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Cointegration analysis of tourism demand by Mainland China in Taiwan and stock investment strategy 大陆赴台旅游需求与股票投资策略的协整分析
Pub Date : 2015-09-05 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I06.163
Yu-wei Lan, Dan Lin, Lu Lin
Mainland China is the most important source of tourism for Taiwan in recent years. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the changes in the long-run demand for tourism in Taiwan by Mainland China. Using program trading and three different data sources, including the stock prices of Regent Taipei (2707), weighted index of the tourism sector (2700) and CSI ETF (0061), we find support for our hypotheses. That is, Taiwan’s tourism market does not fulfil the conditions of a strong-form efficient market hypothesis. Also, positive feedback trading does exit in Taiwan’s tourism market.
近年来,中国大陆是台湾最重要的旅游客源。摘要本研究旨在探讨中国大陆对台湾旅游需求的长期变化。采用程序交易,并以台北丽晶股价(2707)、旅游股加权指数(2700)及沪深交易所交易基金(0061)三个不同的数据来源,为我们的假设提供支持。即台湾旅游市场不满足强形式有效市场假说的条件。此外,台湾的旅游市场也存在正反馈交易。
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引用次数: 3
The effects of asset securitization on sustainability & profitability of microfinance institutions in Ghana 资产证券化对加纳小额信贷机构可持续性和盈利能力的影响
Pub Date : 2015-08-27 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I04.162
Daniel Quacoe, Francis Appiah-Kubi Banson, Jonathan Sakoe
Asset Securitization is a process that involves repackaging portfolios of cash-flow-producing financial instruments into securities or tradable capital market instruments for transfer to investors. There have been a number of studies on asset securitization and microfinance but most of these studies did not focus on the effects of asset securitization on sustainability and profitability of microfinance institutions. These studies were conducted in developed economies and little has been done in Africa and for that matter Ghana. This study therefore sought to explore the effects of asset securitization on sustainability and profitability of MFIs in Ghana knowing the important role they play in the Ghanaian economy. The objectives were to determine whether asset securitization is being practiced in Ghana, to determine whether asset securitization will improve the sustainability and profitability of microfinance institutions (MFI’s) as well as challenges that may arise. As a qualitative research, the case study approach was employed in the research design. Questionnaires were administered to a sample size of 200 respondents from a population of 517 who were drawn from the management and staff of five microfinance companies selected through convenience and purposeful sampling techniques. The findings are that asset securitization in microfinance is currently not being practiced in Ghana but if implemented, it will have a positive effect on the sustainability and profitability of microfinance companies in Ghana. The study identified some challenges that microfinance institutions may face in the introduction of asset securitization in Ghana.
资产证券化是将产生现金流的金融工具的投资组合重新包装成证券或可交易的资本市场工具以转让给投资者的过程。关于资产证券化和小额信贷的研究已经有很多,但这些研究大多没有关注资产证券化对小额信贷机构可持续性和盈利能力的影响。这些研究是在发达经济体进行的,在非洲和加纳进行的研究很少。因此,本研究试图探讨资产证券化对加纳小额信贷机构的可持续性和盈利能力的影响,因为它们在加纳经济中发挥着重要作用。目的是确定加纳是否正在实施资产证券化,确定资产证券化是否会改善小额信贷机构(mfi)的可持续性和盈利能力,以及可能出现的挑战。作为一项定性研究,研究设计采用了案例研究的方法。通过方便和有目的的抽样技术,从5家小额信贷公司的管理层和员工中抽取了517名受访者,对200名受访者进行了问卷调查。研究发现,小额信贷资产证券化目前尚未在加纳实施,但如果实施,它将对加纳小额信贷公司的可持续性和盈利能力产生积极影响。该研究确定了小额信贷机构在加纳引入资产证券化时可能面临的一些挑战。
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引用次数: 2
From instrumentalism to realism in accounting 会计从工具主义到现实主义
Pub Date : 2015-08-26 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I03.117
Mihaela Enachi, I. Andone
How, by their nature, the humans cannot have perfect knowledge, the only absolute thing is relativity, this being present in all their actions. In accounting, given its subject matter, it can talk of the relativity of the values that characterize the events in the life of an organization, this being caused by a wide variety of factors. In a previous article (Enachi, 2012) was identified a particular paradigm with visible effects in accounting practice, more precisely, it was talked about the transition from instrumentalism to realism in accounting. This paper supports the previous assertions and after explaining the accounting implications of the two fundamentally different approaches tries to provide solutions for bringing accounting closer to reality. A literature review is conducted to identify the limits that accounting presents in its attempt to capture the truth and the factors responsible for these limits. The main conclusion is that the quality of the professional judgments exercised in creating and implementing a system for accounting representation of reality, although partially controlled, is essential in increasing the reliability of the information provided by accounting.
如何,由于他们的本性,人类不可能拥有完美的知识,唯一绝对的东西是相对性,这存在于他们所有的行动中。在会计中,给定其主题,它可以谈论表征组织生命中事件的价值的相对性,这是由各种各样的因素引起的。在之前的一篇文章(Enachi, 2012)中,我们发现了一个在会计实践中具有明显影响的特定范式,更准确地说,它讨论了会计从工具主义到现实主义的过渡。本文支持之前的断言,并在解释了这两种根本不同的方法的会计含义后,试图为使会计更接近现实提供解决方案。进行文献综述,以确定限制,会计呈现在其试图捕捉真相和负责这些限制的因素。主要结论是,在建立和执行反映现实的会计制度时所作出的专业判断的质量,虽然受到部分控制,但对于提高会计所提供资料的可靠性是必不可少的。
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引用次数: 1
Innovation and technical efficiency in Malaysian family manufacturing industries 马来西亚家庭制造业的创新和技术效率
Pub Date : 2015-08-25 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I03.109
S. Munisamy, Edward Wong Sek Khin, Chia Zi Fon
This study investigates the technical efficiency for each industry in the Malaysian manufacturing sector is estimated by using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). In order to pursue a balance of innovation between long-term and short-term performance strategy, we integrate the Balance Scorecard (BSC) approach with DEA. Furthermore, this paper looks at the determinants of efficiency using the Tobit regression model. In measuring the level of firms’ efficiency and innovation, the wood and wood based products industry is emphasized due to its importance in the economic growth of manufacturing sector. In the wood and wood based products industry, the highest level of technical efficiency was achieved by two sub-sectors i.e. veneer sheets and plywood and laminboard, particle board and other panels board, with the mean value of technical efficiency of 1.081 and 1.097 respectively. Generally, the majority of the manufacturing firms are operating technical inefficiently. The distribution of DEA and DEA-BCS technical efficiency in Malaysian Manufacturing Industries show that most of the industries have the average technical efficiency scores greater than 1.05 with only 7 industries (13.21%) in DEA-BSC model operating at or near to the most optimal productions.
本研究调查了技术效率,为每个行业在马来西亚制造业部门估计使用数据包络分析(DEA)。为了追求长期和短期绩效战略之间的创新平衡,我们将平衡计分卡(BSC)方法与DEA相结合。此外,本文使用Tobit回归模型研究效率的决定因素。在衡量企业€™效率和创新水平时,木材和木基产品行业被强调,因为它在制造业经济增长中的重要性。在木材及木制品行业中,技术效率水平最高的是贴面板、胶合板和层压板、刨花板和其他板材两个子行业,其技术效率平均值分别为1.081和1.097。一般来说,大多数制造企业的技术效率低下。马来西亚制造业的DEA和DEA- bcs技术效率分布表明,大多数行业的平均技术效率得分大于1.05,DEA- bsc模型中只有7个行业(13.21%)处于或接近最优生产。
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引用次数: 3
International evidence of nexus between positive operating cash activities and cost of debt 国际上关于正经营性现金活动与债务成本之间关系的证据
Pub Date : 2015-08-24 DOI: 10.18533/jefs.v3i03.82
Harit Satt, Saadani Ghali
This paper identifies the affiliation between the ending cash balance of the operating section in the cash flow statement and the bonds ratings. Our sample includes 600 companies from 26 countries. The study was conducted over a period of 18 years. An Ordered Probit regression analysis had been applied to identify how the positive cash balance of the operating section in the cash flow statement shapes the probability of escalating the bonds ratings. We find burly proof that the positive operating cash balance considerably affects the bonds ratings. In other words, when a company is able to generate enough cash from its main operating activities, the likelihood of having higher bonds ratings raises; this entails a low cost of debt since higher bond ratings have been proven to lessen the company’s cost for raising funds (in the form of bonds). The results add more confirmation to the creditors’ rights shields and how it affects the cost of debt.
本文确定了现金流量表中经营部门的期末现金余额与债券评级之间的关系。我们的样本包括来自26个国家的600家公司。这项研究进行了18年。有序Probit回归分析已被应用于确定现金流量表中经营部门的正现金余额如何影响债券评级升级的可能性。我们发现有力的证据表明,正经营现金余额显著影响债券评级。换句话说,当一家公司能够从其主要经营活动中产生足够的现金时,获得更高债券评级的可能性就会增加;这需要低成本的债务,因为较高的债券评级已被证明可以降低公司筹集资金(以债券形式)的成本。研究结果进一步证实了债权人的权利屏障及其对债务成本的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Achieving inclusive economic growth and development in Nigeria through MSMEs 通过中小微企业实现尼日利亚的包容性经济增长和发展
Pub Date : 2015-08-21 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I03.126
Ezekiel Oseni, Elizabeth Funmi Osen
The Nigerian economy has witnessed consistent average annual growth rate of 7.4% in the last few years, however, the impact of the growth on the citizenry remains insignificant while poverty, youth restlessness, kidnapping for ransoms, terrorism and other vices are on the rise. The objective of the study was to examine why the impact of the economic growth over the years has remained insignificant and what interventions are required to change the tide. The study discovered that the oil sector which is not labour intensive accounts for over eighty (80) percent of Government revenue and a major contributor to the nation GDP. The study also discovered that the poverty level and unemployment rate among the populace require urgent and drastic measures. The impactful measures will require creation of enabling environment, provision of relevant infrastructure and adequate funding programmes that can be easily accessed. The financial system like in any other economy is essential to attaining inclusive economic growth in Nigeria and it should be more supportive to the economy by abolishing existing lending conditions that make it impractically impossible for many MSMEs which are the engine of economic development to access funds.
在过去几年中,尼日利亚经济的平均年增长率为7.4%,然而,经济增长对公民的影响仍然微不足道,而贫困、年轻人不安、绑架勒索、恐怖主义和其他恶习正在上升。本研究的目的是探讨为什么多年来经济增长的影响仍然微不足道,以及需要采取哪些干预措施来改变这种趋势。该研究发现,非劳动密集型的石油部门占政府收入的80%以上,是国家GDP的主要贡献者。这项研究还发现,民众的贫穷水平和失业率需要采取紧急和严厉的措施。有影响的措施将需要创造有利的环境,提供相关的基础设施和能够容易获得的充足资金方案。像任何其他经济体一样,金融体系对于实现尼日利亚的包容性经济增长至关重要,它应该通过废除现有的贷款条件来更多地支持经济,这些贷款条件使得许多作为经济发展引擎的中小微企业几乎不可能获得资金。
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引用次数: 8
International and Cultural Implications on Internationalization Analysis of Multinational Firms 跨国公司国际化分析的国际和文化含义
Pub Date : 2015-08-21 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I02.101
J. Vargas-Hérnandez
This paper is aims to analyze some of the institutional and cultural implications on internationalization analysis of multinational firms. The analysis begins questioning what the main institutional and cultural variables are considered in the involvement of internationalization of multinational firms. To answer this question, a literature review types approach in areas like internationalization of multinational firms based on institutional and cultural frameworks is followed. Secondly, these institutional and cultural variables are analyzed to integrate findings. Finally, the paper argues the need to design a better institutional and cultural balance among the development of a glocal-regional transformation, convergence and governance.
本文旨在分析跨国公司国际化分析的一些制度和文化影响。分析开始质疑在跨国公司国际化的参与中考虑的主要制度和文化变量是什么。为了回答这个问题,在基于制度和文化框架的跨国公司国际化等领域采用了文献综述类型的方法。其次,对这些制度和文化变量进行分析,以整合研究结果。最后,本文认为有必要设计一个更好的制度和文化平衡的发展之间的全球-区域转型,趋同和治理。
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引用次数: 1
Are investors rational, irrational or normal? 投资者是理性的、非理性的还是正常的?
Pub Date : 2015-08-20 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I04.161
A. Mamun, Md. Abu Syeed, Farida Yasmeen
The nature of investor’s rationality vs. irrationality debate drawn attention of thousands of academic papers, hundreds of conferences, roundtables discussion leading to two ends: the classical theorist i.e. the proponents of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and the behaviorist. From Fisher’s (1906) Nature of Capital & Income to Ross (1977); investor’s rationality has been considered as the principal assumption in the development of theoretical finance. Unfortunately though, various studies have shown repeated form of investor’s irrationality and incompetence in their decision process. Even the very proponents of EMH, Fama (1965) has later on in 1993 advocated the lack of market efficiency! Indeed the story of black Monday in the USA to the global financial tsunami (2007-2012) has put the proponents of EMH into the cluelessness. While, the behaviorists argument that the financial markets can be best understood by studying the psychology is also subject to criticism that there will be no existence of standard models to study agent’s behavior in the market! Therefore, this study aims at finding out the true scenarios of investor’s behavior by working on 200 individual investors in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). Investors’ response to different questions relating to fundamental assumption of “rationality’ or ‘presence of irrationality." The result shows a complete absence of the assumption of rationality or irrationality in number of critical issues. Therefore, the idea of EMH or mere psychologically driven behavioral finance should become less acknowledgeable in understanding the agents of financial market i.e. the investors. Rather a combination of these two may give more insight in understanding the investor’s behavior in the financial market.
投资者理性与非理性之争的本质引起了数千篇学术论文、数百场会议和圆桌会议的关注,导致了两个极端:经典理论家,即有效市场假说(EMH)的支持者和行为主义者。从费雪(1906)《资本与收入的性质》到罗斯(1977)投资者的理性一直被认为是理论金融发展的主要假设。但遗憾的是,各种研究表明,投资者在决策过程中存在着反复出现的非理性和无能。即使是有效市场假说的支持者,Fama(1965)后来在1993年也主张缺乏市场效率!事实上,从美国的黑色星期一到全球金融海啸(2007年至2012年)的故事,已经让有效市场假说的支持者陷入了无知。然而,行为主义者认为通过研究心理学可以最好地理解金融市场的观点也受到批评,因为将不会存在研究市场中代理人行为的标准模型!因此,本研究旨在通过对达卡证券交易所(DSE) 200名个人投资者的研究,找出投资者行为的真实情景。投资者对与“理性”或“非理性存在”的基本假设有关的不同问题的反应。结果表明,在许多关键问题上完全没有对理性或非理性的假设。因此,在理解金融市场的代理人,即投资者时,有效市场假说或仅仅是心理驱动的行为金融学的概念应该变得不那么被承认。相反,这两者的结合可能会让我们更深入地了解投资者在金融市场上的行为。
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引用次数: 11
Price impact of informed trades in the U.S. treasury markets 知情交易对美国国债市场价格的影响
Pub Date : 2015-06-22 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I03.159
Onem Ozocak
According to a review of the literature, there is no study that examines how the price impact of informed trades is related to liquidity levels in the U.S. Treasury markets. Using variance decomposition and regime-switching methodologies, we find that the price impact of informed trades is higher in more liquid markets. In the case of on-the-run and off-the-run spot markets, the price impact of informed trades is higher in 2-year and 5-year T-notes markets. In the case of T-notes futures markets, the price impact of informed trades is higher in 10-year futures market. We find that the price impact of uninformed (informed) individual trades decreases (increases) as the time scale increases. The results indicate that the price impact of informed trades is greater between 8:00 am and 3:00 pm when the market is more liquid, and smaller between 3:00 pm and 5:00 pm when the market is less liquid.
根据对文献的回顾,没有研究检验知情交易的价格影响如何与美国国债市场的流动性水平相关。利用方差分解和制度转换方法,我们发现在流动性更强的市场中,知情交易对价格的影响更大。在运行和非运行的现货市场中,知情交易对价格的影响在2年期和5年期国库券市场中更高。以国库券期货市场为例,10年期国库券期货市场的知情交易对价格的影响更大。我们发现,不知情(知情)个人交易的价格影响随着时间尺度的增加而减小(增加)。结果表明,当市场流动性较强时,在上午8点至下午3点之间,知情交易对价格的影响较大,而在下午3点至下午5点之间,市场流动性较弱,知情交易对价格的影响较小。
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引用次数: 0
Do Natural Resources of Rentier States Promote Military Expenditures? Evidence from GCC Countries 食利国的自然资源促进了军事开支吗?来自海湾合作委员会国家的证据
Pub Date : 2015-06-22 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V3I02.103
N. Al-Mawali
This study aims to explore the effect of natural resources of rentier states on military expenditure using the panel data from GCC countries. The principle findings suggest that types of natural resources matter and that the rent from oil only appeared to fuel the military expenditure of GCC, other natural resources such as gas and minerals are not. Further, the study found that Gulf War I and II as well as Arab Spring is statistically insignificant in explaining the military expenditure of GCC.
本研究旨在利用海合会国家的面板数据,探讨食利国的自然资源对军费开支的影响。主要调查结果表明,自然资源的种类很重要,石油的租金似乎只会推动海湾合作委员会的军事开支,其他自然资源,如天然气和矿物则不然。进一步,研究发现海湾战争第一次和第二次以及阿拉伯之春对海湾合作委员会军费的解释在统计上不显著。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Journal of Economic and Financial Studies
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