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Under-reporting of Validation Efforts for Health Economic Models Persists Despite the Availability of Validation Tools: A Systematic Review. 尽管有验证工具,但对卫生经济模型验证工作的低报告仍然存在:一项系统回顾。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01491-2
Katharina Abraham, Isaac Corro Ramos, C Louwrens Braal, Talitha Feenstra, Anne Kleijburg, George A K van Voorn, Carin Uyl-de Groot

Objective: In this study we aimed to identify possible changes over time in validation efforts and the way in which they are reported for model-based health economic (HE) evaluations, given the introduction of several new validation tools and methods in the past decade.

Methods: A systematic review was conducted using PubMed and Embase on published HE models for early breast cancer (EBC) for the period 2016 to 2024. AdViSHE-consisting of four validation categories that cover the main HE model aspects-was utilized to systematically evaluate the reported evaluation efforts. The percentage of studies reporting validation per category was compared with the review by de Boer et al. that covers the years 2008 to 2015.

Results: Of the 2199 records, 78 studies fulfilled the eligibility criteria. Reported validation efforts did not significantly improve compared with the previous period, except for the validation of input data by experts. Reporting on the validation of the conceptual model remained low with around 10% of the studies providing validation. Validation of the computerized model and validation against outcomes using alternative input data were the most underreported validation categories with < 4% of the studies. The validation of model outcomes, specifically cross validity and the comparison with empirical data, remained the most reported categories in this review also, with 52% and 36%, respectively. When validation efforts were reported, this was done in a non-systematic manner, and the tests and results were rarely detailed.

Conclusion: Overall reporting of validation efforts for model-based HE evaluations in the past decade did not significantly change compared with the previous decade.

目的:在本研究中,我们旨在确定验证工作随着时间的推移可能发生的变化,以及在过去十年中引入了几种新的验证工具和方法的情况下,基于模型的健康经济(HE)评估的报告方式。方法:利用PubMed和Embase对2016 - 2024年已发表的早期乳腺癌HE模型进行系统评价。advishe由四个验证类别组成,涵盖了HE模型的主要方面,用于系统地评估报告的评估工作。将每个类别报告验证的研究的百分比与de Boer等人2008年至2015年的综述进行比较。结果:在2199项记录中,78项研究符合入选标准。除了专家对输入数据的验证外,报告的验证工作与前一期相比没有显着改善。关于概念模型验证的报告仍然很低,只有大约10%的研究提供了验证。计算机模型的验证和使用替代输入数据对结果的验证是最被低估的验证类别。结论:与前十年相比,过去十年中基于模型的HE评估的验证工作的总体报告没有显着变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Evolving Landscape of Discrete Choice Experiments in Health Economics: A Systematic Review. 健康经济学中离散选择实验的演变图景:系统回顾。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01495-y
Sven Petrus Henricus Nouwens, Stella Maria Marceta, Michael Bui, Daisy Maria Alberta Hendrika van Dijk, Catharina Gerarda Maria Groothuis-Oudshoorn, Jorien Veldwijk, Janine Astrid van Til, Esther Wilhelmina de Bekker-Grob

Introduction: Stakeholder preference evaluations are increasingly emphasized in healthcare policy and health technology assessment. Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are the most common method for quantifying preferences among patients, the public, and healthcare professionals. While prior reviews (1990-2017) have examined DCE trends, no comprehensive synthesis exists for studies published since 2018. This updated review (2018-2023) provides critical insights into evolving methodologies and global trends in health-related DCEs.

Methods: A systematic search (2018-2023) of Medline, Embase, and Web of Science identified relevant studies. Studies were screened for inclusion and data were extracted, including details on DCE design and analysis. To enable trend comparisons, the search strategy and extraction items aligned with previous reviews.

Results: Of 2663 identified papers, 1279 met the inclusion criteria, reflecting a significant rise in published DCEs over time. DCEs were conducted globally, with a remarkable increase in publications from Asia and Africa compared with previous reviews. Experimental designs and econometric models have advanced, continuing prior trends. Notably, most recent DCEs were administered online.

Discussion: The rapid growth of DCE applications underscores their importance in health research. While the methodology is advancing rapidly, it is crucial that researchers provide full transparency in reporting their methods, particularly in detailing experimental designs and validity tests, which are too often overlooked. Key recommendations include improving reporting of experimental designs, applying validity tests, following good practices for presenting benefit-risk attributes, and adopting open science practices. Ensuring methodological rigor will maximize the impact and reproducibility of DCE research in health economics.

在卫生政策和卫生技术评估中,利益相关者偏好评价越来越受到重视。离散选择实验(dce)是量化患者、公众和医疗保健专业人员偏好的最常用方法。虽然之前的综述(1990-2017)研究了DCE趋势,但自2018年以来发表的研究没有全面的综合。这一更新的综述(2018-2023)提供了与健康相关的dce不断发展的方法和全球趋势的重要见解。方法:系统检索Medline、Embase和Web of Science的相关研究(2018-2023)。筛选纳入研究并提取数据,包括DCE设计和分析的详细信息。为了实现趋势比较,搜索策略和提取项目与以前的评论保持一致。结果:在2663篇确定的论文中,1279篇符合纳入标准,反映了随着时间的推移,发表的dce显著增加。发展评估是在全球范围内进行的,与以前的审查相比,亚洲和非洲的出版物显著增加。实验设计和计量经济模型已经推进,延续了先前的趋势。值得注意的是,最近的dce都是在线管理的。讨论:DCE应用的快速增长强调了它们在卫生研究中的重要性。虽然该方法正在迅速发展,但至关重要的是,研究人员在报告其方法时提供充分的透明度,特别是在详细说明实验设计和有效性测试时,这一点经常被忽视。主要建议包括改进实验设计报告、应用有效性测试、遵循展示收益-风险属性的良好做法以及采用开放科学实践。确保方法的严谨性将最大限度地提高DCE研究在卫生经济学中的影响和可重复性。
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引用次数: 0
The Use of EQ-5D in the Middle East and North Africa Region: A Systematic Literature Review. EQ-5D在中东和北非地区的使用:系统的文献综述。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01483-2
Abeer Al Rabayah, Sibylle Puntscher, Fatima Al Sayah, Razan Sawalha, Elly Stolk, Judit Simon, Michael Drummond, Uwe Siebert

Introduction: The EQ-5D is the most commonly used preference-based measure of health-related quality of life. There is limited evidence about the use of the EQ-5D in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. This study aimed to systematically identify, review, summarize, and synthesize the published literature on using the EQ-5D in this region.

Methods: A systematic literature review was conducted, according to the PRISMA 2020 guidelines, using PubMed, Cochrane, PsycINFO, and CINAHL and covering the period up to 30 August 2024. Studies using any version of the EQ-5D in adults or youth in the MENA region were included. Pilot studies, guidelines, study protocols, and reviews were excluded. Key study characteristics and outcomes assessed included study design, clinical area, population, type of EQ-5D data reported, reference value set used, and mode of administration. Title/abstract screening was conducted independently by two reviewers to assess eligibility for inclusion. Two researchers completed full-text screening and extracted data using a standardized form. Disagreements were referred to a third reviewer if not resolved by discussion. Results were summarized in systematic evidence tables.

Results: After removing duplicates, 18,034 references were considered for title/abstract screening. In total, 184 studies were included with a total sample size of 128,164 subjects. Of the included single-country studies, 42% were reported in Iran, 20% in Saudi Arabia, and 11% in Jordan. Patient populations were investigated in 86% of the studies, 23% of which targeted endocrine diseases. Study design was observational in 57% and experimental in 14% of the studies. Only 10% of the included studies applied the EQ-5D in an economic evaluation. The EQ-5D-3L version was used in 40% of the studies. However, the trend is towards a greater use of the 5L version in more recent years. Twenty percent of the studies reported EQ-5D results using the index score, frequencies of severity levels per dimension, and visual analog scale scores. EQ-5D modes of administration and funding sources were not reported in 16% and 20% of the studies, respectively.

Conclusion: There is an increased use of the EQ-5D in the MENA region, especially since 2020. In the region, the use of the EQ-5D is more prevalent in clinical studies than in economic evaluation studies. The reporting heterogeneity indicates the need for guidance in reporting EQ-5D study results in this region.

EQ-5D是最常用的基于偏好的健康相关生活质量测量方法。关于EQ-5D在中东和北非(MENA)地区使用的证据有限。本研究旨在系统地识别、回顾、总结和综合已发表的关于EQ-5D在该地区应用的文献。方法:根据PRISMA 2020指南,使用PubMed、Cochrane、PsycINFO和CINAHL进行系统文献综述,时间截止到2024年8月30日。在中东和北非地区的成人或青少年中使用任何版本的EQ-5D的研究被包括在内。排除了试点研究、指南、研究方案和综述。评估的主要研究特征和结果包括研究设计、临床区域、人群、报告的EQ-5D数据类型、使用的参考值集和给药方式。标题/摘要筛选由两位审稿人独立进行,以评估纳入资格。两名研究人员完成了全文筛选,并使用标准化表格提取数据。如果不能通过讨论解决分歧,则将其提交给第三位审稿人。结果汇总成系统证据表。结果:去除重复后,18034篇文献被纳入标题/摘要筛选。共纳入184项研究,总样本量为128,164名受试者。在纳入的单一国家研究中,伊朗报告了42%,沙特阿拉伯报告了20%,约旦报告了11%。86%的研究调查了患者群体,其中23%针对内分泌疾病。57%的研究采用观察性设计,14%采用实验性设计。在纳入的研究中,只有10%的研究将EQ-5D用于经济评估。40%的研究使用了EQ-5D-3L版本。然而,趋势是朝着更大的使用5L版本在最近几年。20%的研究报告EQ-5D结果使用指数得分、每个维度的严重程度频率和视觉模拟量表得分。在16%和20%的研究中分别没有报告EQ-5D管理模式和资金来源。结论:EQ-5D在中东和北非地区的使用有所增加,特别是自2020年以来。在该地区,EQ-5D的使用在临床研究中比在经济评估研究中更为普遍。报告的异质性表明该地区报告EQ-5D研究结果需要指导。
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引用次数: 0
Societal Versus Healthcare Perspectives on the Cost Effectiveness of Ocrelizumab for Treatment of Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis in Aotearoa New Zealand. Ocrelizumab治疗新西兰原发性进行性多发性硬化症的成本效益的社会与医疗视角
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01486-z
Richard J Milne, Carsten Schousboe, Julie A Campbell, John Mottershead

Objectives: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a progressive, degenerative, autoimmune neuronal disease. This study compares the impact of a societal versus a healthcare perspective on the cost effectiveness of treatment of primary progressive MS (PPMS) with ocrelizumab (OCR) versus best supportive care (BSC) in New Zealand.

Methods: The analysis utilises a lifetime cohort Markov model based on ten Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) states, plus death. It has two structurally identical arms, with forward transition probabilities in the treatment arm obtained by multiplying forward transition probabilities (converted to rates, and back to probabilities) in the control arm by the 12-week disability progression hazard ratio in the clinical trial ORATORIO. Direct and indirect costs of MS were estimated from a 2017 Australian survey and converted to 2024 NZ dollars using purchasing power parity and the NZ consumer price index. Future costs and benefits were discounted at 3.5% per annum. The model is calibrated to NZ mortality for PPMS, and therapy ends when wheelchair dependence (EDSS7) is reached.

Results: For a modelled cohort 40 years of age starting at the ORATORIO distribution of EDSS, at 50% of the list price (viz. 50% rebate on $NZ37,384 per patient per annum), the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of OCR versus BSC is $NZ114,427 per QALY ($US64,651) from a societal perspective or $NZ146,711 ($US82,892) from a healthcare perspective. From a societal perspective, at Treasury's willingness to pay (WTP) criterion of $NZ120,200, an acquisition cost up to 56% of list price ($NZ20,935; 44% rebate) is justifiable. From a healthcare payer perspective, at Treasury's implied WTP of $NZ43,313, an acquisition cost up to 10% of list price ($NZ3738; 90% rebate) is justifiable. Based on this metric, a 5.6-fold higher investment in OCR can be justified from a societal perspective compared with a healthcare perspective. Alternatively, an acquisition cost up to 37.9% of list price (viz. 62.1% rebate or $NZ14,169) could be justified if the criterion of one GDP per capita ($NZ83,011) is used as a societal funding threshold. These results are sensitive to the cost of BSC from a societal perspective but not from a healthcare perspective. From both perspectives the cost effectiveness is sensitive to the acquisition cost and efficacy of OCR, potential waning of efficacy, the age and EDSS state when therapy begins, the cost and timing of entry of a biosimilar pharmaceutical and the discount rate.

Conclusions: Treatment of PPMS with OCR is more cost effective from a societal than a healthcare perspective, therefore prioritisation of public funding of novel pharmaceuticals for MS and other resource intensive chronic health conditions will depend critically upon the study perspective.

目的:多发性硬化症(MS)是一种进行性、退行性、自身免疫性神经元疾病。本研究比较了社会和医疗保健角度对新西兰ocrelizumab (OCR)与最佳支持治疗(BSC)治疗原发性进展性MS (PPMS)的成本效益的影响。方法:采用基于十种扩展残疾状态量表(EDSS)状态加上死亡的终身队列马尔可夫模型进行分析。它有两个结构相同的组,治疗组的前向转移概率是通过将对照组的前向转移概率(转换为比率,再转换为概率)乘以临床试验ORATORIO中的12周残疾进展风险比得到的。MS的直接和间接成本是根据2017年澳大利亚的一项调查估算的,并使用购买力平价和新西兰消费者价格指数转换为2024年的新西兰元。未来成本和收益按每年3.5%折现。该模型被校准为PPMS的新西兰死亡率,当达到轮椅依赖(EDSS7)时,治疗结束。结果:对于一个40岁的模型队列,从EDSS的ORATORIO分布开始,按目录价格的50%(即每位患者每年37,384美元的50%回扣),OCR与BSC的增量成本效益比(ICER)从社会角度来看,每个QALY为114,427美元(64,651美元),从医疗保健角度来看,为146,711美元(82,892美元)。从社会角度来看,按照财政部120,200新西兰元的意愿支付(WTP)标准,收购成本高达标价(20,935新西兰元;44%的回扣)是合理的。从医疗保健支付方的角度来看,按照财政部43,313新西兰元的隐含WTP计算,收购成本最高可达标价的10%(3738新西兰元;90%的回扣)是合理的。基于这一指标,从社会角度来看,与医疗保健角度相比,OCR投资高出5.6倍是合理的。或者,如果将人均GDP(83,011新西兰元)作为社会资助门槛,则收购成本最高可达标价的37.9%(即62.1%的回扣或14,169新西兰元)是合理的。从社会角度来看,这些结果对平衡计分卡的成本敏感,但从医疗保健角度来看则不然。从这两个角度来看,成本效益对OCR的获得成本和疗效、疗效的潜在减弱、治疗开始时的年龄和EDSS状态、生物仿制药的成本和进入时间以及贴现率都很敏感。结论:从社会的角度来看,用OCR治疗PPMS比从医疗保健的角度来看更具成本效益,因此,针对MS和其他资源密集型慢性疾病的新药的公共资金优先次序将关键取决于研究的角度。
{"title":"Societal Versus Healthcare Perspectives on the Cost Effectiveness of Ocrelizumab for Treatment of Primary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis in Aotearoa New Zealand.","authors":"Richard J Milne, Carsten Schousboe, Julie A Campbell, John Mottershead","doi":"10.1007/s40273-025-01486-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40273-025-01486-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a progressive, degenerative, autoimmune neuronal disease. This study compares the impact of a societal versus a healthcare perspective on the cost effectiveness of treatment of primary progressive MS (PPMS) with ocrelizumab (OCR) versus best supportive care (BSC) in New Zealand.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The analysis utilises a lifetime cohort Markov model based on ten Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) states, plus death. It has two structurally identical arms, with forward transition probabilities in the treatment arm obtained by multiplying forward transition probabilities (converted to rates, and back to probabilities) in the control arm by the 12-week disability progression hazard ratio in the clinical trial ORATORIO. Direct and indirect costs of MS were estimated from a 2017 Australian survey and converted to 2024 NZ dollars using purchasing power parity and the NZ consumer price index. Future costs and benefits were discounted at 3.5% per annum. The model is calibrated to NZ mortality for PPMS, and therapy ends when wheelchair dependence (EDSS7) is reached.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>For a modelled cohort 40 years of age starting at the ORATORIO distribution of EDSS, at 50% of the list price (viz. 50% rebate on $NZ37,384 per patient per annum), the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of OCR versus BSC is $NZ114,427 per QALY ($US64,651) from a societal perspective or $NZ146,711 ($US82,892) from a healthcare perspective. From a societal perspective, at Treasury's willingness to pay (WTP) criterion of $NZ120,200, an acquisition cost up to 56% of list price ($NZ20,935; 44% rebate) is justifiable. From a healthcare payer perspective, at Treasury's implied WTP of $NZ43,313, an acquisition cost up to 10% of list price ($NZ3738; 90% rebate) is justifiable. Based on this metric, a 5.6-fold higher investment in OCR can be justified from a societal perspective compared with a healthcare perspective. Alternatively, an acquisition cost up to 37.9% of list price (viz. 62.1% rebate or $NZ14,169) could be justified if the criterion of one GDP per capita ($NZ83,011) is used as a societal funding threshold. These results are sensitive to the cost of BSC from a societal perspective but not from a healthcare perspective. From both perspectives the cost effectiveness is sensitive to the acquisition cost and efficacy of OCR, potential waning of efficacy, the age and EDSS state when therapy begins, the cost and timing of entry of a biosimilar pharmaceutical and the discount rate.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Treatment of PPMS with OCR is more cost effective from a societal than a healthcare perspective, therefore prioritisation of public funding of novel pharmaceuticals for MS and other resource intensive chronic health conditions will depend critically upon the study perspective.</p>","PeriodicalId":19807,"journal":{"name":"PharmacoEconomics","volume":" ","pages":"969-985"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12255576/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143975564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does the Informal Carer Identification Method Matter? Evidence from Self-Declaration and Time Diary Approaches. 非正式照顾者识别方法重要吗?来自自我陈述和时间日记方法的证据。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01506-y
Sean Urwin, Charles Smith, Matt Sutton

Objectives: Impacts on informal carers are increasingly being incorporated into cost-of-illness and cost-effectiveness analyses. However, little is known about whether the method used to identify carers affects the estimated impacts. We compare a novel time diary technique to a common self-declaration question for identifying carers. We investigate whether it: (1) detects more and different carers, and (2) if carers across identification techniques have different mental health outcomes.

Methods: We use the Innovation Panel component of the UK Household Longitudinal Study, which records all activities performed in two 24-h periods and contains a rich set of individual characteristics. We use regression analysis to compare the number and characteristics of carers identified across the two methods. We then use the doubly robust approach of entropy balancing combined with regression adjustment to estimate the mental health impacts of caregiving across both methods.

Results: Among 1055 individuals, we identify 261 carers by at least one method. The self-declaration method fails to classify 16% of individuals identified as carers through time diary data. We find that carers identified by the time diary have a 1.24 (p < 0.05) higher score on the 36-point General Health Questionnaire (GHQ) scale in the subsequent survey wave compared with similar non-carers. For self-declared carers, the estimated difference in GHQ score is 0.36 (p > 0.1), a smaller and statistically non-significant association compared with that observed among time diary-identified carers CONCLUSIONS: The mental health impacts of caregiving may be underestimated when carers are identified by self-declaration. Supplementing self-declaration with time diaries may offer a means of including more carers. Future research, if only one method is applied, should more carefully consider the means of identifying informal carers and the implications that the use of one method may have on conclusions.

目标:对非正式护理人员的影响越来越多地被纳入疾病成本和成本效益分析。然而,很少有人知道用于确定照顾者的方法是否会影响估计的影响。我们将一种新颖的时间日记技术与一种常见的自我声明问题进行比较,以确定照顾者。我们研究它是否:(1)检测到更多和不同的照顾者,以及(2)不同识别技术的照顾者是否有不同的心理健康结果。方法:我们使用英国家庭纵向研究的创新面板组件,它记录了在两个24小时期间进行的所有活动,并包含了丰富的个人特征。我们使用回归分析来比较两种方法确定的照顾者的数量和特征。然后,我们使用熵平衡结合回归调整的双重稳健方法来估计两种方法中护理对心理健康的影响。结果:在1055个人中,我们通过至少一种方法识别出261名照顾者。通过时间日记数据,自我声明法无法将16%的人归类为照顾者。我们发现,在随后的调查中,时间日记识别的照顾者在36分的一般健康问卷(GHQ)量表上的得分比类似的非照顾者高1.24 (p < 0.05)。对于自我声明的照顾者,GHQ评分的估计差异为0.36 (p > 0.1),与时间日记识别的照顾者相比,相关性较小且统计学上不显著。结论:当通过自我声明识别照顾者时,照顾者的心理健康影响可能被低估。用时间日记来补充自我声明可能会提供一种吸引更多照顾者的方式。未来的研究,如果只采用一种方法,应该更仔细地考虑确定非正式照顾者的方法以及使用一种方法可能对结论产生的影响。
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引用次数: 0
When Evidence Falls Short-Belzutifan for Treating Tumours Associated with von Hippel-Lindau Disease: An External Assessment Group Perspective on a NICE Single Technology Appraisal. 当证据不足时,贝祖替芬治疗与希佩尔-林道病相关的肿瘤:NICE单一技术评估的外部评估小组视角
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01505-z
Isaac Corro Ramos, Susan O'Meara, Mubarak Patel, Lisa Stirk, Jiongyu Chen, Xiaoyu Tian, Nigel Armstrong
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引用次数: 0
Cost-Effectiveness of a Digital Leakage Notification System (Heylo™) for People with Ileostomies or Colostomies in the United Kingdom. 英国回肠造口术或结肠造口术患者的数字泄漏通知系统(hello™)的成本效益
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01498-9
Esben Bo Boisen, Matthew Cawson, Lasse de Fries Jensen, Stuart Mealing, Naomi van Hest

Background: People with stomas report a substantial negative impact of stomal effluent leaking outside the ostomy baseplate and subsequent complications in their professional and social lives, causing immense worry. However, many patients are not able to recognize leakages in a timely manner. We conducted a cost-effectiveness study to evaluate the impact of a digital leakage notification system (DLNS) to reduce leakages outside the baseplate (LOB) and worry about leakage for people with intestinal stomas from a UK National Health Service and Personal Social Services perspective.

Methods: A Markov model for ostomy care was used to compare health-related quality of life and costs for adults with ileostomies or colostomies using UK standard of care ostomy products with the DLNS (intervention) or without the DLNS (comparator). The base case model used a 3-year time horizon with 1-week cycles and an annual 3.5% discounting of utilities and costs. Patients in all health states experience LOB events and/or worry about leakage as events associated with one-time utility decrements and costs of additional healthcare provider visits and ostomy product use. Probabilities of LOB (DLNS, 46.5%; comparator, 78.6%) and worry about leakage (DLNS, 39.1%; comparator, 78.6%) were based on clinical trial results. Peristomal skin complications were included in the model with the same probabilities of occurrence in the intervention and comparator arms. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed to test the robustness of the base case model assumptions.

Results: In the base case analysis, the DLNS arm had 49.81 fewer LOB events per person than the comparator arm, resulting in 0.309 incremental quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and cost savings of British Pound Sterling (GBP) £1703 per person over 3 years (2023/2024 costing year). The DLNS arm had 56.98 fewer worry about leakage events per person, resulting in cost savings of £403 per person. Total costs and QALYs were £18,600 and 1.818 for the intervention arm, respectively, and £18,566 and 1.509 for the comparator arm. Overall, the DLNS provided 0.309 incremental QALYs at an incremental cost of £34 versus the comparator arm for an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £110/QALY gained, well below a willingness-to-pay threshold of £20,000/QALY. Sensitivity analyses showed the DLNS was cost-effective in 97.6% of simulations.

Conclusions: This analysis suggests that the DLNS added to standard of care ostomy products is a cost-effective intervention to help prevent LOB events and reduce worry about leakage for people with stomas in the UK. Results of the present study suggest that timely awareness of leakage has a positive impact on the health-related quality of life of people with stomas and on the direct costs of stoma management in the UK.

背景:造口患者报告了造口废水在造口基板外泄漏及其并发症对其职业和社会生活的重大负面影响,引起了极大的担忧。然而,许多患者不能及时识别渗漏。我们进行了一项成本效益研究,以评估数字泄漏通知系统(DLNS)对减少基板外泄漏(LOB)的影响,并从英国国家卫生服务和个人社会服务的角度担心肠瘘患者的泄漏。方法:采用造口护理的马尔可夫模型比较使用英国标准护理造口产品加DLNS(干预)或不加DLNS(比较)的成人回肠造口或结肠造口的健康相关生活质量和成本。基本情况模型使用3年的时间范围,周期为1周,公用事业和成本的年折现率为3.5%。所有健康状态的患者都会经历LOB事件和/或担心泄漏,因为这些事件与一次性效用下降以及额外的医疗保健提供者就诊和使用造口产品的费用有关。LOB (DLNS)概率46.5%;比较器,78.6%)和担心渗漏(DLNS, 39.1%;比较者(78.6%)根据临床试验结果。模型中包括了在干预组和比较组中发生率相同的口周皮肤并发症。进行敏感性和情景分析以检验基本情况模型假设的稳健性。结果:在基本病例分析中,DLNS组比对照组人均少49.81例LOB事件,导致质量调整生命年(QALYs)增加0.309年,3年(2023/2024成本年)每人节省成本1703英镑(GBP)。DLNS部门对泄漏事件的担忧减少了56.98人,每人节省了403英镑的成本。干预组的总成本和质量年分别为18,600英镑和1.818英镑,比较组的总成本和质量年分别为18,566英镑和1.509英镑。总体而言,DLNS以34英镑的增量成本提供了0.309个增量QALY,而比较组的增量成本效益比为110英镑/QALY,远低于20,000英镑/QALY的支付意愿门槛。敏感性分析表明,DLNS在97.6%的模拟中具有成本效益。结论:本分析表明,在英国,将DLNS添加到标准护理造口产品中是一种具有成本效益的干预措施,有助于预防LOB事件,减少造口患者对泄漏的担忧。本研究的结果表明,及时意识到泄漏对英国造口患者的健康相关生活质量和造口管理的直接成本具有积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Microsimulation Modeling for Health Decision Sciences Using C++: A Tutorial. 健康决策科学的c++微仿真建模教程。
IF 4.6 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01526-8
Aku-Ville Lehtimäki, Janne Martikainen

Microsimulation models have become increasingly common in the field of decision modeling for health. Because microsimulation models are computationally more demanding than traditional Markov cohort models, the use of computer programming languages in their development has become more common. C++ is a programming language that has gained widespread recognition in computationally intensive fields, including systems modeling and performance-critical applications. It offers powerful tools for building high-performance microsimulation models, outpacing many traditional modeling software solutions, such as native R, in terms of speed and control over memory management. However, there is limited accessible guidance for implementing microsimulation models in C++. This tutorial offers a step-by-step approach to constructing microsimulation models in C++ and demonstrates its application through simplified but adaptable example decision models. We walk the reader through essential steps and provide generic C++ code that is flexible and suitable for adapting to a range of models. Finally, we present the standalone C++ models and their Rcpp counterparts run within R, and compare their performance to equivalent R implementations in terms of speed and memory efficiency.

微观仿真模型在卫生决策建模领域已经变得越来越普遍。由于微仿真模型在计算上比传统的马尔可夫队列模型要求更高,因此在其开发中使用计算机编程语言变得更加普遍。c++是一种编程语言,在计算密集型领域获得了广泛的认可,包括系统建模和性能关键应用程序。它为构建高性能微仿真模型提供了强大的工具,在速度和内存管理控制方面超过了许多传统的建模软件解决方案,如原生R。然而,在c++中实现微仿真模型的指导是有限的。本教程提供了在c++中逐步构建微仿真模型的方法,并通过简化但适应性强的示例决策模型演示了其应用。我们引导读者完成基本步骤,并提供灵活且适合适应各种模型的通用c++代码。最后,我们介绍了在R中运行的独立c++模型及其对应的Rcpp模型,并将它们的性能与等效的R实现在速度和内存效率方面进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
Defining Biological and Clinical Plausibility: The DICSA Framework for Protocolized Assessment in Survival Extrapolations Across Therapeutic Areas. 定义生物学和临床合理性:跨治疗领域生存推断的DICSA协议化评估框架。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01485-0
Bart Heeg, Dawn Lee, Jane Adam, Maarten Postma, Mario Ouwens

Background: Numerous health technology assessment guidance documents emphasize the importance of biological/clinical plausibility of modeled lifetime incremental survival without clearly defining it.

Objectives: This paper defines biologically and clinically plausible lifetime survival extrapolations and proposes a framework to systematically assess this by comparing survival expectations estimated premodeling, with the final modeled survival extrapolations. This framework is embedded in a survival extrapolation protocol template, which ensures that both the expectations and extrapolations are based on unified, comprehensive evidence.

Methods: A targeted review was conducted of 29 guidance documents from National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee, Haute Autorité de Santé, Canada's Drug Agency, and European joint clinical assessment, focusing on survival analysis, evidence synthesis, cost-effectiveness modeling methods, and use of observational data.

Results: Survival extrapolations are biologically/clinically plausible when "predicted survival estimates that fall within the range considered plausible a-priori, obtained using a-priori justified methodology." These a priori expectations should utilize the totality of evidence available and take into account local target setting (i.e., survival-influencing aspects such as patient population, treatment pathway, and country). Pre-protocolized biologically/clinically plausible survival extrapolation was operationalized in a five-step DICSA approach: (1) Describe the target setting as defined by all relevant treatment and disease aspects that influence survival; (2) collect Information from relevant sources; (3) Compare survival-influencing aspects across information sources; (4) Set pre-protocolized survival expectations and plausible ranges; and (5) Assess how trial-based extrapolations align with the set expectations by comparing modeled survival extrapolations to the range of values a priori considered to be plausible.

Conclusion: The definition of plausibility of survival extrapolations, the operationalization of its assessment, and the corresponding extrapolation protocol template can contribute to the transparent development of biologically/clinically plausible survival extrapolations.

背景:许多卫生技术评估指导文件强调建模终身增量生存的生物学/临床合理性的重要性,但没有明确定义。目的:本文定义了生物学和临床可信的终身生存外推,并提出了一个框架,通过比较预建模估计的生存期望和最终建模的生存外推来系统地评估这一点。该框架嵌入在生存外推协议模板中,确保期望和外推都基于统一、全面的证据。方法:对来自美国国家健康与护理卓越研究所、药品效益咨询委员会、高等医学管理局、加拿大药品管理局和欧洲联合临床评估的29份指导文件进行了有针对性的综述,重点是生存分析、证据合成、成本-效果建模方法和观察性数据的使用。结果:生存外推在生物学/临床上是合理的,当“预测的生存估计落在被认为是合理的先验范围内,使用先验证明的方法获得。”这些先验预期应利用现有的全部证据,并考虑到当地的目标设定(即患者人口、治疗途径和国家等影响生存的方面)。预先制定的生物学/临床合理的生存推断通过五步DICSA方法进行操作:(1)描述影响生存的所有相关治疗和疾病方面所定义的目标设置;(2)从相关来源收集信息;(3)比较不同信息源的生存影响因素;(4)设定预先协议化的生存期望和合理范围;(5)通过将模拟的生存外推与先验认为合理的值范围进行比较,评估基于试验的外推如何与设定的期望相一致。结论:生存推断可信度的定义、评估的操作化以及相应的外推方案模板有助于生物/临床可信生存推断的透明发展。
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引用次数: 0
Reply to Comment on "Examining Consistency Across NICE Single Technology Appraisals: A Review of Appraisals for Paroxysmal Nocturnal Haemoglobinuria". 回复关于“检查NICE单一技术评价的一致性:阵发性夜间血红蛋白尿评价综述”的评论。
IF 4.4 3区 医学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-025-01499-8
Daniel Gallacher
{"title":"Reply to Comment on \"Examining Consistency Across NICE Single Technology Appraisals: A Review of Appraisals for Paroxysmal Nocturnal Haemoglobinuria\".","authors":"Daniel Gallacher","doi":"10.1007/s40273-025-01499-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s40273-025-01499-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":19807,"journal":{"name":"PharmacoEconomics","volume":" ","pages":"839-840"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144119445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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PharmacoEconomics
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