The prediction accuracy for the rate of surface fire spread varies in different regions; thus, increasing the prediction accuracy for local fuel types to reduce the destructive consequences of fire is critically needed.
Aims
The objective of this study is to improve the Rothermel model’s accuracy in predicting the ROS for surface fuel burning in planted forests of Pinus koraiensis in the eastern mountains of north-east China.
Methods
Fuel beds with various fuel loads and moisture content was constructed on a laboratory burning bed, 276 combustion experiments were performed under multiple slope conditions, and the ROS data from the combustion experiments were used to modify the related parameters in the Rothermel model.
Results
The surface fire spread rate in Pinus koraiensis plantations was directly predicted using the Rothermel model but had significant errors. The Rothermel model after modification predicted the following: MRE = 25.09%, MAE = 0.46 m min−1, and R2 = 0.80.
Conclusion
The prediction accuracy of the Rothermel model was greatly enhanced through parameter tuning based on in-lab combustion experiments
Implications
This study provides a method for the local application of the Rothermel model in China and helps with forest fire fighting and management in China.
{"title":"Modification of the Rothermel model parameters – the rate of surface fire spread of Pinus koraiensis needles under no-wind and various slope conditions","authors":"Daotong Geng, Guang Yang, Jibin Ning, Ang Li, Zhaoguo Li, Shangjiong Ma, Xinyu Wang, Hongzhou Yu","doi":"10.1071/wf23118","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23118","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>The prediction accuracy for the rate of surface fire spread varies in different regions; thus, increasing the prediction accuracy for local fuel types to reduce the destructive consequences of fire is critically needed.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>The objective of this study is to improve the Rothermel model’s accuracy in predicting the ROS for surface fuel burning in planted forests of <i>Pinus koraiensis</i> in the eastern mountains of north-east China.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>Fuel beds with various fuel loads and moisture content was constructed on a laboratory burning bed, 276 combustion experiments were performed under multiple slope conditions, and the ROS data from the combustion experiments were used to modify the related parameters in the Rothermel model.</p><strong> Results</strong><p>The surface fire spread rate in <i>Pinus koraiensis</i> plantations was directly predicted using the Rothermel model but had significant errors. The Rothermel model after modification predicted the following: MRE <i>=</i> 25.09%, MAE = 0.46 m min<sup>−1</sup>, and <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.80.</p><strong> Conclusion</strong><p>The prediction accuracy of the Rothermel model was greatly enhanced through parameter tuning based on in-lab combustion experiments</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>This study provides a method for the local application of the Rothermel model in China and helps with forest fire fighting and management in China.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140603327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ruby O. Hoyland, Melinda T. McHenry, Erin A. Foster
Geodiversity elements contribute significantly to local and global hydrological, biogeochemical and ecosystem services and as such, fire is a potentially disruptive force with long-term implications. from limiting karstic speleothems formation, to compounding impacts of peat-fire-erosion cycles. Geodiversity elements additionally possess important cultural, aesthetic, and environmental values, including the support of ecosystem services. Hence, assessments of potential fire damage should consider implications for land users, society, and culture, alongside the geomorphic impacts on geodiversity elements. With a view to providing a concise set of descriptors of the response of geodiversity elements to fire, we qualify and in places, quantify, how fire may degrade geosystem function. Where possible, we highlight the influence of fire intensity and frequency gradients, and cumulative fire, in the deterioration of geodiversity values. Geoconservation is integral to protected areas with implications from fire effected geodiversity functions and values presenting issues for management, with potential consequences extending through to delisting, degazetting, and resizing of protected areas. Future research in reserve systems should concentrate on understanding the synergistic and compounding effects of fire on the geophysical landscape.
{"title":"Fire and geodiversity","authors":"Ruby O. Hoyland, Melinda T. McHenry, Erin A. Foster","doi":"10.1071/wf23134","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23134","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Geodiversity elements contribute significantly to local and global hydrological, biogeochemical and ecosystem services and as such, fire is a potentially disruptive force with long-term implications. from limiting karstic speleothems formation, to compounding impacts of peat-fire-erosion cycles. Geodiversity elements additionally possess important cultural, aesthetic, and environmental values, including the support of ecosystem services. Hence, assessments of potential fire damage should consider implications for land users, society, and culture, alongside the geomorphic impacts on geodiversity elements. With a view to providing a concise set of descriptors of the response of geodiversity elements to fire, we qualify and in places, quantify, how fire may degrade geosystem function. Where possible, we highlight the influence of fire intensity and frequency gradients, and cumulative fire, in the deterioration of geodiversity values. Geoconservation is integral to protected areas with implications from fire effected geodiversity functions and values presenting issues for management, with potential consequences extending through to delisting, degazetting, and resizing of protected areas. Future research in reserve systems should concentrate on understanding the synergistic and compounding effects of fire on the geophysical landscape.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"214 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140596636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Gonzalo Severino, Andrés Fuentes, Alejandro Valdivia, Fernando Auat-Cheein, Pedro Reszka
Background
Wildfires have caused significant damage in Chile, with critical infrastructure being vulnerable to extreme wildfires.
Aim
This work describes a methodology for estimating wildfire risk that was applied to an electrical substation in the wildland–urban interface (WUI) of Valparaíso, Chile.
Methods
Wildfire risk is defined as the product between the probability of a wildfire reaching infrastructure at the WUI and its consequences or impacts. The former is determined with event trees combined with modelled burn probability. Wildfire consequence is considered as the ignition probability of a proxy fuel within the substation, as a function of the incident heat flux using a probit expression derived from experimental data. The heat flux is estimated using modelled fire intensity and geometry and a corresponding view factor from an assumed solid flame.
Key results
The probability of normal and extreme fires reaching the WUI is of the order of 10−4 and 10−6 events/year, respectively. Total wildfire risk is of the order of 10−5 to 10−4 events/year
Conclusions
This methodology offers a comprehensive interpretation of wildfire risk that considers both wildfire likelihood and consequences.
Implications
The methodology is an interesting tool for quantitatively assessing wildfire risk of critical infrastructure and risk mitigation measures.
{"title":"Assessing wildfire risk to critical infrastructure in central Chile: application to an electrical substation","authors":"Gonzalo Severino, Andrés Fuentes, Alejandro Valdivia, Fernando Auat-Cheein, Pedro Reszka","doi":"10.1071/wf22113","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf22113","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>Wildfires have caused significant damage in Chile, with critical infrastructure being vulnerable to extreme wildfires.</p><strong> Aim</strong><p>This work describes a methodology for estimating wildfire risk that was applied to an electrical substation in the wildland–urban interface (WUI) of Valparaíso, Chile.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>Wildfire risk is defined as the product between the probability of a wildfire reaching infrastructure at the WUI and its consequences or impacts. The former is determined with event trees combined with modelled burn probability. Wildfire consequence is considered as the ignition probability of a proxy fuel within the substation, as a function of the incident heat flux using a probit expression derived from experimental data. The heat flux is estimated using modelled fire intensity and geometry and a corresponding view factor from an assumed solid flame.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>The probability of normal and extreme fires reaching the WUI is of the order of 10<sup>−4</sup> and 10<sup>−6</sup> events/year, respectively. Total wildfire risk is of the order of 10<sup>−5</sup> to 10<sup>−4</sup> events/year</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>This methodology offers a comprehensive interpretation of wildfire risk that considers both wildfire likelihood and consequences.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>The methodology is an interesting tool for quantitatively assessing wildfire risk of critical infrastructure and risk mitigation measures.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140596638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The post-fire recovery of soil microbes is critical for ecological conservation, yet the mechanisms behind it are not well understood.
Aim
In this study, we examined the recovery patterns of culturable soil microbes following a fire.
Methods
A field experiment was conducted in which a forest soil was subjected to surface fire, and the culturable microbial biomass and soil physicochemical characteristics were evaluated 1 day after the fire, and subsequently every 10 days for 90 days.
Key results
Microbial biomass significantly reduced post-fire, with varying effects across microbial taxa and soil layers. The recovery patterns of microbial biomass at topsoil (0–10 cm) and subsoil (10–20 cm), and among different microbial taxa were also different and were determined by the residual microbiomes. Heat released during a fire (the combination of heat duration and temperature reached during treatment) was significantly related to the decrease and recovery of microbial biomass, whereas there was no relationship between soil physicochemical properties and microbial biomass recovery.
Conclusions
Soil microbial biomass recovered quickly post-fire, which can be mainly due to the rapid attenuation of heat along the soil profile. Heat released during fire was the key factor determining the residual biomass, and the residual microbiomes determined the recovery patterns of the various taxa that comprise the culturable microbial biomass.
Implications
Due to the complexity of natural fire, simulated fire experiment and systematic sampling based on space (soil profile) and time are crucial to investigate the dynamics of soil microbes post-fire.
{"title":"Heat input determines the response and rapid recovery of post-fire soil microbial biomass","authors":"Rong She, Rong She, Jing-Chao Li, Jing-Chao Li, Xin Zhang, Xin Zhang, Yao-Quan Yang, Yao-Quan Yang, Fa-Ping Zhou, Fa-Ping Zhou, Davide Fornacca, Davide Fornacca, Xiao-Yan Yang, Xiao-Yan Yang, Wen Xiao, Wen Xiao","doi":"10.1071/wf23095","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23095","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>The post-fire recovery of soil microbes is critical for ecological conservation, yet the mechanisms behind it are not well understood.</p><strong> Aim</strong><p>In this study, we examined the recovery patterns of culturable soil microbes following a fire.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>A field experiment was conducted in which a forest soil was subjected to surface fire, and the culturable microbial biomass and soil physicochemical characteristics were evaluated 1 day after the fire, and subsequently every 10 days for 90 days.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>Microbial biomass significantly reduced post-fire, with varying effects across microbial taxa and soil layers. The recovery patterns of microbial biomass at topsoil (0–10 cm) and subsoil (10–20 cm), and among different microbial taxa were also different and were determined by the residual microbiomes. Heat released during a fire (the combination of heat duration and temperature reached during treatment) was significantly related to the decrease and recovery of microbial biomass, whereas there was no relationship between soil physicochemical properties and microbial biomass recovery.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>Soil microbial biomass recovered quickly post-fire, which can be mainly due to the rapid attenuation of heat along the soil profile. Heat released during fire was the key factor determining the residual biomass, and the residual microbiomes determined the recovery patterns of the various taxa that comprise the culturable microbial biomass.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>Due to the complexity of natural fire, simulated fire experiment and systematic sampling based on space (soil profile) and time are crucial to investigate the dynamics of soil microbes post-fire.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140596748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Neil P. Lareau, Craig B. Clements, Adam Kochanski, Taylor Aydell, Andrew T. Hudak, T. Ryan McCarley, Roger Ottmar
Background
There is an ongoing need for improved understanding of wildfire plume dynamics.
Aims
To improve process-level understanding of wildfire plume dynamics including strong (>10 m s−1) fire-generated winds and pyrocumulus (pyroCu) development.
Methods
Ka-band Doppler radar and two Doppler lidars were used to quantify plume dynamics during a high-intensity prescribed fire and airborne laser scanning (ALS) to quantify the fuel consumption.
Key results
We document the development of a strongly rotating (>10 m s−1) pyroCu-topped plume reaching 10 km. Plume rotation develops during merging of discrete plume elements and is characterised by inflow and rotational winds an order of magnitude stronger than the ambient flow. Deep pyroCu is initiated after a sequence of plume-deepening events that push the plume top above its condensation level. The pyroCu exhibits a strong central updraft (~35 m s−1) flanked by mechanically and evaporative forced downdrafts. The downdrafts do not reach the surface and have no impact on fire behaviour. ALS data show plume development is linked to large fuel consumption (~20 kg m−2).
Conclusions
Interactions between discrete plume elements contributed to plume rotation and large fuel consumption led to strong updrafts triggering deep pyroCu.
Implications
These results identify conditions conducive to strong plume rotation and deep pyroCu initiation.
背景需要不断加深对野火羽流动力学的了解。目的提高对野火烟羽动态的过程级了解,包括火灾产生的强风(10 m s-1)和火积云(pyroCu)的发展。方法使用 Ka 波段多普勒雷达和两个多普勒激光雷达来量化高强度规定火灾期间的烟羽动态,并使用机载激光扫描 (ALS) 来量化燃料消耗。主要结果我们记录了一个强旋转(10 m s-1)的火铜顶烟羽的发展过程,其高度达到 10 km。羽流旋转是在离散羽流元素合并过程中形成的,其特征是流入风和旋转风比环境流强一个数量级。一连串的羽流加深事件将羽流顶部推高到其凝结水平之上,深层热核就是在这些事件之后开始的。深层热核呈现出强烈的中央上升气流(~35 m s-1),两侧是机械和蒸发强迫下沉气流。下沉气流没有到达地表,对火灾行为没有影响。ALS 数据显示,烟羽的发展与大量燃料消耗(约 20 kg m-2)有关。结论离散烟羽元素之间的相互作用促成了烟羽旋转,而大量燃料消耗则导致强劲的上升气流引发了深层热核。影响这些结果确定了有利于强羽流旋转和深层火成铜启动的条件。
{"title":"Observations of a rotating pyroconvective plume","authors":"Neil P. Lareau, Craig B. Clements, Adam Kochanski, Taylor Aydell, Andrew T. Hudak, T. Ryan McCarley, Roger Ottmar","doi":"10.1071/wf23045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23045","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>There is an ongoing need for improved understanding of wildfire plume dynamics.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>To improve process-level understanding of wildfire plume dynamics including strong (>10 m s<sup>−1</sup>) fire-generated winds and pyrocumulus (pyroCu) development.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>Ka-band Doppler radar and two Doppler lidars were used to quantify plume dynamics during a high-intensity prescribed fire and airborne laser scanning (ALS) to quantify the fuel consumption.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>We document the development of a strongly rotating (>10 m s<sup>−1</sup>) pyroCu-topped plume reaching 10 km. Plume rotation develops during merging of discrete plume elements and is characterised by inflow and rotational winds an order of magnitude stronger than the ambient flow. Deep pyroCu is initiated after a sequence of plume-deepening events that push the plume top above its condensation level. The pyroCu exhibits a strong central updraft (~35 m s<sup>−1</sup>) flanked by mechanically and evaporative forced downdrafts. The downdrafts do not reach the surface and have no impact on fire behaviour. ALS data show plume development is linked to large fuel consumption (~20 kg m<sup>−2</sup>).</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>Interactions between discrete plume elements contributed to plume rotation and large fuel consumption led to strong updrafts triggering deep pyroCu.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>These results identify conditions conducive to strong plume rotation and deep pyroCu initiation.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"43 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140322514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Emma C. Underwood, Charlie C. Schrader-Patton, Allan D. Hollander
Background
Wildfires in Mediterranean-type climate regions have numerous impacts on the ecosystem services provided by native shrublands, however, quantifying these impacts is challenging.
Aims
We developed a reproducible method to quantify fire impacts on ecosystem services and created a tool for resource managers in southern California.
Methods
The SoCal EcoServe tool consists of two components: a desktop tool and an online mapping tool. We used the Alisal Fire of 2021 as a case study and quantified: aboveground live carbon storage using pre- and post-fire biomass data; water runoff, groundwater recharge and sediment erosion retention by integrating data on burn severity into hydrological and sediment erosion models; and estimated recreation services and biodiversity using pre-fire data.
Key results
We estimated the Alisal Fire resulted in an immediate post-fire reduction in carbon storage of 25%, of which 20% was estimated to be permanently lost. Water runoff increased by 21%, groundwater recharge 7-fold, and sediment erosion increased 24-fold.
Conclusions
The EcoServe tool provides an initial approximation of wildfire impacts that can support damage assessments post-fire, track carbon storage and help identify priorities for post-fire restoration.
Implications
We intend the tool to be used by USDA Forest Service resource managers of shurblands in southern California. However, it can provide the framework for future work in shrublands throughout the western USA.
{"title":"SoCal EcoServe: an online mapping tool to estimate wildfire impacts in southern California","authors":"Emma C. Underwood, Charlie C. Schrader-Patton, Allan D. Hollander","doi":"10.1071/wf23033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23033","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>Wildfires in Mediterranean-type climate regions have numerous impacts on the ecosystem services provided by native shrublands, however, quantifying these impacts is challenging.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>We developed a reproducible method to quantify fire impacts on ecosystem services and created a tool for resource managers in southern California.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>The SoCal EcoServe tool consists of two components: a desktop tool and an online mapping tool. We used the Alisal Fire of 2021 as a case study and quantified: aboveground live carbon storage using pre- and post-fire biomass data; water runoff, groundwater recharge and sediment erosion retention by integrating data on burn severity into hydrological and sediment erosion models; and estimated recreation services and biodiversity using pre-fire data.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>We estimated the Alisal Fire resulted in an immediate post-fire reduction in carbon storage of 25%, of which 20% was estimated to be permanently lost. Water runoff increased by 21%, groundwater recharge 7-fold, and sediment erosion increased 24-fold.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>The EcoServe tool provides an initial approximation of wildfire impacts that can support damage assessments post-fire, track carbon storage and help identify priorities for post-fire restoration.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>We intend the tool to be used by USDA Forest Service resource managers of shurblands in southern California. However, it can provide the framework for future work in shrublands throughout the western USA.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140322461","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sunniva Bloem, Alison C. Cullen, John T. Abatzoglou, Linda O. Mearns, Erin Belval
Background
The rising occurrence of simultaneous large wildfires has put strain on United States national fire management capacity leading to increasing reliance on assistance from partner nations abroad. However, limited analysis exists on international resource-sharing patterns and the factors influencing when resources are requested and deployed.
Aims
This study examines the drivers of international fire management ground and overhead personnel deployed to the United States.
Methods
Using descriptive statistics and case examples data from 2008 to 2020, this study investigates the conditions under which international personnel are deployed to the United States and their relationship to domestic resource strain. Factors such as fire weather, fire simultaneity, and the impact on people and structures are analysed as potential drivers of demand for international resources. Additionally, barriers to resource sharing, including overlapping fire seasons between countries are examined.
Key results
The findings indicate that international personnel sharing is more likely when the United States reaches higher preparedness levels, experiences larger area burned, and when fires pose a greater impact on people and structures. However, overlapping fire seasons can limit the ability to share resources with partner nations.
Conclusions and implications
Understanding the factors influencing resource sharing can help improve collaboration efforts and enhance preparedness for future wildfire seasons.
{"title":"Drivers of international fire management personnel deployed to the United States","authors":"Sunniva Bloem, Alison C. Cullen, John T. Abatzoglou, Linda O. Mearns, Erin Belval","doi":"10.1071/wf23093","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23093","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>The rising occurrence of simultaneous large wildfires has put strain on United States national fire management capacity leading to increasing reliance on assistance from partner nations abroad. However, limited analysis exists on international resource-sharing patterns and the factors influencing when resources are requested and deployed.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>This study examines the drivers of international fire management ground and overhead personnel deployed to the United States.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>Using descriptive statistics and case examples data from 2008 to 2020, this study investigates the conditions under which international personnel are deployed to the United States and their relationship to domestic resource strain. Factors such as fire weather, fire simultaneity, and the impact on people and structures are analysed as potential drivers of demand for international resources. Additionally, barriers to resource sharing, including overlapping fire seasons between countries are examined.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>The findings indicate that international personnel sharing is more likely when the United States reaches higher preparedness levels, experiences larger area burned, and when fires pose a greater impact on people and structures. However, overlapping fire seasons can limit the ability to share resources with partner nations.</p><strong> Conclusions and implications</strong><p>Understanding the factors influencing resource sharing can help improve collaboration efforts and enhance preparedness for future wildfire seasons.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"72 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140147674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
When firefighters evacuate from wildfires, escape routes are crucial safety measures, providing pre-defined pathways to a safety zone. Their key evaluation criterion is the time it takes for firefighters to travel along the planned escape routes.
Aims
While shorter travel times can help firefighters reach safety zones faster, this may expose them to the threat of wildfires. Therefore, the safety of the routes must be considered.
Methods
We introduced a new evaluation indicator called the safety index by predicting the growth trend of wildfires. We then proposed a comprehensive evaluation cost function as an escape route planning model, which includes two factors: (1) travel time; and (2) safety of the escape route. The relationship between the two factors is dynamically adjusted through real time factor. The safety window within real time factor provides ideal safety margins between firefighters and wildfires, ensuring the overall safety of escape routes.
Key results
Compared with other models, the escape routes planned by the final improved model not only effectively avoid wildfires, but also provide relatively short travel time and reliable safety.
Conclusions
This study ensures sufficient safety margins for firefighters escaping in wildfire environments.
Implications
The escape route model described in this study offers a broader perspective on the study of escape route planning.
{"title":"An escape route planning model based on wildfire prediction information and travel rate of firefighters","authors":"Junhao Sheng, Xingdong Li, Xinyu Wang, Yangwei Wang, Sanping Li, Dandan Li, Shufa Sun, Lijun Zhao","doi":"10.1071/wf23166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23166","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>When firefighters evacuate from wildfires, escape routes are crucial safety measures, providing pre-defined pathways to a safety zone. Their key evaluation criterion is the time it takes for firefighters to travel along the planned escape routes.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>While shorter travel times can help firefighters reach safety zones faster, this may expose them to the threat of wildfires. Therefore, the safety of the routes must be considered.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>We introduced a new evaluation indicator called the safety index by predicting the growth trend of wildfires. We then proposed a comprehensive evaluation cost function as an escape route planning model, which includes two factors: (1) travel time; and (2) safety of the escape route. The relationship between the two factors is dynamically adjusted through real time factor. The safety window within real time factor provides ideal safety margins between firefighters and wildfires, ensuring the overall safety of escape routes.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>Compared with other models, the escape routes planned by the final improved model not only effectively avoid wildfires, but also provide relatively short travel time and reliable safety.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>This study ensures sufficient safety margins for firefighters escaping in wildfire environments.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>The escape route model described in this study offers a broader perspective on the study of escape route planning.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"102 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140054850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Florencia Tiribelli, Juan Paritsis, Iván Barberá, Thomas Kitzberger
Background
Fire regimes in many biomass-rich ecosystems worldwide are dominated by high-severity fires. Many of these systems lack fire-resistant traits or post-fire regeneration strategies. Understanding under which environmental and weather conditions they experience less severe fire is crucial for maintaining their persistence in the landscape.
Aims
Understand the spatial and temporal conditions that allow burn severity attenuation across Patagonia’s productivity gradient.
Methods
We modelled burn severity as a function of topography, weather, vegetation and productivity.
Key results
Low severity was a rare phenomenon, affecting only 8% of the areas burned. The probability of burning with high severity followed a hump-shaped relationship with productivity. Low severity occurred in fires that burned under cool and wet summer conditions in areas with sparser fuels or in wetter and more productive environments but with discontinuous and wet fuels.
Conclusions
Across the regional gradient, ecosystems of intermediate productivity generally lack conditions for low burn severity. Temporally, low burn severity occurs in smaller fires burning in productive ecosystems during cool and wet summers.
Implications
Future climate scenarios of increasing aridity and temperature in the region will disfavour conditions for low burn severity, thus promoting fire-mediated transitions from forests to alternative states dominated by more fire-adapted flammable species (e.g. shrublands).
{"title":"Spatial and temporal opportunities for forest resilience promoted by burn severity attenuation across a productivity gradient in north western Patagonia","authors":"Florencia Tiribelli, Juan Paritsis, Iván Barberá, Thomas Kitzberger","doi":"10.1071/wf23098","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23098","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>Fire regimes in many biomass-rich ecosystems worldwide are dominated by high-severity fires. Many of these systems lack fire-resistant traits or post-fire regeneration strategies. Understanding under which environmental and weather conditions they experience less severe fire is crucial for maintaining their persistence in the landscape.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>Understand the spatial and temporal conditions that allow burn severity attenuation across Patagonia’s productivity gradient.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>We modelled burn severity as a function of topography, weather, vegetation and productivity.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>Low severity was a rare phenomenon, affecting only 8% of the areas burned. The probability of burning with high severity followed a hump-shaped relationship with productivity. Low severity occurred in fires that burned under cool and wet summer conditions in areas with sparser fuels or in wetter and more productive environments but with discontinuous and wet fuels.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>Across the regional gradient, ecosystems of intermediate productivity generally lack conditions for low burn severity. Temporally, low burn severity occurs in smaller fires burning in productive ecosystems during cool and wet summers.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>Future climate scenarios of increasing aridity and temperature in the region will disfavour conditions for low burn severity, thus promoting fire-mediated transitions from forests to alternative states dominated by more fire-adapted flammable species (e.g. shrublands).</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139689322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Philip Gibbons, Dejan Stojanovic, David B. Lindenmayer, Giselle Owens
Background
Many species use hollows or cavities that form in trees. The effect of an increasing fire frequency on hollow-bearing trees is unclear.
Aims
To predict the effects of increasing fire frequency on the abundance of hollow-bearing trees and identify how to make forests more resilient to these changes.
Methods
We simulated how increasing fire frequency will affect the abundance of hollow-bearing trees in forests of south-eastern Australia and conducted a sensitivity analysis to identify which variables affect these predictions.
Key results
Other things being equal, we found a negative relationship between the number of hollow-bearing trees and increasing fire frequency. However, we identified scenarios where the number of hollow-bearing trees remained stable, or increased, with frequent fires.
Conclusions
Hollow-bearing trees will decline where frequent fires co-occur with high rates at which trees collapse (or are removed) and/or where there are not a sufficient number of suitable mature trees in which new hollows can be excavated by fire.
Implications
The impact of increasing fire frequency on hollow-dependent fauna is likely to be greatest in forests where regeneration is inhibited, a large number of trees are removed before they form hollows, and/or where rates of collapse among trees is elevated.
{"title":"Impacts of changing fire regimes on hollow-bearing trees in south-eastern Australia","authors":"Philip Gibbons, Dejan Stojanovic, David B. Lindenmayer, Giselle Owens","doi":"10.1071/wf23094","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23094","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>Many species use hollows or cavities that form in trees. The effect of an increasing fire frequency on hollow-bearing trees is unclear.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>To predict the effects of increasing fire frequency on the abundance of hollow-bearing trees and identify how to make forests more resilient to these changes.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>We simulated how increasing fire frequency will affect the abundance of hollow-bearing trees in forests of south-eastern Australia and conducted a sensitivity analysis to identify which variables affect these predictions.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>Other things being equal, we found a negative relationship between the number of hollow-bearing trees and increasing fire frequency. However, we identified scenarios where the number of hollow-bearing trees remained stable, or increased, with frequent fires.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>Hollow-bearing trees will decline where frequent fires co-occur with high rates at which trees collapse (or are removed) and/or where there are not a sufficient number of suitable mature trees in which new hollows can be excavated by fire.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>The impact of increasing fire frequency on hollow-dependent fauna is likely to be greatest in forests where regeneration is inhibited, a large number of trees are removed before they form hollows, and/or where rates of collapse among trees is elevated.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139689537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}