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Cost-Utility Analysis of Treatment Sequences for Moderate-to-Severe Crohn's Disease. 中重度克罗恩病治疗顺序的成本-效用分析。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01531-x
Matthijs M Versteegh, Simone A Huygens, Inigo Bermejo, Sabine Grimm, Marieke Pierik, Tessa Römkens, Fiona van Schaik, Peter Wahab

Objectives: The clinical pathway for patients with moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease (CD) typically includes sequential pharmacologic treatment as well as surgery, but positioning of different therapies within these sequences remains challenging. Cost-utility analysis rarely captures these sequences and does not incorporate registry data on long-term effectiveness. In this study, we aim to overcome these limitations.

Methods: We developed an individual state transition model with four health states (active disease, remission, and remission due to surgery and death), five sequential treatment lines, and surgery. Efficacy data from network meta-analyses (NMA) for biologic naive and biologic exposed patients were combined with Dutch registry data to forecast long-term benefit, calculate costs, and estimate utilities. Analyses had a Dutch societal perspective with a lifetime time horizon. Costs were reported in 2023 euros and discounted with 3%. Effects were reported in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and discounted with 1.5%. The cost-per-QALY threshold was €20,000. Deterministic analyses for the base case, three scenarios (including recently published trials or price declines for ustekinumab), and one-way sensitivity analysis were run with 30,000 patients. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted by sampling 1000 patients in 1000 model runs.

Results: When opting for step-up sequences, the most cost-effective sequence (out of 156 sequences) starts with either azathiopurine/6-mp or methotrexate and is followed by combination therapy (infliximab + azathioprine) when patients discontinue their first line owing to disease activity or discontinuation. The most cost-effective top-down sequence (out of 72) starts with combination therapy (infliximab + azathioprine). After two lines of treatment, differences in cost-effectiveness between biologics become smaller. To be equally cost-effective as anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) combination therapy, a price decline for ustekinumab (biosimilars) of 81% is required or 50% to become the preferred option after combination therapy. Validation against external data suggested good predictive capabilities of the model.

Conclusions: Integrating NMA and registry data improves the quality of cost-effectiveness models for treatment sequences in CD. This open-source model can be easily updated for future therapies and holds the potential to become a standard model for use in clinical guideline development and the economic evaluation of new drugs.

目的:中重度克罗恩病(CD)患者的临床途径通常包括顺序药物治疗和手术治疗,但在这些序列中定位不同的治疗方法仍然具有挑战性。成本效用分析很少捕捉到这些序列,也没有纳入长期有效性的注册数据。在本研究中,我们的目标是克服这些限制。方法:我们建立了一个包含四种健康状态(活动性疾病、缓解、因手术和死亡而缓解)、五种顺序治疗线和手术的个体状态转换模型。来自网络荟萃分析(NMA)的生物制剂初治和生物制剂暴露患者的疗效数据与荷兰注册数据相结合,以预测长期获益,计算成本和估计效用。分析采用了荷兰人的社会视角和一生的时间跨度。成本报告为2023欧元,折扣率为3%。以质量调整生命年(QALYs)报告效果,折扣率为1.5%。每个qaly的成本门槛为2万欧元。对3万名患者进行了基本病例、三种情况(包括最近发表的试验或ustekinumab价格下降)的确定性分析和单向敏感性分析。在1000个模型运行中抽样1000例患者进行概率敏感性分析。结果:当选择强化序列时,最具成本效益的序列(156个序列中)从硫唑嘌呤/6-mp或甲氨蝶呤开始,当患者因疾病活动或停药而停止一线治疗时,随后进行联合治疗(英夫利昔单抗+硫唑嘌呤)。最具成本效益的自上而下的顺序(72个)开始联合治疗(英夫利昔单抗+硫唑嘌呤)。经过两条治疗路线后,生物制剂之间的成本效益差异变小。为了与抗肿瘤坏死因子(TNF)联合治疗具有同等的成本效益,ustekinumab(生物仿制药)的价格需要下降81%或50%才能成为联合治疗后的首选。对外部数据的验证表明该模型具有良好的预测能力。结论:整合NMA和注册数据提高了CD治疗序列成本-效果模型的质量。该开源模型可以很容易地为未来的治疗进行更新,并有可能成为临床指南制定和新药经济评估的标准模型。
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引用次数: 0
Scoping Review of Productivity-Adjusted Life Years (PALYs): Methods, Applications and Policy Implications. 生产力调整生命年(PALYs)的范围审查:方法、应用和政策含义。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01544-6
Zanfina Ademi, Dina Abushanab, Maria J Alfonso Arvez, Clara Marquina, Karl Vivoda, Janne Martikainen, Piia Lavikainen, Melanie Lloyd, Danny Liew

Objective: To understand the application of productivity-adjusted life years (PALYs) as an outcome measure across various disease contexts.

Methods: We conducted a scoping review of studies published between 2018 and April 2025 that utilised PALYs to illustrate their potential applications and identify methodological approaches that have been applied. Using a citation-based search, we selected studies that applied PALYs to quantify societal health burdens in specific diseases or contexts. Extracted data included health conditions, country, timeframe, model type, outcomes, productivity index components, gross domestic product and sensitivity analysis. Findings were summarised through narrative synthesis.

Results: A total of 41 studies conducted between 2018 and 2025 were reviewed, including chronic diseases such as diabetes and cardiovascular diseases, as well as environmental factors. Conditions such as breast cancer, leukaemia, kidney disease, mental health, knee osteoarthritis, epilepsy and sleep apnoea had the lowest productivity indices. Most of these studies originated from high-income countries (n = 27), followed by upper-middle-income (n = 10), and lower-middle-income (n = 4) settings. Life table models were the most common methodological approach adopted (n = 26), followed by dynamic models (n = 10). Studies focused on disease prevention (n = 21) outnumbered those addressing disease management (n = 18). Most studies accounted for both absenteeism and presenteeism (n = 30). Estimates of productivity loss per person using gross domestic product ranged from US$1137 to AU$217,983 annually.

Conclusions: PALYs have been utilised in diverse diseases and contexts, highlighting their utility in measuring societal health impacts. However, adding unpaid and informal work makes burden estimates more accurate. The increasing emphasis on prevention indicates a strategic change in health policy and economic assessment.

目的:了解生产力调整生命年(PALYs)作为不同疾病背景下的结果测量指标的应用。方法:我们对2018年至2025年4月期间发表的研究进行了范围审查,这些研究利用PALYs来说明其潜在应用并确定已应用的方法方法。使用基于引用的搜索,我们选择了应用PALYs量化特定疾病或背景下的社会健康负担的研究。提取的数据包括健康状况、国家、时间框架、模型类型、结果、生产率指数组成部分、国内生产总值和敏感性分析。通过叙述综合总结了调查结果。结果:共回顾了2018年至2025年间开展的41项研究,包括糖尿病、心血管疾病等慢性疾病以及环境因素。乳腺癌、白血病、肾病、精神健康、膝骨关节炎、癫痫和睡眠呼吸暂停等疾病的生产率指数最低。这些研究大多来自高收入国家(n = 27),其次是中高收入国家(n = 10)和中低收入国家(n = 4)。生命表模型是最常用的方法(n = 26),其次是动态模型(n = 10)。关注疾病预防的研究(n = 21)多于关注疾病管理的研究(n = 18)。大多数研究同时考虑了旷工和出勤(n = 30)。按国内生产总值计算,每年人均生产力损失估计在1137美元至217,983澳元之间。结论:PALYs已用于各种疾病和环境,突出了它们在衡量社会健康影响方面的效用。然而,加上无薪和非正式工作使负担估算更加准确。对预防的日益重视表明卫生政策和经济评估的战略变化。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-Consequence Analysis of Natalizumab Compared with Other High-Efficacy Treatments in Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis. Natalizumab与其他高效治疗在复发-缓解型多发性硬化症患者中的成本-后果分析
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01539-3
Luca Prosperini, Vincenzo Brescia Brescia Morra, Carla Fornari, Laura Santoni, Daria Perini, Roberto Bergamaschi, Paolo Angelo Cortesi

Background: Advances in the availability and regimen optimization of highly effective disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) have led to questions about their comparative worth.

Objectives: This study evaluates the costs and effects of natalizumab versus other highly effective DMTs and the impact, in terms of times and costs, of the new subcutaneous natalizumab formulation versus the intravenous formulation in patients with RRMS in Italy.

Methods: This is a cost-consequence analysis from the Italian national health service and societal perspectives. A Markov model was developed to assess clinical and cost outcomes related to disease and DMTs. The model simulated two scenarios: one comparing natalizumab extended-dose regimen and ofatumumab and ocrelizumab, focusing on efficacy outcomes and costs, and one comparing intravenous and subcutaneous natalizumab with a focus on administration resource consumption, times, and costs. Model input data came from the literature.

Results: DMTs had similar clinical and social outcomes: natalizumab slightly reduced disease progression, increased quality-adjusted life-years, and reduced the impact on days of productivity loss and informal care. Natalizumab also resulted in statistically significant 5-year cost reductions compared with ocrelizumab and ofatumumab. Subcutaneous natalizumab improved resource consumption compared with intravenous natalizumab, saving the time of healthcare professionals, patients, and caregivers and reducing administration costs. The subcutaneous formulation was associated with statistically significant total direct and indirect cost reductions at 5 years.

Conclusion: 6-week dosing regimen of natalizumab showed a slight improvement of clinical and social outcomes and a statistically significant cost reduction compared with ocrelizumab and ofatumumab over a 5-year simulation. Moreover, subcutaneous administration reduced administration times and costs.

背景:复发-缓解型多发性硬化症(RRMS)的高效疾病改善治疗(dmt)的可用性和方案优化方面的进展导致了对其比较价值的质疑。目的:本研究评估了natalizumab与其他高效dmt的成本和效果,以及在意大利RRMS患者中,新的皮下natalizumab制剂与静脉制剂在时间和成本方面的影响。方法:这是从意大利国家卫生服务和社会的角度进行成本-后果分析。开发了一个马尔可夫模型来评估与疾病和dmt相关的临床和成本结果。该模型模拟了两种情况:一种是比较natalizumab延长剂量方案与ofatumumab和ocrelizumab,重点关注疗效结果和成本;另一种是比较静脉注射和皮下注射natalizumab,重点关注给药资源消耗、时间和成本。模型输入数据来自文献。结果:dmt具有相似的临床和社会结果:natalizumab略微减少了疾病进展,增加了质量调整生命年,减少了生产力损失天数和非正式护理的影响。与ocrelizumab和ofatumumab相比,Natalizumab也导致统计学上显著的5年成本降低。与静脉纳他珠单抗相比,皮下纳他珠单抗改善了资源消耗,节省了医疗保健专业人员、患者和护理人员的时间,并降低了管理成本。皮下配方与统计上显著的5年总直接和间接成本降低相关。结论:与ocrelizumab和ofatumumab相比,为期6周的natalizumab给药方案在临床和社会结果方面略有改善,并且在5年的模拟中具有统计学意义的成本降低。此外,皮下给药减少了给药时间和成本。
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引用次数: 0
The Economic Burden of Inflammatory Arthritis: A Systematic Review. 炎症性关节炎的经济负担:系统综述。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01534-8
Xiaoyu Zhang, Jiaru Liu, Zhengwei Wang, James Galloway, Sam Norton, Sumeet Singla, Huajie Jin

Background and objective: Inflammatory arthritis is a common condition treated in rheumatology clinics, contributing significantly to healthcare costs and societal burden. Understanding the economic impact of inflammatory arthritis requires a comprehensive analysis through cost-of-illness studies. This systematic review aims to gather up-to-date cost-of-illness data on inflammatory arthritis from various countries, identify the primary cost drivers, describe shifts in cost components and appraise the quality of cost-of-illness study reporting in this field.

Methods: An electronic search was performed across four databases, including MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and the Health Management Information Consortium, to identify cost-of-illness studies on inflammatory arthritis published over the past two decades. The primary outcome was the annual cost per patient with inflammatory arthritis, categorised by cost components. All costs were standardised to 2024 US dollar values. The quality of the included studies was evaluated using the Larg and Moss checklist and the modified Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist.

Results: From an initial 12,264 publications, 82 studies were included in this review, covering axial spondyloarthritis (n = 49), psoriatic arthritis (n = 30), reactive arthritis (n = 2), rheumatoid arthritis (n = 13; 2019 onwards) and seronegative/seropositive rheumatoid arthritis (n = 8). Annual total societal costs varied considerably across inflammatory arthritis subtypes and countries. Medication expenditures consistently emerged as the primary direct healthcare cost driver, while productivity losses due to morbidity constituted the major component of indirect costs. Carer productivity loss represented a substantial proportion of indirect costs (up to 60.9%), yet was infrequently reported. Over time, we observed an increasing proportion of medication-related costs and a decreasing proportion of productivity losses for axial spondyloarthritis, alongside a reduction in inpatient care costs for psoriatic arthritis. These evolving cost distributions mirror patterns previously reported in rheumatoid arthritis. Methodological gaps were evident, with most studies lacking sensitivity analyses and comprehensive cost perspectives.

Conclusions: A substantial economic impact of inflammatory arthritis across different regions and subtypes was identified. This review emphasises the importance of including comprehensive cost components to fully assess the economic burden of inflammatory arthritis and provides methodological recommendations for future studies.

背景和目的:炎症性关节炎是风湿病诊所治疗的一种常见疾病,对医疗费用和社会负担有重要影响。了解炎症性关节炎的经济影响需要通过疾病成本研究进行全面分析。本系统综述旨在收集各国关于炎症性关节炎的最新疾病成本数据,确定主要成本驱动因素,描述成本组成部分的变化,并评估该领域疾病成本研究报告的质量。方法:通过四个数据库进行电子检索,包括MEDLINE、Embase、Cochrane系统评价数据库和健康管理信息联盟,以确定在过去二十年中发表的关于炎症性关节炎的疾病成本研究。主要结局是每个炎症性关节炎患者的年度费用,按费用组成部分分类。所有成本都被标准化为2024年的美元价值。采用Larg and Moss检查表和修订后的综合卫生经济评价报告标准(CHEERS)检查表对纳入研究的质量进行评价。结果:从最初的12264篇论文中,本综述纳入了82项研究,包括轴性脊柱炎(n = 49)、银屑病关节炎(n = 30)、反应性关节炎(n = 2)、类风湿性关节炎(n = 13; 2019年起)和血清阴性/血清阳性类风湿性关节炎(n = 8)。不同的炎症性关节炎亚型和不同的国家,每年的社会总成本差异很大。药物支出一直是主要的直接医疗保健成本驱动因素,而发病率造成的生产力损失则是间接成本的主要组成部分。职业生产力损失占间接成本的很大一部分(高达60.9%),但很少被报道。随着时间的推移,我们观察到轴性脊柱炎的药物相关费用比例增加,生产力损失比例下降,同时银屑病关节炎的住院治疗费用减少。这些不断变化的成本分布反映了先前在类风湿关节炎中报道的模式。方法上的差距很明显,大多数研究缺乏敏感性分析和全面的成本观点。结论:确定了不同地区和亚型的炎性关节炎对经济的重大影响。这篇综述强调了包括综合成本成分的重要性,以充分评估炎症性关节炎的经济负担,并为未来的研究提供了方法学建议。
{"title":"The Economic Burden of Inflammatory Arthritis: A Systematic Review.","authors":"Xiaoyu Zhang, Jiaru Liu, Zhengwei Wang, James Galloway, Sam Norton, Sumeet Singla, Huajie Jin","doi":"10.1007/s40273-025-01534-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40273-025-01534-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background and objective: </strong>Inflammatory arthritis is a common condition treated in rheumatology clinics, contributing significantly to healthcare costs and societal burden. Understanding the economic impact of inflammatory arthritis requires a comprehensive analysis through cost-of-illness studies. This systematic review aims to gather up-to-date cost-of-illness data on inflammatory arthritis from various countries, identify the primary cost drivers, describe shifts in cost components and appraise the quality of cost-of-illness study reporting in this field.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>An electronic search was performed across four databases, including MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and the Health Management Information Consortium, to identify cost-of-illness studies on inflammatory arthritis published over the past two decades. The primary outcome was the annual cost per patient with inflammatory arthritis, categorised by cost components. All costs were standardised to 2024 US dollar values. The quality of the included studies was evaluated using the Larg and Moss checklist and the modified Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From an initial 12,264 publications, 82 studies were included in this review, covering axial spondyloarthritis (n = 49), psoriatic arthritis (n = 30), reactive arthritis (n = 2), rheumatoid arthritis (n = 13; 2019 onwards) and seronegative/seropositive rheumatoid arthritis (n = 8). Annual total societal costs varied considerably across inflammatory arthritis subtypes and countries. Medication expenditures consistently emerged as the primary direct healthcare cost driver, while productivity losses due to morbidity constituted the major component of indirect costs. Carer productivity loss represented a substantial proportion of indirect costs (up to 60.9%), yet was infrequently reported. Over time, we observed an increasing proportion of medication-related costs and a decreasing proportion of productivity losses for axial spondyloarthritis, alongside a reduction in inpatient care costs for psoriatic arthritis. These evolving cost distributions mirror patterns previously reported in rheumatoid arthritis. Methodological gaps were evident, with most studies lacking sensitivity analyses and comprehensive cost perspectives.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>A substantial economic impact of inflammatory arthritis across different regions and subtypes was identified. This review emphasises the importance of including comprehensive cost components to fully assess the economic burden of inflammatory arthritis and provides methodological recommendations for future studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":19807,"journal":{"name":"PharmacoEconomics","volume":" ","pages":"1389-1403"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145176612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Innovative Contracting for Gene Therapies: Current Landscape and Perspectives on the Future of Gene Therapy Financing in the USA. 基因治疗的创新承包:美国基因治疗融资的现状和前景。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01563-3
Tyler D Wagner, Jacqlyn W Riposo, Kendra M Gould, Jonathan D Campbell, James T Kenney, Claire M Csenge, Theresa Schmidt
<p><strong>Background and objective: </strong>Over the last decade, payers in the USA have been exploring novel financing mechanisms for gene therapies (GTs). Our research objective was to assess the landscape of innovative contracts (ICs) between payers and manufacturers for GTs and identify barriers and opportunities for future contract development and implementation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used a multi-method approach including a targeted literature review and interviews. We developed a framework defining 'innovative contracts' as agreements using real-world outcomes that link to the total price paid for gene therapy, encompassing value-based pricing, outcome-based payments, and performance-based models between payers and manufacturers. We searched for published information about implementation of ICs for GTs in PubMed and government, industry, and research institutions from January 2014 to January 2025. We excluded any insights specific to ICs for non-GTs as well as those relevant to ex-US markets. We supplemented these findings with bibliographic searches. Semi-structured interviews with payers, manufacturers, and other diverse representatives from the GT financing ecosystem were conducted to validate and enrich the literature findings.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The PubMed search yielded ten studies relevant to implementation of ICs. Gray literature included over 50 publications referencing active contracts, policy solutions, payer budget impact, and state Medicaid programs' innovative GT contracting. Information on manufacturer and payer contracts was publicly available for 10 of 14 gene therapies (71%). Of 16 identified GT contracts, eight used upfront payments with milestone-based rebates, two used performance-based installment payments, one offered upfront payment with a rebate or payment over 5 years, and five do not have publicly available details on the type of financial arrangement. Interviews (N = 15) suggested that barriers to ICs include a lack of mutual trust between payers and manufacturers, lack of data conveying the return on investment for innovative contracts, lack of a sufficient incentive for stakeholders to engage in contracting, perceived regulatory limitations (e.g., implications of Medicaid Best Price), and patient portability challenges. Some interviewees believed that ICs should be the standard for GTs, while others stated that ICs should only be pursued when they are expected to have a significant impact on timely patient access in the early launch period when payers are considering limited or no coverage. Interviewees indicated that policy changes may encourage future contracting negotiation and implementation.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Widespread uptake of ICs will require a multi-stakeholder collaboration to overcome common barriers, as a one-size-fits-all approach is insufficient for diverse stakeholder needs. Establishing industry-wide contracting principles and practices may help br
背景和目的:在过去的十年中,美国的支付者一直在探索基因治疗(gt)的新型融资机制。我们的研究目标是评估gt付款人和制造商之间创新合同(ic)的前景,并确定未来合同开发和实施的障碍和机会。方法:我们采用了多种方法,包括有针对性的文献回顾和访谈。我们开发了一个框架,将“创新合同”定义为使用与基因治疗支付总价相关的现实结果的协议,包括基于价值的定价、基于结果的支付以及付款人和制造商之间基于绩效的模型。我们检索了2014年1月至2025年1月在PubMed、政府、行业和研究机构中发表的关于GTs集成电路实施的信息。我们排除了任何针对非gts的特定ic以及与美国以外市场相关的见解。我们用书目检索来补充这些发现。对支付方、制造商和来自GT融资生态系统的其他不同代表进行了半结构化访谈,以验证和丰富文献发现。结果:PubMed检索产生了10项与ic实施相关的研究。灰色文献包括50多份出版物,涉及主动合同、政策解决方案、付款人预算影响和州医疗补助计划的创新GT合同。14种基因疗法中有10种(71%)的制造商和付款人合同信息是公开的。在已确定的16份GT合同中,8份采用了里程碑式的预付款回扣,2份采用了基于业绩的分期付款,1份提供了回扣或5年分期付款的预付款,5份没有公开财务安排的详细信息。访谈(N = 15)表明,ic的障碍包括支付者和制造商之间缺乏相互信任,缺乏传达创新合同投资回报的数据,缺乏利益相关者参与合同的足够激励,感知到的监管限制(例如,医疗补助最优价格的影响),以及患者可移植性挑战。一些受访者认为,ic应该成为GTs的标准,而另一些人则表示,只有在预计ic在早期启动阶段,当付款人考虑有限覆盖或没有覆盖时,对患者及时获得产生重大影响时,才应该采用ic。受访者表示,政策变化可能会鼓励未来的合同谈判和执行。结论:ic的广泛采用需要多方利益相关者的合作来克服共同的障碍,因为一刀切的方法不足以满足不同利益相关者的需求。建立全行业的合同原则和实践可能有助于弥合意见分歧,并在合同各方之间建立信任,允许利益相关者分享早期采用者的经验教训,并支持有效的合同流程,促进一致和公平的患者获得GTs,同时确保医疗系统的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Highlights from the Manifesto on the Health Economics of Cardiovascular Disease Prevention. 《心血管疾病预防卫生经济学宣言》的要点。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01537-5
Zanfina Ademi, Sheridan E Rodda, Karl Vivoda, Susan Hennessy, Olive Fenton, James S Ware

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major contributor to the health and economic burden of disease globally. In this paper we discuss the literature on the health economics of the prevention and early intervention in CVD. We reveal the large economic impact of CVD and provide the economic argument supporting the calls for early detection and diagnosis of CVD outlined in the Global Heart Hub's patient-led Manifesto for Change. Many challenges in conducting cost-effectiveness analyses of interventions for CVD prevention are identified, as well as the emerging statistical and economic methods to help overcome these issues. Lastly, we acknowledge the profound disparities in cardiovascular health faced by minority or underserved populations, and the important role that prevention and early intervention can play in improving health equity.

心血管疾病(CVD)是造成全球疾病健康和经济负担的一个主要因素。本文讨论了有关心血管疾病预防和早期干预的卫生经济学文献。我们揭示了心血管疾病的巨大经济影响,并提供了支持全球心脏中心患者主导的变革宣言中概述的早期发现和诊断心血管疾病的呼吁的经济论据。在开展心血管疾病预防干预措施的成本效益分析方面,确定了许多挑战,以及帮助克服这些问题的新兴统计和经济方法。最后,我们承认少数群体或服务不足人群在心血管健康方面存在巨大差异,预防和早期干预可以在改善健康公平方面发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Eliciting and Anchoring Health State Preferences Using Discrete Choice Experiments Among Adults, Adolescents, and Children. 在成人、青少年和儿童中使用离散选择实验引出和锚定健康状态偏好。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01530-y
Shitong Xie, Tianxin Pan, Juan Manuel Ramos-Goni, Brendan Mulhern, Zhihao Yang, Richard Norman, Nancy Devlin, Feng Xie

Objective: We aimed to compare EQ-5D-Y-5L health state preferences among children, adolescents, and adults in Canada using a discrete choice experiment (DCE), and to explore the feasibility of a rescaling latent DCE using anchoring tasks collected from adolescents.

Methods: An online survey was conducted to elicit preferences for EQ-5D-Y-5L health states from children (aged 12-15 years), adolescents (aged 16-17 years), and adults (aged ≥ 18 years). All respondents completed 12 latent DCE tasks. Adults and adolescents were randomly assigned to three additional anchoring tasks using a DCE with duration or with dead. The tasks were framed from the perspective of a 10-year-old child for adults and their own perspective for children and adolescents. Respondents provided feedback on the difficulty of latent DCE tasks. Mixed logit models were used to analyze latent DCE data. Anchored DCE models using duration/dead tasks were estimated and compared between adults and adolescents.

Results: Overall, 546 children, 508 adolescents, and 908 adults were included in the analyses. A higher proportion of children indicated it easy to complete DCE tasks compared with adolescents and adults. Monotonicity of coefficients were observed in latent DCE models among adults but not among children and adolescents. Anchored DCE modeling performed better in adults than in adolescents regarding monotonicity and statistical significance of coefficients, and the DCE with duration performed slightly better than the DCE with dead.

Conclusions: There were differences in health state preferences elicited using DCEs between children/adolescents and adults. Anchoring tasks appeared feasible for adolescents, with a DCE with duration performing slightly better than a DCE with dead.

目的:我们旨在通过离散选择实验(DCE)比较加拿大儿童、青少年和成人的EQ-5D-Y-5L健康状态偏好,并探讨使用从青少年收集的锚定任务重新衡量潜在DCE的可行性。方法:通过在线调查,了解儿童(12-15岁)、青少年(16-17岁)和成人(≥18岁)对EQ-5D-Y-5L健康状态的偏好。所有被调查者都完成了12个潜在的DCE任务。成人和青少年被随机分配到三个额外的锚定任务,使用持续时间或死亡时间的DCE。这些任务从成人10岁儿童的角度出发,从儿童和青少年自己的角度出发。被调查者对潜在DCE任务的难度提供了反馈。使用混合logit模型分析潜在DCE数据。使用持续时间/死亡任务的锚定DCE模型在成人和青少年之间进行了估计和比较。结果:总共有546名儿童、508名青少年和908名成年人被纳入分析。与青少年和成人相比,儿童更容易完成DCE任务。在成人中观察到潜在DCE模型的系数单调性,但在儿童和青少年中没有。锚定的DCE模型在系数的单调性和统计显著性方面优于青少年,并且持续时间的DCE模型略优于死亡时间的DCE模型。结论:儿童/青少年与成人在使用dce引起的健康状态偏好上存在差异。锚定任务对青少年来说是可行的,有持续时间的DCE比有死亡时间的DCE表现稍好。
{"title":"Eliciting and Anchoring Health State Preferences Using Discrete Choice Experiments Among Adults, Adolescents, and Children.","authors":"Shitong Xie, Tianxin Pan, Juan Manuel Ramos-Goni, Brendan Mulhern, Zhihao Yang, Richard Norman, Nancy Devlin, Feng Xie","doi":"10.1007/s40273-025-01530-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40273-025-01530-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>We aimed to compare EQ-5D-Y-5L health state preferences among children, adolescents, and adults in Canada using a discrete choice experiment (DCE), and to explore the feasibility of a rescaling latent DCE using anchoring tasks collected from adolescents.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>An online survey was conducted to elicit preferences for EQ-5D-Y-5L health states from children (aged 12-15 years), adolescents (aged 16-17 years), and adults (aged ≥ 18 years). All respondents completed 12 latent DCE tasks. Adults and adolescents were randomly assigned to three additional anchoring tasks using a DCE with duration or with dead. The tasks were framed from the perspective of a 10-year-old child for adults and their own perspective for children and adolescents. Respondents provided feedback on the difficulty of latent DCE tasks. Mixed logit models were used to analyze latent DCE data. Anchored DCE models using duration/dead tasks were estimated and compared between adults and adolescents.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 546 children, 508 adolescents, and 908 adults were included in the analyses. A higher proportion of children indicated it easy to complete DCE tasks compared with adolescents and adults. Monotonicity of coefficients were observed in latent DCE models among adults but not among children and adolescents. Anchored DCE modeling performed better in adults than in adolescents regarding monotonicity and statistical significance of coefficients, and the DCE with duration performed slightly better than the DCE with dead.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>There were differences in health state preferences elicited using DCEs between children/adolescents and adults. Anchoring tasks appeared feasible for adolescents, with a DCE with duration performing slightly better than a DCE with dead.</p>","PeriodicalId":19807,"journal":{"name":"PharmacoEconomics","volume":" ","pages":"1353-1366"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144874460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Surrogate Outcomes Used as Proxies in Rare Long-Term Conditions: Evidence Assessment Group Perspective. 在罕见的长期疾病中用作代理的替代结果:证据评估组的观点。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-09 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01525-9
Eugenie Evelynne Johnson, Giovany Orozco-Leal, Aalya Al-Assaf, Hangjian Wu, Opeyemi Agbeleye, Sedighe Hosseini-Jebeli, Tumi Sotire, Emma Dobson, Sheila A Wallace, Fiona Pearson, Stephen Rice
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Role and Policy Implications of Using External Evidence in Survival Extrapolations: A Case Study of Axicabtagene Ciloleucel Therapy for Second-Line DLBCL. 评估在生存推断中使用外部证据的作用和政策意义:以阿西卡他格尼西洛韦治疗二线DLBCL为例。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01529-5
Sam Harper, Daniela Afonso, Karina Watts, Brett Doble, Oskar Eklund, Sachin Vadgama, Julia Thornton Snider, Stephen Palmer, Matthew Taylor

Background and objective: Health technology assessment (HTA) of haemato-oncology therapies typically requires extrapolation of long-term survival beyond a trial's follow-up. Health technology assessment agencies must balance caution around uncertainty in early follow-up trial data whilst aiming to provide timely access. This study qualitatively and quantitatively assessed how eight HTA agencies considered maturing data and external evidence.

Methods: The eight HTA appraisals were based on ZUMA-7, a phase III trial for axicabtagene ciloleucel (axi-cel) for second-line diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. ZUMA-7 survival data were submitted with either a 25-month ('Interim') or 47-month ('Primary') follow-up. To inform axi-cel Interim survival extrapolations, external evidence was available from a prior mature single-arm trial for third-line or later diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (ZUMA-1). A qualitative assessment of eight different submissions to HTA agencies was undertaken to determine key discussion points. The value and cost of waiting for evidence to mature between Interim and Primary analyses were quantified using value of information methods to evaluate the impact of waiting for further evidence collection on population health.

Results: Agencies used varied approaches to account for uncertainty in survival extrapolations in both Interim and Primary analyses. No agency considered external evidence fully during Interim submissions; one used it partially to inform clinical plausibility; four did not consider it. Health technology assessment agencies that did not consider the relevance of ZUMA-1 were more inclined to wait for more mature evidence to mitigate uncertainty. When ZUMA-1 aided in determining a plausible range for Interim extrapolations, the less valuable more mature evidence became, with the cost of waiting for Primary analysis results exceeding the value conferred.

Conclusions: There was limited consideration of external evidence during the included HTA submissions. In the future, it is recommended that external evidence should be considered to a greater degree by both manufacturers and HTA agencies when extrapolating survival to ensure appropriate and timely HTA decisions that minimise the undue burden on healthcare systems.

背景和目的:血液肿瘤治疗的健康技术评估(HTA)通常需要在试验随访后推断长期生存。卫生技术评估机构必须对早期后续试验数据的不确定性保持谨慎,同时力求提供及时的获取途径。本研究定性和定量地评估了八家HTA机构如何考虑成熟的数据和外部证据。方法:8项HTA评估基于ZUMA-7,这是一项用于治疗二线弥漫性大b细胞淋巴瘤的axicabtagene ciloleucel(轴细胞)的III期试验。ZUMA-7的生存数据通过25个月(“中期”)或47个月(“主要”)随访提交。为了为轴细胞中期生存推断提供信息,外部证据来自先前针对三线或晚期弥漫性大b细胞淋巴瘤(ZUMA-1)的成熟单臂试验。对提交给人道主义事务管理局各机构的八份不同意见书进行了定性评估,以确定主要讨论点。在中期和初级分析之间等待证据成熟的价值和成本使用信息价值方法进行量化,以评估等待进一步证据收集对人口健康的影响。结果:在中期和初级分析中,各机构使用了不同的方法来解释生存推断的不确定性。没有任何机构在提交临时材料时充分考虑外部证据;一种是部分地使用它来告知临床合理性;四个没有考虑。不考虑ZUMA-1相关性的卫生技术评估机构更倾向于等待更成熟的证据来减轻不确定性。当ZUMA-1帮助确定临时外推的合理范围时,价值越低的证据越成熟,等待初级分析结果的成本超过了所赋予的价值。结论:在纳入的HTA提交过程中,对外部证据的考虑有限。在未来,建议制造商和HTA机构在推断生存率时更大程度地考虑外部证据,以确保HTA做出适当和及时的决定,最大限度地减少医疗系统的不必要负担。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Using Individual-Level Data is Sensitive to the Choice of Uniform Priors on the Standard Deviations for Costs in Log-Normal Models. 使用个人数据的贝叶斯成本效益分析对对数正态模型中成本标准差的统一先验选择很敏感。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01511-1
Xiaoxiao Ling, Andrea Gabrio, Gianluca Baio

Background: Bayesian cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) requires the specification of prior distributions for all parameters to be empirically estimated via Bayes' rule. When costs are modelled via Log-Normal distributions, Uniform prior distributions are commonly applied on the logarithm-scale standard deviations for costs due to the ease of implementation. However, the consequences of placing wide Uniform priors on standard deviations of log costs for the interpretation of original-scale CEA results remain unclear. The purpose of our study is to explore the impact of using Uniform priors for the standard deviations of cost data on CEA conclusions when costs are assumed to be log-normally distributed.

Methods: The analysis has been performed using individual-level cost-utility data from a randomised controlled trial. Costs are initially jointly modelled with quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) using Log-Normal and Beta distributions, respectively. Uniform prior distributions with different upper bounds are applied to log-scale standard deviations in the cost Log-Normal model. We compare the performance of Uniform priors under the Log-Normal distribution with other distributional assumptions for costs. A simulation study has then been conducted to explore the impact of these models and prior choices on cost estimates in CEAs.

Results: Results show that the choice of Uniform priors on standard deviations of log costs in a Log-Normal model can substantially induce large fluctuations in cost estimates, and thus potentially affect the final estimates of the intervention being cost-effective compared with other distributional assumptions. This is potentially driven by the occurrence of zero values in cost data.

Conclusion: Bayesian CEAs may be sensitive to the choice of upper bounds of the Uniform priors for the standard deviations of log costs in Log-Normal models, particularly when data contain zero values. Our results suggest that caution should be taken when Uniform distributions with large upper bounds are used.

背景:贝叶斯成本效益分析(CEA)要求通过贝叶斯规则对所有参数的先验分布进行经验估计。当成本通过对数正态分布建模时,由于易于实现,通常将均匀先验分布应用于成本的对数尺度标准差。然而,对于原始尺度CEA结果的解释,在对数成本的标准偏差上放置广泛的统一先验的后果仍不清楚。本研究的目的是探讨当成本假设为对数正态分布时,成本数据的标准差使用统一先验对CEA结论的影响。方法:使用随机对照试验的个人水平成本效用数据进行分析。成本最初分别使用对数正态分布和Beta分布与质量调整寿命年(QALYs)联合建模。在代价对数正态模型中,对数尺度标准差采用具有不同上界的均匀先验分布。我们比较了均匀先验在对数正态分布下与其他成本分布假设下的性能。然后进行了一项模拟研究,以探索这些模型和先前选择对cea成本估算的影响。结果:结果表明,在log - normal模型中,选择对数成本标准差的均匀先验会导致成本估算的大幅波动,从而潜在地影响干预措施与其他分布假设相比具有成本效益的最终估计。这可能是由于成本数据中出现零值造成的。结论:贝叶斯cea可能对对数正态模型中对数成本标准差的统一先验上界的选择很敏感,特别是当数据包含零值时。我们的结果表明,当使用具有大上界的均匀分布时,应该谨慎。
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PharmacoEconomics
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