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Technical Note - The Multinomial Logit Model with Sequential Offerings: Algorithmic Frameworks for Product Recommendation Displays 技术说明-具有顺序产品的多项Logit模型:产品推荐显示的算法框架
Pub Date : 2022-02-07 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2218
Jacob B. Feldman, D. Segev
In the paper “The Multinomial Logit Model with Sequential Offerings: Algorithmic Frameworks for Product Recommendation Displays,” we consider a sequential assortment problem that has applications ranging from appointment scheduling in hospitals, restaurants, and fitness centers to product recommendation in e-commerce settings. Our main contribution comes in the form of a strongly polynomial-time approximation scheme for the most general form of the problem. We also conduct an extensive case study in which we fit our sequential model to historical search data from Expedia’s hotel booking platform. We observe substantial gains in fitting accuracy when our model is benchmarked against other well-known choice models designed for the setting at hand.
在论文“具有顺序产品的多项Logit模型:产品推荐显示的算法框架”中,我们考虑了一个顺序分类问题,其应用范围从医院、餐馆和健身中心的预约安排到电子商务环境中的产品推荐。我们的主要贡献来自于对问题的最一般形式的强多项式时间近似方案的形式。我们还进行了广泛的案例研究,将我们的顺序模型与Expedia酒店预订平台的历史搜索数据相匹配。我们观察到,当我们的模型与其他众所周知的为手头设置而设计的选择模型进行基准比较时,拟合精度有了实质性的提高。
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引用次数: 6
Plausible Screening Using Functional Properties for Simulations with Large Solution Spaces 利用泛函性质进行大解空间模拟的似是而非筛选
Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2206
David J. Eckman, M. Plumlee, B. Nelson
Simulation Solution Screening Using Functional Properties Simulation models today give rise to problems with large numbers of simulated scenarios or solutions—more than can be simulated exhaustively. Fortunately, users of these models may be able to verify or infer properties, such as convexity, of a performance measure of interest when viewed as a function over the space of solutions. In “Plausible Screening Using Functional Properties for Simulations with Large Solution Spaces,” Eckman, Plumlee and Nelson introduce a framework in which such properties are exploited to avoid simulating solutions with unacceptable performances. Their methods solve optimization problems that measure how well the result of a limited simulation experiment agrees with the claim that a solution is acceptable. These methods deliver desirable statistical guarantees of confidence and consistency. Numerical experiments illustrate how functional properties coupled with small simulation experiments can avoid many simulations for simulation-optimization problems.
使用功能属性筛选仿真解决方案今天的仿真模型产生了大量模拟场景或解决方案的问题-比可以模拟详尽。幸运的是,这些模型的用户可能能够验证或推断出感兴趣的性能度量的属性,如凹凸性,当将其视为解决方案空间上的函数时。在《利用功能属性对大解空间进行模拟的合理筛选》一文中,Eckman、Plumlee和Nelson介绍了一个框架,在这个框架中,利用这些属性来避免模拟具有不可接受性能的解。他们的方法解决了优化问题,即衡量有限模拟实验的结果与解决方案可接受性的一致程度。这些方法提供了信心和一致性的理想统计保证。数值实验表明,功能特性与小型模拟实验相结合可以避免模拟优化问题的大量模拟。
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引用次数: 8
Simulation-Based Prediction 基于仿真的预测
Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2229
Eunji Lim, P. Glynn
Predicting Shortages in a Supply Chain Using Simulation A supply chain shortage is a serious problem that can lead to assembly plant shutdowns. However, predicting such shortages using simulation poses a challenge, because the information necessary to initialize such a supply chain simulation is often only partially observable in many real-world applications. In “Simulation-Based Prediction,” Lim and Glynn investigate this problem. They formulate such a prediction problem as the problem of computing the conditional expectation of the quantity of interest, given the observed state of the system. Simulation can be easily applied to computing such a conditional expectation when the simulation state is fully observed in the real system. Lim and Glynn propose a new simulation methodology appropriate to the many settings in which the observed current state does not fully determine the simulation’s initial state. With the use of such methods, simulation has the potential to more accurately predict upcoming supply chain bottlenecks and to enhance predictions in the many other problem settings where simulation is commonly used.
供应链短缺是一个严重的问题,可能导致装配厂停工。然而,使用模拟来预测这种短缺带来了挑战,因为初始化这种供应链模拟所需的信息在许多实际应用中通常只能部分观察到。在“基于模拟的预测”中,Lim和Glynn研究了这个问题。他们将这样一个预测问题表述为,给定系统的观察状态,计算兴趣数量的条件期望问题。当仿真状态在实际系统中得到充分观察时,可以很容易地应用仿真来计算这种条件期望。Lim和Glynn提出了一种新的模拟方法,适用于观察到的当前状态不能完全决定模拟初始状态的许多设置。通过使用这些方法,模拟有可能更准确地预测即将到来的供应链瓶颈,并在通常使用模拟的许多其他问题设置中增强预测。
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引用次数: 1
The Analytics of Bed Shortages: Coherent Metric, Prediction, and Optimization 床短缺的分析:连贯的度量、预测和优化
Pub Date : 2022-01-31 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2231
Jingui Xie, G. Loke, Melvyn Sim, S. Lam
This study proposes a risk-adjusted version of bed occupancy rates (BORs) that can be used for patient admission control and bed capacity planning in hospitals. Simulations indicate a potential increase of 11% in elective patient admissions by planning using the proposed bed shortage index (BSI) as opposed to the traditional BOR. The BSI is also illustrated for purposes of bed capacity allocation between departments and across acute and nonacute hospitals.
本研究提出一种风险调整版的床位入住率(BORs),可用于医院的病人入院控制和床位容量规划。模拟表明,通过计划使用拟议的床位短缺指数(BSI),而不是传统的BOR,可能会增加11%的选择性患者入院。BSI还用于科室之间以及急性和非急性医院之间的病床容量分配。
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引用次数: 1
Constant Regret Resolving Heuristics for Price-Based Revenue Management 基于价格的收益管理的持续遗憾解决启发式方法
Pub Date : 2022-01-31 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2219
Yining Wang, He Wang
Title: Constant Regret Resolving Heuristics for Price-Based Revenue Management Network revenue management (NRM) and its corresponding pricing question is one of the most fundamental problems in operations management. To alleviate the curse of dimensionality and the prohibitive cost of computing an exact solution using dynamic programming, computationally efficient resolving algorithms are proposed. The state-of-the-art analysis of the resolving heuristic establishes a logarithmic additive regret for price-based NRM problems. In “Constant Regret Resolving Heuristics for Price-Based Revenue Management,” Y. Wang and H. Wang from the University of Florida and Georgia Institute of Technology, respectively, significantly advance the state-of-the-art analysis by showing a constant regret for resolving heuristics. Their theoretical advance is made possible by a novel, direct analysis of the exact DP solution.
网络收益管理(NRM)及其定价问题是运营管理中最基本的问题之一。为了减轻维数的困扰和使用动态规划计算精确解的高昂成本,提出了计算效率高的求解算法。最先进的解析启发式分析为基于价格的NRM问题建立了对数加性后悔。在“基于价格的收入管理的持续遗憾解决启发式”中,分别来自佛罗里达大学和佐治亚理工学院的Y. Wang和H. Wang通过展示解决启发式的持续遗憾,显著地推进了最先进的分析。他们的理论进步是通过对精确的DP解进行新颖、直接的分析而实现的。
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引用次数: 9
The Value of Coordination in Multimarket Bidding of Grid Energy Storage 电网储能多市场竞价中的协同价值
Pub Date : 2022-01-31 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2247
N. Löhndorf, D. Wozabal
Grid energy storage plays a key role in making carbon-free, renewable energy production a reality. Yet, when it comes to maximizing profit, owners of storage assets still struggle with coordinating their trading activities across time because of the complex nature of multisettlement electricity markets. In “Coordination of Multimarket Bidding of Grid-Energy Storage,” Nils Löhndorf and David Wozabal propose a multistage stochastic programming model for market-oriented optimization of energy storage. To calculate lower and upper bounds on optimal values, they develop novel methods for scenario-tree generation and information relaxation. They show that a coordinated policy that reserves capacity for the short-term markets is optimal and that the gap to a sequential policy increases with short-term price volatility and market liquidity. The authors find that coordination is beneficial for all considered asset types and that flexible storages with high price impact benefit most. Their findings inform storage owners which markets contribute most value, how to organize trading across time, and how to calculate optimal bidding strategies.
电网储能在实现无碳可再生能源生产方面发挥着关键作用。然而,当涉及到利润最大化时,由于多结算电力市场的复杂性,存储资产的所有者仍然在努力协调他们的交易活动。Nils Löhndorf和David Wozabal在《电网储能多市场竞价协调》一文中提出了面向市场的储能优化的多阶段随机规划模型。为了计算最优值的下界和上界,他们开发了场景树生成和信息松弛的新方法。结果表明,为短期市场保留产能的协调政策是最优的,与顺序政策的差距随着短期价格波动和市场流动性的增加而增加。作者发现,协调对所有考虑的资产类型都是有益的,具有高价格影响的灵活存储受益最多。他们的研究结果告诉存储所有者哪些市场贡献最大价值,如何组织跨时间交易,以及如何计算最佳投标策略。
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引用次数: 20
Multiproduct Pricing with Discrete Price Sets 离散价格集的多产品定价
Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2222
Chandrasekhar Manchiraju, Milind Dawande, G. Janakiraman
Dynamic pricing is a well-known revenue management technique used by firms to maximize their revenues. In industries such as fashion retail and airlines, it is observed in practice that firms vary the prices of their products, through time, only among certain pre-fixed discrete price points; for example, in fashion retail, products are first sold at a base price and then later at, say, 10%, 20%, 30% discounted prices. In such discrete-price practices, when the number of products offered by a firm is large, it is mathematically challenging to determine the optimal pricing decisions. In “Multiproduct Pricing with Discrete Price Sets,” Manchiraju, Dawande, and Janakiraman design pricing algorithms that are fast and result in near-optimal revenues.
动态定价是一种众所周知的收益管理技术,被公司用来最大化他们的收益。在时尚零售和航空公司等行业,实践中可以观察到,随着时间的推移,公司只会在某些预先固定的离散价格点上改变产品的价格;例如,在时尚零售中,产品首先以底价出售,然后再以10%、20%、30%的折扣出售。在这种离散价格实践中,当一家公司提供的产品数量很大时,确定最优定价决策在数学上是具有挑战性的。在《离散价格集的多产品定价》一书中,Manchiraju、Dawande和Janakiraman设计了一种快速的定价算法,可以产生接近最优的收益。
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引用次数: 1
Personalized Retail Promotions Through a Directed Acyclic Graph-Based Representation of Customer Preferences 基于顾客偏好的有向无环图表示的个性化零售促销
Pub Date : 2022-01-26 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2108
Srikanth Jagabathula, Dmitry Mitrofanov, Gustavo J. Vulcano
A Framework to Run Personalized Promotions The availability of individual-level transaction data allows retailers to implement personalized operational decisions. Although such decisions have been around for several years now in online platforms, recent technological developments open new opportunities to extend similar practices to bricks-and-mortar settings (e.g., by using electronic price tags to show different prices to different customers or by using beacon-based technology to send promotion offers to targeted customers). In “Personalized Retail Promotions through a DAG-Based Representation of Customer Preferences,” Jagabathula, Mitrofanov, and Vulcano propose a back-to-back procedure for running customized promotions in retail operations contexts, from the construction of a nonparametric choice model where customer preferences are represented by directed acyclic graphs to the formulation of the promotion optimization problem. The empirical validation of their proposal on real supermarket data shows the promising performance of their approach over state-of-the-art benchmarks.
个人层面交易数据的可用性允许零售商实施个性化的运营决策。尽管这样的决定在在线平台上已经存在了好几年,但最近的技术发展为将类似的做法扩展到实体环境提供了新的机会(例如,通过使用电子价格标签向不同的客户显示不同的价格,或者通过使用基于信标的技术向目标客户发送促销优惠)。在“通过基于dag的客户偏好表示的个性化零售促销”中,Jagabathula、Mitrofanov和Vulcano提出了一个在零售运营环境中运行定制促销的背对背过程,从构建一个非参数选择模型(其中客户偏好由有向无环图表示)到促销优化问题的制定。对他们的建议在真实超市数据上的实证验证表明,他们的方法在最先进的基准上表现良好。
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引用次数: 8
Decomposition Branching for Mixed Integer Programming 混合整数规划的分解分支
Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2210
Barış Yıldız, N. Boland, M. Savelsbergh
Applications of mixed integer programming can be found in many industries, such as transportation, healthcare, energy, and finance, and their economic impact is significant. It is also well known that mixed integer programs (MIPs) can be very difficult to solve. Their challenge continues to stimulate research in the design and implementation of efficient and effective techniques that can better solve them. In this study, we introduce a novel and powerful approach for solving certain classes of mixed integer programs (MIPs): decomposition branching. Two seminal and widely used techniques for solving MIPs, branch-and-bound and decomposition, form its foundation. Computational experiments with instances of a weighted set covering problem and a regionalized p-median facility location problem with assignment range constraints demonstrate its efficacy: it explores far fewer nodes and can be orders of magnitude faster than a commercial solver and an automatic Dantzig-Wolfe approach.
混合整数规划的应用可以在许多行业中找到,例如交通、医疗保健、能源和金融,它们的经济影响是显著的。众所周知,混合整数程序(MIPs)很难求解。他们面临的挑战继续刺激着设计和实施能够更好地解决这些问题的高效和有效技术的研究。在这项研究中,我们引入了一种新的和强大的方法来解决某些类型的混合整数规划(MIPs):分解分支。分支定界和分解是解决MIPs的两个重要且广泛使用的技术,构成了它的基础。用加权集覆盖问题和带有分配范围约束的区化p中值设施位置问题实例进行的计算实验证明了它的有效性:它探索的节点要少得多,并且比商业求解器和自动dantzigg - wolfe方法快几个数量级。
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引用次数: 4
Legal Assignments and Fast EADAM with Consent via Classic Theory of Stable Matchings 基于经典稳定匹配理论的法律转让与快速EADAM
Pub Date : 2022-01-24 DOI: 10.1287/opre.2021.2199
Yuri Faenza, Xuan Zhang
Since the seminal work of Gale and Shapley, stable assignments have received widespread attention for their mathematical elegance and broad applicability. However, in applications such as the school choice problem, in which public schools are often perceived as commodities and only students’ welfare matters, enforcing stability implies a loss of efficiency for the students. In “Legal assignments and fast EADAM with consent via classical theory of stable matchings,” Faenza and Zhang study two extensions of the traditional model—legal assignments and efficiency adjusted deferred acceptance mechanism (EADAM)—that strive to regain this loss in efficiency. The authors establish a tight connection between legal and stable assignments, which allows them to use critical structural tools of stable matchings, such as the concept of rotations, to design provably fast algorithms for (1) optimizing linear functions over the set of legal assignments and (2) finding the outcome of EADAM. These algorithmic results greatly improve the applicability of both extensions as witnessed by a complexity analysis and experimental results.
自从Gale和Shapley的开创性工作以来,稳定分配因其数学上的优雅和广泛的适用性而受到广泛的关注。然而,在学校选择问题等应用中,公立学校往往被视为商品,只关心学生的福利,加强稳定意味着学生效率的损失。在“经典稳定匹配理论下的法律分配和快速EADAM”一文中,Faenza和Zhang研究了传统模型的两个扩展——法律分配和效率调整延迟接受机制(EADAM)——努力弥补这种效率上的损失。作者建立了合法分配和稳定分配之间的紧密联系,这使得他们能够使用稳定匹配的关键结构工具,例如旋转的概念,来设计可证明的快速算法,用于(1)在合法分配集合上优化线性函数和(2)找到EADAM的结果。从复杂度分析和实验结果可以看出,这些算法结果大大提高了两种扩展的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
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Oper. Res.
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