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Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History最新文献

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British employer census returns in new digital records 1851–81; consistency, non-response, and truncation – what this means for analysis 1851-81年英国雇主普查新数字记录;一致性、无响应和截断——这对分析意味着什么
Pub Date : 2022-01-11 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.2018373
R. Bennett, L. Hannah
Abstract Newly available digital resources from the British census identify employers and their workforce size. However, there was a non-response rate of about 2.3% for smaller firms, rising to over 10% for firms over about 300 employees, and higher for the largest manufacturing firms. Non-responses are largely random except for different forms of business organization: significantly higher for corporates, and lower for unincorporated enterprises, but with no significant differences between partnerships and sole proprietors. Proprietor age is also significant. Non-response derives from defective census design and administration. Transcription truncations are also evaluated, which are higher for the largest firms, and vary by sector and position in the response string. Guidance to researchers on weighting and robust estimation strategies are presented for dealing with these limitations.
来自英国人口普查的最新可用数字资源确定了雇主及其劳动力规模。然而,小型企业的无回复率约为2.3%,员工超过300人的企业的无回复率上升至10%以上,而最大的制造企业的无回复率更高。除了不同的商业组织形式外,无反应在很大程度上是随机的:公司制企业的无反应显著较高,非法人企业的无反应较低,但合伙企业和个人经营者之间无显著差异。经营者的年龄也很重要。不回应源于普查设计和管理的缺陷。转录截断也会被评估,对于最大的公司来说,这是更高的,并且根据部门和响应字符串中的位置而变化。为研究人员提供了处理这些限制的加权和稳健估计策略的指导。
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引用次数: 3
Overflowing tables: Changes in the energy intake and the social context of Thanksgiving in the United States 满桌:能量摄入的变化和美国感恩节的社会背景
Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.2010153
Diana Thomas, Gail E. S. Yoshitani, Dusty S Turner, Ajay Hariharan, S. Bhutani, D. B. Allison, A. Moniz, S. Heymsfield, D. Schoeller, H. Hull, D. Fields
Abstract In the United States, recent studies have demonstrated weight gain over Thanksgiving contributing to a significant portion of annual national weight gain. Understanding the social context of how Thanksgiving celebrations were perceived is critical for preventing and reducing excess weight during this time. Energy intake from present-day data was back-calculated from body weight data collected in participants before and after Thanksgiving. Similar calculations were performed in studies that also included Christmas. A Latent Dirichlet Allocation analysis of topics scraped from Twitter under the hashtag #thanksgiving was performed. The top topics and search queries from Google Trends on Thanksgiving 2020 were also identified. Since 1621, the social context of Thanksgiving has evolved from a focus on prayer and celebrated gratitude to a focus on food, football, and retail. What is served on Thanksgiving and its energy content has not substantially changed since the late 18th century. On the other hand, body weights and mean energy intake have steadily increased over time with the most rapid increases occurring since 1941. The shift in the social context of Thanksgiving and other factors of an existing obesogenic environment have likely combined to generate increased energy intake and weight gain during Thanksgiving.
在美国,最近的研究表明,感恩节期间的体重增加占全国年度体重增加的很大一部分。了解感恩节庆祝活动的社会背景对于预防和减少这段时间的超重至关重要。今天的能量摄入数据是根据感恩节前后收集的参与者的体重数据反向计算的。在包括圣诞节在内的研究中也进行了类似的计算。对推特上#感恩节标签下的话题进行了潜在狄利克雷分配分析。还确定了2020年感恩节b谷歌趋势的热门话题和搜索查询。自1621年以来,感恩节的社会背景已经从专注于祈祷和庆祝感恩演变为专注于食物、足球和零售。自18世纪后期以来,感恩节所吃的食物及其能量含量并没有发生实质性的变化。另一方面,随着时间的推移,体重和平均能量摄入稳步增加,自1941年以来增长最快。感恩节社会背景的转变和现有致肥环境的其他因素可能共同导致感恩节期间能量摄入增加和体重增加。
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引用次数: 0
EconHist: a relational database for analyzing the evolution of economic history (1980–2019) EconHist:分析经济史演变的关系数据库(1980-2019)
Pub Date : 2022-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.2014376
Alvaro La Parra-Perez, Félix-Fernando Muñoz, Nadia Fernández-de-Pinedo
Abstract Since the cliometric revolution, the future of economic history has been discussed in relation to its supposedly increasing integration with economics and other disciplines. Any well-grounded argument in this regard would require a quantitative and qualitative analysis of the scientific production of economic historians in recent decades. This article provides a systematic method for collecting and analyzing the scientific production—in the form of indexed articles—of a broad and representative sample of authors who identify themselves as economic historians. From this sample, we have built EconHist, a relational database that contains the bibliometric information provided by Scopus, and the biographical information from authors’ curricula vitae between 1980 and 2019. Finally, we show the opportunities and difficulties related to the design and development of such a database.
自计量学革命以来,人们一直在讨论经济史的未来,认为它与经济学和其他学科的融合正在增加。在这方面,任何有充分根据的论点都需要对近几十年来经济史学家的科学成果进行定量和定性分析。这篇文章提供了一个系统的方法来收集和分析科学成果——以索引文章的形式——一个广泛的、有代表性的作者样本,他们认为自己是经济历史学家。从这个样本中,我们建立了EconHist,一个包含Scopus提供的文献计量信息和作者简历中1980年至2019年的传记信息的关系数据库。最后,我们展示了设计和开发这样一个数据库的机会和困难。
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引用次数: 2
The use of quantile methods in economic history 在经济史中使用分位数方法
Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2198272
D. Clarke, Manuel Llorca Jaña, Daniel Pailañir
Abstract Quantile regression and quantile treatment effect methods are powerful econometric tools for considering economic impacts of events or variables of interest beyond the mean. The use of quantile methods allows for an examination of impacts of some independent variable over the entire distribution of continuous dependent variables. Measurement in many quantitative settings in economic history have as a key input continuous outcome variables of interest. Among many other cases, human height and demographics, economic growth, earnings and wages, and crop production are generally recorded as continuous measures, and are collected and studied by economic historians. In this paper we describe and discuss the broad utility of quantile regression for use in research in economic history, review recent quantitative literature in the field, point to potential limits in its use, and provide an illustrative example of the use of these methods based on 20,000 records of human height measured across 50-plus years in the 19th and 20th centuries. We suggest that, despite limitations in certain settings, there is still considerably more room in the literature on economic history to convincingly and productively apply quantile regression methods.
分位数回归和分位数处理效应方法是考虑超出平均值的事件或感兴趣的变量的经济影响的强大计量经济学工具。使用分位数方法可以检查一些自变量对连续因变量的整个分布的影响。在经济史上的许多定量设置中,测量作为一个关键的输入,连续的结果变量感兴趣。在许多其他案例中,人类身高和人口统计、经济增长、收入和工资以及作物生产通常被记录为连续的测量,并由经济史学家收集和研究。在本文中,我们描述和讨论了分位数回归在经济史研究中的广泛应用,回顾了该领域最近的定量文献,指出了其使用中的潜在限制,并提供了一个基于19世纪和20世纪50多年来测量的20,000条人类身高记录的示例。我们认为,尽管在某些情况下存在局限性,但在经济史文献中仍有相当大的空间来令人信服地有效地应用分位数回归方法。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping the Third Republic: A Geographic Information System of France (1870–1940) 测绘第三共和国:法国地理信息系统(1870-1940)
Pub Date : 2021-08-09 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.1937421
Victor Gay
Abstract This article describes a comprehensive geographic information system of Third Republic France: the TRF-GIS. It provides annual nomenclatures and shapefiles of administrative constituencies of metropolitan France from 1870 to 1940, encompassing general administrative constituencies (départements, arrondissements, cantons) as well as the most significant special administrative constituencies: military, judicial and penitentiary, electoral, academic, labor inspection, and ecclesiastical constituencies. It further proposes annual nomenclatures at the contemporaneous commune level that map each municipality into its corresponding administrative framework along with its population count. The 901 nomenclatures, 830 shapefiles, and complete reproduction material of the TRF-GIS are available at https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/TRF-GIS.
本文介绍了法兰西第三共和国的一个综合地理信息系统:TRF-GIS。它提供了从1870年到1940年法国大区行政选区的年度名称和形状,包括一般行政选区(行政区、区、州)以及最重要的特别行政选区:军事、司法和监狱、选举、学术、劳动监察和教会选区。它还建议在同时期的市镇一级进行年度命名,将每个市镇连同其人口统计一起纳入其相应的行政框架。901个名称,830个形状文件和完整的复制材料的基金会-地理信息系统可在https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/TRF-GIS。
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引用次数: 5
Using word analysis to track the evolution of emotional well-being in nineteenth-century industrializing Britain 使用词汇分析来追踪十九世纪工业化中的英国人的情感幸福感的演变
Pub Date : 2021-07-16 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.1952915
Pierre Lack
Abstract Happiness economics theorizes that economic growth is only tenuously connected to happiness. This article tests this theory on historical evidence by quantifying the trend in emotional well-being (EWB) of British men during the period of rapid industrialization between 1800 and 1900, using a digitized corpus of 19,682 pamphlets published in Britain during this period and held by JSTOR. EWB is measured between these years using a sentiment analysis method of quantifying the frequency over time of a set of positive-valence (“happy”) word groups relative to negative-valence (“sad”) word groups in the corpus, finding that it remains trendless throughout. This method thereby also provides insight into the quality of life of men during the Industrial Revolution.
幸福经济学认为,经济增长与幸福之间的联系非常微弱。本文通过对1800年至1900年快速工业化时期英国男性的情绪幸福感趋势(EWB)进行量化的历史证据来检验这一理论,使用了在这一时期英国出版并由JSTOR持有的19682本小册子的数字化语料库。在这几年之间,使用情感分析方法来测量EWB,该方法量化语料库中一组正效价(“快乐”)词组相对于负效价(“悲伤”)词组的频率,发现它始终保持无趋势。因此,这种方法也提供了对工业革命期间人类生活质量的洞察。
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引用次数: 0
Locating the Manhattan housing market: GIS evidence for 1880-1910 定位曼哈顿房地产市场:1880-1910年的GIS证据
Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2020.1832007
Rowena Gray, Rocco Bowman
Abstract There is a dearth of systematic information about the historical New York City housing market. We present a new sample containing rental price and characteristic data for 10,715 Manhattan units which was collected from historical newspapers for the period 1880–1910. These units were geolocated to the historical map of Manhattan Island to explore their geographic coverage, using Geographic Information System (GIS) software. We use this new sample to plot the evolution of the location and quality of available Manhattan housing units and the development of new neighborhoods. This complements existing research on the growth of New York City and the evolution of the ethnic composition of neighborhoods across Census years, as we show information at annual frequency during this time of high growth for the city.
关于历史上的纽约市房地产市场,缺乏系统的信息。我们提出了一个新的样本,其中包含了10,715个曼哈顿单元的租金价格和特征数据,这些数据来自1880-1910年期间的历史报纸。利用地理信息系统(GIS)软件,这些单位被定位到曼哈顿岛的历史地图上,以探索它们的地理覆盖范围。我们使用这个新样本来绘制曼哈顿可用住房单元的位置和质量的演变以及新社区的发展。这补充了现有的关于纽约市增长和人口普查期间社区种族构成演变的研究,因为我们在城市高增长时期以每年的频率显示信息。
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引用次数: 5
How many countries in the world? The geopolitical entities of the world and their political status from 1816 to the present 世界上有多少个国家?1816年至今世界地缘政治实体及其政治地位
Pub Date : 2021-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.1939826
B. Dedinger, Paul Girard
Abstract Answering the question “how many countries are there in the world?” turns out to be more complex than it seems, as there is currently no quantitative tool dedicated to this issue. Starting from the lists of national political units created by the instigators of the Correlates of War project, we have built a dataset and visual documentation that identifies the political status, whether sovereign or non-sovereign, of the geopolitical entities of the world from 1816 to the present. This paper aims to present the new dataset, GeoPolHist, by explaining the conceptual and methodological issues raised by the construction of this type of dataset as well as the scientific interest of such data for research on the political history of the world or on the impact of political status.
回答“世界上有多少个国家?”事实证明,这个问题比看起来要复杂得多,因为目前还没有专门针对这个问题的量化工具。从战争相关项目的发起者创建的国家政治单位列表开始,我们建立了一个数据集和可视化文档,以确定从1816年到现在世界地缘政治实体的政治地位,无论是主权还是非主权。本文旨在通过解释这种类型的数据集的构建所引起的概念和方法问题,以及这种数据在研究世界政治史或政治地位影响方面的科学兴趣,来呈现新的数据集,GeoPolHist。
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引用次数: 2
Political coalitions in the House of Commons, 1660–1690: New data and applications 下议院的政治联盟,1660-1690:新数据和应用
Pub Date : 2021-03-24 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2021.1906809
Kara Dimitruk
Abstract Political coalitions and their interaction with the Crown were central to political dynamics in England from 1660 to 1715. This paper introduces a new database of political affiliations of Members of Parliament (MPs), compiled from contemporary parliamentary lists, from 1660 to 1690. It uses the database to construct a measure of the majority Court or Opposition coalition in the House of Commons. It shows the majority coalition became increasingly cohesive during this period. It then uses the database to produce similar measures of majority coalition strength across constituencies to study the evolution of constituency support for coalitions from 1660 to 1715. The main findings suggest the Glorious Revolution of 1688 led to a significant break in constituency support for political groups. An analysis of constituency coalition preferences during periods of polarization like the Exclusion Crisis (1679–1681) shows constituency support pre-1688 was in part shaped in the absence of general elections and that Dissenters were an important base for the first Whigs in 1679.
从1660年到1715年,政治联盟及其与国王的互动是英国政治动态的核心。本文介绍了从1660年到1690年的当代议会名单中汇编的国会议员(MPs)政治派别的新数据库。它使用该数据库来构建下议院中多数法院或反对派联盟的衡量标准。这表明多数联盟在这一时期变得越来越有凝聚力。然后,它使用数据库来产生跨选区的多数联盟强度的类似度量,以研究从1660年到1715年选区对联盟的支持的演变。主要研究结果表明,1688年的光荣革命导致选民对政治团体的支持大幅下降。对排他危机(1679 - 1681)等两极化时期的选区联盟偏好的分析表明,1688年之前的选区支持在一定程度上是在没有大选的情况下形成的,而非国党人是1679年第一个辉格党成立的重要基础。
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引用次数: 2
The Capacity Trend Method: A new approach for enumerating the Newfoundland cod fisheries (1675–1790) 容量趋势法:列举纽芬兰鳕鱼渔业的新方法(1675-1790)
Pub Date : 2021-01-27 DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2020.1853643
J. Nicholls, Bernard Allaire, Poul Holm
Abstract We apply a novel methodology to the study of the Newfoundland cod fisheries in order to determine a reasoned and acceptable chronological value series for total catch amounts in the early modern period where data are scarce. The paper focuses on the two main protagonists in the Newfoundland fisheries arena in that period: France and England. The period 1675–1790 has been selected as a viable and representative chronology for a case study where data, while available in part, are limited and often missing. The new methodology proposed here enables further exploration, input and assessment such that an ever-greater level of accuracy, integrity and robustness may be achieved in future.
摘要:我们应用一种新颖的方法来研究纽芬兰鳕鱼渔业,以确定一个合理的和可接受的时间序列,总捕获量在近代早期的数据是稀缺的。本文的重点是在那个时期纽芬兰渔业领域的两个主要主角:法国和英国。1675-1790年被选为一个可行的和有代表性的年表,作为一个案例研究的数据,虽然部分可用,但有限且经常缺失。这里提出的新方法可以进一步探索、输入和评估,以便在未来实现更高水平的准确性、完整性和稳健性。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History
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