Journal of Epidemiology最新文献

In an aging society, it is important to visualize the conditions of people living with diseases or disabilities, such as frailty and sarcopenia, and determine the environmental and genetic factors underlying such conditions. Atherosclerosis and arterial stiffness are key conditions between these factors and noncommunicable diseases. In 2014, we launched a population-based prospective open-cohort study, the Nagasaki Islands Study (NaIS), which was conducted in Goto City, located in the remote islands of Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan, mostly involving middle-aged and older residents. We conducted our own health checkups along with the annual standardized checkups organized by the municipality; recruited study participants; and started to follow them for vital status (death), migration, and occurrence of diseases, such as myocardial infarction, stroke, fracture, and human T-cell leukemia virus type 1 (HTLV-1)-associated uveitis. Our checkups were conducted as baseline surveys in different areas of Goto City during the fiscal years 2014-2016, secondary surveys during 2017-2019, and tertiary surveys since 2021, consisting of medical interviews, physical examinations, blood and urine tests, body composition measurements, osteoporosis screening, arterial stiffness measurements, carotid ultrasonography, and dental examination. A total of 4,957 residents participated in either the baseline or secondary surveys and were followed; 3,594 and 3,364 residents (aged 27-96 and 28-98 years) participated in the baseline and secondary surveys, respectively. In conclusion, the NaIS has been undertaken to reveal the influence of aging and risk factors of noncommunicable diseases and disabilities, with an aim to contribute towards better healthcare in the future.

Background:

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are widely employed to estimate causal effects when concerns regarding unmeasured confounders. Although comparisons among several IV methods for binary outcomes exist, comprehensive evaluations are insufficient. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to conduct a simulation with some settings for a detailed comparison of these methods, focusing on scenarios where IVs are valid and under effect homogeneity with different instrument strengths.

Methods:

We compared six IV methods under 32 simulation scenarios: two-stage least squares (2SLS), two-stage predictor substitutions (2SPS), two-stage residual inclusions (2SRI), limited information maximum likelihood (LIML), inverse-variance weighted methods with a linear outcome model (IVW_LI), and inverse-variance weighted methods with a non-linear model (IVW_LL). By comparing these methods, we examined three key estimates: the parameter estimates of the exposure variable, the causal risk ratio, and the causal risk differences.

Results:

Based on the results, six IV methods could be classified into three groups: 2SLS and IVW_LI, 2SRI and 2SPS, and LIML and IVW_LL. The first pair showed a clear bias owing to outcome model misspecification. The second pair showed a relatively good performance when strong IVs are available; however, the estimates suffered from a significant bias when only weak IVs are used. The third pair produced relatively conservative results, although they were less affected by weak IV issues.

Conclusions:

The findings indicate that no panacea is available for the bias associated with IV methods. We suggest using multiple IV methods: one for primary analysis and another for sensitivity analysis.

Background There has been growing concern about the negative mental health impact of long working hours and overwork. Our study examined how work-life imbalance (WLI) could be a mediator between working hours and poor mental well-being.

Methods We included 34,968 individuals from a nationwide cross-sectional survey in Korea. Self-reported working hours per week was collected, and mental health was assessed by the WHO-5 Well-Being Index. Counterfactual-based mediation models were employed to disentangle the total effects into a direct effect (work hour – poor mental health) and an indirect effect (work hour – WLI – poor mental health).

Results Out of 34,968 participants, 52.6% worked 35–40 h/week, 20.0% worked 41–48 h/week, 11.7% worked 49–54 h/week, and 15.6% worked ≥55 h/week. The odds ratios (ORs) of the total impact of working hours on poor mental health were 1.08 (95% CI: 1.01–1.16) for 41–48 h/week, 1.28 (1.17–1.39) for 49–54 h/week, and 1.60 (1.48–1.74) for ≥55 h/week in comparison to 35–40 h/week. The ORs of the indirect effects were 1.04 (1.03–1.05) for 41–48 h/week, 1.08 (1.07–1.09) for 49–54 h/week, and 1.14 (1.12–1.16) for ≥55 h/week, accounting for 51%, 31%, and 28% of the total effects.

Conclusion: Our findings suggest that WLI can partially mediate the association of long working hours with mental health deterioration. Policy efforts are required to mitigate the adverse mental health effects of overwork.

Background: The mechanistic associations between obesity and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) remain unclear. Here, using body mass index (BMI) as an obesity indicator, we decomposed the total effects of obesity on the risk of CRC into: (1) direct effects, which are possibly mediated by unmeasured or currently unknown factors; (2) indirect effects mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin; and (3) indirect effects that are not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin but by hyperinsulinemia and chronic inflammation (assessed via circulating connecting peptide and C-reactive protein, respectively).

Methods: We adopted a causal mediation framework, using data from a large prospective cohort study of 44,271 Japanese men.

Results: BMI was not associated with the risk of CRC due to direct and indirect effects that were not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin. By contrast, individuals with BMIs of 25.0–27.4 kg/m² (risk ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.98–1.69) and ≥27.5 kg/m² (risk ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.98–1.68) had a higher risk of CRC due to indirect effects of circulating leptin and adiponectin.

Conclusions: Our mediation analyses suggest that the association between BMI and CRC risk may be largely mediated by a pathway involving circulating leptin and adiponectin.

Background: Genetic epidemiological evidence for the kidney function traits in East Asian population including Japanese remain still relatively unclarified. Especially, the number of GWASs for kidney traits reported still remains limited, and the sample size of each independent study is relatively small. Given the genetic variability between ancestries/ethnicities, implementation of GWAS with sufficiently large sample sizes in specific population of Japanese is considered meaningful.

Methods: We conducted the GWAS meta-analyses of kidney traits by leveraging the GWAS summary data of the representative large genome cohort studies with about 200,000 Japanese participants (n = 202,406 for estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] and n = 200,845 for serum creatinine [SCr]).

Results: In the present GWAS meta-analysis, we identified 110 loci with 169 variants significantly associated with eGFR (on chromosomes 1-13 and 15-22; p < 5×10^-8), whereas we also identified 112 loci with 176 variants significantly associated with SCr (on chromosomes 1-22; p < 5×10^-8), of which one locus (more than 1Mb distant from known loci) with one variant (CD36 rs146148222 on chromosome 7) for SCr was considered as the truly novel finding.

Conclusions: The present GWAS meta-analysis of largest genome cohort studies in Japanese provided some original genomic loci associated with kidney function in Japanese, which may contribute to the possible development of personalized prevention of kidney diseases based on genomic information in the near future.

Background: The influence of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic on dental care utilization may have differed according to individual characteristics or type of dental care provision. This study aimed to evaluate the changes in dental care utilization and per-attendance costs by age group and type of dental care during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.

Methods: This time-series study used healthcare insurance claims data from 01/07/2019 to 09/27/2021 (143 weeks) from nine municipalities in Japan. Dental care utilization rate per week and average dental care cost per attendance by age groups (0–19y/20–64y/65–74y/≥ 75y) and types of dental care (outpatient/visiting) were used as outcome variables. COVID-19 pandemic waves in Japan were used as predictors: 1^st (03/23/2020–05/17/2020), 2^nd (06/22/2020–09/27/2020), 3^rd (10/26/2020–02/21/2021), 4^th (02/22/2021–06/07/2021), and 5^th (07/05/2021–09/13/2021) waves. Fixed effect models were employed to estimate the proportional changes.

Results: In the fixed effect model, we observed large declines in dental care utilization during the 1^st (17.0–22.0%) and 2^nd waves (3.0–13.0%) compared to the non-pandemic wave period in all age groups. In contrast, the average dental care cost per attendance increased in all age groups by 5.2–8.6% during the 1^st wave.

Conclusions: During the initial wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, dental care utilization decreased in all age groups, whereas the average dental care cost per attendance increased. The COVID-19 pandemic may have changed the dental care provision pattern towards less frequent and more concentrated dental care to avoid the risk of infection.

Background: Disaster survivors experience deterioration in lifestyles and an increase in constipation. After the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, some survivors were evacuated for a long term, even after moving to temporary housing and public reconstruction housing. However, annual changes in constipation and the association between lifestyles and constipation among the survivors are still unknown.

Methods: Overall, 9,234 survivors aged 18 years or older participated in this 9-year follow-up survey after the disaster. Information about the prevalence of constipation and lifestyle factors (diet, physical activity, and mental health) was collected using a self-reported questionnaire. Their dietary intake was categorized into the following two dietary patterns: prudent (fish and shellfish, soybean products, vegetables, fruits, and dairy products) and meat (meat and eggs). Odds ratios for constipation according to lifestyle factors were calculated using a generalized linear mixed model.

Results: In women, the prevalence of constipation was the highest at baseline (8.7%) and remained around 5% afterward. In both men and women, older age, poor mental health, and poor physical activity were significantly associated with higher odds ratios of constipation. Moreover, a lower frequency of meals and a lower prudent dietary score were significantly associated with women's constipation.

Conclusion: The prevalence of constipation was the highest at baseline and remained around 5% in women. Lifestyle factors, such as poor mental health, physical inactivity, and low frequency of meals were associated with constipation. Our findings suggest continuous support for the survivors with constipation for medium- to long-term after disasters.

Background: This study aimed to develop models to predict the 5-year incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a Japanese population and validate them externally in an independent Japanese population.

Methods: Data from 10,986 participants (aged 46-75 years) in the development cohort of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Diabetes Study and 11,345 participants (aged 46-75 years) in the validation cohort of the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study were used to develop and validate the risk scores in logistic regression models.

Results: We considered non-invasive (sex, body mass index, family history of diabetes mellitus, and diastolic blood pressure) and invasive (glycated hemoglobin [HbA1c] and fasting plasma glucose [FPG]) predictors to predict the 5-year probability of incident diabetes. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.643 for the non-invasive risk model, 0.786 for the invasive risk model with HbA1c but not FPG, and 0.845 for the invasive risk model with HbA1c and FPG. The optimism for the performance of all models was small by internal validation. In the internal-external cross-validation, these models tended to show similar discriminative ability across different areas. The discriminative ability of each model was confirmed using external validation datasets. The invasive risk model with only HbA1c was well-calibrated in the validation cohort.

Conclusion: Our invasive risk models are expected to discriminate between high- and low-risk individuals with T2DM in a Japanese population.

Background: This study aimed to examine the association between risk of brain tumors and radiofrequency (RF) exposure from mobile phones among young people in Korea and Japan.

Methods: This case-control study of brain tumors in young people was conducted in Korea and Japan under the framework of the international MOBI-Kids study. We included 118 patients diagnosed with brain tumors between 2011 and 2015 and 236 matched appendicitis controls aged 10-24 years. Information on mobile phone use was collected through face-to-face interviews. A detailed RF exposure algorithm, based on the MOBI-Kids algorithm and modified to account for the specificities of Japanese and Korean phones and networks, was used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) for total cumulative specific energy using conditional logistic regression.

Results: The adjusted ORs in the highest tertile of cumulative call time at 1 year before the reference date were 1.61 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72-3.60) for all brain tumors and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.16-3.03) for gliomas, with no indication of a trend with exposure. The ORs for glioma specifically, were below 1 in the lowest exposure category.

Conclusion: This study provided no evidence of a causal association between mobile phone use and risk of brain tumors as a whole or of glioma specifically. Further research will be required to evaluate the impact of newer technologies of communication in the future.