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Development situations and performance evaluation of Chinese government guide funds 中国政府引导基金的发展现状与绩效评价
Pub Date : 2017-01-25 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I01.266
Zhao Liu, Cong Qiao
Now, structural contradictions in China’s industrial development are prominent. Government guide fund, as a new investment and financing tool, bears high expectations of the government on promoting industrial restructuring. In recent years, Chinese Government guide funds have entered the rapid development stage. However, the post-investment performance management and other assessment indicators still need to be improved. This paper firstly introduced Chinese Government guide funds from different perspectives; secondly built a performance assessment indicator system for Shaanxi Province based on the current situation of Shaanxi’s government guide fund. This paper suggested introducing government guide fund into the performance assessment system, which presents a new thought for standardization and normative administration of government guide fund. Classification JEL: 630.
当前,中国产业发展中的结构性矛盾突出。政府引导基金作为一种新型投融资工具,承载着政府推动产业结构调整的厚望。近年来,中国政府引导基金进入了快速发展阶段。但投后绩效管理等考核指标仍有待完善。本文首先从不同角度介绍了中国政府引导基金;其次,根据陕西省政府引导基金的现状,构建了陕西省绩效考核指标体系。本文建议将政府引导基金引入绩效考核体系,为政府引导基金的规范化、规范化管理提供了新的思路。分类JEL: 630。
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引用次数: 0
Not ‘taken’ for granted: Can freedom curb human trafficking 不要把<s:2>想当然<e:1>视为理所当然:自由能遏制人口贩运吗
Pub Date : 2017-01-25 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I01.268
John A. Tures
In this study, we examine the relationship between freedom and human trafficking in non-OECD countries. Countries with high levels of economic and political freedom both do a better job of prosecuting human traffickers, protecting of victims, and preventing of the problem from occurring in the first place. Other key political, economic and social factors are not associated with reducing the incidence of human trafficking in the developing world. Classification JEL: F22; J61; K42.
在这项研究中,我们研究了非经合组织国家的自由与人口贩运之间的关系。经济和政治自由度高的国家在起诉人口贩运者、保护受害者和从一开始就防止问题发生方面都做得更好。其他关键的政治、经济和社会因素与减少发展中世界的人口贩运事件无关。分类JEL: F22;J61;K42。
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引用次数: 0
On the timing of managed funds’ industry exposure 关于管理基金的时机选择:行业敞口
Pub Date : 2017-01-15 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I01.263
J. Sawicki
An important source of performance for active managers is industry weighting, yet this is neglected by the performance evaluation literature. Most market timing studies are conducted at a broad level, assessing exposure to equities as an asset class. This paper investigates the ability of US equity fund managers to time industry performance. The results indicate that, as a group, the funds exhibit no timing skills, with positive timing as frequent as negative timing. There is a subset of funds however, that appear to have strong forecasting abilities, correctly timing industries that are otherwise poorly timed by most fund managers. General timing ability is weakest in the Finance, Cyclical Services and Information Technology industries, while Consumer Goods industries show the best timing results. Classification JEL: G23 ; L0.
对于主动型经理人来说,一个重要的绩效来源是行业权重,然而这一点却被绩效评估文献所忽视。大多数市场择时研究都是在广泛的层面上进行的,评估股票作为一种资产类别的风险敞口。本文考察了美国股票基金经理对行业业绩的把握能力。结果表明,作为一个整体,这些基金没有表现出择时技巧,积极择时和消极择时的频率一样高。然而,有一小部分基金似乎具有很强的预测能力,能够正确地把握多数基金经理没有把握好的行业时机。综合择时能力在金融、周期服务和信息技术行业最弱,而消费品行业的择时效果最好。分类JEL: G23;10。
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引用次数: 0
Directors characteristics and stock market performance in Canada 加拿大董事特征与股票市场表现
Pub Date : 2017-01-10 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I01.176
Michel Sayumwe, Boudjemaa Amroune
We examine the effect of the characteristics of board of directors on the stock market performance in Canadian settings. Our sample includes fifty of the largest corporations listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange at the end of December 2013 for the period of 2009 to 2013 for the sub-groups of SP G22; G38
我们研究了董事会特征对加拿大股市表现的影响。我们的样本包括2009年至2013年期间在多伦多证券交易所上市的50家最大的公司,用于SP G22的子组;G38
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引用次数: 4
Entrepreneurial orientation in Mexican family businesses 墨西哥家族企业的创业取向
Pub Date : 2017-01-06 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V4I6.262
José Luis Esparza-Aguilar, Argentina Soto-Maciel, Ma. Isabel De la Garza-Ramos
We examine factors affecting entrepreneurial orientation in Mexican family businesses. We aim to shed light on the relevance and value of such factors by analyzing five widely recognized dimensions: proactivity, innovation, risk taking, aggressiveness and autonomy. Results from a sample of 542 family businesses extracted from the INEGI-ENAFIN 2010 database and the first entrepreneurial stage of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) show a marked conservative tendency in the family businesses’ entrepreneurial orientation.
我们研究了影响墨西哥家族企业创业取向的因素。我们的目标是通过分析五个被广泛认可的维度来阐明这些因素的相关性和价值:主动性、创新性、冒险性、侵略性和自主性。从inei - enafin 2010数据库和全球创业监测(GEM)第一创业阶段抽取的542家家族企业样本的结果显示,家族企业的创业取向存在明显的保守倾向。
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引用次数: 2
Rand volatility and inflation in South Africa 南非兰特波动和通货膨胀
Pub Date : 2017-01-04 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V4I6.113
Azwifaneli Innocentia Nemushu
The floating exchange rate regime, coupled with a more open trade policy and the growth in imports, leaves South Africa vulnerable to the effects of exchange rate behaviour on import, producer and consumer prices, which all contribute to inflation. Given the central role that inflation targeting occupies in South Africa’s monetary policy, this paper examines the effect of exchange rate shocks on consumer prices using monthly data covering the period January 1994 to December 2013. Consistent with developing countries story, results show a modest exchange rate pass-through to inflation, although inflation is mainly driven by own shocks. The variance decompositions also reveal that foreign exchange rate shocks (REER) contribute relatively more to inflation than money supply shocks (M3). This suggests that South African inflation process is not basically influenced by money supply changes. The practical implication is that that the volatility of the rand is not a serious threat to inflation. The SARB should therefore focus on price stability and not be unduly worried about the volatility of the rand.
浮动汇率制度,加上比较开放的贸易政策和进口的增长,使南非容易受到汇率行为对进口、生产者和消费者价格的影响,而这些都会造成通货膨胀。鉴于通货膨胀目标制在南非货币政策中的核心作用,本文使用1994年1月至2013年12月的月度数据考察了汇率冲击对消费者价格的影响。与发展中国家的情况一致,结果显示汇率对通胀的传导作用不大,尽管通胀主要是由自身的冲击推动的。方差分解还表明,相对于货币供给冲击(M3),外汇汇率冲击(REER)对通货膨胀的贡献更大。这表明南非的通货膨胀过程基本上不受货币供应量变化的影响。其实际含义是,兰特的波动不会对通胀构成严重威胁。因此,南非储备银行应该把重点放在价格稳定上,而不是过分担心兰特的波动。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic conditions and unemployment in Nigeria 尼日利亚的宏观经济状况和失业率
Pub Date : 2017-01-04 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V4I6.240
Augustine C. Osigwe, Kenneth Ahamba
We examine the effect of selected macroeconomic variables on unemployment rate in Nigeria using a battery cointegration tests. Results reveals a long run relation between unemployment rate (UNER) and chosen macroeconomic variables. The results of the vector error correction model (VECM) show that real GDP at lag 2 and current exchange rate (EXR) positively affect UNER. Moreover, UNER at lag 1, money supply (M2) at lag 2, EXR at lag 2, current lending rate (LR) and its first lag negatively affects UNER. These results are robust to the satisfaction of various diagnostic tests including residual normality assumption, correction for autocorrelation and white heteroskedasticity.
我们检验了选定的宏观经济变量对尼日利亚失业率的影响使用电池协整检验。结果揭示了失业率(UNER)与选定的宏观经济变量之间的长期关系。向量误差修正模型(VECM)的结果表明,滞后2的实际GDP和当前汇率(EXR)正影响UNER。此外,滞后1的UNER,滞后2的货币供应量(M2),滞后2的EXR,当前贷款利率(LR)及其第一个滞后对UNER产生负面影响。这些结果是鲁棒性满意的各种诊断测试,包括残差正态性假设,自相关校正和白色异方差。
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引用次数: 1
Balance sheet classification of compound financial instruments and the judgment of securities market analysts 复合金融工具的资产负债表分类与证券市场分析师的判断
Pub Date : 2016-12-16 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V4I05.264
Jorge Costa, Alfredo Sarlo Neto, André Luiz Carvalho da Silva
This paper investigates the effect of balance sheet classification of a compound financial instrument on the analyst’s judgment on estimates in target prices using an experimental setting. The experimental design involves both buy and sales-side analysts grouped into three subsamples with limited information set about the company used in the experiment and different information regarding the accounting for the compound financial instrument (IAS 32 model, SOA model and NEA model) after the following event: a private placement of a mandatorily convertible debenture to finance the acquisition of another company abroad. We apply nonparametric means and bootstrap test. Our result show that regardless of balance sheet classification of the compound financial instrument, analysts are likely to treat it conservatively as a liability. Moreover, if the compound financial instrument is wholly classified as a liability and the company is highly leveraged, they tend to discount firm’s share price.
本文采用实验设置,研究了复合金融工具的资产负债表分类对分析师对目标价格估计的判断的影响。实验设计涉及买方和销售方分析师,他们分为三个子样本,其中关于实验中使用的公司的信息有限,以及在以下事件之后关于复合金融工具(IAS 32模型,SOA模型和NEA模型)会计的不同信息:强制性可转换债券的私人配售,以资助收购国外另一家公司。我们应用了非参数均值和自举检验。我们的结果表明,无论资产负债表分类的复合金融工具,分析师可能会保守地将其视为负债。此外,如果复合金融工具完全被归类为负债,并且公司的杠杆率很高,则它们倾向于贴现公司的股价。
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引用次数: 2
Real wages, inflation, and labor productivity: Evidences from Bulgaria and Romania 实际工资、通货膨胀和劳动生产率:来自保加利亚和罗马尼亚的证据
Pub Date : 2016-11-30 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V4I05.253
Chaido Dritsaki
This study examines the effect of inflation and real wages on labor productivity for two European Union(EU) countries: Bulgaria and Romania using cointegration Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) test and causality test of Toda and Yamamoto (1995). Results suggest that inflation reduces labor productivity. Moreover, the impact of wages on labor productivity is far greater the impact of inflation. Additionally, there exists unidirectional relation between inflation and real wages for Bulgaria, and real wages and labor productivity for Romania.
本研究采用协整自回归分布滞后(ARDL)检验和Toda和Yamamoto(1995)的因果关系检验,考察了通货膨胀和实际工资对两个欧盟国家:保加利亚和罗马尼亚的劳动生产率的影响。结果表明,通货膨胀降低了劳动生产率。此外,工资对劳动生产率的影响远远大于通货膨胀的影响。此外,保加利亚的通货膨胀与实际工资之间存在单向关系,罗马尼亚的实际工资与劳动生产率之间存在单向关系。
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引用次数: 8
Bilateral trade agreements and the rise of global supply chains 双边贸易协定和全球供应链的兴起
Pub Date : 2016-11-29 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V4I05.250
Zdzisław W. Puślecki
This paper investigates the influence of the rise global supply chains on bilateral trade agreements. Given that a few multinational firms are responsible for a major share of world trade, our findings suggest that these firms may support regulatory harmonization across different Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) to lower trade costs or resist harmonization – and encourage certain non-tariff measures – to prevent new competitors from entering markets. The finding partly explains the persistence of regulatory divergence. Building on institutional and comparative trade hypothesis, the findings of the paper present new tendencies in the foreign trade policy: the impact of the rise global supply chains on the political economy of trade, motivations for countries in cooperating on trade policies, and the increasing importance of bilateral agreements in the foreign trade policy. Additionally, the findings suggest that the political economy of regulatory convergence may be more complex than is sometimes suggested in the prior literature.
本文研究了全球供应链的兴起对双边贸易协定的影响。鉴于少数跨国公司在世界贸易中占有很大份额,我们的研究结果表明,这些公司可能支持不同优惠贸易协定(pta)之间的监管协调,以降低贸易成本或抵制协调,并鼓励某些非关税措施,以防止新的竞争者进入市场。这一发现部分解释了监管分歧的持续存在。基于制度和比较贸易假设,本文的研究结果提出了对外贸易政策的新趋势:全球供应链崛起对贸易政治经济学的影响,各国在贸易政策上合作的动机,以及双边协定在对外贸易政策中的重要性日益增加。此外,研究结果表明,监管趋同的政治经济学可能比以往文献中有时提出的更为复杂。
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Journal of Economic and Financial Studies
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