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An index of environmental and cultural suitability for the cultivation of climate-resilient castor bean in rainfed low-productivity common lands in Mexico 墨西哥低生产力旱地气候适应性蓖麻种植的环境和文化适宜性指数
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2107
Carolina Vázque Chun, Gabriel de Jesús Peña Uribe, Armando López Santos, Antonio de Jesús Meraz Jiménez
Castor bean plants yield commercially important oilseeds with multiple uses; they are characterised by tolerance to drought and adaptation to marginal soils in arid and semi-arid regions. In northern Mexico, a large amount of arid land is categorised as “ejidos”: a system of mixed land ownership managed under a specific legal system, where land users have access to common or individual (parcelled) land. This work aimed to examine the suitability of castor bean cultivation on unused marginal land in ejido land. To determine the environmental suitability of the ejido lands of Coahuila, Mexico, we adapted a land Productivity Index (PI) from an existing method; it consisted of a set of biophysical indicators (edaphic factors, climate, and topography) adapted to castor bean cultivation. We then complemented this index with a “cultural component”, assessing the ethnobotanical knowledge of the people, their willingness to implement a new crop type, and the type and current use of the land. As a result, we found that 114,300 ha of ejido land (1.76% of the total) were very suitable for castor bean cultivation according to the Environmental-PI and that 808,524 ha of ejido land (12.4% of the total) was very suitable according to the Cultural-PI. We also hypothesised that the willingness of “ejidatarios” to cultivate castor beans was related to their degree of knowledge about the plant and the land available for its cultivation; however, their willingness was mostly related to differences in land tenure: “ejidatarios” who own parcelled land were more interested in obtaining benefits from the land through the implementation of novel crops, compared to those who only have access to common land.Highlights • In Mexico, the “ejido” is a unique land ownership and management system where users have access to common or individual (parcelled) land. • According to our Environmental Productivity Index, 114,300 ha of ejido land in Coahuila, México, were very suitable for castor bean cultivation. • This index was complemented with a “cultural component” gauging the people’s perception and willingness to introduce castor bean as a new crop. • 808,524 ha (12.4%) of ejido land were very suitable for castor bean cultivation according to the cultural component of our index. • Differences in land tenure most strongly influence the willingness of the ejido people to cultivate castor beans.
蓖麻豆科植物生产具有多种用途的重要商业油籽;它们的特点是耐旱,适应干旱和半干旱地区的边缘土壤。在墨西哥北部,大量的干旱土地被归类为“ejidos”:一种在特定法律体系下管理的混合土地所有权制度,在这种制度下,土地使用者可以使用公共或个人(分块)土地。本研究旨在探讨济州岛未利用边缘地种植蓖麻豆的适宜性。为了确定墨西哥Coahuila ejido土地的环境适宜性,我们采用了现有方法中的土地生产力指数(PI);它包括一套适合蓖麻种植的生物物理指标(土壤因子、气候因子和地形因子)。然后,我们用“文化成分”来补充这个指数,评估人们的民族植物学知识,他们种植新作物的意愿,以及土地的类型和当前使用情况。结果表明,环境指数和文化指数分别为11.43万公顷(1.76%)和12.4%(808524公顷),极适宜种植蓖麻。我们还假设,“ejidatarios”种植蓖麻豆的意愿与他们对蓖麻的了解程度和可用于种植蓖麻的土地有关;然而,他们的意愿主要与土地所有制的差异有关:与那些只能使用公共土地的人相比,拥有小块土地的“ejidatarios”更有兴趣通过种植新作物从土地中获得利益。•在墨西哥,“ejido”是一种独特的土地所有权和管理制度,用户可以使用公共或个人(地块)土地。•根据我们的环境生产力指数,在墨西哥科阿韦拉有114,300公顷的ejido土地非常适合种植蓖麻豆。•该指数还补充了“文化成分”,衡量人们对蓖麻豆作为一种新作物的看法和意愿。•根据我们的指数,808,524公顷(12.4%)的济州岛土地非常适合种植蓖麻豆。•土地所有制的差异对济州岛人种植蓖麻豆的意愿影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
An index of environmental and cultural suitability for the cultivation of climate-resilient castor bean in rainfed low-productivity common lands in Mexico 墨西哥雨养低生产力公共土地上种植气候适应型蓖麻豆的环境和文化适宜性指数
3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2023.2107
Carolina Vázque Chun, Gabriel de Jesús Peña Uribe, Armando López Santos, Antonio de Jesús Meraz Jiménez
Castor bean plants yield commercially important oilseeds with multiple uses; they are characterised by tolerance to drought and adaptation to marginal soils in arid and semi-arid regions. In northern Mexico, a large amount of arid land is categorised as “ejidos”: a system of mixed land ownership managed under a specific legal system, where land users have access to common or individual (parcelled) land. This work aimed to examine the suitability of castor bean cultivation on unused marginal land in ejido land. To determine the environmental suitability of the ejido lands of Coahuila, Mexico, we adapted a land Productivity Index (PI) from an existing method; it consisted of a set of biophysical indicators (edaphic factors, climate, and topography) adapted to castor bean cultivation. We then complemented this index with a “cultural component”, assessing the ethnobotanical knowledge of the people, their willingness to implement a new crop type, and the type and current use of the land. As a result, we found that 114,300 ha of ejido land (1.76% of the total) were very suitable for castor bean cultivation according to the Environmental-PI and that 808,524 ha of ejido land (12.4% of the total) was very suitable according to the Cultural-PI. We also hypothesised that the willingness of “ejidatarios” to cultivate castor beans was related to their degree of knowledge about the plant and the land available for its cultivation; however, their willingness was mostly related to differences in land tenure: “ejidatarios” who own parcelled land were more interested in obtaining benefits from the land through the implementation of novel crops, compared to those who only have access to common land. Highlights • In Mexico, the “ejido” is a unique land ownership and management system where users have access to common or individual (parcelled) land. • According to our Environmental Productivity Index, 114,300 ha of ejido land in Coahuila, México, were very suitable for castor bean cultivation. • This index was complemented with a “cultural component” gauging the people’s perception and willingness to introduce castor bean as a new crop. • 808,524 ha (12.4%) of ejido land were very suitable for castor bean cultivation according to the cultural component of our index. • Differences in land tenure most strongly influence the willingness of the ejido people to cultivate castor beans.
蓖麻豆科植物生产具有多种用途的重要商业油籽;它们的特点是耐旱,适应干旱和半干旱地区的边缘土壤。在墨西哥北部,大量的干旱土地被归类为“ejidos”:一种在特定法律体系下管理的混合土地所有权制度,在这种制度下,土地使用者可以使用公共或个人(分块)土地。本研究旨在探讨济州岛未利用边缘地种植蓖麻豆的适宜性。为了确定墨西哥Coahuila ejido土地的环境适宜性,我们采用了现有方法中的土地生产力指数(PI);它包括一套适合蓖麻种植的生物物理指标(土壤因子、气候因子和地形因子)。然后,我们用“文化成分”来补充这个指数,评估人们的民族植物学知识,他们种植新作物的意愿,以及土地的类型和当前使用情况。结果表明,环境指数和文化指数分别为11.43万公顷(1.76%)和12.4%(808524公顷),极适宜种植蓖麻。我们还假设,“ejidatarios”种植蓖麻豆的意愿与他们对蓖麻的了解程度和可用于种植蓖麻的土地有关;然而,他们的意愿主要与土地所有制的差异有关:与那些只能使用公共土地的人相比,拥有小块土地的“ejidatarios”更有兴趣通过种植新作物从土地中获得利益。•在墨西哥,“ejido”是一种独特的土地所有权和管理制度,用户可以使用公共或个人(地块)土地。•根据我们的环境生产力指数,在墨西哥科阿韦拉有114,300公顷的ejido土地非常适合种植蓖麻豆。•该指数还补充了“文化成分”,衡量人们对蓖麻豆作为一种新作物的看法和意愿。•根据我们的指数,808,524公顷(12.4%)的济州岛土地非常适合种植蓖麻豆。•土地所有制的差异对济州岛人种植蓖麻豆的意愿影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
Interregional comparative analysis of farmers’ perceptions and expectations of climate change 农民对气候变化认知和预期的区域间比较分析
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2121
Veysi Acibuca, Aybüke Kaya, T. Kaya
This study looked into the relationship and effects of agricultural activities in different regions of Turkey on climate change. This study aims to determine farmer awareness of climate change and its effects, as well as farmer adaptation capabilities in different regions of Turkey against climate change, and to develop extension and policy tools based on the findings. Data were collected through face-to-face surveys with farmers in the provinces where the research was conducted. In this context, a proportional sampling survey of 418 farmers was conducted. The collected information was subjected to factor analysis and the independent t-test. According to the findings, farmers associate climate change with precipitation, and the effect of precipitation and the risks it poses in increasing or decreasing crop yields are of particular concern. Farmers in the Southeastern Anatolia Region are more concerned about heat and drought than farmers in the Mediterranean Region. Furthermore, producers believe that human-caused factors and economic development have a greater impact on climate change than agricultural activities. Farmers in research areas are concerned that climate change will increase migration from rural areas and the decline of forests and animal species. As a result, raising individual awareness and utilising new technology in rural areas is critical. Farmers’ awareness of new and environmentally friendly agricultural techniques must be raised to increase their use.Highlights - Farmers associate climate change with drought. - According to the farmers, the leading factors causing climate change are human-induced factors that disrupt the ecological balance. - The most important concern regarding the effects of climate change is that production costs will increase. - Farmers are reluctant to implement adaptation or mitigation methods that can be developed against climate change.
本研究探讨了土耳其不同地区农业活动对气候变化的关系和影响。本研究旨在确定土耳其不同地区农民对气候变化及其影响的认识,以及农民对气候变化的适应能力,并根据研究结果制定推广和政策工具。数据是通过与开展研究的省份的农民面对面调查收集的。在此背景下,对418名农民进行了比例抽样调查。对收集到的信息进行因子分析和独立t检验。根据调查结果,农民将气候变化与降水联系在一起,而降水的影响及其对作物增产或减产造成的风险尤其令人担忧。东南安纳托利亚地区的农民比地中海地区的农民更关心炎热和干旱。此外,生产者认为,人为因素和经济发展对气候变化的影响大于农业活动。研究地区的农民担心气候变化会增加农村地区的人口迁移以及森林和动物物种的减少。因此,在农村地区提高个人意识和利用新技术至关重要。必须提高农民对新型和环境友好型农业技术的认识,以增加其使用。农民将气候变化与干旱联系在一起。-农民认为,造成气候变化的主要因素是人为因素,破坏了生态平衡。-对气候变化影响最重要的担忧是生产成本将会增加。-农民不愿实施可针对气候变化制定的适应或缓解方法。
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引用次数: 2
The optimisation of rapeseed yield and growth duration through adaptive crop management in climate change: evidence from China 气候变化下适应性作物管理对油菜籽产量和生育期的优化:来自中国的证据
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2104
Xinhao Li, Chang-Shi Chen, Xue Yang, Junlan Xiong, Ni Ma
Crop yield is influenced by plant growth and development; both are affected by climatic variables and crop management practices. Therefore, understanding the effects of climate variables and management practices on rapeseed (Brassica napus L.) yield and growth duration (GD) is essential for developing strategies for agricultural systems based on changing climatic conditions. Thus, we quantified the respective contributions of climate change and crop management to rapeseed yield and GD between 2008 and 2019 in China using a first-difference multivariate regression model. Our results showed that: i) based on observed rapeseed yield and phenological data, the average planting date was delayed by –1.1 to 9.5 days decade–1, the average maturity date was advanced by 4.4 to 9.9 days decade–1, the average GD was shortened by 6.0 to 19.6 days decade–1 and the average yield increased by 12.82 to 61.5 kg ha–1 year–1; ii) the relative contributions of climate change and crop management to winter rapeseed yield were changed from –20% to +39% and from +61% to +80%, respectively, and the relative contributions to GD were changed from –10% to +15% and from –85% to +97%, respectively; iii) among the three climatic factors considered in this study, the climatic factor that caused the most remarkable change in winter rapeseed yield and GD was different in different regions. Overall, compared with cumulative temperature, cumulative sunshine hours may be the most critical climate factor limiting rapeseed yield in the Yangtze River Basin, especially in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River. Our results suggest that stakeholders select highyielding cultivars to optimise crop management and adaptation strategies in different agroecological zones.Highlights - The growth duration of winter rapeseed was shortened, and the yield increased in most stations. - Crop management to changes in GD and yield of winter rapeseed was greater than the impact of climate change. - Cumulative sunshine hours may be the most critical climate factor limiting rapeseed yield in the Yangtze River Basin.
作物产量受植物生长发育的影响;两者都受到气候变量和作物管理实践的影响。因此,了解气候变量和管理实践对油菜产量和生长期的影响,对于根据气候条件的变化制定农业系统战略至关重要。因此,我们使用第一差分多元回归模型量化了2008年至2019年间气候变化和作物管理对中国油菜籽产量和GD的各自贡献。我们的结果表明:i)根据观测到的油菜籽产量和酚学数据,平均种植期推迟了-1.1至9.5天,平均成熟期提前了4.4至9.9天,平均GD缩短了6.0至19.6天,年平均产量增加了12.82至61.5 kg ha–1;ii)气候变化和作物管理对冬油菜产量的相对贡献分别从–20%变为+39%和从+61%变为+80%,对GD的相对贡献则分别从–10%变为+15%和从–85%变为+97%;iii)在本研究考虑的三个气候因素中,导致冬油菜产量和GD变化最显著的气候因素在不同地区不同。总体而言,与累积温度相比,累积日照时数可能是限制长江流域特别是长江上游油菜产量的最关键气候因素。我们的研究结果表明,利益相关者选择高产品种,以优化不同农业生态区的作物管理和适应策略。亮点-冬油菜生长期缩短,大部分站点产量提高。-作物管理对GD和冬油菜产量的影响大于气候变化的影响累积日照时数可能是制约长江流域油菜产量的最关键的气候因素。
{"title":"The optimisation of rapeseed yield and growth duration through adaptive crop management in climate change: evidence from China","authors":"Xinhao Li, Chang-Shi Chen, Xue Yang, Junlan Xiong, Ni Ma","doi":"10.4081/ija.2022.2104","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4081/ija.2022.2104","url":null,"abstract":"Crop yield is influenced by plant growth and development; both are affected by climatic variables and crop management practices. Therefore, understanding the effects of climate variables and management practices on rapeseed (Brassica napus L.) yield and growth duration (GD) is essential for developing strategies for agricultural systems based on changing climatic conditions. Thus, we quantified the respective contributions of climate change and crop management to rapeseed yield and GD between 2008 and 2019 in China using a first-difference multivariate regression model. Our results showed that: i) based on observed rapeseed yield and phenological data, the average planting date was delayed by –1.1 to 9.5 days decade–1, the average maturity date was advanced by 4.4 to 9.9 days decade–1, the average GD was shortened by 6.0 to 19.6 days decade–1 and the average yield increased by 12.82 to 61.5 kg ha–1 year–1; ii) the relative contributions of climate change and crop management to winter rapeseed yield were changed from –20% to +39% and from +61% to +80%, respectively, and the relative contributions to GD were changed from –10% to +15% and from –85% to +97%, respectively; iii) among the three climatic factors considered in this study, the climatic factor that caused the most remarkable change in winter rapeseed yield and GD was different in different regions. Overall, compared with cumulative temperature, cumulative sunshine hours may be the most critical climate factor limiting rapeseed yield in the Yangtze River Basin, especially in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River. Our results suggest that stakeholders select highyielding cultivars to optimise crop management and adaptation strategies in different agroecological zones.\u0000Highlights - The growth duration of winter rapeseed was shortened, and the yield increased in most stations. - Crop management to changes in GD and yield of winter rapeseed was greater than the impact of climate change. - Cumulative sunshine hours may be the most critical climate factor limiting rapeseed yield in the Yangtze River Basin.","PeriodicalId":14618,"journal":{"name":"Italian Journal of Agronomy","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43196553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Climate variability and change impacts on crop productivity 气候变率及其变化对作物生产力的影响
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2177
D. Cammarano
Not available
不适用
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引用次数: 0
Climate change risk perception and adaptation to climate smart agriculture are required to increase wheat production for food security 要提高小麦产量以保障粮食安全,就需要认识气候变化风险并适应气候智能型农业
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2129
Nusrat Ehsan, G. Hoogenboom, Mahmood Khalid Qamar, C. J. Wilkerson, S. Wajid, F. Aziz
Climate change poses a serious risk to wheat farmers in many regions of the world. The present study was conducted in the Sialkot District, Punjab, Pakistan, to investigate climate change trends during the past thirty years and to determine farmers’ knowledge and perceptions about climate change. The study also addresses the impacts of climate change on wheat production, current adaptation strategies, and limitations in adaptations to climate-smart agriculture (CSA) through a questionnaire-based survey. The historical weather data from the past thirty years indicated an increase in the mean annual minimum and maximum temperature and a decrease in annual total precipitation. Wheat productivity during the past thirty years showed an increasing trend but it was inconsistent. The respondents’ perception of climate change indicated that the literate farmers and those with broad farming experience were more knowledgeable about the climatic effects on wheat production. However, the survey results showed that the age of the farmers did not affect their perceptions. The current management practices are primarily based on prior experiences (70%) and traditional practices (30%). The standard management practices to increase farm productivity include an increase in fertilizer use (70%), a decrease in manure use (24%), and intercropping or switching to other crop cultivations (60%). The farmers stated that their reasons for limited adaptation to climate smart farm practices (CSFP) were due to their lack of knowledge and skills (86%), lack of modern technologies (74%), economic constraints (78%), politics (86%), and social influences (74%). Based on the survey results, the study suggests that addressing these gaps can increase farm-level wheat productivity to increase resilience. This can be achieved by introducing stateof- the-art farming practices through farmer training and by providing institutional services with a focus on climate-specific farm consultation services, leading to climate-smart agricultural practices for improved food security.Highlights - Literate farmers are more aware of climate change as compared to illiterate farmers. - The farmers emphasized the increase in both the summer and winter temperature. - Rainfall is identified as a major climate threat in the study area. - The farmers identified that the highest impact of climate change occurred during the harvest phase of wheat. - The farmers stated that the limited adoption of climate smart agricultural practices is due to lack of knowledge and technological, economic, and other gaps.
气候变化对世界许多地区的小麦种植者构成了严重的风险。本研究在巴基斯坦旁遮普邦锡亚尔科特区进行,旨在调查过去三十年的气候变化趋势,并确定农民对气候变化的认识和看法。该研究还通过问卷调查探讨了气候变化对小麦生产的影响、当前的适应策略以及适应气候智能农业(CSA)的局限性。过去三十年的历史天气数据表明,年平均最低和最高气温有所上升,年总降水量有所减少。近三十年来,小麦产量呈上升趋势,但前后不一。受访者对气候变化的看法表明,有文化的农民和有广泛农业经验的农民更了解气候对小麦生产的影响。然而,调查结果显示,农民的年龄并没有影响他们的认知。目前的管理实践主要基于以往的经验(70%)和传统实践(30%)。提高农场生产力的标准管理做法包括增加肥料使用量(70%)、减少粪肥使用量(24%)以及间作或转为其他作物种植(60%)。农民们表示,他们对气候智能农场做法(CSFP)适应有限的原因是缺乏知识和技能(86%)、缺乏现代技术(74%)、经济限制(78%)、政治(86%)和社会影响(74%)。根据调查结果,该研究表明,解决这些差距可以提高农场层面的小麦生产力,以提高抵御能力。这可以通过以下方式实现:通过农民培训引入最先进的农业实践,并提供以气候特定农业咨询服务为重点的机构服务,从而形成气候智能农业实践,以改善粮食安全。亮点-与文盲农民相比,识字农民更了解气候变化。-农民们强调了夏季和冬季气温的升高降雨被确定为研究区域的主要气候威胁农民们发现,气候变化的最大影响发生在小麦收获阶段农民们表示,气候智能农业实践的有限采用是由于缺乏知识以及技术、经济和其他方面的差距。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of hail damages in maize using remote sensing and comparison with an insurance assessment: A case study in Lombardy 玉米冰雹灾害的遥感评估及其与保险评估的比较——以伦巴第为例
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2126
C. Schillaci, Fabio Inverardi, M. Battaglia, A. Perego, W. Thomason, M. Acutis
Studies have shown that the quantification of hail damage is generally inaccurate and is influenced by the experience of the field surveyors/technicians. To overcome this problem, the vegetation indices retrieved by remote sensing, can be used to get information about the hail damage. The aim of this work is the detection of medium-low damages (i.e., between 10 and 30% of the gross saleable production) using the much-used normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in comparison with alternative vegetation indices (i.e., ARVI, MCARI, SAVI, MSAVI, MSAVI2) and their change from pre-event to post-event in five hailstorms in Lombardy in 2018. Seventy-four overlapping scenes (10% cloud cover) were collected from the Sentinel-2 in the spring-summer period of 2018 in the Brescia district (Lombardy). An unsupervised classification was carried out to automatically identify the maize fields (grain and silage), testing the change detection approach by searching for damage by hail and strong wind in the Lombardy plain of Brescia. A database of 125 field surveys (average size 4 Ha) after the hailstorm collected from the insurance service allowed for the selection of the dates on which the event occurred and provided a proxy of the extent of the damage (in % of the decrease of the yield). Hail and strong wind damages ranged from 5 to 70%, and they were used for comparison with the satellite image change detection. The differences in the vegetation indices obtained by Sentinel 2 before and after the hailstorm and the insurance assessments of damage after the events were compared to assess the degree of concordance. The modified soil-adjusted vegetation index outperformed other vegetation indices in detecting hail-related damages with the highest accuracy (73.3%). On the other hand, the NDVI resulted in scarce performance ranking last of the six indices, with an accuracy of 65.3%. Future research will evaluate how much uncertainty can be found in the method’s limitations with vegetation indices derived from satellites, how much is due to errors in estimating damage to the ground, and how much is due to other causes.Highlights - The discovery rate of damaged fields improved. - MSAVI outperformed NDVI and other vegetation indices, identifying 73.3% of occurrences. - Estimation of damage from remote sensing was more accurate for fields severely affected >50%. - In low-intensity hail events (<50 canopies affected), the MSAVI provided a detailed picture of the damage across the field. - The proposed approach is promising to develop a ‘sampling map’ for detailed on-ground assessment.
研究表明,冰雹损害的量化通常是不准确的,并受到实地测量员/技术人员经验的影响。为了克服这一问题,可以利用遥感反演的植被指数来获取雹害信息。这项工作的目的是利用常用的归一化植被指数(NDVI)与替代植被指数(即ARVI, MCARI, SAVI, MSAVI, msav2)比较2018年伦巴第五次冰雹事件中中低损害(即占总可销售产量的10%至30%)及其从事件前到事件后的变化。2018年春夏期间,在伦巴第布雷西亚地区,Sentinel-2收集了74个重叠场景(10%的云量)。在布雷西亚伦巴第平原进行无监督分类,自动识别玉米田(谷物和青贮),通过搜索冰雹和强风损害来测试变化检测方法。从保险服务部门收集的雹暴发生后125个实地调查(平均面积4公顷)的数据库允许选择事件发生的日期,并提供损害程度的代理(以产量减少的百分比为单位)。冰雹和强风的损害范围为5% ~ 70%,并将其与卫星图像变化检测进行比较。比较哨兵2号在雹暴发生前后植被指数的差异和灾后灾害保险评估的一致性。修正后的土壤调整植被指数对冰雹相关损害的检测准确率最高(73.3%),优于其他植被指数。另一方面,NDVI导致稀缺性能在六个指数中排名最后,准确率为65.3%。未来的研究将评估从卫星获得的植被指数得出的方法的局限性中可以发现多少不确定性,有多少是由于估计对地面损害的错误,以及有多少是由于其他原因。亮点:损坏油田的发现率提高。MSAVI优于NDVI和其他植被指数,识别率为73.3%。-在受影响严重的地区,由遥感所估计的损害情况更为准确,达50%。-在低强度冰雹事件(影响小于50个冠层)中,MSAVI提供了整个地区的详细损害情况。-建议的方法有望制定一份“抽样地图”,以进行详细的实地评估。
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引用次数: 1
Techno-diversity for carbon farming and climate resilience 碳农业和气候适应性的技术多样性
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2178
B. Basso
Not available
不适用
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引用次数: 1
The ability of crop models to predict soil organic carbon changes in a maize cropping system under contrasting fertilization and residues management: Evidence from a long-term experiment 作物模型在对比施肥和残留物管理下预测玉米种植系统土壤有机碳变化的能力:来自长期实验的证据
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2179
A. Pulina, R. Ferrise, Laura Mula, L. Brilli, L. Giglio, I. Iocola, D. Ventrella, L. Zavattaro, C. Grignani, P. Roggero
This study assesses the ability of an ensemble of crop models (MME) to predict the impacts of fertilization and crop residue management on soil organic carbon (SOC) and aboveground biomass (AGB) in a long-term experiment (LTE) based on continuous maize cropping systems. Data from a LTE in Northern Italy were used. Treatments included continuous grain (MG) or silage (MS) maize, fertilized with mineral, cattle slurry, and farmyard manure. The MME median resulted the best predictor of the observed values. Models performance was better when simulating MG than MS, and for crops treated with mineral compared to organic fertilizers. The ability to predict the dynamics of SOC was affected by the model used and by the year × residues management and year × fertilizer interactions. The model and the residue × fertilizer interaction affected the ability to simulate AGB dynamics. Results showed that a MME can effectively predict the long-term dynamics of SOC and maize crop production under contrasting fertilization and crop residue management, and thus their potential for climate change mitigation. The uncertainty in the simulation of SOC is related to the model routines simulating SOC partitioning and to the complexity of the interactions between management factors over time.Highlights - A crop model ensemble was compiled to simulate soil organic carbon and maize aboveground biomass dynamics in a long-term experiment. - The performances of stand-alone models and their ensemble were assessed under contrasting fertilization and crop residue management. - The multi-model ensemble using the median value of simulation was the best predictor of the variables observed in the long-term experiment. - Improved performances in simulations were observed when crop residues were incorporated into the soil, regardless of the fertilization management. - The uncertainty in SOC simulation increased over time for cropping systems with silage maize and organic fertilization.
本研究评估了一组作物模型(MME)在基于玉米连作系统的长期实验(LTE)中预测施肥和作物残留物管理对土壤有机碳(SOC)和地上生物量(AGB)影响的能力。使用了来自意大利北部LTE的数据。处理包括连续谷物(MG)或青贮玉米(MS),用矿物、牛浆和农家肥施肥。MME中位数是观测值的最佳预测值。模拟MG时,模型的性能比模拟MS更好,并且与有机肥料相比,矿物处理的作物的模型性能更好。预测SOC动态的能力受到所使用的模型以及年×残留物管理和年×肥料相互作用的影响。该模型和残留物×肥料的相互作用影响了模拟AGB动力学的能力。结果表明,MME可以有效预测对比施肥和作物残留管理下SOC和玉米作物产量的长期动态,从而预测其缓解气候变化的潜力。SOC模拟中的不确定性与模拟SOC划分的模型例程以及管理因素之间随着时间的推移相互作用的复杂性有关。亮点-在一项长期实验中,编制了一个作物模型集合,以模拟土壤有机碳和玉米地上生物量的动态在对比施肥和作物残留管理的情况下,对独立模型及其组合的性能进行了评估使用模拟中值的多模型集合是长期实验中观察到的变量的最佳预测因子当作物残留物被掺入土壤时,无论施肥管理如何,模拟中的表现都有所改善青贮玉米和有机施肥种植系统SOC模拟的不确定性随着时间的推移而增加。
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引用次数: 2
Impact of long-term (1764-2017) air temperature on phenology of cereals and vines in two locations of northern Italy 长期(1764-2017)气温对意大利北部两个地区谷物和葡萄藤物候的影响
IF 2.2 3区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.4081/ija.2022.2164
D. Cammarano, F. Becherini, L. Leolini, Dario Camuffo, M. Moriondo, A. della Valle, R. Ferrise
Understanding how long-term temperature variability affects the phenology of the main agricultural crop is critical to develop targeted adaptation strategies to near and far future climate impacts. The objective of this study was to use crop phenology as a proxy to quantify the impact of a long-term temperature variability series (1764-2017) on a summer cereal crop (maize), spring wheat, winter wheat, and four different vines (perennials) in two locations representative of the main agricultural areas in northern Italy. To develop the phenological models for cereals and grapevines, the minimum (TDmin) and maximum (TDmax) daily temperatures for Milano and Bologna, northern Italy, from 1763 to 2017 were used. Results showed that wheat (spring and winter) has experienced a reduction in the growing period of 13 days for each °C of air temperature increase during the growing season. Vernalization requirements of winter wheat indicated that further increase in air temperature will determine a shift towards a supraoptimal range. The subsequent delay in vernalization fulfilment causes the grain filling phase to occur in warmer conditions and will be further shortened with consequences for final yield. Chilling accumulation in vines was fulfilled over the entire period under study with 90% effective chilling.Highlights - Long-term weather series show how the mean air temperature and its extremes have changed over the years. - Simulation of cereals and perennials phenology using long-term weather series showed a shortening of the growing season and a shift of developmental stages. - The number of days when the air temperature is above the crops’ physiological threshold increased, with implications for development and senescence rates.
了解长期温度变化如何影响主要农业作物的酚学,对于制定针对近期和远期气候影响的有针对性的适应策略至关重要。本研究的目的是使用作物酚学作为替代品,量化长期温度变化系列(1764-2017)对意大利北部两个主要农业区的夏粮作物(玉米)、春小麦、冬小麦和四种不同藤蔓植物(多年生植物)的影响。为了开发谷物和葡萄的酚学模型,使用了1763年至2017年意大利北部米兰和博洛尼亚的最低(TDmin)和最高(TDmax)日温度。结果表明,小麦(春季和冬季)在生长季节中,气温每升高°C,生长期就会缩短13天。冬小麦的春化要求表明,气温的进一步升高将决定向超优范围的转变。随后春化完成的延迟导致籽粒灌浆阶段在温暖的条件下发生,并将进一步缩短,从而影响最终产量。在整个研究期间,葡萄藤中的冷藏积累达到了90%的有效冷藏。亮点-长期天气系列显示了多年来平均气温及其极端值的变化。-使用长期天气序列对谷物和多年生植物的酚学进行模拟,结果显示生长季节缩短,发育阶段发生变化气温高于作物生理阈值的天数增加,这对发育和衰老率有影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Italian Journal of Agronomy
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