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Timelines as a tool for learning about space weather storms 时间线作为学习空间天气风暴的工具
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-03-12 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021011
D. Knipp, V. Bernstein, Kaiya Wahl, H. Hayakawa
Space weather storms typically have solar, interplanetary, geophysical and societal-effect components that overlap in time, making it hard for students and novices to determine cause-and-effect relationships and relative timing. To address this issue, we use timelines to provide context for space weather storms of different intensities. First, we present a timeline and tabular description for the great auroral storms of the last 500 years as an example for space climate. The graphical summary for these 14 events suggests that they occur about every 40–60 years, although the distribution of such events is far from even. One outstanding event in 1770 may qualify as a one-in-500-year auroral event, based on duration. Additionally, we present two examples that describe space weather storms using solar, geospace and effects categories. The first of these is for the prolonged storm sequence of late January 1938 that produced low-latitude auroras and space weather impacts on mature technology (telegraphs) and on high frequency radio communication for aviation, which was a developing technology. To illustrate storm effects in the space-age, we produce a detailed timeline for the strong December 2006 geomagnetic storm that impacted numerous space-based technologies for monitoring space weather and for communication and navigation. During this event there were numerous navigations system disturbances and hardware disruptions. We adopt terminology developed in many previous space weather studies and blend it with historical accounts to create graphical timelines to help organize and disentangle the events presented herein.
太空天气风暴通常具有太阳、行星际、地球物理和社会影响成分,这些成分在时间上重叠,这使得学生和新手很难确定因果关系和相对时间。为了解决这个问题,我们使用时间线为不同强度的空间天气风暴提供背景。首先,我们给出了过去500年的大极光风暴的时间线和表格描述,作为空间气候的一个例子。这14个事件的图形摘要表明,它们大约每40-60年发生一次,尽管这些事件的分布远不均匀。根据持续时间,1770年的一次杰出事件可能被视为500年一遇的极光事件。此外,我们还举了两个例子,分别使用太阳、地球空间和影响类别来描述太空天气风暴。第一个是1938年1月下旬的长时间风暴序列,它产生了低纬度极光和太空天气对成熟技术(电报)和航空高频无线电通信的影响,这是一项正在发展的技术。为了说明太空时代的风暴效应,我们为2006年12月强烈的地磁风暴制作了一个详细的时间表,这场风暴影响了许多用于监测太空天气以及通信和导航的天基技术。在这次事件中,出现了许多导航系统干扰和硬件中断。我们采用了之前许多空间天气研究中开发的术语,并将其与历史记录相结合,以创建图形时间线,帮助组织和理清本文所述事件。
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引用次数: 17
New cosmic ray observations at Syowa Station in the Antarctic for space weather study 在南极的Syowa站进行空间天气研究的新宇宙射线观测
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-25 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021005
C. Kato, W. Kihara, Y. Ko, A. Kadokura, R. Kataoka, P. Evenson, S. Uchida, S. Kaimi, Y. Nakamura, H. A. Uchida, K. Murase, K. Munakata
Muon detectors and neutron monitors were recently installed at Syowa Station, in the Antarctic, to observe different types of secondary particles resulting from cosmic ray interactions simultaneously from the same location. Continuing observations will give new insight into the response of muon detectors to atmospheric and geomagnetic effects. Operation began in February, 2018 and the system has been stable with a duty-cycle exceeding 94%. Muon data shows a clear seasonal variation, which is expected from the atmospheric temperature effect. We verified successful operation by showing that the muon and neutron data are consistent with those from other locations by comparing intensity variations during a space weather event. We have established a web page to make real time data available with interactive graphics (http://polaris.nipr.ac.jp/cosmicrays/).
Muon探测器和中子监测器最近安装在南极的Syowa站,从同一位置同时观测宇宙射线相互作用产生的不同类型的二次粒子。持续的观测将为μ介子探测器对大气和地磁效应的反应提供新的见解。2018年2月开始运行,系统运行稳定,占空比超过94%。μ介子数据显示出明显的季节变化,这是大气温度效应的预期结果。我们通过比较太空天气事件期间的强度变化,证明μ介子和中子数据与其他位置的数据一致,从而验证了成功的操作。我们建立了一个网页,通过交互式图形提供实时数据(http://polaris.nipr.ac.jp/cosmicrays/)。
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引用次数: 6
SunCET: The Sun Coronal Ejection Tracker Concept 太阳日冕抛射追踪器概念
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-22 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021004
J. Mason, P. Chamberlin, D. Seaton, J. Burkepile, R. Colaninno, K. Dissauer, F. Eparvier, Yuhong Fan, S. Gibson, A. Jones, C. Kay, M. Kirk, R. Kohnert, W. Pesnell, B. Thompson, A. Veronig, M. West, D. Windt, T. Woods
The Sun Coronal Ejection Tracker (SunCET) is an extreme ultraviolet imager and spectrograph instrument concept for tracking coronal mass ejections through the region where they experience the majority of their acceleration: the difficult-to-observe middle corona. It contains a wide field of view (0–4 R⊙) imager and a 1 Å spectral-resolution-irradiance spectrograph spanning 170–340 Å. It leverages new detector technology to read out different areas of the detector with different integration times, resulting in what we call “simultaneous high dynamic range”, as opposed to the traditional high dynamic range camera technique of subsequent full-frame images that are then combined in post-processing. This allows us to image the bright solar disk with short integration time, the middle corona with a long integration time, and the spectra with their own, independent integration time. Thus, SunCET does not require the use of an opaque or filtered occulter. SunCET is also compact – ~15 × 15 × 10 cm in volume – making it an ideal instrument for a CubeSat or a small, complementary addition to a larger mission. Indeed, SunCET is presently in a NASA-funded, competitive Phase A as a CubeSat and has also been proposed to NASA as an instrument onboard a 184 kg Mission of Opportunity.
太阳日冕抛射追踪器(SunCET)是一种极紫外成像仪和摄谱仪概念,用于跟踪日冕物质抛射,通过它们经历大部分加速的区域:难以观测的中日冕。它包含一个宽视场(0-4 R⊙)成像仪和1 Å光谱分辨率-辐照度光谱仪跨越170-340 Å。它利用新的探测器技术,读出探测器的不同区域与不同的积分时间,导致我们所说的“同步高动态范围”,而不是传统的高动态范围相机技术,随后的全帧图像,然后在后处理中组合。这使我们能够成像具有短积分时间的明亮太阳盘,具有长积分时间的中日冕以及具有独立积分时间的光谱。因此,SunCET不需要使用不透明或过滤的遮光片。SunCET的体积也很紧凑,约为15 × 15 × 10厘米,这使它成为立方体卫星的理想仪器,或者是大型任务的小型补充设备。事实上,SunCET目前正处于美国宇航局资助的竞争性立方体卫星的a阶段,并且还向美国宇航局提出作为184公斤的机会任务上的仪器。
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引用次数: 10
The relevance of local magnetic records when using extreme space weather events as benchmarks 当使用极端空间天气事件作为基准时,本地磁记录的相关性
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021018
E. Saiz, C. Cid, Antonio Guerrero
Space weather indices introduced for scientific purposes are commonly used to quantify operational nowcast of the geospace state during extreme space weather events. Some indices, such as the Disturbance storm time (Dst) index, have been applied to situations for which they are not originally intended. This raises a question about suitability as a space weather benchmark. In analysing historical records for different magnetometers at low- and mid-latitude, we find periods with longitudinal asymmetry in magnetic response that suggest important signals from individual magnetometers are being averaged out of the Dst record. This asymmetry develops as a double spike in the H-component: one negative in the observatories in the day sector and one positive in the observatories in the night sector. These spikes develop in short-time (about 2 h) and pose a potential hazardous effect for users affected by space weather. The results from historical events have been reinforced with the systematic study of magnetic records during extreme events (Dst ≤ −200 nT and AL ≤ −2000 nT) in the period 1998–2017 from six magnetic observatories at about 40° magnetic latitude. Moreover, we show that the largest asymmetries take place during the early main phase and are recorded in narrow local time sectors. An important outcome of these results is that space weather benchmarks should be based on local records instead of the commonly used global indices. This action improves two important aspects of space weather: the assessment of historical extreme events and that of the needs of users.
为科学目的引入的空间天气指数通常用于量化极端空间天气事件期间地球空间状态的业务临近预报。一些指数,如扰动风暴时间(Dst)指数,已被应用于原本不打算用于的情况。这就提出了一个关于是否适合作为空间天气基准的问题。在分析低纬度和中纬度不同磁力计的历史记录时,我们发现磁响应纵向不对称的时期,这表明来自单个磁力计的重要信号正在从Dst记录中平均出来。这种不对称发展为h分量的双尖峰:一个在白天区域的观测站为负,一个在夜晚区域的观测站为正。这些峰值在短时间内(约2小时)形成,对受空间天气影响的用户构成潜在的危险影响。通过对1998-2017年极端事件(Dst≤- 200 nT和AL≤- 2000 nT)的系统研究,在磁纬40°左右的6个地磁观测站对历史事件的结果进行了进一步的验证。此外,我们表明,最大的不对称发生在早期的主要阶段,并记录在狭窄的当地时间部门。这些结果的一个重要结果是,空间天气基准应以当地记录为基础,而不是常用的全球指数。这一行动改善了空间天气的两个重要方面:对历史极端事件的评估和对用户需求的评估。
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引用次数: 3
The operational and research DTM-2020 thermosphere models 业务和研究DTM-2020热层模型
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021032
S. Bruinsma, C. Boniface
Aims: The semi-empirical Drag Temperature Models (DTM) predict the Earth’s thermosphere’s temperature, density, and composition, especially for orbit computation purposes. Two new models were developed in the framework of the H2020 Space Weather Atmosphere Models and Indices (SWAMI) project. The operational model is driven by the trusted and established F10.7 and Kp indices for solar and geomagnetic activity. The so-called research model is more accurate, but it uses the indices F30 and the hourly Hpo, which are not yet accredited operationally.Methods: The DTM2020 models’ backbone comprises GOCE, CHAMP, and Swarm A densities, processed by TU Delft, and Stella processed in-house. They constitute the standards for absolute densities, and they are 20–30% smaller than the datasets used in the fit of DTM2013. Also, the global daily mean TLE densities at 250 km, spanning four solar cycles, were now used to improve solar cycle variations. The operational model employs the same algorithm as DTM2013, which was obtained through fitting all data in our database from 1967 to 2019. Because of the Hpo index, which is not available before 1995, the coefficients linked to the geomagnetic activity of the research model are fitted to data from 2000 to 2019. The algorithm was updated to take advantage of the higher cadence of Hpo. Both models are assessed with independent data and compared with the COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere models NRLMSISE-00, JB2008, and DTM2013. The bias and precision of the models are assessed through comparison with observations according to published metrics on several time scales. Secondly, binning of the density ratios are used to detect specific model errors. Results: The DTM2020 densities are on average 20–30% smaller than those of DTM2013, NRLMSISE-00, and JB2008. The assessment shows that the research DTM2020 is the least biased and most precise model compared to assimilated data. It is a significant improvement over DTM2013 under all conditions and at all altitudes. This is confirmed by the comparison with independent SET HASDM density data. The operational DTM2020 is always less accurate than the research model except at 800 km altitude. It has comparable or slightly higher precision than DTM2013, despite using F10.7 instead of F30 as solar activity driver. DTM, and semi-empirical models in general, can still be significantly improved on the condition of setting up a more complete and consistent total density, composition, and temperature database than available at this time by means of a well-conceived observing system.
目的:半经验阻力温度模型(DTM)预测地球热层的温度、密度和组成,特别是用于轨道计算目的。在H2020空间天气大气模式和指数(SWAMI)项目框架内开发了两个新模式。运行模型是由可靠的和已建立的太阳和地磁活动的F10.7和Kp指数驱动的。所谓的研究模型更为准确,但它使用的是F30指数和每小时Hpo指数,这两种指数尚未获得操作上的认可。方法:DTM2020模型的主干包括GOCE、CHAMP和Swarm A密度,由TU Delft处理,Stella内部处理。它们构成了绝对密度的标准,它们比DTM2013拟合中使用的数据集小20-30%。此外,在250公里的全球日平均TLE密度,跨越四个太阳周期,现在被用来改善太阳周期的变化。操作模型采用与DTM2013相同的算法,该算法是通过拟合我们数据库1967 - 2019年的所有数据得到的。由于Hpo指数在1995年之前是不可用的,因此研究模型中与地磁活动相关的系数是根据2000年至2019年的数据拟合的。对算法进行了更新,以利用Hpo的更高节奏。用独立数据对两种模式进行了评估,并与COSPAR国际参考大气模式NRLMSISE-00、JB2008和DTM2013进行了比较。通过与在几个时间尺度上发表的指标的观测结果进行比较,评估了模型的偏差和精度。其次,利用密度比的分组来检测特定的模型误差。结果:DTM2020密度比DTM2013、NRLMSISE-00和JB2008平均低20 ~ 30%;评估结果表明,与同化数据相比,研究DTM2020是偏差最小、精度最高的模型。与DTM2013相比,它在所有条件和所有高度下都有显著改进。与独立的SET HASDM密度数据的比较证实了这一点。除800公里高度外,作战DTM2020的精度总是低于研究模型。尽管使用F10.7而不是F30作为太阳活动驱动,但它的精度与DTM2013相当或略高。在建立更完整和一致的总密度、成分和温度数据库的条件下,通过精心设计的观测系统,DTM和一般的半经验模型仍然可以得到显著的改进。
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引用次数: 17
On a limitation of Zeeman polarimetry and imperfect instrumentation in representing solar magnetic fields with weaker polarization signal. 关于泽曼偏振测量法和不完善的仪器在表示偏振信号较弱的太阳磁场时的局限性。
IF 3.4 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-02-12 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2021003
A A Pevtsov, Y Liu, I Virtanen, L Bertello, K Mursula, K D Leka, A L H Hughes

Full disk vector magnetic fields are used widely for developing better understanding of large-scale structure, morphology, and patterns of the solar magnetic field. The data are also important for modeling various solar phenomena. However, observations of vector magnetic fields have one important limitation that may affect the determination of the true magnetic field orientation. This limitation stems from our ability to interpret the differing character of the Zeeman polarization signals which arise from the photospheric line-of-sight vs. the transverse components of the solar vector magnetic field, and is likely exacerbated by unresolved structure (non-unity fill fraction) as well as the disambiguation of the 180° degeneracy in the transverse-field azimuth. Here we provide a description of this phenomenon, and discuss issues, which require additional investigation.

全磁盘矢量磁场被广泛用于更好地了解太阳磁场的大尺度结构、形态和模式。这些数据对于模拟各种太阳现象也很重要。然而,矢量磁场观测有一个重要的局限性,可能会影响真实磁场方向的确定。这种局限性源于我们对太阳矢量磁场的光球视线与横向分量所产生的不同性质的泽曼极化信号的解释能力,未解决的结构(非统一填充分数)以及横向磁场方位角 180°退化的歧义可能会加剧这种局限性。在此,我们对这一现象进行了描述,并讨论了需要进一步研究的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Operational Dst index prediction model based on combination of artificial neural network and empirical model 基于人工神经网络与经验模型相结合的操作Dst指数预测模型
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021021
W. Park, Jaejin Lee, Kyung‐Chan Kim, Jongkil Lee, Keunchan Park, Y. Miyashita, J. Sohn, Jae‐Hee Park, Y. Kwak, J. Hwang, Alexander Frias, Jiyoung Kim, Y. Yi
In this paper, an operational Dst index prediction model is developed by combining empirical and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. ANN algorithms are widely used to predict space weather conditions. While they require a large amount of data for machine learning, large-scale geomagnetic storms have not occurred sufficiently for the last 20 years, Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) and Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) mission operation period. Conversely, the empirical models are based on numerical equations derived from human intuition and are therefore applicable to extrapolate for large storms. In this study, we distinguish between Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) driven and Corotating Interaction Region (CIR) driven storms, estimate the minimum Dst values, and derive an equation for describing the recovery phase. The combined Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) Dst Prediction (KDP) model achieved better performance contrasted to ANN model only. This model could be used practically for space weather operation by extending prediction time to 24 h and updating the model output every hour.
本文将经验模型与人工神经网络(ANN)模型相结合,建立了可操作的Dst指数预测模型。人工神经网络算法被广泛用于预测空间天气状况。虽然它们需要大量的数据来进行机器学习,但在过去的20年里,高级成分探测器(ACE)和深空气候观测站(DSCOVR)任务运行期间,大规模的地磁风暴并没有充分发生。相反,经验模式是基于人类直觉得出的数值方程,因此适用于大风暴的外推。在这项研究中,我们区分了日冕物质抛射(CME)驱动和旋转相互作用区(CIR)驱动的风暴,估计了最小Dst值,并推导了描述恢复阶段的方程。韩国天文空间科学研究院(KASI)联合的Dst预测(KDP)模型与单独的ANN模型相比取得了更好的效果。将预报时间延长至24h,每小时更新一次模式输出,可实际应用于空间天气业务。
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引用次数: 4
The space weather station at the University of Alcala 阿尔卡拉大学的太空气象站
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021007
A. Guerrero, C. Cid, A. García, E. Domínguez, F. Montoya, E. Saiz
The Space Weather station at the University of Alcala (UAH-STA) is a place for instrumentation that is able to produce useful products and services even in a worst case scenario (when power grid and/or communications have been compromised), assuring the access of critical data to decision-makers and consequently, increasing the confidence to take actions. The current development consists of an antenna to monitor ionospheric disturbances through the reception of very low frequency waves and a magnetometer to indicate the geomagnetic disturbances caused by sources external to the Earth. This work shows the development of both instruments and some examples of ionospheric and geomagnetic events recorded by both of them. This project serves also as a success story of using space weather as a teaching tool due to the involvement of undergraduate students at their final stage of industrial and telecommunication engineering.
Alcala大学的空间气象站(UAH-STA)是一个能够在最坏的情况下(当电网和/或通信受到损害时)提供有用产品和服务的仪器场所,确保决策者获得关键数据,从而增加采取行动的信心。目前的发展包括通过接收极低频波来监测电离层扰动的天线和指示由地球外部源引起的地磁扰动的磁力计。这项工作显示了这两种仪器的发展,以及它们记录的电离层和地磁事件的一些例子。这个项目也是利用空间天气作为教学工具的成功案例,因为本科生在工业和电信工程的最后阶段参与其中。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluating the relationship between strong geomagnetic storms and electric grid failures in Poland using the geoelectric field as a GIC proxy 用地电场作为GIC代理评估波兰强地磁风暴与电网故障之间的关系
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1051/SWSC/2021013
A. Gil, M. Berendt-Marchel, R. Modzelewska, S. Moskwa, A. Siluszyk, M. Siluszyk, L. Tomasik, A. Wawrzaszek, A. Wawrzynczak
We study intense geomagnetic storms (Dst . Using various methods such as self-organizing maps, statistical and superposed epoch analysis, we show that during and right after intense geomagnetic storms, there is growth in the number of transmission line failures. We also examine the temporal changes in the number of failures during 2010-2014 and find that the growing linear tendency of electrical grid failure occurrence is possibly connected with solar activity. We compare these results with the geoelectric field calculated for the region of Poland using a 1-D layered conductivity Earth model.
我们研究强烈的地磁风暴(Dst)。利用自组织图、统计和叠加历元分析等各种方法,我们表明,在强烈地磁风暴期间和之后,输电线路的故障数量有所增加。我们还研究了2010-2014年间电网故障数量的时间变化,发现电网故障发生的线性增长趋势可能与太阳活动有关。我们将这些结果与使用一维层状电导率地球模型计算的波兰地区地电场进行了比较。
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引用次数: 14
Erratum to: New cosmic ray observations at Syowa Station in the Antarctic for space weather study 对在南极Syowa站进行空间天气研究的新宇宙射线观测的勘误
IF 3.3 2区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2021028
C. Kato, W. Kihara, Y. ko, A. Kadokura, R. Kataoka, P. Evenson, S. Uchida, S. Kaimi, Yoshiaki Nakamura, H. A. Uchida, K. Murase, K. Munakata
Due to confusion in the proof correction process, the author’s proof corrections were not correctly taken into account. The corrections are listed below, highlighted by a boldface font.
由于在校对过程中存在混乱,笔者的校对没有得到正确的考虑。更正如下,并用黑体字突出显示。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate
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