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Development and validation of a multivariable predictive model for Emergency Department Overcrowding based on the National Emergency Department Overcrowding Study (NEDOCS) score. 基于国家急诊科过度拥挤研究(NEDOCS)评分的急诊科过度拥挤多变量预测模型的开发和验证
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03848-5
Diego Hernán Giunta, Diego Sanchez Thomas, Lucrecia Bustamante, Maria Florencia Grande Ratti, Bernardo Julio Martinez

Background Predicting potential overcrowding is a significant tool in efficient emergency department (ED) management. Our aim was to develop and validate overcrowding predictive models using accessible and high quality information. Methods Retrospective cohort study of consecutive days in the Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires ED from june 2016 to may 2018. We estimated hourly NEDOCS score for the entire period, and defined the outcome as Sustained Critical ED Overcrowding (EDOC) equal to occurrence of 8 or more hours with a NEDOCS score ≥ 180. We generated 3 logistic regression predictive models with different related outcomes: beginning, ending or occurrence of Sustained Critical EDOC. We estimated calibration and discrimination as internal (random validation group and bootstrapping) and external validation (different period and different ED). Results The main model included both the beginning and occurrence of NEDOCS, including weather variables, variables related to NEDOCS itself and patient flow variables. The second model considered only the beginning of Sustained Critical EDOC and included variables related to NEDOCS. The last model considered the end of Sustained Critical EDOC and it included variables related to NEDOCS, weather, bed occupancy and management. Discrimination for the main model had an area under the receiveroperator curve of 0.997 (95% CI 0.994 - 1) in the validation group. Calibration for the model was very high on internal validation and acceptable on external validation. Conclusion The Sustained Critical EDOC predictive model includes variables that are easily obtained and can be used for effective resource management in situations of overcrowding.

背景预测潜在的拥挤是有效管理急诊科(ED)的重要工具。我们的目标是利用可访问的高质量信息开发和验证过度拥挤的预测模型。方法回顾性队列研究2016年6月至2018年5月在布宜诺斯艾利斯意大利医院急诊科连续的天数。我们估计了整个时期的每小时NEDOCS评分,并将结果定义为持续临界ED过度拥挤(EDOC),等于发生8小时或更长时间且NEDOCS评分≥180。我们建立了3个具有不同相关结果的逻辑回归预测模型:持续临界EDOC的开始、结束或发生。我们估计校准和鉴别为内部(随机验证组和bootapping)和外部验证(不同时期和不同ED)。结果主要模型包括NEDOCS的开始和发生,包括天气变量、NEDOCS本身相关变量和患者流量变量。第二个模型只考虑持续关键EDOC的开始,并包括与NEDOCS相关的变量。最后一个模型考虑了持续关键EDOC的结束,它包括与nedoc、天气、床位占用和管理相关的变量。在验证组中,主模型的识别面积为0.997 (95% CI 0.994 - 1)。模型的校准在内部验证中非常高,在外部验证中是可接受的。结论持续临界EDOC预测模型包含易于获取的变量,可用于过度拥挤情况下的有效资源管理。
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引用次数: 0
Predictors of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) failure in severe community-acquired pneumonia or COVID-19. 重度社区获得性肺炎或COVID-19患者高流量鼻插管失败的预测因素
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03844-9
Achim Grünewaldt, Matthieu Gaillard, Gernot Rohde

The aim was to identify predictors for early identification of HFNC failure risk in patients with severe community-acquired (CAP) pneumonia or COVID-19. Data from adult critically ill patients admitted with CAP or COVID-19 and the need for ventilatory support were retrospectively analysed. HFNC failure was defined as the need for invasive ventilation or death before intubation. 60 patients with CAP and 185 with COVID-19 were included. 27 (45%) patients with CAP and 69 (37.3%) patients with COVID-19 showed HFNC failure. Lower oxygenation index, lower respiratory oxygenation (ROX) index, and higher respiratory rate at the start of HFNC were significantly associated with HFNC failure. ROC-analysis identified a respiratory rate of 27/min as the optimal cut-off for predicting HFNC failure, with a specificity of 59% and a sensitivity of 75%, and an oxygenation index after HFNC initiation of 99.6 (specificity 81%, sensitivity 74%). In COVID-19, an elevated CRB65-score at hospital admission and at HFNC-initiation was significantly associated with HFNC failure. In CAP and COVID patients an oxygenation index < 99.6, a respiratory rate > 27/min and a ROX index < 4.88 were predictors for HFNC failure whereas a CRB65 score > 3 at hospital admission and > 2 at HFNC start was predictive for HFNC failure in COVID-19.

目的是确定早期识别严重社区获得性肺炎或COVID-19患者HFNC失败风险的预测因素。回顾性分析因CAP或COVID-19入院的成年危重患者的数据和对呼吸支持的需求。HFNC失败定义为需要有创通气或插管前死亡。纳入60例CAP患者和185例COVID-19患者。27例(45%)CAP患者和69例(37.3%)COVID-19患者出现HFNC衰竭。HFNC开始时较低的氧合指数、较低的呼吸氧合(ROX)指数和较高的呼吸频率与HFNC失败显著相关。roc分析发现,27/min的呼吸频率是预测HFNC失败的最佳临界值,特异性为59%,敏感性为75%,HFNC开始后的氧合指数为99.6(特异性81%,敏感性74%)。在COVID-19中,入院时和HFNC启动时crb65评分升高与HFNC失败显著相关。在CAP和COVID患者中,入院时氧合指数27/min、ROX指数3和HFNC开始时>2可预测COVID-19中HFNC失败。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing modified HEART scores with high-sensitivity troponin for low-risk chest pain in the emergency department. 用高敏感性肌钙蛋白评价急诊低危胸痛的改良HEART评分
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03845-8
Katherine A Holmes, Samuel A Ralston, Daniel Phillips, Jeffy Jose, Liana Milis, Radhika Cheeti, Timothy Muirheid, Hao Wang

The accuracy of using HEART (history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and troponin) scores with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) to risk stratify emergency department (ED) chest pain patients remains uncertain. We aim to compare the performance accuracy of determining major adverse cardiac event (MACE) among three modified HEART (mHEART) scores with the use of hs-cTn to risk stratify ED chest pain patients. This retrospective single-center observational study included ED patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome who had HEAR scores calculated and at least one hs-cTnI result. Various hs-cTnI parameters, including 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL, i.e., positive, ≥ 53 ng/l for females and ≥ 78 ng/l for males), limit of quantitation (LoQ, i.e., negative: < 20 ng/l), and limit of detection (LoD, < 3 ng/l), were used to calculate a troponin score (T-score). Patients with a T-score of 0 or mHEART score of 0-3 were considered low risk. The study compared the accuracy of different mHEART scores in predicting 30-day and 180-day MACE outcomes. A total of 10,495 patients were included, with 337 (3.21%) and 647 (6.16%) experiencing 30-day and 180-day MACE. The 30-day MACE rates were 0.53%, 1.37%, and 2.00% for patients whose hs-cTnI was beyond the cutoffs of LoD, LoQ, and URL, respectively. However, when low risk was defined as an mHEART score of 0-3, the 30-day MACE rates ranged from 0.33 to 0.62% across different mHEART scores. The mHEART score for risk stratification of low-risk chest pain patients shows acceptable accuracy in predicting MACE outcomes.

使用HEART(病史、心电图、年龄、危险因素和肌钙蛋白)评分和高敏感性心肌肌钙蛋白(hs-cTn)对急诊科(ED)胸痛患者进行风险分层的准确性仍不确定。我们的目的是比较三种改良心脏(mHEART)评分中确定主要不良心脏事件(MACE)的性能准确性,并使用hs-cTn对ED胸痛患者进行风险分层。这项回顾性单中心观察性研究纳入了疑似急性冠状动脉综合征的ED患者,这些患者计算了听力评分并至少有一个hs-cTnI结果。hs-cTnI各项参数,包括第99百分位参考上限(URL,即阳性,女性≥53 ng/l,男性≥78 ng/l)、定量限(LoQ,即阴性);
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引用次数: 0
Eosinophilic oesophagitis in adults: from symptoms to therapeutic options. 成人嗜酸性食管炎:从症状到治疗选择
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03846-7
Carlo Maria Rossi, Marco Vincenzo Lenti, Giovanni Santacroce, Stefania Merli, Alessandro Vanoli, Antonio Di Sabatino

Eosinophilic oesophagitis (EoE) is a chronic and progressive immune-mediated condition, typically affecting young atopic male adults and potentially leads to organ dysfunction and fibrosis. The clinical spectrum widely varies -from non-troublesome dysphagia to food impaction- and hence the rate of misdiagnosis and diagnostic delay are high, especially when presenting with minor symptoms, such as heartburn and acid regurgitation. There have been several major therapeutic breakthroughs for the management of EoE in recent years. Highly effective conventional agents with oesophagus-specific formulations (i.e. orodispersible budesonide) and a biological agent (i.e. dupilumab) now have a formal indication. Oesophageal dilation may be indicated in case of strictures, which are more common in longstanding and untreated disease. Therefore, the early diagnosis of this disorder and specialist referral is if of great importance. The evaluation of alarm signs and typical presentation patterns should allow a more straightforward recognition. The emergency and internal medicine doctors should actively be involved in this process and take part to the multidisciplinary care of patients with EoE, to allow better patient care and clinical outcomes.

嗜酸性粒细胞性食管炎(EoE)是一种慢性进行性免疫介导的疾病,通常影响年轻的特应性成年男性,并可能导致器官功能障碍和纤维化。临床表现各异——从不麻烦的吞咽困难到食物嵌塞——因此误诊率和诊断延误率很高,特别是当出现轻微症状时,如胃灼热和反酸。近年来,在治疗EoE方面取得了几项重大突破。具有食道特异性配方的高效常规药物(即可分散布地奈德)和生物制剂(即杜匹单抗)现在有正式适应症。食管狭窄的情况下可能需要扩张,这在长期和未经治疗的疾病中更为常见。因此,这种疾病的早期诊断和专科转诊非常重要。对报警标志和典型表现模式的评估应该允许更直接的识别。急诊和内科医生应积极参与这一过程,并参与对EoE患者的多学科护理,以实现更好的患者护理和临床效果。
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引用次数: 0
Acute aortic syndrome as an early complication of giant cell arteritis. 急性主动脉综合征作为巨细胞动脉炎的早期并发症。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03850-x
Kanza Mirza, Lillian Barra, Andreu Fernández-Codina
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引用次数: 0
Subclinical hypothyroidism: a new predictor of heart failure with improved ejection fraction in HFrEF patients. 亚临床甲状腺功能减退:HFrEF患者射血分数改善的心力衰竭的新预测因子。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03827-w
Haiqing Zhou, Qi Wang, Zhiquan Liu, Guohong Wu, Wenqing Zhou, Dongmei Yang, Kangyu Chen

Heart failure (HF) with improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF) has gradually attracted widespread attention in recent years for its better clinical prognosis. In this study, we attempted to investigate the relationship between subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) and HFimpEF. This study retrospectively collected clinical data on patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) hospitalized at the First Affiliated Hospital of USTC from March 2015 to September 2023, and divided into two groups as euthyroidism or SCH according to the baseline thyroid function. Then patients were further categorized into HFimpEF (follow-up LVEF > 40% and absolute increase ≥ 10%) and persistent HFrEF based on their LVEF on the echocardiograms during the follow-up period. Afterward, logistic regression was used to estimate the effect of SCH on HFimpEF. A total of 916 patients with HFrEF met the inclusion and exclusion criteria, and 396 patients (43.2%) progressed to HFimpEF status during the follow-up period. Compared with HFrEF patients, the prevalence of SCH is lower in HFimpEF patients (9.3% vs. 14.4%, P = 0.020). Univariate logistic regression analysis indicates that SCH was a potential predictor for HFimpEF (OR: 0.612 [95% CI 0.403-0.928], P = 0.021). After adjusting for multiple factors in logistic regression, the odds ratios of HFrEF patients with SCH progressing to HFimpEF decreased by 37.8% (OR: 0.622 [95% CI 0.397-0.974], P = 0.038) compared with patients with euthyroidism. This study suggests that thyroid function affects the improvement of cardiac function in patients with HFrEF and SCH is an independent predictor for HFimpEF.

射血分数改善型心力衰竭(HFimpEF)因其较好的临床预后近年来逐渐受到广泛关注。本研究试图探讨亚临床甲状腺功能减退症(SCH)与 HFimpEF 之间的关系。本研究回顾性收集了2015年3月至2023年9月期间在中国科学技术大学附属第一医院住院治疗的射血分数减低型心房颤动(HFrEF)患者的临床资料,并根据患者的甲状腺功能基线将其分为甲状腺功能亢进和甲状腺功能减退两组。然后根据随访期间超声心动图显示的LVEF进一步将患者分为HFimpEF(随访LVEF>40%且绝对值增加≥10%)和持续性HFrEF。之后,采用逻辑回归法估算 SCH 对 HFimpEF 的影响。共有 916 名 HFrEF 患者符合纳入和排除标准,其中 396 名患者(43.2%)在随访期间发展为 HFimpEF 状态。与 HFrEF 患者相比,HFimpEF 患者的 SCH 患病率较低(9.3% 对 14.4%,P = 0.020)。单变量逻辑回归分析表明,SCH 是 HFimpEF 的潜在预测因素(OR:0.612 [95% CI 0.403-0.928],P = 0.021)。在逻辑回归中对多种因素进行调整后,与甲状腺功能正常的患者相比,患有SCH的HFrEF患者进展为HFimpEF的几率降低了37.8%(OR:0.622 [95% CI 0.397-0.974],P = 0.038)。这项研究表明,甲状腺功能会影响 HFrEF 患者心脏功能的改善,而 SCH 是 HFimpEF 的独立预测因子。
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引用次数: 0
Hypoglycemia: one size does not fit all! 低血糖症:一个尺码不适合所有人!
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03842-x
Laura Tomaino, Valerio Di Maio, Susanna Contucci, Lorenzo Falsetti, Gianluca Moroncini
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引用次数: 0
Diaphragmatic ultrasound: approach, emerging evidence, and future perspectives in non-ICU patients. 膈超声:在非icu患者中的方法、新证据和未来展望。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03835-w
Sigmund J Kharasch, Andrea Loewen, Kevin J Solverson, Tara Lohmann, Irene W Y Ma

Diaphragmatic dysfunction is an important contributor to hypercapnic respiratory failure, but its presence is often challenging to determine at the bedside. Diaphragm ultrasound provides an opportunity to evaluate the function of the diaphragm noninvasively by evaluating the following parameters that can help define diaphragmatic dysfunction: diaphragm excursion, diaphragm muscle thickness, and thickening fraction. Its evaluation has the potential to assist with diagnosis of respiratory failure, provide prognosis, and assist with patient monitoring and should be considered as part of an internal medicine physician's and emergency physician's skill set. This article provides an overview on how to perform diaphragm ultrasound, review its pitfalls, and discuss the evidence of its use in patients with neuromuscular disorders and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Finally, its potential emerging uses in the perioperative setting and for evaluation of acute heart failure are discussed.

横膈膜功能障碍是导致高碳酸血症性呼吸衰竭的重要因素,但其存在与否往往难以在床边确定。横膈膜超声提供了一个无创评估横膈膜功能的机会,通过评估以下参数可以帮助定义横膈膜功能障碍:横膈膜偏移、横膈膜肌肉厚度和增厚分数。它的评估有可能有助于诊断呼吸衰竭,提供预后,并协助患者监测,应被视为内科医生和急诊医生技能的一部分。本文概述了如何进行横膈膜超声检查,回顾了其缺陷,并讨论了其在神经肌肉疾病和慢性阻塞性肺病患者中的应用证据。最后,其潜在的新用途围手术期设置和评估急性心力衰竭进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Bundle compliance patterns in septic shock and their association with patient outcomes: an unsupervised cluster analysis. 脓毒性休克的束依从性模式及其与患者预后的关系:一项无监督聚类分析。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03836-9
Aysun Tekin, Balázs Mosolygó, Nan Huo, Guohui Xiao, Amos Lal

Adhering to bundle-based care recommendations within stringent time constraints presents a profound challenge. Elements within these bundles hold varying degrees of significance. We aimed to evaluate the Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) hour-one bundle compliance patterns and their association with patient outcomes. Utilizing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV 1.0 dataset, this retrospective cohort study evaluated patients with sepsis who developed shock and were admitted to the intensive care unit between 2008 and 2019. The execution of five hour-one bundle interventions were assessed. Patients with similar treatment profiles were categorized into clusters using unsupervised machine learning. Primary outcomes included in-hospital and 1-year mortality. Four clusters were identified: C#0 (n = 4716) had the poorest bundle compliance. C#1 (n = 1117) had perfect antibiotic adherence with modest fluid and serum lactate measurement adherence. C#2 (n = 850) exhibited full adherence to lactate measurement and low adherence to fluid administration, blood culture, and vasopressors, while C#3 (n = 381) achieved complete adherence to fluid administration and the highest adherence to vasopressor requirements in the entire cohort. Adjusting for covariates, C#1 and C#3 were associated with reduced odds of in-hospital mortality compared to C#0 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0·83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0·7-0·97 and aOR = 0·7; 95% CI 0·53-0·91, respectively). C#1 exhibited significantly better 1-year survival (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0·9; 95%CI 0·81-0·99). We were able to identify distinct clusters of SSC hour-one bundle adherence patterns using unsupervised machine learning techniques, which were associated with patient outcomes.

在严格的时间限制内坚持基于捆绑的护理建议提出了一个深刻的挑战。这些束中的元素具有不同程度的重要性。我们的目的是评估存活脓毒症运动(SSC)一小时束依从性模式及其与患者预后的关系。利用重症监护医疗信息市场- iv 1.0数据集,本回顾性队列研究评估了2008年至2019年期间入住重症监护病房的脓毒症患者。评估5小时1小时一揽子干预措施的执行情况。使用无监督机器学习将具有相似治疗概况的患者分类为集群。主要结局包括住院死亡率和1年死亡率。确定了四个集群:c# 0 (n = 4716)具有最差的包遵从性。c# 1 (n = 1117)具有良好的抗生素粘附性,液体和血清乳酸测量粘附性适中。c# 2 (n = 850)表现出完全坚持乳酸测量,对液体给药、血液培养和血管加压药物的低依从性,而c# 3 (n = 381)完全坚持液体给药,对血管加压药物的要求是整个队列中最高的。校正协变量后,与c# 0相比,c# 1和c# 3与住院死亡率降低相关(校正优势比[aOR] = 0.83;95%置信区间[CI] 0.7 ~ 0.97, aOR = 0.7;95% CI分别为0.53 - 0.91)。c# 1的1年生存率显著提高(校正风险比[aHR] = 0.9;95%可信区间0·81 - 0·99)。我们能够使用无监督机器学习技术识别SSC一小时束依从模式的不同集群,这与患者预后相关。
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引用次数: 0
Metabolic abnormalities, liver enzymes increased risk of gallstones: a cross-sectional study and multivariate mendelian randomization analysis. 代谢异常、肝酶增加胆结石风险:一项横断面研究和多变量孟德尔随机分析。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Pub Date : 2024-12-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11739-024-03838-7
Ameng Shi, Sinan Xiao, Ying Wang, Xin He, Lei Dong, Qian Wang, Xiaolan Lu, Jue Jiang, Haitao Shi

Background and aims: Some studies have explored the relationship between metabolic abnormalities, elevated liver enzymes and gallstone risk, but the results have been inconsistent. The aim of this study was to comprehensively assess the relationship between metabolic abnormalities, liver enzymes, and gallstone risk through a cross-sectional study and Mendelian randomization analysis.

Methods: Firstly, a cross-sectional study was conducted involving 555,31 subjects who underwent physical examinations at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University between January 2021 and December 2021. The diagnosis of gallstones was based on ultrasound findings. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to investigate the associations between metabolic abnormalities, liver enzymes, and the risk of gallstones. Additionally, two-sample and multivariate Mendelian randomization analyses were performed to further explore the genetic causal associations.

Results: In the cross-sectional analysis, the detection rate of gallstones was 4.8%, showing a gradual increase with age and BMI (body mass index) in both men and women. Gallstones were found to be comorbid with various metabolic disorders and were associated with elevated liver enzymes. Multivariate analysis showed that female sex, age, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, fatty liver, alanine aminotransferase, and gamma-glutamyltransferase may be independent risk factors for gallstones, whereas high-density lipoprotein cholesterol may be a protective factor. Two-sample and multivariate Mendelian randomization analyses further revealed a causal association between genetically predicted BMI, type 2 diabetes mellitus, alanine aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and an increased risk of gallstones.

Conclusion: The findings suggest that metabolic abnormalities and elevated liver enzymes may increase the risk of developing gallstones.

背景与目的:一些研究探讨了代谢异常、肝酶升高与胆结石风险之间的关系,但结果并不一致。本研究的目的是通过横断面研究和孟德尔随机化分析,全面评估代谢异常、肝酶和胆结石风险之间的关系。方法:首先,采用横断面研究方法,纳入2021年1月至2021年12月在西安交通大学第二附属医院体检的55531名受试者。胆结石的诊断是基于超声检查结果。采用多变量logistic回归分析来研究代谢异常、肝酶和胆结石风险之间的关系。此外,还进行了双样本和多变量孟德尔随机化分析,以进一步探索遗传因果关系。结果:在横断面分析中,胆结石的检出率为4.8%,男女均随年龄和体重指数(BMI)的增加而逐渐增加。胆结石被发现与各种代谢紊乱共病,并与肝酶升高有关。多因素分析显示,女性性别、年龄、体重指数、舒张压、脂肪肝、丙氨酸转氨酶和γ -谷氨酰转移酶可能是胆结石的独立危险因素,而高密度脂蛋白胆固醇可能是保护因素。双样本和多变量孟德尔随机化分析进一步揭示了遗传预测BMI、2型糖尿病、丙氨酸转氨酶、γ -谷氨酰转移酶和胆结石风险增加之间的因果关系。结论:代谢异常和肝酶升高可能增加胆结石发生的风险。
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引用次数: 0
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Internal and Emergency Medicine
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