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Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD): Systematic Review of the Cost Effectiveness of SGLT2 Inhibitors and Other Novel Nephroprotective Drugs. 慢性肾脏疾病(CKD): SGLT2抑制剂和其他新型肾保护药物成本效益的系统评价。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01611-6
Josep Darbà, Meritxell Ascanio, Antonio Rodríguez

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major global cause of morbidity and mortality. Recent nephroprotective therapies have improved CKD management, yet their cost effectiveness across settings remains uncertain. This review systematically identified and compared cost-effectiveness studies of novel CKD treatments for both broad CKD populations and disease-specific subgroups.

Methods: A systematic search was conducted in PubMed and the Cochrane Library using terms related to "chronic kidney disease," "cost-effectiveness," "cost-utility," "health technology assessment," "SGLT2 inhibitor," and commercial and generic names of nephroprotective drugs approved since 2013. Eligible studies were full-length articles in English published between January 2015 and September 2025. Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were extracted. All monetary values were standardized to 2025 US dollars.

Results: The search yielded 172 records, of which 26 met inclusion criteria. A supplementary search identified ten additional studies, resulting in 36 evaluations. Most studies assessed sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors or finerenone. Across evaluations, these therapies consistently improved outcomes, with QALY gains reported in all studies (0.012-1.44 QALYs gained). Most concluded that the interventions were cost effective compared with standard of care, and 13 reported cost-saving results. Only three studies reported an incremental cost-efffectiveness ratio above $100,000 per QALY threshold. Cost effectiveness was observed in both general CKD and CKD with diabetes mellitus, although estimates varied by country, time horizon, and analytic perspective.

Conclusions: Current evidence indicates that novel nephroprotective therapies for CKD are generally cost effective, and in some settings cost saving. These findings support their value in both general CKD and diabetic populations and highlight the importance of early treatment adoption to delay disease progression and reduce long-term healthcare costs.

背景:慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)是全球发病率和死亡率的主要原因。最近的肾保护疗法改善了CKD的管理,但其成本效益仍然不确定。本综述系统地确定并比较了广泛CKD人群和疾病特异性亚组的新型CKD治疗的成本效益研究。方法:系统检索PubMed和Cochrane Library,检索自2013年以来批准的肾保护药物相关术语“慢性肾脏疾病”、“成本-效果”、“成本-效用”、“健康技术评估”、“SGLT2抑制剂”以及商业和通用名称。符合条件的研究是2015年1月至2025年9月间发表的英文全文文章。提取了成本、质量调整寿命年(QALYs)和增量成本-效果比。所有货币价值都被标准化为2025美元。结果:检索到172条记录,其中26条符合纳入标准。一项补充调查确定了另外10项研究,得出36项评价。大多数研究评估了钠-葡萄糖共转运蛋白2抑制剂或芬烯酮。通过评估,这些疗法持续改善了结果,所有研究都报告了质量aly的增加(获得0.012-1.44质量aly)。大多数结论认为,与标准护理相比,干预措施具有成本效益,13例报告了节省成本的结果。只有三项研究报告了每个QALY阈值超过100,000美元的增量成本效益比。在一般慢性肾病和合并糖尿病的慢性肾病中均观察到成本效益,尽管估计因国家、时间范围和分析角度而异。结论:目前的证据表明,CKD的新型肾保护疗法通常具有成本效益,并且在某些情况下可以节省成本。这些发现支持了它们在一般慢性肾病和糖尿病人群中的价值,并强调了早期治疗对于延缓疾病进展和降低长期医疗成本的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The Cost Utility of Rhythm Control Treatment Sequences in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Anti-arrhythmic Drugs Versus Catheter Ablation. 心房颤动患者心律控制治疗序列的成本效用:抗心律失常药物与导管消融。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-21 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01604-5
Simone Huygens, Matthijs Versteegh, Martin Hemels, Dominik Linz, Michiel Rienstra, Sing-Chien Yap

Background and objective: Despite evidence on the cost effectiveness of catheter ablation (CA) as a rhythm control strategy in patients with atrial fibrillation, CAs form a substantial share of medical resource consumption, raising questions about optimal timing and maximum CAs per patient. This study addresses these questions using a newly developed open source model integrating observational and clinical trial data. The objective was to estimate the cost effectiveness of rhythm control strategies including anti-arrhythmic drugs (AADs) and/or CA in different sequences from a societal perspective in the Netherlands.

Methods: Time to atrial fibrillation symptom recurrence after a CA was estimated using parametric survival functions estimated on health insurance data (n = 24,286). Relative efficacy of CAs versus AADs was derived from meta-analyses, accounting for previous treatment exposure. Six treatment lines were modeled, incorporating AADs and CAs as rhythm control strategies. Medical and societal costs were included and the model had a lifetime time horizon. Model results were generated in 2024 Euros using Dutch input data with a cost-per-quality-adjusted life-year threshold of €20,000. For the probabilistic sensitivity analyses, we simultaneously varied all parameters across 1000 model runs with 5000 patients each.

Results: Treatment sequences including at least one CA were cost effective compared with only AADs. Catheter ablation costs are counterbalanced by reduced medical resource consumption in the years following CA. 51.6% of patients with first-line CA remain symptom free over a lifetime versus 6.9% with AADs. The most cost-effective strategy starts with CA, manages atrial fibrillation recurrences with AADs, and uses a maximum of three repeat ablations.

Conclusions: Our model suggests that rhythm control with at least one CA is cost effective compared with only AADs in patients with atrial fibrillation requiring rhythm control. Within shared decision making, first-line CA, followed by AADs to manage atrial fibrillation recurrences, with a maximum of three repeat ablations, represents the most cost-effective strategy for patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation requiring rhythm control.

背景和目的:尽管有证据表明导管消融(CA)作为心房颤动患者心律控制策略的成本效益,但CA在医疗资源消耗中占很大份额,这就提出了关于最佳时间和每位患者最大CA的问题。本研究使用新开发的开源模型整合观察和临床试验数据来解决这些问题。目的是从荷兰的社会角度估计心律控制策略的成本效益,包括抗心律失常药物(AADs)和/或不同顺序的CA。方法:使用健康保险数据估计的参数生存函数估计CA后房颤症状复发的时间(n = 24,286)。CAs与AADs的相对疗效来自荟萃分析,考虑到之前的治疗暴露。对6条处理线进行建模,将AADs和CAs作为节律控制策略。该模型包括医疗和社会费用,并且具有终身期限。模型结果是在2024欧元使用荷兰输入数据生成的,每质量调整后的生命年成本阈值为20,000欧元。对于概率敏感性分析,我们同时在1000个模型运行中改变所有参数,每个模型运行5000名患者。结果:与仅AADs相比,至少包括一种CA的治疗序列具有成本效益。导管消融费用与CA后几年医疗资源消耗的减少相平衡。51.6%的一线CA患者终生无症状,而aad患者为6.9%。最具成本效益的策略是从CA开始,管理房颤与aad的复发,并使用最多三次重复消融。结论:我们的模型表明,在需要心律控制的心房颤动患者中,与仅使用AADs相比,至少使用一种CA进行心律控制具有成本效益。在共同决策的情况下,一线CA,然后AADs来控制房颤复发,最多三次重复消融,对于需要节律控制的症状性房颤患者来说是最具成本效益的策略。
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引用次数: 0
A Modern Approach for Constructing Decision Analytic Models in Microsoft Excel. 在Microsoft Excel中构建决策分析模型的一种现代方法。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-18 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01582-0
Mike Paulden

The majority of decision analytic models submitted to health technology assessment (HTA) agencies are developed using Microsoft Excel. The approaches commonly used to construct these models have not been substantially updated in decades, and studies have found that spreadsheet models are often slower and more difficult to validate than models built using R. However, Excel and Google Sheets were recently upgraded to add support for dynamic array functions. This allows for many of the techniques used in R modeling to be applied to spreadsheet models. This paper provides a tutorial on how these new functions can be leveraged to build efficient Markov cohort models using modern spreadsheet software. A novel approach is presented for conducting Monte Carlo simulation using a single formula in one cell, without the need for Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) macros. A number of template formulas are also provided that can be used to assist in common modeling tasks, including constructing a Markov trace and calculating the table of probabilities needed to plot cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEACs). These template formulas may be directly copied and pasted into any spreadsheet model, with no add-ons, plug-ins, or additional packages required. These advancements have the potential to modernize how spreadsheet models are developed, simplifying their construction, improving their calculation speed, and reducing the time needed for validation. They will also aid in teaching more efficient approaches for decision analytic modeling to a new generation of students.

提交给卫生技术评价(HTA)机构的决策分析模型大多是使用Microsoft Excel开发的。通常用于构建这些模型的方法几十年来没有实质性的更新,研究发现电子表格模型通常比使用r构建的模型更慢,更难以验证。然而,Excel和谷歌Sheets最近升级了,增加了对动态数组函数的支持。这允许将R建模中使用的许多技术应用到电子表格模型中。本文提供了一个教程,说明如何利用这些新功能来使用现代电子表格软件构建有效的马尔可夫队列模型。提出了一种新的方法,在一个单元格中使用一个公式进行蒙特卡罗模拟,而不需要Visual Basic for Applications (VBA)宏。还提供了许多模板公式,可用于辅助常见的建模任务,包括构造马尔可夫轨迹和计算绘制成本效益可接受曲线(ceac)所需的概率表。这些模板公式可以直接复制并粘贴到任何电子表格模型中,不需要附加组件、插件或额外的包。这些进步有可能使电子表格模型的开发方式现代化,简化其构造,提高其计算速度,并减少验证所需的时间。他们还将有助于向新一代学生教授更有效的决策分析建模方法。
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引用次数: 0
Lifetime Effects of Adherence to Cardiovascular and Diabetes Medications in Spain: A Modelling Study in a Population Cohort of 152,117 Patients. 西班牙心血管和糖尿病药物依从性的终生影响:152,117例患者的人群队列模型研究
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01597-1
Alba Sánchez-Viñas, Runguo Wu, Ignacio Aznar-Lou, Borislava Mihaylova, Maria Rubio-Valera

Objectives: Non-adherence to cardiovascular disease (CVD) treatments leads to suboptimal health outcomes and increased healthcare and societal costs. We assessed the long-term effects of adherence to CVD and diabetes medications using population data and microsimulation modelling.

Methods: We developed a CVD microsimulation model using individual participant data from the SIDIAP database (2012-2021) for 152,117 adults who received new prescriptions for antihypertensive, lipid-lowering, oral glucose-lowering or antiplatelet treatments in Catalonia between January 2012 and December 2013. Model inputs included demographic and clinical characteristics, medication adherence and cardiovascular events. Costs (€, 2025) and treatment effects were sourced from the literature, and utilities were estimated using national population-based surveys. Model validity was assessed by comparing simulated and observed cumulative incidences over 8 years. The model simulated life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and healthcare and societal costs under three scenarios: non-adherent, observed adherence and full adherence. We estimated the maximum per-patient cost at which adherence-enhancing interventions would remain cost-effective.

Results: Simulated cumulative incidences of cardiovascular events and all-cause death closely matched observed data. Improved adherence increased survival by 0.19-0.58 years and QALYs by 0.25-0.70, while increasing lifetime healthcare costs by €2,431-€8,093 per patient. The additional cost per QALY ranged from €8,946 to €12,614 per QALY, indicating that improving adherence is likely to be a cost-effective if achieved at additional cost of up to €4,041 to €10,098 per patient.

Conclusions: Long-term extrapolation of real-world data using microsimulation modelling shows that optimising adherence to CVD and diabetes medications can enhance health outcomes cost-effectively.

目的:不坚持心血管疾病(CVD)治疗导致不理想的健康结果和增加的医疗保健和社会成本。我们使用人群数据和微观模拟模型评估了心血管疾病和糖尿病药物依从性的长期影响。方法:我们使用来自SIDIAP数据库(2012-2021)的个体参与者数据开发了CVD微观模拟模型,该模型针对2012年1月至2013年12月在加泰罗尼亚接受降压、降脂、口服降糖或抗血小板治疗新处方的152,117名成年人。模型输入包括人口统计学和临床特征、药物依从性和心血管事件。成本(€,2025)和治疗效果来源于文献,使用基于国家人口的调查估算效用。通过比较模拟和观测的8年累积发病率来评估模型的有效性。该模型模拟了三种情况下的生命年(LYs)、质量调整生命年(QALYs)以及医疗保健和社会成本:非依从性、观察依从性和完全依从性。我们估计了每名患者的最大成本,在该成本下,增强依从性的干预措施仍具有成本效益。结果:模拟的心血管事件累积发生率和全因死亡与观察数据非常吻合。改善依从性可使生存率提高0.19-0.58年,质量年提高0.25-0.70年,同时使每位患者的终身医疗保健费用增加2,431- 8,093欧元。每个QALY的额外成本从8,946欧元到12,614欧元不等,这表明如果每个患者的额外成本高达4,041欧元至10,098欧元,则改善依从性可能具有成本效益。结论:使用微观模拟模型对现实世界数据进行长期外推表明,优化心血管疾病和糖尿病药物的依从性可以经济有效地提高健康结果。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Evaluation of the Addition of Vancomycin to Cefazolin Prophylaxis in Patients Undergoing Arthroplasty. 关节置换术患者在头孢唑林预防治疗中加入万古霉素的经济评价。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-13 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01609-0
An Tran-Duy, Sarah Asbury, Tim Spelman, David L Paterson, Kirsty L Buising, Catherine McDougall, Michael Solomon, Ross Crawford, Sam Adie, Robert Molnar, Johnthan Mulford, Tiffany Harris-Brown, Janine Roney, Richard de Steiger, Trisha N Peel

Introduction: The addition of a glycopeptide antimicrobial to cephalosporin therapy has been reportedly adopted in practice to prevent surgical site infections (SSIs). We conducted an economic evaluation from the healthcare sector perspective to assess the cost-effectiveness of adding vancomycin to cefazolin prophylaxis in patients undergoing arthroplasty.

Methods: Data were collected over 180 days in a randomised controlled trial conducted at 11 hospitals in Australia, involving 2044 patients assigned to vancomycin and 2069 to placebo, both in addition to cefazolin. Health utilities were measured using EQ-5D-3L at baseline and 30 days, 90 days, and 180 days post-surgery. Healthcare costs (Australian dollars [AU$]; 2022 values) were estimated using Medicare claim data and hospital administrative records. Bootstrap was used to estimate means and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of healthcare costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The net monetary benefit framework was used to construct a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve.

Results: Over 180 days, 96 SSIs occurred in the vancomycin group, and 79 in the placebo group. Mean QALYs were 0.392 (95% CI 0.389-0.395) in the vancomycin group and 0.394 (95% CI 0.391-0.397) in the placebo group. Mean total healthcare costs were AU$5184 (95% CI 4926-5480) in the vancomycin group and AU$5018 (95% CI 4772-5293) in the placebo group. Using willingness-to-pay and willingness-to-accept thresholds from AU$0 to AU$3,000,000, the probability of vancomycin being not cost-effective ranged from 0.79 to 0.87.

Conclusions: Adding vancomycin to cephazolin prophylaxis in arthroplasty is most likely not cost-effective. Omitting vancomycin could lead to substantial annual savings for the healthcare sector without compromising health outcomes.

导论:据报道,在头孢菌素治疗中添加糖肽抗菌药物已被用于预防手术部位感染(ssi)。我们从医疗保健部门的角度进行了经济评估,以评估在接受关节置换术的患者中,在头孢唑林预防治疗中加入万古霉素的成本效益。方法:在澳大利亚11家医院进行的180天随机对照试验中收集数据,包括2044名患者被分配到万古霉素组,2069名患者被分配到安慰剂组,这两组患者都是在头孢唑林的基础上进行的。在基线和术后30天、90天和180天使用EQ-5D-3L测量健康效用。医疗费用(澳元[AU$]; 2022年价值)使用医疗保险索赔数据和医院管理记录进行估算。使用Bootstrap估计医疗费用和质量调整生命年(QALYs)的均值和95%置信区间(ci)。使用净货币效益框架构建成本-效果可接受度曲线。结果:在180天内,万古霉素组发生了96例ssi,安慰剂组发生了79例。万古霉素组和安慰剂组的平均qaly分别为0.392 (95% CI 0.389-0.395)和0.394 (95% CI 0.391-0.397)。万古霉素组的平均总医疗费用为5184澳元(95% CI 4926-5480),安慰剂组为5018澳元(95% CI 4772-5293)。使用从0澳元到300万澳元的支付意愿和接受意愿阈值,万古霉素不具有成本效益的概率范围为0.79至0.87。结论:关节置换术中在头孢唑林预防治疗中加入万古霉素很可能不具有成本效益。不使用万古霉素可在不影响健康结果的情况下,为医疗保健部门每年节省大量费用。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Cost Effectiveness of Rapid Diagnostic Testing for the Identification of Pathogens and Resistance Genes in Bloodstream Infections. 评估血液感染病原菌和耐药基因快速诊断检测的成本效益。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01608-1
James K Karichu, Mark Pennington, Xiyu Bao, Kiera Lander, Tiffeny T Smith, Adam Thornberg

Objectives: Bloodstream infections (BSI) are a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Rapid detection of the causative pathogen can help optimise therapy, reduce mortality, curb antimicrobial resistance, and lower healthcare costs. This study evaluates the cost effectiveness of adding molecular rapid diagnostic tests (mRDTs) to microbiology standard-of-care (SoC) methods. mRDTs evaluated include the Cobas® Eplex blood culture identification (BCID) panels, BioFire BCID panel, BioFire BCID2 panel, Accelerate PhenoTest blood culture (BC) kit and Diasorin Verigene® BCID panels.

Methods: A decision-tree model was built to quantify the incremental costs and outcomes associated with adding mRDTs to the SoC. The inputs were derived from the published literature. The analysis considered a population aged 65 years and 45% female, admitted to a United States (US) hospital with a suspected BSI. Model outcomes included costs, 30-day mortality, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and adverse events (Clostridioides difficile infection and acute kidney injury [AKI]). A United Kingdom (UK) setting in place of the US setting was also considered in the scenario analysis.

Results: A strategy involving the Cobas Eplex BCID panels as an adjunct test to the SoC dominated SoC alone without Cobas Eplex BCID panels, saving US$164 per patient and averting 24 deaths per 10,000 patients. Earlier optimisation of ineffective empiric therapy generated half of the lives saved, with the majority of the remainder from reductions in AKI. This strategy was also dominant compared with other mRDTs. In a UK setting, Cobas Eplex BCID panels remained cost effective, saving £51 compared with SoC. Results were robust to scenarios varying key model inputs including time to pathogen identification with SoC.

Conclusions: The model demonstrated improved patient survival and reduced average total costs with mRDT. The Cobas Eplex BCID panels, which have the largest pathogen coverage, reduced both mortality and overall costs compared with other mRDTs.

目的:血流感染(BSI)是世界范围内死亡的主要原因。快速检测致病病原体有助于优化治疗、降低死亡率、抑制抗微生物药物耐药性和降低医疗保健费用。本研究评估了在微生物学标准护理(SoC)方法中加入分子快速诊断测试(mRDTs)的成本效益。评估的mrdt包括Cobas®Eplex血培养鉴定(BCID)面板、BioFire BCID面板、BioFire BCID2面板、Accelerate PhenoTest™血培养(BC)试剂盒和Diasorin Verigene®BCID面板。方法:建立决策树模型,量化在SoC中添加mrdt相关的增量成本和结果。输入数据来源于已发表的文献。分析对象为美国一家医院收治的疑似BSI患者,年龄65岁,其中45%为女性。模型结果包括成本、30天死亡率、质量调整生命年(QALYs)和不良事件(艰难梭菌感染和急性肾损伤[AKI])。在情景分析中也考虑了以英国(UK)代替美国的设定。结果:将Cobas Eplex BCID小组作为SoC的辅助测试的策略在不使用Cobas Eplex BCID小组的SoC单独测试中占主导地位,为每位患者节省164美元,并避免每10,000名患者24例死亡。早期对无效经验性治疗的优化挽救了一半的生命,其余的大部分来自AKI的减少。与其他mrdt相比,这种策略也占主导地位。在英国,Cobas Eplex BCID面板仍然具有成本效益,与SoC相比节省了51英镑。结果对不同的关键模型输入(包括用SoC鉴定病原体的时间)具有鲁棒性。结论:该模型显示mRDT提高了患者的生存率并降低了平均总成本。Cobas Eplex BCID面板具有最大的病原体覆盖率,与其他mRDTs相比,降低了死亡率和总体成本。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Estimating the Value of Combination Vaccines: A Methodological Framework. 修正:估计联合疫苗的价值:一个方法学框架。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-07 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01598-0
Mark Jit, Allison Portnoy, Clint Pecenka, William P Hausdorff, Christopher Gill
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引用次数: 0
Cost-Effectiveness of Immunising Interventions to Reduce Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease Burden in Infants in Australia. 减少澳大利亚婴儿呼吸道合胞病毒疾病负担的免疫干预的成本效益
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-07 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01601-8
Julian B Carlin, Adrian J Marcato, Yingying Wang, Robert Moss, Kylie S Carville, Xinghui Chen, Victoria L Oliver, Violeta Spirkoska, Patricia T Campbell, David J Price, Natalie Carvalho, Jodie McVernon

Background: Two immunising products are emerging to prevent the burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in infants: long-lasting monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and maternal vaccines given during pregnancy (MV). This study assesses the potential cost-effectiveness of programs involving each product to help inform policy decisions related to their implementation in the Australian context.

Methods: We developed an individual-based dynamic transmission model of RSV infection, linked to a clinical pathways model and cost-effectiveness model. We modelled key scenarios exploring varying eligibility and coverage of immunisation products for at-risk and not-at-risk populations, in addition to sensitivity analyses of immunisation characteristics, program costs and the impact of potential under-ascertainment of RSV burden. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of each program from a health system perspective, with results presented as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in terms of cost per quality-adjusted life year gained (QALY).

Results: We found a combined program in which administration of MV during pregnancy is supplemented with a birth-dose of mAbs for newborns born without protection from MV is likely to be cost-saving, compared with the status quo of no MV or mAbs delivered. This program averted on average 41% of infant hospitalisations per year and reduced QALY losses by 33%.

Conclusions: Programs combining infant immunisation products are likely to significantly reduce the burden of RSV disease in Australia, and be cost-saving. However, their estimated impact and cost-effectiveness is strongly dependent on key assumptions (i) the consistency and completeness of ascertainment of disease burden over time; (ii) the cost of a hospitalisation and immunising dose; (iii) the efficacy and durability of protection of the modelled products; and (iv) the timing and coverage of the immunisation delivery.

背景:目前正在出现两种免疫产品来预防婴儿呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)的负担:长效单克隆抗体(mab)和妊娠期间给予的母体疫苗(MV)。本研究评估了涉及每种产品的项目的潜在成本效益,以帮助在澳大利亚实施相关的政策决策。方法:我们建立了一个基于个体的RSV感染动态传播模型,并与临床途径模型和成本效益模型相关联。除了对免疫特性、规划成本和潜在的RSV负担未被充分确定的影响进行敏感性分析外,我们还模拟了关键情景,探讨了高危人群和非高危人群免疫产品的不同适格性和覆盖率。我们从卫生系统的角度估计了每个项目的成本效益,结果以每质量调整生命年(QALY)成本的增量成本效益比呈现。结果:我们发现,与不提供MV或单克隆抗体的现状相比,在妊娠期间给予MV的同时,为出生时没有MV保护的新生儿提供出生剂量的单克隆抗体,这一联合方案可能会节省成本。该计划每年平均避免了41%的婴儿住院,并将质量损失减少了33%。结论:在澳大利亚,结合婴儿免疫产品的项目可能会显著减少呼吸道合胞病毒疾病的负担,并节省成本。然而,它们的估计影响和成本效益在很大程度上取决于以下几个关键假设:(1)确定疾病负担随时间推移的一致性和完整性;(ii)住院和免疫剂量的费用;(iii)模型产品保护的有效性和耐久性;(四)提供免疫接种的时间和覆盖面。
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引用次数: 0
Component Clinical and Cost Outcomes Complementing Value of Information: Case Study of a Tuberculosis Diagnostics Clinical Trial. 组成临床和成本结果补充信息的价值:结核病诊断临床试验的案例研究。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01595-3
Pamela Pei, Livia Qoshe, Grady Florance, Ankur Pandya, Milton C Weinstein, Kenneth A Freedberg, A David Paltiel, Krishna P Reddy

Purpose: Conventional value-of-information (VOI) analysis bases decisions on a composite cost-effectiveness measure that aggregates clinical and cost outcomes. We sought to highlight potentially informative tradeoffs by estimating and reporting the "disaggregated" components, allowing stakeholders-such as clinicians, patients, trial funders, policymakers, and trial networks-to identify what drives the value of additional research.

Methods: We used a microsimulation to project the value of a hypothetical trial comparing mortality associated with different tuberculosis screening strategies among hospitalized patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in South Africa. Apart from expressing VOI as conventional, "aggregated" net monetary benefit (NMB), we assessed "disaggregated" outcomes that contribute to NMB calculations: tuberculosis cases detected, deaths, life-years, and healthcare costs associated with trial-informed decisions. We varied key parameters in probabilistic sensitivity analysis. We considered two willingness-to-pay thresholds: US $3000/year of life saved (YLS) (~50% of South Africa's per-capita gross domestic product [GDP]); and $780/YLS, the willingness-to-pay value where decision uncertainty is highest, per the baseline analysis.

Results: At willingness to pay = $3000/YLS, implementing the post-trial optimal strategy would produce favorable incremental NMB ($654.3 million) and better clinical outcomes (57,000 additional tuberculosis cases detected, 16,000 fewer deaths, and 294,000 more life-years), but it would incur an additional $37.4 million in healthcare costs over 5 years. At willingness to pay = $780/YLS, implementing the post-trial optimal strategy would yield positive incremental NMB of $2.5 million while lowering healthcare costs by $11 million, but it would produce worse clinical outcomes: 18,000 fewer tuberculosis cases detected, 6,000 additional deaths, and 80,000 fewer life-years.

Conclusions: Though a trial may yield positive NMB in conventional VOI analysis owing to expected cost savings, some clinical outcomes might be unfavorable. To better inform priorities, VOI studies should include disaggregated outcomes alongside aggregated NMB.

目的:传统的信息价值(VOI)分析基于综合临床和成本结果的综合成本效益措施。我们试图通过评估和报告“分解”的组成部分来强调潜在的信息权衡,允许利益相关者(如临床医生、患者、试验资助者、政策制定者和试验网络)确定是什么推动了额外研究的价值。方法:我们使用微观模拟来预测一项假设试验的价值,该试验比较了南非感染人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)的住院患者与不同结核病筛查策略相关的死亡率。除了将VOI表示为传统的“累计”净货币效益(NMB)外,我们还评估了有助于NMB计算的“分类”结果:检测到的结核病病例、死亡、生命年限和与试验知情决策相关的医疗保健成本。我们在概率敏感性分析中改变了关键参数。我们考虑了两个支付意愿阈值:每年挽救生命(YLS) 3000美元(约占南非人均国内生产总值(GDP)的50%);根据基线分析,780美元/YLS是决策不确定性最高的支付意愿值。结果:在支付意愿= $3000/YLS时,实施试验后最佳策略将产生有利的NMB增量($ 6.543亿)和更好的临床结果(新增57,000例结核病病例,减少16,000例死亡,并增加294,000个生命年),但它将在5年内产生额外的3740万美元的医疗保健费用。按照支付意愿= 780美元/每年寿命计算,实施试验后最优战略将产生250万美元的正增量新结核分枝杆菌,同时使医疗保健费用降低1 100万美元,但它将产生更差的临床结果:减少18 000例结核病病例,增加6 000例死亡,减少8万生命年。结论:尽管在传统的VOI分析中,由于预期的成本节约,试验可能产生阳性的NMB,但一些临床结果可能是不利的。为了更好地告知优先事项,VOI研究应包括分类结果和汇总NMB。
{"title":"Component Clinical and Cost Outcomes Complementing Value of Information: Case Study of a Tuberculosis Diagnostics Clinical Trial.","authors":"Pamela Pei, Livia Qoshe, Grady Florance, Ankur Pandya, Milton C Weinstein, Kenneth A Freedberg, A David Paltiel, Krishna P Reddy","doi":"10.1007/s40273-026-01595-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40273-026-01595-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>Conventional value-of-information (VOI) analysis bases decisions on a composite cost-effectiveness measure that aggregates clinical and cost outcomes. We sought to highlight potentially informative tradeoffs by estimating and reporting the \"disaggregated\" components, allowing stakeholders-such as clinicians, patients, trial funders, policymakers, and trial networks-to identify what drives the value of additional research.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used a microsimulation to project the value of a hypothetical trial comparing mortality associated with different tuberculosis screening strategies among hospitalized patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in South Africa. Apart from expressing VOI as conventional, \"aggregated\" net monetary benefit (NMB), we assessed \"disaggregated\" outcomes that contribute to NMB calculations: tuberculosis cases detected, deaths, life-years, and healthcare costs associated with trial-informed decisions. We varied key parameters in probabilistic sensitivity analysis. We considered two willingness-to-pay thresholds: US $3000/year of life saved (YLS) (~50% of South Africa's per-capita gross domestic product [GDP]); and $780/YLS, the willingness-to-pay value where decision uncertainty is highest, per the baseline analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>At willingness to pay = $3000/YLS, implementing the post-trial optimal strategy would produce favorable incremental NMB ($654.3 million) and better clinical outcomes (57,000 additional tuberculosis cases detected, 16,000 fewer deaths, and 294,000 more life-years), but it would incur an additional $37.4 million in healthcare costs over 5 years. At willingness to pay = $780/YLS, implementing the post-trial optimal strategy would yield positive incremental NMB of $2.5 million while lowering healthcare costs by $11 million, but it would produce worse clinical outcomes: 18,000 fewer tuberculosis cases detected, 6,000 additional deaths, and 80,000 fewer life-years.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Though a trial may yield positive NMB in conventional VOI analysis owing to expected cost savings, some clinical outcomes might be unfavorable. To better inform priorities, VOI studies should include disaggregated outcomes alongside aggregated NMB.</p>","PeriodicalId":19807,"journal":{"name":"PharmacoEconomics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147369928","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Revising the Adolescent Meningococcal Vaccine Schedule in the United States. 修订美国青少年脑膜炎球菌疫苗接种计划的公共卫生影响和成本效益
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-026-01599-z
Oscar Herrera-Restrepo, Ginita Jutlla, Jonathan Graham, Justin Carrico, Mei Grace, Zeki Kocaata, Diana E Clements, Cindy Burman, Anar Andani, Hiral Shah

Background: In 2025, invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) vaccination in United States (US) adolescents consisted of two standard of care (SoC) schedules: Q-Q-B-B (routine MenACWY [Q] at ages 11 and 16 years; MenB [B] under shared clinical decision-making [SCDM] at age 16 years and 6 months later) or Q-P-B (routine MenACWY at ages 11 and 16 years; MenABCWY [P] at age 16 years and MenB under SCDM 6 months later). We assessed public health impact (PHI) and cost-effectiveness (CE) of intervention strategies on the basis of potential implementation options and revisions to the adolescent meningococcal vaccine schedule proposed in June 2024 by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.

Methods: A model utilizing epidemiological and economic inputs compared projected outcomes for 27 intervention strategies (distinguished by vaccine type [Q, P, and/or B], recommendation type [routine, risk-based], and dosing interval for MenB-containing vaccines [0,6-month , 0,24-month]) versus no vaccination or SoC over 15 years (2025-2039). Discounted outcomes (societal perspective) included IMD cases, deaths, and quality-adjusted life-year losses averted; total direct and indirect costs; and incremental CE ratios.

Results: Retaining routine MenACWY at age 11-12 years and including routine or risk-based MenB-containing vaccines at age 16 years improved PHI versus SoC, particularly with 0,6-month dosing interval for MenB-containing vaccines. Five strategies incorporating MenABCWY improved PHI and were cost-saving versus SoC: Q-Q-B-B.

Conclusions: Adolescent meningococcal vaccine schedule revisions retaining routine MenACWY and incorporating risk-based or routine MenABCWY may increase PHI in a cost-effective manner, minimizing the humanistic and economic burden of IMD.

背景:2025年,美国青少年的侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病(IMD)疫苗接种包括两种标准护理(SoC)方案:Q-Q-B-B(11岁和16岁时常规MenACWY [Q]; 16岁和6个月后共同临床决策[SCDM]下的MenB [B])或Q-P-B(11岁和16岁时常规MenACWY [P]; 16岁时MenABCWY [P]和6个月后SCDM下的MenB)。根据美国疾病控制与预防中心免疫实践咨询委员会于2024年6月提出的青少年脑膜炎球菌疫苗计划的潜在实施方案和修订,我们评估了干预策略的公共卫生影响(PHI)和成本效益(CE)。方法:一个利用流行病学和经济学输入的模型比较了27种干预策略(按疫苗类型[Q、P和/或B]、推荐类型[常规、基于风险]和含menb疫苗的剂量间隔[0、6个月、0、24个月]区分)与15年(2025-2039年)未接种疫苗或SoC的预测结果。折现结果(社会视角)包括IMD病例、死亡和质量调整生命年避免的损失;直接和间接总成本;增量CE比率。结果:在11-12岁时保留常规MenACWY,在16岁时接种常规或基于风险的含menb疫苗,与SoC相比,PHI得到改善,特别是在含menb疫苗接种间隔0.6个月时。与SoC相比,采用menabcy的五种策略改善了PHI并节省了成本:Q-Q-B-B。结论:修订青少年脑膜炎球菌疫苗接种计划,保留常规MenACWY,并纳入基于风险的或常规MenABCWY,可能以经济有效的方式增加PHI,最大限度地减少IMD的人文和经济负担。
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引用次数: 0
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PharmacoEconomics
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