Neurology and Therapy最新文献

Introduction: The goal of this economic model is to estimate an economically justifiable price (EJP) for using donanemab for the treatment of early symptomatic Alzheimer's disease (AD) in the United States based on clinical data from the phase 3 TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 trial (NCT04437511).

Methods: We adapted an AD Markov state-transition model developed by the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review to estimate the EJP for donanemab at different willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds from the health care system perspective and the societal perspective as co-base cases.

Results: Assuming a WTP threshold of $150,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, the model estimates a 1-year (13-dose) EJP for donanemab of $80,538 from the health care system perspective and $91,126 from the societal perspective; at a WTP threshold of $100,000 per QALY gained, the model estimates a 1-year (13-dose) EJP for donanemab of $44,691 from the health care system perspective and $55,419 from the societal perspective. Mean total treatment costs per patient at the $150,000 per QALY gained EJP derived from the health care system perspective were estimated at $77,812 based on the average number of doses of donanemab patients received in the co-base case analysis. One-way sensitivity analysis (OWSA) indicated that treatment efficacy, disease severity at the time of treatment initiation, and duration of treatment effect were the main drivers of the potential EJP.

Conclusions: Results from this modeling simulation informed by the TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 2 study support an EJP for limited-duration treatment with donanemab that exceeds per-dose list prices for currently available amyloid-targeting therapies, implying potentially lower lifetime costs and better value for money.

Introduction: Satralizumab, an anti-interleukin-6 receptor antibody, is approved in Japan for relapse prevention in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) and is undergoing post-marketing surveillance (PMS) of clinical use. We aimed to describe the real-world safety and effectiveness of satralizumab in Japanese patients with NMOSD.

Methods: This is an ongoing PMS (planned completion: February 2027). This 6-month interim analysis assessed the safety and effectiveness of satralizumab in Japanese patients with NMOSD using data collected from August 2020 to July 2021.

Results: Among 570 patients who participated, 523 (91.75%) were female and the mean ± standard deviation (SD) age was 52.4 ± 14.1 years. At baseline, NMOSD expanded disability status scale mean ± SD was 4.19 ± 2.19; 490 (85.96%) patients used glucocorticoids and 277 (48.59%) patients used immunosuppressants concomitantly. Of 570 satralizumab-treated patients, 85 (14.91%) had discontinued satralizumab treatment at 6 months. For the overall adverse drug reactions (ADRs), 76.22 (66.07-87.48) events/100 person-years occurred in 118 (20.70%) patients, and infections occurred in 28 (4.91%) patients. Serious infections occurred in 18 (3.15%) patients, with an event rate of 9.05 (5.80-13.47) events/100 person-years. Of the 24 events of serious infections, respiratory tract infections (29.17%; 7) and urinary tract infections (25.00%; 6) were the most common serious infection events. One fatal ADR (septic shock) suspected to be related to satralizumab was reported. The mean ± SD glucocorticoid dose reduced from 12.28 ± 10.17 mg/day at the index date to 8.11 ± 7.30 mg/day at 6 months. The Kaplan-Meier cumulative relapse-free rate (95% confidence interval) was 94.59% (92.25-96.23) at 6 months.

Conclusion: In this study, satralizumab was found to be safe, well tolerated, and effective in patients with NMOSD in routine clinical practice. The results are consistent with those of previous clinical trials. The safety and effectiveness of satralizumab in Japanese patients with NMOSD will be analyzed over the 6-year surveillance period.

Trial registration: UMIN Clinical Trials Registry, UMIN000041047.

Introduction: This study evaluates the role of quantitative characteristics of white matter hyperintensities (WMHs) in predicting the 1-year recurrence risk of ischemic stroke.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 1061 patients with ischemic stroke from January 2018 to April 2021. WMHs were automatically segmented using a cluster-based method to quantify their volume and number of clusters (NoC). Additionally, two radiologists independently rated periventricular and deep WMHs using the Fazekas scale. The cohort was divided into a training set (70%) and a testing set (30%). We employed Cox proportional hazards models to develop predictors based on quantitative WMH characteristics, Fazekas scores, and clinical factors, and compared their performance using the concordance index (C-index).

Results: A total of 180 quantitative variables related to WMHs were extracted. A higher NoC in deep white matter and brainstem, advanced age (> 90 years old), specific stroke subtypes, and absence of discharge antiplatelets showed stronger associations with the risk of ischemic stroke recurrence within 1 year. The nomogram incorporating quantitative WMHs data showed superior discrimination compared to those based on the Fazekas scale or clinical factors alone, with C-index values of 0.709 versus 0.647 and 0.648, respectively, in the testing set. Notably, a combined model including both WMHs and clinical factors achieved the highest predictive accuracy, with a C-index of 0.735 in the testing set.

Conclusion: Quantitative assessment of WMHs provides a valuable neuro-imaging tool for enhancing the prediction of ischemic stroke recurrence risk.

Introduction: Nusinersen clinical trials have limited data on adolescents and adults with 5q-associated spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). We conducted a systematic literature review (SLR) and meta-analysis to assess effectiveness of nusinersen in adolescents and adults with SMA in clinical practice.

Methods: Our search included papers published 12/23/2016 through 07/01/2022 with ≥ 5 individuals ≥ 13 years of age and with ≥ 6 months' data on ≥ 1 selected motor function outcomes [Hammersmith Functional Motor Scale-Expanded (HFMSE), Revised Upper Limb Module (RULM), and Six-Minute Walk Test (6MWT)]. For meta-analysis, effect sizes were pooled using random-effects models. To understand treatment effects by disease severity, subgroup meta-analysis by SMA type and ambulatory status was conducted.

Results: Fourteen publications including 539 patients followed up to 24 months met inclusion criteria for the SLR. Patients were age 13-72 years and most (99%) had SMA Type II or III. Modest improvement or stability in motor function was consistently observed at the group level. Significant mean increases from baseline were observed in HFMSE [2.3 points (95% CI 1.3-3.3)] with 32.1% (21.7-44.6) of patients demonstrating a clinically meaningful increase (≥ 3 points) at 18 months. Significant increases in RULM were consistently found, with a mean increase of 1.1 points (0.7-1.4) and 38.3% (30.3-47.1) showing a clinically meaningful improvement (≥ 2 points) at 14 months. Among ambulatory patients, there was a significant increase in mean 6MWT distance of 25.0 m (8.9-41.2) with 50.9% (33.4-68.2) demonstrating a clinically meaningful improvement (≥ 30 m) at 14 months. The increases in HFMSE were greater for less severely affected patients, whereas more severely affected patients showed greater improvement in RULM.

Conclusions: Findings provide consolidated evidence that nusinersen is effective in improving or stabilizing motor function in many adolescents and adults with a broad spectrum of SMA.

Introduction: GB-5001 is an intramuscular (IM) formulation of donepezil under development for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. The objective of this study was to develop a population pharmacokinetic (PK) model for donepezil in both IM and oral formulations, and to optimize the IM dosage of GB-5001 using bioequivalence (BE) simulation.

Methods: A population PK model of donepezil was developed using NONMEM. It was based on plasma concentration data from a Phase 1 dose escalation study, which involved a single administration of donepezil IM formulation at doses of 70, 140, and 280 mg, and the oral formulation at 10 mg. The model was evaluated based on goodness-of-fit plots, conditional weighted residuals, visual predictive checks, and bootstrapping. BE simulations were conducted using a parallel design between various doses of the IM formulation and the 10-mg dose of oral formulation.

Results: The PKs of donepezil were best described by a two-compartment model, which incorporated distinct absorption compartments for the IM (dual first-order absorption and simultaneous zero-order absorption with lag time) and oral (first-order absorption with lag time) formulations. Based on the simulation results, an IM dosage range of 210-215 mg in a sample size of over 92 was estimated to achieve a success rate of approximately 80% for BE.

Conclusion: The population PK model well explained the PKs of donepezil following administration of both the IM and oral formulations. This model could be applied for the design and dose selection of future BE trials.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT05525780.

Cenobamate has demonstrated efficacy in patients with treatment-resistant epilepsy, including patients who continued to have seizures after epilepsy surgery. This article provides recommendations for cenobamate use in patients referred for epilepsy surgery evaluation. A panel of six senior epileptologists from the United States and Europe with experience in presurgical evaluation of patients with epilepsy and in the use of antiseizure medications (ASMs) was convened to provide consensus recommendations for the use of cenobamate in patients referred for epilepsy surgery evaluation. Many patients referred for surgical evaluation may benefit from ASM optimization; both ASM and surgical treatment should be individualized. Based on previous clinical studies and the authors' clinical experience with cenobamate, a substantial proportion of patients with treatment-resistant epilepsy can become seizure-free with cenobamate. We recommend a cenobamate trial and ASM optimization in parallel with presurgical evaluations. Cenobamate can be started before phase two monitoring, especially in patients who are found to be suboptimal surgery candidates. As neurostimulation therapies are generally palliative, we recommend trying cenobamate before vagus nerve stimulation (VNS), deep brain stimulation, or responsive neurostimulation (RNS). In surgically remediable cases (mesial temporal sclerosis, benign discrete lesion in non-eloquent cortex, cavernous angioma, etc.), cenobamate use should not delay imminent surgery; however, a patient may decide to defer or even cancel surgery should they achieve sustained seizure freedom with cenobamate. This decision should be made on an individual, case-by-case basis based on seizure etiology, patient preferences, potential surgical risks (mortality and morbidity), and likely surgical outcome. The addition of cenobamate after unsuccessful surgery or palliative neuromodulation may also be associated with better outcomes.

Introduction: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neurodegenerative disease that leads to impaired cognitive function and accumulation of disability, with significant socioeconomic burden. Serious unmet need in the context of managing MS has given rise to ongoing research efforts, leading to the launch of new drugs planned for the near future, and subsequent concerns about the sustainability of healthcare systems. This study assessed the changes in the Italian MS market and their impact on the expenditures of the Italian National Healthcare Service between 2023 and 2028.

Methods: A horizon-scanning model was developed to estimate annual expenditure from 2023 to 2028. Annual expenditure for MS was calculated by combining the number of patients treated with each product (clinical inputs) and the yearly costs of therapy (economic inputs). Baseline inputs (2020-2022) were collected from IQVIA^® real-world data, while input estimation for the 5-year forecast was integrated with analog analyses and the insights of clinicians and former payers.

Results: The number of equivalent patients treated in 2028 in Italy was estimated at around 67,000, with an increase of 10% versus 2022. In terms of treatment pattern evolution, first-line treatments are expected to reduce their shares from 47% in 2022 to 27% in 2028, and Bruton tyrosine kinase inhibitors are expected to reach 23% of patient shares. Overall, expenditure for MS is estimated to decrease from €721 million in 2022 to €551 million in 2028, mainly due to losses of exclusivity and renegotiation of drug prices.

Conclusion: Despite the increase in the number of patients treated for MS and the launch of new molecules that will reach high market penetration, the model confirmed sustainability for the Italian National Healthcare Service.

Introduction: The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) is a novel indicator of systemic inflammation derived from the absolute counts of neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the association between SIRI and functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

Methods: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines were followed in this meta-analysis. Relevant cohort studies were retrieved by a search of electronic databases including PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Wanfang, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure from database inception to February 9, 2024. A poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale ≥ 3 within 3 months after disease onset. A random-effects model was used to combine the data by incorporating the influence of between-study heterogeneity. The protocol of the meta-analysis was not prospectively registered in PROSPERO.

Results: Fourteen cohort studies were included. Pooled results showed that a high SIRI at admission was associated with increased risk of poor functional outcome within 3 months (odds ratio [OR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval: 1.39 to 1.78, p < 0.001; I² = 0%). Results of the meta-regression analysis suggested that the cutoff for defining a high SIRI was positively related to the OR for the association between SIRI and the risk of poor functional outcome (coefficient = 0.13, p = 0.03), while other variables including sample size, mean age, severity of stroke at admission, percentage of men, current smokers, or patients with diabetes did not significantly modify the results. Subgroup analyses according to study design, main treatments, and study quality scores showed similar results.

Conclusion: A high SIRI may be associated with a poor functional outcome in patients after AIS.

Introduction: Seizures are common reasons to call an ambulance, and this study aims to analyze the burden of seizures in the prehospital setting based on incidence, hospital admission rate, and costs.

Methods: This was a population-based, cross-sectional analysis of prehospital emergency medical services (EMS) data on suspected seizure cases from the federal state of Hesse, Germany, in 2019.

Results: A total of 6534 suspected seizure cases were identified, of which most were those with a known seizure disorder. Incidence rate for epilepsy-related seizures (ES; pediatric epilepsy, first seizure [1stS], seizure with known seizure disorder [SEPI]) was 205.7 per 100,000 inhabitants and incidence rate for pediatric febrile seizures (PFS) was 36.7 per 100,000 inhabitants, corresponding to 171,275 ES and 28,500 PFS (99.3% < 18 years) cases in Germany. A prehospital EMS physician was involved in 40.0% (SEPI) to 54.4% (PFS) of suspected seizure cases. Depending on the type of seizure, 70.7% (SEPI) to 80.9% (1stS) were admitted to hospital for inpatient stay of ≥ 24 h. An additional 4% (PFS) to 16% (1stS) of cases needed immediate intervention at hospital. Prehospital EMS staff needed 8:24 min:s (SD 7:24; n = 5004) after the emergency call to arrive at the scene of the ES and 10:58 min:s (SD 27:39; n = 321) for PFS. ES and PFS cases caused estimated costs of 48.5 and 8.1 million euros for Germany in 2019, respectively, not including hospital treatment-related costs.

Conclusion: This study identified a high number of suspected seizure-related emergency cases and proportion of patients admitted to hospitals, as well as high associated costs in Germany.