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2023 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM)最新文献

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Fault State Prediction Model of Repaired Equipment Considering Maintenance Effect 考虑维修效果的被修设备故障状态预测模型
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194126
Jiahui Wang, Lin Ma, Ankang Chen, Qiannan Liu, M. Ma
The level and speed of performance degradation after maintenance will be affected by the maintenance effect. Aiming at the degradation process of repairable equipment, a fault state prediction model considering maintenance effect was established to obtain the state transfer process of repaired equipment within $n$ detection cycles. Firstly, according to the maintenance effect of the equipment, the regression model of degradation degree and the regression rate model are proposed. Secondly, considering the unobservability of equipment performance degradation state, based on hidden Markov model, and on the basis of state division of equipment degradation quantity, the required state space and observation space of the model are constructed, and finally the fault state prediction model considering maintenance effect is established. The case takes the temperature state of the repaired circuit breaker as the observable variable of the HMM model. The calculated results of the model are closer to the real situation, which shows the feasibility of the model and can be applied in the field of maintenance optimization.
维修后性能退化的程度和速度会受到维修效果的影响。针对可修设备的退化过程,建立了考虑维修效果的故障状态预测模型,得到了可修设备在$n$检测周期内的状态传递过程。首先,根据设备的维修效果,提出了退化程度的回归模型和回归速率模型;其次,考虑设备性能退化状态的不可观测性,基于隐马尔可夫模型,在对设备退化量进行状态划分的基础上,构造了模型所需的状态空间和观测空间,最后建立了考虑维修效果的故障状态预测模型。本案例以维修后断路器的温度状态作为HMM模型的可观测变量。该模型的计算结果更接近实际情况,表明了该模型的可行性,可应用于维修优化领域。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a Deep Reinforcement Learning based approach for real time decision making and resource allocation for Prognostics and Health Management applications 基于深度强化学习的预测和健康管理应用的实时决策和资源分配方法
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194168
Ricardo Ludeke, P. S. Heyns
Industrial operational environments are stochastic and can have complex system dynamics which introduce multiple levels of uncertainty. This uncertainty can lead to sub-optimal decision making and resource allocation. Digitalization and automation of production equipment and the maintenance environment enable predictive maintenance, which means that equipment can be stopped for maintenance at the optimal time instant. Resource constraints in maintenance capacity could however result in further undesired downtime if maintenance cannot be performed when scheduled. In this paper the use of a multi-agent deep reinforcement learning based approach for decision making is investigated to determine the optimal maintenance scheduling policy for a fleet of assets where there are maintenance resource constraints. By considering the underlying system dynamics of maintenance capacity, as well as the health state of individual assets, a near-optimal decision making policy is found that increases equipment availability while also maximizing maintenance capacity. The proposed solution is compared to a run-to-failure corrective maintenance strategy, a constant interval preventive maintenance strategy and a condition based predictive maintenance strategy. The proposed approach outperformed traditional maintenance strategies across several asset and operational maintenance performance metrics. It is concluded that deep reinforcement learning based decision making for asset health management and resource allocation is more effective than human based decision making.
工业运行环境是随机的,可以有复杂的系统动力学,引入多层次的不确定性。这种不确定性可能导致次优决策和资源分配。生产设备和维护环境的数字化和自动化实现了预测性维护,这意味着设备可以在最佳时间瞬间停机进行维护。然而,如果不能按计划执行维护,维护能力中的资源限制可能会导致更多不希望的停机时间。本文研究了基于多智能体深度强化学习的决策方法,以确定存在维护资源约束的资产舰队的最优维护调度策略。通过考虑潜在的系统动态维护能力,以及单个资产的健康状态,找到了一种近乎最优的决策策略,在增加设备可用性的同时最大化维护能力。将提出的解决方案与运行到故障的纠正维护策略、恒定间隔预防性维护策略和基于状态的预测性维护策略进行了比较。所提出的方法在几个资产和操作维护性能指标上优于传统的维护策略。结果表明,基于深度强化学习的资产健康管理和资源配置决策比基于人的决策更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Selective Domain Adaptation Network for Lithium-ion Battery Health Monitoring 锂离子电池健康监测的选择性域自适应网络
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10193908
Mengqi Miao, Jianbo Yu, Pu Yang, Shang Yue, Ruixu Zhou
Lithium-ion battery health monitoring is crucial in ensuring the reliability of the power system. Due to complex and dynamic battery operating conditions (e.g., ambient temperature and discharge current), domain shift is an ineluctable issue in battery health monitoring. In this study, a novel transfer learning (TL) method, i.e., selective domain adaptation network (SDANet) is developed for solving the problem of domain shift and performing battery health monitoring. Firstly, an unsupervised domain selection mechanism is established to select the optimal source domain, so as to minimize negative transfer in TL. Then, an adaptive feature transmission mechanism (AFTM) is proposed to improve gradient propagation and the performance of feature learning. Thirdly, the selective domain adaptation method is carried out according to channel similarity, which effectively solves the problem of domain shift and improves the performance of battery health estimation. The experiment results demonstrate that SDANet has excellent battery health monitoring performance under various working conditions.
锂离子电池健康监测是保证电力系统可靠性的关键。由于电池工作条件的复杂性和动态性(如环境温度和放电电流),域漂移是电池健康监测中不可避免的问题。本文提出了一种新的迁移学习(TL)方法,即选择性域适应网络(SDANet),用于解决域转移问题并进行电池健康监测。首先,建立了一种无监督域选择机制来选择最优源域,使TL中的负迁移最小化;然后,提出了一种自适应特征传输机制(AFTM)来提高梯度传播和特征学习的性能。第三,根据信道相似度进行选择性域自适应,有效解决了域漂移问题,提高了电池健康估计的性能。实验结果表明,SDANet在各种工况下都具有良好的电池健康监测性能。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing Flight Control of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles with Physics-Based Reliability Models 基于物理可靠性模型的无人机飞行控制优化
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194151
Lucas Dimitri, J. Liscouët
The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is rapidly expanding across numerous industries, with a diverse range of applications. Ensuring reliable operation is crucial for safety, costs, and customer satisfaction, especially in the aviation sector. This paper presents a novel approach to optimizing flight control by incorporating a reliability-based control allocation system with physics-based reliability models. More specifically, the control allocation is based on physical estimations of reliability parameters. The reliability model incorporates a Weibull distribution reformulated to express reliability as a function of cumulated damage instead of time. The failure mechanisms of the rotor components are modeled based on physics, allowing for the calculation of cumulated damages as a function of the UAV's operation. The parameterization of the reliability and failure mechanism models is entirely based on publicly available manufacturer catalog data to ensure that the models are readily applicable to new designs with off-the-shelf components. Additionally, this approach facilitates the verification and validation of the models. The developed integrated control strategy and physics-based models have been implemented in Matlab-Simulink and applied to the case study of a coaxial quadrotor UAV for validation. When applied to the case study, the controller efficiently redistributes the control duties of rotors with a high probability of failure while maintaining the desired system response, thus increasing the operation's reliability.
无人驾驶飞行器(uav)的使用正在众多行业中迅速扩展,应用范围广泛。确保可靠的运行对安全、成本和客户满意度至关重要,尤其是在航空领域。本文提出了一种将基于可靠性的控制分配系统与基于物理的可靠性模型相结合的优化飞行控制的新方法。更具体地说,控制分配是基于可靠性参数的物理估计。可靠性模型采用威布尔分布,将可靠性表示为累积损伤的函数,而不是时间的函数。转子部件的失效机制基于物理建模,允许计算累积损伤作为无人机操作的一个功能。可靠性和故障机制模型的参数化完全基于公开可用的制造商目录数据,以确保这些模型可以很容易地应用于具有现成组件的新设计。此外,这种方法有助于模型的验证和确认。开发的综合控制策略和基于物理的模型已在Matlab-Simulink中实现,并应用于同轴四旋翼无人机的案例研究进行验证。当应用于案例研究时,控制器在保持期望的系统响应的同时,有效地重新分配了具有高故障概率的转子的控制职责,从而提高了运行的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Imbalanced fault diagnosis of planetary gearboxes based on noise enhancement and threshold adaptive Siamese decoupled network 基于噪声增强和阈值自适应Siamese解耦网络的行星齿轮箱不平衡故障诊断
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194181
Na Zhang, Li-xiang Duan, Xiaofeng Li, Xiangwu Liu
In the case of sufficient and balanced training data, the intelligent diagnosis models can accurately determine the state of the planetary gearbox and play a significant role in ensuring its healthy operation. However, the planetary gearbox operates normally for much longer than the moment of failure in practical engineering, which makes the sample size of fault state extremely small and the training data imbalanced. As a result, the model fail to detect the extremely small samples and thus serious fault missed diagnosis. In order to improve the performance of imbalanced diagnosis of planetary gearboxes with containing extremely small samples, this paper proposed an imbalanced fault diagnosis method for planetary gearboxes based on noise enhancement and threshold adaptive Siamese decoupled network. Firstly, the extremely-samples are enhanced into small samples by adding noise appropriately, and a set of metrics are proposed to evaluate the quality of the enhanced samples. Then, the Siamese network is constructed, and the special input requirements of the Siamese network are used to expand the training data again, which solves the problems of poor generalization and missed diagnosis caused by small samples and imbalance. Finally, a threshold adaptive and multi-scale decoupled convolution is proposed to improve the Siamese network and further improve the diagnostic performance. It is verified by imbalanced planetary gearbox data. On the imbalanced training data with small samples, the diagnostic accuracy of the proposed method was up to 98.33 %. In the extreme cases of high imbalance (fault / total < 5%) and small sample size of fault (only 3 samples per class), the diagnostic accuracy still reached 71.11 %. It shows that the proposed method has great advantages and potential in imbalanced fault diagnosis with small samples.
在训练数据充足、平衡的情况下,智能诊断模型可以准确判断行星齿轮箱的状态,对保证行星齿轮箱的健康运行起到重要作用。然而,在实际工程中,行星齿轮箱的正常运行时间远远超过故障时刻,这使得故障状态的样本量极小,训练数据不平衡。因此,该模型无法检测到极小的样本,从而导致严重的故障漏诊。为了提高极小样本情况下行星齿轮箱的不平衡诊断性能,提出了一种基于噪声增强和阈值自适应Siamese解耦网络的行星齿轮箱不平衡故障诊断方法。首先,通过适当加入噪声将极大样本增强为小样本,并提出了一套评价增强样本质量的指标;然后,构建Siamese网络,利用Siamese网络的特殊输入要求对训练数据进行再次扩展,解决了小样本和不平衡导致的泛化差和漏诊问题。最后,提出了一种阈值自适应多尺度解耦卷积来改进Siamese网络,进一步提高诊断性能。用不平衡行星齿轮箱数据进行了验证。对于小样本的不平衡训练数据,该方法的诊断准确率高达98.33%。在高度不平衡(故障/总数< 5%)和故障样本量较小(每类只有3个样本)的极端情况下,诊断准确率仍然达到71.11%。结果表明,该方法在小样本不平衡故障诊断中具有很大的优势和潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-view contextual performance profiling in rotating machinery 旋转机械的多视图上下文性能分析
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194172
Fabian Fingerhut, Sarah Klein, Mathias Verbeke, Sreeraj Rajendran, E. Tsiporkova
Nowadays, most industrial assets are equipped with a multitude of different sensors continuously examining the asset's status and health. For a reliable estimation of an asset's performance it is crucial though to consider that most assets are exposed to different and typically varying contexts during their operations. These contexts are defined by both internal and external factors and complicate the task of asset condition monitoring and profiling. In this article, an unsupervised approach for asset performance profiling is proposed based on multi-view representation and matrix decomposition. It enables one to derive specific fingerprints characterising asset performance behaviour in a context-sensitive fashion. The data is processed in two separate data views: 1) the process view, in which variables related to the asset's internal working are processed and partitioned such that each measurement point is associated with a specific label representing the context; and 2) the vibration view, where vibration profiles are extracted via non-negative matrix decomposition. Subsequently, the two views are linked together allowing to derive characteristic fingerprints using a suitable contextual representation and performance-related indicators. The proposed methodology is validated on a real-world industrial data set, consisting of vibration and operational sensor measurements of feedwater pumps. The obtained results illustrate that the profiling methodology is able to deliver a meaningful risk assessment estimation associated to different operating contexts.
如今,大多数工业资产都配备了大量不同的传感器,不断检测资产的状态和健康状况。为了对资产的性能进行可靠的估计,考虑到大多数资产在其运行过程中暴露于不同且通常变化的环境是至关重要的。这些环境是由内部和外部因素定义的,使资产状态监测和分析的任务复杂化。本文提出了一种基于多视图表示和矩阵分解的无监督资产性能分析方法。它使人们能够以上下文敏感的方式获得表征资产绩效行为的特定指纹。数据在两个独立的数据视图中处理:1)过程视图,其中处理和划分与资产内部工作相关的变量,使每个测量点与表示上下文的特定标签相关联;2)振动视图,通过非负矩阵分解提取振动剖面。随后,将两个视图链接在一起,允许使用合适的上下文表示和性能相关指标派生特征指纹。所提出的方法在一个真实的工业数据集上得到了验证,该数据集包括给水泵的振动和运行传感器测量。获得的结果表明,分析方法能够提供与不同操作环境相关的有意义的风险评估估计。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Operational Risk to Improve Reliability of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles 建模操作风险以提高无人机的可靠性
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194132
Aungshula Chowdhury, M. Lipsett
As Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle systems (UAVs) become more common and useful in public airspaces, this technology and its operation must be highly reliable to reduce risk to the general public. The objective of the present work is to improve the chances of mission success by analyzing and controlling the risk of UAV missions during different operational phases. Given the lack of reliability models for UAVs, we employ a systems reliability modeling methodology based on task decomposition and conditional risk analysis of each activity during a mission. The various risks involved in a specific mission activity are identified using Hazop techniques and Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA), along with the stopping conditions necessary to limit risks to an acceptable level. Different parts of a mission have different risk priorities, and the internal and external causes of failures of each activity are identified, described, and ranked according to their impact and uncertainties. This work constitutes the first phase of a broader research project. The risks of the UAV mission are modeled, after which it is verified by subject matter experts prior to implementing controls in an industrial case study.
随着无人驾驶飞行器系统(uav)在公共空域变得越来越普遍和有用,这项技术及其操作必须高度可靠,以减少对公众的风险。当前工作的目标是通过分析和控制无人机任务在不同作战阶段的风险来提高任务成功的机会。鉴于缺乏无人机的可靠性模型,我们采用了一种基于任务分解和任务期间每个活动的条件风险分析的系统可靠性建模方法。使用Hazop技术和故障模式和影响分析(FMEA)识别特定任务活动中涉及的各种风险,以及将风险限制在可接受水平所需的停止条件。任务的不同部分具有不同的风险优先级,并且根据其影响和不确定性确定、描述和排序每个活动失败的内部和外部原因。这项工作是一个更广泛的研究项目的第一阶段。无人机任务的风险建模,之后在工业案例研究中实施控制之前由主题专家验证。
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引用次数: 0
Convolutional Neural Networks for Gas Turbine Exhaust Gas Temperature and Power Predictions 卷积神经网络用于燃气轮机废气温度和功率预测
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10193965
T. Ravichandran, Yuan Liu, Amar Kumar, A. Srivastava
In this work, a data-driven and deep learning-based predictive modeling framework has been developed for generating accurate prediction models intended for gas turbine engine performance analysis. This paper focuses on the application of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) along with tabular data to image conversion techniques to predict exhaust gas temperature (EGT) and power outputs of Gas Turbine Engines (GTE). Using one such tabular data to image conversion method called Image Generator for Tabular Data (IGTD), several CNN model architectures were explored, and their predictive capabilities were compared. The effectiveness of the proposed predictive modeling framework which combines CNNs and the IGTD algorithm has been demonstrated for EGT and power prediction using GTE operational data collected over a period of three years. The CNN models using images converted from tabular data exhibit superior predictive capabilities for both EGT and power, with a more significant improvement observed for EGT prediction. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first attempt to apply IGTD based CNNs for developing GTE models for EGT and power prediction.
在这项工作中,开发了一个基于数据驱动和深度学习的预测建模框架,用于生成用于燃气涡轮发动机性能分析的准确预测模型。本文主要研究了卷积神经网络(cnn)与表格数据在图像转换技术中的应用,以预测燃气涡轮发动机(GTE)的排气温度(EGT)和功率输出。利用一种名为image Generator for tabular data (IGTD)的表格数据到图像的转换方法,探讨了几种CNN模型架构,并比较了它们的预测能力。结合cnn和IGTD算法所提出的预测建模框架的有效性已被证明用于使用收集超过三年的GTE运行数据进行EGT和功率预测。使用从表格数据转换而来的图像的CNN模型对EGT和功率都表现出优越的预测能力,对EGT的预测有更显著的改进。据我们所知,这是第一次尝试应用基于IGTD的cnn来开发用于EGT和功率预测的GTE模型。
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引用次数: 0
Angular measurement with a gear wheel as a material measure - Extension as absolute sensor 以齿轮为材料测量的角度测量。扩展为绝对传感器
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194114
Y. Koch, M. Fett, E. Kirchner
This study examines the angle-specific tooth signature of a gear wheel and describes the possible use for monitoring the gearbox condition. The tests were conducted on a gearbox test stand with two 1-stage gearboxes equipped with a magnetoresistive sensor, which measures the angle using the gear wheel as a material measure. This new usage of a gear wheel and its specific properties are described. The gearboxes were driven by 30 kW asynchronous motors and tested in four quadrants with varying speed and torque conditions. The raw signals were processed using Matlab®. The sensor concept generates a sine-like signal for each tooth of the gear wheel. The high and low peaks of the sine-like wave were extracted and compared to analyze the reproducibility of the angle-specific tooth signature. The results show that the high and low peaks at one tooth of one sensor have a standard deviation of 0.0014 V over 10 revolutions and at different operating conditions, demonstrating the reproducibility of the angle-specific tooth signature. To further utilize this signature, a procedure is presented to identify an absolute reference with these signals, and the potential usage of the angle-specific tooth signature for absolute position detection is described.
本研究考察了齿轮的角度特定齿签名,并描述了监测齿轮箱状况的可能用途。试验是在一个齿轮箱试验台上进行的,该试验台装有两个一级齿轮箱,该齿轮箱装有磁阻传感器,该传感器使用齿轮作为材料测量来测量角度。介绍了齿轮的这种新用途及其具体性能。变速箱由30 kW异步电动机驱动,在四个象限中进行了不同转速和转矩条件下的测试。使用Matlab®对原始信号进行处理。传感器概念为齿轮的每个齿产生正弦信号。提取了正弦波的高、低峰,并对其进行了比较,分析了牙角特征的再现性。结果表明,在不同工作条件下,一个传感器的一个齿的高低峰在10转内的标准偏差为0.0014 V,证明了角度特定齿特征的可重复性。为了进一步利用这种特征,提出了一种方法来识别这些信号的绝对参考,并描述了特定角度的牙齿特征在绝对位置检测中的潜在用途。
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引用次数: 1
Reliable Thermal Monitoring of Electric Machines through Machine Learning 通过机器学习实现电机的可靠热监测
Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.1109/ICPHM57936.2023.10194194
P. Kakosimos
The electrification of powertrains is rising as the objective for a more viable future is intensified. To ensure continuous and reliable operation without undesirable malfunctions, it is essential to monitor the internal temperatures of machines and keep them within safe operating limits. Conventional modeling methods can be complex and usually require expert knowledge. With the amount of data collected these days, it is possible to use information models to assess thermal behaviors. This paper investigates artificial intelligence techniques for monitoring the cooling efficiency of induction machines. Experimental data was collected under specific operating conditions, and three machine-learning models have been developed. The optimal configuration for each approach was determined through rigorous hyperparameter searches, and the models were evaluated using a variety of metrics. The three solutions performed well in monitoring the condition of the machine even under transient operation, highlighting the potential of data-driven methods in improving the thermal management.
随着更可行的未来目标的加强,动力系统的电气化正在上升。为了确保连续可靠地运行而不出现意外故障,必须监测机器的内部温度并使其保持在安全的操作范围内。传统的建模方法可能很复杂,通常需要专业知识。随着这些天收集的数据量的增加,可以使用信息模型来评估热行为。本文研究了用于感应电机冷却效率监测的人工智能技术。在特定操作条件下收集实验数据,并开发了三种机器学习模型。通过严格的超参数搜索确定每种方法的最佳配置,并使用各种指标对模型进行评估。这三种解决方案即使在瞬态运行下也能很好地监测机器的状态,突出了数据驱动方法在改善热管理方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2023 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM)
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