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Competitive Response to Unbundled Services: An Empirical Look at Spirit Airlines 非捆绑服务的竞争性反应:以精神航空公司为例
Pub Date : 2021-08-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3193708
Lei He, Myongjin Kim, Qihong Liu
In 2010 Spirit airlines announced that it would start charging passengers for carry-on baggage. Using a generalized diff-in-diff estimation, we examine the impact of Spirit’s policy change on its rivals’ prices. Our results show that Spirit’s rivals reduce their prices by about 5% after Spirit’s baggage fee policy. Looking further on the price distribution, we find that the policy impact is larger for prices at the 50-percentile, relative to prices at the 80-percentile and 20percentile. Next, we take into account the outsourcing status of Spirit’s rivals, i.e., whether they operate their own flights or outsource to regional airlines. Our results show that in response to Spirit’s carry-on baggage fee policy, relative to carriers which do not outsource, carriers who outsource reduce their ticket prices significantly more. Due to the common nature of the outsourcing contracts between major and regional carriers, our results suggest that major carriers, facing Spirit’s policy change, shift much of the burden of price reduction to the regional carriers they contract with.
2010年,精神航空公司(Spirit airlines)宣布将开始对乘客的随身行李收费。利用路径级别特征向量,构建了一个匹配组,该组由与Spirit服务的路径最匹配的路径组成(处理组)。然后,我们使用经过处理和匹配的组进行差异中差异估计,并检查精灵航空的行李费政策对其竞争对手机票价格的影响。我们的研究结果显示,在精灵航空收取随身行李费后,其竞争对手的机票价格降低了5.8%左右。我们还研究了不同类型竞争对手的潜在异质反应。低成本航空公司和传统航空公司对精灵航空政策变化的反应没有显著差异。然而,相对于非分包运营商,那些将业务分包给区域运营商的运营商,其价格进一步降低了10%以上,包括平均价格(线性或对数)和价格分布的其他各个点。我们还开发了一个程式化的理论模型,以帮助更好地理解我们的实证研究结果。
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引用次数: 1
A Model of Product Line Marketing 产品线营销模式
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3631879
Chuan He, Shaowei Ke, Xingtan Zhang
Firms offer a variety of products to meet different customer needs. In many horizontally differentiated markets, prices are stable, and firms make infrequent adjustments to their product lines. Although prior research focused on product line design, we investigate how firms should allocate their marketing effort when their product lines are fixed. We propose a simple model to analyze product line marketing. Our model exhibits a flagship product effect in which the firm’s optimal marketing effort is concentrated, provided that the ratio between consumer tastes dispersion and the convexity of the cost of marketing effort is below a threshold. The flagship product is selected according to a marketing effort allocation index that measures the trade-off between a product’s markup and its potential market share. This result is robust with or without competition and whether prices are exogenous or endogenous. Firms often experience shocks to their marketing cost because of technological improvement or externalities. If a monopolist’s cost of marketing effort declines, she should place more emphasis on a low-utility, high-markup product. Conversely, if the cost increases, the monopolist may find it beneficial to focus her marketing effort on a high-utility, low-markup product. When multiproduct firms compete against each other, we show that if the opponent’s cost of marketing effort decreases, there can be a spillover effect, in which the firm benefits from the opponent’s cost reduction, thereby leading to a win-win situation. This paper was accepted by Dmitri Kuksov, marketing.
公司提供各种各样的产品以满足不同客户的需要。在许多水平分化的市场中,价格是稳定的,公司很少对产品线进行调整。虽然先前的研究集中在产品线设计上,但我们研究了当产品线固定时,企业应该如何分配他们的营销努力。我们提出了一个简单的模型来分析产品线营销。我们的模型展示了一个旗舰产品效应,在这个效应中,公司的最优营销努力是集中的,前提是消费者口味分散和营销努力成本的凹凸度之间的比率低于一个阈值。旗舰产品是根据营销努力分配指数选择的,该指数衡量产品的价格和潜在市场份额之间的权衡。无论有没有竞争,无论价格是外生的还是内生的,这个结果都是稳健的。由于技术改进或外部性,企业的营销成本经常受到冲击。如果垄断者的营销成本下降,他就应该把重点放在低效用、高利润率的产品上。相反,如果成本增加,垄断者可能会发现将营销精力集中在高效用、低利润率的产品上是有益的。当多产品企业相互竞争时,如果对手的营销努力成本降低,就会产生溢出效应,即企业从对手的成本降低中获益,从而导致双赢局面。这篇论文被市场部的Dmitri Kuksov接受。
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引用次数: 2
Do Pay-as-Bid Auctions Favor Collusion? Evidence from Germany's Market for Reserve Power 按出价付费拍卖有利于串通吗?来自德国储备电力市场的证据
Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2278873
Sven Heim, G. Götz
We analyze a drastic price increase in the German auction market for reserve power, which did not appear to be driven by increased costs. Studying the market structure and individual bidding strategies, we find evidence for collusive behavior in an environment with repeated auctions, pivotal suppliers and inelastic demand. The price increase can be traced back to an abuse of the auction’s pay-as-bid mechanism by the two largest firms. In contrast to theoretical findings, we show that pay-as-bid auctions do not necessarily reduce incentives for strategic capacity withholding and collusive behavior, but can even increase them.
我们分析了德国储备电力拍卖市场价格的急剧上涨,这似乎不是由成本增加所驱动的。通过对市场结构和个体竞价策略的研究,我们发现了在重复拍卖、关键供应商和非弹性需求环境下存在串谋行为的证据。价格的上涨可以追溯到两家最大的公司滥用拍卖的按出价付费机制。与理论研究结果相反,我们发现按出价付费拍卖并不一定会减少对战略能力隐瞒和串通行为的激励,甚至会增加它们。
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引用次数: 25
Nonparametric Identification and Estimation of Score Auctions in Multi-Attribute Procurement 多属性采购中分数拍卖的非参数识别与估计
Pub Date : 2021-07-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2352567
Bernardo F. Quiroga, Felipe Aldunate
Abstract Score auctions are used in procurement to incorporate other attributes beyond price. We establish nonparametric econometric identification of bidders' pseudotypes (a measure of bidder's private cost), when bids are evaluated using a preannounced quasi-linear score, calculated on the basis of the submitted levels of the attributes. Hence, we extend the standard nonparametric method for independent private costs sealed-bid, first price auctions, to multi-attribute quasi-linear score auctions. We illustrate the result with an application to scoring bid data.
分数拍卖在采购中被用来结合价格以外的其他属性。我们建立了投标人伪类型的非参数计量经济识别(衡量投标人的私人成本),当投标使用预先宣布的准线性评分进行评估时,根据提交的属性水平计算。因此,我们将独立私人成本的标准非参数方法推广到多属性拟线性分数拍卖。我们通过对投标数据评分的应用来说明结果。
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引用次数: 2
Diversification and Information in Contests 竞赛中的多样化和信息化
Pub Date : 2021-07-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3373326
Jorge Lemus, Emil Temnyalov
We study contests with technological uncertainty, where contestants can invest in different technologies of uncertain value. The principal, who is also uncertain about the value of the technologies, can disclose an informative yet noisy public signal about the merit of each technology. The signal can focus contestants’ investments into more promising technologies or increase diversification. We characterize the principal’s optimal disclosure of information about the technologies, which depends on the value of diversification, the informativeness of available signals, and the ex-ante beliefs of the likelihood of success for each technology. We also find that under some conditions offering larger prizes or having more contestants decreases the extent of information disclosure.
我们研究了具有技术不确定性的竞赛,参赛者可以投资不同的价值不确定的技术。委托人也不确定这些技术的价值,他可以披露关于每种技术优点的信息丰富但嘈杂的公共信号。这个信号可以让参赛者将投资集中在更有前途的技术上,或者增加投资的多样化。我们描述了委托人对技术信息的最优披露,这取决于多样化的价值、可用信号的信息量和对每种技术成功可能性的事前信念。我们还发现,在某些条件下,提供更大的奖品或更多的参赛者会降低信息披露的程度。
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引用次数: 3
Revisiting Constant Market Share Analysis, An Application to NAFTA (Abridged Version) 重新审视恒定市场份额分析,在北美自由贸易协定中的应用(节选版)
Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3916981
H. Escaith
Devising well-behaved constant market share decomposition indices has been the pursuit of many researchers since the 1950s. This article proposes a new formulation of constant market share (CMS) trade analysis inspired by the statistical principles supporting revealed comparative advantages (RCA). This novel approach is methodologically consistent and rooted in information theory. It avoids also the discrete-form residuals that plague traditional CMS analysis, while remaining simple to compute. It is shown that both CMSD and RCA can be paired together in order to shed light on the dynamics of competitiveness and comparative advantages in international trade. This abridged version corresponds to the methodological sections of the publication “Revisiting constant market share analysis, an application to NAFTA” published by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. In the original version, the new “comparative market share analysis” decomposition (CMSD) is applied to the changes in the structure and origin of United States imports after the implementation of NAFTA.
自20世纪50年代以来,设计出性能良好的恒定市场份额分解指数一直是许多研究人员的追求。本文在支持显性比较优势(RCA)的统计原理的启发下,提出了一种新的恒市场份额贸易分析公式。这种新颖的方法在方法论上是一致的,并且植根于信息论。它还避免了困扰传统CMS分析的离散形式残差,同时保持计算简单。研究表明,CMSD和RCA可以结合在一起,以揭示国际贸易中竞争力和比较优势的动态。这一节略版本与拉丁美洲和加勒比经济委员会出版的出版物“重新审视恒定市场份额分析,适用于北美自由贸易协定”的方法部分相对应。在原版本中,新的“比较市场份额分析”分解(CMSD)适用于北美自由贸易协定实施后美国进口产品结构和原产地的变化。
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引用次数: 1
Consumer Loyalty Programs and Retail Prices: Evidence from Gasoline Markets 消费者忠诚度计划和零售价格:来自汽油市场的证据
Pub Date : 2021-05-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3852324
Federico M. Rossi, Pradeep K. Chintagunta
We study the pricing strategy of retailers that promote their sales with a loyalty program.
我们研究了通过忠诚计划促进销售的零售商的定价策略。
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引用次数: 0
CCP Auction Design CCP拍卖设计
Pub Date : 2021-03-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3804190
Wenqian Huang, Haoxiang Zhu
Central counterparties (CCPs) are systemically important. When a clearing member defaults, the CCP sells the defaulted portfolio to surviving members in an auction, and losses, if any, are partly absorbed by a cash pool prefunded by the surviving members. We propose a tractable auction model that incorporates this salient feature. We find that ``juniorization'' -- the CCP first uses prefunded cash of members who submit bad bids -- increases the auction price. Aggressive juniorization can push the auction price above the fair value and almost eliminate the need to use prefunded resources. Nonetheless, juniorization generates heterogeneous impact on members of different sizes.
中央对手方(ccp)具有系统重要性。当清算成员违约时,CCP通过拍卖将违约的投资组合出售给幸存的成员,如果有损失,则部分由幸存成员预先建立的现金池吸收。我们提出了一个包含这一显著特征的易于处理的拍卖模型。我们发现“年轻化”——CCP首先使用提交错误出价的成员的预付现金——提高了拍卖价格。激进的年轻化可以将拍卖价格推高至公允价值之上,几乎无需使用预先融资的资源。尽管如此,年轻化对不同规模的成员产生了不同的影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Value of Supply Chain Disruption Duration Information 供应链中断持续时间信息的价值
Pub Date : 2021-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/POMS.13415
Mili Mehrotra, W. Schmidt
Companies that experience a disruption in their supply chain often face a difficult decision -- either accept the information that they have regarding the duration of the disruption, or invest in collecting better information. This choice is not clear since better information may not be attainable, and if it is attainable, it may not improve operational decision-making. In light of this dilemma, we collaborate with a multinational division of a Fortune 500 manufacturing firm to develop stochastic linear programming models that quantify the value of disruption duration information. Our models allow us to examine characteristics of the disrupted part that may be associated with the value of better information. We focus on characteristics that are knowable at the outset of the disruption, as those can help the firm decide whether to invest in collecting better information. Using our research partner's supply chain and production data, we find that the value of information can vary materially - from less than 1% to over 99% of the cost of the disruption, underscoring the value of identifying disruptions that are sensitive to information quality. To address this, we use the company's data to identify several part-related characteristics that influence the value of disruption duration information. These findings can help managers to identify parts in their own supply chains whose impact in a disruption is sensitive to different levels of duration information, and allow them to make informed decisions on whether or not to gather better information when a disruption strikes.
遇到供应链中断的公司经常面临一个艰难的决定——要么接受他们所掌握的关于中断持续时间的信息,要么投资收集更好的信息。这种选择并不明确,因为可能无法获得更好的信息,即使可以获得,也可能无法改善业务决策。鉴于这种困境,我们与一家财富500强制造公司的跨国部门合作,开发随机线性规划模型,量化中断持续时间信息的价值。我们的模型使我们能够检查可能与更好的信息价值相关的被破坏部分的特征。我们关注的是在混乱开始时就知道的特征,因为这些特征可以帮助公司决定是否投资收集更好的信息。利用我们的研究合作伙伴的供应链和生产数据,我们发现信息的价值可能有很大差异——从不足中断成本的1%到超过99%,强调了识别对信息质量敏感的中断的价值。为了解决这个问题,我们使用公司的数据来识别影响中断持续时间信息价值的几个与部件相关的特征。这些发现可以帮助管理者识别自己供应链中对中断的影响对不同持续时间信息敏感的部分,并允许他们在中断发生时做出是否收集更好信息的明智决定。
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引用次数: 11
Power, Privacy and Personalization in Digital Commerce 数字商务中的权力、隐私和个性化
Pub Date : 2021-02-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3780726
Nirvikar Singh, Rajiv Sunkara, Simon Yencken
This paper reviews emerging issues with respect to market power and user privacy in digital commerce, and implications for the use of personalization by providers of products and services. It argues that advances in various forms of AI, machine learning, and related software tools allow for the effective use of digitally-generated behavioral data, both live and historical, as well as addressing concerns about market power and digital privacy. The contribution of this paper is to integrate the treatment of personalization based on behavioral data with concerns about privacy and market power in digital networks, to illustrate effective solutions to these problems, and bring out the managerial implications of this approach.
本文回顾了数字商务中市场力量和用户隐私方面的新问题,以及产品和服务提供商使用个性化的影响。报告认为,各种形式的人工智能、机器学习和相关软件工具的进步,允许有效利用数字生成的行为数据,包括实时和历史数据,以及解决对市场力量和数字隐私的担忧。本文的贡献在于将基于行为数据的个性化处理与数字网络中对隐私和市场力量的关注相结合,阐述了这些问题的有效解决方案,并提出了这种方法的管理意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Microeconomics: Production
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