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Consommation, dépenses publiques, investissements et production en RDC. Analyse des effets boomerang 刚果民主共和国的消费、公共支出、投资和生产。回旋镖效应分析
Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.59189/crsh102241
Gaylord Mindongo, Bobo B. Kabungu
Macroeconomic analysis is interested, among other things, in the relationships between the main aggregates in order to guide the decision-maker as to the use of one variable to act on another and achieve the expected results. This study falls within this perspective. Using the Structural Autoregressive Vector (SVAR), it empirically verifies, for data from 1960 to 2015, the feedback effects between consumption, public expenditure, gross fixed capital formation and GDP of the Congolese economy. It shows that the influences differ from one variable to another and that time modifies the short-term results, the economic theories being more in tune with the long-term realities in the DRC.
除其他事项外,宏观经济分析对主要总量之间的关系感兴趣,以便指导决策者如何利用一个变量对另一个变量采取行动并取得预期的结果。这项研究属于这一观点。利用结构自回归向量(SVAR),实证验证了1960 - 2015年刚果经济消费、公共支出、固定资本形成总额与GDP之间的反馈效应。它表明,影响因变量而异,时间会修改短期结果,经济理论更符合刚果民主共和国的长期现实。
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引用次数: 0
Titre : L’évaluation des politiques publiques comme créneau de recherche des «prix nobel 2019 d’économie» Quels enseignements institutionnels pour la RDC ? 题目:作为“2019年诺贝尔经济学奖”研究领域的公共政策评估对刚果民主共和国有什么制度教训?
Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.59189/crsh102242
Bobo B. Kabungu
The awarding of a Nobel Prize allows its holder to enjoy a notoriety that sheds a brighter light on his research or his activity. While several foreign media and numerous researchers have returned to the contribution of the 2019 winners in terms of scientific “discoveries” and/or their commitment to evaluation in the service of development, the subject did not hold as much attention. attention neither in the press nor in the specialized journals in the DRC. This reflection proposes to fill, however slightly, this informational deficit and to launch, in the arena of objectivity, the debate of ideas on the evaluation of the interventions of the public authorities. It should be mentioned that the analysis which had been launched at the time in a tabloid, in the form of a forum, attracted the attention of several readers and their reactions led to the deepening of the subject. The paper summarizes the profile of the laureates, dwells on the evaluation of public policies as a field of research, with a critical look at experimental methods, and leads to direct and indirect institutional lessons for the DRC.
诺贝尔奖的授予使其获得者享有声誉,这使他的研究或活动得到更大的关注。虽然一些外国媒体和众多研究人员在科学“发现”和/或他们致力于为发展服务的评估方面回归了2019年获奖者的贡献,但这一主题并没有引起太多关注。无论是在新闻界还是在刚果民主共和国的专业期刊上。这一反思建议填补这一信息缺陷,尽管不足之处很小,并在客观的舞台上发起关于评价公共当局干预措施的意见辩论。应该提到的是,当时在一份小报上以论坛的形式进行的分析引起了几位读者的注意,他们的反应导致了这个问题的深化。本文总结了获奖者的概况,详细介绍了公共政策作为一个研究领域的评估,对实验方法进行了批判性的审视,并为刚果民主共和国提供了直接和间接的制度教训。
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引用次数: 0
Consommation du bois-énergie et vulgarisation des foyers améliorés dans le quartier Kivu à Kinshasa/Masina 金沙萨/马西纳基伍地区的木材能源消耗和改良炉灶的推广
Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.59189/crsh102239
Placide Kumpel, Dieudonné Mandjasha
Energy needs are one of the sources of wood consumption in the world in general and in the least developed countries in particular, where cooking has remained essentially traditional in villages and on the outskirts of major centres. In urban areas, wood-consuming households remain the most numerous insofar as the electric current is very unstable or unavailable. This is the finding that a survey carried out in the Kivu district, in the heart of the popular commune of Masina, has just confirmed. However, the socio-economic, health and environmental benefits of improved cookstoves no longer need to be demonstrated. Hence the interest in strengthening their popularization in the hope of changing the behavior of households because improved stoves constitute an appropriate technology and a real alternative to the
能源需要是全世界特别是最不发达国家木材消费的来源之一,在这些国家,烹饪基本上仍然是乡村和主要中心郊区的传统。在城市地区,只要电流很不稳定或没有电,消耗木材的家庭仍然最多。在马西纳人民公社中心的基伍区进行的一项调查刚刚证实了这一发现。但是,改进炉灶的社会经济、健康和环境效益不再需要证明。因此,有兴趣加强它们的普及,希望改变家庭的行为,因为改进的炉具是一种适当的技术,是传统炉具的真正替代品
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引用次数: 0
Consommation de légumes et risques sanitaires à Kinshasa : une évaluation appliquée aux amarantes 金沙萨的蔬菜消费和健康风险:应用于苋菜的评估
Pub Date : 2021-07-02 DOI: 10.59189/crsh506080
Florent Mukeba, Georgette Ngweme, John Poté
Market gardening is very important for the food security and the socio-economic life of the population of the city of Kinshasa. They provide more than 70% of the fresh vegetables consumed in the city. However, the production practices of these vegetables can lead to their contamination by micropollutants such as toxic metals with potential health risks for consumers to be assessed. This research examines the accumulation of toxic metals in amaranth (Amaranthus viridis) leaves sold in four markets in the city of Kinshasa in order to assess the potential risks to consumers. The results show that concentrations of toxic metals in amaranth leaves during the dry and rainy seasons are very high. The contamination of vegetables can be explained by several factors, including chemicals used to prevent amaranth diseases, emissions from vehicles and motorcycles in fields located near major roads, and watering. Given the concentrations of toxic metals in pigweed leaves compared to the FAO/WHO limits, and the results of our risk calculations, excessive consumption of this vegetable may pose potential health risks to consumers.
市场园艺对金沙萨市人口的粮食安全和社会经济生活非常重要。他们提供了这个城市70%以上的新鲜蔬菜。然而,这些蔬菜的生产实践可能导致其受到有毒金属等微污染物的污染,对消费者的潜在健康风险有待评估。本研究考察了在金沙萨市四个市场销售的苋菜(Amaranthus viridis)叶子中有毒金属的积累情况,以评估对消费者的潜在风险。结果表明,枯水期和雨季苋菜叶片中有毒金属的浓度都很高。蔬菜的污染可以用几个因素来解释,包括用于预防苋菜疾病的化学品,主要道路附近的车辆和摩托车排放的排放物,以及浇水。鉴于猪草叶中有毒金属的浓度与粮农组织/世卫组织的限值相比,以及我们的风险计算结果,过量食用这种蔬菜可能对消费者构成潜在的健康风险。
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引用次数: 0
Optimiser les stratégies de communication dans la lutte contre l’antibiorésistance 优化对抗抗生素耐药性的传播策略
Pub Date : 2021-07-02 DOI: 10.59189/crsh102243
Vicky Elongo Lukulunga, Prosper Twaibu, David Lukoki, Félicien Tsho-Tsho
The excessive consumption of antibiotics represents a serious risk to public health, by favoring the appearance of bacteria resistant to antibiotics. To fight against this scourge, various strategies, essentially consisting of raising awareness through communication and awareness-raising actions, have been put in place. However, despite these initiatives, the phenomenon of antibiotic resistance is only increasing, to the point that some experts fear the advent of a «post-antibiotic era», with the existence of bacteria highly resistant to antibiotic treatments. known. This contribution therefore sets itself the task of defining, in the perspective of preventive communication, the communication strategies, better the conditions for optimizing the communication strategies, so as to make the latter likely to produce populations a reasoned use of antibiotics.
抗生素的过度使用会导致细菌对抗生素产生耐药性,从而对公众健康构成严重威胁。为了与这一祸害作斗争,已经制定了各种战略,主要包括通过沟通和提高认识行动来提高认识。然而,尽管采取了这些举措,抗生素耐药性现象只会越来越严重,以至于一些专家担心“后抗生素时代”的到来,因为存在对抗生素治疗具有高度耐药性的细菌。已知的。因此,这一贡献本身的任务是,从预防性交流的角度确定交流策略,更好地优化交流策略的条件,以便使后者有可能使人群合理使用抗生素。
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引用次数: 0
Official developpement assistance and health in the DRC : impact and lessons learned 刚果民主共和国的官方发展援助和卫生:影响和经验教训
Pub Date : 2021-07-02 DOI: 10.59189/crsh101050
Bobo Kabungu
Health is one of the primary concerns of public authorities throughout the world. In recent years, studies on its determinants have multiplied, with, at the heart of the debate, the economic and social determinants that are supposed to guide policies. Among these determinants of health, this article focuses on official development assistance, which is studied econometrically, using the ordinary least squares method, in relation to life expectancy in the DRC, based on time series data from 1970 to 2015. The results show that the aid received has a significant but negative impact on the health of the population, pointing to a problem of institutional quality that may negate the impact of financial assistance.
卫生是全世界公共当局的主要关切之一。近年来,对其决定因素的研究成倍增加,辩论的核心是应该指导政策的经济和社会决定因素。在这些健康决定因素中,本文重点关注官方发展援助,并基于1970年至2015年的时间序列数据,使用普通最小二乘法对其与刚果民主共和国预期寿命的关系进行计量经济学研究。结果表明,所接受的援助对人口的健康产生了重大但消极的影响,表明体制质量问题可能会抵消财政援助的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Revue congolaise des sciences humaines et sociales
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