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Optimal Design Settlement Devices for Cases of Disputed Liability: Fee-Shifting Rules and Pleadings Mechanisms 责任争议案件的最佳设计解决机制:费用转移规则和诉辩机制
Pub Date : 2002-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.304200
A. Klement, Z. Neeman
We study the effect of alternative fee shifting rules on the probability of settlement when the defendant's liability is under dispute. Using a mechanism design approach we demonstrate that the probability of settlement is maximized by a particular Pleadings mechanism: Both parties are given the choice to opt into the mechanism; if they choose to do so, the defendant is asked to plead liable or not. Based on the defendant's pleading the plaintiff is offered a settlement amount which if accepted would be binding to both parties. If the plaintiff refuses the offer, then the case goes to trial and the allocation of litigation costs between the parties is set according to the outcome of the trial and the defendant's pleading of liability. When the background rule for allocation of litigation costs is given by the American rule, we show that the probability of settlement is maximized by requiring the plaintiff to bear both litigants' costs when the defendant has admitted liability irrespective of the outcome of the trial, and by applying the Pro-Plaintiff rule in the event that the defendent has denied liability. Extensions that allow for court inaccuracy, different background rules, variable shares of costs shifted, and detterence are considered.
我们研究了当被告的责任存在争议时,不同的费用转移规则对和解概率的影响。使用机制设计方法,我们证明了通过特定的申诉机制来最大化解决的可能性:双方都可以选择加入该机制;如果他们选择这样做,被告将被要求对是否负有责任进行辩护。根据被告的辩护,向原告提供一笔和解金额,如果接受这笔金额将对双方都有约束力。如果原告拒绝该提议,那么案件将进入审判阶段,根据审判结果和被告的责任抗辩来确定当事人之间的诉讼费用分配。当美国规则给出诉讼费用分摊的背景规则时,我们表明,当被告无论审判结果如何都承认责任时,要求原告同时承担诉讼费用,而在被告否认责任的情况下,则采用有利于原告的规则,和解的可能性最大化。考虑到法院的不准确性、不同的背景规则、成本转移的可变份额和威慑的扩展。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Behaviour and Responsibility: The Example of the Soda and Chlorine Industry 经济行为与责任:以碱和氯工业为例
Pub Date : 2002-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.303699
M. Faber, R. Manstetten
The Paper discusses the relationship between economic action and responsibility. Starting point of the argument is a comparison of positions by Socrates and representatives of modern economics towards the relationship between economy and the environment. As historical example the authors regard the development of the production of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), particularly with respect to their role for ozone layer depletion. The second part of the paper investigates the relationship between the occurring phenomenon of joint production and the problem of responsibility on a general scale. Special emphasis is given to ignorance concerning emerging joint products. Finally, general approaches for solutions to the problem of responsibility are examined.
本文论述了经济行为与责任的关系。本文的出发点是比较苏格拉底与现代经济学代表对经济与环境关系的立场。作为历史例子,提交人认为氟氯化碳生产的发展,特别是其对臭氧层消耗的作用。第二部分从总体上考察了共同生产现象的发生与责任问题之间的关系。特别强调了对新兴关节产品的无知。最后,讨论了解决责任问题的一般方法。
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引用次数: 0
On the Role of Good Faith in Insurance Contracting 论诚信在保险合同中的作用
Pub Date : 2002-01-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.303841
A. Dixit, P. Picard
The law of insurance contracts provides that if the policyholder is shown to have knowingly misrepresented material facts about his risks in his application, the insurer can cancel the contract ex post facto and refuse to pay any claims. This good faith principle is widespread, but implemented with unequal strictness, under common law or statute law. In this paper, we analyze the role of good faith in insurance application, when policyholders are imperfectly informed about their risk type. We extend the Rothschild-Stiglitz (1976) model of an insurance market with adverse selection to the situation where individuals only receive a signal of their risk type and where a costly verification of the individuals' risk type and/or signal is possible. We characterize the optimal investigation strategy of the insurer, and the insurance indemnity that should be paid contingent on the result of the investigation, when the insurance market is at a competitive equilibrium. We show that the high-risk types get full, fair insurance without any investigation. The contract intended for the low-risk types involves probabilistic investigation, either of the signal directly, or of the risk type and then of the signal if a high risk type is revealed, depending on the costs of the two types of investigation and the posterior probability of the signal. In either case, the equilibrium is Pareto superior to that in the original Rothschild-Stiglitz model, and exists for a larger range of the population proportions of the two risk types. We also analyze the issue of the onus of the proof when intentional misrepresentation of risk is alleged by the insurer, and find the dependence of the optimal choice of the legislative rule depends on the rival parties' costs of proving good or bad faith.
保险合同法规定,如果投保人在其申请中被证明故意谎报有关其风险的重要事实,保险人可以事后取消合同并拒绝支付任何索赔。这一诚信原则是普遍存在的,但在普通法或成文法下,执行的严格程度却不尽相同。在本文中,我们分析了当投保人不完全了解其风险类型时,诚信在保险申请中的作用。我们将罗斯柴尔德-斯蒂格利茨(1976)的保险市场逆向选择模型扩展到个人只接收到其风险类型的信号,并且对个人风险类型和/或信号进行昂贵验证是可能的情况。我们刻画了保险市场处于竞争均衡时,保险人的最优调查策略,以及应根据调查结果支付的保险赔偿。我们表明,高风险的类型得到充分的,公平的保险,没有任何调查。针对低风险类型的合同涉及概率调查,要么直接对信号进行调查,要么对风险类型进行调查,然后在发现高风险类型时对信号进行调查,这取决于两种调查类型的成本和信号的后验概率。在任何一种情况下,均衡都优于原来的Rothschild-Stiglitz模型,并且存在于两种风险类型的总体比例的更大范围内。本文还分析了保险人指控故意虚假陈述风险时的举证责任问题,发现立法规则的最优选择依赖于竞争双方证明善意或恶意的成本。
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引用次数: 17
The Dynamics of Daubert: Methodology, Conclusions, and Fit in Statistical and Econometric Studies 道伯特动力学:统计与计量经济学研究中的方法论、结论与拟合
Pub Date : 2001-12-01 DOI: 10.2307/1073909
D. Kaye
This paper reviews the development of the law governing the admissibility of statistical studies. It analyzes the leading cases on scientific evidence and suggests that both the "reliability" and the "general acceptance" standards raise two major difficulties - the "boundary problem" of identifying the type of evidence that warrants careful screening and the "usurpation problem" of keeping the trial judge from closing the gate on evidence that should be left for the jury to assess.The paper proposes partial solutions to these problems, and it applies them to statistical and econometric proof, particularly in the context of a recent antitrust case. It concludes that Daubert-like screening of complex statistical analyses is a salutary development, but that the task requires the elaboration of standards that attend to the distinction between a general methodology and a specific conclusion. Screening statistical proof demands some sophistication in evaluating the choice of a research design or statistical model, the variables included in a particular model, the procedures taken to verify the usefulness of the model for the data at hand, and the inferences or estimates that follow from the statistical analysis. The factors enumerated in Daubert work reasonably well with some of these aspects of the expert's work, but these factors are less well adapted to others. If the "intellectual rigor" standard of Kumho Tire is used to fill the gap, it must be applied with some caution lest it become a subterfuge for excluding expert testimony that is less than ideal but still within the range of reasonable scientific debate.
本文回顾了统计研究可采性法律的发展。它分析了关于科学证据的主要案例,并提出“可靠性”和“普遍接受”标准都提出了两个主要困难——确定需要仔细筛选的证据类型的“边界问题”和阻止审判法官关闭应该留给陪审团评估的证据大门的“篡夺问题”。本文提出了这些问题的部分解决方案,并将其应用于统计和计量经济学证明,特别是在最近的反垄断案件的背景下。它的结论是,对复杂统计分析进行道伯特式筛选是一项有益的发展,但这项任务需要详细制定标准,以区分一般方法和具体结论。筛选统计证据要求在评估研究设计或统计模型的选择、特定模型中包含的变量、为验证模型对手头数据的有用性所采取的程序以及从统计分析中得出的推论或估计方面具有一定的复杂性。道伯特列举的因素与专家工作的某些方面相当吻合,但这些因素不太适合于其他方面。如果要用锦湖轮胎的“知识严谨”标准来填补这一空白,就必须谨慎使用,以免成为排除不太理想但仍在合理科学辩论范围内的专家证词的借口。
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引用次数: 15
The Willingness to Pay for Mortality Risk Reductions: A Comparison of the United States and Canada 降低死亡风险的支付意愿:美国和加拿大的比较
Pub Date : 2001-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.293662
A. Alberini, A. Krupnick, M. Cropper, N. Simon, Joseph Cook
We present results for two contingent valuation surveys conducted in Hamilton, Canada and the US to elicit WTP for mortality risk reductions. We find similar Value of Statistical Life estimates across the two studies, ranging from USD 930,000 to USD 4.8 million (2000 US dollars). WTP increases with risk reduction size, but varies little with respondent age: individuals aged over 70 years hold WTP values approximately one-third lower than other respondents. Respondent health status has limited effect on WTP. These results provide little or no evidence for adjusting VSL estimates used in policy analyses for the affected population’s age or health status.
我们提出了在加拿大汉密尔顿和美国进行的两项条件评估调查的结果,以引出WTP降低死亡率风险。我们在两项研究中发现了相似的统计寿命值估计,从93万美元到480万美元(2000美元)不等。WTP值随风险减小规模的增加而增加,但随受访者年龄的变化不大:70岁以上的受访者的WTP值比其他受访者低约三分之一。应答者健康状况对WTP的影响有限。这些结果为调整政策分析中针对受影响人口的年龄或健康状况所使用的VSL估计提供了很少或根本没有证据。
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引用次数: 27
The World Bank's Tobacco Economics 世界银行《烟草经济学》
Pub Date : 2001-11-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.291785
P. Lemieux
Economists have argued for two decades that smokers do not transfer costs to non-smokers as smokers, besides paying heavy tobacco taxes, typically die at an earlier age than non-smokers who ring up important old-age care costs. But the more important question is whether there are net social benefits or costs to smoking. World Bank economists have been using very creative welfare economics to argue that tobacco ultimately inflicts a net cost on society and that the optimal consumption level of tobacco is zero. Those arguments conflict with the standard economic presumption that a good freely produced and consumed produces a net social benefit.
二十年来,经济学家一直认为,吸烟者不会将成本转移给不吸烟者,因为吸烟者除了要缴纳沉重的烟草税外,通常比不吸烟者死得更早,后者需要支付重要的老年护理费用。但更重要的问题是,吸烟是否有净社会效益或成本。世界银行(World Bank)的经济学家一直在运用非常有创意的福利经济学来论证,烟草最终会给社会带来净成本,而烟草的最佳消费水平是零。这些论点与标准的经济假设相冲突,即自由生产和消费的商品会产生净社会效益。
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引用次数: 4
Of Two Wrongs that Make a Right: Two Paradoxes of the Evidence Law and Their Combined Economic Justification 两错即对:证据法的两个悖论及其综合经济正当性
Pub Date : 2001-10-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.271428
Alex Stein
This essay offers a new rationale to the standard of proof requirements in civil trials. The civil proof doctrine, as traditionally understood, presents two economic paradoxes (or anomalies). First, it focuses on accuracy ex post by requiring judges to reconstruct the relevant events, as they unfolded in reality, including the actual damage to the plaintiff, based on the information available at the trial. This retroactive (ex post) accuracy is both expensive and may undermine deterrence along with other economic objectives of the law. For deterrence purposes, only information that had been available to the defendant prior to taking the litigated action (ex ante information) matters. Moreover, accuracy ex post is an investment-dependent opportunity rather than static good. As such, it fosters a secondary market for competitive adversarial investments in information, which might adversely affect the primary market, that is, the market for goods, services, risks and precautions. Thus, when prospective litigants are rationally unwilling to commit themselves to the required investments in information, inefficiencies are bound to occur. In such cases, each party will account for the event that he will be wrongfully defeated in the future trial because his opponent's investment in information outscored his. This prospect will foil transactions that are otherwise efficient and chill many other socially beneficial activities. Second, if the doctrine is nonetheless committed to accuracy ex post, then it should require judges to determine the ultimate probability of the plaintiff's case by multiplying the probabilities of the relevant entitlement, breach and damage. Yet, the doctrine refuses to apply the multiplication principle and thus reduces the total number of correct verdicts, instead of maximizing it. On these grounds, the controlling civil proof doctrine was criticized as economically unsound.Under the new rationale offered by this essay, the two alleged wrongs make a right since in combination they generate a synergetic mechanism that aligns, to the extent feasible, the ex ante and the ex post probabilities of transgression. This alignment is attained by the combined, but not conjunctive, functioning of the two probabilities: the probability of the litigated entitlement and the ex post probability of the entitlement's breach. The entitlement's probability dominates the defendant's ex ante information, thus adjusting the ex ante probability of breach. This adjustment is achieved due to the visibility element, uniformly featured by legal entitlements: under the definition of virtually any entitlement, the entitlement must both exist and be reasonably ascertainable ex ante, that is, at the time and in the circumstances of its breach. The ex post probability of breach has a different function, namely, to substantiate the allegation that the defendant has actually violated the entitlement. This combined framework secures the appropriate alignment betwe
本文为民事审判中的证据要求标准提供了一种新的理论依据。按照传统理解,民事证明原则提出了两种经济悖论(或反常现象)。首先,它侧重于事后的准确性,要求法官根据审判时可获得的信息,重建现实中发生的相关事件,包括对原告的实际损害。这种追溯(事后)准确性既昂贵又可能破坏威慑以及法律的其他经济目标。出于威慑目的,只有在采取诉讼行动之前被告可以获得的信息(事前信息)才有意义。此外,事后的准确性是一个依赖投资的机会,而不是静态的好东西。因此,它促进了对信息进行竞争性对抗性投资的二级市场,这可能对初级市场,即商品、服务、风险和预防措施的市场产生不利影响。因此,当潜在的诉讼当事人理性地不愿意承诺对信息进行必要的投资时,低效必然会发生。在这种情况下,每一方都要考虑到在未来的审判中他会被错误地击败,因为他的对手在信息方面的投入超过了他。这种前景将阻碍原本效率很高的交易,并阻碍许多其他有益于社会的活动。其次,如果该原则仍然致力于事后的准确性,那么它应该要求法官通过将相关权利、违约和损害的可能性相乘来确定原告案件的最终可能性。然而,该学说拒绝应用乘法原理,从而减少了正确判决的总数,而不是使其最大化。基于这些理由,控制民事证明原则被批评为经济上不健全。在本文提供的新理论基础下,两种被指控的错误构成了一种正确,因为它们结合在一起产生了一种协同机制,在可行的范围内使违法行为的事前和事后概率保持一致。这种一致性是通过两种可能性的组合而不是联合作用来实现的:诉讼权利的可能性和事后权利被违反的可能性。权利的可能性支配被告的事前信息,从而调节事前违约的可能性。这种调整是由于可见性因素而实现的,这是法律权利的统一特点:根据几乎任何权利的定义,权利必须既存在,又在事前,即在违反权利的时候和情况下,可以合理地确定。事后违约概率具有不同的功能,即证实被告实际违反权利的指控。这一组合框架确保了事后和事前违约概率之间的适当一致性。只有当每种可能性都大于0.5时,原告才能在审判中获胜,因此未来的被告可以放心地依赖事先存在的违约可能性。事实上,由于权利的概率是事后违约概率的纠错器,而不是其联合伴侣,因此在确定原告案件的最终概率时,不应将这两种概率相乘。这一理论机制也节省了诉讼费用。由于理论上拒绝适用乘法原则,原告的诉讼努力大大减轻了。这给被告带来了更大的困难,但他们得到了抵消性的好处:该原则允许潜在的犯罪者——在成为被告之前——依靠他们事先掌握的信息。因此,该原则鼓励潜在的违法者不要通过获取在随后的审判中可能获得的进一步信息来进行不经济的支出。本文还支持现有的奖励制度,在该制度下,作为一般规则,获胜者将获得一切。由于执法中存在的限制,本文更倾向于采用这种制度而不是概率奖励制度。在现有的执法限制下,审判奖励的作用是鼓励减少审判设施使用不足和过度使用的人数。这一理论基础使审判裁决成为民事诉讼的一个独立组成部分。因此,本文所揭示的理论机制区分了与违约相关的证明要求和与损害相关的证明要求。因此,诉讼损害的概率也必须从乘法公式中去除,因此,结合悖论就完全消失了。正如本文所证明的那样,这一理论基础也需要对惩罚性损害赔偿进行调整。
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引用次数: 9
Heckman's Methodology for Correcting Selectivity Bias: An Application to Road Crash Costs 赫克曼修正选择性偏差的方法:在道路碰撞成本上的应用
Pub Date : 2001-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.288275
M. Giles
Aggregate road crash costs are traditionally determined using average costs applied to incidence figures found in Police-notified crash data. Such data only comprise a non-random sample of the true population of road crashes, the bias being due to the existence of crashes that are not notified to the Police. The traditional approach is to label the Police-notified sample as 'non-random' thereby casting a cloud over data analyses using this sample. Heckman however viewed similar problems as 'omitted variables' problems in that the exclusion of some observations in a systematic manner (so-called selectivity bias) has inadvertently introduced the need for an additional regressor in the least squares procedures. Using Heckman's methodology for correcting for this selectivity bias, Police-notified crash data for Western Australia in 1987/88 is reconciled with total (notified and not notified) crash data in the estimation of the property damage costs of road crashes.
道路碰撞总成本传统上是根据警方通报的碰撞数据中发生率数字的平均成本确定的。这些数据只包括道路交通意外真实数字的非随机样本,由于存在未通知警方的交通意外,因此存在偏差。传统的方法是将警察通知的样本标记为“非随机”,从而为使用该样本的数据分析蒙上阴影。然而,Heckman将类似的问题视为“遗漏变量”问题,因为以系统的方式排除一些观察结果(所谓的选择性偏差)无意中引入了对最小二乘过程中额外回归量的需求。使用Heckman的方法来纠正这种选择性偏差,在估计道路碰撞的财产损失成本时,将1987/88年西澳大利亚州警方通知的碰撞数据与总的(通知的和未通知的)碰撞数据相协调。
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引用次数: 1
'Flexible' Work Practices and Occupational Safety and Health: Exploring the Relationship between Cumulative Trauma Disorders and Workplace Transformation “灵活”的工作实践和职业安全与健康:探索累积创伤障碍和工作场所转型之间的关系
Pub Date : 2001-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.333762
Mark D. Brenner, David Fairris, J. Ruser
This paper matches establishment-level data on workplace transformation (e.g., quality circles, work teams, and just-in-time production) with measures of cumulative trauma disorders at these same establishments to explore the relationship between 'flexible' workplace practices and workplace health and safety. The results reveal a positive, statistically significant, and quantitatively sizeable relationship between cumulative trauma disorders and the use of quality circles and just-in-time production.
本文将工作场所转型的机构层面数据(例如,质量圈、工作团队和准时生产)与这些机构的累积创伤障碍测量相匹配,以探索“灵活”工作场所实践与工作场所健康和安全之间的关系。结果显示,累积性创伤障碍与使用质量循环和准时生产之间存在积极的、统计上显著的、数量上可观的关系。
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引用次数: 159
The Truth About Light Trucks: Despite Critics' Claims, Suvs are Saving Lives 关于轻型卡车的真相:尽管批评者声称,suv正在拯救生命
Pub Date : 2001-04-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.267074
James Vanderhoff, D. Coate
To determine the relationship between light trucks and motor vehicle fatalities, we formulated a simultaneous equations model that considered the effect that light truck usage and other variables had on fatality rates over the period 1994 to 1997. We discovered that there is a negative relationship between light truck registration and the motor vehicle fatality rate in both single-vehicle and multiple-vehicle accidents. Our elasticity estimates indicate that the five-percent increase in light truck registrations in the United States over the time period 1994 to 1997 lowered single-vehicle fatalities per driver by 7.5 percent and multiple-vehicle fatalities per driver by two percent. These figures translate into about 2,000 lives saved.
为了确定轻型卡车和机动车死亡人数之间的关系,我们制定了一个联立方程模型,该模型考虑了轻型卡车使用和其他变量对1994年至1997年期间死亡率的影响。我们发现轻型卡车登记和机动车死亡率在单车辆和多车辆事故之间存在负相关关系。我们的弹性估计表明,在1994年至1997年期间,美国轻型卡车注册量增加了5%,每位司机的单车死亡率降低了7.5%,每位司机的多车死亡率降低了2%。这些数字相当于挽救了大约2000人的生命。
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引用次数: 0
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Torts & Products Liability Law
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