Background: Pediatric early warning scores (PEWS) are designed to predict clinical deterioration and enhance patient management in emergency observation units. Several PEWS models exist, but few studies have compared their accuracy in predicting clinical outcomes. This study evaluated and compared the diagnostic performance of 4 PEWS models (Monaghan, Parshuram, Tibbals, Brilli) in our tertiary hospital's pediatric emergency department (PED).
Methods: A prospective observational cohort study was conducted from January to April 2023, involving 193 patients. The measured outcomes were discharge, ward admission, intensive care unit admission, and mortality. For each PEWS model, sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were statistically analyzed.
Results: The median age of the patients was 4 years, with 57% males and 43% females. Primary diagnoses included respiratory, neurological, and gastrointestinal diseases. Ward admissions were 40.41%, and ICU admissions were 8.30%. Among the evaluated PEWS models, the one developed by Parshuram and colleagues exhibited the highest diagnostic accuracy in our PED. For ward admissions at a threshold score ≥4, the AUC was 0.678, with sensitivity 72.34% and specificity 63.27%. For ICU admissions at a threshold score ≥8, the AUC was 0.816, with sensitivity of 68.75% and specificity of 85.71%.
Conclusion: PEWS are valuable tools for outcome assessment in PEDs. The Parshuram model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance in the studied population. However, the selection of an appropriate PEWS model and determination of suitable threshold scores should be tailored to the specific sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of each health care center.
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