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OPEC, Shale Oil, and Global Warming - On the Importance of the Order of Extraction 石油输出国组织、页岩油和全球变暖——论开采顺序的重要性
Hassan Benchekroun, Gerard van der Meijden, C. Withagen
We show that OPEC’s market power contributes to global warming by enabling producers of relatively expensive and dirty oil to start producing before OPEC reserves are depleted. We fully characterize the equilibrium of a cartel-fringe model and use a calibration to examine the importance of this extraction sequence effect. While welfare under the cartel-fringe equilibrium can be significantly lower than under a first-best outcome, almost all of this welfare loss is due to the sequence effect. Moreover, the recent boom in shale oil reserves may reduce social welfare and renewables subsidies can increase the carbon content of current extraction.
我们表明,欧佩克的市场力量有助于全球变暖,因为它使相对昂贵和肮脏的石油生产商能够在欧佩克储备耗尽之前开始生产。我们充分表征了卡特尔-条纹模型的平衡,并使用校准来检验这种提取序列效应的重要性。虽然卡特尔边缘均衡下的福利可能明显低于第一最佳结果下的福利,但几乎所有这些福利损失都是由于序列效应。此外,最近页岩油储量的激增可能会减少社会福利,而可再生能源补贴可能会增加当前开采的碳含量。
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引用次数: 8
Should Pollution Taxes Be Targeted at Income Redistribution? 污染税应该针对收入再分配吗?
B. Jacobs, Rick van der Ploeg
This paper analyses optimal corrective taxation and optimal income redistribution. Under general utility functions, the Pigouvian pollution tax is higher if pollution damages disproportionally hurt the poor due to equity weighting of pollution damages. Moreover, optimal pollution taxes should be set below the Pigouvian tax if the poor spend a disproportionate fraction of their income on polluting goods. However, if preferences for commodities are of the Gorman (1961) polar form, optimal pollution taxes should follow the first-best rule for the Pigouvian corrective tax even if the government wants to redistribute income and the poor spend a disproportional part of their income on polluting goods. The often-used quasi-linear, CES and Stone-Geary utility functions all belong to the Gorman polar class. If preferences are Gorman polar, and if pollution taxes are not optimized, Pareto-improving green tax reforms exist that move the pollution tax closer to the Pigouvian tax. Simulations demonstrate that optimal corrective taxes should be Pigouvian if the demand for polluting goods is derived from a LES demand system, but deviate from the Pigouvian taxes if demand for polluting goods demand is derived from a PIGLOG demand system.
本文分析了最优纠正性税收和最优收入再分配。在一般效用函数下,如果污染损害由于污染损害的公平加权而不成比例地伤害穷人,庇古污染税就会更高。此外,如果穷人将其收入中不成比例的一部分用于购买污染商品,则应将最优污染税设定在庇古税以下。然而,如果对商品的偏好是Gorman(1961)极性形式,那么最优污染税应该遵循庇古修正税的最优规则,即使政府想要重新分配收入,而穷人将其收入的不成比例的一部分花费在污染商品上。常用的拟线性、CES和Stone-Geary效用函数都属于Gorman极类。如果偏好是戈尔曼极性的,如果污染税没有优化,那么存在帕累托改进的绿色税改革,使污染税更接近庇古税。模拟表明,如果污染产品的需求来自LES需求系统,那么最优修正税应该是庇古税,但如果污染产品的需求来自PIGLOG需求系统,那么最优修正税将偏离庇古税。
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引用次数: 1
Power-to-Heat for Renewable Energy Integration: Technologies, Modeling Approaches, and Flexibility Potentials 可再生能源的电-热集成:技术、建模方法和灵活性潜力
A. Bloess, W. Schill, Alexander Zerrahn
Flexibly coupling power and heat sectors may contribute to both renewable energy integration and decarbonization. We present a literature review of modelbased analyses in this field, focusing on residential heating. We compare geographical and temporal research scopes and identify state-of-the-art analytical model formulations, particularly concerning heat pumps and thermal storage. While numerical findings are idiosyncratic to specific assumptions, a synthesis of results generally indicates that power-to-heat technologies can cost-effectively contribute to fossil fuel substitution, renewable integration, and decarbonization. Heat pumps and passive thermal storage emerge as particularly favorable options.
灵活耦合电力和热力部门可能有助于可再生能源的整合和脱碳。我们提出了基于模型的分析在这一领域的文献综述,重点是住宅供暖。我们比较了地理和时间的研究范围,并确定了最先进的分析模型公式,特别是关于热泵和储热。虽然数值结果是特定假设的特质,但综合结果通常表明,电转热技术可以经济有效地促进化石燃料替代、可再生能源整合和脱碳。热泵和被动式蓄热成为特别有利的选择。
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引用次数: 9
Hybrid Incentives: Carrots, Sticks, or Carrots Which Become Sticks? 混合激励:胡萝卜,大棒,还是胡萝卜变成大棒?
Benjamin Shmueli
Various incentives may be used in order to cause a person to desist from an activity that creates negative externalities. It is possible, naturally, to use a stick and to apply an economic sanction in order to incentivize them to desist from that activity. It is also possible to use a carrot, i.e., to grant them a financial prize if they desist from the activity. Each of these incentives has advantages and disadvantages. Literature and practice are familiar with various combinations of sticks and carrots. In most cases, the mechanism is “horizontal”, e.g. using carrots with respect to certain parts of the population, and sticks against other parts. The Article presents a novel, vertical, sequential mechanism, in the form of a “game” played in two consecutive stages that are connected to each other, that trap the person who perpetrated a negative action within the mechanism, with no possible way out. At the center of the first stage of the vertical mechanism stands a carrot – a reward or a positive incentive – which is combined with a certain social sanction (shaming). At the center of the second stage, which is activated only if the implementation of the first stage did not meet with success, stands a stick – a punishment or a negative incentive. The objective will be to incentivize a person to engage in fruitful negotiations to end the harmful activity at the pre-mechanism stage, for after the mechanism begins operating and as more time passes, he will only lose. For this purpose, an illustration will be offered of the negative social behavior of one-sided refusal to give or accept the Jewish divorce bill in the Jewish sector the world over, in a reality in which it is not possible under religious law to compel a refuser to give or accept that bill, namely, the intractable agunah problem. The mechanism will be built primarily on the basis of a few theories from the field of law and economics: reversible rewards, dual-chooser rules, and modular liability rules. The main argument will be that the use of a multi-part vertical incentives mechanism increases efficiency at minimal additional cost; it overcomes a moral problem of “rewarding the sinner” by giving him a carrot and combines in optimal fashion the advantages entailed by activating the sticks and the carrots, and at the same time – insofar as possible – nullifies most of the disadvantages of each of them. It is possible to extrapolate from the specific to the general. From this aspect, the Article has several contributions to make. First, the example that will be discussed – that of refusal to divorce – is universal, and it is relevant anywhere in the world where there are Jews. Second, the Article has a contribution to make to legal and social sciences literature on the subject of incentives in general, and sticks and carrots in particular. Third, the Article will present a unique case of integration of a social sanction within a legal mechanism. Fourth, the Article might constitute a mod
为了使一个人停止从事产生负外部性的活动,可以使用各种激励措施。当然,可以使用大棒和实施经济制裁,以激励他们停止这种活动。如果他们停止活动,也可以使用胡萝卜,即给予他们经济奖励。每一种激励都有优点和缺点。文学和实践都熟悉大棒和胡萝卜的各种组合。在大多数情况下,这种机制是“横向的”,例如,对人口的某些部分使用胡萝卜,对其他部分使用大棒。这篇文章呈现了一种新颖的、垂直的、顺序的机制,以“游戏”的形式在两个相互连接的连续阶段中进行,将在机制中犯下负面行为的人困住,没有任何出路。垂直机制第一阶段的中心是胡萝卜——一种奖励或积极的激励——它与某种社会制裁(羞辱)相结合。在第二阶段的中心,只有在第一阶段的实施没有取得成功时才会启动,它是一根棍子——一种惩罚或消极的激励。目标将是鼓励一个人进行富有成效的谈判,以便在机制前阶段结束有害的活动,因为在机制开始运作之后,随着时间的推移,他只会失败。为此目的,将举例说明在世界各地的犹太地区单方面拒绝给予或接受犹太离婚法案的消极社会行为,在现实中,根据宗教法不可能强迫拒绝给予或接受该法案,即棘手的agunah问题。该机制将主要建立在法律和经济学领域的一些理论基础上:可逆奖励、双重选择规则和模块化责任规则。主要论点将是,使用多部分垂直激励机制以最小的额外成本提高效率;它克服了“奖励罪人”的道德问题,给他一根胡萝卜,并以最优的方式结合了激活大棒和胡萝卜所带来的好处,同时——尽可能地——消除了它们各自的大部分缺点。从具体情况推断出一般情况是可能的。从这方面来看,本文有几点值得做的贡献。首先,我们要讨论的例子- -拒绝离婚- -是普遍的,在世界上任何有犹太人的地方都是相关的。其次,这篇文章对法律和社会科学文献中关于激励的主题做出了贡献,特别是大棒和胡萝卜。第三,该条将提出一个将社会制裁纳入法律机制的独特案例。第四,该条可能构成合伙关系可能解散的模式,不仅在家庭中,而且在决定处置不能分割的资产时解散商业伙伴关系,以及双边垄断,其中存在政府监管解决方案的空间,而不是来自私法的解决方案。第五,该条加强了法律与经济学和家庭法之间的联系,这种联系被认为比法律与经济学和其他法律部门之间的联系更不自然。
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引用次数: 1
Transparency Diminishes Framing-Effects in Voting on Redistribution: Some Experimental Evidence 透明度减少再分配投票中的框架效应:一些实验证据
Fabian Paetzel, J. Lorenz, M. Tepe
This study analyzes whether enabling people to get informed about redistributive consequences is an effective measure to prevent equivalence framing in the domain of voting on redistribution. Utilizing the redistribution mechanism of the Meltzer-Richard model, an equivalent frame is induced by letting subjects vote either on a proportional tax rate or an outcome equivalent minimum net income. In a series of laboratory experiments, we find that framing effects both on the individually preferred and collectively agreed level of redistribution are tremendously strong if the information tool is not available (low transparency condition). Once subjects have access to the information tool (high transparency condition), the framing effect on individually preferred tax rates is significantly reduced, and after group communication, the framing effect is washed out from the collective decision. High transparency increases redistribution if subjects have to set a redistributive tax rate and lowers redistribution if subjects have to set a minimal income. Thus, the availability of the information tool has an asymmetric effect on the level of redistribution.
本研究分析了让人们了解再分配的结果是否是防止再分配投票领域的对等框架的有效措施。利用Meltzer-Richard模型的再分配机制,通过让受试者对比例税率或结果等效的最低净收入进行投票来诱导等效框架。在一系列的实验室实验中,我们发现,如果信息工具不可用(低透明度条件),那么在个人偏好和集体同意的再分配水平上,框架效应都非常强。一旦被试获得了信息工具(高透明度条件),个体偏好税率的框架效应显著降低,群体沟通后,框架效应从集体决策中被淘汰。如果主体必须设定再分配税率,高透明度会增加再分配;如果主体必须设定最低收入,高透明度会降低再分配。因此,信息工具的可用性对再分配水平具有不对称的影响。
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引用次数: 25
Skewness, Tax Progression, and Demand for Redistribution: Evidence from the UK 偏度、税收累进和再分配需求:来自英国的证据
K. Pogorelskiy, Stefan Traub
We introduce a skewness-based approach to measure tax progression and demand for redistribution. Adapting a novel, quantile-based statistical measure of skewness to right-skewed income distributions, we uncover its political economy foundation, by simultaneously relating the same measure to the classical model of income redistribution due to Meltzer and Richard (1981), to the Prospect Of Upward Mobility (POUM) mechanism due to Benabou and Ok (2001), and to the progressivity of a tax schedule. In an empirical analysis of UK income distributions in 1979 { 2013, we find that skewness has increased over time, with the rich moving further away from the median. While the magnitude of the increase has remained small enough so that observed redistribution (or lack thereof ) could be consistent with POUM hypothesis, more recent periods show an increase in tax progression.
我们引入了一种基于偏度的方法来衡量税收进展和再分配需求。我们采用了一种新颖的、基于分位数的偏度统计方法,将其应用于右倾的收入分配,并将其与Meltzer和Richard(1981)提出的收入再分配经典模型、Benabou和Ok(2001)提出的向上流动前景(POUM)机制以及税收计划的累进性同时联系起来,从而揭示了其政治经济学基础。在对1979年至2013年英国收入分配的实证分析中,我们发现,随着时间的推移,贫富差距越来越大,富人离中位数越来越远。虽然增加的幅度仍然很小,因此观察到的再分配(或缺乏再分配)可以与POUM假设相一致,但最近的时期显示税收累进增加。
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引用次数: 2
Inelastic Supply of Fossil Energy and Competing Environmental Policies 化石能源的非弹性供给与竞争性环境政策
Sung-gyun Hong, Seung-Gyu Sim
The inelastic supply of fossil energy in the international input market precipitates failure of Pigouvian taxation consequent to competition among governments, as imposition of an environmental tax increases (decreases) the marginal cost of domestic (foreign) firms. This paper demonstrates that unless the supply of fossil energy is perfectly elastic, cap-and-trade outperforms Pigouvian taxation in terms of the domestic welfare of adopting countries, and global welfare is maximized when all countries implement the alternative scheme. We further demonstrate that the linkage of permit markets, when the energy supply is sufficiently inelastic, improves global welfare.
由于征收环境税增加(减少)了国内(外国)公司的边际成本,国际投入市场上化石能源的无弹性供应促使庇古税由于政府之间的竞争而失效。本文证明,除非化石能源的供应是完全弹性的,否则就采用国的国内福利而言,限额与交易制度优于庇古税收制度,并且当所有国家都实施替代方案时,全球福利最大化。我们进一步证明,当能源供应足够缺乏弹性时,许可证市场的联系可以改善全球福利。
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引用次数: 0
Trade in the Telecoupling Framework 远耦合框架下的贸易
Hang Xiong, J. Millington, Wei Xu
As a conceptual framework for understanding contemporary sustainability challenges, telecoupling emphasises the importance of socioeconomic and environmental interactions over long distances. These long-distance interactions can occur through multiple human activities. Here we focus on international trade, a major channel of telecoupling flows, and in particular on the international trade of metals. We present a conceptual model to show how trade can be viewed through the telecoupling framework. We then use world input-output tables to quantitatively examine how countries contribute to both economic and environmental flows through trade of metals, but also how that contribution varies depending on their position in the global value chain of contemporary international trade. This analysis is built on recently-developed techniques for decomposing gross exports of physical products and embedded environmental assets as well as previous methods for valuing environmental assets. We make comparisons between countries' contributions to flows of economic value vs embedded greenhouse gas emissions, but also examine contributions beyond total volumes of trade and bilateral trade. Specifically, we quantify the economic and environmental ‘spillover’ effects that occur in contemporary international trade due to the global value chain in which flows of intermediate goods form components in other subsequently traded goods. We interpret differences between countries' contributions to the flows of economic value versus embedded environmental assets as being related to the intensity and efficiency of resource use during production. In turn, differences in contributions to direct trade flows versus spillover flows are related to their positions in the global value chain. Subsequently, we discuss other elements of the telecoupling framework in trade – agents, causes and effects. Quantitatively incorporating these telecoupling framework elements alongside spillover flows will enable investigation of dynamics and relationships that traditional trade theories, data and models do not currently account for well.
作为理解当代可持续性挑战的概念框架,远耦合强调了远距离社会经济和环境相互作用的重要性。这些远距离的互动可以通过多种人类活动发生。在这里,我们重点讨论国际贸易,这是远耦合流动的一个主要渠道,特别是金属的国际贸易。我们提出了一个概念模型来展示如何通过远耦合框架来看待贸易。然后,我们使用世界投入产出表来定量研究各国如何通过金属贸易对经济和环境流动做出贡献,以及这种贡献如何根据其在当代国际贸易全球价值链中的位置而变化。这一分析是基于最近开发的分解实物产品和内含环境资产出口总额的技术,以及以前评估环境资产的方法。我们比较了各国对经济价值流动的贡献与隐含的温室气体排放,但也研究了贸易总量和双边贸易之外的贡献。具体而言,我们量化了当代国际贸易中由于全球价值链而产生的经济和环境“溢出”效应,在全球价值链中,中间产品的流动构成了其他随后交易商品的组成部分。我们将各国对经济价值流动的贡献与内在环境资产之间的差异解释为与生产过程中资源利用的强度和效率有关。反过来,对直接贸易流动和外溢流动的贡献差异与它们在全球价值链中的地位有关。随后,我们讨论了贸易中远耦合框架的其他要素——动因、原因和影响。定量地将这些远耦合框架要素与溢出流动结合起来,将有助于调查传统贸易理论、数据和模型目前无法很好地解释的动态和关系。
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引用次数: 2
Optimal Extraction and Taxation of Strategic Natural Resources: A Differential Game Approach 战略自然资源的最优开采和税收:一个微分博弈方法
M. Pemy
This paper studies the optimal extraction and taxation of nonrenewable natural resources. It is well known that the market values of the main strategic resources such as oil, natural gas, uranium, copper,..., etc, fluctuate randomly following global and seasonal macroeconomic parameters, these values are modeled using Markov switching L'evy processes. We formulate this problem as a differential game. The two players of this differential game are the mining company whose aim is to maximize the revenues generated from its extracting activities and the government agency in charge of regulating and taxing natural resources. We prove the existence of a Nash equilibrium. The corresponding Hamilton Jacobi Isaacs equations are completely solved and the value functions as well as the optimal extraction and taxation rates are derived in closed-form. A Numerical example is presented to illustrate our findings.
本文研究了不可再生自然资源的最优开采和赋税问题。众所周知,石油、天然气、铀、铜等主要战略资源的市场价值……等,随全球和季节性宏观经济参数随机波动,这些值使用马尔可夫切换L'evy过程建模。我们把这个问题表述为微分对策。这种差异博弈的两个参与者是以开采活动产生的收入最大化为目标的矿业公司和负责管理和征税自然资源的政府机构。我们证明了纳什均衡的存在性。完全求解了相应的Hamilton Jacobi Isaacs方程,并以封闭形式导出了价值函数以及最优采收率和税率。给出了一个数值例子来说明我们的发现。
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引用次数: 0
Greening the Vehicle Fleet: Evidence from Norway's CO2 Differentiated Registration Tax 绿色车队:来自挪威二氧化碳差别化登记税的证据
Shiyu Yan, G. Eskeland
Fiscal policies are used to improve vehicle fuel efficiency and reduce CO2 emissions in the transport sector. Years of forceful reform in Norway may be seen as informative. From 2007, Norway has linked its new vehicle registration tax to CO2 intensities, later adapting it into a feebate form. We exploit a detailed dataset of new vehicle registrations, using fixed effects and instrumental variables in our econometric analysis. We find that the CO2 differentiated registration tax contributes significantly to shifting purchases towards low-emitting cars. A 1000NOK tax increase (about 120USD) is associated with a reduction of 1.13% - 1.58% in vehicle registrations, and the responsiveness in car choice to fuel costs is of the same magnitude. The estimated effect of the tax explains the majority (79%) of the reduction in average CO2 intensity in the new car fleet 2006 through 2011. A point estimate of the elasticity of the CO2 intensity with respect to the CO2 price is minus 0.06, whereas the elasticity with respect to (resulting) car prices is about minus 0.5. An intuitive model with ‘all’ car types losing demand to low-emitting types applies fairly well: low-emitting segments gain in share and do not get CO2 leaner, while high-emitting segments lose in share and become CO2 leaner. Moves between nine segments and within those segments are equally important.
财政政策用于提高车辆燃油效率和减少交通部门的二氧化碳排放。挪威多年来强有力的改革可以被看作是有益的。从2007年起,挪威将其新的车辆登记税与二氧化碳排放强度挂钩,后来将其调整为一种减免形式。我们利用新车登记的详细数据集,在我们的计量经济分析中使用固定效应和工具变量。我们发现,二氧化碳差别化登记税对转向低排放汽车的购买有显著贡献。每增加1000挪威克朗的税收(约120美元),车辆登记率就会下降1.13% - 1.58%,而汽车选择对燃料成本的反应程度也相同。2006年至2011年间,新车平均二氧化碳排放强度降低的大部分原因(79%)是由于税收的估计效果。二氧化碳强度相对于二氧化碳价格的弹性的点估计为- 0.06,而相对于(由此产生的)汽车价格的弹性约为- 0.5。“所有”类型的汽车都将失去对低排放车型的需求,这一直观模型适用得相当好:低排放车型的市场份额会增加,但不会减少二氧化碳排放,而高排放车型的市场份额会减少,但会减少二氧化碳排放。九个部分之间以及这些部分内部的移动同样重要。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
ERN: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes & Subsidies (Topic)
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