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The theory and application of spectral risk measures in Vietnam 越南频谱风险措施的理论与应用
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.24311/jed/2017.24.4.2
H. Hai, N. Hoa
Article history: Received: Oct. 17, 2016 Received in revised form: July 04, 2017 Accepted: Oct. 25, 2017 This paper aims to provide a new risk measure for portfolio management in Vietnam by incorporating investor’s risk aversion into current risk measures such as value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES). This measure shares several desirable characteristics with the coherent risk measures, as illustrated in Artzner et al. (1997). In Vietnam, our study makes the first attempt to utilize distortion theory, instead of utility theory, to facilitate the adoption of risk aversion level in the popular risk measures. We find that spectral risk measure is more flexible and effective to different groups of risk-adverse investors, compared to the more monotonic and conventional VaR and ES measures.
本文旨在通过将投资者的风险规避纳入风险价值(VaR)和预期缺口(ES)等当前风险指标,为越南的投资组合管理提供一种新的风险指标。如Artzner等人(1997)所述,该措施与连贯风险措施具有几个可取的特征。在越南,我们的研究首次尝试利用扭曲理论来代替效用理论,以促进在流行的风险度量中采用风险厌恶水平。研究发现,相对于较为单调和传统的VaR和ES度量,谱风险度量对于不同的风险厌恶型投资者群体更具灵活性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A framework of significant human resource management practices in Vietnam 越南重要人力资源管理实践的框架
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.24311/jed/2017.24.4.3
T. Dung, Truong Thi Lan Anh
Oct. 25, 2017 This paper aims at conceptualizing a framework of human resource management practices (HRMPs) that will work effectively in Vietnam. qualitative research is applied, based on a survey of 388 companies located in Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam. HRMPs in Vietnam can be measured using seven criteria. Apart from the four traditional HRM functions, which are recruitment selection, training development, performance appraisal and compensation, HRMPs in the Vietnamese context involve three additional criteria: leading change and motivation, both based on traditional soft practices, and talent management, which is based on contemporary hard practice. The validity and reliability of the HRMPs has been confirmed. It was found that the role of HRMPs explains 43 per cent of the variation in a firm’s business performance. The findings imply that HRMPs in Vietnam, despite lagging behind global trends, are on track to catch up with them. The trend of adopting HRMPs in Vietnam continues with the emergence of traditional HRM soft practices and contemporary HRM hard practices. The typical framework of most common HRMPs in Vietnam implies that there is a need to design appropriate training programs for both HR professionals and line managers.
本文旨在概念化一个将在越南有效工作的人力资源管理实践框架。本文采用定性研究方法,对位于越南胡志明市的388家公司进行了调查。越南的人力资源管理水平可以用七个标准来衡量。除了四个传统的人力资源管理功能,即招聘选择、培训发展、绩效评估和薪酬,越南环境下的人力资源管理还涉及三个额外的标准:领导变革和激励,这两个都基于传统的软实践,以及人才管理,这是基于当代的硬实践。本研究验证了本研究的效度和信度。研究发现,人力资源管理人员的角色解释了43%的公司经营业绩差异。调查结果表明,尽管越南的人力资源管理水平落后于全球趋势,但正在迎头赶上。越南采用人力资源管理方案的趋势随着传统人力资源管理软实践和当代人力资源管理硬实践的出现而继续。越南最常见的人力资源管理方案的典型框架意味着需要为人力资源专业人员和直线经理设计适当的培训计划。
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引用次数: 8
Water governance for sustainable development: International practices and implications for the Mekong Delta region 促进可持续发展的水治理:国际实践及其对湄公河三角洲地区的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.24311/JED/2017.24.4.6
T. Vo, T. Tran, D. Luong
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引用次数: 5
Railroad Infrastructure Investments and Economic Development in the Antebellum United States 南北战争前美国铁路基础设施投资与经济发展
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.3.001
R. Pereira, W. Hausman, A. Pereira
We measure the overall impact of railroad investment on economic development in the antebellum period in the United States using a vector autoregressive approach. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we find bidirectional causality between railroad infrastructure investment and GDP. Second, we estimate a marginal product of $4.2 for railroad investment which corresponds to a 15.5% rate of return when considering a 10-year lifetime for railroad capital. While about two-thirds of this effect stems from the supply side, short run demand side effects also are substantial. Third, given the low effective tax rates practiced in the 1830s and the magnitude of the effects of railroad investment we estimate, it is very likely that these investments were not self-financing and may, therefore, have contributed to the high levels of public indebtedness observed in the period.
我们使用向量自回归方法来衡量美国南北战争前铁路投资对经济发展的总体影响。我们的结果可以总结如下。首先,我们发现铁路基础设施投资与GDP之间存在双向因果关系。其次,我们估计铁路投资的边际收益为4.2美元,考虑到铁路资本的10年使用寿命,这相当于15.5%的回报率。虽然这种影响中约有三分之二来自供应方面,但短期需求方面的影响也很大。第三,考虑到19世纪30年代实行的低有效税率和我们估计的铁路投资的影响程度,这些投资很可能不是自筹资金的,因此可能导致了这一时期的高公共债务水平。
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引用次数: 1
A Robust Analysis of the Relationship between Natural Disasters, Electricity and Economic Growth in 41 Countries 41个国家自然灾害、电力与经济增长关系的稳健分析
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.3.005
Nadia Benali, Kais Saidi
(ProQuest: ... denotes formulae omitted.)1. INTRODUCTIONNatural disasters are now better known. They are well investigated and mapped both locally and global scale. Natural disasters are liable to cause serious economic and social disruption. The immediate damage is decrease production, expenditures and the number of hours worked. According to the data reported by EM-DAT, Americas suffered in 2014 from 76 natural disasters and the damage reached US$ 25.8 billion. On the other side, Africa suffered from 39 natural disasters, a number far below its 2004-2013 annual average. According to EM-DAT (2014), the damages from natural disasters in European countries represent approximately US$ 7.8 billion.The occurrence of natural disasters such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, storms and volcanic eruptions have negative effects on the electrical system operation. The earthquakes that have hit several countries such as China, Italy, Japan and the United States have severe impact economic, environmental and human. In addition, they destroyed their power system equipment.The response of the authorities has led in practice by the implementation of prevention and risk management systems evolving since the 1980s, resulting in an abundance of tools and acronyms that thwarts their ownership all players. In the period immediately following the event, reconstruction efforts are offset these losses and, paradoxically, create a net stimulatory effect on economic growth. To achieve this objective, it is necessary to measure or estimate economic costs of such disasters. In this sense, many studies have examined the debate in a macro-economic perspective by exploring how disasters affect real GDP per capita.In general, economic effects due to disasters can be classified into two categories: direct damage and indirect damage. The main findings shown that the direct effects of natural disasters depend on the level of development of the affected countries (Kahn, 2005).Most empirical studies have shown that natural disasters have a negative indirect damage in short-term, such as effects on economic growth (Noy, 2009; Fomby et al., 2013). Although long-term studies are still relatively rare and yet failed to provide consistent results (Skidmore and Toya, 2002; Noy and Nualsri, 2007; Jaramillo, 2009.).The contribution of this article is to assess the effects of natural disaster on economic growth, physical capital, labor and electricity. Furthermore, our study of literature suggests that few studies have examined the impact of natural disaster on the electricity. For this purpose, we use a Panel data and Granger causality-VECM model, including four types of disasters (earthquakes, storms, floods and droughts) in about 41 countries over the period 1990 to 2014.The sections of this paper presented as follows. The literature review section presents a brief literature review. The data section details the data used in the empirical part. The descriptive statistics and
(ProQuest:…表示省略的公式。)1。简介自然灾害现在更为人所知。它们在当地和全球范围内都得到了很好的调查和绘制。自然灾害容易造成严重的经济和社会混乱。直接的损害是生产、支出和工作小时数的减少。根据EM-DAT报告的数据,2014年美洲遭受了76次自然灾害,损失达到258亿美元。另一方面,非洲遭受了39次自然灾害,这一数字远低于2004-2013年的年平均水平。根据EM-DAT(2014),欧洲国家自然灾害造成的损失约为78亿美元。地震、飓风、龙卷风、洪水、风暴和火山爆发等自然灾害的发生会对电力系统的运行产生负面影响。中国、意大利、日本和美国等几个国家发生的地震对经济、环境和人类造成了严重影响。此外,他们还摧毁了电力系统设备。当局的反应在实践中导致了自20世纪80年代以来不断发展的预防和风险管理系统的实施,产生了大量的工具和缩写词,阻碍了所有参与者的所有权。在事件发生后的一段时间内,重建工作抵消了这些损失,矛盾的是,对经济增长产生了净刺激效应。为了实现这一目标,有必要衡量或估计此类灾害的经济成本。从这个意义上说,许多研究从宏观经济的角度考察了这场辩论,探讨了灾害如何影响实际人均GDP。一般来说,灾害造成的经济影响可分为两类:直接损害和间接损害。主要研究结果表明,自然灾害的直接影响取决于受影响国家的发展水平(Kahn,2005)。大多数实证研究表明,自然灾难在短期内具有负面的间接损害,例如对经济增长的影响(Noy,2009;Fomby等人,2013)。尽管长期研究仍然相对罕见,但未能提供一致的结果(Skidmore和Toya,2002;Noy和Nualsri,2007;Jaramillo,2009。)。本文的贡献是评估自然灾害对经济增长、实物资本、劳动力和电力的影响。此外,我们对文献的研究表明,很少有研究考察自然灾害对电力的影响。为此,我们使用了Panel数据和Granger因果VECM模型,包括1990年至2014年期间约41个国家的四种类型的灾害(地震、风暴、洪水和干旱)。本文各部分如下。文献综述部分简要介绍了文献综述。数据部分详细介绍了经验部分使用的数据。描述性统计和相关矩阵部分总结了总变量的关键统计和相关性。模型规范部分描述了计量经济学方法。估计方法和实证结果部分讨论了实证结果。最后,结论与政策启示部分。2.1自然灾害与经济增长文献中对自然灾害对经济增长的影响给予了相当大的关注。例如,Albala Bertrand(1993)调查了自然灾害对发展中国家经济和社会的影响。他得出的结论是,在现实中,灾害并不代表发展问题。Benson(1997a、b和c)、Benson和Clay(19982001)评估了自然灾害对斐济、越南、菲律宾和多米尼克等一些国家经济增长的影响。研究结果表明,灾害冲击具有严重的负面短期经济后果,财产增加,不平等加剧…
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引用次数: 9
The Relationship between Financial Development and Private Investment Commitments in Energy Projects 金融发展与能源项目私人投资承诺的关系
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.3.002
Lika Ba, F. Gasmi, Paul Noumba Um
This paper investigates the extent to which the level of development of countryi¯s financial sector draws private participation in energy projectsi¯ financing in a 1990-2007 dataset on 56 developing countries. We find that a financial sector that offers proper financing and risk-mitigating instruments indeed contributes to improving private participation. Macroeconomic development and stability and greater energy needs are also found to be significant determinants of a countryi¯s appeal to private investors. While country risk dampens investorsi¯ will to participate in energy projects, higher interest rate and exchange rate risk do not seem to divert them away.
本文在1990-2007年56个发展中国家的数据集中调查了该国金融部门的发展水平在多大程度上吸引了私人参与能源项目融资。我们发现,提供适当融资和减少风险工具的金融部门确实有助于改善私人参与。宏观经济发展和稳定以及更大的能源需求也是一个国家吸引私人投资者的重要决定因素。虽然国家风险抑制了投资者参与能源项目的意愿,但更高的利率和汇率风险似乎并没有转移他们的注意力。
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引用次数: 3
The Impact of Globalization on Inflation in Developing Countries 全球化对发展中国家通货膨胀的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.3.003
Sandeep Mazumder
This paper examines the impact of globalization on inflation in developing and emerging economies. We estimate both traditional and open-economy versions of the Phillips curve for all developing economies by incorporating both domestic and foreign output gaps. We find mixed results: whether globalization has significantly affected domestic inflation in developing countries depends on the measure of inflation. Under GDP deflator inflation, there has been a significant change in the output-inflation tradeoff, but CPI inflation suggests otherwise. This highlights the importance of paying closer attention to the measure of inflation implemented, which is something that the current literature neglects to do.
本文研究了全球化对发展中经济体和新兴经济体通货膨胀的影响。我们通过结合国内外产出差距,估计了所有发展中经济体的菲利普斯曲线的传统和开放经济版本。我们发现结果喜忧参半:全球化是否对发展中国家的国内通货膨胀产生了重大影响,取决于通货膨胀的衡量标准。在GDP平减指数通胀下,产出通胀权衡发生了重大变化,但CPI通胀表明情况并非如此。这突出了更密切关注通货膨胀衡量标准的重要性,而当前的文献忽略了这一点。
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引用次数: 2
Returns to Human Capital and Wage Inequality: The Case of Taiwan 人力资本回报与工资不平等:以台湾为例
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.35866/caujed.2017.42.3.004
Yih‐chyi Chuang, Wei-Wen Lai
To compare with the literature on Taiwan study of wage inequality by the turn of Twenty-First Century, using Taiwani¯s 1978-2003 Manpower Utilization Survey data, this paper estimates the trends of returns to education and experience and investigates the relationship between returns to human capital, ability, and wage inequality. Over the period, return to higher education has an increasing trend while the wage inequality reveals a declining tendency, a phenomenon also contradicted to existing literature, e.g., Castello-Climent and Domenech (2014). Using quantile regression, we further discover the relations between human capital accumulation and unobserved ability, i.e., education and ability are substitutes while experience and ability tend to complement each other. Education enables those less able people to improve upon their disadvantages and thus improve wage inequality. Moreover, wage inequality is lower in females than in males for every educational level and more experienced groups. Contrary to the existing literature, Taiwani¯s empirical study demonstrates that the increasing employment share of more educated workers and/or females will improve instead of worsen wage inequality. Policy implications are also discussed based on Taiwani¯s experience.
摘要本研究以台湾1978-2003年人力资源利用调查资料为基础,比较21世纪之交台湾工资不平等研究的文献,评估教育回报与经验回报的趋势,并探讨人力资本回报、能力回报与工资不平等之间的关系。在此期间,接受高等教育的回报率呈上升趋势,而工资不平等呈下降趋势,这一现象也与现有文献相悖,如Castello-Climent和Domenech(2014)。利用分位数回归进一步发现人力资本积累与不可观察能力之间的关系,即学历与能力是替代关系,而经验与能力是互补关系。教育使那些能力较弱的人能够改善他们的劣势,从而改善工资不平等。此外,在各个教育水平和经验丰富的群体中,女性的工资不平等程度都低于男性。与现有文献相反,台湾的实证研究表明,受教育程度较高的工人和/或女性就业份额的增加将改善而不是加剧工资不平等。本文还结合台湾的经验,讨论了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Mitigating Loan Repayment Troubles during Microfinance Expansion: Evidence from a Large Panel 减轻小额信贷扩张期间的贷款偿还问题:来自大型小组的证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.2.003
Jules O. Yimga
Using linear panel methods, this article tests whether the surge in microfinance lending during the boom years of 2004-2008 hurt loan repayment rates. Surprisingly, we find evidence that loan delinquency is inversely related to microfinance growth. This result is contrary to the long-standing view that fast microfinance expansion leads to increased loan delinquency. This suggests the existence of a larger pool of high quality borrowers that may have not yet been tapped in new markets. This finding is robust across estimation methods and even after controlling for cross-sectional and temporal dependencies.
使用线性面板方法,本文检验了2004-2008年繁荣时期小额信贷贷款的激增是否影响了贷款还款率。令人惊讶的是,我们发现贷款拖欠与小额信贷增长呈负相关的证据。这一结果与长期以来认为小额信贷快速扩张导致贷款拖欠增加的观点相反。这表明存在一个更大的高质量借款人池,这些借款人可能尚未在新市场中得到开发。这一发现在各种估计方法中都是可靠的,甚至在控制了横截面和时间依赖性之后也是如此。
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引用次数: 1
THE EFFECT OF REMITTANCES UPON SKILLED EMIGRATION: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY 汇款对技术移民的影响:一项实证研究
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.2.001
Dambar Uprety, Kevin Sylwester
This paper empirically examines whether remittance inflows affect emigration. We consider a panel of 133 developing countries as migrant source countries and seven five-year windows between 1980 and 2010. Because inflows of remittances could be endogenous, we employ a dynamic GMM estimation methodology. We find that inflows of remittances are positively associated with subsequent stocks of highly educated migrants living in OECD countries. We find little association between remittance inflows and subsequent changes in stocks of less educated migrants. Although many see the level of migration as influencing remittance flows, our results suggest that causality goes in the other direction as well, implying that the inflow of remittances could be a push-factor for emigration, at least for those with more education.
本文实证检验了汇款流入是否影响移民。我们认为,一个由133个发展中国家组成的小组是移民来源国,1980年至2010年期间有七个五年窗口期。由于汇款流入可能是内生的,我们采用了动态GMM估计方法。我们发现,汇款流入与随后居住在经合组织国家的受过高等教育的移民存量呈正相关。我们发现汇款流入与随后受教育程度较低的移民存量的变化之间几乎没有关联。尽管许多人认为移民水平会影响汇款流动,但我们的研究结果表明,因果关系也朝着另一个方向发展,这意味着汇款流入可能是移民的推动因素,至少对那些受过更多教育的人来说是如此。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Journal of economic development
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