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Multi-omics analysis links NFKB1 activation to poor immunosuppressive therapy response in acquired aplastic anemia. 多组学分析将NFKB1激活与获得性再生障碍性贫血免疫抑制治疗反应差联系起来。
IF 1.6 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2543619
Nianbin Li, Ting Wang, Boyi Wang, Rong Fu

Objectives: Acquired aplastic anemia (AA) is a bone marrow failure syndrome whose pathogenesis remains incompletely understood. This study aimed to explore the genetic determinants underlying AA and identify potential therapeutic targets.

Methods: We integrated summary data - based Mendelian randomization (SMR) and colocalization analysis to identify genes causally linked to AA. Key candidates were validated using single-cell RNA sequencing to assess their expression and pseudotime dynamics. We explored B-cell - mediated cell communication related to immunosuppressive therapy response. Serum expression of candidate genes was validated and correlated with clinical outcomes.

Results: SMR analysis identified 28 genes significantly associated with AA, among which NFKB1 emerged as a central regulatory factor. scRNA-seq data confirmed NFKB1's differential expression in B cells and its dynamic regulation during disease progression. Discussion and conclusion: This study is the first to comprehensively characterize the role of NFKB1 in the pathogenesis of AA through integrated multi-omics analysis and providing novel insights for the development of targeted interventions.

目的:获得性再生障碍性贫血(AA)是一种骨髓衰竭综合征,其发病机制尚不完全清楚。本研究旨在探讨AA的遗传决定因素并确定潜在的治疗靶点。方法:我们结合基于汇总数据的孟德尔随机化(SMR)和共定位分析来鉴定与AA相关的基因。使用单细胞RNA测序对关键候选物进行验证,以评估其表达和伪时间动态。我们探讨了与免疫抑制治疗反应相关的b细胞介导的细胞通讯。候选基因的血清表达得到验证,并与临床结果相关。结果:SMR分析鉴定出28个与AA显著相关的基因,其中NFKB1是中心调控因子。scRNA-seq数据证实了NFKB1在B细胞中的差异表达及其在疾病进展过程中的动态调控。讨论与结论:本研究首次通过综合多组学分析全面表征NFKB1在AA发病机制中的作用,为制定针对性干预措施提供新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of primary immune thrombocytopenia and immune thrombocytopenia secondary to connective tissue diseases. 结缔组织病原发性免疫性血小板减少症与继发性免疫性血小板减少症的比较分析。
IF 1.6 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2547455
Yingying Sun, Jinyue Yang, Lijuan Li, Jia Song, Xifeng Dong, Rong Fu, Huaquan Wang

Objectives: To explore the differences between primary immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) and ITP secondary to connective tissue disease (CTD-ITP).

Methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted on patients newly diagnosed with primary ITP and CTD-ITP hospitalized in the Hematology Department of Tianjin Medical University General Hospital from July 1, 2019 to December 31, 2023. Data, including demographic details, medical history records, and laboratory test results, were collected, followed by a comparative analysis to identify differences between the groups.

Results: Compared with patients in the primary ITP group, those in the CTD-ITP group exhibited a female predominance, along with lower platelet and hemoglobin levels. Total globulin and immunoglobulin G (IgG) concentrations were higher in the CTD-ITP group than in the primary ITP group, whereas albumin, complement C3, and C4 levels were lower. Antinuclear antibody titers were higher in the CTD-ITP group, and the percentages of regulatory B (Breg) cells and transitional B cells were lower. A greater percentage of abnormal megakaryocytes was observed in the CTD-ITP group. Furthermore, a larger proportion of patients in the CTD-ITP group met treatment criteria, necessitated more intensive therapy, and required a longer duration to achieve complete remission.

Conclusion: Compared with patients in the primary ITP group, those in the CTD-ITP group had more severe conditions, more intense immune disturbances, and greater treatment challenges. Individualized treatment is needed.

目的:探讨原发性免疫性血小板减少症(ITP)与结缔组织病继发性血小板减少症(CTD-ITP)的差异。方法:对2019年7月1日至2023年12月31日天津医科大学总医院血液科住院的新诊断原发性ITP和CTD-ITP患者进行回顾性观察研究。收集了包括人口统计细节、病史记录和实验室测试结果在内的数据,然后进行了比较分析,以确定各组之间的差异。结果:与原发性ITP组患者相比,CTD-ITP组患者表现出女性优势,血小板和血红蛋白水平较低。CTD-ITP组总球蛋白和免疫球蛋白G (IgG)浓度高于原发性ITP组,而白蛋白、补体C3和C4水平低于原发性ITP组。CTD-ITP组抗核抗体滴度较高,调节性B (Breg)细胞和移行性B细胞百分比较低。CTD-ITP组巨核细胞异常比例更高。此外,CTD-ITP组中更大比例的患者符合治疗标准,需要更强化的治疗,并且需要更长的持续时间才能达到完全缓解。结论:与原发性ITP组相比,CTD-ITP组患者病情更严重,免疫功能紊乱更严重,治疗挑战更大。个体化治疗是必要的。
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引用次数: 0
Anemia increases the risk of venous thromboembolism? Insights from genome-wide association studies. 贫血增加静脉血栓栓塞的风险?来自全基因组关联研究的见解。
IF 1.6 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2555039
Jieni Yu, Jingli Li, Leihua Fu, Zhe Chen, Chunjiang Liu, Pan Hong, Weiying Feng, Liming Tang, Wenzhen Ruan, Chao Xu

Objective: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a significant global health concern. Recent investigations indicate that anemia may increase the risk of VTE. Nevertheless, the presence of confounding variables in observational studies has rendered the causal association between anemia and VTE inconclusive.

Methods: This study utilized a two-sample Mendelian Randomization methodology, employing genetic variants derived from specific large-scale genome-wide association studies as instrumental variables to investigate the causal relationship between anemia and VTE. Rigorous statistical analyses were conducted, including the primary analysis based on the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method, along with supplementary analyses such as MR-Egger, weighted median, and MR-PRESSO, to ensure the reliability and validity of our results.

Results: Our analysis suggests a potential causal association between anemia and certain thrombotic events. Anemia was associated with an increased risk of thrombosis and embolism in unusual sites (OR = 1.446, 95% CI: 1.104-1.895, p = 0.007), while aplastic anemia showed a weak positive association with overall VTE risk (OR = 1.065, 95% CI: 1.003-1.131, p = 0.040).

Conclusions: Anemia individuals face an increased risk of embolism and thrombosis events, and AA exhibits a potential association with VTE. Nevertheless, a comprehensive comprehension of the precise underlying mechanisms linking anemia/AA and VTE necessitates further exploration through supplementary research.

目的:静脉血栓栓塞(VTE)是一个重要的全球健康问题。最近的研究表明,贫血可能会增加静脉血栓栓塞的风险。然而,观察性研究中混杂变量的存在使得贫血和静脉血栓栓塞之间的因果关系不确定。方法:本研究采用双样本孟德尔随机化方法,采用来自特定大规模全基因组关联研究的遗传变异作为工具变量,研究贫血与静脉血栓栓塞之间的因果关系。我们进行了严格的统计分析,包括基于逆方差加权(IVW)法的主要分析,以及MR-Egger、加权中位数、MR-PRESSO等辅助分析,以确保我们结果的可靠性和有效性。结果:我们的分析表明贫血和某些血栓事件之间存在潜在的因果关系。贫血与异常部位血栓形成和栓塞风险增加相关(OR = 1.446, 95% CI: 1.104-1.895, p = 0.007),而再生障碍性贫血与静脉血栓栓塞总风险呈弱正相关(OR = 1.065, 95% CI: 1.003-1.131, p = 0.040)。结论:贫血个体面临栓塞和血栓事件的风险增加,AA与静脉血栓栓塞有潜在关联。然而,要全面了解贫血/AA与静脉血栓栓塞之间的确切潜在机制,还需要通过补充研究进一步探索。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of a deep learning model and identification of BSG, PPARD, and SLC16A8 expression as potential indicators in the context of strategies for precision therapy to acute myeloid leukemia. 构建深度学习模型,确定BSG、PPARD和SLC16A8的表达作为急性髓系白血病精准治疗策略的潜在指标。
IF 1.6 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2592516
Yongyu Chen, Bin Liang, Ruilin He, Zhongming Zhang

Objective: Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) exhibits significant heterogeneity and aggressiveness. This study aimed to investigate T cell heterogeneity in the AML tumor microenvironment using single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) and identify potential biomarkers for prognosis and precision therapy.

Methods: scRNA-seq data from AML patient samples were analyzed to identify T cell subsets. A prognostic risk model was constructed using random forest and LASSO regression analyses based on key genes derived from a specific T cell cluster (Cluster 4). The model's predictive performance was validated using external datasets.

Results: Analysis revealed significant functional heterogeneity among T cell subsets. Cluster 4 T cells showed distinct gene set activities related to immune regulation. Three genes - BSG, PPARD, and SLC16A8 - were identified as independent prognostic factors. The risk model effectively stratified patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, with the high-risk group demonstrating significantly poorer survival outcomes. The model showed robust predictive accuracy, with areas under the ROC curve of 0.78, 0.86, and 0.86 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, respectively.

Conclusion: This study highlights the functional diversity of T cells in AML and identifies BSG, PPARD, and SLC16A8 as promising biomarkers for prognostic stratification. The developed risk model provides a valuable tool for guiding personalized treatment strategies in AML.

目的:急性髓性白血病(AML)具有显著的异质性和侵袭性。本研究旨在利用单细胞RNA测序(scRNA-seq)研究AML肿瘤微环境中的T细胞异质性,并确定预后和精确治疗的潜在生物标志物。方法:分析AML患者样本的scRNA-seq数据以鉴定T细胞亚群。使用随机森林和LASSO回归分析,基于来自特定T细胞簇(簇4)的关键基因构建预后风险模型。使用外部数据集验证了模型的预测性能。结果:分析显示T细胞亚群之间存在显著的功能异质性。簇4 T细胞表现出不同的与免疫调节相关的基因组活性。三个基因- BSG, PPARD和SLC16A8 -被确定为独立的预后因素。风险模型有效地将患者分为高风险和低风险组,高风险组的生存结果明显较差。该模型显示出稳健的预测准确性,1年、3年和5年生存率的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.78、0.86和0.86。结论:本研究强调了AML中T细胞的功能多样性,并确定BSG、PPARD和SLC16A8是预后分层的有希望的生物标志物。开发的风险模型为指导AML的个性化治疗策略提供了有价值的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Mendelian randomization reveals causal effect of Hashimoto's thyroiditis on immune thrombocytopenic purpura. 孟德尔随机化揭示桥本甲状腺炎对免疫性血小板减少性紫癜的因果效应。
IF 2 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2484959
Zhen Yao, Mingzhu Xu, Zijin Wang, Shanglong Feng, Fuquan Zhang, Shengli Xue, Chengsen Cai

Introduction: Patients with immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) usually express thyroid antigen-specific antibodies. The purpose of this study was to explore the causal relationship between Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) and ITP.

Methods: A two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) analysis was applied to investigate the potential causal relationship between HT and ITP in European population. Five complementary methods including inverse variance weighted (IVW), Mendelian Randomization-Egger (MR-Egger), weighted median, and weighted mode were performed in our study. Risk genes of HT and ITP were selected through Mendelian randomization (MR), and the common risk genes were further analysed by bioinformatics methods to explore the common pathogenesis of the two diseases.

Results: The MR analysis revealed a potential causal relationship between HT and risk of ITP [odds ratio (OR) = 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01, 1.49; P = 0.046]. Gene eQTL data were obtained from the IEU database. HT and ITP were respectively treated as outcome variables for MR analysis, and a total of 32 common risk genes were selected, including 12 high-risk genes and 20 low-risk genes. Functional analysis including Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genome (KEGG) analysis revealed that risk genes were closely related to antigen processing and presentation, and played a crucial role in the process of various viral and bacterial infections.

Conclusion: Our study demonstrated that HT may increase the risk of ITP, and revealed the role of their common risk genes in the development of the two diseases.

导语:免疫性血小板减少性紫癜(ITP)患者通常表达甲状腺抗原特异性抗体。本研究的目的是探讨桥本甲状腺炎(桥本甲状腺炎)与ITP的因果关系。方法:采用双样本孟德尔随机化(TSMR)分析,探讨欧洲人群中HT与ITP之间的潜在因果关系。本研究采用逆方差加权法(IVW)、孟德尔随机化-艾格法(MR-Egger)、加权中位数法和加权模式法5种互补方法。通过孟德尔随机化(Mendelian randomization, MR)筛选HT和ITP的危险基因,并通过生物信息学方法进一步分析共同的危险基因,探讨两种疾病的共同发病机制。结果:磁共振分析显示HT与ITP风险之间存在潜在的因果关系[比值比(OR) = 1.22;95%置信区间(CI) 1.01, 1.49;p = 0.046]。基因eQTL数据来源于IEU数据库。将HT和ITP分别作为结果变量进行MR分析,共选取32个常见风险基因,其中高风险基因12个,低风险基因20个。包括基因本体(GO)和京都基因基因组百科全书(KEGG)分析在内的功能分析表明,风险基因与抗原加工和递呈密切相关,在各种病毒和细菌感染过程中起着至关重要的作用。结论:我们的研究表明,HT可能增加ITP的风险,并揭示了两者共同的风险基因在两种疾病发展中的作用。
{"title":"Mendelian randomization reveals causal effect of Hashimoto's thyroiditis on immune thrombocytopenic purpura.","authors":"Zhen Yao, Mingzhu Xu, Zijin Wang, Shanglong Feng, Fuquan Zhang, Shengli Xue, Chengsen Cai","doi":"10.1080/16078454.2025.2484959","DOIUrl":"10.1080/16078454.2025.2484959","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Patients with immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) usually express thyroid antigen-specific antibodies. The purpose of this study was to explore the causal relationship between Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) and ITP.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) analysis was applied to investigate the potential causal relationship between HT and ITP in European population. Five complementary methods including inverse variance weighted (IVW), Mendelian Randomization-Egger (MR-Egger), weighted median, and weighted mode were performed in our study. Risk genes of HT and ITP were selected through Mendelian randomization (MR), and the common risk genes were further analysed by bioinformatics methods to explore the common pathogenesis of the two diseases.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The MR analysis revealed a potential causal relationship between HT and risk of ITP [odds ratio (OR) = 1.22; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01, 1.49; <i>P</i> = 0.046]. Gene eQTL data were obtained from the IEU database. HT and ITP were respectively treated as outcome variables for MR analysis, and a total of 32 common risk genes were selected, including 12 high-risk genes and 20 low-risk genes. Functional analysis including Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genome (KEGG) analysis revealed that risk genes were closely related to antigen processing and presentation, and played a crucial role in the process of various viral and bacterial infections.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our study demonstrated that HT may increase the risk of ITP, and revealed the role of their common risk genes in the development of the two diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":13161,"journal":{"name":"Hematology","volume":"30 1","pages":"2484959"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143772153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sintilimab for treating progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy caused by human polyomavirus 2 virus infection following allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation: a case report. 辛替单抗治疗异基因造血细胞移植后由人多瘤病毒2型感染引起的进行性多灶性白质脑病1例
IF 2 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2458932
Xuelian Jin, Xushu Zhong, Qinyu Liu, Xinchuan Chen

Background: Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is characterized by demyelination in the central nervous system. It is caused by infection with human polyomavirus 2 and has a poor prognosis. Therapeutic strategies involve restoring immune function and/or discontinuing immunosuppressive treatment. Immune checkpoint inhibitors such as those targeting programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) can alleviate PML by restoring T cell function. There are no case reports on the use of the PD-1 inhibitor, Sintilimab, for treating PML. Here, we report a case of successful treatment of PML with sintilimab following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Case presentation: A 35-year-old woman with high-risk acute myeloid leukemia underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation after induced remission and developed PML 12 months after transplantation. She received five courses of 100 mg every 4 weeks with monitoring by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and viral load in the cerebrospinal fluid, showing clinical improvement, resolution of neurological symptoms, and reduced viral load. MRI showed initial exacerbation of lesions but significant improvement after five courses of treatment. No graft-versus-host disease occurred, but manageable immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome was observed.

Conclusion: Sintilimab, a PD-1 inhibitor, might be used to treat PML in patients with hematologic malignancies undergoing allo-HSCT, which needs further investigation.

背景:进行性多灶性脑白质病(PML)以中枢神经系统脱髓鞘为特征。它是由感染人类多瘤病毒2引起的,预后较差。治疗策略包括恢复免疫功能和/或停止免疫抑制治疗。针对程序性死亡受体-1 (PD-1)的免疫检查点抑制剂可以通过恢复T细胞功能来缓解PML。目前还没有使用PD-1抑制剂辛替单抗治疗PML的病例报告。在这里,我们报告一例成功治疗PML与辛替单抗后异基因造血干细胞移植。病例介绍:一名患有高危急性髓系白血病的35岁女性在诱导缓解后接受了异基因造血干细胞移植,并在移植后12个月发生了PML。患者接受5个疗程,每4周100 mg,并通过磁共振成像(MRI)监测脑脊液病毒载量,显示临床改善,神经系统症状缓解,病毒载量降低。MRI显示病变最初加重,但治疗5个疗程后明显改善。未发生移植物抗宿主病,但观察到可控的免疫重建炎症综合征。结论:PD-1抑制剂辛替单抗可能用于治疗恶性血液病患者接受同种异体造血干细胞移植后的PML,有待进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Outcomes of peripherally inserted central catheter vs conventional central venous catheters in hematological cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 血液学癌症患者外周置管与传统中心静脉置管的疗效:系统回顾和荟萃分析。
IF 2 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2450572
Weilei Ge, Chen Zheng

Objective: This review aimed to examine if there is any difference in the risk of thrombosis and central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) with the use of peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) and conventional central venous catheters (CVC) in hematological cancer patients.

Methods: We searched the online databases of PubMed, CENTRAL, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase for all types of studies comparing the risk of thrombosis and CLABSI between PICC and CVC. The search ended on 23rd September 2024.

Results: Eight studies were included. One was a randomized trial while others were observational studies. Meta-analysis showed no statistically significant difference in the risk of thrombosis between PICC and CVC (OR: 1.69 95% CI: 0.75, 3.82 I2 = 78%). However, these results were not stable on sensitivity analysis. The exclusion of two studies indicated a higher risk of thrombosis with PICC. Pooled analysis showed that the risk of CLABSI was significantly lower with PICC as compared to CVC (OR: 0.52 95% CI: 0.40, 0.66 I2 = 0%). Results of subgroup analysis based on study design and diagnosis showed conflicting results.

Conclusions: There is conflicting evidence on the risk of thrombosis between PICC and CVC when used for hematological cancer patients. There could be a tendency of higher risk of thrombosis with PICC which needs to be confirmed by further studies. However, the use of PICC may reduce the risk of CLABSI in such patients. The quality of evidence is low owing to the predominance of observational studies with high inter-study heterogeneity.

目的:本综述旨在探讨血液学癌症患者使用外周插入中心导管(PICC)和传统中心静脉导管(CVC)在血栓形成和中央静脉相关血流感染(CLABSI)风险方面是否存在差异。方法:我们检索PubMed、CENTRAL、Scopus、Web of Science和Embase等在线数据库,查找PICC和CVC之间血栓和CLABSI风险比较的所有类型的研究。搜寻工作于2024年9月23日结束。结果:纳入8项研究。一项是随机试验,另一项是观察性研究。meta分析显示PICC和CVC的血栓形成风险无统计学差异(OR: 1.69 95% CI: 0.75, 3.82 I2 = 78%)。然而,这些结果在敏感性分析上并不稳定。排除两项研究表明PICC有较高的血栓形成风险。合并分析显示,与CVC相比,PICC患者发生CLABSI的风险显著降低(OR: 0.52 95% CI: 0.40, 0.66 I2 = 0%)。基于研究设计和诊断的亚组分析结果显示相互矛盾的结果。结论:关于PICC和CVC用于血液学癌症患者的血栓形成风险,存在相互矛盾的证据。PICC可能存在血栓形成风险增高的趋势,有待进一步研究证实。然而,PICC的使用可能会降低这类患者发生CLABSI的风险。由于观察性研究占主导地位,研究间异质性较高,证据质量较低。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting the incidence of acute lymphoid leukaemia in males and females in the Saudi population from 2020 to 2029: application of ARIMA models and public health implications. 预测2020年至2029年沙特人口中男性和女性急性淋巴性白血病的发病率:ARIMA模型的应用和公共卫生影响
IF 2 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2538318
Saeed M Kabrah, Budhi Handoko, Yasir Aljohani, Abdulrahman Mujalli, Mohammad Alobaidy, Arwa F Flemban, Wesam F Farrash, Abdulaziz H Alharbi, M S J Alzahrani

Background: Acute lymphoid leukaemia (ALL) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality globally, with increasing incidence rates observed in Saudi Arabia. Despite advances in treatment, there is a lack of localized, sex-specific forecasts to guide public health interventions.

Objective: This study aims to forecast the future incidence of acute lymphoid leukaemia in males and females using ARIMA models.

Methods: Saudi national cancer registries data from 1990 to 2019 were used. The dataset was divided into training (80%) and testing (20%) sets. ARIMA models were developed for male and female incidence, with model parameters determined using ACF and PACF plots. Stationarity was assessed using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, and model accuracy was validated using MAE, MSE, and MAPE. Forecasts included point estimates and 95% confidence intervals.

Results: For males, the ARIMA (3, 3, 3) model forecasted an increase in ALL incidences from 957 cases in 2020 to 2181 cases in 2029. For females, the ARIMA (4, 3, 0) model projected an increase from 1019 cases in 2020 to 2159 cases in 2029. The models demonstrated high accuracy, with MAE of 1.19895 and 2.749188, MSE of 62.33 and 31.83, and MAPE of 0.6805807 and 1.443453 for males and females, respectively.

Conclusion: Forecasts indicate a substantial rise in ALL incidence among both sexes, highlighting the urgent need for improved surveillance, early detection, and healthcare capacity planning. Incorporating ARIMA modelling into routine monitoring could support proactive resource allocation. Further studies should integrate additional predictive variables to enhance model precision.

背景:急性淋巴性白血病(ALL)是全球发病率和死亡率的重要原因,沙特阿拉伯的发病率不断上升。尽管在治疗方面取得了进展,但缺乏针对特定性别的局部预测来指导公共卫生干预措施。目的:应用ARIMA模型预测未来男性和女性急性淋巴细胞白血病的发病率。方法:使用1990年至2019年沙特国家癌症登记处的数据。数据集分为训练集(80%)和测试集(20%)。建立了男性和女性发病率的ARIMA模型,使用ACF和PACF图确定模型参数。使用Augmented Dickey-Fuller检验评估平稳性,并使用MAE、MSE和MAPE验证模型准确性。预测包括点估计和95%置信区间。结果:对于男性,ARIMA(3,3,3)模型预测ALL发病率从2020年的957例增加到2029年的2181例。对于女性,ARIMA(4,3,0)模型预测从2020年的1019例增加到2029年的2159例。模型准确率较高,男性和女性的MAE分别为1.19895和2.749188,MSE分别为62.33和31.83,MAPE分别为0.6805807和1.443453。结论:预测表明,ALL在两性中的发病率均大幅上升,这凸显了改善监测、早期发现和卫生保健能力规划的迫切需要。将ARIMA模型纳入日常监测可以支持主动分配资源。进一步的研究应整合额外的预测变量,以提高模型的精度。
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引用次数: 0
A-SURE: intra-patient comparison of prophylactic effectiveness of a recombinant factor VIII Fc fusion protein versus standard half-life factor VIII in hemophilia A. a- sure:重组因子VIII Fc融合蛋白与标准半衰期因子VIII在血友病a中的预防效果的患者内比较。
IF 1.6 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2513186
Johannes Oldenburg, Charles Hay, Flora Peyvandi, Anna-Elina Lehtinen, Ingrid Pabinger, Eveline Nüesch, Håkan Malmström, Eva Bednar, Stefan Lethagen

Background: Despite recent advances, factor replacement therapy remains a cornerstone in hemophilia A treatment. Efmoroctocog alfa, a recombinant FVIII Fc fusion protein (rFVIIIFc), has an extended half-life allowing higher FVIII levels and less frequent dosing than standard half-life (SHL) products, without increasing factor consumption.

Methods: A-SURE was a 24-month prospective, non-interventional study assessing real-world effectiveness of rFVIIIFc prophylaxis. This post-hoc, intra-patient analysis included patients with hemophilia A (PwHA) who switched from SHL FVIII to rFVIIIFc prophylaxis. Effectiveness endpoints included annualised bleeding rate (ABR), annualised joint bleeding rate (AjBR), weekly injection frequency and weekly factor consumption.

Results: Of 131 PwHA eligible for analysis, mean ABR and AjBR decreased from 3.7 and 2.4 to 1.8 and 1.1, respectively, after switching (mean [95% confidence interval (CI)] change of -1.9 [-3.0, -0.8] and -1.2 [-2.0, -0.5]). Mean weekly injection frequency decreased from 3.1 to 2.3 (mean [95% CI] change of -0.8 [-1.0, -0.7]); weekly factor consumption reduced from 89.7 to 84.1 international units (IU)/kg, respectively (mean [95% CI] change of -5.7 [-10.7, -0.6]). These trends were consistent across age groups.

Conclusion: This intra-patient comparison demonstrates switching from SHL FVIII to rFVIIIFc prophylaxis reduces frequency of bleeds, injection frequency, and factor consumption, complementing previously reported data from A-SURE.Trial registration:ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02976753.

背景:尽管最近取得了进展,因子替代疗法仍然是血友病a治疗的基石。Efmoroctocog alfa是一种重组FVIIIFc融合蛋白(rfviii ifc),与标准半衰期(SHL)产品相比,具有较长的半衰期,允许更高的FVIII水平和更少的给药频率,而不会增加因子消耗。方法:a - sure是一项为期24个月的前瞻性非介入性研究,评估rfviii - ifc预防的实际有效性。这项事后的患者内部分析包括从SHL FVIII转为rfviii ifc预防的血友病A (PwHA)患者。有效性终点包括年化出血率(ABR)、年化关节出血率(AjBR)、每周注射频率和每周因子消耗。结果:在131例符合分析条件的PwHA中,转换后的平均ABR和AjBR分别从3.7和2.4下降到1.8和1.1(平均[95%置信区间(CI)]变化为-1.9[-3.0,-0.8]和-1.2[-2.0,-0.5])。平均每周注射频率从3.1次降至2.3次(平均[95% CI]变化为-0.8 [-1.0,-0.7]);每周因素消耗分别从89.7国际单位(IU)/kg减少到84.1国际单位(95% CI)变化为-5.7[-10.7,-0.6])。这些趋势在各个年龄组中都是一致的。结论:该患者内部比较表明,从SHL FVIII转向rfviii ifc预防可减少出血频率、注射频率和因子消耗,补充了先前报道的A-SURE数据。试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov标识符:NCT02976753。
{"title":"A-SURE: intra-patient comparison of prophylactic effectiveness of a recombinant factor VIII Fc fusion protein versus standard half-life factor VIII in hemophilia A.","authors":"Johannes Oldenburg, Charles Hay, Flora Peyvandi, Anna-Elina Lehtinen, Ingrid Pabinger, Eveline Nüesch, Håkan Malmström, Eva Bednar, Stefan Lethagen","doi":"10.1080/16078454.2025.2513186","DOIUrl":"10.1080/16078454.2025.2513186","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Despite recent advances, factor replacement therapy remains a cornerstone in hemophilia A treatment. Efmoroctocog alfa, a recombinant FVIII Fc fusion protein (rFVIIIFc), has an extended half-life allowing higher FVIII levels and less frequent dosing than standard half-life (SHL) products, without increasing factor consumption.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A-SURE was a 24-month prospective, non-interventional study assessing real-world effectiveness of rFVIIIFc prophylaxis. This post-hoc, intra-patient analysis included patients with hemophilia A (PwHA) who switched from SHL FVIII to rFVIIIFc prophylaxis. Effectiveness endpoints included annualised bleeding rate (ABR), annualised joint bleeding rate (AjBR), weekly injection frequency and weekly factor consumption.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 131 PwHA eligible for analysis, mean ABR and AjBR decreased from 3.7 and 2.4 to 1.8 and 1.1, respectively, after switching (mean [95% confidence interval (CI)] change of -1.9 [-3.0, -0.8] and -1.2 [-2.0, -0.5]). Mean weekly injection frequency decreased from 3.1 to 2.3 (mean [95% CI] change of -0.8 [-1.0, -0.7]); weekly factor consumption reduced from 89.7 to 84.1 international units (IU)/kg, respectively (mean [95% CI] change of -5.7 [-10.7, -0.6]). These trends were consistent across age groups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This intra-patient comparison demonstrates switching from SHL FVIII to rFVIIIFc prophylaxis reduces frequency of bleeds, injection frequency, and factor consumption, complementing previously reported data from A-SURE.<b>Trial registration:</b>ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02976753.</p>","PeriodicalId":13161,"journal":{"name":"Hematology","volume":"30 1","pages":"2513186"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144567383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Gilteritinib maintenance after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia with FLT3-internal tandem duplication mutation. 同种异体造血干细胞移植治疗复发/难治性急性髓系白血病flt3 -内串联重复突变后吉尔替尼维持。
IF 2 4区 医学 Q3 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2025.2509353
Chen Liang, Donglin Yang, Aiming Pang, Yi He, Rongli Zhang, Weihua Zhai, Sizhou Feng, Mingzhe Han, Suning Chen, Liping Dou, Yu Wang, Xiaojin Wu, Erlie Jiang

Background: Patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with FLT3-Internal Tandem Duplication (ITD) mutation have a poor prognosis and high risk of relapse, even after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Prevention of disease relapse remains a challenge.Objective: To investigate the efficacy and tolerability of gilteritinib maintenance therapy in R/R AML patients with FLT3-ITD mutation.Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 96 AML patients who received allo-HSCT between 2017 and 2022. Patients were divided into two groups based on whether they received gilteritinib maintenance therapy or not. To minimize selection bias, we implemented propensity score matching and selected 80 propensity score-matched patients for comparison, 40 in each group. The therapeutic process and clinical outcomes were retrospectively analyzed.Results: All patient baseline and transplant characteristics were similar between the gilteritinib and the control group. Gilteritinib therapy conferred significant survival advantages (P = 0.013 for OS and P = 0.026 for RFS). Relapse remained the main reason of treatment failure with 3-year incidence of 25.0% (95%CI 12.8-39.2%) and 55.0% (95%CI 38.1-69.0%) for the gilteritinib group and the control group(P = 0.010). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, gilteritinib maintenance was the only factor associated with improved OS (HR = 0.395, P = 0.040) and RFS (HR = 0.447, P = 0.030).Conclusions: Our results indicated that gilteritinib maintenance therapy reduced the risk of relapse for FLT3-ITD mutated R/R AML. Compared with patients without maintenance therapy, gilteritinib treatment showed a similar incidence of NRM and GVHD, leading to significant survival advantages in this high-risk cohort of patients.

背景:复发或难治性(R/R)急性髓性白血病(AML)伴有flt3 -内部串联重复(ITD)突变的患者预后差,复发风险高,即使在同种异体造血干细胞移植(alloo - hsct)后也是如此。预防疾病复发仍然是一项挑战。目的:探讨吉列替尼维持治疗FLT3-ITD突变的R/R AML患者的疗效和耐受性。方法:我们回顾性分析了2017年至2022年间接受同种异体造血干细胞移植的96例AML患者。患者根据是否接受吉替尼维持治疗分为两组。为了尽量减少选择偏差,我们实施了倾向评分匹配,并选择了80名倾向评分匹配的患者进行比较,每组40名。回顾性分析治疗过程及临床结果。结果:所有患者的基线和移植特征在吉特替尼组和对照组之间相似。Gilteritinib治疗具有显著的生存优势(OS P = 0.013, RFS P = 0.026)。复发仍然是治疗失败的主要原因,吉特替尼组和对照组的3年发病率分别为25.0% (95%CI 12.8 ~ 39.2%)和55.0% (95%CI 38.1 ~ 69.0%) (P = 0.010)。在多因素Cox回归分析中,gilteritinib维持是唯一与OS (HR = 0.395, P = 0.040)和RFS (HR = 0.447, P = 0.030)改善相关的因素。结论:我们的研究结果表明,吉列替尼维持治疗降低了FLT3-ITD突变的R/R AML复发的风险。与未接受维持治疗的患者相比,gilteritinib治疗显示出相似的NRM和GVHD发生率,导致该高危队列患者的显着生存优势。
{"title":"Gilteritinib maintenance after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia with FLT3-internal tandem duplication mutation.","authors":"Chen Liang, Donglin Yang, Aiming Pang, Yi He, Rongli Zhang, Weihua Zhai, Sizhou Feng, Mingzhe Han, Suning Chen, Liping Dou, Yu Wang, Xiaojin Wu, Erlie Jiang","doi":"10.1080/16078454.2025.2509353","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/16078454.2025.2509353","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><b>Background:</b> Patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with FLT3-Internal Tandem Duplication (ITD) mutation have a poor prognosis and high risk of relapse, even after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Prevention of disease relapse remains a challenge.<b>Objective:</b> To investigate the efficacy and tolerability of gilteritinib maintenance therapy in R/R AML patients with FLT3-ITD mutation.<b>Methods:</b> We retrospectively analyzed 96 AML patients who received allo-HSCT between 2017 and 2022. Patients were divided into two groups based on whether they received gilteritinib maintenance therapy or not. To minimize selection bias, we implemented propensity score matching and selected 80 propensity score-matched patients for comparison, 40 in each group. The therapeutic process and clinical outcomes were retrospectively analyzed.<b>Results:</b> All patient baseline and transplant characteristics were similar between the gilteritinib and the control group. Gilteritinib therapy conferred significant survival advantages (<i>P</i> = 0.013 for OS and <i>P</i> = 0.026 for RFS). Relapse remained the main reason of treatment failure with 3-year incidence of 25.0% (95%CI 12.8-39.2%) and 55.0% (95%CI 38.1-69.0%) for the gilteritinib group and the control group(<i>P</i> = 0.010). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, gilteritinib maintenance was the only factor associated with improved OS (HR = 0.395, <i>P</i> = 0.040) and RFS (HR = 0.447, <i>P</i> = 0.030).<b>Conclusions:</b> Our results indicated that gilteritinib maintenance therapy reduced the risk of relapse for FLT3-ITD mutated R/R AML. Compared with patients without maintenance therapy, gilteritinib treatment showed a similar incidence of NRM and GVHD, leading to significant survival advantages in this high-risk cohort of patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":13161,"journal":{"name":"Hematology","volume":"30 1","pages":"2509353"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144316807","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Hematology
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