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Volunteer Outreach and Predictive Modeling: Rapid Randomized Quality Improvement Project for New Patient Attendance in a Primary Care Safety-Net 志愿者拓展和预测模型:初级保健安全网中新患者就诊的快速随机质量改进项目
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70278
Kevin Chen, Khera Bailey, Simon Nemytov, Kenan Katranji, Michael Bouton, Andrew B. Wallach, Hannah B. Jackson

Background

Nonattendance at new patient appointments leads to missed opportunities for engagement in care, lost revenue, and suboptimal resource utilization.

Objective

To assess the effectiveness of outreach calls to new patients, prioritized by a no-show predictive algorithm and conducted by volunteers, on visit attendance.

Design

Rapid randomized quality improvement project.

Participants

Patients with new patient appointments at an urban safety-net adult primary care clinic scheduled to occur between August 1, 2024 and September 30, 2024.

Intervention

Estimated probability of visit no-show for patients was calculated using a predictive algorithm embedded in the electronic health record and used to sort lists of patients with upcoming appointments. Every other patient received an outreach call from a trained volunteer within 3 business days of their appointment plus usual automated reminder messages versus usual automated reminder messages alone.

Main Measures

New patient visit attendance compared between intervention and control groups. We conducted subgroup analyses of attendance by visit modality (in-person vs. telehealth), preferred language, and quartile of predicted no-show probability.

Key Results

Patients in the intervention group (n = 281) had higher visit attendance than those in the control group (n = 280): 68.0% versus 54.1% (p < 0.01). There was a significant difference in attendance for in-person (70.7% vs. 51.7%; p < 0.01) but not telehealth (60.6% vs. 61.2%; p = 0.94) visits. Patients who preferred English had the biggest increase in attendance (17.2%; p < 0.01). Patients in the second and third quartiles of predicted no-show probability (31%–38% and 39%–45% predicted probability) had the biggest increases in attendance (22.2% [p = 0.01] and 15.4% [p = 0.05]).

Conclusions

Outreach calls for new patients, prioritized by a no-show predictive algorithm and conducted by volunteers, can be a feasible and effective approach to improving visit attend

背景:新患者预约不出席导致错过参与护理的机会、收入损失和资源利用不理想。目的评估对新患者外展电话的有效性,该外展电话采用未到预测算法进行优先排序,并由志愿者进行。设计快速随机质量改进项目。在2024年8月1日至2024年9月30日期间在城市安全网成人初级保健诊所预约新患者的患者。干预措施使用嵌入在电子健康记录中的预测算法计算患者未赴约的估计概率,并用于对即将预约的患者列表进行排序。其他每位患者在预约后的3个工作日内,都会收到一位训练有素的志愿者打来的外展电话,再加上常规的自动提醒信息,而不是常规的自动提醒信息。主要措施干预组与对照组新患者就诊率比较。我们通过访问方式(面对面与远程医疗)、首选语言和预测缺席概率的四分位数对出勤进行了亚组分析。干预组(n = 281)患者的访诊出勤率高于对照组(n = 280): 68.0%比54.1% (p < 0.01)。现场就诊的出勤率有显著差异(70.7% vs. 51.7%; p < 0.01),但远程医疗就诊的出勤率无显著差异(60.6% vs. 61.2%; p = 0.94)。偏爱英语的患者出勤率增加最多(17.2%;p < 0.01)。预测缺席概率的第二和第三四分位数(预测概率分别为31%-38%和39%-45%)患者的出勤率增幅最大(分别为22.2% [p = 0.01]和15.4% [p = 0.05])。结论对新患者进行外展呼吁,采用无就诊预测算法进行优先排序,并由志愿者进行,是一种有针对性地提高出勤率的可行而有效的方法。需要进一步调查以了解如何更好地支持非英语偏好患者和远程医疗预约患者。
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引用次数: 0
Maximising Value in Healthcare Systems by Putting the Patient at the Centre – Systemic Design Considerations 以病人为中心实现医疗保健系统价值最大化——系统设计考虑
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70270
Joachim Sturmberg, Saadi Taher

Value-based healthcare addresses inefficiencies, rising costs, and inconsistent quality by prioritising patient outcomes relative to costs. Despite broad support, its definition and implementation remain unclear. This perspective proposes a systemic, person-centred approach that aligns stakeholders around shared values. We examine frameworks like Berwick's ‘Triple Aim’ and Porter's patient-centred model, and integrat Sir Muir Gray's moral dimension for a holistic perspective. Achieving an effective system requires committed leadership, bottom-up redesign integrating all care levels, and cross-sector collaboration to align policies with sustainable health improvements. Context-sensitive metrics are essential to balancing patient-centred and economic value.

基于价值的医疗保健通过优先考虑患者的结果而不是成本,解决了效率低下、成本上升和质量不一致的问题。尽管得到广泛支持,但其定义和实施仍不明确。这种观点提出了一种系统的、以人为本的方法,使利益相关者围绕共同的价值观保持一致。我们研究了像贝里克的“三重目标”和波特的以病人为中心的模型这样的框架,并将缪尔·格雷爵士的道德维度整合为一个整体的视角。实现有效的系统需要坚定的领导,自下而上的重新设计,整合所有护理水平,以及跨部门合作,使政策与可持续的卫生改善相一致。上下文敏感的指标对于平衡以患者为中心的价值和经济价值至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Factors Influencing the Adoption of Shared Decision Making for Antibiotic Treatments in Developing Countries: A Systematic Review of Physicians and Patients' Perspectives 影响发展中国家抗生素治疗采用共同决策的因素:对医生和患者观点的系统回顾
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70281
Gashaw Enbiyale Kasse, Suzanne M. Cosh, Judy Humphries, Md Shahidul Islam
<div> <section> <h3> Background</h3> <p>Shared decision-making is a decision-making process that involves both patients and their healthcare providers and can serve as a framework to reduce inappropriate antibiotic prescribing, thereby helping to control antibiotic resistance. However, little is known about the factors that influence the adoption of shared decision-making for antibiotic prescription in developing countries.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Objectives</h3> <p>The objective of this review is to identify factors influencing the adoption of shared decision-making for antibiotic prescription from both physicians' and patients' perspectives in developing countries.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>We searched four electronic databases, Web of Science, Scopus, PubMed and ProQuest Health and Medicine, from 3 July 2023 to August 20, 2023. Studies were included if they assessed factors influencing the practice of shared decision-making during antibiotics prescription from physicians' or patients' perspectives in developing countries. The included studies were published in English and used quantitative, qualitative or mixed-method designs, spanning 2010 and 2023. The quality of the included articles was assessed using the Mixed Method Appraisal Tool (MMAT) version 2018, and data extraction from selected articles was performed by the first author and co-authors. Narrative synthesis was used to synthesis the qualitative result and incorporate quantitative data.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>Initially, a total of 2120 studies were identified. After evaluating the inclusion criteria, 24 were included in the final analysis. The main factors that influence the adoption of shared decision-making (SDM) in developing countries are time constraints, misunderstanding of shared decision-making, cultural and socioeconomic influence, power dynamics differences (hierarchical relationship between physicians and patients), patients' preference and agreement with shared decision-making, and availability of resources. Additionally, the quality of the relationship between patients and physicians plays a key role in influencing the practice of shared decision-making.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Conclusion</h3> <p>The findings highlight the importance of interventions aimed at both physicians and patients, such as education and training programs focused on shared decision-making for antibiotic prescription. However, further study is required to develop effective strategies that promote the adoption of shared decision-making practices while
共同决策是一个涉及患者及其医疗保健提供者的决策过程,可以作为减少不适当抗生素处方的框架,从而有助于控制抗生素耐药性。然而,对于影响发展中国家采用抗生素处方共同决策的因素知之甚少。本综述的目的是从发展中国家的医生和患者的角度确定影响抗生素处方共同决策的因素。方法检索Web of Science、Scopus、PubMed和ProQuest Health and Medicine 4个电子数据库,检索时间为2023年7月3日至2023年8月20日。如果研究从发展中国家医生或患者的角度评估影响抗生素处方共同决策实践的因素,则纳入研究。纳入的研究以英语发表,采用定量、定性或混合方法设计,时间跨度为2010年至2023年。使用混合方法评估工具(MMAT) 2018版对纳入文章的质量进行评估,并由第一作者和共同作者从所选文章中提取数据。采用叙事综合法对定性结果进行综合,并纳入定量数据。最初,共确定了2120项研究。经评估纳入标准后,24例纳入最终分析。影响发展中国家采用共同决策(SDM)的主要因素是时间限制、对共同决策的误解、文化和社会经济影响、权力动态差异(医生和患者之间的等级关系)、患者对共同决策的偏好和同意,以及资源的可用性。此外,患者和医生之间关系的质量在影响共同决策的实践中起着关键作用。研究结果强调了针对医生和患者的干预措施的重要性,例如关注抗生素处方共同决策的教育和培训计划。然而,需要进一步研究,以制定有效的战略,促进采用共同决策实践,同时考虑到环境因素的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Adolescent Asthma Control and Self-Efficacy: A Decision Tree Analysis of a Mobile Health Application in a Randomized Controlled Trial 增强青少年哮喘控制和自我效能:一项随机对照试验中移动健康应用程序的决策树分析
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70266
Nimet Karataş, Ayşegül İşler, Ayşen Bingöl

Aims and Objectives

To evaluate the efficacy of YoungAsthma, a nurse-led, web-based mHealth intervention on asthma control and self-efficacy among adolescents with asthma utilizing decision tree analysis.

Background

Asthma is a prevalent chronic condition in pediatric populations, necessitating sustained management for optimal disease control.

Design

A randomized controlled clinical trial.

Methods

Fifty-four eligible adolescents were randomly assigned to either the intervention group (YoungAsthma + Usual care, n = 27) or the control group (Usual care, n = 27) for 4 weeks. Primary outcomes—asthma control and self-efficacy—were assessed using the Information Form, Asthma Control Test, Self-Efficacy Scale for Children and Adolescents with Asthma. Statistical analyses included Fisher's exact test, chi-square test, Wilcoxon signed-rank test, Mann-Whitney U test, and Intention-to-Treat (ITT) analysis.

Results

Forty-eight participants completed the study (11% dropout per group). The intervention group exhibited a greater improvement in asthma control than the control group. While both groups showed increased self-efficacy, the intervention group's improvement was significantly higher. Decision tree analysis identified key predictors, indicating that lower scores were associated with a higher likelihood of remaining in the control group.

Conclusions

Nurse-led, technology-supported interventions significantly enhance asthma control and self-efficacy in adolescents. Decision tree analysis provided valuable insights into key factors influencing asthma control and self-efficacy improvements, identifying subgroups that benefited most from the intervention. Interdisciplinary collaboration facilitated a user-centered approach grounded in Bandura's Self-Efficacy Theory, offering a data-driven framework for personalized asthma management.

Relevance to Clinical Practice

Decision tree analysis aids in identifying patients who would benefit most, enabling precision-targeted interventions.

Reporting Method

This study was conducted

目的和目的利用决策树分析评估YoungAsthma的有效性,这是一项护士主导的基于网络的移动健康干预,对哮喘青少年的哮喘控制和自我效能感进行干预。背景:哮喘是儿科人群中一种常见的慢性疾病,需要持续的治疗以达到最佳的疾病控制。设计随机对照临床试验。方法将54名符合条件的青少年随机分为干预组(YoungAsthma +常规护理组,n = 27)和对照组(常规护理组,n = 27),为期4周。主要结局-哮喘控制和自我效能-评估使用信息表,哮喘控制测试,自我效能量表儿童和青少年哮喘。统计分析包括Fisher精确检验、卡方检验、Wilcoxon符号秩检验、Mann-Whitney U检验和意向治疗(Intention-to-Treat, ITT)分析。结果48名参与者完成了研究(每组11%的人退出)。干预组在哮喘控制方面比对照组有更大的改善。虽然两组的自我效能都有所提高,但干预组的改善程度明显更高。决策树分析确定了关键的预测因素,表明得分越低,留在对照组的可能性越大。结论护士主导、技术支持的干预措施可显著提高青少年哮喘控制和自我效能感。决策树分析为影响哮喘控制和自我效能改善的关键因素提供了有价值的见解,确定了从干预中获益最多的亚组。跨学科合作促进了基于Bandura自我效能理论的以用户为中心的方法,为个性化哮喘管理提供了数据驱动的框架。与临床实践的相关性决策树分析有助于确定哪些患者将受益最多,从而实现精确的靶向干预。报告方法本研究按照报告试验的统一标准和移动健康证据报告和评估指南进行。临床试验注册号临床试验。首次招聘日期:2020年12月。https://register.clinicaltrials.gov/prs/beta/studies/S000AJ5B00000102/recordSummary。
{"title":"Enhancing Adolescent Asthma Control and Self-Efficacy: A Decision Tree Analysis of a Mobile Health Application in a Randomized Controlled Trial","authors":"Nimet Karataş,&nbsp;Ayşegül İşler,&nbsp;Ayşen Bingöl","doi":"10.1111/jep.70266","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jep.70266","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aims and Objectives</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>To evaluate the efficacy of YoungAsthma, a nurse-led, web-based mHealth intervention on asthma control and self-efficacy among adolescents with asthma utilizing decision tree analysis.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Background</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Asthma is a prevalent chronic condition in pediatric populations, necessitating sustained management for optimal disease control.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Design</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A randomized controlled clinical trial.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Fifty-four eligible adolescents were randomly assigned to either the intervention group (YoungAsthma + Usual care, <i>n </i>= 27) or the control group (Usual care, <i>n</i> = 27) for 4 weeks. Primary outcomes—asthma control and self-efficacy—were assessed using the Information Form, Asthma Control Test, Self-Efficacy Scale for Children and Adolescents with Asthma. Statistical analyses included Fisher's exact test, chi-square test, Wilcoxon signed-rank test, Mann-Whitney U test, and Intention-to-Treat (ITT) analysis.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Forty-eight participants completed the study (11% dropout per group). The intervention group exhibited a greater improvement in asthma control than the control group. While both groups showed increased self-efficacy, the intervention group's improvement was significantly higher. Decision tree analysis identified key predictors, indicating that lower scores were associated with a higher likelihood of remaining in the control group.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Nurse-led, technology-supported interventions significantly enhance asthma control and self-efficacy in adolescents. Decision tree analysis provided valuable insights into key factors influencing asthma control and self-efficacy improvements, identifying subgroups that benefited most from the intervention. Interdisciplinary collaboration facilitated a user-centered approach grounded in Bandura's Self-Efficacy Theory, offering a data-driven framework for personalized asthma management.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Relevance to Clinical Practice</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Decision tree analysis aids in identifying patients who would benefit most, enabling precision-targeted interventions.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Reporting Method</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study was conducted","PeriodicalId":15997,"journal":{"name":"Journal of evaluation in clinical practice","volume":"31 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145022163","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Impact of Social Network Interruption on Depression in the Elderly With Chronic Diseases: A Longitudinal Study in China 社会网络中断对中国老年慢性病患者抑郁的影响:一项纵向研究
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70263
Tong Shi, Zongshun Chen, Chaoping Pan, Shikang Deng, Junfeng Jiang, Peigang Wang

Background

Social support can have health benefits but may also pose risks for the elderly, particularly those facing conflicts and network disruptions. Understanding the short and long-term mental health effects, especially in elderly individuals with chronic illnesses, is crucial due to global depression concerns. Yet, research is limited, with gaps in exploring different social disruption scenarios and lacking comprehensive multi-period data analysis.

Methods

We conducted a longitudinal study using 2016 and 2018 China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey (CLASS) data. Our study included 5476 and 7138 participants aged 60−90 with chronic illnesses, 4730 participating in both years. We analysed relationships using depression scores, social network disruption and social adaptation. Ordinary least squares explored short and long-term effects, and propensity score matching examined causal inferences, including gender and urban-rural differences. We also explored the social adaptation's mediating role.

Results

Disrupted social networks significantly increased short and long-term depression (β = 0.984, p < 0.001; β = 0.337, p < 0.01). However, after propensity score matching, only short-term impacts persisted (ATT = 0.981−1.045, p < 0.001). Factors like death and conflicts had short-term impacts, milder in females (0.673 points) than in males (1.285 points). Both urban and rural participants experienced increased depression. Social adaptation explained 14.1% of the mediation effect.

Conclusions

Disrupted social networks heightened short-term depression in elderly individuals with chronic illnesses, with varying gender and location effects. Robust social adaptability facilitated new connections, reducing depression. Implications include emphasizing rapid network recovery and enhancing adaptability for mental health support in aging populations.

社会支持可以带来健康益处,但也可能给老年人,特别是那些面临冲突和网络中断的老年人带来风险。由于全球对抑郁症的担忧,了解抑郁症对心理健康的短期和长期影响,尤其是对患有慢性疾病的老年人的影响,至关重要。然而,研究有限,在探索不同的社会混乱情景方面存在空白,缺乏全面的多时期数据分析。方法采用2016年和2018年中国纵向老龄化社会调查(CLASS)数据进行纵向研究。我们的研究包括5476和7138名年龄在60 - 90岁之间的慢性疾病患者,其中4730人在两年内都参加了研究。我们使用抑郁评分、社会网络破坏和社会适应来分析关系。普通最小二乘法研究短期和长期影响,倾向得分匹配研究因果关系,包括性别和城乡差异。我们还探讨了社会适应的中介作用。结果社交网络中断显著增加短期和长期抑郁(β = 0.984, p < 0.001; β = 0.337, p < 0.01)。然而,在倾向评分匹配后,只有短期影响持续存在(ATT = 0.981−1.045,p < 0.001)。死亡和冲突等因素的短期影响,女性(0.673分)比男性(1.285分)轻微。城市和农村的参与者都经历了更多的抑郁。社会适应解释了14.1%的中介效应。结论:社会网络中断会加剧老年慢性病患者的短期抑郁,其影响存在性别和地域差异。强大的社会适应能力促进了新的联系,减少了抑郁。其意义包括强调快速网络恢复和增强老年人心理健康支持的适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond Barriers and Facilitators: A Qualitative Study of the Interests Driving Physician-Led Innovation 超越障碍与推动者:医师主导创新利益驱动的定性研究
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70274
Miriam Wiersma, Ian Kerridge, Wendy Lipworth

Rationale

Clinical innovation—where physicians develop and use novel interventions that differ significantly from standard practice and that have not been shown to be sufficiently safe or effective for regular use in healthcare systems—has the potential to transform patient care and drive medical advancement. However, it is not without risk.

It is important, therefore, that policymakers and healthcare institutions develop strategies to encourage responsible clinical innovation. For these strategies to be effective, they need to be based on a comprehensive understanding of the factors driving physicians' development and use of innovative interventions. While research has provided important insights into contextual barriers and facilitators, individual factors, particularly physicians' interests, remain underexplored.

Aims and Objectives

The aims of this qualitative study were to investigate the factors that drive and deter clinical innovation in diverse medical specialties and to examine whether these factors differ significantly between specialties.

Method

Thirty-one semi-structured interviews were conducted with Australian physicians from surgery, reproductive medicine, and cancer care.

Results

Physicians' interests (e.g., obligations to patients and personal financial concerns) were perceived to play an important role in driving their use of innovative interventions, along with individual traits and contextual factors. There were also significant differences between specialties—with fertility specialists and surgeons more strongly emphasizing financial and commercial interests as key drivers of clinical innovation than oncologists.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that while addressing structural barriers to clinical innovation at the health system level remains important, policymakers must also give attention to the diverse interests of physician-innovators. Understanding these interests, the ways in which they align and conflict, and which are most prominent across different specialties, will enable policymakers and healthcare institutions to develop targeted strategies to encourage physician-led innovation and ensure it is responsible.

临床创新-医生开发和使用与标准实践有很大不同的新干预措施,并且尚未被证明在医疗保健系统中常规使用是足够安全或有效的-具有改变患者护理和推动医学进步的潜力。然而,这并非没有风险。因此,重要的是,决策者和卫生保健机构制定战略,鼓励负责任的临床创新。为了使这些策略有效,它们需要基于对推动医生开发和使用创新干预措施的因素的全面理解。虽然研究对情境障碍和促进因素提供了重要的见解,但个体因素,特别是医生的兴趣,仍未得到充分探索。目的和目的本定性研究的目的是调查不同医学专业推动和阻碍临床创新的因素,并检查这些因素在不同专业之间是否存在显著差异。方法对31名来自澳大利亚外科、生殖医学和癌症护理的医生进行半结构化访谈。结果医生的利益(例如,对患者的义务和个人财务问题)被认为在推动他们使用创新干预措施方面发挥着重要作用,同时还有个人特征和环境因素。不同专业之间也存在显著差异——与肿瘤学家相比,生育专家和外科医生更强调经济和商业利益是临床创新的关键驱动力。我们的研究结果表明,尽管在卫生系统层面解决临床创新的结构性障碍仍然很重要,但政策制定者也必须关注医生创新者的不同利益。了解这些利益、它们相互协调和冲突的方式,以及在不同专业中最突出的是什么,将使政策制定者和医疗机构能够制定有针对性的战略,鼓励医生主导的创新,并确保其负责任。
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引用次数: 0
AppRaise: Software for Quantifying Evidence Uncertainty in Systematic Reviews Using a Posterior Mixture Model 评价:使用后验混合模型量化系统评价证据不确定性的软件
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70272
Conrad Kabali

Rationale

Systematic reviews are essential for evidence-based healthcare decision-making. While it is relatively straightforward to quantitatively assess random errors in systematic reviews, as these are typically reported in primary studies, the assessment of biases often remains narrative. Primary studies seldom provide quantitative estimates of biases and their uncertainties, resulting in systematic reviews rarely including such measurements. Additionally, evidence appraisers often face time constraints and technical challenges that prevent them from conducting quantitative bias assessments themselves. Given that multiple biases and random errors collectively skew the point estimate from the truth, it is important to incorporate comprehensive quantitative methods of uncertainty in systematic reviews. These methods should integrate random errors and biases into a unified measure of uncertainty and be easily accessible to evidence appraisers, preferably through user-friendly software.

Aims and Objectives

To address this need, we propose a posterior mixture model and introduce AppRaise, a free, web-based interactive software designed to implement this approach.

Methods

We showcase its application through a health technology assessment (HTA) report on the effectiveness of continuous glucose monitoring in reducing A1c levels among individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Results

Applying the AppRaise software to the HTA report revealed a high level of certainty (86% probability) that continuous glucose monitoring would, on average, result in a reduction in A1c levels compared with self-monitoring of blood glucose among Ontarians with type 1 diabetes. These findings were similar to other quantitative bias-adjusted approaches in systematic reviews.

Conclusion

AppRaise can be utilized as a standalone tool or as a complement to validate the quality of evidence assessed using qualitative-based scoring methods. This approach is also useful for assessing the sensitivity of parameter estimates to potential biases introduced by primary studies.

理论基础系统评价对循证医疗保健决策至关重要。虽然定量评估系统综述中的随机误差相对简单,因为这些通常在初级研究中报告,但对偏差的评估通常仍然是叙述性的。初步研究很少提供偏差及其不确定性的定量估计,导致系统评价很少包括此类测量。此外,证据评估师经常面临时间限制和技术挑战,这阻碍了他们自己进行定量偏见评估。考虑到多重偏差和随机误差共同使点估计偏离事实,在系统评价中纳入不确定性的综合定量方法是很重要的。这些方法应该将随机误差和偏差整合到不确定性的统一测量中,并且证据评估人员可以很容易地获得,最好是通过用户友好的软件。为了满足这一需求,我们提出了一个后验混合模型,并引入了一个免费的、基于网络的交互式软件AppRaise来实现这一方法。方法:我们通过一份健康技术评估(HTA)报告,展示了持续血糖监测在降低1型糖尿病患者A1c水平方面的有效性。结果将AppRaise软件应用于HTA报告显示,与自我监测血糖相比,安大略省1型糖尿病患者持续血糖监测平均会导致A1c水平降低,这一结果具有很高的确定性(86%的概率)。这些发现与系统评价中其他定量偏倚调整方法相似。结论:AppRaise可以作为一个独立的工具,也可以作为一个补充来验证使用基于质量的评分方法评估的证据的质量。这种方法对于评估参数估计对原始研究引入的潜在偏差的敏感性也很有用。
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引用次数: 0
Current Trends and Future Directions of Statistical Methods in Medical Research: A Scientometric Analysis 医学研究中统计方法的当前趋势和未来方向:科学计量分析
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70257
Fatma Yardibi, Chaomei Chen, Cagdas Hakan Aladag, Ozkan Kose

Aims and Objective

The field of medical statistics has experienced significant advancements driven by integrating innovative statistical methodologies. This study aims to conduct a comprehensive analysis to explore current trends, influential research areas, and future directions in medical statistics.

Methods

This paper maps the evolution of statistical methods used in medical research based on 4,919 relevant publications retrieved from the Web of Science. High-frequency keywords and citation metrics were analyzed to identify research hotspots. A dual-map overlay and document co-citation analysis were performed using CiteSpace to uncover thematic clusters and track knowledge flow between disciplines. Additionally, network metrics, such as betweenness centrality and sigma, were employed to quantify the influence and novelty of publications.

Results

Results identified a strong interdisciplinary exchange between medical statistics and fields such as health, nursing, molecular biology, and computer science, with clinical trials, survival analysis, and predictive modeling emerging as central themes. The influence of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and deep learning (DL) is growing substantially, particularly in areas such as diagnostic imaging, epidemiology, and treatment prediction, highlighting a shift towards more complex, data-driven methodologies. While traditional statistical techniques, such as survival analysis and regression, remain vital, emerging technologies are reshaping research approaches, fostering collaboration, and advancing the field's capabilities.

Conclusion

Future research will likely focus on overcoming challenges related to data privacy, ethical considerations, and the need for continued biostatistics education in healthcare. This study offers a roadmap for ongoing research and highlights opportunities for future interdisciplinary collaborations to address the complexities of modern medical data analysis. This scientometrics study reveals the evolution of statistical methods used in medical research over time, evaluates frequently cited models and thematic changes, and provides implications that can enhance evidence-based decision-making processes regarding methodological choices that guide contemporary clinical practice.

医学统计领域在整合创新统计方法的推动下取得了重大进展。本研究旨在对医学统计学的发展趋势、影响研究领域和未来发展方向进行综合分析。方法基于Web of Science检索到的4919篇相关文献,对医学研究中统计方法的演变进行梳理。分析高频关键词和被引指标,确定研究热点。利用CiteSpace进行双图叠加和文献共被引分析,揭示主题集群并跟踪学科间的知识流动。此外,网络指标,如中间性中心性和西格玛,被用来量化出版物的影响力和新颖性。结果表明,医学统计学与健康、护理、分子生物学和计算机科学等领域之间存在着强有力的跨学科交流,临床试验、生存分析和预测建模成为中心主题。人工智能(AI)、机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)的影响正在大幅增长,特别是在诊断成像、流行病学和治疗预测等领域,突显出向更复杂、数据驱动的方法的转变。虽然传统的统计技术,如生存分析和回归仍然至关重要,但新兴技术正在重塑研究方法,促进合作,并推进该领域的能力。未来的研究可能会集中在克服与数据隐私、伦理考虑以及医疗保健中持续生物统计学教育的需求相关的挑战。这项研究为正在进行的研究提供了路线图,并强调了未来跨学科合作的机会,以解决现代医学数据分析的复杂性。这项科学计量学研究揭示了医学研究中使用的统计方法随时间的演变,评估了经常被引用的模型和主题变化,并提供了一些启示,可以加强关于指导当代临床实践的方法选择的循证决策过程。
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引用次数: 0
Should We Routinely Take Chest X-Rays Before Surgery? A Systematic Scoping Review of Clinical Recommendations Using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation–Recommendations Excellence (AGREE-REX) Instrument 我们应该在手术前例行进行胸部x光检查吗?使用研究和评估指南评估-建议卓越(AGREE-REX)工具对临床建议进行系统范围审查
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70265
Ting-Ju Wu, Kee-Hsin Chen, Yi-No Kang, Khanh Dinh Hoang, Hsin-Chih Fang, Chiehfeng Chen
<div> <section> <h3> Background</h3> <p>Chest radiography is often performed preoperatively as a common diagnostic tool. However, chest radiography carries the risk of radiation exposure. Given the uncertainty surrounding the utility of preoperative chest radiographs, physicians require systematically developed recommendations. This systematic review assesses the quality and consistency of guideline recommendations for the timing and indications of preoperative chest radiography to make appropriate decisions.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>The guideline recommendations on the management of the preoperative chest radiography, August 2024, were retrieved. All the reviewed recommendations were in English. Four reviewers independently assessed the quality of recommendations by using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation–Recommendations Excellence (AGREE-REX) instrument, which contained three main domains (clinical applicability, values and preferences, and implementability), and their reported evidence was evaluated.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>Ten eligible recommendations were included. Six and four of the recommendations were of high and moderate quality according to AGREE-REX instrument, respectively. Overall, these guideline statements demonstrated significantly higher quality in the implementability domain (median 5.62, IQR 5.03 to 5.97), followed by the domain of value and preference (median 5.34, IQR 4.45 to 5.48) and the clinical applicability domain (median 4.96, IQR 4.27 to 5.15). Most recommendations on the preoperative chest radiograph were relatively consistent. The overall Krippendorff′s alpha value of 0.824 indicates generally satisfactory agreement and reliable ratings. Although none of the 10 recommendations advocate for routine preoperative chest radiographs, they indicate specific clinical circumstances and patient populations in which such testing may be warranted.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Conclusions</h3> <p>Routine chest radiography before surgery is generally not recommended, except in specific circumstances, as follows: (1) age > 70 years, (2) cardiac or thoracic clinical symptoms or a medical history, (3) surgery involving the chest, (4) ASA levels III to VI, and (5) work environments that may expose individuals to harmful particles. However, the final decision regarding preoperative chest radiographs should remain flexible, should be based on individual patient characteristics, the physician′s expertise, and consultation with other health-care professionals.</p> <p><b>Clinical Trial Registration.</b> Name of the registry: PROS
背景胸片通常作为一种常见的诊断工具在术前进行。然而,胸部x线摄影有辐射暴露的风险。鉴于术前胸片应用的不确定性,医生需要系统地提出建议。本系统综述评估了术前胸部x线摄影时机和适应症的指南建议的质量和一致性,以做出适当的决定。方法检索2024年8月《术前胸片处理指南》。所有审查过的建议都是英文的。四名审稿人通过使用研究和评估指南评估-建议卓越性(AGREE-REX)工具独立评估建议的质量,该工具包含三个主要领域(临床适用性、价值和偏好以及可实施性),并对其报告的证据进行评估。结果纳入10条符合条件的推荐。根据AGREE-REX仪器,其中6项和4项建议分别为高质量和中等质量。总体而言,这些指南声明在可实施性领域(中位数为5.62,IQR为5.03至5.97)表现出更高的质量,其次是价值和偏好领域(中位数为5.34,IQR为4.45至5.48)和临床适用性领域(中位数为4.96,IQR为4.27至5.15)。大多数术前胸片的建议相对一致。总体Krippendorff的alpha值为0.824,表明一致性总体满意,评级可靠。虽然10条建议中没有一条提倡术前常规胸片检查,但它们指出了特定的临床情况和患者群体可能需要进行此类检查。结论一般不建议术前常规胸片检查,除非有以下特殊情况:(1)年龄70岁;(2)心脏或胸部临床症状或病史;(3)手术涉及胸部;(4)ASA等级为III至VI级;(5)工作环境可能暴露于有害颗粒。然而,关于术前胸片的最终决定应保持灵活性,应基于个体患者的特点、医生的专业知识以及与其他卫生保健专业人员的咨询。临床试验注册。注册中心名称:普洛斯彼罗唯一识别号码或注册ID: CRD42024605618到您特定注册的超链接(必须公开访问并将被检查):https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=605618。
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引用次数: 0
A Reflective Verbalization Strategy to Trigger Alternative Diagnostic Hypotheses 引发替代性诊断假设的反思性语言化策略
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/jep.70267
Sho Isoda, Taro Shimizu, Tadayuki Hashimoto, Fumio Shimada, Miwa Misawa, Tomio Suzuki

Rationale

Physicians sometimes encounter various types of gut feelings (GFs) during clinical diagnosis. The type of GF addressed in this paper refers to the intuitive sense that the generated hypothesis might be incorrect. An appropriate diagnosis cannot be obtained unless these GFs are articulated and inventive solutions are devised. Thus, the method of articulating GFs is critical.

Aims and Objectives

The current study proposes reflective verbalization (RV) to help healthcare professionals capitalize on their GF. In cognitive psychology, RV is the process of verbalizing one's thoughts and feelings through metacognition, to promote deeper understanding and insight problem-solving. When applied to clinical reasoning, RV can help doctors verbalize their GFs, refining their diagnostic hypotheses.

Method

To address GFs systematically using RV, we introduce the DATES approach, comprising five perspectives: Degree, Abandoned, Time course, Excess, and Shortage. Each perspective prompts physicians to compare their patient's information against typical illness scripts, ensuring no detail is omitted or overlooked.

Results and Conclusion

The tool also aids physicians in considering possible differential diagnoses for one or more of these elements. This guiding tool may aid physicians in overcoming biases, including confirmation and anchoring biases, thus improving diagnostic accuracy. This tool is useful for healthcare professionals who wish to improve their clinical reasoning and decision-making abilities, particularly when they encounter inexplicable contradictions in their diagnostic hypotheses.

医生在临床诊断过程中有时会遇到各种类型的肠道感觉(GFs)。本文讨论的GF类型是指直觉上产生的假设可能是不正确的。除非明确说明这些特征并设计出创造性的解决方案,否则无法获得适当的诊断。因此,表达GFs的方法至关重要。目的和目的目前的研究提出反思性语言化(RV)来帮助医疗保健专业人员利用他们的GF。在认知心理学中,RV是通过元认知将自己的思想和感受用语言表达出来,以促进更深层次的理解和洞察力解决问题的过程。当应用于临床推理时,RV可以帮助医生用语言表达他们的GFs,完善他们的诊断假设。方法为了系统地利用RV分析GFs,我们引入了date方法,包括五个方面:程度、放弃、时间进程、过剩和短缺。每一种观点都促使医生将病人的信息与典型的疾病处方进行比较,确保没有遗漏或忽视任何细节。结果和结论该工具还有助于医生考虑对这些因素中的一个或多个进行可能的鉴别诊断。这种指导工具可以帮助医生克服偏见,包括确认和锚定偏见,从而提高诊断的准确性。该工具对于希望提高临床推理和决策能力的医疗保健专业人员非常有用,特别是当他们在诊断假设中遇到无法解释的矛盾时。
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引用次数: 0
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