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A Study on the Impact of Housing Characteristics on Retirement Preparation: Focusing on Seoul Citizen’s Economical Preparation for Retirement 住房特征对退休准备的影响研究——以首尔市民退休经济准备为例
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2023.15.2.67
Jihyun Lee, Ji-Hyun Kim
The objectives of this study is to analyze the effects of Seoul citizens’ housing characteristics on their preparation for old age and the expected monthly living expenses after retirement. For this purpose, binary and multinomial logistic regression analysis was conducted using Seoul Survey data. The analysis results are as follows. First, it was found that the housing type, occupancy type, and residence period in which the respondent currently resides have an effect on whether or not to retire. Second, the respondents who live in their own apartments, regardless of the period of residence, expect the highest monthly living expenses after retirement. Accordingly it was confirmed that the current housing characteristics of Seoul citizens have an effect on the preparation for old age and the expected cost of living after retirement.
本研究的目的是分析首尔市民的住房特征对其养老准备和退休后每月预期生活费用的影响。为此,对首尔调查数据进行了二元和多项逻辑回归分析。分析结果如下:首先,我们发现被调查者目前居住的住房类型、占用类型和居住时间对是否退休有影响。其次,居住在自己公寓的受访者,无论居住时间长短,退休后的每月生活费预期最高。因此,有分析认为,目前首尔市民的居住特征对老年准备和退休后的生活费用产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of New Town Development Plan on Apartment Prices: Focusing on the Case of Changneung District, Goyang-si 新城市开发计划对公寓价格的影响——以高阳市昌陵地区为例
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2023.15.2.23
Y. Jung, J. Jeon
This study analyzed the effect of the announcement of new town development in Goyang Changneung district on the prices of surrounding apartments using the difference in difference model based on the Hedonic model. Research that affected the existing development of new cities in the Seoul metropolitan area was limited to the land market. Therefore, for the first time, this study analyzes the Changneung district in Goyang to analyze the impact of the new city on the surrounding apartment market. it was analyzed that the announcement had a negative effect on the price increase in the area near the Changneung district in Goyang, Seoul. On the contrary, it was analyzed that apartments located in Goyang-si had a positive effect of increasing prices unlike the Seoul influence area. Through the analysis results, it was suggested that the influence of the presentation had different effects on apartment sales prices in Seoul and Goyang, respectively.
本研究以Hedonic模型为基础,利用“差异中的差异”模型,分析了高阳市昌陵地区新城市开发公告对周边公寓价格的影响。对首都圈新城市现有开发产生影响的研究仅限于土地市场。因此,本研究首次以高阳市昌陵地区为分析对象,分析新城市对周边公寓市场的影响。有分析认为,这对首尔高阳市昌陵附近地区的价格上涨产生了负面影响。相反,据分析,与首尔地区不同,高阳市公寓的价格上涨起到了积极的作用。分析结果显示,对首尔和高阳市公寓销售价格的影响程度不同。
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引用次数: 1
Conversion, the Trend of Real Estate Development 转换,房地产发展的趋势
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2023.15.2.89
Ye-Ji Ahn, Sung-Mo Yang
‘Hillstate Beomgye Station Mobius’, which started in January 2017, is a representative case of conversion. The former Pyeongchon NC Department Store, located in the central commercial district, was converted to residential use and the development project was carried out. ‘Turn-to-Residence’, a good example of current real estate trends, serves as a manual for conversion development that will occur in the future by carefully dealing with the process of resolving problems caused by change of use. This study specifically discussed what kind of urban problems the project can contribute to and additional considerations for other uses that can achieve the effect of urban regeneration.
从2017年1月开始的“Hillstate范溪站Mobius”就是代表性的转换事例。位于中央商业区的原平村NC百货店被改造为住宅,并进行了开发工程。“Turn-to-Residence”是当前房地产趋势的一个很好的例子,通过仔细处理解决使用变化引起的问题的过程,为未来发生的转换开发提供了手册。本研究特别讨论了该项目可以解决什么样的城市问题,以及其他可以实现城市更新效果的用途的额外考虑。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Influence Factors of Auction Sale Rate of Knowledge Industry Center on the 5 District Courts in Seoul 首尔5地法院知识产业中心拍卖成交率影响因素研究
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2023.15.2.45
Myeong-Keun Jeon, Jin-Ho Choi
The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the successful bid rate targeting the Seoul-based knowledge industry center. First, based on the successful bid results of the knowledge industry center where the auction was completed in 5 courts in Seoul, multiple regression was conducted by classifying the influencing factors into auction characteristics, building characteristics, house-to-house characteristics, location characteristics, regional characteristics, and time-point characteristics. The multiple regression model was analyzed and compared with the linear model and the semilog model, respectively, and the residual scatterplot and P-P plot were tested to confirm normality. It provides implications for the auction market by analyzing the factors that affect the successful bid price of the knowledge industry center.
本研究以首尔知识产业中心为研究对象,分析影响中标率的因素。首先,以首尔5个法院拍卖完成的知识产业中心中标结果为基础,将影响因素分为拍卖特征、建筑特征、房屋特征、位置特征、区域特征、时间点特征进行多元回归分析。对多元回归模型进行分析,分别与线性模型和半对数模型进行比较,并检验残差散点图和P-P图是否符合正态性。通过分析影响知识产业中心中标价格的因素,为拍卖市场提供启示。
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引用次数: 0
An Analysis on the Successful Bid Rate of Commercial Land in Public Land Development Projects for Housing Supply 住宅供应公共土地开发项目中商业用地中标率分析
Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2023.15.2.5
Hye-Jin Cho, Hyun-seok Lee
The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the successful bid price rate of commercial facility sites in public land development projects for housing supply between southern and northern regions of Gyeonggi-do. The data are 255 lots in the southern region and 138 lots in the northern region for commercial land. Multiple regression analysis is conducted. The analysis result shows that there are distinguishing points such as floor area ratio, distance to main city center of seoul or subway station between both regions. The result of analysis show that the land, access, environmental factors that affect the winning price rate of commercial facility sites in public land development projects vary depending on the southern and northern regions of Gyeonggi-do. The southern region is most affected by the number of households in the district and The northern region is most affected by floor area ratio. In addition, the closest of distance from seoul's main city center affect both areas, but its direction appears to be reversed The implications could be used as a useful criterion for determining the price of the commercial land in new public land development projects for housing supply.
本研究的目的是比较和分析京畿道南部和北部地区住宅供应公共土地开发项目中商业设施用地的中标率。数据为南方255宗、北方138宗商业用地。进行多元回归分析。分析结果显示,两个地区在容积率、到汉城主城区中心的距离或地铁站的距离等方面存在差异。分析结果显示,影响公共土地开发事业中商业设施用地中标率的土地、通道、环境等因素在京畿道南部和北部地区有所不同。南部地区受户数影响最大,北部地区受容积率影响最大。此外,离首尔市中心最近的距离对两个地区都有影响,但其方向似乎是相反的。这一影响可以作为确定住宅供应新公共土地开发项目中商业用地价格的有用标准。
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引用次数: 0
A Panel Data Analysis of Housing Tenure Choice Decision of Millennials 千禧一代住房使用权选择决策的面板数据分析
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2022.15.1.49
Ui-Chung Jeong, Eui-chul Chung
This study examines the determinants of housing tenure choice decisions of Millennials. Using KLIPS panel data from 2014 to 2020, a correlated random effects probit model and a fixed effects logit model were estimated to control for endogeneity problem associated with time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity. Estimation results showed that net wealth, relative housing cost, marital status of household heads were major determinants of housing tenure choice decisions. Permanent income, one of key variables on the housing tenure choice, was not significant, indicating that net wealth rather than income is more important to homeownership decisions of Millennials. However, the effect of net wealth on the probability of home owning was estimated to decrease over the observation period because the increase in net wealth could not catch up with the rise of housing price. A sharp decrease of the effect of net wealth on the probability of home owning in recent years was attributable to a dramatic increase in housing price and more stringent mortgage regulations.
本研究探讨了千禧一代住房使用权选择决策的决定因素。利用2014年至2020年的KLIPS面板数据,估计了一个相关随机效应probit模型和一个固定效应logit模型来控制与时不变未观察异质性相关的内质性问题。估算结果表明,净财富、相对住房成本、户主婚姻状况是住房权属选择决策的主要决定因素。作为住房使用权选择的关键变量之一的永久收入并不显著,这表明净财富比收入对千禧一代的住房所有权决策更重要。然而,在观察期间,净财富对拥有住房概率的影响估计是下降的,因为净财富的增加跟不上房价的上涨。近年来,净财富对拥有房屋可能性的影响急剧下降,原因是房价大幅上涨和更严格的抵押贷款规定。
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引用次数: 0
POSCO E&C Gang-nam Guryong Village Development Case Study 浦项建设江南九龙村开发案例研究
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2022.15.1.109
Sang-U Park
This study was conducted to analyze the situation in which POSCO E&C failed the development project through various conflict situations while promoting the ‘Gang-nam Guryong Village’ urban development project to consider various factors and learn background knowledge related to the development project. POSCO E&C tried to develop Guryong Village, also known as “Potential Site of Gang-nam”, but it has difficulty in the progress of the project due to conflicts between residents and landlords, Gang-nam office and Seoul City Hall over the development method. In this situation, I would like to discuss what method would POSCO E&C to minimize the loss from the project and could have been considered. The purpose of this study is to consider basic questions such as “how to receive funds for the project?” and “how to proceed the project” and to understand background knowledge related to urban development projects such as “Finance through debt financing” and “Project financing (PF)”.
此次研究是为了分析浦项建设在推进“江南九龙村”城市开发项目的过程中,因各种矛盾导致开发项目失败的情况,综合考虑各种因素,学习与开发项目相关的背景知识。浦项制铁计划开发被称为“江南候选地”的九龙村,但由于居民与业主、江南厅、首尔市之间围绕开发方式的矛盾,使项目进展变得困难。在这种情况下,我想讨论一下,浦项建设应该考虑什么方法来减少项目的损失。”本研究的目的是考虑一些基本问题,如“如何获得项目的资金?”,以及“如何进行项目”,并了解“通过债务融资融资”和“项目融资(PF)”等城市发展项目的相关背景知识。
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引用次数: 0
Factors Influencing Foreigners’ Preference for Real Estate and Financial Assets Investment in Korea 外国人对韩国房地产和金融资产投资偏好的影响因素
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2022.15.1.69
Se-One Kim, Seon-Hwa Youn, Jae-Tae Kim
This study tried to examine the factors that affect the asset investment status and preference for foreigners in Korea and the differences between foreigners through empirical analysis. The survey period was conducted from March 01 to April 10, 2022, and an online and offline survey was conducted on foreigners staying at the time of the survey. For the analysis of the collected data, the SPSS 23.0 statistical package was used to verify the research task through descriptive statistics and logistic regression analysis. Foreigners have under average prospect for the Korea’s individual real estate and financial markets and investment preferences compared to their own countries and they have positive prospect for the growth of the Korean economy. Also it was found that there are differences between Asian and non-Asian groups in the factors affecting the asset investment preference of foreigners. In the case of real estate investment, the factors affecting the asset investment choice of the Asian group were more diverse. It is expected that the results of this study can be used as basic data for policy establishment and service provision for foreigners.
本研究试图通过实证分析来考察影响外国人在韩国的资产投资状况和偏好的因素以及外国人之间的差异。调查期间为2022年3月1日至4月10日,对调查时居住的外国人进行线上和线下调查。对收集到的数据进行分析,使用SPSS 23.0统计软件包,通过描述性统计和逻辑回归分析对研究任务进行验证。外国人对韩国的房地产金融市场和投资偏好的评价低于本国的平均水平,对韩国经济的增长持积极态度。研究还发现,影响外国人资产投资偏好的因素在亚洲和非亚洲群体之间存在差异。在房地产投资方面,影响亚洲群体资产投资选择的因素更为多样化。期望本研究结果可作为外籍人士政策制定及服务提供的基础资料。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Housing Market Consumer Index and Trends of Sales Price Index on the Auction Bid Price Ratio of Apartments 住房市场消费者指数和销售价格指数走势对公寓拍卖投标价格比的影响
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2022.15.1.91
Jin-Young Lim, S. Yoo, Bo-yeon Shin, E. Shin
The housing market consumer index, the trends of sales price index and the auction bid price ratio are used as indicators to judge and the real estate market. Whereas there have been several studies that analyzed the relationship between the auction bid price ratio and the housing market consumer index, studies on the trends of sales price index are insufficient. This study examined the determinants of the auction bid price ratio in apartment auctions, and through empirical analysis with the housing market consumer index and the trends of sales price index, it tried to find out how the two indices affect the real estate auction market. The study set the time scope to 6 years between January, 2015 and December, 2020 and the space scope to Gangnam-gu, Seocho-gu, and Songpa-gu of Seoul. Independent variables were set as housing market, auction, local, location, article, and time of a successful bid. The analysis method used multiple linear regression analysis using a hedonic price model. As a result of analysis, it was found that the housing market consumer index and the trends of sales price index have a positive effect on the auction bid price ratio. Moreover, the failure in bidding, the land registration, the tenants with opposing power, and the lien have a negative effect on the auction bid price ratio, and the number of bidders has a positive effect on the auction bid price ratio. In addition, more than 30 years of elapsed years, small and medium sized space, and medium-large sized space have a positive effect on the auction bid price ratio, and the timepoint of 2018, 2019, and 2020 were found to have a positive effect on the auction bid price ratio. It is expected that auction bidders will be able to make rational decisions by judging and predicting the situation of the real estate market and auction market.
以住房市场消费者指数、销售价格指数变化趋势和拍卖竞价比作为判断房地产市场的指标。虽然已经有一些研究分析了拍卖竞价比与住房市场消费者指数之间的关系,但对销售价格指数变化趋势的研究还不够。本研究考察了公寓拍卖中拍卖出价比的决定因素,并通过对住房市场消费者指数和销售价格指数趋势的实证分析,试图找出这两个指数对房地产拍卖市场的影响。该研究将时间范围定为2015年1月至2020年12月的6年,空间范围定为首尔江南区、瑞草区、松坡区。自变量设置为房地产市场、拍卖、当地、地点、物品和中标时间。分析方法采用多元线性回归分析,采用享乐价格模型。分析结果发现,住房市场消费者指数和销售价格指数的变化趋势对拍卖投标价格比有正向影响。此外,投标失败、土地登记、持反对权利人、留置权对拍卖出价比有负向影响,投标人数对拍卖出价比有正向影响。此外,经过30年以上的年份、中小空间和中大型空间对拍卖中标价格比有正向影响,2018年、2019年和2020年的时间点对拍卖中标价格比有正向影响。希望拍卖竞标者能够通过对房地产市场和拍卖市场的判断和预测,做出理性的决定。
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引用次数: 0
A Study on the Effects of Homeownership on Social Capital Creating Activities, Marriage and Divorce 关于房屋所有权对社会资本创造活动、婚姻和离婚的影响的研究
Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.22423/kreus.2022.15.1.127
Soo-Young Lee, Eui-chul Chung
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Konkuk Research Institute of Real Estate and Urban Studies
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