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Returns to Specialization, Transaction Costs and the Dynamics of Industry Evolution 专业化回报、交易成本与产业演进动态
Pub Date : 2006-03-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4191
A. Arora, Farasat A. S. Bokhari
When more than one component or activity is needed to produce the final product, a firm may use proprietary standards or adopt a common standard to integrate these components. We call these closed and open firms respectively, and develop a model of industry evolution to study the process by which type of firm comes to dominate the industry. Our simulations show that an industry may diverge from its long run equilibrium configuration for sustained periods of time. Typically, the industry is dominated by closed firms in the early history and by open firms later on. Entry and exit dynamics create transient biases in favor of open firms. First, a closed entrant can capture multiple profits whereas an open entrant faces a lower entry barrier. However, while the odds of closed entry (relative to open entry) are initially greater than one, they decrease with price and eventually open entry becomes more likely than closed entry. Second, though initially closed firms can offset losses in one component with profits from another and thereby have better survival as compared to open firms, when prices fall below a threshold level, a closed firm is more likely to exit than a comparable pair of open firms. Finally, entry by an open firm improves the relative odds of entry by a complementary open firm, especially when the two complementary sectors differ in size or efficiency.
当生产最终产品需要多个组件或活动时,公司可以使用专有标准或采用通用标准来集成这些组件。我们将这两类企业分别称为封闭式企业和开放式企业,并建立了一个产业演化模型来研究哪种类型的企业在产业中占据主导地位的过程。我们的模拟表明,一个行业可能会在一段持续的时间内偏离其长期均衡配置。通常,该行业在早期由封闭公司主导,后来由开放公司主导。进入和退出的动态会产生有利于开放企业的短暂偏差。首先,一个封闭的进入者可以获得多重利润,而一个开放的进入者面临较低的进入壁垒。然而,虽然闭门入场(相对于闭门入场)的几率最初大于1,但它们随着价格的下降而降低,最终闭门入场的可能性比闭门入场的可能性更大。第二,虽然最初封闭的公司可以用另一个部分的利润抵消一个部分的损失,从而比开放的公司有更好的生存,但当价格低于阈值水平时,封闭的公司比可比的一对开放的公司更有可能退出。最后,开放企业的进入提高了互补开放企业进入的相对几率,特别是当两个互补部门在规模或效率上存在差异时。
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引用次数: 1
Strategic Commitments and the Principle of Reciprocity in Interconnection Pricing 战略承诺与互联定价中的互惠原则
Pub Date : 2005-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1736
N. Economides, Giuseppe Lopomo, Glenn Woroch
We discuss the effects of strategic commitments and of network size in the process of setting interconnection fees across competing networks. We also discuss the importance of the principles of reciprocity and imputation of interconnection charges on market equilibria. Reciprocity means that both networks charge the same for interconnection. Imputation means that a network charges its customers as much as it charges customers of the other network for the same service. Assuming that each consumer cannot subscribe to more than one network, we begin by analyzing a game of strategic symmetry where the two networks choose all prices simultaneously. Second, we allow a dominant network to set the interconnection fee before the opponent network can set its prices. This results in a price-squeeze on the rival network. Third, we show that the imposition of a reciprocity rule eliminates the strategic power of the first mover. Under reciprocity, one network sets the common interconnection fee at cost, and the equilibrium prices for final services are lower than in the two previous games without reciprocity. Moreover, prices under reciprocity obey the principle of imputation. In the long run, consumers subscribe to one of the two networks. Typically, there is a multiplicity of equilibria, including corner equilibria, where all consumers subscribe to the same network. However, under reciprocity, there are no corner equilibria.
我们讨论了战略承诺和网络规模在设定竞争网络互连费过程中的影响。我们还讨论了互易原则和互连费用对市场均衡的归因的重要性。互惠意味着两个网络对互连收费相同。Imputation指的是一个网络向其客户收取的费用与另一个网络对同样服务收取的费用一样多。假设每个消费者不能订阅多个网络,我们首先分析一个战略对称博弈,其中两个网络同时选择所有价格。其次,我们允许一个占主导地位的网络在对手网络设定价格之前设定互连费。这导致了竞争对手网络的价格挤压。第三,我们证明了互惠规则的实施消除了先发者的战略力量。在互惠条件下,一个网络将共同互连费用设定为成本,最终服务的均衡价格低于没有互惠的前两个博弈。此外,互惠条件下的价格遵循归责原则。从长远来看,消费者会订阅这两个网络中的一个。通常,存在多重均衡,包括角落均衡,所有消费者都订阅同一个网络。然而,在互惠下,不存在角落平衡。
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引用次数: 45
Strong Time-Consistency in the Cartel-Versus-Fringe Model 卡特尔-边缘模型的强时间一致性
Pub Date : 2003-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1552
A. de Zeeuw, F. Groot, C. Withagen
In the seventies and eighties, the theory of exhaustible natural resources developed a branch, which was called the cartel-versus-fringe model, to characterize markets with one large coherent cartel and a big number of small suppliers named the fringe.It was considered appropriate to use the von Stackelberg solution concept but because solutions could only be derived in an open-loop framework time-inconsistency resulted.This paper solves time-inconsistency in the cartel-versus-fringe model and provides the feedback von Stackelberg equilibrium for all cost configurations. (This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.) (This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
在七八十年代,可耗尽自然资源理论发展了一个分支,被称为卡特尔对边缘模型,它描述了一个大型连贯的卡特尔和大量被称为边缘的小供应商的市场特征。人们认为使用von Stackelberg解的概念是合适的,但由于解只能在开环框架中推导,因此产生了时间不一致。本文解决了卡特尔-边缘模型的时间不一致性问题,并给出了所有成本配置的反馈von Stackelberg均衡。(这个摘要是从这个项目的另一个版本借用过来的。)
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引用次数: 80
Financial Constraints and Product Market Competition: Ex-Ante vs. Ex-Post Incentives 财务约束与产品市场竞争:事前激励与事后激励
Pub Date : 2003-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.246992
Paul Povel, Michael Raith
This paper analyzes the interaction of financing and output market decisions in a duopoly in which one firm is financially constrained and can borrow funds to finance production costs. Two ideas have been separately analyzed in previous work: Some authors argue that debt strategically affects a firm’s output market decisions, typically making it more aggressive; others argue that the threat of bankruptcy makes debt financing costly, typically making a firm less aggressive. Our model integrates both ideas; moreover, unlike most previous work, we derive debt as an optimal contract. Compared with a situation in which both firms are unconstrained, the constrained firm produces less, while its unconstrained rival produces more; prices are higher for both firms. Both firms’ outputs depend on the constrained firm’s internal funds; the relationship is U-shaped for the constrained firm and inversely U-shaped for its unconstrained rival. The unconstrained rival has a higher market share, not because of predation but because of the cost disadvantage of the financially constrained firm. D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
本文分析了双寡头市场中融资和产出市场决策的相互作用,其中一家企业受到财务约束,可以借到资金来支付生产成本。之前的研究分别分析了两种观点:一些作者认为,债务在战略上影响了企业的产出市场决策,通常使其更具侵略性;另一些人则认为,破产的威胁使债务融资成本高昂,通常会降低公司的进取心。我们的模型整合了这两种想法;此外,与大多数先前的工作不同,我们将债务推导为最优契约。与两家公司都不受约束的情况相比,受约束的公司生产较少,而不受约束的竞争对手生产较多;两家公司的价格都更高。两家公司的产出都取决于受约束公司的内部资金;对于受约束的企业,这种关系是u型的,而对于不受约束的竞争对手,这种关系是反u型的。不受约束的竞争对手拥有更高的市场份额,不是因为掠夺性,而是因为受财务约束的公司的成本劣势。D 2004 Elsevier B.V.版权所有
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引用次数: 79
Optimal Lending Contracts and Firm Dynamics 最优借贷契约与企业动态
Pub Date : 2002-09-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.273255
R. Albuquerque, Hugo Hopenhayn
We develop a general model of lending in the presence of endogenous borrowing constraints. Borrowing constraints arise because borrowers face limited liability and debt repayment cannot be perfectly enforced. In the model, the dynamics of debt are closely linked with the dynamics of borrowing constraints. In fact, borrowing constraints must satisfy a dynamic consistency requirement: the value of outstanding debt restricts current access to short-term capital, but is itself determined by future access to credit. This dynamic consistency is not guaranteed in models of exogenous borrowing constraints, where the ability to raise short-term capital is limited by some prespecified function of debt. We characterize the optimal default-free contract—which minimizes borrowing constraints at all histories—and derive implications for firm growth, survival, leverage and debt maturity. The model is qualitatively consistent with stylized facts on the growth and survival of firms. Comparative statics with respect to technology and default constraints are derived. Copyright 2004, Wiley-Blackwell.
我们开发了一个在存在内生借贷约束的情况下借贷的一般模型。借贷限制的产生是因为借款人面临有限的责任,债务偿还不能完全执行。在该模型中,债务的动态与借贷约束的动态密切相关。事实上,借款限制必须满足动态一致性要求:未偿债务的价值限制了当前获得短期资本的机会,但它本身是由未来获得信贷的机会决定的。这种动态一致性在外生借贷约束模型中得不到保证,在外生借贷约束模型中,筹集短期资本的能力受到某些预先规定的债务功能的限制。我们描述了最优无违约契约——在所有历史中借贷约束最小化——并推导出对企业成长、生存、杠杆和债务期限的影响。该模型在质量上与企业成长和生存的程式化事实一致。导出了关于技术和默认约束的比较静态。版权所有,Wiley-Blackwell。
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引用次数: 590
Firm's R&D Behavior Under Rational Expectations 理性预期下的企业研发行为
Pub Date : 2002-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.41100
Lakshmi K. Raut
This paper formulates the inter-temporal R&D investment decision problem of private firms using an optimal stochastic control framework. The paper explicitly derives the R&D investment decision rule and the cross equations parameter restrictions imposed by the hypothesis of rational expectations, using only the Riccati equation, and not requiring the Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formula. Identification and estimation of the structural parameters are essential for evaluating policies to be free from Lucas critique. The paper finds conditions for identification of structural parameters, and discusses econometric procedures for estimation of structural parameters, and testing of the model.
本文利用最优随机控制框架,建立了民营企业研发投资跨期决策问题。本文仅使用Riccati方程,不需要使用Wiener-Kolmogorov预测公式,明确推导了R&D投资决策规则和理性期望假设所施加的交叉方程参数约束。识别和估计结构参数对于评估政策是必不可少的,以摆脱卢卡斯的批评。本文找到了结构参数辨识的条件,并讨论了结构参数估计的计量程序,以及模型的检验。
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引用次数: 1
Imperfect Contract Enforcement 合同执行不完善
Pub Date : 2002-03-01 DOI: 10.3386/W8847
James E. Anderson, L. Young
We model imperfect contract enforcement when repudiators and their victims default to spot trading. The interaction between the contract and spot markets under improved enforcement can exacerbate repudiation and reduce contract execution, harming all traders. Improved contract execution benefits traders on the excess side of the spot market by attracting potential counter-parties, but harms them by impeding their exit from contracts found to be unfavorable. Multiple equilibria and multiple optima are possible, with anarchy a local optimum, perfect enforcement a local minimum and imperfect enforcement a global optimum. LDCs exhibit parameter combinations such that imperfect enforcement is optimal from their side of international markets. The model thus rationalizes the internationally varying patterns of imperfect enforceability observable in survey data.
我们对违约方及其受害者违约即期交易时的不完善合同执行情况进行了建模。合约和现货市场之间的相互作用在加强执行的情况下会加剧拒付,减少合约执行,损害所有交易者。改善合约执行对现货市场过剩端的交易者有利,因为它吸引了潜在的交易对手,但对他们不利,因为它阻碍了他们退出发现不利的合约。多重均衡和多重最优是可能的,无政府状态是局部最优,完美执行是局部最小值,不完美执行是全局最优值。最不发达国家所表现出的参数组合使得不完善的执行从它们在国际市场的一方来说是最佳的。因此,该模型合理化了在调查数据中观察到的不完全可执行性的国际变化模式。
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引用次数: 19
Capital Structure and Product Markets Interactions: Evidence from Business Cycles 资本结构与产品市场互动:来自商业周期的证据
Pub Date : 2001-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.198228
Murillo Campello
This paper provides firm- and industry-level evidence on the effects of capital structure on product market outcomes for a large cross-section of industries. The analysis uses shocks to aggregate demand as surrogates for exogenous changes in the product market environment, dealing with concerns about the endogenous nature of the relation between financial structure and competitive performance. I find that debt financing has a negative impact on firm (relative-to-industry) sales growth in industries where rivals are relatively unlevered during recessions, but not during booms. In contrast, no such effects are observed for firms competing in high-debt industries. At the industry level, I find that markups are more countercyclical when industry debt is high. The cyclical dynamics I find for firm sales growth and for industry markups are consistent with Chevalier and Scharfstein's (1996) prediction that firms that rely more heavily on external financing are more prone to boost short-term profits at the expense of future sales in response to negative shocks to demand, and that the competitive outcomes resulting from such actions depend on the financial structures of their industry rivals.
本文提供了企业和行业层面的证据,证明资本结构对产品市场结果的影响。该分析使用对总需求的冲击来代替产品市场环境的外生变化,处理对财务结构与竞争绩效之间关系的内生性质的担忧。我发现债务融资对企业(相对于行业)的销售增长有负面影响,在这些行业中,竞争对手在衰退期间相对没有杠杆,而在繁荣时期则没有。相比之下,在高负债行业竞争的公司没有观察到这样的影响。在行业层面,我发现当行业债务高企时,加价更具逆周期性。我发现企业销售增长和行业加价的周期性动态与Chevalier和Scharfstein(1996)的预测是一致的,即更依赖外部融资的企业更倾向于以牺牲未来销售为代价来提高短期利润,以应对需求的负面冲击,而这种行为产生的竞争结果取决于其行业竞争对手的财务结构。
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引用次数: 362
Regulating Interchange Fees in Payment Systems 规管支付系统的交换费
Pub Date : 2001-10-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.286535
J. Gans, Stephen P. King
This paper provides a simple model of 'four party' payment systems designed to consider recent moves to regulate interchange fees and other rules of credit card associations. In contrast to recent formal analyses emphasising the role of network effects in the decisions of customer and merchants to use credit cards, we provide a model without such effects. In so doing, we identify the key role played by customers who determine the choice of payment instrument and hence, impose costs and benefits on other parties to a payment system. This model yields new insights regarding the role played by card association rules as well as confirming results derived elsewhere. In particular, we demonstrate that 'no surcharge' rules can encourage transaction efficiency by eliminating payment instrument choice as a means of price discrimination. We also demonstrate that, even in the absence of network effects, a desire for balance drives both the socially optimal and privately profit maximising choice of interchange fees. The role of the interchange fee is to ensure that the customer internalises the impact of its decisions on other participants to a payment system rather than from a need to account for network effects alone. Thus, the presence or otherwise of network effects should not be the focus of regulatory attention.
本文提供了一个“四方”支付系统的简单模型,旨在考虑最近监管交换费和信用卡协会其他规则的举措。与最近强调网络效应在顾客和商家使用信用卡决策中的作用的正式分析相反,我们提供了一个没有这种效应的模型。在此过程中,我们确定了客户所扮演的关键角色,他们决定了支付工具的选择,从而将成本和收益强加给支付系统的其他方。这个模型产生了关于卡片关联规则所起作用的新见解,并确认了其他地方得出的结果。特别是,我们证明了“无附加费”规则可以通过消除作为价格歧视手段的支付工具选择来提高交易效率。我们还证明,即使在没有网络效应的情况下,对平衡的渴望也会推动社会最优和私人利润最大化的交换费选择。交换费的作用是确保客户将其决策对支付系统其他参与者的影响内在化,而不是仅仅考虑网络效应。因此,网络效应的存在与否不应成为监管机构关注的焦点。
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引用次数: 10
The Choice of Private Versus Public Capital Markets: Evidence from Privatizations 私人资本市场与公共资本市场的选择:来自私有化的证据
Pub Date : 2001-10-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.289882
R. Nash, Jeffry Netter, W. Megginson, A. Poulsen
We examine the impact of political, institutional, and economic factors on the choice between selling a state-owned enterprise in the public capital market through a share issue privatization (SIP) and selling it in the private capital market in an asset sale. SIPs are more likely in less developed capital markets, for more profitable state-owned enterprises, and where there are more protections of minority shareholders. Asset sales are more likely when there is less state control of the economy and when the firm is smaller. Our results suggest the importance of privatization activities in developing the equity markets of privatizing countries. Copyright 2004 by The American Finance Association.
我们考察了政治、制度和经济因素对国有企业通过股票发行私有化(SIP)在公共资本市场出售和通过资产出售在私人资本市场出售之间选择的影响。在不太发达的资本市场、盈利能力更强的国有企业,以及对少数股东有更多保护的地方,更有可能出现sip。当国家对经济的控制较少,公司规模较小时,资产出售的可能性更大。我们的研究结果表明,私有化活动在发展私有化国家的股票市场的重要性。版权归美国金融协会所有。
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引用次数: 235
期刊
Industrial Organization & Regulation eJournal
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