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Unintended Detrimental Effects of Environmental Policy: The Green Paradox and Beyond 环境政策的意外有害影响:绿色悖论及超越
E. van der Werf, Corrado Di Maria
Well-intended policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions may have unintended undesirable consequences. Recently, a large amount of literature has emerged showing under what conditions this so-called ‘Green Paradox’ may occur. We review this literature and identify the key mechanisms behind these paradoxical policy outcomes and highlight avenues for future research.
旨在减少温室气体排放的善意政策可能会产生意想不到的不良后果。最近,大量的文献显示在什么条件下会出现所谓的“绿色悖论”。我们回顾了这些文献,确定了这些矛盾的政策结果背后的关键机制,并强调了未来研究的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Options for Returning the Value of CO2 Emissions Allowances to Households 向住户退还二氧化碳排放配额价值的方案
D. Burtraw, I. Parry
This paper examines alternative ways that the value of CO2 emissions allowances created under cap-and-trade policy could be returned to households. One approach (based on principles of economic efficiency) is effectively a “tax shift” that would use revenues from an auction of CO2 emissions allowances to reduce preexisting distortionary taxes. A second approach (based on principles of property rights for common-pool resources), known as cap-and-dividend, would refund allowance value as equal lump-sum cash transfers to households. Economic theory suggests (with some caveats) that a tax shift would be considerably less costly to the overall economy. In contrast, cap-and-dividend provides ample compensation for low-income households, though it appears to be more costly than other approaches, including perhaps well-designed regulatory policies. A dividend approach might be combined with other policies to provide incentives for households to invest in energy-efficient technologies and thereby lower the costs of the carbon policy.
本文探讨了在限额与交易政策下创造的二氧化碳排放配额价值可以返还给家庭的替代方法。一种方法(基于经济效率原则)实际上是一种“税收转移”,即利用二氧化碳排放配额拍卖所得的收入,减少先前存在的扭曲性税收。第二种方法(基于公共资源的产权原则),被称为限额-分红,将把津贴的价值以等额的一次性现金转移支付给家庭。经济理论表明(有一些警告),税收转移对整体经济的成本要低得多。相比之下,限额与分红为低收入家庭提供了充足的补偿,尽管它似乎比其他方法(包括可能设计良好的监管政策)成本更高。红利方法可以与其他政策相结合,为家庭投资节能技术提供激励,从而降低碳政策的成本。
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引用次数: 6
Can Export Tax be Genuine Climate Policy? An Analysis on China’s Export Tax and Export VAT Refund Rebate Policies 出口税是真正的气候政策吗?中国出口税与出口增值税退税政策分析
Xin Wang, Jifeng Li, Yaxiong Zhang
Export VAT refund rebate and export tax (EVRRET) measures have been adopted on energy intensive products in recent years in China. They are proclaimed to be climate policy, yet there is no explicit and unique carbon cost set on export - the implicit export carbon tax rates vary dramatically across sectors and over different periods. This paper provides a method of introducing an explicit and unique carbon cost into the current EVRRET. By setting a comparable carbon cost (2'9/tCO2 and 3'9/tCO2) for eight major energy-intensive sectors to which the EVRRET are massively applied, it derives the corresponding ad valorem average rate for each sector. This paper finds that the introduction of a carbon cost into export VAT refund rebate policy would not increase the current export VAT refund rebate rate (except for the chemical sector), but would simply define a ceiling, while the same introduction into the export tax policy would lead to an overall increase in sectoral export tax rates. This paper concludes by examining competitiveness and WTO concerns, suggesting that the better option for introducing a carbon cost into Chinese exports would be through reforming export VAT refund rebate policy.
近年来,中国对能源密集型产品采取了出口退税和出口税措施。它们被宣称为气候政策,但没有明确和独特的出口碳成本——不同行业和不同时期的隐性出口碳税率差异很大。本文提出了一种将明确且独特的碳成本引入当前EVRRET的方法。通过为大规模应用EVRRET的八个主要能源密集型部门设定可比较的碳成本(2′9/吨二氧化碳和3′9/吨二氧化碳),它得出了每个部门相应的从价平均费率。本文发现,在出口增值税退税政策中引入碳成本不会提高目前的出口增值税退税退税率(化工行业除外),而只是简单地定义了一个上限,而在出口税收政策中引入碳成本将导致行业出口税率的整体提高。最后,本文考察了中国的竞争力和世贸组织的担忧,建议通过改革出口增值税退税政策,将碳成本引入中国出口产品中。
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引用次数: 12
Can Biofuels be a Solution to Climate Change? The Implications of Land Use Change Related Emissions for Policy 生物燃料能解决气候变化问题吗?土地利用变化相关排放对政策的影响
M. Khanna, Christine Crago, Mairi J. Black
Biofuels have gained increasing attention as an alternative to fossil fuels for several reasons, one of which is their potential to reduce the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the transportation sector. Recent studies have questioned the validity of claims about the potential for biofuels to reduce GHG emissions relative to the liquid fossil fuels they are replacing when emissions due to direct and indirect land use changes (ILUCs) that accompany biofuels are included in the life-cycle GHG intensity of biofuels. Studies estimate that the GHG emissions released from ILUC could more than offset the direct GHG savings by producing biofuels and replacing liquid fossil fuels and create a “carbon debt” with a long payback period. The estimates of this payback period, however, vary widely across biofuels from different feedstocks and even for a single biofuel across different modeling assumptions. In the case of corn ethanol, this payback period is found to range from 15 to 200 years. We discuss the challenges in estimating the ILUC effect of a biofuel and differences across biofuels, and its sensitivity to the assumptions and policy scenarios considered by different economic models. We also discuss the implications of ILUC for designing policies that promote biofuels and seek to reduce GHG emissions. In a first best setting, a global carbon tax is needed to set both direct and indirect land use change emissions to their optimal levels. However, it is unclear whether unilateral GHG mitigation policies, even if they penalize the ILUC related emissions, would increase social welfare and lead to optimal emission levels. In the absence of a global carbon tax, incentivizing sustainable land use practices through certification standards, government regulations and market-based pressures may be a viable option for reducing ILUC.
生物燃料作为化石燃料的替代品受到越来越多的关注,原因有几个,其中一个是它们有可能减少交通部门的温室气体排放。最近的研究对生物燃料相对于其所取代的液体化石燃料减少温室气体排放的潜力的说法的有效性提出了质疑,因为伴随生物燃料的直接和间接土地利用变化(ILUCs)造成的排放包括在生物燃料的生命周期温室气体强度中。研究估计,通过生产生物燃料和替代液态化石燃料,ILUC释放的温室气体排放可以抵消直接减少的温室气体排放,并产生长期的“碳债务”。然而,对这一投资回收期的估计在不同原料的生物燃料之间差异很大,甚至对单一生物燃料在不同的建模假设之间也存在差异。在玉米乙醇的情况下,发现这个投资回收期从15年到200年不等。我们讨论了评估生物燃料的ILUC效应所面临的挑战,生物燃料之间的差异,以及它对不同经济模型所考虑的假设和政策情景的敏感性。我们还讨论了ILUC对制定促进生物燃料和寻求减少温室气体排放的政策的影响。在第一种最佳情况下,需要征收全球碳税,以将直接和间接的土地利用变化排放设定在最佳水平。然而,目前尚不清楚的是,单方面的温室气体减缓政策,即使它们惩罚与国际劳工组织有关的排放,是否会增加社会福利并导致最佳排放水平。在缺乏全球碳税的情况下,通过认证标准、政府法规和市场压力来激励可持续土地使用实践,可能是减少ILUC的可行选择。
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引用次数: 1
Using ‘Cap and Trade’ to Contain Systemic Financial Risk 利用“总量控制与交易”控制系统性金融风险
A. Milne
Systemic risk depends upon aggregate exposure for the entire financial sector, as well as the pattern of exposures between firms. There is a parallel with global warming, where the rise in the Earth’s temperature depends upon the aggregate volume of CO2 and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. This suggests that ‘cap and trade,’ issuing licenses that limit aggregate financial sector ratios but allowing firms to trade licenses with each other so that their individual contributions can vary, is a useful approach to containing systemic financial risk. In particular it avoids potentially costly direct control of individual firm liabilities. Cap and trade does not appear difficult to implement for controlling aggregate maturity mismatch, and unlike many other regulations can be introduced on a jurisdiction by jurisdiction basis, without being undermined by cross-border arbitrage or by the movement of risk into the unregulated sector. The main requirement is a comprehensive liability register, which will in any case be very useful to regulators both for risk monitoring and for resolution of failed institutions. Industry will object that this requires a major change in their business models, but this could reduce financial market volatility and hence provide further benefits to investors.
系统性风险取决于整个金融部门的总风险敞口,以及公司之间的风险敞口模式。这与全球变暖有相似之处,地球温度的上升取决于大气中二氧化碳和其他温室气体的总量。这表明,“总量管制与交易”(cap and trade)是遏制系统性金融风险的一种有用方法,即发放限制金融部门总体比率的许可证,但允许公司之间进行许可证交易,这样它们的个人贡献就可以有所不同。特别是,它避免了对个别公司负债的潜在的代价高昂的直接控制。在控制总期限错配方面,“总量管制与交易”似乎并不难实施,而且与许多其他监管不同,它可以在各个司法管辖区的基础上引入,而不会因跨境套利或风险转移到不受监管的部门而受到损害。主要要求是一份全面的责任登记册,无论如何,这对监管机构在风险监控和破产机构处置方面都非常有用。业界会反对说,这需要他们对商业模式进行重大改变,但这可以减少金融市场的波动,从而为投资者带来进一步的好处。
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引用次数: 2
Taxes Versus Cap-and-Trade in Climate Policy When Only Some Fuel Importers Abate 当只有部分燃料进口商减少时,税收与限额与交易的气候政策
J. Strand
I study climate policy choices for a “policy bloc” of fuel-importers, when a “fringe” of other fuel importers have no climate policy, fuel exporters consume no fossil fuels, and importers produce no such fuels. The policy bloc and exporter blocs act strategically in fossil fuel markets. When the policy bloc sets a carbon tax, the fuel import price set by the exporter is reduced, and more so when the policy bloc is larger. The carbon tax then serves to extract the exporter’s rent. The fringe also gains from reduced fuel import prices, and gains more when the policy bloc is larger. When the policy bloc sets an emissions cap, fuel demand becomes less price elastic. In response, a monopolistic exporter sets the fuel export price higher than under a tax, which hurts both the policy bloc and the fringe. This effect can be stronger when the policy bloc is larger, so that the fringe loses when the policy bloc is larger, opposite to the tax policy case. Overall, a cap is inferior to a tax for fossil fuel importers, both those that implement a climate policy, and those that do not.
我研究了燃料进口国“政策集团”的气候政策选择,当其他燃料进口国的“边缘”没有气候政策时,燃料出口国不消费化石燃料,进口国不生产此类燃料。政策集团和出口集团在化石燃料市场上采取战略行动。当政策集团设定碳税时,出口国设定的燃料进口价格就会降低,而当政策集团规模更大时,这种降低幅度就会更大。然后,碳税用来榨取出口商的租金。边缘国家还能从燃料进口价格下降中获益,当政策集团规模更大时,收益会更大。当政策集团设定排放上限时,燃料需求的价格弹性就会减弱。作为回应,一家垄断出口商将燃料出口价格定得高于征税后的价格,这既伤害了政策集团,也伤害了边缘国家。当政策集团规模更大时,这种效应会更强,因此,当政策集团规模更大时,边缘群体就会损失,这与税收政策的情况相反。总的来说,对化石燃料进口国来说,无论是那些实施气候政策的,还是那些没有实施气候政策的,上限都不如征税。
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引用次数: 8
Why Does Environmental Policy in Representative Democracies Tend to Be Inadequate? A Preliminary Public Choice Analysis 为什么代议制民主国家的环境政策往往不足?初步的公共选择分析
Andrea Kollmann, F. Schneider
There is a widespread consensus among the most important players in developed countries (voters, politicians, producers, traditional and green interest groups and bureaucracies) that a shift towards an eco-social market economy is essential for sustainable growth. Nevertheless, market-based instruments have not been implemented satisfactorily in environmental policy yet. To identify the reasons for this insufficient implementation in the past decade the Public Choice theory is used. The players’ behavior is analyzed in order to show that their incentives for implementing market-based instruments in environmental policy instead of command-and-control measures are surprisingly weak. Knowing the obstacles to implementing market-based instruments provides valuable insights into how to overcome them.
发达国家最重要的参与者(选民、政治家、生产者、传统和绿色利益集团以及官僚机构)普遍认为,向生态社会市场经济的转变对可持续增长至关重要。然而,以市场为基础的工具在环境政策方面尚未得到令人满意的执行。为了找出在过去十年中执行不力的原因,使用了公共选择理论。通过分析参与者的行为,我们发现他们在环境政策中实施基于市场的工具而不是命令和控制措施的动机非常弱。了解实施以市场为基础的工具的障碍,可以为如何克服这些障碍提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 37
Interjurisdictional Spillovers, Decentralized Policymaking and the Elasticity of Capital Supply 区际溢出、分权决策与资本供给弹性
T. Eichner, M. Runkel
This paper points to the important role which the elasticity of aggregate capital supply with respect to the net rate of return to capital plays for the efficiency of policymaking in a decentralized economy with mobile capital and spillovers among jurisdictions. In accordance with previous studies, we show that under the assumption of a fixed capital supply (zero capital supply elasticity) the decentralized policy choice is optimal. If the capital supply elasticity is strictly positive, however, capital tax rates are inefficiently low in the decentralized equilibrium.
本文指出了总资本供给相对于净资本回报率的弹性在具有流动资本和司法管辖区之间溢出的分散经济中的决策效率中所起的重要作用。根据以往的研究,我们证明了在固定资本供给(零资本供给弹性)的假设下,分散的政策选择是最优的。然而,如果资本供给弹性严格为正,那么在分散均衡中,资本税率是无效的低。
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引用次数: 68
Mapping the Characteristics of Producer Subsidies: A Review of Pilot Country Studies 生产者补贴特征制图:试点国家研究综述
D. Koplow, A. Jung, Lucky Lonton, Cynthia Lin, C. Charles
This paper is published as part of the series Untold Billions: Fossil-fuel subsidies, their impacts and the path to reform. Prepared by the Global Subsidies Initiative (GSI) in conjunction with Earth Track, this study helps increase the body of knowledge about the data sources that hold information on subsidies to fossil-fuel producers, by reviewing available data in a series of countries, diverse in terms of their level of data transparency, governance systems, energy markets and stages of economic development. Using a detailed matrix setting out the main subsidy policies, the type of fuel, and their main data sources, pilot studies have been completed for China, Germany, Indonesia and the United States. The project team for each country evaluated commonly referenced data sources, such as databases collected by international bodies, and summarized how each source gathers information, including an assessment of their strengths and limitations. The study found that fossil-fuel producers are supported by a multitude of policies, ranging from direct payments to preferential access to government-owned lands. While direct payments were relatively easy to identify in government budget reporting, data was not always provided at a sufficient level of disaggregation to allow proper attribution to beneficiaries. Pilot studies also found that information on these support measures was held by a variety of government ministries and non-governmental organizations. The pilot studies provide a road map and starting point for more in-depth country case studies needed to fully quantify the extent of fossil-fuel subsidies in each country, as in some areas, the financial value of producer subsidy programs can only be estimated more precisely by developing more investigative methods and conducting country-specific studies. The GSI has commissioned two such studies into producer subsidies in Indonesia and Canada, which will become available during the second half of 2010.
本文是《不为人知的数十亿:化石燃料补贴、其影响和改革之路》系列文章的一部分。该研究由全球补贴倡议组织(GSI)与地球轨道(Earth Track)联合编写,通过审查一系列国家的现有数据,有助于增加对持有化石燃料生产商补贴信息的数据源的了解,这些国家在数据透明度、治理体系、能源市场和经济发展阶段方面存在差异。利用列出主要补贴政策、燃料类型及其主要数据来源的详细矩阵,已经为中国、德国、印度尼西亚和美国完成了试点研究。每个国家的项目小组评价了常用的数据源,例如国际机构收集的数据库,并总结了每个数据源如何收集信息,包括评估其优势和局限性。研究发现,化石燃料生产商得到了众多政策的支持,从直接支付到优先获得政府拥有的土地。虽然直接付款在政府预算报告中比较容易查明,但提供的数据并不总是足够的分类,以便适当地归属于受益人。试点研究还发现,关于这些支助措施的资料是由各政府部门和非政府组织掌握的。试点研究为更深入的国家案例研究提供了路线图和起点,这些研究需要充分量化每个国家的化石燃料补贴程度,因为在某些领域,生产者补贴计划的财务价值只能通过制定更多的调查方法和开展针对具体国家的研究来更准确地估计。GSI已委托对印度尼西亚和加拿大的生产者补贴进行了两项此类研究,研究结果将于2010年下半年公布。
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引用次数: 17
Atmospheric Externalities and Environmental Taxation 大气外部性与环境税收
A. Sandmo
The paper reviews the theory of environmental taxation under first best and second best conditions. It argues that negative environmental externalities lead to reductions of the provision of public goods, while investment in abatement increases the supply of public goods. Together with optimal tax rules, the paper therefore also derives conditions for the optimal use of resources on abatement. After brief discussions of the dimensions of time and uncertainty, tax reform and the double dividend, and taxes versus quotas, the optimal tax model is applied to the problem of global warming with a discussion of the particular incentive problems that arise in designing and implementing global climate policy.
本文回顾了第一最佳和第二最佳条件下的环境税收理论。它认为,负面的环境外部性导致公共产品供应的减少,而减排投资则增加了公共产品的供应。与最优税收规则一起,本文还推导出了减排条件下资源最优利用的条件。在简要讨论了时间和不确定性、税收改革和双重红利以及税收与配额的维度之后,将最优税收模型应用于全球变暖问题,并讨论了在设计和实施全球气候政策时出现的特殊激励问题。
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引用次数: 20
期刊
ERN: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes & Subsidies (Topic)
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