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Playground Safety Practices. Injury Prevention and Effective Investigation 游乐场安全守则。伤害预防和有效调查
Pub Date : 2019-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3459682
Alexandra Ioana Curcă
While technology and business patterns are evolving at a very high pace, new markets are developing, and so are consumer preferences and expectations. Over the past 30 years, entertainment industries have become sectors with immense profits and sustainable growth, the children segment being the greatest contender. However, the multitude of options in terms of attractions to choose from is not always accompanied by strict knowledge of operational standards, thus creating an increase in the risk of injury that children are subjected to during their play-time. Despite the fact that most playground equipment’s are not properly certified or do not comply with the specific provisions, most cases remain inconclusive, due to lack of evidence arising from a knowledge gap that the authorities must cover. In case of playground accidents, the investigators need to be well aware and up to date with the regulations, not only to determine who to hold accountable, but also to be able to take the necessary control measures in order to reduce children play-related injuries.
虽然技术和商业模式正在以非常快的速度发展,但新的市场正在发展,消费者的偏好和期望也在发展。在过去的30年里,娱乐产业已经成为一个有着巨大利润和可持续增长的行业,儿童市场是最大的竞争者。然而,在众多可供选择的景点中,并不总是伴随着严格的操作标准知识,从而增加了儿童在游戏时间遭受伤害的风险。尽管大多数游乐场设备没有得到适当的认证或不符合具体规定,但由于缺乏证据,大多数情况仍然没有定论,这是由于当局必须弥补的知识差距。如果发生游乐场事故,调查人员需要充分了解和了解最新的规定,不仅要确定谁负责,而且要能够采取必要的控制措施,以减少儿童与游戏有关的伤害。
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引用次数: 0
Forensic Methods of Identifying Corpses with Unknown Identity 身份不明尸体的法医鉴定方法
Pub Date : 2019-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3459667
Ovidiu Andrei Hamburda
: Finding the truth is the most difficult process, especially in a society that reveals itself as a high-speed field, whose passengers combine good and evil, honor and dishonesty, respect for the law and crime. Identification of dead bodies is one of the most common but complicated activities that the magistrate, criminal investigation dead bodies, criminalist or forensic doctor encounters, because compared to the living people who appreciate both the static signs, the dynamic signs and the functional features noted by different gestures, attitudes, etc. only the static forms and the personal objects on them or the clothing are appreciated in the case of dead bodies. Most procedures claim certain data and information to be compared, such as DNA, fingerprints, dentition, etc., but if they do not exist, comparison with the rest of the population is impossible. To identify a person, the forensic research bodies also found other methods, such as the over-projection method, the reconstruction of the skull physiognomy, the skeletal identification, dental or dental identification.
当前位置寻找真相是最困难的过程,尤其是在一个高速发展的社会中,其中的乘客是善与恶、荣誉与不诚实、尊重法律与犯罪的结合体。对尸体的鉴定是地方官、刑侦尸体、刑事学家或法医遇到的最常见但又最复杂的活动之一,因为相对于活人既欣赏静态的标志,又欣赏动态的标志和通过不同的手势、态度等所注意到的功能特征而言,对尸体的鉴定只欣赏静态的形式及其上的个人物品或衣服。大多数程序都要求对某些数据和信息进行比较,如DNA、指纹、牙齿等,但如果这些数据和信息不存在,就不可能与其他人群进行比较。为了鉴定一个人,法医研究机构还发现了其他方法,如过度投影法、颅骨面相重建法、骨骼鉴定法、牙科或牙科鉴定法。
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引用次数: 2
Wealthiest Households’ Handwashing Places Lack Soap in Bangladesh: An Observed, Cross-Sectional Data Analysis 孟加拉国最富裕家庭的洗手场所缺乏肥皂:一项观察到的横断面数据分析
Pub Date : 2019-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3497300
M. Ahamad, M. Burbach, A. N. Islam, Fahian Tanin
Background: A large percentage of the wealthiest households in Bangladesh lack soap at their handwashing places, which is typically considered a problem of the poor. We sought to investigate toilet-sharing and water source along with sociodemographic characteristics as factors associated with the handwashing places missing soap in the wealthiest households of Bangladesh. Methods: Data for the study came from the 2014 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS) of 17300 nationally representative households. One thousand seven hundred fifty-seven (10.2%) of the households categorized in the ninth wealth decile reporting on handwashing places with or without soap were used for analysis. We used both exploratory and logistic regression analyses accounting for survey design and adjusted for sex, age, place of residence, and region to investigate how selected factors were associated with observed handwashing places without soap. Findings: We found that 40.7% (95% CI: 0.36–0.46) of the wealthiest households were observed to have no soap in their handwashing places. Of these households, those who shared their toilets with another household were 6.4 times (95% CI: 4.41–9.16; p < 0.001) more likely to have handwashing places without soap as compared with those who did not share their toilets. If they shared their toilet with more than nine households, they were 10.1 times (95% CI: 4.65–21.82; p < 0.001) more likely to have handwashing places without soap than those who did not share their toilets. Also, the wealthiest households were 4 times (95% CI: 2.22–7.25; p < 0.001) more likely to have handwashing places without soap if they collected water from their own yard, and 4.7 times (95% CI: 2.38–9.35; p < 0.001) more likely to have handwashing placed with soap if they collected water from other dwellings in comparison to the reference group that collected water from their own dwelling. Water-fetching time was not statistically significant in our analysis. Interpretation: Bangladesh has the largest number of households having handwashing places without soap in South Asian countries. Factors like toilet-sharing and water source location along with sociodemographic characteristics can explain this “no soap” observation. Cross-examined and self-reported data along with observed data on handwashing and sanitation practice–related questions are essential to understand a household’s actual soap-keeping and usage. Our study demonstrates how data from household-specific health programs can be used to inform all-inclusive hygiene initiatives coupled with sanitation policies to improve public health.
背景:在孟加拉国,很大一部分最富有的家庭在洗手的地方没有肥皂,这通常被认为是穷人的问题。我们试图调查在孟加拉国最富裕的家庭中,共用厕所和水源以及社会人口特征是与洗手场所缺少肥皂相关的因素。方法:研究数据来自2014年孟加拉国人口与健康调查(BDHS)的17300个全国代表性家庭。在属于财富十分之一的家庭中,有一千七百五十七户(10.2%)报告了使用或不使用肥皂洗手的地方。我们采用了探索性和逻辑回归分析,考虑了调查设计,并对性别、年龄、居住地和地区进行了调整,以调查所选因素与观察到的无肥皂洗手地点之间的关系。研究结果:我们发现40.7% (95% CI: 0.36-0.46)的最富裕家庭的洗手处没有肥皂。在这些家庭中,与另一个家庭共用厕所的次数为6.4次(95%置信区间:4.41-9.16;P < 0.001)与那些不共用厕所的人相比,更有可能使用没有肥皂的洗手场所。如果他们与9个以上的家庭共用厕所,则为10.1倍(95%置信区间:4.65-21.82;P < 0.001),没有肥皂的洗手场所比那些不共用厕所的人更有可能。此外,最富有的家庭是(95% CI: 2.22-7.25;p < 0.001)如果他们从自己的院子里取水,那么他们更有可能在没有肥皂的洗手场所洗手,是4.7倍(95% CI: 2.38-9.35;P < 0.001)如果他们从其他住所取水,与从自己住所取水的参照组相比,他们更有可能用肥皂洗手。取水时间在我们的分析中没有统计学意义。解读:在南亚国家中,孟加拉国拥有无肥皂洗手场所的家庭数量最多。共用厕所、水源位置以及社会人口特征等因素可以解释这种“无肥皂”现象。交叉检验和自我报告的数据,以及观察到的与洗手和卫生习惯有关的问题的数据,对于了解家庭实际的肥皂保存和使用情况至关重要。我们的研究表明,如何利用家庭特定健康项目的数据,为全面的卫生倡议提供信息,并辅以卫生政策,以改善公众健康。
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship among Emotional Intelligence, Social Support, Job Involvement, and Turnover Intention – A Study of Nurses in Taiwan 情绪智力、社会支持、工作投入与离职倾向的关系——以台湾护士为研究对象
Pub Date : 2019-08-01 DOI: 10.31014/AIOR.1992.02.03.116
Chun‐Chen Huang, Szu-Hsien Lin, Kaiyan Zheng
This study examines the relationship between nursing staff's emotional intelligence, social support, job involvement, and turnover intention of nursing staff. The MANOVA Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) were used to examine the aforesaid constructs. The results of the study show that while emotional intelligence has a positive impact on social support and job involvement, social support also has a positive impact on job involvement. Meanwhile, both social support and job involvement have a negative impact on turnover intention. Therefore, the underlying reasons for turnover behavior can be traced back to emotional intelligence, whereas social support and job involvement can be two tiers of mediators. These results can provide hospitals with human resource management strategies and serve as a reference for organizational management.
本研究旨在探讨护理人员情绪智力、社会支持、工作投入与护理人员离职倾向的关系。采用多元方差分析(MANOVA)和结构方程模型(SEM)对上述结构进行检验。研究结果表明,情商对社会支持和工作投入有正向影响,而社会支持对工作投入也有正向影响。同时,社会支持和工作投入对离职倾向均有负向影响。因此,离职行为的根本原因可以追溯到情商,而社会支持和工作投入可以作为两层中介。研究结果可为医院人力资源管理策略提供参考,为组织管理提供参考。
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引用次数: 2
Synthetic Opioids Should Be Excluded When Examining the Association Between Cannabis Laws and Opioid Overdose Mortality 在检查大麻法律与阿片类药物过量死亡率之间的关系时,应排除合成阿片类药物
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3421272
Yuyan Shi, Di Liang
We read with great interest the recent work in PNAS by Shover et al. revisiting the relationship between medical cannabis laws and opioid overdose mortality. They expand the 2014 Bachhuber et al. by adding 7 recent years of mortality data to cover a longer study period 1999-2017. They suggest that the reduction in opioid overdose mortality following medical cannabis laws became statistically indistinguishable from 0 when data in 2013-2016 are added and reversed after data in 2017 are added. The authors interpret the sensitivity of the results to the study endpoint to suggest that the association is spurious. We agree that the associations found in ecological studies should not be interpreted as causal relationships. However, we argue that the sensitivity of the results could be likely attributable to the recent spike in overdose mortality related to synthetic opioids.
我们非常感兴趣地阅读了Shover等人最近在PNAS上的工作,重新审视了医用大麻法律与阿片类药物过量死亡率之间的关系。他们扩展了2014年Bachhuber等人的研究,增加了最近7年的死亡率数据,以涵盖1999年至2017年的更长的研究期。他们认为,当添加2013-2016年的数据时,医疗大麻法律后阿片类药物过量死亡率的降低在统计上与0没有区别,而在添加2017年的数据后则相反。作者解释了结果对研究终点的敏感性,表明这种关联是虚假的。我们同意,在生态学研究中发现的关联不应被解释为因果关系。然而,我们认为,结果的敏感性可能归因于最近与合成阿片类药物相关的过量死亡率飙升。
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引用次数: 2
Meditative Cognitive Therapies: A Literature Review 冥想认知疗法:文献综述
Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3434130
Rebecca Bhik-Ghanie
Yoga has existed for centuries in the East, beginning in India, as a religious practice of meditation and mindfulness. In the West, however, yoga is more often a popular exercise-based practice with little to no emphasis on its religious or spiritual foundations. Curiously, the mindfulness aspect of yoga has become increasingly popular within the United States, particularly as a method for therapeutic treatments, such as Mindfulness-Based Cognitive Therapies (MBCT), Dialectical Behavior Therapy (DBT), and Acceptance and Commitment Therapy (ACT). These therapies have been useful for patients in the early stages of psychiatric disorders (e.g. Generalized Anxiety Disorder, Major Depressive Disorder, Type 1 Bipolar Disorder), as some patients can supplement their medication in exchange for these forms of therapy. This paper investigates the origins of yoga from a Hindu perspective, explaining how recent trends in the U.S. have extracted elements of the traditional practice while adding other elements with a Western influence. This paper also investigates current symptoms and treatments for psychiatric disorders and explores how mindfulness can play an important role in future forms of therapy.
瑜伽在东方已经存在了几个世纪,起源于印度,是一种冥想和正念的宗教练习。然而,在西方,瑜伽更多的是一种流行的基于锻炼的练习,很少或根本没有强调它的宗教或精神基础。奇怪的是,瑜伽的正念方面在美国越来越受欢迎,特别是作为一种治疗方法,如正念认知疗法(MBCT)、辩证行为疗法(DBT)和接受与承诺疗法(ACT)。这些疗法对早期精神疾病(如广泛性焦虑症、重度抑郁症、1型双相情感障碍)的患者很有用,因为一些患者可以补充他们的药物来换取这些形式的治疗。本文从印度教的角度研究了瑜伽的起源,解释了美国最近的趋势是如何提取传统练习的元素,同时加入其他具有西方影响的元素。本文还调查了目前精神疾病的症状和治疗方法,并探讨了正念如何在未来的治疗形式中发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Scurvy and Flu in 1900: The Truth Lost in Evidence 1900年的坏血病和流感:在证据中消失的真相
Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3434131
Tereza Kopecká
In the last third of the 19th century, the germ theory of infection had been reliably proved and widely accepted, new principles of microbiological research were laid down and many infectious diseases explained. But medicine was not ready yet to explain all the illnesses. Despite the thorough work of many scientists, substantial facts were still unknown – e.g. existence of most viruses, autoimmunity processes or micronutrients. The effort to explain all the diseases with existent knowledge gave rise to half-true concepts and mistakes. This paper deals with two interesting mistakes, found in the textbook of pathological anatomy and medical microbiology by Hlava and Obrzut, published in 1900-1901 in Austria-Hungary: the concept of scurvy as an infection caused by Bacillus scorbuti, and the causative role of the so-called "Pfeiffer’s bacillus" - Bacillus influenzae, presently Haemophilus infuenzae, in the flu. These were not only theories but expert opinions based on the results of scientific research. Unfortunately, the methods were imperfect and performed/interpreted properly either, so they didn’t allow the scientists to realize the erroneousness of their conclusions. The real causes of the diseases mentioned above were proven much later.
在19世纪的最后三分之一,感染的细菌理论得到了可靠的证明并被广泛接受,微生物学研究的新原理被确立,许多传染病得到了解释。但当时的医学还不能解释所有的疾病。尽管许多科学家进行了彻底的工作,但实质性的事实仍然未知,例如大多数病毒、自身免疫过程或微量营养素的存在。用现有的知识来解释所有疾病的努力产生了半真半假的概念和错误。本文讨论了Hlava和Obrzut于1900-1901年在奥匈帝国出版的病理解剖学和医学微生物学教科书中发现的两个有趣的错误:坏血病是由坏血病芽孢杆菌引起的感染的概念,以及所谓的“普发氏芽孢杆菌”-流感芽孢杆菌,即现在的流感嗜血杆菌-在流感中的致病作用。这些不仅是理论,而且是基于科学研究结果的专家意见。不幸的是,这些方法是不完美的,执行/解释也不正确,所以他们没有让科学家意识到他们结论的错误。上述疾病的真正原因在很久以后才得到证实。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of E-Cigarette Regulation on the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products in the European Union 欧盟电子烟法规对烟草制品非法贸易的影响
Pub Date : 2019-06-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3435177
J. Prieger, M. Kleiman, Jonathan Kulick, Alberto Aziani, M. Levi, Sam Hampsher, Clarissa Manning, Richard Hahn
This appendices to this report can be found at: (https://ssrn.com/abstract=3435260). In regulating tobacco products, governments seek to promote public health by discouraging consumption. However, imposing regulatory costs and taxes on licit producers and consumers presents an economic opportunity to criminal actors to profit from skirting these laws. Illicit trade in tobacco products (ITTP) thus frustrates the goals of tobacco regulation. We estimate that a 10% increase in the price of licit cigarettes (which might result, for example, from a tax increase) leads to a 3.6 percentage-point increase in the illicit share of the market, which averages about 11% in the EU. However, e-cigarettes and their apparent health advantages over traditional tobacco products present regulators with an opportunity to increase taxes without swelling the flow of illicit goods: By allowing consumers a third choice as an alternative to either paying higher prices or buying illicit products, e-cigarettes could serve as a “safety-valve” allowing for higher taxes (and stricter regulations) on traditional tobacco products without encouraging the illicit market. This study tests and find support for that hypothesis and seeks to investigate the effects of law and policy on the extent of that substitution. We begin by analyzing the current policies of European Union Member States toward tobacco products and e-cigarettes and reviewing the literature on the factors that drive consumers to use illicit tobacco products and the evidence that e-cigarettes substitute for conventional cigarettes. We then assemble a dataset of volumes and prices for legally sold conventional cigarettes and e-cigarettes, and for illicit or smuggled products. An econometric analysis of those data generates a model relating the size of the ITTP market to e-cigarette policies and market penetration. The results show that higher taxes and prices for licit cigarettes are positively associated with higher ITTP shares and illicit-cigarette quantity. When the e-cigarette market is small, increases in cigarette prices have a positive and statistically significant effect on ITTP. The elasticity remains positive throughout the range of the data, although it decreases with the size of the e-cigarette market. However, the availability of e-cigarettes moderates the effect of conventional-cigarette prices on ITTP volumes: the more available e-cigarettes become, the less ITTP market share rises in response to tax-driven price increases for conventional cigarettes. In the presence of sufficiently robust e-cigarette markets, cigarette prices have no measured effect on ITTP volumes. Thus, as e-cigarettes become more available, the positive association between cigarette prices and taxes is attenuated. This suggests that e-cigarettes are substitutes for illicit cigarettes. Conversely, demand for e-cigarettes responds positively to cigarette prices while demand for conventional cigarettes responds positi
本报告的附录可在:(https://ssrn.com/abstract=3435260)找到。在管制烟草制品方面,政府试图通过抑制消费来促进公众健康。然而,对合法生产者和消费者征收监管成本和税收,为犯罪行为者提供了逃避这些法律的经济机会。因此,烟草制品非法贸易阻碍了烟草管制的目标。我们估计,合法卷烟价格每上涨10%(例如,可能是由于税收增加),就会导致非法卷烟市场份额增加3.6个百分点,在欧盟,这一比例平均约为11%。然而,电子烟及其相对于传统烟草制品的明显健康优势为监管机构提供了一个机会,既可以增加税收,又不会扩大非法商品的流动:通过允许消费者在支付更高价格或购买非法产品之外有第三种选择,电子烟可以作为一个"安全阀",允许对传统烟草制品征收更高的税收(和更严格的监管),同时又不会鼓励非法市场。本研究检验并支持这一假设,并试图调查法律和政策对这种替代程度的影响。我们首先分析了欧盟成员国目前对烟草产品和电子烟的政策,并审查了有关促使消费者使用非法烟草产品的因素和电子烟替代传统香烟的证据的文献。然后,我们收集了合法销售的传统香烟和电子烟以及非法或走私产品的数量和价格数据集。通过对这些数据进行计量经济学分析,得出了一个将ITTP市场规模与电子烟政策和市场渗透率联系起来的模型。结果表明,高税收和高价格的合法卷烟与更高的ITTP份额和非法卷烟数量呈正相关。当电子烟市场规模较小时,卷烟价格的上涨对ITTP有显著的正向影响。在整个数据范围内,弹性仍然为正,尽管它随着电子烟市场的规模而减小。然而,电子烟的可获得性缓和了传统香烟价格对ITTP数量的影响:电子烟的可获得性越多,ITTP市场份额的增长就越少,而传统香烟的价格上涨是由税收驱动的。在电子烟市场足够强劲的情况下,香烟价格对电子烟交易量没有可衡量的影响。因此,随着电子烟变得越来越容易获得,香烟价格和税收之间的正相关关系减弱了。这表明电子烟是非法香烟的替代品。相反,电子烟的需求与香烟价格呈正相关,而传统香烟的需求与电子烟价格呈正相关,这表明这两种商品是替代品。然而,尽管更高的卷烟价格与更大的电子烟市场密切相关,但这里的卷烟监管却没有同样的情况。其他重要发现包括:•电子烟收入与卷烟价格呈正相关,与产品禁令负相关,与更严格的监管负相关(尽管最后一点的证据好坏参半)。•更严格的烟草管制,特别是包装上的健康警语,与香烟需求下降有关。•电子烟的价格和针对电子烟的严格监管对其需求产生了负面影响。•完全没有电子烟监管最有利于电子烟销售;其他的调节系数都是负的。•对公共使用的严格限制和仅限药店使用的规定对电子烟的销售同样有害,而且明显的影响很大。•《烟草产品指令》(Tobacco Products Directive)对电子烟的销售比上述任何一个制度都更有利,但不如没有监管。提出了政策讨论和建议。最理想的税收是对可燃尼古丁产品征收消费税,其税率既能阻止人们开始吸烟,又能激励人们转向风险较低的产品,同时又能避免这些产品流向黑市。然后,不燃产品应该以低、零甚至负的水平征税。此外,在存在低成本、低风险替代品的情况下,对传统香烟征收的最佳税收将高于没有替代品的情况。
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引用次数: 4
Do Firms Respond to Peer Disclosures? Evidence from Disclosures of Clinical Trial Results 公司会对同业披露做出回应吗?临床试验结果披露的证据
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3344942
V. Capkun, Yun Lou, Clemens A. Otto, Yin Wang
Using data on the registration of clinical trials and the disclosure of trial results, we examine how firms respond to peer disclosures. We find that firms are less likely to disclose their own trial results if the results of a larger number of closely related trials are disclosed by their peers. This relation is stronger if the firms face higher competition (as measured by the number of competing trials). It is weaker if the firms are further along in their research than the peers (as measured by the trials’ phase) and if the peers’ disclosures convey more negative news (as measured by the firms’ stock price reaction). We also find that firms are more likely to abandon ongoing trials if a larger number of peers disclose the results of closely related trials. Additional tests suggest that this real effects channel does not drive the impact on the firms’ disclosure decisions.
利用临床试验注册和试验结果披露的数据,我们研究了公司如何应对同行披露。我们发现,如果大量密切相关的试验结果被同行披露,公司不太可能披露自己的试验结果。如果公司面临更激烈的竞争(通过竞争试验的数量来衡量),这种关系就会更强。如果公司在研究方面比同行走得更远(以试验阶段来衡量),如果同行披露的负面消息更多(以公司股价反应来衡量),这种影响就会减弱。我们还发现,如果有更多的同行披露了密切相关的试验结果,公司更有可能放弃正在进行的试验。另外的测试表明,这种实际影响渠道并不会对公司的信息披露决策产生影响。
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引用次数: 9
The Spillover Effects of Hospital Closures on the Efficiency and Quality of Other Hospitals 医院关闭对其他医院效率和质量的溢出效应
Pub Date : 2019-01-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3318609
Lina Song, S. Saghafian
Problem definition: The recent trend in the U.S. hospital closures can have important impacts on the healthcare sector by changing the operational efficiency and quality of care of the remaining hospitals. We investigate the impact of hospital closures on the surrounding hospitals’ operational efficiency and quality, and study how such hospitals respond to the closure of their neighboring hospital. Academic/Practical Relevance: Understanding how hospital closures impact the way the remaining hospitals operate can allow policymakers to utilize more effective policy levers in order to mitigate the negative consequences of hospital closures. Methodology: We analyze more than 14 million inpatient visits made during 11 years to over 3,000 hospitals in the U.S. (before and after various closures), and utilize causal methods to evaluate the spillover effect of hospital closures on the nearby hospitals. We also conduct counterfactual analyses to evaluate policy interventions that could have been used by policymakers. Results: Hospital closures have both positive and negative spillover effect. When a hospital closes, its nearby hospitals improve their operational efficiency. However, they do so via a speed-up response (i.e., by reducing their service durations to accommodate the increased demand) instead of an effort to lower their average bed idle time. This speed-up response negatively affects some important aspects of the care quality provided, including the 30-day mortality rate. The spillover effect of a hospital closure is highly heterogeneous: hospitals in markets where patients have limited choices of hospitals (e.g., less competition, fewer resources) and hospitals that are more desirable (e.g., high-quality, urban, teaching, and large) tend to experience greater spillover effects. Managerial Implications: Our analyses suggest two effective policy levers: (a) bailing out specific hospitals (e.g., rural or less desirable than neighbors) from potential closures, and (b) eliminating the speed-up response of specific hospitals (e.g., rural or more desirable hospitals). In addition to helping policymakers, our results help hospital administrators: our findings help them to better understand the consequences (or the absence) of their strategic responses to a neighboring hospital closure, and thereby, adopt more suitable management strategies.
问题定义:最近美国医院关闭的趋势可以通过改变剩余医院的运营效率和护理质量对医疗保健部门产生重要影响。我们调查了医院关闭对周边医院运营效率和质量的影响,并研究了这些医院如何应对邻近医院的关闭。学术/实际意义:了解医院关闭如何影响其余医院的运作方式,可以使政策制定者利用更有效的政策杠杆,以减轻医院关闭的负面后果。方法:我们分析了11年来美国3000多家医院(各种关闭前后)的1400多万住院病人的就诊情况,并利用因果方法评估医院关闭对附近医院的溢出效应。我们还进行反事实分析,以评估政策制定者可能使用的政策干预措施。结果:医院关闭具有正溢出效应和负溢出效应。当一家医院关闭时,其附近的医院会提高其运营效率。然而,他们这样做是通过加速响应(即通过减少服务持续时间来适应增加的需求),而不是努力降低他们的平均病床空闲时间。这种加速反应对所提供的护理质量的一些重要方面产生了负面影响,包括30天死亡率。医院关闭的溢出效应是高度异质性的:市场上的医院,患者的医院选择有限(例如,竞争较少,资源较少),而更理想的医院(例如,高质量、城市、教学和大型)往往会产生更大的溢出效应。管理意义:我们的分析提出了两种有效的政策杠杆:(a)救助可能关闭的特定医院(例如,农村或不如邻居理想的医院),以及(b)消除特定医院(例如,农村或更理想的医院)的加速响应。除了帮助政策制定者,我们的研究结果还帮助医院管理者:我们的研究结果帮助他们更好地了解他们对邻近医院关闭的战略反应的后果(或缺失),从而采取更合适的管理策略。
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引用次数: 11
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Public Health eJournal
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