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Evaluation during war: Current realities and future possibilities of Ukrainian monitoring and evaluation 战争期间的评价:乌克兰监测和评价的现状和未来可能性
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-11-26 DOI: 10.1177/13563890221138739
Nataliya Antoniv, H. I. Kalyta, Dmytro Kondratenko, O. Krasovska, I. Kravchuk, I. Lupashko, Liubov Margolina, Larysa Pylgun, Antonina Rishko-Porcescu, Mykhailo Savva, Yulia Zinovieva
As of mid-September 2022, there are nearly 17.7 million people in need in Ukraine. As many as 14 million Ukrainians have been forced to flee their homes as a result of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, including 7.3 million refugees and 7 million displaced persons within Ukraine. The number of confirmed civilian casualties amounted to 13,212 people.1 18.9 per cent of Ukraine’s landmass is occupied by Russian forces, the frontline is constantly changing and all regions of the country, without exception, are a target of constant missile strikes. Russia is clearly not limiting its firing upon military targets but on medical and educational facilities, residential areas, as well as evacuation and volunteer centres. In such conditions, Ukrainian non-governmental organisations (NGOs), government, businesses and volunteers are working on aiding those in need and restoring the devastated territories. The unfolding conflict has made most civil society organisations (CSOs) focus on humanitarian aid and reorient their activities from development into the humanitarian sphere, where they have had to provide vital supplies and essentials in the shortest possible time to a larger number of civilians, the military or participants of the Territorial Defence Forces.
截至2022年9月中旬,乌克兰有近1770万人需要援助。由于俄罗斯对乌克兰的全面入侵,多达1400万乌克兰人被迫逃离家园,其中包括乌克兰境内的730万难民和700万流离失所者。确认的平民伤亡人数为13 212人。1 .乌克兰18.9%的陆地被俄罗斯军队占领,前线不断变化,该国所有地区无一例外都是不断受到导弹袭击的目标。俄罗斯显然没有限制其对军事目标的射击,而是对医疗和教育设施、居民区以及疏散和志愿者中心的射击。在这种情况下,乌克兰的非政府组织(ngo)、政府、企业和志愿者正在努力帮助那些需要帮助的人,重建被破坏的领土。不断发展的冲突使大多数民间社会组织把重点放在人道主义援助上,并将其活动从发展转向人道主义领域,在人道主义领域,他们必须在尽可能短的时间内向更多的平民、军队或领土防卫部队的参与者提供重要的供应品和必需品。
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引用次数: 0
Why is impact measurement abandoned in practice? Evidence use in evaluation and contracting for five European Social Impact Bonds 为什么影响测量在实践中被抛弃了?在五个欧洲社会影响债券的评估和合同的证据使用
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1177/13563890221136890
Debra Hevenstone, Alec Fraser, L. Hobi, Gemma G. M. Geuke
Despite broad consensus on the importance of measuring “impact,” the term is not always understood as estimating counterfactual and causal estimates. We examine a type of public sector financing, “Social Impact Bonds,” a scheme where investors front money for public services, with repayment conditional on impact. We examine five cases in four European countries of Social Impact Bonds financing active labor market programs, testing the claim that Social Impact Bonds would move counterfactual causal impact evaluation to the heart of policy. We examine first how evidence was integrated in contracts, second the overall evidence generated and third, given that neither contracts nor evaluations used counterfactual definitions of impact, we explore stakeholders’ perspectives to better understand the reasons why. We find that although most stakeholders wanted the Social Impact Bonds to generate impact estimates, beliefs about public service reform, incentives, and the logic of experimentation led to the acceptance of non-causal definitions.
尽管对测量“影响”的重要性有广泛的共识,但这个术语并不总是被理解为估计反事实和因果估计。我们研究了一种公共部门融资,即“社会影响债券”,这是一种投资者为公共服务预付资金的计划,偿还条件取决于影响。我们研究了四个欧洲国家社会影响债券为积极劳动力市场项目融资的五个案例,检验了社会影响债券将把反事实因果影响评估转移到政策核心的说法。我们首先考察了证据是如何整合到合同中的,其次考察了产生的总体证据,第三,鉴于合同和评估都没有使用反事实的影响定义,我们探讨了利益相关者的观点,以更好地理解其中的原因。我们发现,尽管大多数利益相关者希望社会影响债券产生影响评估,但对公共服务改革、激励措施和实验逻辑的信念导致了对非因果定义的接受。
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引用次数: 1
Pivoting to online: The benefits, challenges and possibilities for international programme evaluations 转向在线:国际项目评估的好处、挑战和可能性
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1177/13563890221137610
L. Henley, Nicky Stanley-Clarke, Anuradha Acharya, Smriti Khadka, A. Olsson
Global South non-government organizations rely on international funding and aid for continued service delivery. Service evaluation plays a significant role in ensuring compliance and ongoing service funding. Traditional service evaluation approaches could not take place during 2021 due to COVID-19, alternate mechanisms needed to be embraced. This article reports on the benefits and challenges of undertaking service evaluations online during the pandemic and the learnings and possibilities for a post-pandemic world. It emphasizes the importance of translating a relational approach to service evaluation to the online environment. Key learnings include that while some of the benefits of context and in-person connection are lost, taking a relational approach involving careful planning and reflexivity means the online evaluation process can be successful. Undertaking service evaluations online offers possibilities in a post-pandemic world as cost-effective alternatives to the expensive and time-consuming reality of in-person service evaluation across international borders and within development contexts.
全球南方非政府组织依靠国际资金和援助来继续提供服务。服务评估在确保遵守规定和持续提供服务资金方面发挥着重要作用。由于2019冠状病毒病,传统的服务评估方法在2021年无法实施,需要采用替代机制。本文报告了在大流行期间进行在线服务评估的好处和挑战,以及大流行后世界的经验教训和可能性。它强调了将服务评估的关系方法转化为在线环境的重要性。关键的经验教训包括,虽然情境和面对面联系的一些好处会失去,但采取一种涉及仔细规划和反思的关系方法意味着在线评估过程可以取得成功。在线进行服务评价为大流行病后的世界提供了可能性,作为一种具有成本效益的替代办法,可以替代昂贵而耗时的跨越国际边界和在发展范围内亲自进行的服务评价。
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引用次数: 0
Ethics of evaluation for socio-ecological transformation: Case-based critical systems analysis of motivation, power, expertise, and legitimacy 评价社会生态转型的伦理:基于案例的动机、权力、专业知识和合法性的批判系统分析
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.1177/13563890221129640
Emily F. Gates, Glenn Page, J. M. Crespo, Mauricio Nuñez Oporto, Juliana Bohórquez
Evaluation that supports social, ecological, and governance systems change and transformation raises ethical questions about what and whose worldviews do and should ground evaluative processes. This article illustrates one approach to ethical analysis within a case study of the first phase of an initiative to co-create a monitoring, evaluation, and learning system. The case drew on the principles of Blue Marble Evaluation in partnership with local staff and Indigenous leaders of the Amazon Sacred Headwaters Initiative. The approach uses critical and relational systems thinking to examine the sources of motivation, power, knowledge, and legitimacy that influence and should influence an evaluation system. Results reframe typical early phase evaluation process work from a contractual agreement to a co-created ethical space that engenders the legitimacy of the evaluation process. Contributions include a conceptual framework and process for ethical analysis that could be adapted by others.
支持社会、生态和治理系统变化和转型的评价提出了关于评价过程的伦理问题,即什么样的世界观可以和应该作为评价过程的基础。本文通过一个案例研究,阐述了一种伦理分析方法,该案例研究的第一阶段是共同创建一个监测、评估和学习系统。该案例与亚马逊神圣水源倡议的当地工作人员和土著领导人合作,借鉴了蓝色大理石评估的原则。该方法使用批判性和关系系统思维来检查影响和应该影响评估系统的动机、权力、知识和合法性的来源。结果将典型的早期评估过程工作从合同协议重新定义为共同创造的道德空间,从而产生评估过程的合法性。贡献包括一个概念框架和过程的伦理分析,可以适用于其他人。
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引用次数: 1
Parameter estimation of Markov modulated fluid arrival processes 马尔可夫调制流体到达过程的参数估计
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.peva.2022.102316
Salah Al-Deen Almousa , Gábor Horváth , Miklós Telek

Markov modulated discrete arrival processes have a wide literature, including parameter estimation methods based on expectation–maximization (EM). In this paper, we investigate the adaptation of these EM based methods to Markov modulated fluid arrival processes (MMFAP), and conclude that only the generator matrix of the modulating Markov chain of MMFAPs can be approximated by EM based method. For the rest of the parameters, the fluid rates and the fluid variances, we investigate the efficiency of numerical likelihood maximization.

To reduce the computational complexity of the likelihood computation, we accelerate the numerical inverse Laplace transformation step of the procedure with function fitting.

马尔可夫调制离散到达过程有广泛的文献,包括基于期望最大化(EM)的参数估计方法。在本文中,我们研究了这些基于EM的方法对马尔可夫调制流体到达过程(MMFAP)的适应性,并得出结论,只有MMFAP的调制马尔可夫链的发生器矩阵才能被基于EM的方法近似。对于其他参数,流体速率和流体方差,我们研究了数值似然最大化的效率。为了降低似然计算的计算复杂度,我们利用函数拟合加速了该过程的数值拉普拉斯逆变换步骤。
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引用次数: 1
I/O performance analysis of machine learning workloads on leadership scale supercomputer 领导力规模超级计算机上机器学习工作负载的I/O性能分析
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.peva.2022.102318
Ahmad Maroof Karimi , Arnab K. Paul , Feiyi Wang

The popularity of machine learning technologies and frameworks has led to an increasingly large number of machine learning workloads running on high-performance computing (HPC) clusters. The ML workflows are readily being adopted in diverse computational fields such as Biology, Physics, Materials, and Computer Science. The I/O behavior of the emerging ML workloads distinctly differs from the traditional HPC workloads, such as simulation or checkpoint/restart-based HPC I/O behavior. Additionally, the ML workloads have also pushed for the utilization of GPUs or a combination of CPUs and GPUs in addition to using only CPUs for computational tasks. The diverse and complex I/O behavior of ML workloads requires extensive study and is critical for the efficient performance of various layers of the I/O stack and the overall performance of HPC workloads. This work aims to fill the gap in understanding the I/O behavior of emerging ML workloads by providing an in-depth analysis of ML jobs running on large-scale leadership HPC systems. In particular, we have analyzed the behavior of jobs based on the scale of the jobs, the science domains, and the processing units used by the ML jobs. The analysis was performed on 23,000 ML jobs collected from one year of Darshan logs running on Summit, which is one of the fastest supercomputers. We also collect the CPU and GPU usage of 15,165 ML jobs by merging the Darshan dataset with the power usage of the processing units on Summit. Therefore, this paper is able to provide a systematic I/O characterization of ML workloads on a leadership scale HPC machine to understand how the I/O behavior differs for workloads across various science domains, the scale of workloads, and processing units and analyze the usage of parallel file system and burst buffer by ML I/O workloads. We have made several observations regarding I/O performances and access patterns through various analytical studies and discuss the important lessons learnt from the perspective of a ML user and a storage architect for emerging ML workloads running on large-scale supercomputers.

机器学习技术和框架的普及导致越来越多的机器学习工作负载运行在高性能计算(HPC)集群上。ML工作流程很容易被应用于不同的计算领域,如生物学、物理学、材料和计算机科学。新兴ML工作负载的I/O行为明显不同于传统的HPC工作负载,例如基于模拟或检查点/重启的HPC I/O行为。此外,除了仅使用cpu执行计算任务外,机器学习工作负载还推动了gpu或cpu和gpu组合的使用。ML工作负载的多样化和复杂的I/O行为需要广泛的研究,对于I/O堆栈各层的高效性能和HPC工作负载的整体性能至关重要。这项工作旨在通过对运行在大规模领先的HPC系统上的ML作业进行深入分析,填补理解新兴ML工作负载的I/O行为方面的空白。特别是,我们根据作业的规模、科学领域和ML作业使用的处理单元分析了作业的行为。该分析是对在Summit(最快的超级计算机之一)上运行的Darshan一年的日志中收集的23,000个ML作业进行的。我们还通过合并Darshan数据集和Summit上处理单元的功耗来收集15,165个ML作业的CPU和GPU使用情况。因此,本文能够在领先规模的HPC机器上提供ML工作负载的系统I/O表征,以了解不同科学领域、工作负载规模和处理单元的工作负载的I/O行为如何不同,并分析ML I/O工作负载对并行文件系统和突发缓冲区的使用情况。我们通过各种分析研究对I/O性能和访问模式进行了一些观察,并从ML用户和存储架构师的角度讨论了在大型超级计算机上运行的新兴ML工作负载的重要经验教训。
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引用次数: 1
Low-complexity scheduling algorithms with constant queue length and throughput guarantees 具有恒定队列长度和吞吐量保证的低复杂度调度算法
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.peva.2022.102310
Subrahmanya Swamy Peruru , Aravind Srinivasan , Radha Krishna Ganti , Krishna Jagannathan

Distributed scheduling algorithms based on carrier sense multiple access (CSMA) are optimal in terms of the throughput and the steady-state queue lengths. However, they take a prohibitively long time to reach the steady-state, often exponential in the network size. Therefore for large networks that operate over a finite time horizon, apart from the guarantees on the steady-state queue lengths, performance guarantees on the short-term (i.e., transient) queuing behaviour are also required. To that end, we propose distributed scheduling algorithms that are guaranteed to have O(1) expected queue lengths not just in the steady-state but at every time instant, where O() is with respect to the network size. Further, our algorithms have O(1) complexity and support a constant fraction of the maximum throughput for typical wireless topologies. The central idea of our algorithms is to resolve collisions among pairs of conflicting nodes by assigning a master–follower hierarchy. The master–follower hierarchy can either be chosen randomly or based on the topology of the conflict graph, leading to different performance guarantees.

In addition to these hierarchical collision resolution algorithms, which are primarily designed for the conflict graph-based interference model, we also propose an Aloha-based algorithm for the K-neighbour collision tolerance interference model, which is a generalization of the conflict graph model. We show that the proposed Aloha-based algorithm supports a constant fraction of the maximum throughput for typical wireless topologies.

基于载波感知多址(CSMA)的分布式调度算法在吞吐量和稳态队列长度方面是最优的。然而,它们需要很长时间才能达到稳定状态,通常是网络规模的指数级增长。因此,对于在有限时间范围内运行的大型网络,除了对稳态队列长度的保证外,还需要对短期(即瞬时)队列行为的性能保证。为此,我们提出了分布式调度算法,该算法不仅在稳定状态下,而且在每个时刻都保证有O(1)个期望队列长度,其中O(⋅)与网络大小有关。此外,我们的算法具有0(1)复杂度,并且支持典型无线拓扑的最大吞吐量的恒定部分。我们的算法的中心思想是通过分配一个主从层次结构来解决冲突节点对之间的冲突。主从层次结构可以随机选择,也可以基于冲突图的拓扑结构选择,从而产生不同的性能保证。除了这些主要为基于冲突图的干涉模型设计的分层冲突解决算法外,我们还提出了一种基于aloha的k邻冲突容限干涉模型算法,这是冲突图模型的推广。我们表明,所提出的基于aloha的算法支持典型无线拓扑的最大吞吐量的恒定分数。
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引用次数: 0
Improving Massive Access to IoT Gateways 改善物联网网关的大规模接入
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.peva.2022.102308
Erol Gelenbe , Mert Nakıp, Tadeusz Czachórski

IoT networks handle incoming packets from large numbers of IoT Devices (IoTDs) to IoT Gateways. This can lead to the IoT Massive Access Problem that causes buffer overflow, large end-to-end delays and missed deadlines. This paper analyzes a novel traffic shaping method named the Quasi-Deterministic Traffic Policy (QDTP) that mitigates this problem by shaping the incoming traffic without increasing the end-to-end delay or dropping packets. Using queueing theoretic techniques and extensive data driven simulations with real IoT datasets, the value of QDTP is shown as a means to considerably reduce congestion at the Gateway, and significantly improve the IoT network’s overall performance.

物联网网络处理来自大量物联网设备(iotd)到物联网网关的传入数据包。这可能会导致物联网大规模访问问题,导致缓冲区溢出、大的端到端延迟和错过最后期限。本文分析了一种新的流量整形方法——准确定性流量策略(QDTP),该方法通过在不增加端到端延迟或丢包的情况下对传入流量进行整形来缓解这一问题。利用排队理论技术和广泛的数据驱动模拟与真实的物联网数据集,QDTP的价值被证明是一种显着减少网关拥塞的手段,并显着提高物联网网络的整体性能。
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引用次数: 3
Asymptotic optimality of speed-aware JSQ for heterogeneous service systems 异构业务系统中速度感知JSQ的渐近最优性
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.peva.2022.102320
Sanidhay Bhambay, Arpan Mukhopadhyay

The Join-the-Shortest-Queue (JSQ) load-balancing scheme is known to minimise the average delay of jobs in homogeneous systems consisting of identical servers. However, it performs poorly in heterogeneous systems where servers have different processing rates. Finding a delay optimal scheme remains an open problem for heterogeneous systems. In this paper, we consider a speed-aware version of the JSQ scheme for heterogeneous systems and show that it achieves delay optimality in the fluid limit. One of the key issues in establishing this optimality result for heterogeneous systems is to show that the sequence of steady-state distributions indexed by the system size is tight in an appropriately defined space. The usual technique for showing tightness by coupling with a suitably defined dominant system does not work for heterogeneous systems. To prove tightness, we devise a new technique that uses the drift of exponential Lyapunov functions. Using the non-negativity of the drift, we show that the stationary queue length distribution has an exponentially decaying tail — a fact we use to prove tightness. Another technical difficulty arises due to the complexity of the underlying state-space and the separation of two time-scales in the fluid limit. Due to these factors, the fluid-limit turns out to be a function of the invariant distribution of a multi-dimensional Markov chain which is hard to characterise. By using some properties of this invariant distribution and using the monotonicity of the system, we show that the fluid limit is has a unique and globally attractive fixed point.

众所周知,加入最短队列(JSQ)负载平衡方案可以最小化由相同服务器组成的同构系统中作业的平均延迟。但是,在服务器具有不同处理速率的异构系统中,它的性能很差。对于异构系统,寻找延迟最优方案一直是一个有待解决的问题。在本文中,我们考虑了异构系统的JSQ方案的速度感知版本,并证明了它在流体限制下实现了延迟最优性。建立异构系统最优性结果的关键问题之一是证明由系统大小索引的稳态分布序列在适当定义的空间内是紧密的。通常通过与适当定义的主导系统耦合来显示紧密性的技术不适用于异构系统。为了证明紧密性,我们设计了一种利用指数李雅普诺夫函数漂移的新技术。利用漂移的非负性,我们证明了平稳队列长度分布有一个指数衰减的尾部——这是我们用来证明紧密性的事实。另一个技术困难是由于底层状态空间的复杂性和流体极限中两个时间尺度的分离。由于这些因素,流体极限变成了多维马尔可夫链不变分布的函数,难以表征。利用该不变量分布的一些性质,利用系统的单调性,证明了流体极限具有唯一且全局吸引的不动点。
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引用次数: 0
Performance evaluation of tape library systems 磁带库系统的性能评估
IF 2.2 4区 计算机科学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.peva.2022.102312
Ilias Iliadis, Linus Jordan, Mark Lantz, Slavisa Sarafijanovic

Magnetic tape provides a cost-effective way to retain the exponentially increasing volumes of data being produced. The low cost per gigabyte and the low energy consumption render tape a preferred option over hard disk drives and flash for infrequently accessed data. Assessing the performance of tape library systems is central to achieving appropriate storage provisioning and dimensioning. Performance is affected by the number and the operational characteristics of the tape drives and the robotic arms, and the mount and unmount policies deployed. In this paper, we develop a novel analytical model that accurately captures the principal aspects of tape library operation. Several relevant performance measures including the mean waiting time and the mount/unmount rates are derived. The model provides useful insights into the behavior of the tape libraries and yields results that enable a better understanding of the design tradeoffs. The validity of the model developed is confirmed by demonstrating a good agreement of the predicted performance with that obtained by simulation across various configurations. To mitigate the burden on the robotic mechanism, a scheme of accumulating multiple requests before sending them to the tape library is proposed and studied.

磁带提供了一种经济有效的方式来保存呈指数增长的数据量。每千兆字节的低成本和低能耗使得磁带比硬盘驱动器和闪存更适合用于不经常访问的数据。评估磁带库系统的性能对于实现适当的存储供应和量纲是至关重要的。性能受磁带驱动器和机械臂的数量和操作特性以及部署的挂载和卸载策略的影响。在本文中,我们开发了一个新的分析模型,准确地捕捉磁带库操作的主要方面。导出了几个相关的性能度量,包括平均等待时间和挂载/卸载率。该模型提供了对磁带库行为的有用见解,并产生了能够更好地理解设计权衡的结果。模型的有效性得到了验证,模型的预测性能与不同配置下的仿真结果非常吻合。为了减轻机器人机构的负担,提出并研究了一种将多个请求累积后再发送到磁带库的方案。
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引用次数: 0
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Performance Evaluation
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