Introduction
There is a lack of data regarding the appropriate surveillance of HPV(+)OPSCC. Our study aims to determine the sensitivity of patient symptoms, physical exam findings, and imaging in identifying recurrence and disease progression.
Methods
Mayo Clinic IRB (22–000684) approval was obtained, and the departmental REDCap database was queried to identify all HPV(+)OPSCC patients from 01/01/2006 to 12/31/2021 at our tertiary care center. Surgically treated patients with pathologic specimens positive for HPV (confirmed with in-situ hybridization (ISH) and/or p16 immuno-histochemistry) without evidence of distant metastatic disease at diagnosis were included. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of patient symptoms, physical exam findings, and imaging for disease progression were assessed both overall and at each time point.
Results
142/1142 patients experienced disease progression. 70% of patients with disease progression were detected within the first two years of surveillance. 79 patients with disease progression were detected via routine surveillance imaging, 34 via patient-reported symptoms, and 5 via physical exam.
Routine surveillance imaging was the most sensitive method of detection for locoregional recurrence (sensitivity 92.3%, PPV 6.5%, NPV 42.9%) and distant metastasis (sensitivity 100%, PPV 6.7%, NPV 100.0%). Patient symptoms in aggregate had a 73.1% sensitivity for detecting locoregional recurrence (PPV 8.7%, NPV 95.4%); however no individual symptom had a sensitivity over 30%. Physical exam findings were the least sensitive method of detection.
Conclusion
Our findings demonstrate that the majority of recurrences are detected within the first two years of surveillance. Routine surveillance imaging is the most sensitive modality for detecting disease progression as compared to patient symptoms or physical exam findings. Additional studies integrating newer technologies, such as ctHPVDNA. into surveillance are needed.
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