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An Improved Class of Estimators Of Population Mean of Sensitive Variable Using Optional Randomized Response Technique 基于随机响应技术的一类改进的敏感变量总体均值估计
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i3.2877
Preeti Patidar, H. P. Singh
In this paper we have suggested a class of estimators of population mean of sensitive variable under optional randomized response technique as reported in Gupta et al  (2014). We have obtained the mean squared error  (MSE) of the suggested class of estimators up to the  first order of approximation. The optimum conditions are obtained at which the (MSE) of the  proposed class of estimators is minimum. An  empirical study is carried out to show the performance of the suggested class of estimators over existing estimators .It is found that the performance of proposed class of estimators is better than the existing estimators including Grover and Kaur (2019).
在本文中,我们提出了一类在可选随机响应技术下敏感变量总体均值的估计量,如Gupta等人(2014)所报道的。我们获得了所提出的一类估计量的均方误差(MSE),直到一阶近似。获得了所提出的一类估计量的(MSE)最小的最优条件。实证研究表明,所提出的一类估计量的性能优于现有估计量,发现所提出的这类估计量优于Grover和Kaur(2019)等现有估计量。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Tri-Model Data With a New Skew Logistic Distribution 一种新的倾斜Logistic分布对三模型数据的建模
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i3.3885
Dimpal Pathak, P. Hazarika, Subrata Chakraborty, Jondeep Das, G. G. Hamedani
This paper considers a new family of the trimodal skew logistic distributions. Some properties of this distribution, including moments, moments generating function, entropy, maximum likelihood estimates of parameters and some other properties, are presented. A simulation study is conducted to examine the performance of the parameters. Numerical optimization is carried out via two real-life datasets. Results show that the new distribution is better fitted in terms of these datasets among logistic, skew logistic and alpha skew logistic distributions based on the value of AIC and BIC.
本文考虑了一类新的三模态斜logistic分布。给出了这种分布的一些性质,包括矩、矩生成函数、熵、参数的最大似然估计以及其他一些性质。进行了仿真研究以检验参数的性能。数值优化是通过两个真实的数据集进行的。结果表明,根据AIC和BIC的值,新的分布在逻辑、偏斜逻辑和α偏斜逻辑分布中的这些数据集上更适合。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Effect of Non-response in Stratified Random Sampling using Enhanced Ratio Type Estimators under Double Sampling Strategy. 在双重抽样策略下使用增强比率型估计评估分层随机抽样中无响应的影响。
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i3.4063
Zakir Hussain Wani, S.E.H. Rizvi, 𝑛𝑥̅ 𝑠𝑡∗, 𝛾, 𝑛 𝑛′𝑥̅−, 𝑦̅ 𝑧𝑟𝑐𝑝∗, 𝑦̅, 𝑠𝑡∗, 𝑛 ′ − 𝑛 𝑛𝑥̅ 𝑠𝑡, 𝑥̅ 𝑠𝑡𝑆, 𝑥̅ 𝑠𝑡∗′, 𝑠𝑡𝑆, 𝑋̅, 𝑛 1𝑛′−, 1 𝑋̅, 𝑡, 𝑡 𝜉1𝑠𝑡∗′−, 𝜉, 𝑋̅ − 𝑋̅, − 𝑌̅ 𝑌̅, 𝑡 −, 𝜉 1𝑠𝑡∗, 𝑡 𝜉1𝑠𝑡∗′, 𝑦 𝑧𝑟𝑐𝑝∗
In this paper, separate and combined ratio type estimators have been proposed in presence of non-response for estimating the population mean under stratified random sampling when the non-response occurs both on study and the auxiliary variables and the population mean of the auxiliary variable is unknown. The expressions for the biases and mean square errors (MSEs) of the proposed estimators have been derived to the first order of approximation. The proposed estimators have been compared with the other existing estimators using MSE criterion, and the condition under which the proposed estimators perform better than existing estimators have been obtained. In addition to the theoretical research, an empirical study was conducted.
本文提出了在研究和辅助变量均无响应且辅助变量的总体均值未知的情况下,在分层随机抽样条件下的总体均值估计中存在无响应情况下的单独和组合比率型估计量。所提出的估计器的偏差和均方误差(mse)的表达式已导出到一阶近似。利用MSE准则将所提出的估计量与已有的估计量进行了比较,得到了所提出的估计量优于现有估计量的条件。在理论研究的基础上,进行了实证研究。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the Asymmetric Reinsurance Revenues Data using the Partially Autoregressive Time Series Model: Statistical Forecasting and Residuals Analysis 非对称再保险收入数据的部分自回归时间序列建模:统计预测和残差分析
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i3.4123
Salwa L. Alkhayyat, Heba Soltan Mohamed, Nadeem Shafique Butt, H. Yousof, Emadeldin I. A. Ali
The autoregressive model is a representation of a certain kind of random process in statistics, insurance, signal processing, and econometrics; as such, it is used to describe some time-varying processes in nature, economics and insurance, etc. In this article, a novel version of the autoregressive model is proposed, in the so-called the partially autoregressive (PAR(1)) model. The results of the new approach depended on a new algorithm that we formulated to facilitate the process of statistical prediction in light of the rapid developments in time series models. The new algorithm is based on the values of the autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions. The new technique is assessed via re-estimating the actual time series values. Finally, the results of the PAR(1) model is compared with the Holt-Winters model under the Ljung-Box test and its corresponding p-value. A comprehensive analysis for the model residuals is presented. The matrix of the autocorrelation analysis for both points forecasting and interval forecasting are given with its relevant plots.
自回归模型是统计学、保险学、信号处理和计量经济学中对某一类随机过程的表征;因此,它被用来描述自然、经济、保险等领域的一些时变过程。本文提出了一种新的自回归模型,即部分自回归(PAR(1))模型。新方法的结果依赖于我们制定的新算法,以促进时间序列模型快速发展的统计预测过程。该算法基于自相关函数和部分自相关函数的值。通过重新估计实际时间序列值来评估新技术。最后,通过Ljung-Box检验将PAR(1)模型与Holt-Winters模型的结果及其对应的p值进行比较。对模型残差进行了综合分析。给出了点预测和区间预测的自相关分析矩阵及其相关图。
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引用次数: 0
A new probability distribution: properties, copulas and applications in medicine and engineering 一种新的概率分布:性质、copula及其在医学和工程中的应用
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i2.3633
Mohamed K. A. Refaie, Nadeem Shafique Butt, Emadeldin I. A. Ali
In this work, we construct a three-parameter Chen modification that is flexible. The "J shape", "monotonically increasing", "U shape," and "upside down (reversed bathtub)" hazard rate forms are all supported by the new Chen extension's hazard rate. We derive pertinent statistical features. A few distributions of the bivariate kind are generated. For evaluating the model parameters, we took the maximum likelihood estimation approach into consideration. Maximal likelihood estimators are evaluated via graphical simulations. To demonstrate the applicability of the new approach, two genuine data sets are taken into consideration and examined. The Akaike Information criterion, Bayesian Information criterion, Cramer-von Mises criterion, Anderson-Darling criterion, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, and its related p-value are used to evaluate the new model with a variety of popular competing models.
在这项工作中,我们构造了一个灵活的三参数Chen修正。“J形”、“单调递增”、“U形”和“倒置(倒置浴缸)”的危险率形式都得到了新陈扩展的危险率的支持。我们得出了相关的统计特征。生成了一些双变量类型的分布。为了评估模型参数,我们考虑了最大似然估计方法。最大似然估计量通过图形模拟进行评估。为了证明新方法的适用性,考虑并审查了两个真实的数据集。使用Akaike Information准则、Bayesian Information准则、Cramer von Mises准则、Anderson Darling准则、Kolmogorov Smirnov检验及其相关p值来评估新模型和各种流行的竞争模型。
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引用次数: 0
A New Reciprocal System of Burr Type X Densities with Applications in Engineering, Reliability, Economy, and Medicine 一种新的Burr型X密度互反系统及其在工程、可靠性、经济性和医学中的应用
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i2.4310
Mohamed K. A. Refaie, Emadeldin I. A. Ali
Depending on Yousof et al. (2017a), a new one parameter G family of distributions called the reciprocal Burr X-G family is defined and studied. Special member based on the well-known Burr type XII model called the reciprocal Burr X-Burr XII distribution is studied and analyzed. Relevant properties of the new family including ordinary moments, moment of the residual life, moment of the reversed residual life and incomplete moments are derived and some of them are numerically analyzed. Four different applications to real-life data sets are presented to illustrate the applicability and importance of the new family. The new family has proven to be highly capable and flexible in practical applications and statistical modeling of real data.
根据youof等人(2017a),定义和研究了一个新的单参数G族分布,称为倒数Burr X-G族。基于著名的Burr型XII模型——互反Burr X-Burr XII分布,对特殊成员进行了研究和分析。推导了新家族的相关性质,包括普通矩、剩余寿命矩、反向剩余寿命矩和不完全矩,并对部分性质进行了数值分析。四种不同的应用,以现实生活中的数据集提出,以说明新的家庭的适用性和重要性。在实际应用和真实数据的统计建模中,新家族已经被证明具有很强的能力和灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Financial Resource Allocation Using Multiobjective Decision Making Model 基于多目标决策模型的财政资源优化配置
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i2.4201
Teg Alam
The management of each industry must strive to meet multiple financial objectives, including capital structure, dividend policy, and earnings growth. The paper proposes an approach to analyze how financial resources should be allocated optimally using a multi-objective decision-making model. As part of the study, Al Rajhi banks' financial statements are used as a case study. All of the data is drawn from the banks' financial statements. Overall, the study's results show that all objectives have been achieved. This model enables banking and other industries to formulate strategies for dealing with various financial situations. The study's results are calculated and verified using LINGO 18.0 x64 software. Hence, the proposed model can determine financial decisions and develop strategies for dealing with various economic frameworks.
每个行业的管理层都必须努力实现多个财务目标,包括资本结构、股息政策和盈利增长。本文提出了一种使用多目标决策模型来分析财政资源应如何优化分配的方法。作为研究的一部分,Al Rajhi银行的财务报表被用作案例研究。所有数据都来自银行的财务报表。总体而言,研究结果表明,所有目标都已实现。这种模式使银行业和其他行业能够制定应对各种金融状况的策略。使用LINGO 18.0 x64软件对研究结果进行了计算和验证。因此,所提出的模型可以确定财务决策,并制定应对各种经济框架的战略。
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引用次数: 0
A Comparative Study of Higher Order Kernel Estimation and Kernel Density Derivative Estimation of the Gaussian Kernel Estimator with Data Application 高斯核估计的高阶核估计与核密度导数估计的比较研究及数据应用
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i2.4233
Siloko Israel Uzuazor, Ojobor Sunday Amaju
Higher-order kernel estimation and kernel density derivative estimation are techniques for reducing the asymptotic mean integrated squared error in nonparametric kernel density estimation. A reduction in the error criterion is an indication of better performance. The estimation of kernel function relies greatly on bandwidth and the identified reduction methods in the literature are bandwidths reliant for their implementation. This study examines the performance of higher order kernel estimation and kernel density derivatives estimation techniques with reference to the Gaussian kernel estimator owing to its wide applicability in real-life-settings. The explicit expressions for the bandwidth selectors of the two techniques in relation to the Gaussian kernel and the bandwidths were accurately obtained. Empirical results using two data sets obviously revealed that kernel density derivative estimation outperformed the higher order kernel estimation excellently well with the asymptotic mean integrated squared error as the criterion function.
高阶核估计和核密度导数估计是减少非参数核密度估计中渐近均积分平方误差的技术。误差标准的降低是更好的性能的指示。核函数的估计在很大程度上依赖于带宽,并且文献中确定的归约方法的实现依赖于带宽。由于高阶核估计和核密度导数估计技术在现实生活中具有广泛的适用性,本研究参考高斯核估计来检验其性能。精确地得到了这两种技术的带宽选择器与高斯核和带宽之间的显式表达式。使用两个数据集的经验结果明显表明,以渐近均方误差为准则函数的核密度导数估计优于高阶核估计。
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引用次数: 1
Implementation of Bayesian Simulation for Earthquake Disaster Risk Analysis in Indonesia based on Gutenberg Richter Model and Copula Method 基于Gutenberg Richter模型和Copula方法的印度尼西亚地震灾害风险分析贝叶斯模拟实现
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i2.3089
P. P. Oktaviana, K. Fithriasari
Indonesia is a country prone to earthquakes because it is located in the Pasific ring of fire area. The earthquakes caused a lot of damages and casualties. In this paper, we use Bayesian Simulation on Gutenberg Richter model and Copula method to estimate the risk parameters of earthquake, specifically the probability and the recurrence (return) period of an earthquake occurrence in Indonesia. Those risk parameters are estimated from dependence structure of frequency and magnitude of earthquakes. The dependence structure can be determined by using Gutenberg Richter model and Copula method. The Gutenberg Richter model is a model based on linear regression used to determine dependence structure, while the Copula method is a statistical method used to determine dependence structure that ignores linearity and normality assumptions of data.  Bayesian Simulation is a method used to estimate parameters based on simulation. The data used is an annual data of frequency and magnitude (magnitude ≥ 4 Richter  Scale) of earthquakes occur in Indonesia for 4 years from Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency of Indonesia. There are several steps of analysis to be performed: firstly, we perform regression analysis of frequency and magnitude of the earthquakes to determine Gutenberg Richter Model; secondly, we perform Copula analysis; thirdly, we estimate probability and the recurrence (return) period of an earthquake occurrence using Bayesian Simulation based on the result of step one and two. The result indicates Bayesian Simulation can estimate risk parameters very well.
印度尼西亚是一个地震多发的国家,因为它位于太平洋火环地区。地震造成了大量的损失和人员伤亡。本文采用基于Gutenberg Richter模型的Bayesian Simulation和Copula方法估算了印度尼西亚地震的风险参数,特别是地震发生的概率和再发期。这些风险参数是根据地震频率和震级的依赖结构估计出来的。利用Gutenberg Richter模型和Copula方法确定了相关结构。Gutenberg Richter模型是一种基于线性回归的模型,用于确定依赖结构;Copula方法是一种忽略数据线性和正态性假设的统计方法,用于确定依赖结构。Â贝叶斯仿真是一种基于仿真估计参数的方法。所使用的数据是印度尼西亚气象、气候和地球物理局提供的印度尼西亚4年来发生地震的频率和震级(震级‰4 RichterÂ)的年度数据。首先,对地震频率和震级进行回归分析,确定古腾堡-里希特模型;其次,进行Copula分析;第三,在第一步和第二步的基础上,利用贝叶斯模拟方法估计地震发生的概率和重现期。结果表明,贝叶斯模拟可以很好地估计风险参数。
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引用次数: 0
The Weighted Power Quasi Lindley Distribution with Properties and Applications of Life-time Data 具有寿命数据性质的加权幂拟Lindley分布及其应用
IF 1.5 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v19i2.3922
R. Ganaie, V. Rajagopalan
In this paper, we have executed a new model of Power Quasi Lindley distribution known as Weighted Power Quasi Lindley distribution by introducing the weighted technique. We have also executed its various mathematical and statistical properties like order statistics, likelihood Ratio test, moments, harmonic mean, Income distribution curves, entropy and reliability measures. We also have discussed its parameter estimation by applying the method of maximum likelihood estimator and also we have obtained its Fisher’s information matrix. Finally, the applicability and potentiality of the new distribution in handling data has been investigated by executing the two real life data sets.
在本文中,我们通过引入加权技术,实现了一种新的幂拟Lindley分布模型,称为加权幂拟Lindley-分布。我们还执行了它的各种数学和统计特性,如顺序统计、似然比检验、矩、调和均值、收入分布曲线、熵和可靠性度量。我们还通过应用最大似然估计的方法讨论了它的参数估计,并得到了它的Fisher™s信息矩阵。最后,通过执行两个真实生活数据集,研究了新分布在处理数据方面的适用性和潜力。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research
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