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The disparity and trend of childhood cancer burden in survival perspective: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease 2021. 生存视角下儿童癌症负担的差异与趋势:2021年全球疾病负担的系统分析
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004775
Xueyun Mao, Xueyin Wang, Ting Fang, Xiao Zhang, Junting Yang, Xīn Gào, Zhengcun Pei, Ying Lu, Siyan Zhan, Guozhang Xu, Zhike Liu
<p><strong>Background: </strong>The World Health Organization Global Initiative for Childhood Cancer has set a target of achieving a 60% survival rate by 2030. However, current evidence is insufficient to guide governments and medical institutions in developing the necessary policies and interventions to reach this goal. Therefore, it is imperative to systematically evaluate the current status and trends of childhood cancer survival worldwide.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Focusing on mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR), disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and death, the study described the distribution and trends of these survival related indicators for childhood cancer using the data from GBD2021. The study characterized the disease spectrum of childhood cancer in Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions and predicted the future trend using ARIMA mo MIR reflected the disparities in global countries and regions; Jointpoint model and age-period-cohort model were used to analyze the long-term trend; finally, the DALY of childhood cancer contribute to risk factors was assessed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In 2021, 25 level 3 childhood cancers contributed to 114.50 thousand (95% UI 104.70-124.31) death and 9343.21 thousand (95% UI 8529.00-10157.41) DALYs globally, and the MIR was 0.41 (IQR 0.26-0.58). In the high SDI region, brain and central nervous system cancers have ranked first in age-standardized DALY rate (AS-DALY) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR), and it is estimated that the AS-DALYs of nervous system cancer likely to surpass those of hematologic malignancy by 2024. The childhood cancer burden decreased with increasing SDI levels. The largest MIR [31.83 (95%UI 20.38-53.14)] between low and high SDI region was observed in eye cancer, followed by testicular cancer, Hodgkin lymphoma, and malignant skin melanoma (MIR > 10) in 2021. There has been a global downward trend in AS-DALYs and ASDR for childhood cancer; however, breast cancer has been increasing continuously. Although the number, rate, period risk, and cohort risks for childhood cancer DALY decreased across all SDI regions, the absolute burden increased by 35.92% (95% CI: 11.64 to 67.70) in low SDI region, with a concurrently observed rise in the absolute value and risks for nervous system cancer. Besides, the DALY rate of liver cancer attributable to drug use consistently increased, especially in high SDI region.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study identified several key points newly and could contribute to more precise recommendations for childhood cancer healthcare. It is imperative to pay more attention to the first rank on DALY of brain and central nervous system cancer in high SDI region, setting the priority to narrow the burden gap on retinoblastoma, testicular cancer, Hodgkin lymphoma, and malignant cutaneous melanoma through conducting more economical and inclusive interventions worldwide. Also, breast cancer and drug use-induced liver cancer should not be
背景:世界卫生组织儿童癌症全球倡议制定了到2030年实现60%存活率的目标。然而,目前的证据不足以指导政府和医疗机构制定必要的政策和干预措施,以实现这一目标。因此,系统评估全球儿童癌症生存现状和趋势势在必行。方法:本研究以死亡率-发病率(MIR)、残疾调整生命年(DALY)和死亡率为重点,利用GBD2021数据描述儿童癌症这些生存相关指标的分布和趋势。本研究对SDI地区儿童癌症的疾病谱进行了表征,并利用ARIMA mo MIR预测了未来趋势,反映了全球国家和地区的差异;采用结合点模型和年龄-时期-队列模型分析长期趋势;最后,评估儿童癌症的DALY对危险因素的贡献。结果:2021年,全球25例3级儿童癌症共造成11.45万例(95% UI为104.70 ~ 124.31)死亡和9343.21万例(95% UI为8529.00 ~ 10157.41)DALYs, MIR为0.41 (IQR为0.26 ~ 0.58)。在高SDI地区,脑和中枢神经系统肿瘤在年龄标准化DALY率(AS-DALY)和年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)方面均居首位,预计到2024年,神经系统肿瘤的AS-DALY有可能超过血液系统恶性肿瘤。儿童癌症负担随着SDI水平的增加而降低。高、低SDI区MIR最大的是眼癌,为31.83 (95%UI 20.38-53.14),其次是睾丸癌、霍奇金淋巴瘤和恶性皮肤黑色素瘤(MIR bbb10)。儿童癌症的AS-DALYs和ASDR呈全球下降趋势;然而,乳腺癌一直在不断增加。尽管在所有SDI地区,儿童癌症DALY的数量、比率、时期风险和队列风险都有所下降,但在低SDI地区,绝对负担增加了35.92% (95% CI: 11.64至67.70),同时观察到神经系统癌症的绝对值和风险也有所上升。此外,吸毒导致肝癌的DALY率持续上升,特别是在SDI高的地区。结论:本研究发现了几个新的关键点,可以为儿童癌症保健提供更精确的建议。高度重视高SDI地区脑及中枢神经系统肿瘤DALY排名第一,优先缩小视网膜母细胞瘤、睾丸癌、霍奇金淋巴瘤、恶性皮肤黑色素瘤的负担差距,在全球范围内开展更经济、更包容的干预。此外,乳腺癌和药物引起的肝癌也不应被忽视。
{"title":"The disparity and trend of childhood cancer burden in survival perspective: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease 2021.","authors":"Xueyun Mao, Xueyin Wang, Ting Fang, Xiao Zhang, Junting Yang, Xīn Gào, Zhengcun Pei, Ying Lu, Siyan Zhan, Guozhang Xu, Zhike Liu","doi":"10.1097/JS9.0000000000004775","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1097/JS9.0000000000004775","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background: &lt;/strong&gt;The World Health Organization Global Initiative for Childhood Cancer has set a target of achieving a 60% survival rate by 2030. However, current evidence is insufficient to guide governments and medical institutions in developing the necessary policies and interventions to reach this goal. Therefore, it is imperative to systematically evaluate the current status and trends of childhood cancer survival worldwide.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Methods: &lt;/strong&gt;Focusing on mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR), disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and death, the study described the distribution and trends of these survival related indicators for childhood cancer using the data from GBD2021. The study characterized the disease spectrum of childhood cancer in Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions and predicted the future trend using ARIMA mo MIR reflected the disparities in global countries and regions; Jointpoint model and age-period-cohort model were used to analyze the long-term trend; finally, the DALY of childhood cancer contribute to risk factors was assessed.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Results: &lt;/strong&gt;In 2021, 25 level 3 childhood cancers contributed to 114.50 thousand (95% UI 104.70-124.31) death and 9343.21 thousand (95% UI 8529.00-10157.41) DALYs globally, and the MIR was 0.41 (IQR 0.26-0.58). In the high SDI region, brain and central nervous system cancers have ranked first in age-standardized DALY rate (AS-DALY) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR), and it is estimated that the AS-DALYs of nervous system cancer likely to surpass those of hematologic malignancy by 2024. The childhood cancer burden decreased with increasing SDI levels. The largest MIR [31.83 (95%UI 20.38-53.14)] between low and high SDI region was observed in eye cancer, followed by testicular cancer, Hodgkin lymphoma, and malignant skin melanoma (MIR &gt; 10) in 2021. There has been a global downward trend in AS-DALYs and ASDR for childhood cancer; however, breast cancer has been increasing continuously. Although the number, rate, period risk, and cohort risks for childhood cancer DALY decreased across all SDI regions, the absolute burden increased by 35.92% (95% CI: 11.64 to 67.70) in low SDI region, with a concurrently observed rise in the absolute value and risks for nervous system cancer. Besides, the DALY rate of liver cancer attributable to drug use consistently increased, especially in high SDI region.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusion: &lt;/strong&gt;This study identified several key points newly and could contribute to more precise recommendations for childhood cancer healthcare. It is imperative to pay more attention to the first rank on DALY of brain and central nervous system cancer in high SDI region, setting the priority to narrow the burden gap on retinoblastoma, testicular cancer, Hodgkin lymphoma, and malignant cutaneous melanoma through conducting more economical and inclusive interventions worldwide. Also, breast cancer and drug use-induced liver cancer should not be","PeriodicalId":14401,"journal":{"name":"International journal of surgery","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.1,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146113123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ultrasound-guided thyroid cartilage plane block for superior laryngeal nerve blockade in awake fiberoptic tracheal intubation: combined cadaveric validation and randomized clinical trial. 超声引导甲状腺软骨平面阻滞用于清醒纤维气管插管喉上神经阻滞:尸体验证与随机临床试验相结合。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004631
Tao Shan, Mufeng Gu, Xiao Zhou, Ying Ji, Hongguang Bao, Hongwei Shi, Jie Wei, Qilian Tan, Liu Han, Lihai Chen

Background: The thyroid cartilage plane (TCP) block is a novel approach for superior laryngeal nerve (SLN) block in awake tracheal intubation (ATI). We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of TCP block for ATI.

Materials and methods: Our study included a cadaver dissection and a clinical study. Detailed anatomical dissections were performed on two fresh cadavers after a bilateral TCP block with methylene blue. Sixty patients scheduled for ATI were randomized to receive either bilateral TCP block (TCP group) or fiberoptic bronchoscope-assisted topical anesthesia (FIB group) to anesthetize the vocal cords. A 22-gauge needle was advanced targeting the thyroid cartilage laminae, followed by injection of 2.5 ml lidocaine in the TCP group. Lidocaine spray was applied to anesthetize the remainder of the airway. The primary outcome was quality of airway anesthesia grade during intubation (0, excellent; 1, good; 2, fair; 3, poor; 4, very poor), with secondary outcomes including hemodynamic profile, Ramsay sedation score, and incidence of airway hemorrhage and SLN injury.

Results: The methylene blue stained all the internal branches of SLN, with one external branch not stained. In the clinical study, the quality of airway anesthesia was significantly better in the TCP group than in the FIB group (median [IQR], 0 [0-0] vs 1 [0-2], difference [95% CI]: 1 [0-1], P < 0.001). Mean arterial pressure and HR were better maintained during intubation in the TCP group (P < 0.05). Neither airway hemorrhage nor nerve injury was observed.

Conclusion: Ultrasound-guided TCP block is an effective and safe approach for the SLN blockade, providing an alternative for ATI.

背景:甲状腺软骨平面阻滞是清醒气管插管(ATI)中喉上神经阻滞的一种新方法。我们旨在评估TCP阻断治疗ATI的有效性和安全性。材料和方法:我们的研究包括尸体解剖和临床研究。在用亚甲蓝进行双侧TCP阻断后,对两具新鲜尸体进行了详细的解剖。60例ATI患者随机接受双侧TCP阻滞(TCP组)或纤维支气管镜辅助表面麻醉(FIB组)麻醉声带。TCP组先用22号针对准甲状软骨板,注射利多卡因2.5 ml。使用利多卡因喷雾麻醉其余气道。主要结局是插管时气道麻醉质量等级(0,优;1,好;2,一般;3,差;4,极差),次要结局包括血流动力学特征、Ramsay镇静评分、气道出血和SLN损伤的发生率。结果:亚甲蓝染色细胞内支均染色,外支未染色。在临床研究中,TCP组气道麻醉质量明显优于FIB组(中位数[IQR], 0 [0-0] vs 1[0-2],差异[95% CI]: 1 [0-1], P < 0.001)。TCP组插管期间平均动脉压和HR维持较好(P < 0.05)。未见气道出血及神经损伤。结论:超声引导下TCP阻断是一种有效、安全的SLN阻断方法,为ATI提供了一种替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Polyethylene Terephthalate Microplastics Exposure Enhances the Risk of Ulcerative Colitis: Insights From Multi-Omics Integration, Machine Learning, and Molecular Docking Reveal Intestinal Toxicity Mechanisms: A Commentary. 聚对苯二甲酸乙二醇酯微塑料暴露增加溃疡性结肠炎的风险:多组学整合,机器学习和分子对接揭示肠道毒性机制的见解:评论。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004675
Guosheng Lin, Fangfeng Lin, JinHong Liu
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引用次数: 0
Integrative transcriptomics, machine learning, and molecular docking reveal that nicotine exacerbates ischemic stroke: TLR4-dependent activation of NLRP3/caspase-1/GSDMD-mediated microglial pyroptosis. 整合转录组学、机器学习和分子对接揭示尼古丁加剧缺血性卒中:tlr4依赖性激活NLRP3/caspase-1/ gsdmd介导的小胶质细胞焦亡。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004922
Yeqin Wang, Xianjia Li, Yuxuan Duan, Tianxiao Zhu, Yuning Ma, Qian Wang, Xiaoqi Ma, Dan Xin

Objective: This study aimed to clarify the molecular mechanisms through which nicotine (Nic) aggravates ischemic stroke (IS), with an emphasis on inflammation and pyroptosis in Microglia.

Methods: An integrative strategy was employed, combining network toxicology for molecular interaction mapping, machine learning for core gene identification, and molecular docking/dynamics for binding validation. These computational predictions were further verified by in vitro and in vivo experiments.

Results: Nic was shown to exacerbate IS injury by promoting pyroptosis through activation of the Toll-like receptor 4(TLR4)-myeloid differentiation primary response gene 88(MyD88) and NOD-like receptor family, pyrin domain containing 3(NLRP3) inflammasome pathways, thereby amplifying inflammatory responses. The convergence of computational analyses and experimental findings confirmed the synergistic effect of Nic on vascular injury and neuroinflammation, leading to worsened IS outcomes.

Conclusion: Nic accelerates IS progression by modulating pyroptosis and chronic inflammatory signaling. This combined computational-experimental approach provides novel mechanistic insights into Nic-induced stroke pathology and highlights potential molecular targets for therapeutic intervention.

目的:本研究旨在阐明尼古丁(Nic)加重缺血性脑卒中(IS)的分子机制,重点关注小胶质细胞的炎症和焦亡。方法:采用综合策略,结合网络毒理学进行分子相互作用定位,机器学习进行核心基因鉴定,分子对接/动力学进行结合验证。体外和体内实验进一步验证了这些计算预测。结果:Nic通过激活toll样受体4(TLR4)-髓样分化初级反应基因88(MyD88)和nod样受体家族pyrin结构域3(NLRP3)炎性小体通路,促进IS损伤的焦亡,从而放大炎症反应,从而加重IS损伤。计算分析和实验结果的结合证实了Nic对血管损伤和神经炎症的协同作用,导致IS预后恶化。结论:Nic通过调节焦亡和慢性炎症信号加速IS进展。这种计算与实验相结合的方法为镍诱导的中风病理提供了新的机制见解,并强调了治疗干预的潜在分子靶点。
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引用次数: 0
Timely surgical intervention and risk stratification in patients with Ebstein anomaly: a 20-year retrospective cohort study. Ebstein异常患者的及时手术干预和风险分层:一项20年回顾性队列研究。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004760
Yu Zhu, Zhao Jian, Ruiyan Ma, Yingbin Xiao

Background: The optimal timing and choice of surgery for Ebstein anomaly (EA), a complex congenital heart defect, remain challenging due to the heterogeneity and lack of robust long-term data on EA. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of surgical management in patients with EA, identify the prognostic risk factors, and develop a predictive model.

Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from 332 patients with EA who were treated at a tertiary center between January 2000 and December 2021. Among them, 269 underwent surgery: tricuspid valve repairs, 150; replacements, 77; and isolated bidirectional Glenn procedures, 42. Additionally, 70 patients received a concomitant Glenn shunt during valve surgery, resulting in a total of 112 Glenn procedures. The median follow-up was 10.12 years. The primary outcomes were freedom from reoperation and medical interventions. A predictive nomogram was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and internally validated.

Results: The early surgical mortality rate was 2.60%. Postoperative complications occurred in 15.24% of the patients, with renal failure (4.83%) and arrhythmias (2.23%) being the most common. During a median follow-up of 10.12 years, the freedom from operation rates were 97.95, 92.48, 87.04, and 83.22% at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years, respectively. However, freedom from medical intervention showed a progressive decline (94.34% at 5 years vs. 62.31% at 20). Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified preoperative hepatic congestion [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.042], Wolff-Parkinson-White (WPW) syndrome (HR = 3.463), and elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level (HR = 1.023) as independent risk factors for surgery. The concomitant bidirectional Glenn procedure was associated with a significantly reduced risk of both reoperation (HR = 0.160) and medical intervention (HR = 0.259). Patients requiring interventions showed significantly worse physical and emotional quality-of-life scores than did those who were event-free (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: Timely surgical intervention guided by preoperative risk stratification optimizes the long-term outcomes of EA. The proposed nomogram was a practical tool for individualized risk assessment, supporting clinical decision making in patients with this complex condition.

背景:Ebstein异常(EA)是一种复杂的先天性心脏缺陷,由于其异质性和缺乏可靠的长期数据,手术的最佳时机和选择仍然具有挑战性。在本研究中,我们旨在评估EA患者手术治疗的长期结果,确定预后危险因素,并建立预测模型。材料和方法:我们对2000年1月至2021年12月期间在三级中心接受治疗的332例EA患者的数据进行了回顾性分析。其中手术269例:三尖瓣修复150例;更换,77;和隔离的双向格伦手术,42岁。此外,70名患者在瓣膜手术期间接受了格伦分流术,总共进行了112次格伦手术。中位随访时间为10.12年。主要结果是免于再手术和医疗干预。使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子回归开发了预测nomogram,并进行了内部验证。结果:手术早期死亡率为2.60%。术后并发症发生率为15.24%,以肾衰竭(4.83%)和心律失常(2.23%)最为常见。中位随访10.12年,5年、10年、15年、20年手术自由率分别为97.95、92.48、87.04、83.22%。然而,不受医疗干预的程度逐渐下降(5岁时为94.34%,20岁时为62.31%)。多变量Cox回归分析发现术前肝淤血[危险比(HR) = 3.042]、WPW综合征(HR = 3.463)、丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)水平升高(HR = 1.023)是手术的独立危险因素。同时行双向Glenn手术可显著降低再手术风险(HR = 0.160)和医疗干预风险(HR = 0.259)。需要干预的患者的身体和情绪生活质量评分明显低于无事件的患者(P < 0.05)。结论:术前风险分层指导下的及时手术干预可优化EA的长期预后。所提出的nomogram影像学图是个体化风险评估的实用工具,可为该复杂疾病患者的临床决策提供支持。
{"title":"Timely surgical intervention and risk stratification in patients with Ebstein anomaly: a 20-year retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Yu Zhu, Zhao Jian, Ruiyan Ma, Yingbin Xiao","doi":"10.1097/JS9.0000000000004760","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1097/JS9.0000000000004760","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The optimal timing and choice of surgery for Ebstein anomaly (EA), a complex congenital heart defect, remain challenging due to the heterogeneity and lack of robust long-term data on EA. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the long-term outcomes of surgical management in patients with EA, identify the prognostic risk factors, and develop a predictive model.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from 332 patients with EA who were treated at a tertiary center between January 2000 and December 2021. Among them, 269 underwent surgery: tricuspid valve repairs, 150; replacements, 77; and isolated bidirectional Glenn procedures, 42. Additionally, 70 patients received a concomitant Glenn shunt during valve surgery, resulting in a total of 112 Glenn procedures. The median follow-up was 10.12 years. The primary outcomes were freedom from reoperation and medical interventions. A predictive nomogram was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and internally validated.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The early surgical mortality rate was 2.60%. Postoperative complications occurred in 15.24% of the patients, with renal failure (4.83%) and arrhythmias (2.23%) being the most common. During a median follow-up of 10.12 years, the freedom from operation rates were 97.95, 92.48, 87.04, and 83.22% at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years, respectively. However, freedom from medical intervention showed a progressive decline (94.34% at 5 years vs. 62.31% at 20). Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified preoperative hepatic congestion [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.042], Wolff-Parkinson-White (WPW) syndrome (HR = 3.463), and elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level (HR = 1.023) as independent risk factors for surgery. The concomitant bidirectional Glenn procedure was associated with a significantly reduced risk of both reoperation (HR = 0.160) and medical intervention (HR = 0.259). Patients requiring interventions showed significantly worse physical and emotional quality-of-life scores than did those who were event-free (P < 0.05).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Timely surgical intervention guided by preoperative risk stratification optimizes the long-term outcomes of EA. The proposed nomogram was a practical tool for individualized risk assessment, supporting clinical decision making in patients with this complex condition.</p>","PeriodicalId":14401,"journal":{"name":"International journal of surgery","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":10.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146085776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An explainable AI workflow integrating automated volumetric body composition analysis for predicting pathological grading of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms: a multicenter cohort study. 一个可解释的人工智能工作流程集成了自动体积体成分分析,用于预测胃肠胰腺神经内分泌肿瘤的病理分级:一项多中心队列研究。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004879
Chenxi Lyu, Weinuo Qu, Zhibo Wang, Huiyu Gan, Feng Li, Shasha Li, Yaqi Shen, Jiali Li, Zhen Li

Background: Gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (GEP-NENs) are heterogeneous tumors with rising incidence, necessitating precise preoperative grading for treatment planning. Existing imaging techniques and endoscopic biopsies often fall short due to insufficient markers and tissue samples. Body composition influences tumor biology, yet traditional 2D assessments are time-consuming and lack objectivity. This study aimed to develop a rapid non-invasive predictive model by integrating automatic segmented abdominal volumetric body composition with machine learning to differentiate between low-grade and high-grade GEP-NENs.

Materials and methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort study enrolled 633 patients with GEP-NENs from three institutions. Patients were divided into: Training set (n = 403) and internal validation (n = 174) (7:3 ratio from Hospital 1); test set (n = 56 from 2 other hospitals). An nnUNetv2-based automatic segmentation algorithm for abdominal fat tissue and skeletal muscle on arterial-phase CT was applied. Visceral fat index, subcutaneous fat index, intermuscular fat index and skeletal muscle index were calculated. Features with a P-value < 0.05 were selected using univariate logistic regression and included in the prediction model built using the extreme gradient boosting algorithm. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were performed to evaluate the utility of the model. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was conducted to enhance model interpretability and visualization.

Results: The automatic segmentation achieved a Dice coefficient of 0.98. For pathological grading, the model built using body composition parameters achieved an AUC of 0.863 in the training set, 0.750 in the validation set, and 0.717 in the test set. SHAP analysis revealed that the relative intermuscular adipose tissue (rIMAT) contributed the most among the body composition parameters to the model decision-making, and rIMAT levels were higher in P53-mutant and CK19-positive cases compared to negative cases.

Conclusions: Auto-segmented abdominal body composition combined with a machine learning-based model could provide an assisted, non-invasive tool for predicting pathological grade in GEP-NENs.

背景:胃胰神经内分泌肿瘤(GEP-NENs)是一种发病率不断上升的异质性肿瘤,术前需要精确分级以制定治疗计划。由于标记物和组织样本不足,现有的成像技术和内窥镜活检常常存在不足。人体成分影响肿瘤生物学,但传统的二维评估耗时且缺乏客观性。本研究旨在通过将自动分割腹部体积和身体组成与机器学习相结合,建立一种快速的无创预测模型,以区分低级和高级GEP-NENs。材料和方法:本多中心回顾性队列研究纳入了来自三个机构的633例GEP-NENs患者。患者分为:训练组(n = 403)和内部验证组(n = 174)(比例为7:3,来自第一医院);检验集(n = 56,来自其他2家医院)。应用基于nnunetv2的动脉期CT腹部脂肪组织和骨骼肌自动分割算法。计算内脏脂肪指数、皮下脂肪指数、肌间脂肪指数和骨骼肌指数。使用单变量逻辑回归选择p值< 0.05的特征,并将其纳入使用极端梯度增强算法构建的预测模型中。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)来评价模型的有效性。采用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)增强模型的可解释性和可视化。结果:自动分割的Dice系数为0.98。对于病理分级,使用身体组成参数构建的模型在训练集中的AUC为0.863,在验证集中的AUC为0.750,在测试集中的AUC为0.717。SHAP分析显示,相对肌间脂肪组织(relative intermuscular adipose tissue, rIMAT)在身体组成参数中对模型决策的贡献最大,且p53突变和ck19阳性病例的rIMAT水平高于阴性病例。结论:自动分割腹部身体成分结合基于机器学习的模型可以为预测GEP-NENs的病理分级提供一种辅助的、无创的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Network toxicology and experimental validation reveal TDCPP as an emerging environmental risk factor for chronic kidney disease. 网络毒理学和实验验证表明TDCPP是慢性肾脏疾病的一个新兴环境危险因素。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004843
Xulei Zuo, Wei Wang, Xiaoyu Hou, Cong Zhang, Yuxi Zhang, Juan Zhang

Background: Tris(1,3-dichloro-2-propyl) phosphate (TDCPP) is a widely used organophosphorus flame retardant that has raised growing concern because it is persistent, can bioaccumulate, and is toxic. However, its possible role in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is still not well understood.

Methods: We used network toxicology, molecular docking, transcriptomic validation, and mouse exposure experiments to uncover the mechanisms linking TDCPP exposure to kidney injury.

Results: We found 1270 overlapping targets between predicted TDCPP-binding proteins and CKD-related genes. Enrichment analyses showed strong links to inflammatory and apoptotic processes, as well as key signaling pathways including PI3K-Akt, MAPK, Ras, and cAMP. Machine learning methods (LASSO, SVM-RFE, RF) identified two hub genes, CTRB1 and HSPA1A, which were both significantly downregulated in CKD transcriptomes and showed perfect diagnostic performance (AUC = 1.0). Immune cell analysis showed that CKD tissues had increased regulatory T cells, monocytes, M2 macrophages, and neutrophils, and CTRB1/HSPA1A expression was correlated with specific immune cell subsets. Molecular docking predicted favorable binding of TDCPP to both proteins, with the strongest affinity for CTRB1 (-7.2 kcal/mol). In vivo, TDCPP exposure caused dose-dependent tubular degeneration, inflammation, and increased serum BUN and creatinine, along with marked downregulation of CTRB1 and HSPA1A.

Conclusion: Taken together, these findings suggest that TDCPP may contribute to CKD by disrupting CTRB1/HSPA1A and activating PI3K-Akt/MAPK signaling, which leads to immune dysregulation and progressive kidney injury. We propose a new adverse outcome pathway (AOP) framework linking TDCPP exposure to CKD, and highlight CTRB1 and HSPA1A as potential biomarkers and mechanistic targets for environmental nephrotoxicity.

背景:三(1,3-二氯-2-丙基)磷酸(TDCPP)是一种广泛使用的有机磷阻燃剂,因其具有持久性、生物蓄积性和毒性而引起越来越多的关注。然而,其在慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)中的可能作用仍不清楚。方法:通过网络毒理学、分子对接、转录组验证和小鼠暴露实验,揭示TDCPP暴露与肾损伤的机制。结果:我们发现预测的tdcpp结合蛋白与ckd相关基因之间有1270个重叠靶点。富集分析显示与炎症和凋亡过程以及包括PI3K-Akt、MAPK、Ras和cAMP在内的关键信号通路密切相关。机器学习方法(LASSO, SVM-RFE, RF)鉴定出两个枢纽基因CTRB1和HSPA1A,这两个基因在CKD转录组中均显著下调,并显示出完美的诊断性能(AUC = 1.0)。免疫细胞分析显示,CKD组织中调节性T细胞、单核细胞、M2巨噬细胞和中性粒细胞增加,CTRB1/HSPA1A表达与特异性免疫细胞亚群相关。分子对接预测TDCPP与这两种蛋白的良好结合,与CTRB1的亲和力最强(-7.2 kcal/mol)。在体内,TDCPP暴露引起剂量依赖性小管变性、炎症、血清BUN和肌酐升高,同时CTRB1和HSPA1A显著下调。结论:综上所述,这些发现表明TDCPP可能通过破坏CTRB1/HSPA1A和激活PI3K-Akt/MAPK信号,导致免疫失调和进行性肾损伤,从而促进CKD。我们提出了一个新的不良结果通路(AOP)框架,将TDCPP暴露与CKD联系起来,并强调CTRB1和HSPA1A是环境肾毒性的潜在生物标志物和机制靶点。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping the global clinical trial landscape of targeted therapy for vascular malformations. 绘制血管畸形靶向治疗的全球临床试验景观。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004849
Xuan Jiang, Jiayi Lai, Li Hu, Hui Chen, Xi Yang, Xiaoxi Lin
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引用次数: 0
Advancing laparoscopic surgery in Sudan and sub-Saharan Africa: a review of challenges, innovations, and policy pathways. 在苏丹和撒哈拉以南非洲推进腹腔镜手术:挑战、创新和政策路径综述。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004356
Alsadig Suliman, Lina SeedAhmed

Laparoscopic surgery offers clear benefits but remains scarce in Sudan and sub-Saharan Africa due to limited infrastructure, training, and policy support. A structured narrative approach (SANRA-guided; SWiM reporting) was used. We pre-specified eligibility criteria, searched seven databases and repositories (PubMed, Scopus, AJOL, African Index Medicus, HINARI, Google Scholar, organizational repositories) for 2018-30 June 2025, dual-screened records, and appraised included sources with JBI/AXIS/CASP/AACODS. Owing to heterogeneity, we used thematic Synthesis Without Meta-Analysis to examine the barriers, innovations, and policy pathways for expanding minimally invasive surgery (MIS) in the region. Key obstacles include equipment shortages, maintenance gaps, financing deficits, and gender inequities in training. While laparoscopy reduces relative surgical site infection (SSI) risk, absolute SSI rates remain driven by system deficits in sterility, antibiotics, and staffing. Emerging solutions - such as gasless laparoscopy, tele-mentoring, and simulation - are feasible but require financial planning and ethical safeguards for diaspora-led initiatives. Integrating MIS within National Surgical, Obstetric, and Anesthesia Plans (NSOAPs), ensuring 2%-5% annual maintenance funding, and expanding simulation-based training can enable equitable, sustainable scale-up. The review emphasizes practical implementation lessons rather than pooled statistical effects to inform regional policy and training reforms.

腹腔镜手术有明显的好处,但由于基础设施、培训和政策支持有限,在苏丹和撒哈拉以南非洲地区腹腔镜手术仍然很少。采用结构化叙事方法(sanra引导;SWiM报告)。我们预先指定了资格标准,检索了2018- 2025年6月30日的7个数据库和存储库(PubMed、Scopus、AJOL、African Index Medicus、HINARI、谷歌Scholar、组织存储库),对记录进行了双重筛选,并使用JBI/AXIS/CASP/AACODS对纳入的来源进行了评估。由于存在异质性,我们使用专题综合而非荟萃分析来研究该地区扩大微创手术(MIS)的障碍、创新和政策途径。主要障碍包括设备短缺、维修缺口、资金赤字和培训中的性别不平等。虽然腹腔镜降低了相对手术部位感染(SSI)的风险,但SSI的绝对发生率仍然受到无菌、抗生素和人员配备的系统缺陷的影响。新兴的解决方案——如无气腹腔镜检查、远程指导和模拟——是可行的,但需要对侨民主导的项目进行财务规划和道德保障。将MIS整合到国家外科、产科和麻醉计划(NSOAPs)中,确保每年2%-5%的维护资金,并扩大基于模拟的培训,可以实现公平、可持续的规模扩大。该审查强调实际的实施经验教训,而不是汇集统计结果,以便为区域政策和培训改革提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Deep learning-based survival outcomes of REBOA vs resuscitative thoracotomy in trauma: a nationwide cohort study in South Korea. 基于深度学习的创伤REBOA与复苏开胸术的生存结果:韩国的一项全国性队列研究。
IF 10.1 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1097/JS9.0000000000004925
Jayun Cho, Jiyeon Oh, Soeun Kim, Jaehyeong Cho, Dong Keon Yon, Wu Seong Kang
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International journal of surgery
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