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Vintage Design Furniture in Albania, a New Retro Design Paradigm in the Post-Communist Era 阿尔巴尼亚的复古设计家具,后共产主义时代的新复古设计范式
Pub Date : 2018-03-02 DOI: 10.2478/ejef-2018-0005
E. Curraj
Abstract The dynamics of the Albanian market in lieu of the multifaceted transformations following the collapse of the communist regime and moving towards the accession processes in the European Union as well as the demographics of the Albanian society as a whole, deeply impact the ways in which furniture products are designed, development and produced. This paper draws from my doctoral study which explored the transformation of furniture products from communism to post-communism. The doctoral study confirmed that: the impact of moving from mass production in a centralized economy to free mass customization in market economy has not radically transformed the fundamental properties of furniture but has affected the design, development, delivery and materiality of products. In this light, this paper will zoom into the furniture designs during post communism in Albania by exploring two principle paradigms vintage and retro. First this paper argues that furniture design and production in the centralized economy, are introduced within the vintage paradigm in post-communist. The data collecting through observation demonstrate a high level of interest for the retro design in a free market economy. As the result the paper suggest the local actors, businesses and academia to use and persist nostalgia and retro design in furniture and their component.
阿尔巴尼亚市场的动态取代了共产主义政权垮台后多方面的转变,并朝着加入欧盟的进程迈进,以及阿尔巴尼亚社会作为一个整体的人口结构,深刻地影响了家具产品的设计、开发和生产方式。本文借鉴了我的博士研究,探讨了家具产品从共产主义到后共产主义的转变。博士研究证实:从集中经济的大规模生产到市场经济的自由大规模定制的影响并没有从根本上改变家具的基本属性,而是影响了产品的设计、开发、交付和材料。鉴于此,本文将通过探索复古和复古两种主要范式来深入研究阿尔巴尼亚后共产主义时期的家具设计。首先,本文认为家具的设计和生产在中央集权经济中,被引入到后共产主义的复古范式中。通过观察收集的数据表明,在自由市场经济条件下,人们对复古设计有很高的兴趣。因此,本文建议地方演员、企业和学术界在家具及其组件中使用并坚持怀旧和复古设计。
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引用次数: 1
The Relationship between Coal Consumption and Economic Growth in Indonesia 印尼煤炭消费与经济增长的关系
Pub Date : 2018-03-02 DOI: 10.2478/ejef-2018-0002
Irwandi
Abstract Indonesia is one of the largest coal producer countries in the world. In the previous research, it is stated that coal producer countries are able to affect economic growth. The purpose of the study is to investigate the cointegration and causal relationships between coal consumption and income in Indonesia for the period of 1965- 2016 using Granger causality test based on Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) employing population as the control variable in bivariate system. The Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) tests were used to determine the variable stationarity. From Johansen’s co-integration tests, it is indicated that there is a long-run relationship between the variables. The empirical study shows that there is no causal relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in Indonesia since coal consumption in fact cannot affect economic growth in Indonesia. Export tax becomes government revenues earned from energy sectors including coal.
印度尼西亚是世界上最大的煤炭生产国之一。在之前的研究中,指出煤炭生产国能够影响经济增长。本研究以人口为控制变量,采用基于向量误差修正模型(VECM)的格兰杰因果关系检验,探讨1965- 2016年印度尼西亚煤炭消费与收入之间的协整和因果关系。采用增广Dicky-Fuller (ADF)和Phillips-Perron (PP)检验确定变量平稳性。从约翰森协整检验来看,变量之间存在着长期的关系。实证研究表明,印度尼西亚的煤炭消费与经济增长之间不存在因果关系,因为煤炭消费实际上不影响印度尼西亚的经济增长。出口税成为政府从包括煤炭在内的能源部门获得的收入。
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引用次数: 4
The Heteroscedasticity Impact on Actuarial Science: Lee Carter Error Simulation 异方差对精算科学的影响:Lee Carter误差模拟
Pub Date : 2018-03-02 DOI: 10.2478/ejef-2018-0006
Olgerta Idrizi, Besa Shahini
Abstract C19 Life insurance companies deal with two fundamental types of risks when issuing annuity contracts: financial risk and demographic risk. As regards the latter, recent work has focused on modelling the trend in mortality as a stochastic process. A popular method for modelling death rates is the Lee-Carter model. In this paper we gives an overview of the Lee Carter model and the feasibility of using it to construct mortality forecast for the population data. In particular, we focus on a sensitivity issue of this model and in order to deal with it, we illustrate the implementation of an experimental strategy to assess the robustness of the LC model. The next step, we experiment and apply it to a matrix of mortality rates. The results are applied to a pension annuity. There are investigating in particular the hypothesis about the error structure implicitly assumed in the model specification, after having assume that errors are homoscedastic. Analyzing the model it is estimated that the homoscedasticity assumption is quite unrealistic, because of the observed pattern of the mortality rates showing a different variability at different ages. Therefore, there is an emerging opportunity to analyze the strength of predictable parameter. The purpose of this study is a strategy in order to assess the strength of the Lee-Carter model inducing the errors to satisfy the homoscedasticity hypothesis. The impact of Lee Carter model on various financial calculations is the main focus of the paper. Furthermore, it is applied it to a matrix of mortality rates including a pension rate portfolio. The Albania model with the variables of death and birth is shown on this paper taken in consideration the Lee Carter Error.
[摘要]寿险公司在签订年金合同时要处理两类基本风险:财务风险和人口风险。关于后者,最近的工作集中于将死亡率趋势作为一个随机过程进行建模。一种流行的死亡率建模方法是李-卡特模型。本文概述了李·卡特模型及其在人口数据中构建死亡率预测的可行性。特别是,我们关注该模型的敏感性问题,为了解决这个问题,我们说明了一个实验策略的实施,以评估LC模型的鲁棒性。下一步,我们进行实验并将其应用于死亡率矩阵。研究结果适用于养老金年金。在假定误差为均方差之后,对模型规范中隐含的误差结构的假设进行了特别的研究。分析该模型估计,由于观察到的死亡率模式在不同年龄表现出不同的变异性,因此同方差假设是非常不现实的。因此,有机会分析可预测参数的强度。本研究的目的是评估Lee-Carter模型诱导误差以满足均方差假设的强度。李·卡特模型对各种财务计算的影响是本文的主要重点。此外,还将其应用于包括养恤金费率组合在内的死亡率矩阵。考虑到李·卡特误差,本文给出了以出生和死亡为变量的阿尔巴尼亚模型。
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引用次数: 1
Identification of Factors Causing Delays in Construction Projects in Algeria 阿尔及利亚建设项目延误的原因分析
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/ejef-2018-0001
Roumeissa Salhi, K. Messaoudi, S. Boudemagh
Abstract Time is an indicator of project performance, and along with cost and quality factors, it is the project roadmap, as it determines its success. In Algeria, among the problems often encountered in the construction of projects are timeouts. A questionnaire survey was conducted with experts in the field of construction, in order to know the factors causing delays in projects. The results show that the managerial factors (relating to planning, organization and management) are the most important in Algeria. Therefore, the use of Project Management is essential, given the need to promote this area in terms of processes and tools used, to allow the various project stakeholders to optimize the planning of activities and resources, to complete the project. project in a timely manner and reach the stage of project success. Recommendations were proposed and managerial solutions were suggested using the guide of PMBOK version 5.
时间是项目绩效的一个指标,与成本和质量因素一起,是项目的路线图,因为它决定了项目的成功。在阿尔及利亚,项目建设中经常遇到的问题之一是停工。为了了解造成项目延误的因素,我们对建筑领域的专家进行了问卷调查。结果表明,管理因素(与计划、组织和管理有关)在阿尔及利亚是最重要的。因此,项目管理的使用是必不可少的,考虑到需要促进这一领域的过程和工具的使用,以允许各种项目干系人优化活动和资源的规划,以完成项目。及时完成项目并达到项目成功的阶段。根据PMBOK第5版的指南,提出了建议和管理解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
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European Journal of Engineering and Formal Sciences
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