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Is Government Growth Inevitable? 政府增长是不可避免的吗?
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.30
R. Holcombe
Despite massive worldwide growth of government in the twentieth century, there have been periods in the U.S. and other countries when growth has slowed or reversed. Government growth is not inevitable. Explanations of government growth fall into three major categories. Path-dependent theories emphasize factors that continually push the size of government up, so the current size is in part a function of its past size. Theories about the equilibrium size of government explain why government is big, but not why government grows. If equilibrium conditions change, that can produce government growth. Theories also describe ideological shifts that cause people to want, or at least accept, bigger governments. All these explanations could have an effect on government growth. However, none appears to be persuasive enough to explain all the growth that occurred.
尽管20世纪世界范围内的政府规模大幅扩大,但在美国和其他国家,经济增长也曾出现放缓或逆转的时期。政府的增长并非不可避免。对政府增长的解释主要分为三类。路径依赖理论强调不断扩大政府规模的因素,因此当前规模在一定程度上是其过去规模的函数。关于政府均衡规模的理论解释了政府为什么大,但不能解释政府为什么会增长。如果均衡条件发生变化,就会产生政府增长。理论还描述了导致人们想要或至少接受更大政府的意识形态转变。所有这些解释都可能对政府增长产生影响。然而,似乎没有一个有足够的说服力来解释发生的所有增长。
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引用次数: 1
Executive Veto Power and Constitutional Design 行政否决权与宪法设计
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.47
Nicholas R. Miller
A “separation of powers” system provides for an executive and legislature with independent powers. While only the legislature can pass bills, executive approval is commonly required for them to become law. The executive exercises veto power by withholding approval. Executive veto power is simple if the executive can only approve a bill or reject it in its entirety; it is constructive if he can amend a bill in certain ways. It is qualified if the legislature can override a veto; it is unqualified otherwise. Any such system creates a gamelike strategic interaction between the legislature and executive. The chapter provides an expository sketch of a variety of such veto games. The analysis is based on a one-dimensional spatial model given three different behavioral assumptions: sincere behavior by both the legislature and executive, strategic behavior by both, and strategic behavior coupled with the possibility of a credible veto threat by the executive. Several extensions and qualifications are briefly noted.
“三权分立”制度规定行政机关和立法机关具有独立的权力。虽然只有立法机关可以通过法案,但通常需要行政批准才能成为法律。行政部门通过拒绝批准来行使否决权。行政否决权是简单的,如果行政部门只能批准或拒绝整个法案;如果他能以某种方式修改法案,那就是建设性的。如果立法机关可以推翻否决,它就是合格的;否则是不合格的。任何这样的系统都会在立法机关和行政机关之间创造一种游戏式的战略互动。本章提供了各种否决游戏的说明性草图。该分析基于一维空间模型,给出了三种不同的行为假设:立法机关和行政机关的真诚行为,两者的战略行为,以及战略行为与行政机关可信否决威胁的可能性相结合。简要说明几个扩展和资格。
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引用次数: 0
Policy Differences Among Parliamentary and Presidential Systems 议会制和总统制之间的政策差异
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.18
Sebastián Saiegh
This chapter examines how the organization of power and authority affects policy outcomes. The focus is on: (1) statutory law; (2) public spending; and (3) policy reversals. The empirical evidence suggests that, compared to prime ministers, presidents enjoy lower levels of legislative success. Yet, deadlocks or stalemates are rare events, even in the case of single-party minority governments under presidential democracies. Regarding public spending, the results suggest that one should look at governments’ partisan composition rather than constitutional structures. Government spending over GDP is lower in countries with single-minority governments. This is a common situation under presidentialism. As such, the negative relationship between presidentialism and public spending previously documented in the literature might be spurious. Finally, in terms of the connection between constitutional structures and policy reversals, there is a concrete policy choice: sovereign debt repayment. The analysis reveals that parliamentary democracies are less likely to reschedule their sovereign debts than presidential regimes.
本章探讨权力和权威的组织如何影响政策结果。重点是:(1)成文法;(二)公共支出;(3)政策逆转。经验证据表明,与总理相比,总统在立法方面的成功程度较低。然而,僵局或僵局是罕见的事件,即使在总统制民主的一党少数政府的情况下也是如此。关于公共开支,研究结果表明,人们应该关注政府的党派组成,而不是宪法结构。在少数民族政府的国家,政府支出占GDP的比例较低。这是总统制下常见的情况。因此,先前文献中记载的总统主义与公共支出之间的负相关关系可能是虚假的。最后,就宪法结构与政策逆转之间的联系而言,有一个具体的政策选择:主权债务偿还。分析显示,与总统制政体相比,议会制民主政体不太可能重新安排主权债务。
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引用次数: 1
Are There Types of Dictatorship? 独裁有哪些类型?
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.13
Ronald Wintrobe
The idea of different kinds of dictatorships can be traced back to Aristotle. In contemporary thinking, three classifications are common: tinpot vs. totalitarian, personal/military/single-party or civilian/military/monarchy, and short vs. long time horizon. This chapter argues that classification is useful if it can be theoretically grounded, the types can be distinguished empirically, and especially if they behave differently. It concludes with an analysis of seemingly “unclassifiable” regimes such as Chinese totalitarian capitalism, Putin’s Russia, and North Korea.
各种专政的概念可以追溯到亚里士多德。在当代思想中,有三种常见的分类:铁锅vs.极权主义,个人/军事/一党专政或文官/军事/君主制,短期vs.长期。本章认为,分类是有用的,如果它可以理论基础,类型可以区分经验,特别是如果他们的行为不同。文章最后分析了一些看似“无法分类”的政权,如中国的极权资本主义、普京的俄罗斯和朝鲜。
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引用次数: 2
The Politics of International Aid 国际援助的政治
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.35
Hristos Doucouliagos
This chapter surveys several aspects of the political economy of aid and the political economy of aid research. The first part reviews the politics of aid giving, with a specific focus on the use of aid to buy votes and aid allocated to recipients experiencing violent conflict. The survey then summarizes the literature on aid effectiveness on growth, capital accumulation, health, and education, and on institutions, and the links between aid and conflict. Finally, the survey explores the credibility of aid empirics, exploring issues of publication selection bias, heterogeneity, and statistical power. Direction for future research are outlined.
本章概述了援助政治经济学和援助政治经济学研究的几个方面。第一部分回顾了提供援助的政治,特别关注使用援助来购买选票和分配给经历暴力冲突的受援国的援助。然后,调查总结了有关援助在增长、资本积累、卫生和教育、制度以及援助与冲突之间联系方面的有效性的文献。最后,调查探讨了援助经验的可信度,探讨了出版物选择偏差、异质性和统计能力等问题。展望了今后的研究方向。
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引用次数: 17
The Significance of Political Parties 政党的意义
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.19
Michael C. Munger
Political parties have been conceived variously as teams of candidates, of ideological activists, or of groups of voters. Their goals range range from winning office or controlling government to implementing a shared vision of policy. But candidates, activists, and voters often have conflicting goals, and a desire to control government may conflict with a particular conception of “good” policy. This chapter considers how these conflicts play out in parties as organizations. Parties are the means by which democracies present, simplify, and differentiate competing visions of governance. They also may be the most fundamental informal institutions in democracies. Public choice conceives of individuals as pursuing goals, with plans and institutions used to the extent that individual goals are advanced; this is the “parties as effective” argument. Politics, like nature, abhors a vacuum, so organized interests focus their power on the policy process.
政党被不同地设想为候选人团队、意识形态积极分子或选民群体。他们的目标范围很广,从赢得职位或控制政府到实施共同的政策愿景。但是,候选人、活动人士和选民往往有相互冲突的目标,控制政府的愿望可能与“好”政策的特定概念相冲突。本章考虑这些冲突是如何在作为组织的政党中发挥作用的。政党是民主国家呈现、简化和区分相互竞争的治理愿景的手段。它们也可能是民主国家中最基本的非正式机构。公共选择将个人视为追求目标的个体,计划和制度的使用取决于个人目标的推进程度;这就是“当事人有效”的论点。政治就像大自然一样,厌恶真空,因此有组织的利益集团将他们的权力集中在政策过程上。
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引用次数: 0
Politics and the Legal System 政治与法律制度
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190469771.013.6
L. Epstein, Andrew D. Martin, K. Quinn, J. Segal
The title of the chapter, “Politics and the Legal System,” might conjure up images of judges logrolling, credit claiming, vote buying, and redirecting blame—in other words, judges acting as politicians. But the literature on judicial behavior almost never characterizes judges as “politicians in robes.” Rather, it treats “politics,” or more precisely “policy preferences,” as an important motivating force, such that a major goal of all judges is to see the law reflect their preferred policy positions. The authors follow suit, describing the role of policy preferences in studies of judging, as well as the approaches scholars have proposed to measure them. The chapter ends with a discussion of whether policy preferences should remain a focal point of research on judging. Believing that the answer is (an equivocal) no, the authors propose new avenues for research.
这一章的标题,“政治与法律体系”,可能会让人联想到法官们的形象:拉票、索取荣誉、购买选票、转移责任——换句话说,法官们扮演着政客的角色。但关于司法行为的文献几乎从不把法官描绘成“穿着长袍的政客”。相反,它将“政治”,或者更准确地说,“政策偏好”视为一种重要的推动力,因此,所有法官的一个主要目标是看到法律反映他们偏好的政策立场。作者们紧随其后,描述了政策偏好在判断研究中的作用,以及学者们提出的衡量政策偏好的方法。本章最后讨论了政策偏好是否仍应作为判断研究的焦点。相信答案是(一个模棱两可的)否定的,作者提出了新的研究途径。
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引用次数: 1
Politics, Direct Investment, Public Debt Markets, and the Shadow Economy 政治、直接投资、公共债务市场和影子经济
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190469771.013.34
F. Schneider
The chapter first considers the role of politics on the size of the shadow economy and how it is affected by political institutions. Second, it investigates the role of the informal sector on direct investment and public debt markets in the “official” economy. The informal sector has significant adverse effects on credit ratings, lending costs, and investment decisions. This has policy implications, especially in the context of the ongoing sovereign debt crisis, since it suggests that, if politics succeed in reducing the informal sector of financially challenged countries, this is likely to reduce credit risk concerns, cutting down lending costs, and stimulating investment.
本章首先考虑了政治对影子经济规模的影响,以及政治制度对影子经济的影响。其次,它调查了非正式部门在“官方”经济中对直接投资和公共债务市场的作用。非正规部门对信用评级、贷款成本和投资决策有重大不利影响。这具有政策意义,特别是在主权债务危机持续的背景下,因为它表明,如果政治成功地减少了财政困难国家的非正规部门,这可能会减少信贷风险担忧,降低贷款成本,并刺激投资。
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引用次数: 0
Precursors to Public Choice 《公共选择》的前身
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.41
I. McLean
This chapter reviews the many appearances, disappearances, and reappearances of axiomatic thought about social choice and elections since the era of ancient Greek democracy. Social choice is linked to the wider public-choice movement because both are theories of agency. Thus, just as the first public-choice theorists include Hobbes, Hume, and Madison, so the first social-choice theorists include Pliny, Llull, and Cusanus. The social-choice theory of agency appears in many strands. The most important of these are binary vs. nonbinary choice; aggregation of judgement vs. aggregation of opinion; and selection of one person vs. selection of many people. The development of social choice required both a public-choice mindset and mathematical skill.
本章回顾了自古希腊民主时代以来关于社会选择和选举的公理化思想的多次出现、消失和再现。社会选择与更广泛的公共选择运动有关,因为两者都是代理理论。因此,正如第一批公共选择理论家包括霍布斯、休谟和麦迪逊一样,第一批社会选择理论家也包括普林尼、卢尔和库马努斯。代理的社会选择理论以多种形式出现。其中最重要的是二元选择与非二元选择;综合判断vs.综合意见;选择一个人还是选择很多人。社会选择的发展既需要公共选择的思维方式,也需要数学技能。
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引用次数: 0
Christian History and Public Choice 基督教历史与公共选择
Pub Date : 2019-02-28 DOI: 10.1093/OXFORDHB/9780190469771.013.38
Mario Ferrero
In the last twenty years, Christian history has attracted the effort of a number of economists, challenged by the fact that the mainline churches are among the longest-lasting institutions in world history. This chapter covers the subset of that research that, while part of the broader field of the economics of religion, more nearly falls within the public-choice approach, dividing it into main topics: doctrine and theology, Catholic saint-making, the working of the papacy as an institution, religious orders, and church leadership and governance. It is shown that the essential analytical tools of this research have been the classic public-choice models of collective decision-making, bureaucracy, dictatorship, rent-seeking, and clubs. The conclusion reviews neglected topics and modeling approaches that show potential for further progress.
在过去的二十年里,基督教历史吸引了许多经济学家的努力,主流教会是世界历史上最持久的机构之一,这一事实对基督教历史提出了挑战。本章涵盖了该研究的一个子集,虽然是更广泛的宗教经济学领域的一部分,但更接近于属于公共选择方法,将其划分为主要主题:教义和神学,天主教圣徒的制造,教皇作为一个机构的工作,宗教秩序,教会领导和治理。研究表明,本研究的基本分析工具是集体决策、官僚主义、独裁、寻租和俱乐部等经典公共选择模型。结论回顾了被忽视的主题和建模方法,显示出进一步发展的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
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The Oxford Handbook of Public Choice, Volume 2
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