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Land Value Determination in an Emerging Market: Empirical Evidence from China 新兴市场的土地价值决定:来自中国的经验证据
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1084109
Helen X. H. Bao, J. Glascock, S. Zhou, Lei Feng
Purpose - – In this research, the purpose of this paper is to assess the relative pricing behavior for land in Beijing, China. The paper sees this as important for three core reasons. First, China has a strong growth economy but is still in many ways an undeveloped country and thus the paper do not have significant data about asset pricing behavior there. Second, China has not traditionally had a market-based land and property transfer system – thus, it is interesting to assess how prices are determined relative to typical market expectations. Third, the authors have extensive evidence on pricing behavior in the USA and Europe but little such evidence on China – are the same variables important in land pricing in China and are there other unique local variables. Design/methodology/approach - – This paper analyzes prices of non-industrial and industrial land separately using a comprehensive data set and a semi-parametric framework. The data and flexible model specification allow the hedonic price coefficients to be estimated more accurately. Findings - – The key results are that pricing behavior in general follows the traditional expected variables as determined by size, planning use, location and other neighborhood characteristics. However, the authors also find that land prices are associated with buyer characteristics; for example, foreign investors pay less than local investors. Originality/value - – The study fills the gap in the literature in two ways. First, this paper analyzes prices of non-industrial and industrial land separately using a comprehensive data set and a semi-parametric framework. The data and flexible model specification allow the hedonic price coefficients to be estimated more accurately. Second, and more importantly, the authors find evidences that land prices in China are determined by both market force and “Chinese characteristics.” The land market, although established only recently, is at work. In line with the literature, determinants such as size and planning uses are found to be important in determining land prices.
目的——本研究的目的是评估中国北京市土地的相对定价行为。本文认为这一点很重要,有三个核心原因。首先,中国经济增长强劲,但在许多方面仍是一个不发达国家,因此本文没有关于中国资产定价行为的重要数据。其次,中国传统上没有以市场为基础的土地和财产转让制度——因此,评估相对于典型的市场预期,价格是如何决定的是很有趣的。第三,作者对美国和欧洲的定价行为有广泛的证据,但对中国的证据却很少——在中国的土地定价中,同样重要的变量是什么,还有其他独特的地方变量吗?设计/方法/方法——本文使用综合数据集和半参数框架分别分析了非工业用地和工业用地的价格。数据和灵活的模型规范使得享乐价格系数的估计更加准确。主要结果是,定价行为一般遵循由规模、规划使用、位置和其他社区特征决定的传统预期变量。然而,作者也发现土地价格与买方特征相关;例如,外国投资者支付的费用低于当地投资者。原创性/价值——本研究从两个方面填补了文献的空白。首先,利用综合数据集和半参数框架,分别分析了非工业用地和工业用地的价格。数据和灵活的模型规范使得享乐价格系数的估计更加准确。其次,更重要的是,作者发现证据表明中国的土地价格是由市场力量和“中国特色”共同决定的。土地市场虽然是最近才建立起来的,但却在发挥作用。与文献一致,大小和规划用途等决定因素被发现在决定土地价格方面很重要。
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引用次数: 13
Central Asia after Fifteen Years of Transition: Growth, Regional Cooperation, and Policy Choices 转型15年后的中亚:增长、区域合作与政策选择
Pub Date : 2006-07-01 DOI: 10.18356/E5999585-EN
Ganeshan Wignarajan, G. Wignaraja
This paper presents a coherent and systematic analysis of the collapse and subsequent revival of the Central Asian republics since 1990. The focus is on the pattern of growth and structural changes during the cycle of decline and subsequent revival in the Central Asian republics, which have yet to be adequately analysed in the literature on transition. The paper relates economic performance to initial conditions, country characteristics and policies. Within this framework, it proposes a simple typology of policies (including a new “type III” set of policies on regional cooperation and industrial competitiveness) and relates them to the cycle of decline and revival. It goes on to examine the medium-term prospects for and policy needs of the Central Asian republics.
本文对1990年以来中亚共和国的崩溃和随后的复兴进行了连贯而系统的分析。重点是中亚各共和国在衰退周期和随后的复苏期间的增长模式和结构变化,关于转型的文献尚未对此进行充分分析。本文将经济绩效与初始条件、国家特点和政策联系起来。在这个框架内,它提出了一个简单的政策类型(包括关于区域合作和工业竞争力的一套新的“第三类”政策),并将它们与衰退和复苏的周期联系起来。报告接着审查了中亚各共和国的中期前景和政策需要。
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引用次数: 56
Culture and Stock Price Clustering: Evidence from the Peoples' Republic of China 文化与股价聚类:来自中华人民共和国的证据
Pub Date : 2004-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.601523
Jason D. Mitchell, P. Brown
Price clustering is the tendency of prices to be observed more frequently at some numbers than others. It results from human bias and from haziness or imprecise beliefs about underlying value. To many Chinese, the number "8" is salient because it is considered "lucky", while "4" is "unlucky" and to be avoided. We conduct a tightly controlled experiment to determine whether a culturally heuristic number preference exists, by studying trading on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, which have been relatively segmented along cultural lines. Our results are extremely clear. For much of our sample period (1994 - 2002), the prices of A-shares (mostly held by Chinese organisations or individuals) traded on the Shanghai stock exchange were more than twice as likely to end in 8 as 4. Similarly, for A-shares traded on the Shenzhen stock exchange a preference for 8 was found. Preference for 8 on both A-share exchanges was initially very strong, but has dissipated somewhat over time. For the Shanghai A-shares the reduction in the cultural preference only occurred in the most recent period whereas for Shenzhen the reduction occurred considerably earlier. Overall, the cultural preference was widespread for both A-markets and was in fact stronger in opening, high and low relative to closing prices. The preference for 8 was much weaker for B-shares, largely held by foreigners, on both exchanges.
价格聚类是价格在某些数字上比在其他数字上更频繁地被观察到的趋势。它源于人类的偏见,源于对潜在价值的模糊或不精确的信念。对许多中国人来说,数字“8”很重要,因为它被认为是“幸运的”,而“4”则是“不吉利的”,应该避免。我们进行了一项严格控制的实验,以确定是否存在文化启发式数字偏好,通过研究上海和深圳证券交易所的交易,这两个交易所已经沿着文化界线相对分割。我们的结果非常清楚。在我们的样本时期(1994年至2002年)的大部分时间里,在上海证券交易所交易的a股(主要由中国机构或个人持有)的价格收于8点的可能性是收于4点的两倍多。同样,对于在深圳证券交易所交易的a股,发现偏好为8。两家a股交易所最初对8的偏好都非常强烈,但随着时间的推移,这种偏好有所减弱。对于上海a股而言,文化偏好的减少只发生在最近一段时间,而对于深圳a股而言,这种减少发生得要早得多。总的来说,文化偏好在两个a市场都很普遍,实际上,相对于收盘价而言,文化偏好在开盘、高位和低位都更强。在这两个交易所,投资者对主要由外国人持有的b股的偏好要弱得多。
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引用次数: 78
Economic Analysis of Business Model for Delivering Mobile Value-Added Services in Thailand 泰国提供移动增值服务商业模式的经济分析
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1618174
P. Sirasoontorn
The objective of this study is to gain understanding of what business model works in Thailand and what the explanatory factors determining success and failure of the model in Thailand. The scope of this study will be in the area of mobile internet. The single case research design will be employed. The choice of BuzzCity as a single case study was based on the consideration that BuzzCity’s main customer base is in developing countries.
本研究的目的是了解什么商业模式在泰国有效,以及决定泰国模式成功和失败的解释因素是什么。这项研究的范围将在移动互联网领域。将采用单案例研究设计。选择BuzzCity作为单独的案例研究是基于BuzzCity的主要客户群在发展中国家的考虑。
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引用次数: 8
Mobile Number Portability in South Asia 南亚的流动电话号码可携性
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1618182
Tahani Iqbal
Mobile Number portability (MNP), a feature present in most developed telecom markets around the world, is now making its way into the developing telecom markets of South Asia. Unlike the conditions that exist in the mature environments of the western world, however, market structures, pricing mechanisms and even customer phone use behaviours are vastly different in the emerging South Asian markets. As such, the preconditions necessary for the success of this service and its potential implications will be largely different in this region.The paper explores Pakistan’s experience in introducing MNP and will investigate the suitability of introducing the same in India and other emerging South Asian microstates such as the Maldives. The paper will also consider how phone subscribers at the Bottom of the Pyramid (BOP) and the impact of the low-cost, low-ARPU pricing model implemented in South Asia will affect porting rates. The study will be mainly based on secondary data collection (existing reports, market trends and opinions of key stakeholders) while the BOP data will be sourced from LIRNEasia’s large sample study, carried out in six-countries in 2008.
移动号码可携性(MNP)是世界上大多数发达电信市场的一个特点,现在正在进入南亚的发展中电信市场。然而,与西方世界成熟环境中存在的条件不同,新兴南亚市场的市场结构、定价机制甚至客户电话使用行为都大不相同。因此,这项服务成功的先决条件及其潜在影响在该地区将有很大不同。本文探讨了巴基斯坦在引入MNP方面的经验,并将调查在印度和其他新兴的南亚小国(如马尔代夫)引入MNP的适用性。本文还将考虑金字塔底部(BOP)的电话用户以及南亚实施的低成本、低arpu定价模式将如何影响传输速率。该研究将主要基于二手数据收集(现有报告、市场趋势和主要利益相关者的意见),而BOP数据将来自2008年在六个国家进行的大样本研究。
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引用次数: 13
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INTL: Managing in Emerging Markets (Topic)
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