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INCLUSIVE FINANCE, GROWTH AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN SAUDI ARABIA: A THRESHOLD COINTEGRATION APPROACH 沙特普惠金融、增长与社会经济发展:一种阈值协整方法
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2019.44.2.004
Salem Hathroubi
Empirical literature argues that financial inclusion has positive impact on growth, reduce inequality and poverty. This paper has twofold. First, it aims to provide a measurement of financial inclusion in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) as an oil-rich economy during the period 1980-2016 by the construction of a comprehensive index. Second, we study the incidence of financial inclusion on growth and human development through a set of socioeconomic leading variables. Using GMM methodology, our results suggest that financial inclusion is highly and positively correlated to human development index, and to employed share of adult population. Conversely, financial inclusion is insignificantly negatively correlated to per capita real GDP and highly negatively correlated to the share of rural population and to the share of women in adult population. In this study we take in consideration the non-linearity between inclusive finance, economic growth and human development by performing threshold cointegration and Granger-causality tests. Our findings show that there is non-linear causal relationship between financial inclusion, human development and economic growth in the long-run while in the short-run neither financial inclusion nor economic growth Granger-causes each other. This result is in concordance with previous empirical studies in the case of oil-based economies. Our findings could help policy-makers and regulators in KSA to design an inclusive financial sector taking into account the specificities of the Saudi economy.
实证文献认为,金融包容性对经济增长、减少不平等和贫困具有积极影响。这篇论文有两个方面。首先,它旨在通过构建一个综合指数来衡量1980-2016年期间沙特阿拉伯王国作为一个石油资源丰富的经济体的金融包容性。其次,我们通过一组社会经济主导变量研究了金融包容性对增长和人类发展的影响。使用GMM方法,我们的结果表明,金融包容性与人类发展指数和成年人口的就业份额高度正相关。相反,金融包容性与人均实际国内生产总值不显著负相关,与农村人口和妇女在成年人口中的比例高度负相关。在本研究中,我们通过阈值协整和Granger因果关系检验,考虑了普惠金融、经济增长和人类发展之间的非线性。我们的研究结果表明,金融包容性、人类发展和经济增长之间存在非线性的长期因果关系,而在短期内,金融包容性和经济增长Granger都不是相互造成的。这一结果与之前对石油经济体的实证研究一致。我们的研究结果可以帮助KSA的决策者和监管机构设计一个包容性的金融部门,同时考虑到沙特经济的特殊性。
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引用次数: 5
DEMOCRACY AND ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY: ACCOUNTING FOR TRANSMISSION CHANNELS 民主与环境质量:传播渠道的核算
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2019.44.2.001
KINDA SOMLANARE ROMUALD
This paper contributes to the controversial literature on democratic institutions and environmental quality. Despite an extensive literature, studies have not focused on the transmission channels by which democracy affect environmental quality. Using panel data from 1960 to 2008 in 122 developed and developing countries, results are as follows: First democratic institutions have opposite effects on environmental quality: a positive and direct effect on environmental quality and a negative indirect effect through domestic investments and income inequality. Second, the positive effect of democracy on environmental quality is higher in developed countries than in developing countries.
这篇论文对民主制度和环境质量的有争议的文献有所贡献。尽管有大量的文献,但研究并没有集中在民主影响环境质量的传播渠道上。利用1960年至2008年122个发达国家和发展中国家的面板数据,结果如下:首先,民主制度对环境质量有相反的影响:对环境质量有积极和直接的影响,通过国内投资和收入不平等对环境质量有消极的间接影响。其次,民主对环境质量的积极影响在发达国家高于发展中国家。
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引用次数: 4
STATE CAPACITY, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AND POVERTY REDUCTION IN AFRICAN COUNTRIES 非洲国家能力、农业生产力与减贫
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2019.44.1.003
A. Mijiyawa, Djoulassi K. Oloufade
We analyze the effect of state capacity on poverty in Africa. We consider two proxy variables for state capacity: the government effectiveness index, capturing administrative capacity, and the political stability index, a proxy for coercive capacity. Using the system-GMM technique with four-year average panel data from 53 African countries over the period 1995-2014, we find that each of the state capacity variable significantly reduces poverty rate. However, administrative capacity appears to be the most important aspect of state capacity for poverty reduction. The results also suggest that cereal yield, a proxy for agricultural productivity, would be a channel through which state capacity affects poverty in Africa.
我们分析了国家能力对非洲贫困的影响。我们考虑了国家能力的两个代理变量:政府有效性指数(捕获行政能力)和政治稳定指数(胁迫能力的代理)。使用系统GMM技术和1995-2014年期间53个非洲国家的四年平均面板数据,我们发现每个国家能力变量都显著降低了贫困率。然而,行政能力似乎是国家减贫能力的最重要方面。研究结果还表明,作为农业生产力指标的谷物产量将是国家能力影响非洲贫困的一个渠道。
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引用次数: 5
AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME INEQUALITY AND BMI IN CHINA 中国家庭收入不平等与BMI的经济学分析
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2019.44.1.002
Jianfeng Yao, Fafanyo Asiseh
This paper explores the relationship between household income inequality at county level and Body Mass Index (BMI). The hypotheses associating BMI with income inequality are tested. Unlike most literature that found positive linear relationship between prevalence of overweight or obesity and household income inequality, by using a longitudinal data from China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) between 1991 and 2011, we find that BMI will first decrease with household income inequality and then increase at an increasing rate, which suggests that high inequality may speed up the possibility of being overweight and obese. Policy measures on controlling obesity should be directed towards reducing inequality.
本文探讨了县域家庭收入不平等与体质指数的关系。将BMI与收入不平等联系起来的假设得到了检验。与大多数文献发现超重或肥胖患病率与家庭收入不平等之间存在正线性关系不同,我们利用1991 - 2011年中国健康与营养调查(CHNS)的纵向数据,发现BMI会随着家庭收入不平等先下降,然后以增加的速度增加,这表明高度不平等可能会加速超重和肥胖的可能性。控制肥胖的政策措施应以减少不平等为目标。
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引用次数: 2
MULTIDIMENSIONAL NATION WELLBEING, MORE EQUAL YET MORE POLARIZED: AN ANALYSIS OF THE PROGRESS OF HUMAN DEVELOPMENT SINCE 1990 多维度的国家福祉,更平等但更两极化:1990年以来人类发展进展分析
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2019.44.1.001
G. Anderson, A. Farcomeni, M. G. Pittau, Roberto Zelli
Mounting concern regarding inadequacies of per capita GDP or GNI as a source of nation wellbeing classi cation and comparison lead to the employment of multidimensional approaches with attendant concerns regarding their arbitrary and complex nature. Here, based upon commonalities in multidimensional behavior of nations, feasible, less arbitrary, classi cation methodologies and techniques for assessing wellbeing within and between groups are proposed. Implementation in a three dimensional study of 164 countries from 1990 to 2014 in a Human Development Index (HDI) framework reveals substantive multi-dimensional growth in a slowly evolving, relatively immobile three group world exhibiting simultaneous increases in equality and polarization with a growing Lower HD class and shrinking Middle and High HD classes.
对人均国内生产总值或国民总收入作为国家福利分类和比较来源的不足的日益关注导致采用多方面的方法,随之而来的是对其任意性和复杂性的担忧。在这里,基于国家多维行为的共性,提出了评估群体内部和群体之间福祉的可行的、不那么武断的分类方法和技术。从1990年到2014年,在人类发展指数(HDI)框架下对164个国家进行的三维研究表明,在一个缓慢发展、相对固定的三组世界中,平等和两极分化同时增加,低高清阶层不断增加,中等和高高清阶层不断缩小。
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引用次数: 6
IS PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP AN OPTIMAL MODE OF PROVISION OF INFRASTRUCTURE? 公私合作是提供基础设施的最佳模式吗?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2019.44.1.005
Aman A. Bara and Bidisha Chakraborty
The present paper considers a closed economy model with infrastructure service which is an excludable, impure public good, e.g. metro railway service, electricity service, and telephone service etc. The physical capital required by infrastructure sector is provided by public-private partnership. Public and private investment may be complementary or substitute to each other in infrastructure production. We assume government runs a balanced budget. We find there exists unique, saddle path stable growth rate in both the cases. We find that PPP model is optimal in the provision of infrastructure no matter public capital and private capital are a substitute or complementary to each other. But, PPP solution is not growth maximizing in case of substitute relationship between the public capital and private capital. It also makes a comparative study of decentralized economy and command economy. We find that in case of substitute relationship between private capital and public capital, command economy growth rate is higher than the competitive economy growth rate but in the case of complementary relationship between two, command economy growth rate may not be higher than the competitive economy growth rate.
本文考虑了一个封闭的经济模型,其中基础设施服务是一种排他性的、不纯的公共产品,例如地铁铁路服务、电力服务和电话服务等。基础设施部门所需的实物资本由公私伙伴关系提供。公共和私人投资在基础设施建设中可以互为补充或相互替代。我们假设政府的预算是平衡的。我们发现在这两种情况下都存在唯一的鞍径稳定增长率。我们发现PPP模式在基础设施的供给上是最优的,无论公私资本是相互替代还是相互补充。但是,在公共资本和私人资本之间存在替代关系的情况下,PPP解决方案不是增长最大化。并对分散经济和计划经济进行了比较研究。我们发现,在私人资本与公共资本之间存在替代关系的情况下,指令性经济增长率高于竞争性经济增长率,而在两者之间存在互补关系的情况下,指令性经济增长率可能不会高于竞争性经济增长率。
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引用次数: 2
PURCHASING POWER PARITY TESTS IN COINTEGRATED PANELS: EVIDENCE FROM NEWLY INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 协整面板中的购买力平价检验:来自新兴工业化国家的证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2019.44.1.004
S. Behera
This paper examines the long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) by testing for unit roots in real exchange rates of 10 newly industrialized countries (NICs) during the period 1980-2013. Alternatively, this paper examines the long-run PPP by evaluating the cointegration between nominal exchange rates and price ratios of the NICs. The Pesaran (2007) unit root test results support the evidence of long-run PPP during the period 1980-1990; however, during the other sub-periods, the results invalidate the long-run PPP. We find that the evidence against the unit root hypothesis is stronger for larger than small samples, for monthly than quarterly data. Moreover, the results suggest the mere evidence of strong PPP and also suggest that the speed at which the real exchange rates restore to equilibrium is relatively slow during the period 1991-2000.
本文通过对1980-2013年期间10个新兴工业化国家实际汇率单位根的检验,检验了长期购买力平价。或者,本文通过评估名义汇率和NIC价格比率之间的协整关系来检验长期购买力平价。Pesaran(2007)单位根检验结果支持1980-1990年期间长期购买力平价的证据;然而,在其他子时期,结果使长期购买力平价无效。我们发现,反对单位根假设的证据对于大样本比小样本更有力,对于月度数据比季度数据更有力。此外,研究结果仅表明购买力平价强劲,也表明1991-2000年期间实际汇率恢复平衡的速度相对较慢。
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引用次数: 1
DOES FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT EXPLAIN THE CYCLICALITY OF MONETARY POLICY IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA? 金融发展能否解释撒哈拉以南非洲货币政策的周期性?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2018.43.4.004
ITCHOKO MOTANDE MONDJELI MWA NDJOKOU, CHRISTOPHE MARTIAL MBASSI
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引用次数: 0
WHAT DRIVES BANKING INDUSTRY COMPETITION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES? 是什么推动了发展中国家银行业的竞争?
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2018.43.4.001
AMIT GHOSH
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引用次数: 9
DEREGULATION, ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GROWTH ACCELERATION 放松管制,经济增长和增长加速
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2018.43.4.002
PETAR STANKOV
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of economic development
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