Panpan Jiao, Lijuan Xue, Weijuan Tan, Quan Chen, Shan Lin, Min Song, Chunling Ma, Juan Zhan
Background: Anti-programmed death 1 (PD-1) and anti-programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have changed the treatment landscape of many advanced malignancies. However, immune-related adverse events (irAEs) bring great challenges to clinical benefits. The prediction of irAEs is urgently demanded for early detection and intervention.
Methods: Patients in our center who received anti-PD-(L)1 immunotherapy between January 2019 and May 2023 were collected. Logistic least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis with 10-fold cross-validation was performed to identify the most relevant variables associated with irAEs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to build a prediction model by introducing features selected in LASSO regression analysis.
Results: Overall, 680 eligible patients were included, of whom 330 patients were included in the irAEs group. In the irAEs group, 455 different irAEs were reported, of which 52 events were grade 3 or higher in severity. Endocrinal toxicities (174/680, 25.59%) were the most commonly reported irAEs. Through LASSO and logistic regression analysis, we developed a risk assessment model to predict the risk of irAEs based on basophil percentage (BASO%), hemoglobin (Hb), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), blood urea nitrogen level (BUN), the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS), and hepatitis B/hepatitis B surface antigen carriers. The model had a C-index of 0.727, with good discrimination and calibration capabilities.
Conclusion: The prediction model developed in our study can screen and monitor patients with high risk of developing irAEs. It may improve prognosis for pan-cancer patients receiving anti-PD-(L)1 immunotherapy.
{"title":"Risk Factors and Prediction Model for Early-Onset Immune-Related Adverse Events in Pan-Cancer Patients Undergoing Anti-PD-(L)1 Therapy: A Retrospective Study in a Tertiary-Level Hospital.","authors":"Panpan Jiao, Lijuan Xue, Weijuan Tan, Quan Chen, Shan Lin, Min Song, Chunling Ma, Juan Zhan","doi":"10.1002/cam4.71603","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.71603","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Anti-programmed death 1 (PD-1) and anti-programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have changed the treatment landscape of many advanced malignancies. However, immune-related adverse events (irAEs) bring great challenges to clinical benefits. The prediction of irAEs is urgently demanded for early detection and intervention.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients in our center who received anti-PD-(L)1 immunotherapy between January 2019 and May 2023 were collected. Logistic least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis with 10-fold cross-validation was performed to identify the most relevant variables associated with irAEs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to build a prediction model by introducing features selected in LASSO regression analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 680 eligible patients were included, of whom 330 patients were included in the irAEs group. In the irAEs group, 455 different irAEs were reported, of which 52 events were grade 3 or higher in severity. Endocrinal toxicities (174/680, 25.59%) were the most commonly reported irAEs. Through LASSO and logistic regression analysis, we developed a risk assessment model to predict the risk of irAEs based on basophil percentage (BASO%), hemoglobin (Hb), absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), blood urea nitrogen level (BUN), the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS), and hepatitis B/hepatitis B surface antigen carriers. The model had a C-index of 0.727, with good discrimination and calibration capabilities.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The prediction model developed in our study can screen and monitor patients with high risk of developing irAEs. It may improve prognosis for pan-cancer patients receiving anti-PD-(L)1 immunotherapy.</p>","PeriodicalId":139,"journal":{"name":"Cancer Medicine","volume":"15 2","pages":"e71603"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146155386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Grace E. Markey, Julie J. Ruterbusch, Tara E. Baird, Jennifer L. Martin, Ann G. Schwartz, David G. Finlay, Trey Timban, Matthew R. Trendowski, M. Safwan Badr, Kerri Winters-Stone, Jennifer L. Beebe-Dimmer