Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-27DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102967
Jiali Yan , Junyang Yin
How do banks contribute to the green economy? Using a unique dataset detailing firms' revenue exposure to green business activities, we present new evidence that firms generating revenue from green products and services are associated with lower syndicated loan spreads. We find that the green revenue effects on loan spreads are attributable to firms' prospects tied to climate change-related opportunities and banks' environmental orientation. Foreign banks subject to mandatory environmental, social, and governance (ESG) disclosure regulations reduce the loan spreads to green revenue firms. We also find suggestive evidence that firms with green revenue tend to file more green patents following loan origination. While banks typically perceive green innovation as riskier and demand higher loan spreads, this effect is offset if a firm also generates green revenue. Collectively, our results highlight the pivotal role that banks play in channeling financial resources toward green business practices.
{"title":"Corporate green revenue and syndicated loan pricing","authors":"Jiali Yan , Junyang Yin","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102967","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102967","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How do banks contribute to the green economy? Using a unique dataset detailing firms' revenue exposure to green business activities, we present new evidence that firms generating revenue from green products and services are associated with lower syndicated loan spreads. We find that the green revenue effects on loan spreads are attributable to firms' prospects tied to climate change-related opportunities and banks' environmental orientation. Foreign banks subject to mandatory environmental, social, and governance (ESG) disclosure regulations reduce the loan spreads to green revenue firms. We also find suggestive evidence that firms with green revenue tend to file more green patents following loan origination. While banks typically perceive green innovation as riskier and demand higher loan spreads, this effect is offset if a firm also generates green revenue. Collectively, our results highlight the pivotal role that banks play in channeling financial resources toward green business practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102967"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146073913","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-02DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102942
Marcin Borsuk , Zhuoya Du , Tinghua Duan , Oskar Kowalewski , Jianping Qi , Gireesh Shrimali
Examining the effects of climate risks on credit ratings, we find that the adverse impact of transition risk is greater for firms that are also exposed to higher physical risk. We exploit the first Trump administration's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement as a shock and show that, following the withdrawal announcement, high-emitting U.S. firms improve credit ratings by more than low-emitting U.S. firms and non-U.S. counterparts. This improvement is also larger for firms with greater exposure to physical risk. While firms' environmental and green activities alleviate the effect of transition risk on credit ratings, their climate-adaptation efforts affect the role of physical risk. Our results shed light on the compound effect of joint exposures to twin climate risks that amplify a firm's financial distress and default risk.
{"title":"Twin threats: The compound effect of transition and physical climate risks on firms' credit ratings","authors":"Marcin Borsuk , Zhuoya Du , Tinghua Duan , Oskar Kowalewski , Jianping Qi , Gireesh Shrimali","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102942","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102942","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Examining the effects of climate risks on credit ratings, we find that the adverse impact of transition risk is greater for firms that are also exposed to higher physical risk. We exploit the first Trump administration's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement as a shock and show that, following the withdrawal announcement, high-emitting U.S. firms improve credit ratings by more than low-emitting U.S. firms and non-U.S. counterparts. This improvement is also larger for firms with greater exposure to physical risk. While firms' environmental and green activities alleviate the effect of transition risk on credit ratings, their climate-adaptation efforts affect the role of physical risk. Our results shed light on the compound effect of joint exposures to twin climate risks that amplify a firm's financial distress and default risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102942"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145924015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-02-05DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102969
Dingwei Gu, Zhengqing Gui, Yangguang Huang
We propose a theoretical model to investigate the competition and regulation of peer-to-peer lending platforms. We demonstrate that intense competition, combined with investor naivety, prompts some platforms to offer principal guarantee terms to investors. As these platforms deviate from their role as information intermediaries, investors become vulnerable to losses resulting from moral hazard and the risk of platform collapse. We investigate the welfare implications of adjusting entry costs, reducing platforms’ private benefits, and implementing financial education. Our model elucidates the stylized facts observed during the boom and bust of China’s peer-to-peer lending market and provides valuable policy guidance.
{"title":"Fintech market and regulation: Lessons from China’s peer-to-peer lending platforms","authors":"Dingwei Gu, Zhengqing Gui, Yangguang Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102969","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102969","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We propose a theoretical model to investigate the competition and regulation of peer-to-peer lending platforms. We demonstrate that intense competition, combined with investor naivety, prompts some platforms to offer principal guarantee terms to investors. As these platforms deviate from their role as information intermediaries, investors become vulnerable to losses resulting from moral hazard and the risk of platform collapse. We investigate the welfare implications of adjusting entry costs, reducing platforms’ private benefits, and implementing financial education. Our model elucidates the stylized facts observed during the boom and bust of China’s peer-to-peer lending market and provides valuable policy guidance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102969"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-30DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102958
Bok Min Choi , Hans Degryse , Kristien Smedts
Firms are increasingly exposed to cybersecurity risk. Using syndicated loan data covering US firms, we examine how lenders price firms’ ex-ante cybersecurity risk. Our findings indicate that lenders charge, on average, a 4 to 13 basis points higher loan rate when a firm exhibits greater cybersecurity risk over time. Furthermore, we document that the pricing of cybersecurity risk differs between lender types. Commercial banks tend to adopt a more stringent approach to pricing cybersecurity risk compared to non-bank lenders. They also attach more financial covenants as firms become riskier. Even within commercial banks, the pricing of cybersecurity risk is primarily driven by lenders who show awareness of their own cybersecurity risk and have considered an insurance policy. These findings highlight the importance of lender awareness in pricing borrower risks, especially for risks that are not typically assessed in standard evaluations. Lastly, purchasing cybersecurity insurance does not mitigate higher loan spreads for borrowers.
{"title":"Do lenders price firms’ cybersecurity risk?","authors":"Bok Min Choi , Hans Degryse , Kristien Smedts","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102958","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102958","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Firms are increasingly exposed to cybersecurity risk. Using syndicated loan data covering US firms, we examine how lenders price firms’ ex-ante cybersecurity risk. Our findings indicate that lenders charge, on average, a 4 to 13 basis points higher loan rate when a firm exhibits greater cybersecurity risk over time. Furthermore, we document that the pricing of cybersecurity risk differs between lender types. Commercial banks tend to adopt a more stringent approach to pricing cybersecurity risk compared to non-bank lenders. They also attach more financial covenants as firms become riskier. Even within commercial banks, the pricing of cybersecurity risk is primarily driven by lenders who show awareness of their own cybersecurity risk and have considered an insurance policy. These findings highlight the importance of lender awareness in pricing borrower risks, especially for risks that are not typically assessed in standard evaluations. Lastly, purchasing cybersecurity insurance does not mitigate higher loan spreads for borrowers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102958"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We investigate the effect of mandatory Corporate Social Responsibility (henceforth CSR) spending regulation on firms' systematic risk. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we find that firms subject to CSR regulation exhibit higher levels of systematic risk than firms not subject to CSR regulation. Furthermore, our analyses reveal that operating leverage is a potential mechanism by which mandatory CSR spending increases systematic risk. Overall, our findings show that a CSR-induced differentiation strategy is ineffective if all firms are mandated to engage in CSR. Instead, it imposes societal costs on firms at the expense of shareholders.
{"title":"Mandatory CSR spending and firm risk: New evidence from regulatory intervention in India","authors":"Yogesh Chauhan , Chinmoy Ghosh , Nemiraja Jadiyappa","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102965","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102965","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the effect of mandatory Corporate Social Responsibility (henceforth CSR) spending regulation on firms' systematic risk. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we find that firms subject to CSR regulation exhibit higher levels of systematic risk than firms not subject to CSR regulation. Furthermore, our analyses reveal that operating leverage is a potential mechanism by which mandatory CSR spending increases systematic risk. Overall, our findings show that a CSR-induced differentiation strategy is ineffective if all firms are mandated to engage in CSR. Instead, it imposes societal costs on firms at the expense of shareholders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102965"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397660","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-02-09DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102968
Omar Rachedi , Vahid Saadi
We provide evidence that the geographical segmentation of the municipal bond market — induced by state tax exemptions — leads banks to diversify their mortgage lending across states. Municipal bond holdings expose banks to local real-estate risk: these securities are largely backed by property-tax revenues with high elasticity to house prices. Consistent with a diversification motive, the effect is stronger for banks with weaker balance sheets, for those whose mortgage lending is highly concentrated in their home state, and towards areas whose housing markets are less correlated with those of the home state. Interestingly, this out-of-state expansion is accompanied by a relaxation of lending standards, as banks approve mortgages with lower FICO scores and higher debt-to-income ratios, which subsequently results in more non-performing loans. The relaxation of lending standards emerges in states where banks lack branch presence and in highly competitive markets, where expanding requires attracting borrowers through looser screening. Diversification thus may generate risk-taking as a by-product.
{"title":"Bank municipal bond holdings and mortgage lending standards","authors":"Omar Rachedi , Vahid Saadi","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102968","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102968","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We provide evidence that the geographical segmentation of the municipal bond market — induced by state tax exemptions — leads banks to diversify their mortgage lending across states. Municipal bond holdings expose banks to local real-estate risk: these securities are largely backed by property-tax revenues with high elasticity to house prices. Consistent with a diversification motive, the effect is stronger for banks with weaker balance sheets, for those whose mortgage lending is highly concentrated in their home state, and towards areas whose housing markets are less correlated with those of the home state. Interestingly, this out-of-state expansion is accompanied by a relaxation of lending standards, as banks approve mortgages with lower FICO scores and higher debt-to-income ratios, which subsequently results in more non-performing loans. The relaxation of lending standards emerges in states where banks lack branch presence and in highly competitive markets, where expanding requires attracting borrowers through looser screening. Diversification thus may generate risk-taking as a by-product.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102968"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-02-03DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102973
Gonul Colak , Sinh Thoi Mai
Corporate agility – the ability to respond quickly and effectively to changing business conditions – is crucial for firms' success. While important, this concept is difficult to measure and use in quantitative research. By applying machine learning techniques, we develop reliable measures of agility and analyse how agile firms manage exposure to monetary policy uncertainty, a significant and frequently occurring form of threat. Agile firms' stocks are significantly less exposed to this uncertainty as they proactively apply risk management techniques to reduce their exposure. This has real consequences: agile firms' investments are less affected by monetary policy tightening episodes.
{"title":"Corporate agility and monetary policy transmission","authors":"Gonul Colak , Sinh Thoi Mai","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102973","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102973","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Corporate agility – the ability to respond quickly and effectively to changing business conditions – is crucial for firms' success. While important, this concept is difficult to measure and use in quantitative research. By applying machine learning techniques, we develop reliable measures of agility and analyse how agile firms manage exposure to monetary policy uncertainty, a significant and frequently occurring form of threat. Agile firms' stocks are significantly less exposed to this uncertainty as they proactively apply risk management techniques to reduce their exposure. This has real consequences: agile firms' investments are less affected by monetary policy tightening episodes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102973"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147397742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-19DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102959
Xianjiao Wu , Qiang Ye , Xiaochen Liu , Xudong Liu
A substantial literature studies the profitability of analyst crowds' consensus recommendations in predicting stock price changes. Nonetheless, uncertainties remain about whether the profitability is contingent upon specific factors, particularly the characteristics of the analyst crowd. This study specifically examines the impact of crowd network structure (crowd size, connection density) and crowd network content (opinion diversity, professional experience diversity) on consensus recommendation profitability. Using comprehensive data from the Chinese stock market, including stock prices, analyst recommendations, and employment histories, we find that consensus recommendations are profitable when they come from larger analyst crowds and when the diversity within these crowds is higher, both in terms of opinion diversity and professional experience diversity. Conversely, consensus recommendations are less likely to be profitable when the analyst crowds maintain denser connections. Moreover, these effects vary across different information environments, including information tone (upgrades or downgrades), stock-level information uncertainty (high versus low), and information disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
{"title":"Exploring the profitability in analyst collective opinions: The role of analyst crowd characteristics","authors":"Xianjiao Wu , Qiang Ye , Xiaochen Liu , Xudong Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102959","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102959","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A substantial literature studies the profitability of analyst crowds' consensus recommendations in predicting stock price changes. Nonetheless, uncertainties remain about whether the profitability is contingent upon specific factors, particularly the characteristics of the analyst crowd. This study specifically examines the impact of crowd network structure (crowd size, connection density) and crowd network content (opinion diversity, professional experience diversity) on consensus recommendation profitability. Using comprehensive data from the Chinese stock market, including stock prices, analyst recommendations, and employment histories, we find that consensus recommendations are profitable when they come from larger analyst crowds and when the diversity within these crowds is higher, both in terms of opinion diversity and professional experience diversity. Conversely, consensus recommendations are less likely to be profitable when the analyst crowds maintain denser connections. Moreover, these effects vary across different information environments, including information tone (upgrades or downgrades), stock-level information uncertainty (high versus low), and information disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102959"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146034951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-13DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102957
Jing He , Michael J. Jung , Xiaodi Zhang
We investigate the influence of sell-side equity analyst coverage on corporate innovation from a market value perspective. While prior studies show that analyst coverage may impede firms' scientific output, as measured by fewer patents and citations, we use a more comprehensive sample over an extended period to provide evidence that analyst coverage is positively associated with patent market values. The positive association is robust to a battery of regression specifications and research designs to address endogeneity. We explore the underlying mechanisms and identify reduced information asymmetry by analysts, rather than increased monitoring, as the key driver of the positive association. Additional tests suggest that more published analyst reports, more reports authored by analysts with scientific education, and more reports that contain patent-related keywords are associated with higher patent market values.
{"title":"Analyst coverage of innovative firms and patent market values","authors":"Jing He , Michael J. Jung , Xiaodi Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102957","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2026.102957","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the influence of sell-side equity analyst coverage on corporate innovation from a market value perspective. While prior studies show that analyst coverage may impede firms' scientific output, as measured by fewer patents and citations, we use a more comprehensive sample over an extended period to provide evidence that analyst coverage is positively associated with patent market values. The positive association is robust to a battery of regression specifications and research designs to address endogeneity. We explore the underlying mechanisms and identify reduced information asymmetry by analysts, rather than increased monitoring, as the key driver of the positive association. Additional tests suggest that more published analyst reports, more reports authored by analysts with scientific education, and more reports that contain patent-related keywords are associated with higher patent market values.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"98 ","pages":"Article 102957"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146034952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-01Epub Date: 2025-11-28DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102931
Xunzhuo Xi , Yangyang Chen , Feng Tang , Desmond Chun Yip Yuen
This study examines whether financial analysts purposefully issue more pessimistic earnings forecasts during weekday non-trading hours. We show that downward forecast revisions released during weekday non-trading hours draw less market attention, resulting in weaker negative stock price reactions than those released on weekends or trading hours. Such differential market responses to bad news provide analysts with an opportunity to minimize the adverse market impacts of their negative forecasts. In line with this notion, we find that analysts are more likely to issue downward forecast revisions during weekday non-trading hours than during weekends or trading hours. The documented timing phenomenon is more prominent for analysts who are less certain about their negative earnings forecasts either because the forecasted firms operate in a more opaque information environment or because the analysts have less forecasting experience and knowledge specific to these firms. The phenomenon is less pronounced for analysts affiliated with large brokerage firms and low-leverage firms. Collectively, our findings offer new insights into analysts' strategic forecasting behaviors.
{"title":"It's all about timing: Analyst forecasts during weekday non-trading hours","authors":"Xunzhuo Xi , Yangyang Chen , Feng Tang , Desmond Chun Yip Yuen","doi":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102931","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2025.102931","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines whether financial analysts purposefully issue more pessimistic earnings forecasts during weekday non-trading hours. We show that downward forecast revisions released during weekday non-trading hours draw less market attention, resulting in weaker negative stock price reactions than those released on weekends or trading hours. Such differential market responses to bad news provide analysts with an opportunity to minimize the adverse market impacts of their negative forecasts. In line with this notion, we find that analysts are more likely to issue downward forecast revisions during weekday non-trading hours than during weekends or trading hours. The documented timing phenomenon is more prominent for analysts who are less certain about their negative earnings forecasts either because the forecasted firms operate in a more opaque information environment or because the analysts have less forecasting experience and knowledge specific to these firms. The phenomenon is less pronounced for analysts affiliated with large brokerage firms and low-leverage firms. Collectively, our findings offer new insights into analysts' strategic forecasting behaviors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15525,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Corporate Finance","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102931"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145691432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}