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Signatures of wedgelets over Fennoscandia during the St Patrick's Day Storm 2015 2015年圣帕特里克节风暴期间,芬诺斯坎迪亚上空的楔形签名
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023018
A. Schillings, L. Palin, Gemma E. Bower, H. Opgenoorth, S. Milan, K. Kauristie, L. Juusola, G. Reeves, M. Henderson, L. Paxton, M. Lester, M. Hamrin, M. van de Kamp
During the long main phase of the St Patrick's Day storm on Mar 17, 2015, we found three separate enhancements of the westward electrojet. These enhancements are observed in the ionospheric equivalent currents computed using geomagnetic data over Fennoscandia. Using data from the IMAGE magnetometer network, we identified localised field-aligned current (FAC) systems superimposed on the pre-existing ionospheric current system. We suggest that these localised current systems are wedgelets and that they can potentially contribute to a larger-scale structure of a substorm current wedge (SCW). Each wedgelet is associated with a negative BX spike. Each spike is recorded at a higher latitude than the former one and  all three are very localised over Fennoscandia. The first spike occurred at 17:34 UT and observed at Lycksele, Rørvik and Nurmijärvi, the second spike was recorded at 17:41 UT and located at Lycksele and Rørvik, whereas the last spike occurred at 17:47 UT and was observed at Kevo and Abisko. Simultaneous optical auroral data and electron injections at the geosynchronous orbit indicate that one or more substorms took place in the polar ionosphere at the time of the wedgelets. This study  demonstrates the occurrence of small and short-lived structures such as wedgelets at different locations  over a short time scale, 15 min in this case.
在2015年3月17日圣帕特里克节风暴的漫长主阶段,我们发现向西的电喷流有三个单独的增强。在芬诺斯坎迪亚上空使用地磁数据计算的电离层等效电流中观察到了这些增强。利用IMAGE磁强计网络的数据,我们确定了叠加在先前存在的电离层电流系统上的局部场对准电流(FAC)系统。我们认为,这些局部电流系统是楔形的,它们可能有助于亚暴电流楔形(SCW)的更大规模结构。每个楔形物都与一个负BX尖峰相关联。每一个尖峰都记录在比前一个更高的纬度,这三个尖峰都非常局限于芬诺斯坎迪亚。第一次尖峰发生在17:34 UT,在Lycksele、Rørvik和Nurmijärvi观察到,第二次尖峰记录在17:41 UT,位于Lyckselle和Rørbik,而最后一次尖峰发生于17:47 UT,在Kevo和Abisko观察到。同时在地球同步轨道上进行的光学极光数据和电子注入表明,在楔形卫星出现时,极地电离层发生了一次或多次亚暴。这项研究表明,在短时间内,如15分钟内,在不同位置出现了小而短命的结构,如楔形结构。
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引用次数: 0
The time profile of relativistic solar particle events as observed by neutron monitors 中子监测器观测到的相对论性太阳粒子事件的时间剖面
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023016
S. Musset, K. Klein, N. Fuller, G. Khreich, Antonin Wargnier
The most energetic particles accelerated in solar eruptive events are protons and nuclei with energies that may reach a few tens of GeV. They can be detected on the Earth through the secondaries they produce when interacting with the atmosphere. Solar energetic particle events where this happens are called Ground-Level Enhancements (GLEs). Their study is relevant on the one hand because the high particle energies pose particularly strong challenges to the understanding of the acceleration processes. On the other hand, the secondary particles constitute a source of radiation in the atmosphere that may temporarily exceed the permanent dose rate from galactic cosmic rays. This makes the monitoring of radiation doses received by aircrew from GLEs one issue of space weather services for civil aviation. This study addresses the time profiles of GLEs, in the search of commonalities that can be used to constrain models of acceleration and propagation and to forecast the evolution of an ongoing event. We investigate historical GLEs (1971-2012) with the worldwide network of neutron monitors, comparing the rise and the decay as observed by the neutron monitor with the strongest response. The sample comprises 23 events. We evaluate statistical correlations between rise time and decay time inferred from fits to the time profiles, and compute a normalised median GLE time profile. An empirical correlation reported in earlier work between the observed rise times and decay times of the neutron monitor count rate profiles is confirmed. We find indications of a statistical relationship between the rise times and the parent eruptive activity. We discuss ideas on the mechanisms behind the correlation of rise and decay times and on its usefulness for space weather services.
在太阳爆发事件中加速的最高能粒子是能量可能达到几十GeV的质子和原子核。它们可以通过与大气层相互作用时产生的次级粒子在地球上被探测到。发生这种情况的太阳高能粒子事件被称为地面增强(GLE)。一方面,他们的研究是相关的,因为高粒子能量对理解加速过程提出了特别强烈的挑战。另一方面,二次粒子构成了大气中的辐射源,可能暂时超过银河系宇宙射线的永久剂量率。这使得监测机组人员从GLE接收的辐射剂量成为民航空间气象服务的一个问题。这项研究涉及GLE的时间剖面,以寻找可用于约束加速度和传播模型以及预测正在进行的事件演变的共性。我们通过全球中子监测器网络调查了历史GLE(1971-2012),比较了响应最强的中子监测器观测到的上升和衰减。样本包括23个事件。我们评估了根据时间剖面拟合推断的上升时间和衰减时间之间的统计相关性,并计算了归一化的GLE时间剖面中值。早期工作中报告的中子监测器计数率剖面的观测上升时间和衰变时间之间的经验相关性得到了证实。我们发现上升时间和母体喷发活动之间存在统计关系的迹象。我们讨论了上升和下降时间相关性背后的机制及其对空间气象服务的有用性。
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引用次数: 0
A new approach for the generation of real-time GNSS low-latitude ionospheric scintillation maps 一种实时GNSS低纬度电离层闪烁图生成新方法
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-05-18 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023015
André Ricardo Fazanaro Martinon, S. Stephany, Eurico Rodrigues de Paula
Ionospheric scintillation disturbs radio frequency signals affecting GNSS-based navigation, especially in Brazil, due to the large magnetic declination. The generation of real-time scintillation maps is an important way to provide scintillation monitoring. This work considers amplitude scintillation, given by the S4 index. Some existing and some proposed approaches for generating these maps are presented and tested, being each one a combination of an interpolation method with some existing and/or proposed sets of pre-processing options. These approaches are named after the related interpolation method as GRIDDATA, Inverse Distance Weighting, Radial Basis Functions and Gaussian Process Regression. The making of scintillation maps requires the interpolation of Ionospheric Pierce Point (IPP) samples, given by the S4 values for each IPP of each satellite-station link considering the set of GNSS stations of the given area and time interval. Some intervals of time that presented strong scintillation over Brazil were selected and the corresponding sets of IPP samples were used to obtain sequences of maps using all possible combinations of interpolation and pre-processing options. Furthermore, a fifth, more recent, approach was also included in the comparison. The quality of the resulting maps was assessed, concluding that the Gaussian Process Regression approach, with a specific set of pre-processing options, allows to generate the most accurate scintillation maps. The proposed map generation approach is part of a broader proposal being implemented to provide real-time scintillation maps covering the Brazilian territory.
电离层闪烁干扰射频信号,影响基于全球导航卫星系统的导航,特别是在巴西,由于磁偏角大。实时闪烁图的生成是提供闪烁监测的一种重要方式。这项工作考虑了S4指数给出的振幅闪烁。提出并测试了用于生成这些映射的一些现有和一些建议的方法,每种方法都是插值方法与一些现有和/或建议的预处理选项集的组合。这些方法以相关的插值方法命名,如GRIDDATA、逆距离加权、径向基函数和高斯过程回归。闪烁图的制作需要对电离层皮尔斯点(IPP)样本进行插值,该样本由每个卫星站链路的每个IPP的S4值给出,考虑到给定区域和时间间隔的GNSS站集。选择了在巴西上空表现出强烈闪烁的一些时间间隔,并使用插值和预处理选项的所有可能组合,使用相应的IPP样本集来获得地图序列。此外,比较中还包括了第五种更为近期的方法。对生成的图的质量进行了评估,得出的结论是,高斯过程回归方法具有一组特定的预处理选项,可以生成最准确的闪烁图。拟议的地图生成方法是正在实施的一项更广泛提案的一部分,该提案旨在提供覆盖巴西领土的实时闪烁地图。
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引用次数: 0
New Thermosphere Neutral Mass Density and Crosswind Datasets from CHAMP, GRACE, and GRACE-FO CHAMP、GRACE和GRACE-FO新的热层中性质量密度和侧风数据集
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023014
C. Siemes, C. Borries, S. Bruinsma, I. Fernández-Gómez, N. Hładczuk, J. van den Ijssel, Timothy Kodikara, K. Vielberg, P. Visser
We present new neutral mass density and crosswind observations for the CHAMP, GRACE, and GRACE-FO missions, filling the last gaps in our database of accelerometer-derived thermosphere observations. For consistency, we processed the data over the entire lifetime of these missions, noting that the results for GRACE in 2011-2017 and GRACE-FO are entirely new. All accelerometer data are newly calibrated. We modeled the temperature-induced bias variations for the GRACE accelerometer data to counter the detrimental effects of the accelerometer thermal control deactivation in April 2011. Further, we developed a new radiation pressure model, which uses ray tracing to account for shadowing and multiple reflections and calculates the satellite's thermal emissions based on the illumination history. The advances in calibration and radiation pressure modeling are essential when the radiation pressure acceleration is significant compared to the aerodynamic one above 450 km altitude during low solar activity, where the GRACE and GRACE-FO satellites spent a considerable fraction of their mission lifetime. The mean of the new density observations changes only marginally, but their standard deviation shows a substantial reduction compared to thermosphere models, up to 15% for GRACE in 2009. The mean and standard deviation of the new GRACE-FO density observations are in good agreement with the GRACE observations. The GRACE and CHAMP crosswind observations agree well with the physics-based TIE-GCM winds, particularly the polar wind patterns. The mean observed crosswind is a few tens of m/s larger than the model one, which we attribute primarily to the crosswind errors being positive by the definition of the retrieval algorithm. The correlation between observed and model crosswind is about 60%, except for GRACE in 2004-2011 when the signal was too small to retrieve crosswinds reliably.
我们为CHAMP、GRACE和GRACE-FO任务提供了新的中性质量密度和侧风观测,填补了我们的加速度计衍生热层观测数据库中的最后空白。为了保持一致性,我们处理了这些任务整个生命周期的数据,注意到2011-2017年GRACE和GRACE-FO的结果是全新的。所有加速度计数据都是新校准的。我们对GRACE加速度计数据的温度引起的偏差变化进行了建模,以应对2011年4月加速度计热控制停用的不利影响。此外,我们开发了一个新的辐射压力模型,该模型使用光线追踪来计算阴影和多次反射,并根据照明历史计算卫星的热发射。当辐射压力加速度与低太阳活动期间450公里以上的空气动力学加速度相比具有显著意义时,校准和辐射压力建模方面的进展至关重要,在低太阳活动中,GRACE和GRACE-FO卫星在其任务寿命中花费了相当大的一部分时间。新密度观测值的平均值变化很小,但与热层模型相比,它们的标准差大幅降低,2009年GRACE的标准差高达15%。新的GRACE-FO密度观测值的平均值和标准差与GRACE观测值吻合良好。GRACE和CHAMP侧风观测结果与基于物理的TIE-GCM风,特别是极地风模式非常一致。观测到的平均侧风比模型大几十m/s,我们主要将其归因于检索算法定义的正侧风误差。观测到的侧风和模型侧风之间的相关性约为60%,除了2004-2011年的GRACE,当时信号太小,无法可靠地检索侧风。
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引用次数: 0
The Mansurov effect: Seasonal and solar wind sector structure dependence Mansurov效应:季节和太阳风部门结构的依赖性
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023013
Jone Øvretvedt Edvartsen, V. Maliniemi, H. Nesse Tyssøy, S. Hatch
We investigate the connection between the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) B$_text{y}$-component and polar surface pressure, also known as the Mansurov effect.   The aim of the investigation is to unravel potential dependencies on specific seasons and/or solar wind sector structures, and it serves as a sequel to Edvartsen et al. (2022).    The mechanism for the effect includes the ability of the IMF to modulate the global electric circuit (GEC), which is theorized to impact and modulate cloud generation processes. By usage of daily ERA5 reanalysis data for geopotential height since 1968, we find no significant response confirming the current Mansurov hypothesis. However, we do find statistically significant correlations on decadal timescales in the time period March-May (MAM) in the northern hemisphere, but with an unusual timing. Similar phased anomalies are also found in the southern hemisphere for MAM, but not at a significant level. In an attempt to explain the unusual timing, heliospheric current sheet crossing events, which are highly correlated with the B$_text{y}$-index, are used. These events result in higher statistical significance in the NH for the MAM period, but cannot fully explain the timing of the response. In general, these statistically significant correlations differ from previously reported evidence on the Mansurov effect, and suggest a revision of the Mansurov hypothesis. Our results also highlights a general feature of time-lagged cross correlation with autocorrelated variables, where the correlation value itself is shown to be a fragile indicator of robustness of a signal. For future studies, we suggest that the $p$-values obtained by modern statistical methods are considered, and not the correlation values alone.
我们研究了行星际磁场(IMF) B$_text{y}$分量与极面压力之间的关系,也称为曼苏洛夫效应。调查的目的是揭示对特定季节和/或太阳风部门结构的潜在依赖,它是Edvartsen等人(2022)的续集。这种效应的机制包括IMF调制全球电路(GEC)的能力,理论上,这可以影响和调制云的产生过程。利用自1968年以来的逐日ERA5位势高度再分析数据,我们发现没有明显的响应来证实当前的Mansurov假设。然而,我们确实发现在北半球3 - 5月(MAM)期间的年代际尺度上存在统计学上显著的相关性,但时间不同寻常。南半球的MAM也发现了类似的阶段性异常,但并不显著。为了解释这种不寻常的时间,我们使用了与B$_text{y}$-指数高度相关的日球层电流片交叉事件。这些事件导致MAM期间NH的统计显著性更高,但不能完全解释响应的时间。总的来说,这些统计上显著的相关性与先前报道的关于Mansurov效应的证据不同,并建议对Mansurov假设进行修订。我们的结果还突出了与自相关变量的滞后交叉相关的一般特征,其中相关值本身被证明是信号鲁棒性的脆弱指标。对于未来的研究,我们建议考虑通过现代统计方法获得的p值,而不仅仅是相关值。
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引用次数: 0
The role of particle precipitation on plasma structuring at different altitudes by in-situ measurements 不同高度粒子沉降对等离子体结构的影响
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023012
Lisa Marie Buschmann, John William Bonnell, S. Bounds, Lasse Boy Novock Clausen, C. Kletzing, S. Marholm, Wojciech Jacek Miloch, R. Roglans, A. Spicher
The plasma in the cusp ionosphere is subject to particle precipitation, which is important for the development of large scale irregularities in the plasma density. These irregularities can be broken down to smaller scales which have been linked to strong scintillations in the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signals. We present power spectra for the plasma density irregularities in the cusp ionosphere for regions with and without auroral particle precipitation based on in-situ measurements from the Twin Rockets to Investigate Cusp Electrodynamics-2 (TRICE-2) mission, consisting of two sounding rockets flying simultaneously at different altitudes. The electron density measurements taken from the multi-needle Langmuir probe system (m-NLP) were analyzed for the whole flight duration for both rockets. Due to their high sampling rates, the probes allow for a study of plasma irregularities down to kinetic scales. A steepening of the slope in the power spectra may indicate two regimes, a frequency interval with a shallow slope,  where fluid-like processes are dominating, and an interval with a steeper slope which can be addressed with kinetic theory. The steepening occurs at frequencies between 20 and 100 Hz with a median similar to the oxygen gyrofrequency. Additionally, the occurrence of double slopes increases where precipitation starts and throughout the rest of the flight. In addition, strong electron density fluctuations were found in regions poleward of the cusp, thus in regions immediately after precipitation.Furthermore, by investigating the integrated power of the fluctuations within different frequency ranges, we show that at low frequencies (10-100 Hz), the power is pronounced more evenly while the rocket encounters particle precipitation, while at high frequencies (100-1000 Hz) fluctuations essentially coincide with the passing through a flow channel.
尖端电离层中的等离子体受到粒子沉淀的影响,这对等离子体密度的大规模不规则性的发展是重要的。这些不规则现象可以分解成更小的尺度,这些尺度与全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)信号中的强闪烁有关。基于由两枚探空火箭同时在不同高度飞行的“双火箭探测尖端电动力学-2”(TRICE-2)任务的现场测量数据,我们给出了有和没有极光粒子降水地区尖端电离层等离子体密度不规则性的功率谱。利用多针朗缪尔探针系统(m-NLP)对两枚火箭在整个飞行期间的电子密度测量结果进行了分析。由于它们的高采样率,探针允许对等离子体不规则性进行动力学尺度的研究。功率谱中斜率的变陡可能表明两种情况,一种是斜率较浅的频率区间,其中类流体过程占主导地位,另一种是斜率较陡的频率区间,这可以用动力学理论来解释。陡变发生在20和100赫兹之间的频率,中间值与氧陀螺频率相似。此外,在降水开始的地方和整个飞行过程中,双坡度的出现会增加。此外,在尖峰极向的区域,也就是在降水之后的区域,发现了强烈的电子密度波动。此外,通过研究不同频率范围内波动的综合功率,我们发现在低频(10-100 Hz),当火箭遇到颗粒沉淀时,功率更加均匀,而在高频(100-1000 Hz)波动基本上与通过流道一致。
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引用次数: 0
Orientation of the stream interface in CIRs CIRs中流接口的方向
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-04-19 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023011
Gergely Koban, A. Opitz, N. Biro, Z. Németh
Co-rotating Interaction Regions (CIRs) are complex structures in the Heliosphere that arise from the interaction of fast and slow solar wind streams. The interface between fast and slow solar wind is called the stream interface, which often has considerable north-south tilt.  We apply a sliding window correlation method on multi-spacecraft data in order to obtain the time delay between the spacecraft. Using these time delays and in-situ solar wind velocity measurements, we can shift the positions of two spacecraft, and, together with the position of the reference spacecraft, we can reconstruct the spatial orientation of the stream interface. We examined four CIRs from two different solar sources at the beginning of 2007 using ACE, WIND and STEREO-A spacecraft data. The gradually increasing distance between STEREO-A and the other spacecraft provide an opportunity to determine the effects of spacecraft separation on the quality of the results. In three out of the four events, the determined planes generally follow the Parker spiral in the ecliptic, their off-ecliptic tilt is determined by the position of the source of the high-speed stream. For the fourth event, STEREO-A was probably too far away for this method to be successfully applicable.
同向旋转相互作用区(CIRs)是太阳层中由快速和缓慢太阳风流相互作用产生的复杂结构。快慢太阳风之间的界面被称为流界面,它通常有相当大的南北倾斜。为了得到航天器间的时间延迟,我们对多航天器数据采用滑动窗口相关方法。利用这些时间延迟和现场测量的太阳风速度,我们可以移动两个航天器的位置,并与参考航天器的位置一起重建流界面的空间方向。2007年初,我们利用ACE、WIND和STEREO-A航天器的数据,研究了来自两个不同太阳源的四个CIRs。STEREO-A与其他航天器之间逐渐增加的距离为确定航天器分离对结果质量的影响提供了机会。在四次事件中的三次中,确定的平面通常遵循黄道中的帕克螺旋,它们的离黄道倾斜是由高速流源的位置决定的。对于第四个事件,STEREO-A可能距离太远,无法成功应用该方法。
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引用次数: 0
Student-led design, development and tests of an autonomous, low-cost platform for distributed space weather observations 由学生主导的分布式空间天气观测自主低成本平台的设计、开发和测试
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-04-14 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023010
Isaac Wright, Ishita Solanki, Anupa Desai, Josemaria Gomez Socola, F. Rodrigues
Distributed arrays of ground-based instruments can help advance observations and improve understanding of space weather. The implementation of an array of sensors can be constrained, however, by the high cost of commercial instruments and the availability of internet and power. Additionally, distributed observations require sensors that can be easily deployed and maintained. As part of an effort to expand the breath of skills of physics students while increasing literacy about space weather, a team of undergraduates was formed and tasked with designing, building, and testing an autonomous platform for ionospheric observations using ScintPi 3.0. ScintPi 3.0 is a low-cost ionospheric scintillation and total electron content (TEC) monitor. The design led to a platform that employs cellular-based internet connectivity as well as solar and battery power. A fully functional prototype was built and deployed near Dallas, USA (32.9oN, 96.4oW). Results show that the platform can run for 232 hours using battery only or indefinitely when connected to the selected solar photovoltaic panel. For system monitoring, LTE functionality enables near real-time updates of the systems’ health and remote shell access. Examples of observations made by the prototype are presented, including the detection of ionospheric effects caused by a space weather event. Additionally, the potential of the system for research, education, and citizen science initiatives are discussed.
地面仪器的分布式阵列可以帮助推进观测并提高对空间天气的了解。然而,由于商业仪器的高成本以及互联网和电力的可用性,传感器阵列的实现可能会受到限制。此外,分布式观测需要易于部署和维护的传感器。为了扩大物理学学生的技能,同时提高他们对太空天气的了解,成立了一个本科生团队,负责使用ScintPi 3.0设计、构建和测试电离层观测的自主平台。ScintPi 3.0是一款低成本的电离层闪烁和总电子含量(TEC)监测器。该设计产生了一个采用基于蜂窝的互联网连接以及太阳能和电池供电的平台。在美国达拉斯附近(32.9oN,96.4oW)建造并部署了一个功能齐全的原型。结果显示,当连接到选定的太阳能光伏板时,该平台可以仅使用电池或无限期运行232小时。对于系统监控,LTE功能可以近乎实时地更新系统的运行状况和远程外壳访问。介绍了原型观测的实例,包括探测空间天气事件引起的电离层效应。此外,还讨论了该系统在研究、教育和公民科学倡议方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Polar particle flux distribution and its spatial extent 极性粒子通量分布及其空间范围
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-03-21 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023009
O. Yakovchuk, Jan Maik Wissing
Context: The main challenge in atmospheric ionisation modelling is that sparse measurements are used to derive a global precipitation pattern. Typically this requires intense interpolation or scaling of long-term average maps.In some regions however, the particle flux might be similar and a combination of these regions would not limit the results even though it would dramatically improve the spatial and temporal data coverage.Aims: The intention of this paper is to statistically analyse the particle flux distribution close to the geomagnetic poles labelled as Polar Particle Flux Distribution (PPFD) and identify similar distributions in neighbouring bins. Those bins are grouped together and the size of the PPFD-area is estimated. The benefit is that single measurements within the PPFD-area should be able to represent the particle flux for the whole area at a given time.Methods: We use spatially binned energetic particle flux distributions measured by POES and Metop spacecraft during 2001--2018 to identify a Kp-dependent area with a similar flux distribution as the one found close to the geomagnetic poles (|magn. lat|>86°).First, the particle flux is mapped on a magnetic local time (MLT) vs. magnetic latitude grid.In a second step the gridded data is split up according to Kp-levels (forming the final bins).Third, the particle flux in every bin has been recalculated in order to replace zero-count rates by rates based on longer measurement periods which results in more realistic low flux end of the particle distribution.Then the binned flux distributions are compared to the PPFD. A "$Delta$-test" indicates the similarity. A threshold for the $Delta$-test is defined using the standard deviation of $Delta$-test values inside the (|magn. lat|>86°) area. Bins that meet the threshold are attributed as PPFD-area.Results:Polar Particle Flux Distributions and the corresponding PPFD-areas have been determined for all investigated particle channels, covering an energy range of 154~eV--300~keV for electrons and 154~eV--2.5~MeV for protons.Concerning low energy channels a gradual flux increase with rising Kp has been identified. High energy channels show a combination of background population and solar particle event (SPE) population that adds up with increasing Kp.The size of the PPFD-area depends on particle species, energy and geomagnetic disturbance, as well as MLT. The main findings are:a)~There are small but characteristic hemispheric differences.b)~Only above a certain energy threshold the PPFD-areas increase with particle energy.c)~A clear enlargement with rising Kp is identified - with exceptions for very low Kp.d)~The centre of the PPFD-area is shifted towards midnight and moves with Kp. Asymmetries of the boundaries could be explained by auroral intensity.   e)~For low energy particles the main restriction of the PPFD-area seems to be the auroral precipitation.
背景:大气电离建模的主要挑战是使用稀疏测量来推导全球降水模式。通常,这需要对长期平均图进行密集的插值或缩放。然而,在一些区域中,粒子通量可能是相似的,这些区域的组合不会限制结果,即使它会显著提高空间和时间数据覆盖率。目的:本文的目的是统计分析被标记为极性粒子通量分布(PPFD)的地磁极附近的粒子通量分布,并确定相邻仓中的类似分布。这些仓被分组在一起,并且PPFD区域的大小被估计。好处是PPFD区域内的单个测量应该能够表示给定时间整个区域的粒子通量。方法:我们使用POES和Metop航天器在2001年至2018年期间测量的空间装仓高能粒子通量分布,来确定一个与Kp相关的区域,该区域的通量分布与在地磁极附近发现的区域相似(|magn.lat|>86°)。首先,将粒子通量绘制在磁本地时间(MLT)与磁纬度网格上。在第二步中,网格化数据根据Kp水平进行分割(形成最终的仓)。第三,每个仓中的粒子通量都经过了重新计算,以便用基于更长测量周期的速率取代零计数速率,从而使粒子分布的低通量端更加真实。然后将装仓的通量分布与PPFD进行比较。“$Delta$测试”表示相似性。$Delta$-测试的阈值是使用(|magn.lat|>86°)区域内$Delta$-测试值的标准偏差定义的。结果:对于所有研究的粒子通道,都确定了极性粒子通量分布和相应的PPFD区域,电子的能量范围为154~eV-300~keV,质子的能量范围是154~eV-2.5~MeV。关于低能通道,已经确定了通量随着Kp的上升而逐渐增加。高能通道显示了背景种群和太阳粒子事件(SPE)种群的组合,它们随着Kp的增加而增加。PPFD区域的大小取决于粒子种类、能量和地磁扰动以及MLT。主要发现是:a)~存在较小但具有特征性的半球差异。b)~只有在特定能量阈值以上,PPFD区域才会随着粒子能量而增加。c)~随着Kp的升高,发现了明显的扩大——非常低的Kp除外。d)~ PPFD区域的中心向午夜移动,并随着Kp移动。边界的不对称性可以用极光强度来解释。e)~对于低能粒子,PPFD区域的主要限制似乎是极光降水。
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引用次数: 0
HelioCast: heliospheric forecasting based on white-light observations of the solar corona. I. Solar minimum conditions HelioCast:基于日冕白光观测的日球层预报。1、太阳极小期条件
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023008
V. Réville, N. Poirier, A. Kouloumvakos, A. Rouillard, R. Pinto, N. Fargette, M. Indurain, Raphael Fournon, Théo James, Raphaël Pobeda, Cyril Scoul
We present a new 3D MHD heliospheric model for space-weather forecasting driven by boundary conditions defined from white-light observations of the solar corona. The model is based on the MHD code PLUTO, constrained by an empirical derivation of the solar wind background properties at 0.1au. This empirical method uses white-light observations to estimate the position of the heliospheric current sheet. The boundary conditions necessary to run Heliocast are then defined from pre-defined relations between the necessary MHD properties (speed, density and temperature) and the distance to the current sheet. We assess the accuracy of the model over six Carrington rotations during the first semester of 2018. Using point-by-point metrics and event based analysis, we evaluate the performances of our model varying the angular width of the slow solar wind layer surrounding the heliospheric current sheet. We also compare our empirical technique with two well tested models of the corona: Multi-VP and WindPredict-AW. We find that our method is well suited to reproduce high speed streams, and does --for well chosen parameters-- better than full MHD models. The model shows, nonetheless, limitations that could worsen for rising and maximum solar activity.
我们提出了一种新的三维MHD日球层模型,用于由白光日冕观测定义的边界条件驱动的空间天气预报。该模型基于MHD冥王星代码,受0.1au处太阳风背景特性的经验推导约束。这种经验方法利用白光观测来估计日球层电流片的位置。运行Heliocast所需的边界条件,然后根据必要的MHD属性(速度、密度和温度)与到电流片的距离之间的预定义关系来定义。我们在2018年第一学期的六次卡灵顿旋转中评估了该模型的准确性。使用逐点度量和基于事件的分析,我们评估了我们的模型在改变日球层电流片周围慢太阳风层的角宽度时的性能。我们还将我们的经验技术与两个经过良好测试的日冕模型:Multi-VP和WindPredict-AW进行了比较。我们发现我们的方法非常适合于重现高速流,并且-对于精心选择的参数-比全MHD模型更好。然而,该模型显示,太阳活动的上升和最大化可能会使限制恶化。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate
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