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The British business census of entrepreneurs and firm-size, 1851–1881: New data for economic and business historians 1851-1881年英国企业家和公司规模普查:经济和商业历史学家的新数据
Pub Date : 2020-04-10 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1707140
Carry van Lieshout, R. Bennett, Harry Smith
Abstract The British census asked employers to record their workforce numbers. The responses to this instruction provide a unique resource on firm size. While the responses were digitized and included in the Individual Census Microdata (I-CeM) deposit, their format limits their utility. A further data deposit, the British Business Census of Entrepreneurs (BBCE), overcomes I-CeM’s deficiencies by infilling data gaps and parsing employer and workforce data into separate fields. This paper evaluates the coverage in I-CeM and BBCE data for this specific census question, and compares these with the published census analysis of the same data. The results prove the benefits of the BBCE data over I-CeM on the subject of firm size, and demonstrate the need for caution in using the published tables.
英国人口普查要求雇主记录他们的员工人数。对这一指令的回应提供了关于企业规模的独特资源。虽然这些回答被数字化并包含在个人普查微数据(I-CeM)数据库中,但它们的格式限制了它们的实用性。进一步的数据储备——英国企业家商业普查(BBCE)——填补了数据空白,并将雇主和劳动力数据解析为不同的字段,从而克服了I-CeM的不足。本文评估了I-CeM和BBCE数据对这一特定人口普查问题的覆盖范围,并将其与已发表的相同数据的人口普查分析进行了比较。结果证明了BBCE数据在企业规模方面优于I-CeM的好处,并表明在使用已发布的表时需要谨慎。
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引用次数: 8
Increasing returns to scale in the towns of early Tudor England 都铎王朝早期英格兰城镇的规模收益递增
Pub Date : 2020-03-23 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2020.1722775
Rudolf Cesaretti, J. Lobo, L. Bettencourt, Michael E. Smith
Abstract Urban agglomeration economies make cities central to theories of modern economic growth. There is historical evidence for the presence of Smithian growth and agglomeration effects in English towns c.1450-1670, but seminal assessments deny the presence of agglomeration effects and productivity gains to Early Modern English towns. This study evaluates the presence of increasing returns to scale (IRS) in aggregate urban economic outputs—the empirical signature of feedbacks between Smithian growth and agglomeration effects—among the towns of 16th century England. To do so, we test a model from settlement scaling theory against the 1524/5 Lay Subsidy returns. Analysis of these data indicates that Tudor towns exhibited IRS—a finding that is robust to alternative interpretations of the data. IRS holds even for the smallest towns in our sample, suggesting the absence of town size thresholds for the emergence of agglomeration effects. Spatial patterning of scaling residuals further suggests regional demand-side interactions with Smithian-agglomeration feedbacks. These findings suggest the presence of agglomeration effects and Smithian growth in pre-industrial English towns. This begs us to reconsider the economic performance of Early Modern English towns, and suggests that the qualitative economic dynamics of contemporary cities may be applicable to premodern settlements in general.
城市群经济使城市成为现代经济增长理论的核心。有历史证据表明,在1450-1670年的英国城镇中存在史密斯式的增长和集聚效应,但开创性的评估否认了近代早期英国城镇中存在集聚效应和生产力增长。本研究评估了16世纪英格兰城镇经济总量中规模收益递增(IRS)的存在——史密斯增长与集聚效应之间反馈的经验特征。为此,我们针对1524/5 Lay Subsidy回报测试了一个来自沉降缩放理论的模型。对这些数据的分析表明,都铎王朝的城镇表现出irs——这一发现对数据的其他解释是强有力的。IRS甚至适用于我们样本中最小的城镇,这表明集聚效应的出现没有城镇规模阈值。尺度残差的空间格局进一步表明区域需求侧与史密斯集聚反馈的相互作用。这些发现表明,在工业化前的英国城镇中存在集聚效应和史密斯式增长。这要求我们重新考虑早期现代英国城镇的经济表现,并建议当代城市的定性经济动态可能适用于一般的前现代定居点。
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引用次数: 3
Routes as latent information—spatial analysis of historical pathways on the peripheries of the Victorian gold fields 路线作为潜在信息——维多利亚时代金矿外围历史路径的空间分析
Pub Date : 2020-03-09 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2020.1728458
Richard J. MacNeill
Abstract This article argues that the existing network of roads, arising from socially mediated human behavior, represents a well-preserved feature present across a broad region and contains latent historical information that can be retrieved using appropriate analytical techniques. It presents a method combining iterative cost path modeling and proximity analysis to reconstruct patterns of historical movement, and uses the results of this analysis as a heuristic tool to delineate regional social distinctions evident in characteristics of land appropriation and settlement within an area on the peripheries of the goldfields of central Victoria. The results of the least-cost route and proximity analysis presented in this paper delineate variations in patterns of movement across the study area that suggest distinctions in community development and character, adding depth and nuance to histories of the gold fields and their later years and supporting alternatives to assumptions of linear historical change.
本文认为,现有的道路网络是由社会介导的人类行为产生的,代表了一个保存完好的特征,存在于广泛的地区,并包含可以通过适当的分析技术检索的潜在历史信息。本文提出了一种结合迭代成本路径模型和邻近分析的方法来重建历史运动模式,并将该分析结果作为一种启发式工具来描绘维多利亚州中部金矿外围地区土地占用和定居特征中明显的区域社会差异。本文中提出的最低成本路线和邻近分析的结果描绘了研究区域内移动模式的变化,表明社区发展和特征的差异,增加了金矿及其后期历史的深度和细微差别,并支持线性历史变化假设的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
How Many Household Formation Systems Were There in Historic Europe? A View Across 256 Regions Using Partitioning Clustering Methods 历史上的欧洲有多少种家庭形成制度?使用分区聚类方法跨256个区域的视图
Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1656591
M. Szołtysek, Bartosz Ogórek
Abstract This paper reconsiders one of historical demography’s most pertinent research problems: the fiddly concept of historical household formation systems. Using a massive repository of historical census micro-data from the North Atlantic Population Project and the Mosaic project, the four markers of Hajnal’s household formation rules were operationalized for 256 regional rural populations from Catalonia in the west to central Siberia in the east, between 1700 and 1926. We then analyze these data using the Partitioning Around Medoids algorithm in order to empirically derive the “natural groups” based on the similarity and the dissimilarity of their household formation traits. Although regional differences between European household formation systems are readily identifiable, the two statistically most valid clustering solutions (k = 2; k = 4) provide a more complex picture of household formation regimes than Hajnal and his followers have been able to compile. Our finding that when regional populations cluster on similar household formation characteristics, they often come from both sides of Hajnal’s “imaginary line,” calls into question strict bipolar divisions of the continent. By and large, we show that the long-lived idea of two household formation systems in preindustrial Europe obscures considerable variability in historical family behavior, and therefore needs to be amended.
摘要:本文重新思考历史人口学中最相关的研究问题之一:历史家庭形成制度的繁琐概念。利用来自北大西洋人口项目和马赛克项目的大量历史人口普查微观数据库,从1700年到1926年,从西部的加泰罗尼亚到东部的西伯利亚中部,256个地区农村人口中,Hajnal的家庭形成规则的四个标志被操作。然后,我们使用分割算法对这些数据进行分析,以便根据其家庭结构特征的相似性和差异性经验推导出“自然群体”。虽然欧洲家庭形成系统之间的区域差异很容易识别,但两种统计上最有效的聚类解决方案(k = 2;k = 4)提供了一幅比Hajnal和他的追随者能够汇编的更复杂的家庭形成机制的图景。我们的发现是,当区域人口聚集在相似的家庭组成特征上时,他们通常来自Hajnal“想象线”的两侧,这对大陆严格的两极划分提出了质疑。总的来说,我们表明,在工业化前的欧洲,两种家庭形成系统的长期观念掩盖了历史上家庭行为的相当大的变异性,因此需要修正。
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引用次数: 6
Population density and the accuracy of the land valuations in the 1798 federal direct tax 人口密度与1798年联邦直接税中土地估价的准确性
Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1678444
Frank W. Garmon Jr.
Abstract The peculiar operation of the 1798 federal direct tax has led scholars to question whether tax officials reported the land valuations from their districts faithfully. Peter Lindert and Jeffrey Williamson argue that southern tax assessors systemically under reported the value of southern real estate, and they adjust their income estimates to account for the likelihood of corruption. This paper affirms the reliability of the tax returns by demonstrating that population density, rather than corruption or lax enforcement, can explain nearly all of the variation between the assessment districts. Accepting the tax valuations as accurate would lower Lindert and Williamson’s income estimates, imply slower growth rate between 1774 and 1800, and suggest a higher growth rate between 1800 and 1850.
1798年联邦直接税的特殊操作导致学者们质疑税务官员是否忠实地报告了他们所在地区的土地价值。彼得·林德特和杰弗里·威廉姆森认为,南方的税务评估人员系统性地低估了南方房地产的价值,他们调整了收入估算,以考虑腐败的可能性。本文通过证明人口密度,而不是腐败或执法不严,可以解释评估区之间几乎所有的差异,从而肯定了纳税申报单的可靠性。接受准确的税收估值会降低Lindert和Williamson的收入估计,这意味着1774年至1800年之间的增长率较低,而1800年至1850年之间的增长率较高。
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引用次数: 0
Reconstruction of regional and national population using intermittent census-type data: The case of Portugal, 1527–1864 使用间断性人口普查数据重建区域和国家人口:葡萄牙1527-1864年的案例
Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1666762
Nuno Palma, Jaime Reis, Mengtian Zhang
Abstract We offer a new methodology for the construction of annual population stocks over the very long run. Our method does not require the assumption of a closed economy, and can be used in situations in which local annual gross flows are obtainable. Combining gross flows with intermittent census-type data, it is possible to arrive at local, regional and national population stock estimates at annual frequencies. We provide an application to early modern and nineteenth century Portugal, using a large sample of parish-level statistics up to the first modern census of 1864. All six major regions of the country are considered.
摘要:本文提出了一种长期种群种群年资源量构建的新方法。我们的方法不需要假设一个封闭的经济,并且可以在可获得当地年度总流量的情况下使用。将总流量与间断性普查数据结合起来,就有可能得出每年一次的地方、区域和国家人口存量估计数。我们提供了一个应用程序,以早期现代和十九世纪的葡萄牙,使用一个大样本的教区级统计数据,直到1864年的第一次现代人口普查。该国所有六个主要地区都被考虑在内。
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引用次数: 10
Working with the public in historical data creation 与公众一起创建历史数据
Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1629720
H. Southall, Don Lafreniere
Historians engage with the nonacademic public in diverse ways, from blogging their research, to publicfriendly periodicals, to the art and practice of public historians. Within this special issue we present another way to engage with the broader public, through the shared creation of historical data. The four papers in this special issue arise from a session on historical crowdsourcing at the 42nd Annual Meeting of the Social Science History Association, in Montreal in 2017. Each paper presents a different approach to using webbased interfaces to co-create historical data with a broad nonacademic audience. Scholars from across the historical sciences can use the lessons learned within this issue to guide development of their own public-facing data creation projects. There are a multitude of approaches to involving the broader public in the research process, and Lafreniere et al. herein presents an extensive overview. However, one fundamental distinction is between true crowdsourcing and “citizen science”. The former means asking the public to contribute historical knowledge, such as Pooley and Turnbull (1998) asking family historians for their ancestors’ migration histories, or seeking personally-held historical documents, such as HistoryPin’s online assembly of geo-located old photographs (www. historypin.org). None of the projects presented here prioritized this approach, though some include elements, instead they broadly follow a citizen science or public participatory model by providing the public with the historical documents to work on. However, none operated under the formal umbrella of the Citizen Science Alliance (CSA; www.citizensciencealliance.org), which developed out of the paradigmatic Galaxy Zoo project. The projects herein all aimed to broaden engagement, involving the public in designing the software, funding the project or simply feeling part of a shared endeavor. GB1900 (Aucott et al.) worked with the National Libraries of Scotland and Wales, and 1,200 online volunteers, to transcribe the 2.55 million text strings on the Ordnance Survey’s second edition County Series six inch maps of Great Britain published 1887–1913, a scale showing and naming all major streets. The project’s history and outputs are described elsewhere (Southall et al. 2017; Aucott and Southall 2019), so this paper focuses on the volunteers, presenting detailed analyses of individual “transcribing histories”, an online questionnaire and semi-structured interviews. This project attempted to also gather personal names for places, but both the interface and publicity emphasized transcription, and results were very limited. The Keweenaw Time Traveler Project (KeTT; Lafreniere et al.) employed a public participatory GIS model that asks “Citizen Historians” to create historical GIS data from Sanborn fire insurance plans, produced between 1880 and 1950. The project included the public in the design of the webapps by utilizing an in-person user-centered design approac
历史学家以多种方式与非学术公众接触,从他们的研究博客,到对公众友好的期刊,再到公共历史学家的艺术和实践。在本期特刊中,我们提出了另一种与更广泛的公众接触的方式,即通过共享历史数据。本期特刊中的四篇论文来自于2017年在蒙特利尔举行的第42届社会科学史协会年会上关于历史众包的一次会议。每篇论文都介绍了一种不同的方法,使用基于web的界面与广泛的非学术受众共同创建历史数据。来自各个历史科学领域的学者可以利用本期杂志的经验教训来指导他们自己面向公众的数据创建项目的开发。有许多方法可以让更广泛的公众参与研究过程,Lafreniere等人在此提出了广泛的概述。然而,真正的众包和“公民科学”之间有一个根本的区别。前者意味着要求公众贡献历史知识,如Pooley和Turnbull(1998)向家庭历史学家询问他们祖先的迁移历史,或寻求个人持有的历史文件,如HistoryPin的在线地理定位旧照片汇编(www.historypin)。historypin.org)。这里介绍的项目都没有优先考虑这种方法,尽管有些项目包含了一些元素,而是通过向公众提供历史文件来广泛遵循公民科学或公众参与模式。然而,没有一个是在公民科学联盟(CSA)的正式保护伞下运作的。www.citizensciencealliance.org),它是由典型的银河动物园项目发展而来的。这里的项目都旨在扩大参与,让公众参与到软件设计、项目资助或仅仅是感受共同努力的一部分。GB1900 (Aucott et al.)与苏格兰和威尔士的国家图书馆以及1200名在线志愿者合作,转录了地形测量局第二版1887-1913年出版的英国郡系六英寸地图上的255万文本字符串,该地图显示并命名了所有主要街道。该项目的历史和产出在其他地方描述(Southall et al. 2017;Aucott and Southall 2019),因此本文将重点放在志愿者身上,对个人“转录历史”、在线问卷和半结构化访谈进行了详细分析。这个项目也试图收集地名,但界面和宣传都强调抄写,结果非常有限。Keweenaw时间旅行者项目(凯特;Lafreniere等人)采用了一种公众参与式GIS模型,该模型要求“公民历史学家”从1880年至1950年间生产的Sanborn火灾保险计划中创建历史GIS数据。该项目利用以用户为中心的设计方法,将公众纳入网络应用程序的设计中(Scarlett et al. 2018)。这三个不同的KeTT网络应用程序要求用户对建筑材料、建筑用途和功能进行分类,并抄写有关所有权的地图符号和其他有关建筑环境的定性信息。公众创建的数据自动链接到研究人员创建的数据集,如地理编码人口普查和城市目录,并通过第四个web应用程序立即可用。这款“探索App”将两种数据类型语境化,为公众创建的数据增加了代理和权威,同时补充和丰富了研究人员创建的数据。DRAW项目(数据救援:档案和天气;Sieber和Slonosky)利用混合的众包和公民科学模型来转录
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引用次数: 3
Creating an audience: Experiences from the Surinamese slave registers crowdsourcing project 创造受众:苏里南奴隶登记众包项目的经验
Pub Date : 2019-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1590268
Cornelis W. van Galen
Abstract Crowdsourcing for research promises great rewards, but it is often hard to get the public involved in such a way that they are willing to spend their time and money on such a project. The Surinamese Slave Registers crowdsourcing project is an attempt to tackle this problem by combining a crowdfunding campaign with the recruitment of volunteers. To get the public interested, we focussed on inclusion, the sense that we worked together to make this history visible, both in our communication and towards volunteers in the transcription phase. This proved to be a successful combination. Within a month we raised the necessary funds and enlisted hundreds of volunteers, who transcribed a dataset including some 70,000 enslaved persons in little more than three months.
研究的众包承诺了巨大的回报,但通常很难让公众参与其中,以至于他们愿意在这样的项目上花费时间和金钱。苏里南奴隶登记众包项目试图通过众筹活动和招募志愿者相结合的方式来解决这个问题。为了引起公众的兴趣,我们专注于包容性,即我们共同努力使这段历史可见,无论是在我们的交流中,还是在转录阶段对志愿者。事实证明,这是一个成功的组合。在一个月内,我们筹集了必要的资金,并招募了数百名志愿者,他们在三个多月的时间里转录了一个包含约7万名奴隶的数据集。
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引用次数: 4
A graph-based analysis for generating geographical context from a historical cadastre in Spain (17th and 18th centuries) 从西班牙历史地籍(17和18世纪)生成地理背景的基于图形的分析
Pub Date : 2019-04-30 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1590269
B. Zaragozí, P. Giménez-Font, Antonio Belda-Antolí, Alfredo Ramón-Morte
Abstract The cabreves are notarial documents prepared between the 13th and 19th centuries in the Catalan and Valencian regions of Spain. These historical records were published before the first cadastral maps and contain geographical information that could help spatially reconstruct historical landscapes. However, these documents have not been used to their full potential mainly because of their semi-structured and complex nature. In this article, we propose a new graph-based interactive methodology for partially reconstructing historical landscapes. We have successfully applied this methodology for reconstructing the historical landscape of the Barony of Sella in the 18th century and the methodology has also helped us locate “El Poblet,” a previously unknown archeological site abandoned after the expulsion of the Moriscos in 1609.
cabreves是西班牙加泰罗尼亚和巴伦西亚地区在13世纪至19世纪之间制作的公证文件。这些历史记录是在第一张地籍地图之前出版的,其中包含的地理信息有助于在空间上重建历史景观。但是,这些文件没有充分发挥其潜力,主要是因为它们具有半结构化和复杂的性质。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的基于图形的交互式方法来部分重建历史景观。我们已经成功地应用这种方法重建了18世纪塞拉男爵的历史景观,这种方法还帮助我们找到了“El Poblet”,这是一个以前不为人知的考古遗址,在1609年驱逐摩洛哥人后被遗弃。
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引用次数: 5
Sex ratios and life tables: Historical demography of the age at which women outnumber men in seven countries, 1850–2016 性别比例和生命表:1850-2016年七个国家女性人数超过男性年龄的历史人口统计
Pub Date : 2019-04-26 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1605863
Michael S. Hollingshaus, R. Utz, Ryan Schacht, Ken R. Smith
Abstract The male/female sex ratio (SR) and its age-specific patterns vary considerably across time and place. The SR generally begins male-biased at birth and becomes female-biased later in life, but this relationship should respond to historical trends and events. Temporal trends in SRs remain largely unstudied and formal demographic relationships are not well defined. We (1) define SRs in a life table framework, (2) estimate the age at which the number of males and females achieves parity—the sex ratio crossover (SRX)—using basic life table methods, and (3) explore historical and international patterns in these trends. Using publicly-available data from the Human Mortality Database, we construct SR and SRX measures from period and cohort life tables. Analyses explore temporal patterns for seven countries in different global regions since 1850. Overall temporal trends show the SRX advancing to older ages. The SRX also appears to respond to historical events such as wars and epidemics. The measure is simple to construct from life table data, and provides additional insight into the historical context of gender dynamics.
男女性别比(SR)及其年龄特征在不同的时间和地点有很大的差异。社会性别通常在出生时开始偏向男性,在以后的生活中变成偏向女性,但这种关系应该对历史趋势和事件做出反应。SRs的时间趋势在很大程度上仍未得到研究,正式的人口关系也没有得到很好的界定。我们(1)在生命表框架中定义SRs,(2)使用基本生命表方法估计男女数量达到均等的年龄-性别比率交叉(SRX),以及(3)探索这些趋势的历史和国际模式。使用人类死亡率数据库中公开可用的数据,我们从时期和队列生命表中构建SR和SRX测量。分析了自1850年以来全球不同地区七个国家的时间模式。总体时间趋势显示SRX向老年期推进。SRX似乎也对战争和流行病等历史事件作出反应。该测量方法很容易从生命表数据中构建,并为性别动态的历史背景提供了额外的见解。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History
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