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Is bank lending corruption self-regulatory? 银行贷款腐败是自我监管的吗?
Pub Date : 2017-06-04 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I3.285
Erotokritos Varelas
This article puts forward the possibility that bank-client corruption tends to raise lending rates. If it does and if bank-official corruption counteracts this tendency, bank lending corruption might be seen as a self-regulatory phenomenon, having little if none at all influence on the real economy. An anti-lending corruption policy is deemed to be necessary only under a zero-lower-bound associated monetary policy and in any case, it should treat the two types of banking-sector corruption symmetrically. The negative effects of bank sector fraud on economic growth should be related to the large volume of cybercrime and money laundering rather than to fraud surrounding bank lending. Classification JEL: D21; D73; E43
本文提出了银行客户腐败倾向于提高贷款利率的可能性。如果是这样,如果银行官员腐败抵消了这种趋势,银行贷款腐败可能被视为一种自我监管现象,对实体经济几乎没有影响。只有在零下限相关货币政策下,反贷款腐败政策才被认为是必要的,而且在任何情况下,它都应该对称地对待两种类型的银行业腐败。银行业欺诈对经济增长的负面影响应该与大量的网络犯罪和洗钱有关,而不是与围绕银行贷款的欺诈有关。分类JEL: D21;D73;E43
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引用次数: 0
Hitting two birds with one stone: A tale on the (not so) secret miracle of minimum wages 一石二鸟:一个关于(不那么)秘密的最低工资奇迹的故事
Pub Date : 2017-06-04 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I3.289
Friedrich L. Sell, M. Öllinger
In this note, we recall that unions traditionally pursue a policy of pushing higher average wages and, at the same time, for a compression of the structure of wages and salaries, which is some sort of equity. Given the precipitous fall of union density in many, if not all, OECD countries, the actual good climate for minimum wage policy comes at no surprise. Despite the fact that unions do dislike the intervention of labor market policy to the detriment of tariff autonomy, we can show that minimum wages are capable of serving both of the above-mentioned goals of unions and also help increase the overall wage quota in the economy.  Hence, it can be concluded that the unions have a double dividend when inviting policy makers to pursue a policy of minimum wages: both the average wage rate can be increased and the dispersion of wages be lowered, ceteris paribus.
在这篇文章中,我们回顾一下,工会传统上奉行的政策是提高平均工资,同时压缩工资和薪金结构,这是某种公平。考虑到许多(如果不是全部的话)经合组织国家工会密度的急剧下降,最低工资政策的实际良好环境并不令人意外。尽管工会确实不喜欢干预劳动力市场政策以损害关税自主权,但我们可以证明,最低工资能够服务于工会的上述目标,并有助于增加经济中的总体工资配额。因此,可以得出结论,工会在邀请政策制定者推行最低工资政策时具有双重红利:在其他条件不变的情况下,既可以提高平均工资率,又可以降低工资的分散性。
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引用次数: 0
Likelihood of financial distress in Canadian oil and gas market: An optimized hybrid forecasting approach 加拿大油气市场财务困境的可能性:一种优化的混合预测方法
Pub Date : 2017-05-03 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I3.272
M. Mahbobi, Rashmit Singh G. Sukhmani
Forecasting models are built on either multivariate parametric or nonparametric methodologies. We attempt to optimize the accuracy of the forecasts combining these approaches to make a robust hybrid forecasting model in predicting the likelihood of financial distress for companies in the Canadian oil and gas market. The proposed approach combined the forecasts out of a multivariate logit model based on the conventional Altman’s Z-score with a nonparametric Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique. The sample firms are publicly traded and listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and span over a period from first quarter of 1999 to the last quarter of 2014. The results of a proposed three-stage estimation process for the period of 2015-2020 indicated that besides the fact that Canadian energy sector will go through ups and downs regarding the likelihood of financial distress, this industry would face a hard time by late 2020. Results show that the forecasting accuracy out of the proposed three-stage forecasting technique is significantly superior to the outcomes of any individual forecasting techniques, i.e. ANN and logit models.
预测模型建立在多元参数或非参数方法上。我们试图优化预测的准确性,结合这些方法,建立一个强大的混合预测模型,以预测加拿大石油和天然气市场公司财务困境的可能性。该方法将基于传统Altman Z-score的多元logit模型的预测与非参数人工神经网络(ANN)技术相结合。样本公司在多伦多证券交易所(TSX)公开交易和上市,时间跨度从1999年第一季度到2014年最后一个季度。2015年至2020年的三阶段评估结果表明,除了加拿大能源行业在财务困境的可能性方面将经历起起伏伏之外,到2020年底,该行业将面临艰难时期。结果表明,所提出的三阶段预测技术的预测精度明显优于任何一种单独的预测技术,即神经网络和logit模型的预测结果。
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引用次数: 4
Growth and performance of Indian mutual funds industry 印度共同基金行业的增长和表现
Pub Date : 2017-04-15 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I02.251
B. Pandow
The Indian mutual fund industry has come a long way since its inception in 1963. The industry witnessed sufficient growth on all parameters - the number of fund houses, the number of schemes, funds mobilized, assets under management, etc. Given the critical role of channeling household savings, the question is - has the Indian mutual industry succeeded in achieving its’ goal? This study addresses this concern. The detailed nature of the current study suggests that the mutual fund industry has recorded significant progress on all fronts yet it has not been able to utilize its potential fully. On almost on all parameters, it is far behind the developed economies and even most of the emerging economies of the world. Moreover, the industry faces a number of challenges like low penetration ratio, lack of product differentiation, lack of investor awareness and ability to communicate value to customers, lack of interest of retail investors towards mutual funds and evolving nature of the industry. Based on the analysis the study suggests some recommendation to address these challenges.
自1963年成立以来,印度共同基金业已经走过了漫长的道路。该行业在所有参数上都有足够的增长——基金公司的数量、计划的数量、调动的资金、管理的资产等。考虑到引导家庭储蓄的关键作用,问题是——印度互助银行是否成功实现了其“目标”?这项研究解决了这个问题。当前研究的详细性质表明,共同基金行业在各方面都取得了重大进展,但尚未能够充分利用其潜力。几乎在所有指标上,中国都远远落后于发达经济体,甚至世界上大多数新兴经济体。此外,该行业还面临着一些挑战,如渗透率低、产品缺乏差异化、投资者缺乏意识和向客户传达价值的能力、散户投资者对共同基金缺乏兴趣以及该行业的不断发展。基于分析,该研究提出了一些解决这些挑战的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Initial public offering (IPO) underpricing in Malaysian settings 首次公开发行(IPO)在马来西亚的定价过低
Pub Date : 2017-04-13 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I02.276
Edward Wong Sek Khin, B. RickyWongW, Lee Sue Ting
Empirical debate on Initial public offering (IPO) underpricing has never laid to rest. Motivated by the IPO underpricing phenomenon across various market, this paper examines the anomalous market behaviors of IPO in an emerging market setting such as Malaysia. The primary purpose of this paper is to analyze the existence and magnitude of the underpricing phenomenon and post listing performance of IPOs listed in Bursa Malaysia from 2008 to 2016. Moreover, this study aims to provide an insight primarily into the relationship between IPO initial and long-term stock performance and the four main determinants influencing underpricing, namely IPO size, market volatility, underwriter status and the reciprocal of IPO price. By analyzing a sample of 313 IPOs, the average market adjusted initial return is 9.4%. The regression-based analysis indicates positive relationship between underpricing and the explanatory variables, namely IPO size, market volatility, underwriter status and the reciprocal of IPO price. In addition, the findings of the present study lend support to the evidence of a fads hypothesis as the sample IPO was found to underperform the market over a 36-month period after listing and a univariate regression analysis further reveals that there is a negative relationship between initial market adjusted returns and returns over the 36-month period.
关于首次公开发行(IPO)定价过低的实证争论从未停止。本文以不同市场的IPO抑价现象为动机,考察了马来西亚等新兴市场背景下IPO的异常市场行为。本文的主要目的是分析2008年至2016年在马来西亚交易所上市的新股抑价现象的存在程度和上市后的表现。此外,本研究的主要目的是深入了解IPO初始和长期股票表现与影响抑价的四个主要决定因素(IPO规模、市场波动性、承销商地位和IPO价格的倒数关系)之间的关系。通过分析313次ipo的样本,市场调整后的平均初始回报率为9.4%。基于回归的分析表明,抑价与IPO规模、市场波动、承销商地位和IPO价格的倒数关系呈正相关。此外,本研究的发现支持了时尚假说的证据,因为样本IPO在上市后36个月内表现落后于市场,单变量回归分析进一步揭示了初始市场调整收益与36个月期间的收益之间存在负相关关系。
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引用次数: 9
Nursing manpower and productivity in medical service industry 医疗服务业护理人力与生产力
Pub Date : 2017-04-10 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I02.280
Jui-Hsiang Wang, Chun-Chu Liu
The Malmquist Index (MI) is a bilateral index that can be used to compare the production technology of two economies also as two different time status of one economy. Since, the nurse-to-bed ratio is the standard quantitative indicators of changes in technical efficiency, changes in technology, and total factor productivity in the medical service industry; we explore the link between the nurse-to-bed ratio and three MIs at the industry level using Twainese context. Our results show that the annual average nurse-to-bed ratio is inversely related to changes in efficiency in large cities. However, in medium-sized cities, annual changes in the average nurse-to-bed ratio are inversely related to the total factor productivity. We propose four assessment models to assist in the formulation of strategies aimed at improving the quality of care as well as productivity while considering the particulars of individual cities and regions Classification JEL: I13, I15, I18, O32
马奎斯特指数(Malmquist Index, MI)是一个双边指数,可以用来比较两个经济体的生产技术,也可以作为一个经济体的两个不同的时间状态。由于,护床比是衡量医疗服务业技术效率变化、技术变化和全要素生产率的标准量化指标;我们探讨护士与病床的比例和三个MIs之间的联系,在行业层面上使用台湾的情况。我们的研究结果表明,在大城市,年平均护士与床位的比率与效率的变化呈负相关。然而,在中等城市,平均护士与床位比率的年变化与全要素生产率呈负相关。我们提出了四个评估模型,以帮助制定旨在提高护理质量和生产力的战略,同时考虑到各个城市和地区的具体情况。分类JEL: I13, I15, I18, O32
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引用次数: 0
Accounting for not-for-profit organizations (NFPs) to prevent terrorist financing 对非营利组织(NFPs)进行会计核算以防止恐怖主义融资
Pub Date : 2017-04-06 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I02.282
Fuminobu Mizutani
This paper adopts a text mining approach to determine the concepts and operating process surrounding ‘Amutot law[1]’, for proposing a regulatory basis to account for financial flows of NFPs in U.S.A. Text mining result reveals that financial flows of charitable organizations can be monitored by making these NFPs to provide accurate information on contributions from foreign state entity and using accountants to monitor the nature of donations received by the organizations. Since Amutot law operates under market mechanisms, U.S government can gain substantial leverage to monitor terrorist financing channeled through various NFPs. This will also help protect the freedom to make contributions of American from diverse religious background. Classification JEL: H56; L31; M41; M42; M48.
本文采用文本挖掘方法来确定围绕“Amutot法”[1]的概念和操作过程,为美国非营利组织的资金流动提出了一个监管基础。文本挖掘结果表明,通过使这些非营利组织提供有关外国国家实体捐款的准确信息,并使用会计师来监控这些组织收到的捐款的性质,可以监控慈善组织的资金流动。由于Amutot法是在市场机制下运作的,美国政府可以获得实质性的杠杆来监控通过各种NFPs渠道的恐怖主义融资。这也将有助于保护来自不同宗教背景的美国人做出贡献的自由。分类JEL: H56;L31;M41;M42;M48。
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引用次数: 1
Inflation and economic growth in Cote d'Ivoire 科特迪瓦的通货膨胀和经济增长
Pub Date : 2017-04-04 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I02.271
Konan Leon N'dri
This paper investigates the relationships between inflation and economic growth in Cote d’Ivoire and makes some policy recommendations. The study uses annual data on economic growth and inflation over the period 1985 to 2010 and tests for the long-run and short-run relationships between inflation and economic growth by means of the ARDL bounds testing procedure. The findings are twofold. First , inflation imparts a positive and significant economic growth in the long-run. Second , in the short-run, inflation has a negative but insignificant effect on economic growth. Finally , to gain advantage from inflation, policy makers should target inflation at a level which is conducive to economic growth and promote economic growth through factors such as employment.
本文研究了科特迪瓦通货膨胀与经济增长之间的关系,并提出了一些政策建议。本研究使用1985年至2010年经济增长和通货膨胀的年度数据,并通过ARDL边界检验程序检验通货膨胀与经济增长之间的长期和短期关系。研究结果是双重的。首先,从长期来看,通货膨胀会带来积极而显著的经济增长。其次,在短期内,通货膨胀对经济增长的影响是负面的,但并不显著。最后,为了从通胀中获得优势,政策制定者应该将通胀目标定在有利于经济增长的水平,并通过就业等因素促进经济增长。
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引用次数: 1
Lost opportunity: Fear of flying, airline profits, and the economy 失去的机会:害怕飞行、航空公司利润和经济
Pub Date : 2017-03-15 DOI: 10.18533/JEFS.V5I01.278
G. Thompson, Annette E. Craven
The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between fears of flying and U.S. airline load factors to determine if there is a potential impact on corporate profits and the economy. Travelers with a reluctance towards flying represent a potential lost opportunity for airline companies, a source of operating profits, and positive economic impacts. This research examines the psychological reservations towards flying, how avoidance behaviors impact demand and the projected implications. The paper suggests revising conceptual financial considerations to assess whether stakeholders in the commercial U.S. air travel industry should attempt to recoup lost passengers who avoid flying out of fear. Classification JEL: D40; L91; L93; R41; R10.
本研究的目的是研究飞行恐惧与美国航空公司客座率之间的关系,以确定是否对公司利润和经济有潜在的影响。不愿乘坐飞机的旅客意味着航空公司可能会失去一个机会、一个运营利润来源和积极的经济影响。本研究探讨了对飞行的心理保留,回避行为如何影响需求和预测的影响。这篇论文建议修改概念上的财务考虑,以评估美国商业航空旅行行业的利益相关者是否应该尝试补偿那些因恐惧而避免乘坐飞机的乘客。JEL: D40;L91;L93;R41;R10。
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引用次数: 3
Economic analysis of domestic water consumption, sewage water disposal and its health impact 生活用水、污水处理及其对健康影响的经济分析
Pub Date : 2017-02-08 DOI: 10.18533/jefs.v4i6.107
S. Boopathi, S. Vijay
We investigate the economic impact of the by-product of rapid urbanization especially focusing on the negative externalities created in the urban ecosystem i.e. contamination of potable water, air pollution, noise pollution, automobile pollution, solid waste and sewage water disposal. Specifically, the domestic water consumption and sewage water disposal are the two variables of interest since these variables have a has a direct bearing on human health but has received scant attention in the literature, so far. Hence, our paper addresses issues like drinking water consumption, quantity disposal of waste water, diseases affected and costs of treatment. Using an intensive field survey, we estimate the loss of opportunity cost for a sample of 140 households. Our result concludes that the provision drinking water and availability of drainage facilities are weakened in the peripheral part of urbanization which associated with high health treatment cost. Moreover, in a slum, even with the proximity of availing these facilities is closer but the socially and economically vulnerable groups are deprived this basic facility. Classification JEL: H52, Q26, Q53
我们研究了快速城市化的副产品对经济的影响,特别关注城市生态系统中产生的负面外部性,即饮用水污染、空气污染、噪音污染、汽车污染、固体废物和污水处理。具体来说,生活用水和污水处理是我们感兴趣的两个变量,因为这些变量对人类健康有直接影响,但迄今为止在文献中很少受到关注。因此,我们的论文讨论了诸如饮用水消耗、废水处理数量、受影响的疾病和治疗费用等问题。通过深入的实地调查,我们估计了140个家庭样本的机会成本损失。研究结果表明,城市化外围地区的饮用水供应和排水设施的可用性较弱,这与高卫生保健成本有关。此外,在贫民窟,即使就近使用这些设施也更近,但社会和经济上脆弱的群体却被剥夺了这一基本设施。分类JEL: H52, Q26, Q53
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Economic and Financial Studies
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