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Consumption, Leisure, and Money 消费、休闲和金钱
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.1017/S1365100519000725
Apostolos Serletis, Libo Xu
This paper takes a parametric approach to demand analysis and tests the weak separability assumptions that are often implicitly made in representative agent models of modern macroeconomics. The approach allows estimation and testing in a systems-of-equations context, using the minflex Laurent flexible functional form for the underlying utility function and relaxing the assumption of fixed consumer preferences by assuming Markov regime switching. We generate inference consistent with both theoretical and econometric regularity. We strongly reject weak separability of consumption and leisure from real money balances as well as weak separability of consumption from leisure and real money balances, meaning that the inclusion of a money in economic models would be of quantitative importance. We also investigate the substitutability/complementarity relationship among different categories of personal consumption expenditure (nondurables, durables, and services), leisure, and money. We find that the goods are net Morishima substitutes, but because of positive income effects they are gross complements. The implications for monetary policy are also briefly discussed.
本文采用参数化方法进行需求分析,并对现代宏观经济学代表性主体模型中隐含的弱可分性假设进行了检验。该方法允许在方程组环境中进行估计和测试,使用minflex Laurent灵活函数形式作为潜在效用函数,并通过假设马尔可夫状态切换来放松固定消费者偏好的假设。我们产生的推论与理论和计量经济学的规律性相一致。我们强烈反对消费和休闲与真实货币平衡的弱可分离性,以及消费与休闲和真实货币平衡的弱可分离性,这意味着将货币纳入经济模型将具有定量重要性。我们还研究了不同类别的个人消费支出(非耐用品、耐用品和服务)、休闲和金钱之间的可替代性/互补性关系。我们发现货物是森岛的净替代品,但由于正收入效应,它们是总互补。本文还简要讨论了对货币政策的影响。
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引用次数: 5
Effect of Competitive Prices, Completeness of Products, and Locations on Consumer Purchasing Decisions at Metro Electronics & Furniture Rantauprapat 竞争价格、产品完整性和地点对麦德龙电子和家具公司消费者购买决策的影响
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3412703
Ade Parlaungan Nasution, Denny Ammari Ramadhan
The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of competitive prices, product completeness, and location on consumer purchasing decisions at Metro Electronics & Furniture Rantauprapat. Data analysis methods used are Reliability Test, Validity Test, Multiple Linear Regression Analysis, Determination Coefficient (R2), F test and t test. The results of the t test show that competitive prices have a positive and significant effect on consumer purchasing decisions at Metro Electronics & Furniture Rantauprapat, where the value of tcount (8.657)> t table (1.66159) with a significance level of 0.000 <0.05. Completeness of prices has a positive and significant effect on consumer purchasing decisions at Metro Electronics & Furniture Rantauprapat, where the value of tcount (5.427)> t table (1.662) with a significance level of 0.000 <0.05. Location has a positive and insignificant effect on consumer purchasing decisions at Metro Electronics & Furniture Rantauprapat, where the value of tcount (0.148).
本研究的目的是确定竞争价格、产品完整性和地理位置对麦德龙电子和家具公司消费者购买决策的影响。使用的数据分析方法有信度检验、效度检验、多元线性回归分析、决定系数(R2)、F检验和t检验。t检验结果显示,具有竞争力的价格对Metro Electronics & Furniture Rantauprapat的消费者购买决策具有积极显著的影响,其中tcount (8.657)> t表(1.66159)的值显著性水平为0.000,t表(1.662)的显著性水平为0.000 <0.05。地理位置对麦德龙电子和家具公司的消费者购买决策有显著的正向影响,其中tcount的值为0.148。
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引用次数: 1
Making Use of Home Equity: The Potential of Housing Wealth to Enhance Retirement Security 利用房屋净值:住房财富增强退休保障的潜力
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3468604
J. Bravo, M. Ayuso, R. Holzmann
The demographic change underway, declining adequacy levels from traditional pay-as-you-go old-age social security systems, structural reforms in pension schemes and the reduction in the traditional family support have increased the need for additional private savings to cover the old age income gap. In this paper we discuss the necessity, the role and the viability of home equity release schemes in supplementing public and private pensions in an integrated way. We use the latest European data from the Eurosystem Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) to analyse the household's wealth composition and accumulation process in the euro area. To quantify the size of the housing wealth and its potential to enhance existing and future retirement income, we compute the equity-to-value ratio (ETV) for all countries, estimate the time to loan payoff and compute the amount of home equity that is expected to be released over a 10-year period through regular monthly mortgage payments. We then catalogue and discuss the many alternative options for managing and accessing housing wealth over the life cycle, and highlight the main characteristics, risks, advantages and drawbacks of the two most important market products (home reversion plans and reverse mortgages). Finally, we discuss the main demand-side and supply-side obstacles and challenges to the development of equity release markets and extract some policy implications.
正在发生的人口变化、传统的现收现付老年社会保障制度的充足程度下降、养恤金计划的结构性改革以及传统家庭支助的减少,都增加了对额外私人储蓄的需求,以弥补老年收入差距。在本文中,我们讨论了房屋净值释放计划的必要性,作用和可行性,以一种综合的方式补充公共和私人养老金。我们使用来自欧元体系家庭金融和消费调查(HFCS)的最新欧洲数据来分析欧元区家庭的财富构成和积累过程。为了量化住房财富的规模及其提高现有和未来退休收入的潜力,我们计算了所有国家的权益价值比(ETV),估计了贷款偿还的时间,并计算了预计在10年内通过定期每月抵押贷款支付而释放的房屋净值金额。然后,我们编目并讨论了在生命周期内管理和获取住房财富的许多替代方案,并强调了两个最重要的市场产品(房屋恢复计划和反向抵押贷款)的主要特征、风险、优势和缺点。最后,我们讨论了股权释放市场发展的主要需求侧和供给侧障碍和挑战,并提取了一些政策启示。
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引用次数: 7
Projective Paternalism 射影家长制
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26119
Sandro Ambuehl, B. Bernheim, Axel Ockenfels
We study experimentally when, why, and how people intervene in others' choices. Choice Architects (CAs) construct opportunity sets containing bundles of time-indexed payments for Choosers. CAs frequently prevent impatient choices despite opportunities to provide advice, believing Choosers benefit. We consider several hypotheses concerning CAs' motives. A conventional behavioral welfarist acts as a correctly informed social planner; a mistakes-projective paternalist removes options she wishes she could reject when choosing for herself; an ideals-projective paternalist seeks to align others' choices with her own aspirations. Ideals-projective paternalism provides the best explanation for interventions in the laboratory and rationalizes support for actual paternalistic policies.

Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
我们通过实验研究人们何时、为何以及如何干预他人的选择。选择架构师(ca)为选择者构建包含时间索引支付包的机会集。尽管有机会提供建议,但ca经常阻止不耐烦的选择,相信选择者会受益。我们考虑了几个关于CAs动机的假设。传统的行为福利主义者扮演着信息正确的社会计划者的角色;错误投射型家长在为自己选择时,会移除她希望自己可以拒绝的选项;理想投射型家长式的人会把别人的选择和自己的愿望结合起来。理想-投射式家长制为实验室干预提供了最好的解释,并使对实际家长制政策的支持合理化。国家经济研究局工作论文系列的机构订阅者和发展中国家的居民可以在www.nber.org免费下载本文。
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引用次数: 14
Friends with Bankruptcy Protection Benefits 有破产保护福利的朋友
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3287904
Kristoph Kleiner, Noah Stoffman, Scott E. Yonker
Abstract We show information spillovers limit the effectiveness of targeted debt relief programs. We study individuals who learn about the likelihood of debt relief from the recent experiences of workplace peers filing for bankruptcy protection. Peers granted bankruptcy can discharge debts, while peers facing dismissal lose all protections. Exploiting the random assignment of judges to bankruptcy cases, we determine that individuals with a “dismissed peer” are significantly less likely to file for bankruptcy or enter foreclosure. We highlight a novel channel relating social networks to household finances and identify additional costs of granting individual debt relief imposed on lenders.
摘要我们表明,信息溢出限制了有针对性的债务减免计划的有效性。我们研究了那些从最近申请破产保护的同事那里了解到债务减免可能性的个人。破产的贵族可以清偿债务,而面临解雇的贵族则失去所有保护。利用法官对破产案件的随机分配,我们确定有“解雇同伴”的个人申请破产或进入止赎的可能性显着降低。我们强调了将社交网络与家庭财务联系起来的新渠道,并确定了对贷款人施加个人债务减免的额外成本。
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引用次数: 7
Relaxed Optimization: Ε-Rationalizability and the Foc-Departure Index in Consumer Theory 放松优化:Ε-Rationalizability与消费者理论中的焦点偏离指数
Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3527048
Geoffroy de Clippel, Kareen Rozen
We propose relaxing the first-order conditions in optimization to approximate rational consumer choice. Departures from the FOCs are assessed using an axiomatically founded measure that is also interpretable in terms of a money-pump multiplier. The framework encompasses measurement errors, information unobservable to the modeler, and consumer misperception. We develop testable implications for demand data, including for subclasses of regular utility functions, and develop the FOC-Departure Index (FDI), which is applicable in all contexts where the first-order approach is meaningful. We extend these ideas to convex budget sets. Our analysis extends to non-convex preferences under a narrower interpretation of price misperception.
我们提出放宽优化中的一阶条件以近似于理性消费者选择。对偏离focc的评估采用了一种基于公理的衡量方法,该方法也可以用货币泵乘数来解释。该框架包含了测量误差、建模者无法观察到的信息以及消费者的误解。我们为需求数据开发了可测试的含义,包括常规效用函数的子类,并开发了foco - departure Index (FDI),它适用于所有一阶方法有意义的情况。我们将这些思想推广到凸预算集。我们的分析扩展到非凸偏好下的价格误解的狭义解释。
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引用次数: 1
Factors Influencing Consumer Behavior and Prospective Purchase Decisions in a Dynamic Pricing Environment — An Exploratory Factor Analysis Approach 动态定价环境下影响消费者行为和预期购买决策的因素——探索性因素分析方法
Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3412528
Vijay Victor, J. Thoppan, R. Nathan, Maria Fekete Farkas
The rapid advancements in information and communication technology during the third industrial revolution of the late 20th century has marked the beginning of a new era in the retail sector with the introduction of E-commerce. The dawn of the new century witnessed industry 4.0, revolutionizing all areas of online business by bringing in novel opportunities and possibilities.

Despite the progress in technology, the determination of correct pricing on online selling platforms still remains a very complex task. The adoption of big data technology has enabled online sellers to make real-time price changes of high magnitude and proximity. However, with increasing awareness among buyers regarding modern pricing strategies, it is necessary to examine probable changes in consumer behavior when exposed to dynamic pricing scenarios. This study investigates the factors that influence consumer behavior, and their prospective online purchase decisions in a dynamic pricing context, through an exploratory factor analysis approach. A primary research survey was conducted, and 178 samples were finalized for data analysis through a series of web surveys completed by respondents in India. This study identifies, measures and classifies 27 research items into variables, namely shopping experience, privacy concerns, awareness about dynamic pricing, buying strategy, fair price perceptions, reprisal intentions and intentions for self-protection. These seven factors could be used to explain consumer behavior in a dynamic pricing situation.
在20世纪末的第三次工业革命期间,信息和通信技术的迅速发展标志着电子商务引入零售业的新时代的开始。新世纪的曙光见证了工业4.0,通过带来新的机会和可能性,彻底改变了在线业务的所有领域。尽管技术进步了,但在线销售平台上正确定价的确定仍然是一项非常复杂的任务。大数据技术的采用使在线卖家能够进行大规模和近距离的实时价格变化。然而,随着买家对现代定价策略的认识不断提高,有必要研究消费者行为在面对动态定价情景时可能发生的变化。本研究通过探索性因素分析方法,探讨了影响消费者行为的因素,以及在动态定价环境下他们的在线购买决策。进行了初步研究调查,并通过印度受访者完成的一系列网络调查,最终确定了178个样本进行数据分析。本研究将27个研究项目识别、测量并分类为变量,即购物体验、隐私问题、对动态定价的认识、购买策略、公平价格感知、报复意图和自我保护意图。这七个因素可以用来解释动态定价情况下的消费者行为。
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引用次数: 1
Capacity, Pricing and Assortment Management under Discrete Choice Model with Anticipated Wait 具有预期等待的离散选择模型下的产能、定价与分类管理
Pub Date : 2019-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3579806
Ruxian Wang
Customers often face multiple choices when purchasing a product or service. After making a choice, they sometimes have to wait for a while before receiving their purchased item due to the firm’s limited capacity
to process orders. This paper incorporates the anticipated wait for receiving purchased products or services into customers’ choice behavior. The resulting choice model shares the same spirit of the rational expectation equilibrium, and captures the effects of negative externality caused by the anticipated wait, because all orders may be processed by a common facility. Our analysis shows that the anticipated wait may change the substitution patterns dramatically. We further investigate the effects of the anticipated wait on the decisions of capacity investment, product pricing and assortment planning. We establish the one-to-one mapping between the price vector and the choice probability vector, and show that the equivalent profit function of the choice probabilities is explicitly defined and more tractable. We characterize the multi-product price optimization problem under the MNL model with waiting. In addition to price competition, we also study the Cournot competition, in which the decision is the choice probability for each firm, and show that there exists a Nash equilibrium. For the assortment optimization, we identify the conditions under which the optimality of the revenue-ordered assortment still holds. Because the assortment problem with waiting is generally NP-hard, we develop efficient approximations with performance guarantee and also provide an easy-to-compute tight upper bound. The new model has the potential to increase prediction accuracy for customers’ choice behavior especially when customers faced with multiple choices are aware of the possible waiting for their purchased products. Failure to take into account the effects of the anticipated wait in customers’ purchase behavior may result in substantial losses to firms.
顾客在购买产品或服务时经常面临多种选择。在做出选择后,由于公司处理订单的能力有限,他们有时不得不等待一段时间才能收到所购买的商品。本文将预期等待接收购买的产品或服务纳入顾客的选择行为。所得到的选择模型与理性期望均衡具有相同的精神,并且捕获了由预期等待引起的负外部性的影响,因为所有的订单都可以由一个共同的设施处理。我们的分析表明,预期的等待可能会极大地改变替代模式。我们进一步研究了预期等待对产能投资决策、产品定价决策和分类计划决策的影响。我们建立了价格向量与选择概率向量的一对一映射关系,并证明了选择概率的等价利润函数是明确定义的,并且更易于处理。研究了带等待的MNL模型下的多产品价格优化问题。除了价格竞争,我们还研究了古诺竞争,其中决策是每个企业的选择概率,并证明存在纳什均衡。对于分类优化,我们确定了收益排序分类仍然保持最优性的条件。由于等待的分类问题通常是np困难的,我们开发了具有性能保证的有效近似,并提供了易于计算的紧上界。新模型有可能提高对顾客选择行为的预测精度,特别是当顾客面临多种选择时,他们知道他们购买的产品可能会等待。如果不考虑顾客购买行为中预期等待的影响,可能会给企业带来巨大的损失。
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引用次数: 0
Gender Issues in Income-Contingent Student Loans: Do Women Benefit? 学生贷款中的性别问题:女性是否受益?
Pub Date : 2019-06-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3404747
Tracey West
Although tertiary study is strongly associated with positive wealth outcomes, for those on the margin student debt can be a deterrent, a source of financial stress, or an indicator of irresponsible bad financial behaviour. In Australia, recent debate regarding the income-contingent loan (ICL) student debt scheme has highlighted gender differences in the ability to repay the debt. Drawing on the Australian HILDA Survey data for 2002–14, this study examined the gender differences for student debt holders, pinpointing some of the gender differences in the student debt trajectory and transitions over the sample period. Findings do show that student debtors in general are slightly less satisfied with their financial situation than the general population and are more likely to be from a socio-economically advantaged background. Results indicate that women are not particularly disadvantaged under the ICL scheme regarding the issues examined.
尽管高等教育与积极的财富结果密切相关,但对于那些处于边缘的人来说,学生债务可能是一种威慑,一种财务压力的来源,或者是不负责任的不良财务行为的一个指标。在澳大利亚,最近关于收入贷款(ICL)学生债务计划的辩论突出了偿还债务能力的性别差异。根据澳大利亚HILDA调查2002 - 2014年的数据,本研究调查了学生债务持有人的性别差异,准确指出了样本期间学生债务轨迹和转变中的一些性别差异。调查结果确实表明,总体而言,学生债务人对自己的财务状况的满意度略低于普通人群,而且更有可能来自社会经济优势背景。结果表明,就所审查的问题而言,妇女在ICL计划下并不特别处于不利地位。
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引用次数: 0
Household Finances and Fiscal Stimulus in 2008 2008年的家庭财政和财政刺激
Pub Date : 2019-06-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3716571
M. Boutros
Using detailed household-level data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation, the ratio of credit card debt to income is found to be the most important balance sheet item in determining household usage of stimulus funds in 2008, adding to existing evidence that borrowing constraints are functions of debt-to-income ratios. Borrowing constrained households, often predicted to be the group with the largest propensity to consume out of stimulus funds, were the most likely to use stimulus payments to repay debt instead of increase consumption. This behavior is consistent with the fact that household credit supply was tightening at the same time that stimulus payments were being distributed, forcing households, especially those near their borrowing constraints, to deleverage.
使用收入和计划参与调查的详细家庭层面数据,发现信用卡债务与收入的比率是决定2008年家庭使用刺激资金的最重要的资产负债表项目,增加了现有证据表明借贷限制是债务与收入比率的函数。借贷受限的家庭,通常被认为是最有倾向于在刺激资金之外消费的群体,最有可能使用刺激资金来偿还债务,而不是增加消费。这种行为与这样一个事实是一致的,即在分配刺激支出的同时,家庭信贷供应正在收紧,迫使家庭,尤其是那些接近借贷限制的家庭,去杠杆化。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Microeconomics: Intertemporal Consumer Choice & Savings eJournal
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