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The Economic Model of the Fixed Exchange Rate in Bolivia: Towards Price Stability and Economic Instability 玻利维亚固定汇率的经济模式:实现价格稳定和经济不稳定
Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20240901.12
Cesar Daniel Vargas Diaz, Hernan Delgadillo Dorado, Eloy Wilson Villca Copali
The objective of this article is to demonstrate and analyze whether the fixed exchange rate is a variable that benefits or harms the Bolivian economy in the short term, medium term and long term. Because it is a fundamental economic variable, mainly to keep prices stable, that is, low and controlled inflation in national prices, this fixed exchange rate has been frozen since 2011. In addition, it regulates or affects foreign trade, i.e., imports and exports, which have been dragging a deficit in the trade balance, which favors imports and smuggling to the detriment of national production and a growing informal labor market. The Bolivian economy is especially dependent on exports without specialization and added value, such as natural gas, minerals, mainly gold, legally and illegally, among others. In addition, the significant deterioration of macroeconomic variables, as reflected in historical data, such as the collapse of savings due to the gradual fall in net international reserves since 2014, leaving the vaults of the Central Bank of Bolivia with scarce reserves in gold and foreign currency, as well as the significant increase in internal and external public debt, Both of them have reached the Gross Domestic Product, at the same time, the increase in public spending in the public sector and public administration in general and the addition of public strategic companies, the latter seeking to replace imports of the productive apparatus, generating a more robust state apparatus and with levels of fiscal deficit recorded in the last ten years and taking into account the progressive subsidies for imports of fuels such as gasoline and diesel in the face of the growing demand for these fuels legally due to the growing vehicle fleet and illegally due to drug trafficking, generating a deficit in the balance of trade. Finally, the levels of corruption and country risk reflected in recent months by specialized institutions in 2023 show a deterioration of the Bolivian economy. Thus, this research will demonstrate the effects of the economic, social, community and productive model with a fixed exchange rate on the Bolivian economy and the effects on macroeconomic variables.
本文旨在论证和分析固定汇率这一变量在短期、中期和长期对玻利维亚经济是有利还是有害。由于固定汇率是一个基本的经济变量,主要是为了保持物价稳定,即控制国家物价的低通胀,因此自2011年以来,固定汇率一直被冻结。此外,固定汇率还调节或影响着外贸,即进口和出口,这一直拖累着贸易逆差,有利于进口和走私,不利于国民生产和日益增长的非正规劳动力市场。玻利维亚经济尤其依赖于没有专业化和附加值的出口,如天然气、矿产(主要是黄金)、合法和非法出口等。此外,正如历史数据所反映的那样,宏观经济变量严重恶化,例如,自 2014 年以来,国际储备净额逐步下降导致储蓄崩溃,使玻利维亚中央银行的金库中黄金和外汇储备匮乏,以及内部和外部公共债务大幅增加、公共部门和公共行政部门的公共开支增加,公共战略公司增加,后者试图取代进口的生产设备,产生了一个更强大的国家机器,财政赤字水平在过去十年中记录在案,并考虑到汽油和柴油等燃料进口的逐步补贴,面对这些燃料的需求不断增长,合法的原因是车队不断扩大,非法的原因是贩毒,产生了贸易逆差。最后,专门机构近几个月反映的 2023 年腐败程度和国家风险表明,玻利维亚经济正在恶化。因此,本研究将展示固定汇率的经济、社会、社区和生产模式对玻利维亚经济的影响以及对宏观经济变量的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring Value Creation and Appropriation in the Brazilian Power Distribution Industry 衡量巴西配电行业的价值创造与分配
Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20240901.13
G. Susteras
Value creation and appropriation is a common study topic in the context of creating superior value in relation to competitors but is seldom applied in the context of regulated markets. Regulators must create a truly sustainable market environment by promoting a balanced value appropriation among all stakeholders. The objective of this research is to introduce the application of the VCA (Value Creation and Appropriation) method for measuring value creation and appropriation by stakeholders in regulated markets, with the illustrative case of the Brazilian power distribution market. By applying this methodology, we could test 3 specific hypotheses and found that (1) in most scenarios there is no significant difference in the creation and appropriation of value between state-owned and privately-owned companies, (2) despite complains presented by Distribution Companies, there are no indication that the value created and appropriated by stakeholders decreased over time, and (3) the regulatory intervention introduced by the Brazilian government in 2012, to try to force energy price reductions, unequivocally affected the dynamics of total value creation and value appropriation. This paper contributes to both scholars and practitioners and the proposed methodology can serve as a powerful benchmarking tool, especially as a means for policymakers to assess the maturity level of their local market regulation.
价值创造和分配是一个常见的研究课题,涉及创造相对于竞争对手的卓越价值,但很少应用于受监管的市场。监管者必须通过促进所有利益相关者之间的均衡价值分配,创造真正可持续的市场环境。本研究的目的是介绍 VCA(价值创造与分配)方法的应用,以巴西配电市场为例,衡量受监管市场中利益相关者的价值创造与分配情况。通过应用该方法,我们可以检验 3 个具体假设,并发现:(1) 在大多数情况下,国有企业和私有企业在价值创造和占有方面没有显著差异;(2) 尽管配电公司提出了抱怨,但没有迹象表明利益相关者创造和占有的价值随着时间的推移而减少;(3) 巴西政府在 2012 年引入监管干预措施,试图强制降低能源价格,这明确影响了总价值创造和价值占有的动态。本文对学者和从业人员都有帮助,所提出的方法可作为有力的基准工具,特别是作为政策制定者评估当地市场监管成熟度的一种手段。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Impact of Brick Manufacturing Process in Rajshahi Region, Bangladesh 孟加拉国拉杰沙希地区制砖工艺对环境的影响
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.11648/ijeee.20240901.11
Mafruha Binte Shamim, Md. Ashraful Islam, Mst. Abeda Sultana
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Impact of Brick Manufacturing Process in Rajshahi Region, Bangladesh 孟加拉国拉杰沙希地区制砖工艺对环境的影响
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.11648/ijeee.20240901.11
Mafruha Binte Shamim, Md. Ashraful Islam, Mst. Abeda Sultana
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引用次数: 0
An Assessment of Urban and Per-Urban Household’s Willingness to Participate in Urban Forest Conservation Practice in Assosa District, Western Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西部阿索萨地区城市家庭和城市居民家庭参与城市森林保护实践的意愿评估
Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20230806.11
Teha Romanu Benti, Shafe Zelalam Gasisa
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic Factors Determining CO2 Emission in Bangladesh: Through the Lens of VECM Approach 决定孟加拉国二氧化碳排放量的宏观经济因素:通过 VECM 方法的视角
Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20230805.13
Md. Tanvir Ahmed, Refat Ferdous
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引用次数: 0
A Review of Power Prediction Methods Under the COVID-19 Pandemic COVID-19 大流行下的功率预测方法综述
Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20230805.12
Youliang Dong, Changshun Yan
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引用次数: 0
Comparisons of the Added Value of Dynamical Downscaling of ECMWF EPS and NCEP GEFS for Wind Forecast in the Complex Terrain of Sichuan and Yunnan in China

ECMWF EPS 和 NCEP GEFS 的动态降尺度对中国四川和云南复杂地形风预报的附加值比较
Pub Date : 2023-10-28 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20230805.11
Zifen Han, Bolin Zhang, Jianmei Zhang, Jie Long, Xiaohui Zhong
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引用次数: 0
The Fall in Gas Exports, International Reserves and Economic Growth in Bolivia 玻利维亚天然气出口、国际储量和经济增长的下降
Pub Date : 2023-08-05 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20230804.13
Cesar Daniel Vargas Diaz, Hernan Delgadillo Dorado, Eloy Wilson Villca Copali
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引用次数: 0
Research and Application of Production Enhancement Technology for Offshore Low Permeability Reservoirs 海上低渗透油藏增产技术研究与应用
Pub Date : 2023-08-05 DOI: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20230804.14
Weigang Du, Guan Bing, Ji Peng, Hao Dawei, L. Yong
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
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