes. The diagnostic may be useful for assessing cloud\u0000parameterizations and is an exercise in how to build and test parameterizations of atmospheric phenomena.\u0000","PeriodicalId":12799,"journal":{"name":"Geoscientific Model Development","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48052682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Geoscientific Model Development
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1