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Limited availability of health risk communication related to community smoke exposure from prescribed burns in the United States: a review 与美国社区规定焚烧产生的烟雾暴露有关的健康风险宣传有限:综述
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1071/wf23158
Margaux Joe, Adrienne Cocci, Chioma Ihekweazu, Olorunfemi Adetona, Anna Adetona, Tanya Maslak, Luke P. Naeher

Prescribed burns are used to maintain wildland ecosystems and decrease fuel loads and associated wildfire hazard. Prescribed burns may produce enough smoke to cause adverse health outcomes. The aim of this review is to understand what communication materials exist for disseminating health risk information related to prescribed burn smoke and challenges to developing such communication. We examined United States peer-reviewed literature from PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases and conducted an environmental scan of grey literature including materials from federal, and several US state and local governments, organisations, and newspapers. While 63% of the included peer-reviewed literature focuses on wildfire health risk communication, the review suggests similar methods and messages can be adapted for prescribed burns. The environmental scan review indicates effective strategies use several communication modes, and reliable and timely messaging. There are state regulations for prescribed burn notification, but these do not require communication or education of health risks associated with smoke exposure. Smoke management guidelines often contain information about prescribed burn health risks, but these do not discuss health risk education. Opportunities to expand effective health risk communication include improving inconsistent messaging and inter-agency collaborations, and increasing public interactions, especially with vulnerable populations.

规定焚烧用于维护荒地生态系统,减少燃料负荷和相关的野火危险。规定的焚烧可能会产生足以导致不良健康后果的烟雾。本综述旨在了解现有哪些传播材料可用于传播与规定的焚烧烟雾有关的健康风险信息,以及发展此类传播所面临的挑战。我们研究了来自 PubMed、Scopus 和 Web of Science 数据库的美国同行评议文献,并对灰色文献进行了环境扫描,包括来自联邦、美国一些州和地方政府、组织和报纸的资料。虽然 63% 的同行评审文献侧重于野火健康风险交流,但审查表明,类似的方法和信息也可适用于规定的烧荒。环境扫描审查表明,有效的策略可以使用多种沟通模式,并及时可靠地传递信息。各州都有关于规定焚烧通知的法规,但这些法规并不要求进行与烟雾暴露相关的健康风险沟通或教育。烟雾管理指南通常包含有关规定焚烧健康风险的信息,但这些指南并未讨论健康风险教育。扩大有效健康风险沟通的机会包括改进不一致的信息传递和机构间合作,以及增加公众互动,尤其是与弱势群体的互动。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing gas composition from fast pyrolysis of live foliage measured in bench-scale and fire-scale experiments 比较在工作台规模实验和火灾规模实验中测量到的活树叶快速热解产生的气体成分
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1071/wf23200
David R. Weise, Thomas H. Fletcher, Timothy J. Johnson, Wei Min Hao, Mark Dietenberger, Marko Princevac, Bret W. Butler, Sara S. McAllister, Joseph J. O’Brien, E. Louise Loudermilk, Roger D. Ottmar, Andrew T. Hudak, Akira Kato, Babak Shotorban, Shankar Mahalingam, Tanya L. Myers, Javier Palarea-Albaladejo, Stephen P. Baker
Background

Fire models have used pyrolysis data from oxidising and non-oxidising environments for flaming combustion. In wildland fires pyrolysis, flaming and smouldering combustion typically occur in an oxidising environment (the atmosphere).

Aims

Using compositional data analysis methods, determine if the composition of pyrolysis gases measured in non-oxidising and ambient (oxidising) atmospheric conditions were similar. 

Methods

Permanent gases and tars were measured in a fuel-rich (non-oxidising) environment in a flat flame burner (FFB). Permanent and light hydrocarbon gases were measured for the same fuels heated by a fire flame in ambient atmospheric conditions (oxidising environment). Log-ratio balances of the measured gases common to both environments (CO, CO2, CH4, H2, C6H6O (phenol), and other gases) were examined by principal components analysis (PCA), canonical discriminant analysis (CDA) and permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA).

Key results

Mean composition changed between the non-oxidising and ambient atmosphere samples. PCA showed that flat flame burner (FFB) samples were tightly clustered and distinct from the ambient atmosphere samples. CDA found that the difference between environments was defined by the CO-CO2 log-ratio balance. PERMANOVA and pairwise comparisons found FFB samples differed from the ambient atmosphere samples which did not differ from each other.

Conclusion

Relative composition of these pyrolysis gases differed between the oxidising and non-oxidising environments. This comparison was one of the first comparisons made between bench-scale and field scale pyrolysis measurements using compositional data analysis.

Implications

These results indicate the need for more fundamental research on the early time-dependent pyrolysis of vegetation in the presence of oxygen.

背景火灾模型使用氧化和非氧化环境中的火焰燃烧热解数据。在野外火灾中,热解、火焰燃烧和烟熏燃烧通常发生在氧化环境(大气)中。目的利用成分数据分析方法,确定在非氧化和环境(氧化)大气条件下测量的热解气体成分是否相似。 方法在平焰燃烧器(FFB)中富燃料(非氧化)环境下测量永久气体和焦油。在环境大气条件(氧化环境)下,用火焰加热相同的燃料,测量永久气体和轻烃气体。通过主成分分析 (PCA)、典型判别分析 (CDA) 和包络多变量方差分析 (PERMANOVA),对两种环境中常见的测量气体(CO、CO2、CH4、H2、C6H6O(苯酚)和其他气体)的对数比平衡进行了研究。主要结果 非氧化样品和环境气氛样品的平均成分发生了变化。PCA 显示,平焰燃烧器 (FFB) 样品聚类紧密,与环境气氛样品截然不同。CDA 发现,环境之间的差异是由 CO-CO2 对数比平衡决定的。PERMANOVA 和成对比较发现,焚烧炉样品与环境空气样品之间存在差异,而环境空气样品与焚烧炉样品之间没有差异。结论这些热解气体的相对组成在氧化环境和非氧化环境中有所不同。这是首次利用成分数据分析对工作台规模和现场规模的热解测量结果进行比较。这些结果表明,有必要对植被在氧气存在下的早期随时间变化的热解进行更多的基础研究。
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引用次数: 0
Pre-fire assessment of post-fire debris-flow hazards in the Santa Fe Municipal Watershed 圣达菲市流域火灾前对火灾后泥石流危害的评估
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1071/wf23065
Manuel Lopez, Ellis Margolis, Anne Tillery, Steve Bassett, Alan Hook
Background

Wildfires are increasing in size and severity due to climate change combined with overstocked forests. Fire increases the likelihood of debris flows, posing significant threats to life, property, and water supplies.

Aims

We conducted a debris-flow hazard assessment of the Santa Fe Municipal Watershed (SFMW) to answer two questions: (1) where are debris flows most likely to occur; and (2) how much debris might they produce? We also document the influence of fuel treatments on fire severity and debris flows.

Methods

We modelled post-fire debris-flow likelihood and volume in 103 sub-basins for 2-year, 5-year, and Probable Maximum Precipitation rainfalls following modelled low-, moderate-, and high-severity wildfires.

Key results

Post-fire debris-flow likelihoods were >90% in all but the lowest fire and rain scenarios. Sub-basins with fuel treatments had the lowest burn severities, debris-flow likelihoods, and sediment volumes, but treatment effects decreased with increased fire severity and rain intensity.

Conclusions

Post-fire debris flows with varying debris volumes are likely to occur following wildfire in the SFMW, but fuel treatments can reduce likelihood and volume.

Implications

Future post-fire debris flows will continue to threaten water supplies, but fuel reduction treatments and debris-flow mitigation provide opportunities to minimise effects.

背景由于气候变化和森林蓄积过多,野火的规模和严重程度都在不断增加。火灾增加了发生泥石流的可能性,对生命、财产和供水构成重大威胁。目的我们对圣达菲市流域(SFMW)进行了一次泥石流危害评估,以回答两个问题:(1)哪里最有可能发生泥石流;(2)泥石流可能产生多少泥石?我们还记录了燃料处理对火灾严重程度和泥石流的影响。方法我们在 103 个子流域模拟了低度、中度和高度野火发生后 2 年、5 年和可能最大降雨量的泥石流可能性和数量。主要结果 除最低火情和降雨情景外,所有其他情景下的火后泥石流可能性均为 90%。经过燃料处理的子流域的火灾严重程度、泥石流可能性和沉积物量最低,但处理效果随着火灾严重程度和降雨强度的增加而降低。结论SFMW地区野火后可能会发生泥石流,且泥石流量各不相同,但燃料处理可降低发生的可能性并减少泥石流量。影响未来的火后泥石流将继续威胁供水,但减少燃料处理和泥石流缓解措施提供了将影响降至最低的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of fire return interval on pyrogenic carbon stocks in a tropical savanna, North Queensland, Australia 澳大利亚北昆士兰热带稀树草原火灾回归间隔对热源碳储量的影响
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1071/wf24006
Jordahna Haig, Jonathan Sanderman, Costijn Zwart, Colleen Smith, Michael I. Bird
Background

Indigenous fire management in northern Australian savannas (beginning at least 11,000 years ago) involved frequent, small, cool, early dry season fires. This fire regime changed after European arrival in the late 1700s to unmanaged fires that burn larger areas, late in the dry season, detrimental to carbon stocks and biodiversity.

Aims

Test the hypothesis that significant sequestration of pyrogenic carbon in soil accompanies the reimposition of an Indigenous fire regime.

Methods

Savanna soils under the same vegetation, but with the number of fires varying from 0 to 13 (irrespective of the season) between 2000 and 2022 were sampled. Organic and pyrogenic carbon stocks as well as carbon isotope composition of the 0–5 cm soil layer were determined along sample transects with varying fire return intervals.

Key results

An average increase of 0.25 MgC ha−1 was observed in soil pyrogenic carbon stocks in transects with ≥5 fires, compared to transects with 0–4 fires, with a small increase in soil organic carbon stocks that was not significant.

Conclusions

A return to more frequent fires early in the dry season has the potential to sequester significant pyrogenic carbon in northern Australian savanna soils on decadal timescales.

背景澳大利亚北部热带稀树草原的土著火管理(至少始于 11,000 年前)包括频繁、小型、凉爽、旱季初期的火灾。在 17 世纪晚期欧洲人到来之后,这种火灾制度发生了变化,变成了在旱季晚期燃烧较大面积的无管理火灾,对碳储量和生物多样性造成了损害。目的检验土壤中热成碳的大量固碳是否伴随着本土火灾制度的重新实施这一假设。方法对 2000 年至 2022 年期间植被相同但火灾次数从 0 次到 13 次(不分季节)不等的热带草原土壤进行采样。沿火灾发生间隔不同的取样横断面测定了 0-5 厘米土壤层的有机碳储量、热原碳储量和碳同位素组成。主要结果 与火灾发生次数为 0-4 次的样带相比,火灾发生次数≥5 次的样带土壤热原碳储量平均增加了 0.25 兆碳公顷-1,土壤有机碳储量增加不多,但不显著。结论在旱季早期恢复更频繁的火灾有可能在澳大利亚北部热带稀树草原土壤中封存大量的火成碳,时间跨度可达十年。
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引用次数: 0
Climate and weather drivers in southern California Santa Ana Wind and non-Santa Wind fires 南加州圣安娜风火和非圣安娜风火的气候和天气驱动因素
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1071/wf23190
Jon E. Keeley, Michael Flannigan, Tim J. Brown, Tom Rolinski, Daniel Cayan, Alexandra D. Syphard, Janin Guzman-Morales, Alexander Gershunov
Background

Autumn and winter Santa Ana Winds (SAW) are responsible for the largest and most destructive wildfires in southern California.

Aims

(1) To contrast fires ignited on SAW days vs non-SAW days, (2) evaluate the predictive ability of the Canadian Fire Weather Index (CFWI) for these two fire types, and (3) determine climate and weather factors responsible for the largest wildfires.

Methods

CAL FIRE (California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection) FRAP (Fire and Resource Assessment Program) fire data were coupled with hourly climate data from four stations, and with regional indices of SAW wind speed, and with seasonal drought data from the Palmer Drought Severity Index.

Key results

Fires on non-SAW days were more numerous and burned more area, and were substantial from May to October. CFWI indices were tied to fire occurrence and size for both non-SAW and SAW days, and in the days following ignition. Multiple regression models for months with the greatest area burned explained up to a quarter of variation in area burned.

Conclusions

The drivers of fire size differ between non-SAW and SAW fires. The best predictor of fire size for non-SAW fires was drought during the prior 5 years, followed by a current year vapour pressure deficit. For SAW fires, wind speed followed by drought were most important.

背景秋季和冬季的圣安娜风(SAW)是南加州最大、破坏性最强的野火的罪魁祸首。目的(1)对比在圣安娜风日和非圣安娜风日点燃的火灾,(2)评估加拿大火灾天气指数(CFWI)对这两种火灾类型的预测能力,(3)确定造成最大野火的气候和天气因素。方法将加利福尼亚林业和消防局(California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection)的 FRAP(火灾和资源评估计划)火灾数据与四个站点的每小时气候数据、SAW 风速区域指数以及帕尔默干旱严重程度指数(Palmer Drought Severity Index)的季节性干旱数据相结合。主要结果非 SAW 日的火灾次数更多,燃烧面积更大,而且在 5 月至 10 月期间火势很大。CFWI 指数与非SAW 日和 SAW 日以及点火后几天的火灾发生率和火灾面积有关。燃烧面积最大的月份的多元回归模型最多可解释燃烧面积变化的四分之一。结论 非SAW 火灾和 SAW 火灾的火灾规模驱动因素各不相同。对非小水电火灾而言,预测火灾规模的最佳因素是前五年的干旱,其次是当年的蒸汽压力不足。对于小风速火灾,最重要的因素是风速,其次是干旱。
{"title":"Climate and weather drivers in southern California Santa Ana Wind and non-Santa Wind fires","authors":"Jon E. Keeley, Michael Flannigan, Tim J. Brown, Tom Rolinski, Daniel Cayan, Alexandra D. Syphard, Janin Guzman-Morales, Alexander Gershunov","doi":"10.1071/wf23190","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf23190","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>Autumn and winter Santa Ana Winds (SAW) are responsible for the largest and most destructive wildfires in southern California.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>(1) To contrast fires ignited on SAW days vs non-SAW days, (2) evaluate the predictive ability of the Canadian Fire Weather Index (CFWI) for these two fire types, and (3) determine climate and weather factors responsible for the largest wildfires.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>CAL FIRE (California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection) FRAP (Fire and Resource Assessment Program) fire data were coupled with hourly climate data from four stations, and with regional indices of SAW wind speed, and with seasonal drought data from the Palmer Drought Severity Index.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>Fires on non-SAW days were more numerous and burned more area, and were substantial from May to October. CFWI indices were tied to fire occurrence and size for both non-SAW and SAW days, and in the days following ignition. Multiple regression models for months with the greatest area burned explained up to a quarter of variation in area burned.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>The drivers of fire size differ between non-SAW and SAW fires. The best predictor of fire size for non-SAW fires was drought during the prior 5 years, followed by a current year vapour pressure deficit. For SAW fires, wind speed followed by drought were most important.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142190364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Generating fuel consumption maps on prescribed fire experiments from airborne laser scanning 通过机载激光扫描生成处方火实验燃料消耗图
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1071/wf23160
T. Ryan McCarley, Andrew T. Hudak, Benjamin C. Bright, James Cronan, Paige Eagle, Roger D. Ottmar, Adam C. Watts
Background

Characterisation of fuel consumption provides critical insights into fire behaviour, effects, and emissions. Stand-replacing prescribed fire experiments in central Utah offered an opportunity to generate consumption estimates in coordination with other research efforts.

Aims

We sought to generate fuel consumption maps using pre- and post-fire airborne laser scanning (ALS) and ground measurements and to test the spatial transferability of the ALS-derived fuel models.

Methods

Using random forest (RF), we empirically modelled fuel load and estimated consumption from pre- and post-fire differences. We used cross-validation to assess RF model performance and test spatial transferability.

Key results

Consumption estimates for overstory fuels were more precise and accurate than for subcanopy fuels. Transferring RF models to provide consumption estimates in areas without ground training data resulted in loss of precision and accuracy.

Conclusions

Fuel consumption maps were produced and are available for researchers who collected coincident fire behaviour, effects, and emissions data. The precision and accuracy of these data vary by fuel type. Transferability of the models to novel areas depends on the user’s tolerance for error.

Implications

This study fills a critical need in the broader set of research efforts linking fire behaviour, effects, and emissions.

背景燃料消耗的特征为了解火灾行为、影响和排放提供了重要依据。犹他州中部的支架置换预设火灾实验为我们提供了一个与其他研究工作协调生成燃料消耗估计值的机会。目的我们试图利用火灾前后的机载激光扫描(ALS)和地面测量来生成燃料消耗图,并测试 ALS 衍生燃料模型的空间可转移性。方法我们利用随机森林(RF)对燃料负荷进行了经验建模,并根据火灾前后的差异估算了燃料消耗量。我们使用交叉验证来评估 RF 模型的性能并测试空间可转移性。主要结果上层燃料的消耗量估计值比树冠下燃料的消耗量估计值更精确、更准确。将射频模型转移到没有地面训练数据的地区以提供消耗估算,会导致精度和准确性的损失。结论制作了燃料消耗图,并提供给收集火灾行为、影响和排放数据的研究人员。这些数据的精度和准确性因燃料类型而异。能否将模型应用到新的地区取决于用户对误差的容忍度。影响这项研究满足了将火灾行为、影响和排放联系起来的更广泛研究工作的关键需求。
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引用次数: 0
Optimising disaster response: opportunities and challenges with Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS) technology in response to the 2020 Labour Day wildfires in Oregon, USA 优化灾害响应:利用无人驾驶航空器系统 (UAS) 技术应对美国俄勒冈州 2020 年劳动节野火的机遇与挑战
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1071/wf23089
Dae Kun Kang, Erica Fischer, Michael J. Olsen, Julie A. Adams, Jarlath O’Neil-Dunne
Background

The expanding use of Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS) technology in disaster response shows its immense potential to enhance emergency management. However, there is limited documentation on the challenges and data management procedures related to UAS operation.

Aims

This manuscript documents and analyses the operational, technical, political, and social challenges encountered during the deployment of UAS, providing insights into the complexities of using these technologies in disaster situations.

Methods

This manuscript documents and analyses the operational, technical, political, and social challenges encountered during the deployment of UAS, providing insights into the complexities of using these technologies in disaster situations.

Key results

UAS technology plays a significant role in search and rescue, reconnaissance, mapping, and damage assessment, alongside notable challenges such as extreme flying conditions, data processing difficulties, and airspace authorisation complexities.

Conclusions

The study concludes with the need for updated infrastructure standards, streamlined policies, and better coordination between technological advancements and political processes, emphasising the necessity for reform to enhance disaster response capabilities.

Implications

The findings of this study inform future guidelines for the effective and safe use of UAS in disaster situations, advocating for a bridge between state-of-the-art UAS research and its practical application in emergency response.

背景无人驾驶航空器系统(UAS)技术在灾害响应中的应用不断扩大,显示出其在加强应急管理方面的巨大潜力。然而,有关无人机系统运行所面临的挑战和数据管理程序的文献资料十分有限。目的 本手稿记录并分析了在部署无人机系统过程中遇到的操作、技术、政治和社会挑战,让人们深入了解在灾害情况下使用这些技术的复杂性。方法本手稿记录并分析了在部署无人机系统过程中遇到的操作、技术、政治和社会挑战,为在灾害情况下使用这些技术的复杂性提供了见解。主要成果无人机系统技术在搜索和救援、侦察、绘图和损害评估方面发挥着重要作用,同时也面临着极端飞行条件、数据处理困难和空域授权复杂性等显著挑战。结论本研究得出结论,需要更新基础设施标准、简化政策以及更好地协调技术进步和政治进程,强调了改革以提高灾害响应能力的必要性。启示本研究的结果为今后在灾害情况下有效、安全地使用无人机系统提供了指导,倡导在最先进的无人机系统研究和其在应急响应中的实际应用之间架起一座桥梁。
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引用次数: 0
Compiling historical descriptions of past Indigenous cultural burning: a dataset for the eastern United States 汇编过去土著文化焚烧的历史描述:美国东部数据集
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1071/wf24029
Stephen J. Tulowiecki
Background

The extent of past Indigenous cultural burning in the eastern US remains contested. Historical documents (e.g. early histories, journals, and reports) contain descriptions of burning. Scholars have summarised descriptions, but few have compiled them into databases.

Aims

This paper presents efforts to compile descriptions of past Indigenous burning in the eastern US and early results from mapped descriptions.

Methods

Utilising previously cited descriptions and those discovered from digitised historical texts, the current dataset mapped >250 descriptions of burning in the northeastern US. Most were historical summaries from 19th century authors, and fewer were firsthand observations. Descriptions are currently shared as a GIS data layer, a tabular file, and an interactive web map.

Key results

Descriptions correspond with fire-adapted vegetation, and clusters of descriptions suggest burning over large extents (e.g. southern New England, western New York). Estimated dates of burning or initial Euro-American settlement show an east–west succession in Indigenous fire exclusion and replacement with early Euro-American burning.

Conclusions

Historical descriptions suggest regional-extent influence of Indigenous burning upon past forested ecosystems, but the veracity of descriptions should be carefully evaluated.

Implications

This study provides a dataset for further examination of Indigenous burning and comparison with other methodologies for historical cultural fire reconstruction.

背景美国东部过去土著文化焚烧的程度仍有争议。历史文献(如早期历史、期刊和报告)中有关于焚烧的描述。学者们对这些描述进行了总结,但很少有人将其汇编成数据库。目的本文介绍了对美国东部过去土著人焚烧的描述进行汇编的工作以及绘制描述图的早期结果。方法利用以前引用过的描述和从数字化历史文本中发现的描述,当前的数据集绘制了美国东北部 250 处焚烧描述。其中大部分是 19 世纪作者的历史总结,较少是第一手观察资料。描述目前以 GIS 数据层、表格文件和交互式网络地图的形式共享。主要结果描述与适应火灾的植被相对应,成群的描述表明燃烧范围很大(如新英格兰南部、纽约西部)。焚烧或欧美人最初定居的估计日期显示,土著人被火排斥后,东西向的焚烧被早期欧美人的焚烧所取代。结论历史描述表明,土著人的焚烧对过去的森林生态系统产生了区域范围的影响,但应仔细评估描述的真实性。意义本研究提供了一个数据集,可用于进一步研究土著人的燃烧情况,并与其他历史文化火灾重建方法进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
Characterising ignition precursors associated with high levels of deployment of wildland fire personnel 确定与大量部署野外消防人员有关的点火前兆的特征
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1071/wf23182
Alison C. Cullen, Brian R. Goldgeier, Erin Belval, John T. Abatzoglou
Background

As fire seasons in the Western US intensify and lengthen, fire managers have been grappling with increases in simultaneous, significant incidents that compete for response resources and strain capacity of the current system.

Aims

To address this challenge, we explore a key research question: what precursors are associated with ignitions that evolve into incidents requiring high levels of response personnel?

Methods

We develop statistical models linking human, fire weather and fuels related factors with cumulative and peak personnel deployed.

Key results

Our analysis generates statistically significant models for personnel deployment based on precursors observable at the time and place of ignition.

Conclusions

We find that significant precursors for fire suppression resource deployment are location, fire weather, canopy cover, Wildland–Urban Interface category, and history of past fire. These results align partially with, but are distinct from, results of earlier research modelling expenditures related to suppression which include precursors such as total burned area which become observable only after an incident.

Implications

Understanding factors associated with both the natural system and the human system of decision-making that accompany high deployment fires supports holistic risk management given increasing simultaneity of ignitions and competition for resources for both fuel treatment and wildfire response.

背景随着美国西部火灾季节的加剧和延长,火灾管理者一直在努力解决同时发生的重大事件增多的问题,这些事件会争夺响应资源,并使当前系统的能力不堪重负。目的为了应对这一挑战,我们探讨了一个关键的研究问题:哪些前兆与演变成需要大量响应人员的事件的点火有关?方法我们建立了统计模型,将人类、火灾天气和燃料相关因素与累计和峰值人员部署联系起来。主要结果我们的分析根据点火时间和地点可观察到的前兆,为人员部署建立了具有统计意义的模型。结论我们发现,灭火资源部署的重要前兆是地点、火灾天气、树冠覆盖、荒地-城市界面类别以及过去的火灾历史。这些结果与早先的灭火支出建模研究结果部分吻合,但又有所不同,因为早先的灭火支出建模研究包括总烧毁面积等前兆因素,而这些因素只有在事件发生后才能观察到。意义了解伴随着高部署火灾的自然系统和人类决策系统的相关因素有助于进行全面的风险管理,因为同时发生的火灾越来越多,而且燃料处理和野火响应都需要争夺资源。
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引用次数: 0
From flexibility to feasibility: identifying the policy conditions that support the management of wildfire for objectives other than full suppression 从灵活性到可行性:确定支持野火管理的政策条件,以实现全面扑灭以外的目标
IF 3.1 3区 农林科学 Q1 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1071/wf24031
Scott T. Franz, Melanie M. Colavito, Catrin M. Edgeley
Background

Intentional management of naturally ignited wildfires has emerged as a valuable tool for addressing the social and ecological consequences of a century of fire exclusion in policy and practice. Policy in the United States now allows wildfires to be managed for suppression and other than full suppression (OTFS) objectives simultaneously, giving flexibility to local decision makers.

Aims

To extend existing research on the history of wildfire management, investigate how wildfire professionals interpret current policy with respect to OTFS management, and better understand how they translate policy into implementation.

Methods

Interviews were conducted in south-west United States with wildfire professionals to explore policy’s impact on OTFS management.

Key results

Respondents reported that while flexible federal policy and interagency guidance was important, suitable landscape conditions, organisational capacity, support from national and regional leadership, updated management plans, increased monitoring capacity, and adequate performance measures also influence the decision to use OTFS strategies.

Conclusions

Translating flexible options into feasible operations requires aligning many layers of policy and people using proactive, collaborative, ongoing preparation.

Implications

Our research may prompt targeted discussions between management agencies and policymakers to determine how to best support successful management of wildfires OTFS.

背景自然点燃的野火的有意管理已成为一种有价值的工具,可用于解决一个世纪以来政策和实践中排斥火灾所造成的社会和生态后果。美国的政策现在允许同时为灭火和非完全灭火(OTFS)目标对野火进行管理,从而为地方决策者提供了灵活性。目的扩展现有的野火管理历史研究,调查野火专业人员如何解释有关 OTFS 管理的现行政策,并更好地了解他们如何将政策转化为实施。方法在美国西南部对野火专业人员进行访谈,探讨政策对野外火场管理的影响。主要结果受访者表示,虽然灵活的联邦政策和机构间指导非常重要,但合适的地貌条件、组织能力、国家和地区领导的支持、更新的管理计划、增强的监测能力以及充分的绩效衡量标准也会影响使用 OTFS 战略的决策。结论要将灵活的选择转化为可行的行动,需要利用积极主动、协作和持续的准备工作,将多层次的政策和人员结合起来。启示我们的研究可能会促使管理机构和政策制定者之间进行有针对性的讨论,以确定如何最好地支持成功的野火 OTFS 管理。
{"title":"From flexibility to feasibility: identifying the policy conditions that support the management of wildfire for objectives other than full suppression","authors":"Scott T. Franz, Melanie M. Colavito, Catrin M. Edgeley","doi":"10.1071/wf24031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1071/wf24031","url":null,"abstract":"<strong> Background</strong><p>Intentional management of naturally ignited wildfires has emerged as a valuable tool for addressing the social and ecological consequences of a century of fire exclusion in policy and practice. Policy in the United States now allows wildfires to be managed for suppression and other than full suppression (OTFS) objectives simultaneously, giving flexibility to local decision makers.</p><strong> Aims</strong><p>To extend existing research on the history of wildfire management, investigate how wildfire professionals interpret current policy with respect to OTFS management, and better understand how they translate policy into implementation.</p><strong> Methods</strong><p>Interviews were conducted in south-west United States with wildfire professionals to explore policy’s impact on OTFS management.</p><strong> Key results</strong><p>Respondents reported that while flexible federal policy and interagency guidance was important, suitable landscape conditions, organisational capacity, support from national and regional leadership, updated management plans, increased monitoring capacity, and adequate performance measures also influence the decision to use OTFS strategies.</p><strong> Conclusions</strong><p>Translating flexible options into feasible operations requires aligning many layers of policy and people using proactive, collaborative, ongoing preparation.</p><strong> Implications</strong><p>Our research may prompt targeted discussions between management agencies and policymakers to determine how to best support successful management of wildfires OTFS.</p>","PeriodicalId":14464,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Wildland Fire","volume":"362 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141886601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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International Journal of Wildland Fire
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